Daily Analysis 20250707

Daily Analysis 20250707

Good morning,

July 07th, 2025

US markets is holiday due to Independence Day

Dow…..44829 closed +0%
Nasdaq 20601 closed +0%
S&P 500 6279 closed +0%

FTSE…..8823 -0.29 -0.00%
Dax…..23787 -146.7 -0.61%
CAC…..7696 -58.3 -0.75%

Nikkei….39811 +24.98 +0.06%
HSI………23916 -153.9 -0.64%
Shanghai.3472 +11.2 +0.32%

IDX..6865.19 -12.86 -0.19%
LQ45..763.51 -2.07 -0.27%
IDX30.393.11 -1.12 -0.28%

IDXEnergy.2696.40 +6.97 +0.26%
IDX BscMat1472.86 -3.86 -0.26%
IDX Indstr…..914.05 +3.90 +0.43%
IDXNONCYC.671.28 -5.48 -0.81%
IDX Hlthcare1514.16 -0.74 -0.05%
IDXCYCLC…725.37 -3.20 -0.44%
IDX Techno.6496.68 +50.10 +0.78%
IDX Transp 1432.52 -9.15 -0.63%
IDX Infrast .1399.87 -19.06 -1.34%
IDX Finance.1341.98 +4.31 +0.32%
IDX Banking 1004.17 +2.96 +0.30%
IDX Property..720 +2.00 +0.28%

Indo10Yr.6.6693👍 -0.0020 -0.30%
ICBI….415.4030👍 +0.4272 +0.41%
US2Yr.3.885 closed +0%
US5Yr 3.938 closed +0%
US10Yr4.328 -0.09 -0.21%
US30Yr.4. 861 closed +0%
VIX..17.48 +1.10 +6.72%‼️

USDIndx..97.1800❗️+0.067 +0.07%
Como Indx.299.93 closed +0%
BCOMIN..149.68 closed +0%

IndoCDS 5yr.74.56👍 -2.05 -2.68%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (06/07)

IDR…….16185.00❗️-10.00 -0.06%
Jisdor…16204.00❗️ -5.00 -0.03%

Euro..1.1778 +0.0023 +0.20%

TLKM..16.83 closed +0%
( 2728)
EIDO….17.47 closed +0%
EEM…48.76 closed +0%

Oil…67.00 -0.50 -0.75%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…68.30 -0.60 -0.87%
(Brent)

Gold.3346.50 +3.60 +0.11%
(Comex)
Gold.3337.15 +11.03 +0.33%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..33702.00 -146.00 -0.43%
(Closed 04/07)
Nickel…15281.88 -94.00 -0.61%
(Closed 04/07)
Silver….37.14 +0.06 +0.16%
Copper.506.25 -7.90 -1.53%

Iron Ore 62% 96.24 unch +0%
(04/07)

Nturl Gas .3.390 -0.015 -0.44%
Ammonia China.2350.00 unch +0%
(Domestic Price 04/07)

Coal price.109.95 -1.30 -1.17%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price110.85 -1.65 -1.47%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 111.70 -2.15 -1.89%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.113.75 -1.85 -1.60%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.105.75 -2.45 -2.26%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 105.05 -2.95 -2.73%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.105.55 -2.70 -2.49%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.106.15 -2.35 -2.17%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep) 4062 -31 -0.76%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..420.25 closed +0%
SoybeanOil 54.67 closed +0%
Wheat…556.75 closed +0%

Wood pulp…5950.00 unch +0%
(Closed 04/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Juma’t US closed ID4, europe merah, asia varied, US treasury bond stagnant, ga ada sentimen apa apa kecuali masih israel serang palestina yang kemungkinan besar masih bikin market khawatir dan harga minyak dan energy cenderung akan naik

USD index up, gold silver up, metal lain down, oil down gas down coal down, CPO down, masih meragukan wave 3 nya index ini

IHSG – stoch up macd down MFI sw w% down, BD FF dist, masih jelek, harga ketemu support cloud ichimoku, target double top done, tapi masih ada 2 gap di bawah, WNS guys, tunggu Big Banks mantul

