August 08th, 2024

Stocks close lower on Wednesday as market’s comeback attempt fizzles out

Stocks closed lower on Wednesday as the market’s attempt to fully recover from Monday’s sell-off failed.

Dow…….38763 -234.2 -0.60%
Nasdaq. 16195 -171.1 -1.05%
S&P 500 5193 -40.5 -0.77%

FTSE..8166.9 +140.2 +1.75%
Dax……17615 +260.8 +1.50%
CAC……7266 +135.97 +1.91%

Nikkei..35090 +414.2 +1.19%
HSI…….16878 +230.5 +1.38%
Shanghai.2870 +2.6 +0.08%

IDX….7212.13 +82.92 +1.16%
LQ45…903.79 +4.61 +0.51%
IDX30.451.88 +4.88 +1.09%

IDXEnergy.2421.41 +31.88 +1.33%
IDX BscMat1322.98 +16.65 +1.27%
IDX Indstrl..1015.19 +18.11 +1.82%
IDXNONCYC.700.65 +6.99 +1.01%
IDX Hlthcare1444.70 +4.97 +0.35%
IDXCYCLIC…758.22 +6.08 +0.81%
IDXTechno.3199.07 +19.42 +0.61%
IDX Transp 1356.76 +21.81 +1.63%
IDX Infrast 1546.26 +13.47 +0.88%
IDX Finance1394.55 +6.81 +0.49%
IDX Banking1239.80 +7.76 +0.63%
IDX Property…..645 +8.60 +1.36%

Indo10Yr.6.8743 -0.0035 -0.05%
ICBI…386.3727 +0.0880 +0.02%
US2Yr.3.983 -0.009 -0.23%
US5Yr 3.776 +0.033 +0.88%
US10Yr3.926 +0.042 +1.08%
US30Yr.4.191 +0.062 +1.48%
VIX..27.85 +0.14 +0.51%

USDIndx 103.1970❗️+0.228 +0.22%
Como Indx….273.70 +3.55 +1.31%
BCOMIN…..135.90 -1.22 -0.89%

IndoCDS..80.12❗️ -2.06 -2.51%
(5-yr INOCD5) (05/08)

IDR…..16035.00❗️ -129.50 -0.80%
Jisdor.16100.00❗️ -83.00 -0.51%

Euro…1.0926 -0.0004 -0.04%

TLKM…17.36 -0.02 -0.12%
( 2795)
EIDO.20.05 +0.18 +0.91%
EEM….40.90 +0.28 +0.69%

Oil………..75.45 +2.58 +3.54%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….78.33 +1.85 +2.42%
(Brent)
Gold…..2422.60 -7.40 -0.31%
(Comex)
Gold……2384.07 -38.53 -1.59%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29991.00 +340.00 +1.15%
(Closed 07/08)
Nickel..16233.00 -182.00 -1.11%
(Closed 07/08)
Silver….26.68 -0.33 -1.22%
Copper.393.25 -6.80 -1.70%

Iron Ore 62% 102.86 -1.32 -1.27%
(06/08)
Nturl Gas 2.089 +0.073 +3.62%
Ammonia China 2480.00 – -%
(Domestic Price)(06/08)

Coal price.145.00 -0.50 -0.34%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.147.90 +0.40 +0.27%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 148.95 -0.05 -0.03%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.149.95 -0.05 -0.03%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.121.10 +0.30 +0.25%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.00 +0.30 +0.25%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 122.60 +0.40 +0.33%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.123.25 +0.20 +0.16%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3696 -11 -0.30%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..400.75 -4.50 -1.11%
SoybeanOil 40.98 +0.92 +2.30%
Wheat…..538.25 -5.00 -0.92%

Wood pulp..5110 -20 -0.39%
(Closed 07/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah lagi, kemaren asia europe ijo tebel, US bond yield up, most likely IDX dan pasar asia merah lagi hari ini. Per sekarang Nikkei udah minus 1.8%. So IHSG kemungkinan besar juga sama merah

USD index up lagi, metal2 down kecuali tin, Oil up, gas up, coal tipis2, CPO merah tipis, masih belum ada yang terlalu menarik, nanti yang oil kita liat trend nya

Oil Price – mulai terlihat bottoming sih, tapi belum firm

IHSG – bagusnya FNB, tapi technical masih jelek. Mungkin aja udahan tapi belum firm tegambar di chart kecuali dari level fibonacci target ABC correction. Dengan US market merah dan Nikkei udah terlihat merah duluan, ya masih sesuai technical mau kebawah lagi dulu

Masih belum, financials melemah lagi, sisa healthcare tapi ga berani lah

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBRI CPIN TLKM ABMM ADMR EMTK JPFA SMDR, big accum: CPIN JPFA SMDR

MACD Buy Signal: PTMP TPIA, TPIA big accum

CPIN – BD FF accum, stoch buy, macd bottoming, posisi di modus vol profile, retracement pattern pas banget ini abis koreksi wave B ke fibo 23, harusnya emang naik lagi ke fibo 61.