Kan, melemah lagi semua, memang kalo wave 1 nya simple wave 2-3 nya suka complex, tinggal Healthcare sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals yang arahnya bagus

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA ITMG PTMA BRMS BSDE INDY INTP SRTG, big accum AKRA SRTG

MACD Buy Signal: BRIS CTRA MBMA CMRY GGRM HEAL KIJA LSIP MARK MNCN SCMA UNIQ, big accum BRIS CTRA GGRM LSIP SCMA

Daily Analysis 20250625

Daily Analysis 20250625

Good morning,

June 25th 2025

Wall St ends sharply higher, S&P 500 nears record high as Middle East tensions cool

U.S. stocks rallied more than 1% on Tuesday as investors welcomed a fragile truce with Israel and Iran while parsing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony for clues regarding the U.S. central bank’s path forward.

Dow…..43089 +507.2 +1.19%
Nasdaq 19913 +281.6 +1.43%
S&P 500 6092 +67.01 +1.11%

FTSE…..8759 +0.95 +0.01%
Dax…..23641 +372.6 +1.60%
CAC…..7615 +78.4 +1.04%

Nikkei….38791 +436.5 +1.14%
HSI……24177 +487.9 +2.06%
Shanghai.3421 +38.98 +1.15%

IDX..6869.17 +82.03 +1.21%
LQ45..764.41 +10.59 +1.40%
IDX30.395.16 +4.66 +1.19%

IDXEnergy.2729.57 -16.22 -0.59%
IDX BscMat1442.00 +3.98 +0.20%
IDX Indstr…..908.55 +8.89 +0.99%
IDXNONCYC.657.46 +12.28 +1.90%
IDX Hlthcare1461.75+29.04 +2.03%
IDXCYCLC…709.41 +20.80 +3.02%
IDX Techno.6518.52 +35.09 +0.54%
IDX Transp 1437.10 +12.28 +0.86%
IDX Infrast .1379.42 +10.66 +0.78%
IDX Finance.1351.37 +19.67+1.48%
IDX Banking 1031.08 +20.41 +2.02%
IDX Property..727 +22.60 +3.21%‼️

Indo10Yr.6.7903-0.0327 -0.48%
ICBI….412.3536 +0.8614 +0.21%
US2Yr.3.821 -0.042 -1.09%
US5Yr 3.861 -0.049 -1.25%
US10Yr4.296 -0.052 -1.20%
US30Yr.4.835 -0.039 -0.80%
VIX..17.48 -2.35 -11.85%👍

USDIndx..98.8580👍 -0.496 -0.50%
Como Indx.296.97 -8.08 -2.65%‼️
BCOMIN..145.39 +0.30 +0.20%

IndoCDS 5yr.82.09‼️+0.64 +0.78%
(5-yr INOCD5) (24/06)

IDR…….16.353.50❗️-138.50👍 -0.84%
Jisdor…16.370.00❗️-114.00👍 -0.69%

Euro..1.1609❗️ +0.0015 +0.13%

TLKM..16.06 +0.16 +1.01%
( 2629)
EIDO….16.38 +0.49 +2.90%
EEM…47.92 +1.21 +2.59%

Oil…65.10❗️-1.07 -1.61%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…67.14 -4.34 -6.07%‼️
(Brent)

Gold.3335.50‼️ -42.50 -1.26%
(Comex)
Gold.3322.42‼️ -34.63 -1.03%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32319.00 -374.00 -1.14%
(Closed 24/06)
Nickel…14911.13 +113.88 +0.77%
(Closed 24/06)
Silver….36.22 -0.15 -0.41%
Copper.494.75 +0.10 +0.02%

Iron Ore 62% .94.75 -0.12 -0.13%
(24/06)

Nturl Gas .3.770 -0.076 -1.98%
Ammonia China.2316.67 +6.67 +0.29%
(Domestic Price 24/06)

Coal price.106.60 -0.65 -0.61%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.109.90 -3.05 -2.70%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price111.60 -2.60 -2.28%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 113.40 -2.60 -2.24%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price 103.50 -0.95 -0.91%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.103.15 -4.80 -4.45%‼️
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.65 -5.00 -4.60%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.104.15 -5.10 -4.67%‼️
(Sep/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep) 3986 -139 -3.37%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..429.00 -4.75 -1.10%
SoybeanOil 52.61 -1.14 -2.12%
Wheat..552.00 -17.50 -3.07%‼️

Wood pulp…6066.67 -16.66 -0.27%
(Closed 24/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe asia ijo semua, menyusul pengumuman cease fire Israel-Iran walau terus dilanggar… US treasury bond yield down, harusnya sih lanjut ijo, tapi mungkin tutup gap dulu. Apakah akan langsung lanjut wave 3, belum bisa ditebak, dari itungan sih mungkin saja, sudah sampe fibo 38, tapi biasanya sih sampe fibo 50

USD index down, metal2 down kecuali nickel copper, oil down gas down coal down, CPO down, tapi ancaman penutupan selat sama iran masih mungkin, walau sebenernya tanpa itu juga major nya keliatan mau ke atas, tapi minornya terlihat jadi dipaksa turun dulu

IHSG – MFI up, 833 buy, yang lain masih jelek, ada 2 gap di bawah, bahwa mungkin wave 2 nya berhenti di fibo 38 mungkin, tapi masih FNS dan BD dist agak berat untuk langsung ngangkat

Consumer Cyclicals, Financials (tapi big banks masih jelek), Healthcare, Industrials, UNTR LK bagus, Infrastructure, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property. Masih belum meyakinkan, yang bahaya Energy sama basic materials melemah

Oil Price Chart – MACD sell signal, kecuali konflik memanas lagi sepertinya akan kebawah dulu, prepare buang dulu saham minyak, pantau ketat

Coal Price Chart – udah supertrend buy, 2 hari koreksi tapi ga terlalu besar, macd jadi terlihat mau rev down, ga terkait langsung sama konflik, harusnya sih tetep jalan

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT BBCA BBTN BRIS GGRM ICBP MAPI SIDO ERAA MNCN MYOR PWON, big accum cuma GGRM sama PWON

MACD Buy Signal WIFI nerusin stoch nya buy duluan kemaren, tapi overpriced jadi kita skip

Daily Analysis 20250624

Daily Analysis 20250624

Good morning,

June 24th 2025

Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq jump, oil slides on Iran’s restrained response to US strikes

US stocks closed near session highs on Monday while oil prices tanked after Iran launched missiles at a US air base in Qatar in what appeared to be a limited retaliation for US strikes against Iranian nuclear sites.

Dow…..42582 +374.96 +0.88%
Nasdaq 19631 +183.6 +0.94%
S&P 500 6025 +57.3 +0.96%

FTSE…..8758 -16.6 -0.19%
Dax…..23269 -81.5 -0.35%
CAC…..7538 -52.1 -0.69%

Nikkei….38354 -49.1 -0.13%
HSI………23689 +158.7 +0.67%
Shanghai.3382 +21.7 +0.65%

IDX..6787.14 -120.00 -1.74%
LQ45..753.83 -11.11 -1.45%
IDX30.390.50 -6.58 -1.66%

IDXEnergy.2745.79 -60.67 -2.16%
IDX BscMat1438.02 -16.81 -1.18%
IDX Indstr…..899.66 -14.60 -1.60%
IDXNONCYC.645.17 -13.94 -2.11%
IDX Hlthcare1432.71-24.22 -1.66%
IDXCYCLC…688.61 -23.96 -3.36%
IDX Techno.6483.43 -169.29 -2.54%
IDX Transp 1424.82 -0.75 -0.05%
IDX Infrast .1368.76 -24.47 -1.76%
IDX Finance.1331.70 -18.89 -1.40%
IDX Banking 1010.67 -13.09 -1.28%
IDX Property..705 -21.60 -2.97%

Indo10Yr.6.8230+0.0329 +0.48%
ICBI….411.4922 -0.6063 -0.15%
US2Yr.3.863 -0.041 -1.05%
US5Yr 3.910 -0.049 -1.24%
US10Yr4.348 -0.028 -0.64%
US30Yr.4.874 -0.015 -0.31%
VIX..19.83 -0.79 -3.83%