Spike tinggi tapi terus drop, jadi ga bisa dibilang valid spike beli

Wah biggest holder nya buang… Nanti dulu deh, sekalian tunggu harga dibawah average bandar

JPFA- ini malah lebih ga berani, abis wave 5 belum abc correction… Walau BD FF lagi terlihat akum

SMDR – ini menarik, abis drop jauh mantul hampir sampe fibo 61 drop lagi ke fibo 23, mungkin akan lanjut beresin retracement pattern nya. soch bolak balik, MACD bottoming, MFI juga, w% sw, PBV PER nya ok, kita tunggu MACD buy signal

PTMP – buat perusahaan relatif baru IPO, PER nya 23 ga berani masuk lah…

TPIA – PBV 20 PER minus karena LK rugi, skip lah

TLKM – BD FF acc tipis, menari udah drop terus mantul, ini bikin higher low, stoch almost buy, macd still down, index mau merah dulu, sabar tunggu firm mantul

BBRI – BD FF dist, toch buy, macd still down, MFI w%down, IHNS in he making, abis drop ketemu regbull div mantul, retracement pattern jalan, harusnya tinggal nunggu wave C, tapi keliatannya belum saatnya

August 07th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 300 points higher to snap three-day losing run in broad relief rally

Stocks jumped Tuesday, recovering some losses from the previous three trading days as investors took a pause from recession fears and Japanese equities rallied.

Dow…….38998 +294.4 +0.76%
Nasdaq. 16367 +166.8 +1.03%
S&P 500 52540 +53.7 +1.04%

FTSE..8027.2 +18.5 +0.23%
Dax……17354 +15.3 +0.09%
CAC……7130 -18.95 -0.27%

Nikkei..34675 +3217 +10.23%‼️
HSI…….16647 -51.02 -0.31%
Shanghai.2867 +6.6 +0.23%

IDX….7129.22 +69.56 +0.99%
LQ45…899.18 +8.47 +0.95%
IDX30.443.34 -15.20 -3.32%

IDXEnergy.2390.51 +32.58 +1.36%
IDX BscMat1306.33 +9.39 +0.72%
IDX Indstrl….997.09 -0.80 -0.08%
IDXNONCYC.693.65 +5.09 +0.74%
IDX Hlthcare1439.73+8.36 +0.58%
IDXCYCLIC…752.14 +6.85 +0.92%
IDXTechno.3179.65 +3.18 +0.18%
IDX Transp 1334.95 +16.13 +1.22%
IDX Infrast 1532.78 +24.46 +1.62%
IDX Finance1387.73 +12.90 +0.94%
IDX Banking1232.04 +14.44 +1.19%
IDX Property…..637 +4.90 +0.78%

Indo10Yr.6.8778 +0.0082 +0.11%
ICBI…386.2847 -0.2947 -0.08%
US2Yr.3.992 +0.090 +2.31%
US5Yr 3.743 +0.118 +3.26%‼️
US10Yr3.886 +0.094 +2.48%
US30Yr.4.191 +0.125 +3.07% ‼️
VIX..27.71 -10.86 -28.16%‼️

USDIndx 102.9690❗️+0.28 +0.27%
Como Indx….270.15 +1.36 +0.51%
BCOMIN…..137.12 +1.00 +0.74%

IndoCDS..82.18 +4.98 +6.45%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (05/08)

IDR…..16164.00❗️ -24.50 -0.15%
Jisdor.16183.00❗️ +29.00 +0.18%

Euro…1.0930 -0.0025 -0.23%

TLKM…17.38 +0.35 +2.06%
( 2813)
EIDO….19.87 +0.33 +1.66%
EEM….40.65 +0.18 +0.43%

Oil………..72.87❗️ -1.16 -1.57%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….76.48 +0.18 +0.24%
(Brent)
Gold…..2430.00 -21.60 -0.88%
(Comex)
Gold……2389.02 -19.41 -0.81%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29651.00 +167.00 +0.57%
(Closed 06/08)
Nickel..16415.00 +211.50 +1.31%
(Closed 06/08)
Silver….27.01 -0.35 -1.28%
Copper.400.05 -1.35 -0.34%

Iron Ore 62% 104.18 +0.18 +0.17%
(05/08)
Nturl Gas 2.016 +0.039 +1.97%
Ammonia China 2480.00 +133.33 +5.68%‼️
(Domestic Price)(05/08)

Coal price.145.50 +1.80 +1.25%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.147.50 +1.75 +1.20%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 149.00 +2.25 +1.53%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.150.00 +2.25 +1.52%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.120.80 +1.50 +1.26%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.70 +2.15 +1.80%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 122.20 +2.40 +2.00%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.123.05 +3.20 +2.67%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3707 -33 -0.88%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..405.25 -1.75 -0.43%
SoybeanOil 39.97 -0.27 -0.67%
Wheat…..543.25 +3.75 +0.70%