USDIndx..98.3540❗️ -0.708 -0.71%
Como Indx.305.05 -7.48 -2.39%
BCOMIN..145.09 +0.96 +0.67%

IndoCDS 5yr.82.09‼️ unch +0%
(5-yr INOCD5) (23/06)

IDR…….16.492.00‼️+95.50 +0.58%
Jisdor…16.484.00❗️+85.00 +0.52%

Euro..1.1594 +0.0108 +0.94%

TLKM..15.90 -0.14 -0.87%
( 2621)
EIDO….16.89 -0.29 -1.69%
EEM..46.71 +0.38 +0.82%

Oil…66.17‼️-9.06 -12.04%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…71.48‼️ -8.00 -10.07%‼️
(Brent)

Gold.3378.00 -16.50 -0.49%
(Comex)
Gold.3357.05 -18.76 -0.56%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32693.00 +10.00 +0.03%
(Closed 23/06)
Nickel…14797.25 -168.38 -1.13%
(Closed 23/06)
Silver….36.37 +0.09 +0.25%
Copper.494.65 +9.50 +5.13%

Iron Ore 62% .94.75 -0.02 -0.02%
(23/06)

Nturl Gas .3.770 -0.076 -1.98%
Ammonia China.2310.00 -43.33 -1.84%
(Domestic Price 23/06)

Coal price.107.25 +0.45 +0.61%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.112.95 +0.70 +0.62%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price114.20 +0.72 +0.62%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 116.00 +0.90 +0.70%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price 104.45 +0.70 +0.67%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.107.95 +0.90 +0.84%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.65 +0.85 +0.79%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.109.25 +0.80 +0.74%
(Sep/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep) 4125 +10 +0.24%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..433.75 -7.50 -1.70%
SoybeanOil 53.75 -1.35 -2.45%
Wheat..569.50 -14.00 -2.40%

Wood pulp…6083.33 unch +0%
(Closed 23/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo europe merah asia varied, selain IHSG yang merah dalem cuma nikkei yang merah tipis. Padahal iran nyerang US base di qatar, tapi US market pede karena di intercept 6 6 nya mungkin. US treasury bond yield turun, harusnya sih IHSG rada mantul dulu hari ini, gap down kemaren, mungkin akan tutup gap dulu hari ini

USD index down, metal2 down kecuali tin copper, oil drop gas drop coal up cpo up, agak aneh ini oil drop padahal konflik belum selesai, dan energy price chart nya emang terlihat giliran jalan

Oil Price Chart – dibanting kemaren, lanjut running market hari ini masih merah jadi signal mau ngebalik, beware permainan global untuk make harga minyak buat jadi alat tekan geopolitik

Coal Price Chart – supertrend buy macd up, malah kemaren dibanting harga saham coal ikut index, PTBA malah 13% karena deviden nya 13%, rusak banget sih market maker indonesia ini

IHSG – masih all bad kecuali gap down kemaren yang mungkin ditutup dulu sebelum lanjut koreksi, atau bisa jadi akan berhenti di fibo 38. Kita tunggu saja

Masih kebaca arahnya bagus Financials, Industrials, Infrastructure, Property, Technology, Transportation, tapi kemaren bantingan abis abisan ikut index semua, kita pantau ketat

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES BBRI MTEL UNVR MAPA WIFI, wifi big accum

MACD ga ada buy signal, malah sell signal ITMG UNTR SCMA, UNTR udah pasang stoploss, kalo kena kita tunggu next buy signal

Daily Analysis 20250122

Daily Analysis 20250122

January 22th, 2024

Dow gains 500 points, stocks close near records as Trump holds off on tariffs

US stocks gained on Tuesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rising back above 44,000 and the S&P 500 topping the 6,000 level as investors digested President Donald Trump’s first policy moves, with promised tariffs on Mexico and Canada front of mind.

Dow……44026 +537.96 +1.24%
Nasdaq 19757 +126.6. +0.64%
S&P 500 6049 +52.6 +0.88%

FTSE…..8548 +27.8 +0.33%
Dax……21042 +51.7 +0.25%
CAC……7771 +37.5 +0.48%

Nikkei…39028 +125.5 +0.32%
HSI…….20107 +180.7 +0.91%
Shanghai.3243 -1.8 -0.05%

IDX…7181.82 +11.08 +0.15%
LQ45…834.45 +0.83 +0.10%
IDX30.430.05 +0.42 +0.10%

IDXEnergy…2871.88 -3.63 -0.13%
IDX BscMat 1239.77 -5.64 -0.45%
IDX Indstrl… ..978.42 -4.22 -0.43%
IDXNONCYC.699.62 +1.30 +0.19%
IDX Hlthcare1396.95 +8.43 +0.61%
IDXCYCLC…823.64 +5.46 +0.67%
IDX Techno.4247.86 -16.11 -0.38%
IDX Transp 1279.07 -0.89 -0.07%
IDX Infrast 1493.95 +15.58 +1.05%
IDX Finance1423.96 +7.38 +0.52%
IDX Banking1177.17 +10.63 +0.91%
IDX Property. 784 -6.50 -0.82%

Indo10Yr.7.1545❗️-0.0241 -0.33%
ICBI….393.4789❗️+0.6908 +0.18%
US2Yr.4.282 -0.008 -0.19%
US5Yr 4.429 -0.037 -0.84%
US10Yr4.574 -0.010 -0.22%
US30Yr.4.806 -0.048 -0.99%
VIX..15.06 -0.75 -4.74%‼️

USDIndx 108.9510👍-0.153 -0.14%
Como Indx..308.87 -2.21 -0.71%
BCOMIN..145.89 -1.32 -0.90%

IndoCDS…77.19 -1.00 -1.28%
(5-yr INOCD5) (20/01)

IDR…….16343.00‼️-24.50 -0.15%
Jisdor.. 16331.00‼️-41.00 -0.25%

Euro…1.0428 +0.0011 +0.11%

TLKM…16.34 -0.15 -0.91%
( 2668)
EIDO….18.68 +0.19 +1.03%
EEM…42.54 +0.44 +1.03%

Oil………75.89 -1.00 -1.30%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………79.37 -0.45 -0.56%
(Brent)
Gold…2759.20 +27.40 +1.00%
(Comex)
Gold…2744.80 +36.59 +1.35%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.30390.00 +615.00 +2.07%
(Closed 20/01)
.Nickel.16070.00 -10.00 -0.06%
(Closed 20/01)
Silver……31.50 +0.30 +0.96%
Copper.434.10 +2.35 +0.54%

Iron Ore 62% 101.21 +0.72 +0.72%
(17/01)
Nturl Gas ..3.783 -0.047 -1.23%
Ammonia China. 2410.00 -26.67 -1.09%
(Domestic Price)(20/01)

Coal price.117.75 -0.40 -0.34%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.124.45 +2.95 +2.34%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.127.60 +3.75 +3.03%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 129.05 +3.25 +2.58%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.112.20 +1.50 +1.36%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.95 +2.50 +2.26%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.15 +2.70 +2.47%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.30 +4.00 +3.66%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr) 4260 +54 +1.28%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………490.00 +5.75 +1.19%
SoybeanOil 45.77 +0.08 +0.18%
Wheat……558.75 +20.00 +3.71%‼️

Wood pulp…..6524 unch +0%
(Closed 21/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US Europe ijo, asia ijo kecuali china, US treasury bond yield turun, ijo lagi dong harusnya hari ini… BBCA bangun ah

USD index down, metal2 up kecuali nickel, oil gas turun, Coal CPO lanjut naik, ayo jalan ADRO…

IHSG – stoch up macd up MFI up w% uptrend BD flat FNS double bottom, harusnya sih tinggal nunggu FNB jalan ya, US juga ijo, Trump ga tau seterusnya ga tau cuma karena pemilihan minta Israel gencatan senjata, harusnya sih bagus buat stock market

Financials Property

Stochastic Buy Signal: ARTO CPIN KLBF MIKA ULTJ, big accum ARTO CPIN

MACD Buy Signal: BUKA KLBF SMGR HMSP JPFA, big accum BUKA HMSP

Alligator Buy Signal: ANTM DSNG PTMP

Supertrend Buy Signal: BRIS