Wood pulp..5130 -20 -0.39%
(Closed 06/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Rebound semua setelah hari sebelumnya terjun bebas… Tapi US bond yield naik, kemaren IHSG udah rebound, kayanya merah lagi hari ini. Bagusnya sih dip sebentar tutup gap baru lanjut wave 3

USD index up, Gold silver copper down, Tin Nickel Iron ore up, oil down, gas up coal up, CPO down, masih resiko, tapi kayanya coal yang rebound duluan. Pulp and Paper Price sempet drop udah 2 hari up, semoga INKP rebound juga

IHSG – soch sell macd still down, MFI sw, w% sw, BD sw, FNB tipis kemaren, double top target done, itungan fibonacci abc done, mungkin udahan, mungkin tutp gap dulu, tapi kalo liat indicators, tutup gap dulu sih

Nah, Financials arahnya membaik, tanda2 index mau rebound…

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBNI BBTN BMRI EXCL HRUM DSNG PTRO, big accum BBNI BBTN HRUM

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: AMMN KLBF

August 05th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes down 600 points, Nasdaq enters correction after weak jobs report

Stocks fell sharply on Friday as a much weaker-than-anticipated jobs report for July ignited worries that the economy could be falling into a recession.

Dow…….39737 -610.7 -1.51%
Nasdaq16776 -417.98 -2.43%
S&P 500.5347 -100.6 -1.84%

FTSE…..8175 -108.7 -1.31%
Dax……17661 -421.8 -2.33%
CAC……7252 -118.7 -1.61%

Nikkei..35910 -2216.7 -5.81%‼️
HSI…..16946 -359.5 -2.08%
Shanghai.2905 -27.1 -0.92%

IDX….7308.12 -17.86 -0.24%
LQ45…919.37 -6.14 -0.66%
IDX30.461.45 +6.69 +1.47%

IDXEnergy..2479.49 +19.86 +0.81%
IDX BscMat1360.74 -10.48 -0.76%
IDX Indstrl.1036.58 +0.01 +0.00%
IDXNONCYC.701.00 -4.02 -0.57%
IDX Hlthcare1441.80 -6.55 -0.45%
IDXCYCLIC…764.18 +4.37 +0.57%
IDXTechno.3272.03 -12.19 -0.37%
IDX Transp 1377.07 -14.51 -1.04%
IDX Infrast 1557.37 -11.09 -0.71%
IDX Finance1412.80 -4.35 -0.31%
IDX Banking1259.19 -4.13 -0.33%
IDX Property…..652 +3.10 +0.48%

Indo10Yr.6.9083❗️ -0.0092 -0.13%
ICBI…385.6435❗️ +0.1951 +0.05%
US2Yr.3.878👍 -0.282 -6.78%‼️
US5Yr 3.615👍 -0.229 -5.96%‼️
US10Yr3.792👍 -0.178 -4.48%‼️
US30Yr.4.109 -0.171 -3.99%‼️
VIX..23.39‼️ +4.80 +25.82%‼️

USDIndx 103.2080👍 -1.213 -1.16%
Como Indx….270.13 -3.46 -1.26%
BCOMIN…..138.20 -0.90 -0.66%

IndoCDS..77.20 +2.50 +3.35%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/07)

IDR…..16200.00❗️ -37.00 -0.23%
Jisdor.16234.00❗️ -9.00 -0.06%

Euro…1.0789 -0.0037 -0.34%

TLKM…17.55 -0.04 -0.20%*
( 2849)
EIDO….20.30 +0.12 +0.57%
EEM……41.60 -0.61 -1.44%

Oil………..76.79 -3.27 -4.25%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….76.81 -2.71 -3.41%
(Brent)
Gold…..2469.80 -19.40 -0.78%
(Comex)
Gold……2443.24 -4.76 -0.19%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..30188.00 +234.00 +0.98%
(Closed 01/08)
Nickel..16365.50 +130.50 +0.80%
(Closed 01/08)
Silver….28.39 -0.22 -0.77%
Copper.410.30 +3.60 +0.89%

Iron Ore 62% 104.00 +1.17 +1.14%
(02/08)
Nturl Gas 1.978‼️ -0.064 -3.13%
Ammonia China 2346.67 -196.66 -7.73%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/08)

Coal price.144.10 +1.55 +1.09%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.75 +1.95 +1.36%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 146.90 +1.65 +1.14%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.148.40 +1.75 +1.19%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.121.35 +1.40 +1.17%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.20 +1.40 +1.16%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 121.75 +1.30 +1.08%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.10 +1.55 +1.29%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3858 +35 +0.92%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..403.25 +4.75 +1.19%
SoybeanOil 40.81 -0.64 -1.54%
Wheat…..539.00 +7.009 +1.32%

Wood pulp..5150 unch +0%
(Closed 04/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index Regional merah semua pas closing jum’at, IHSG malah paling moderate. US bond yield drop, kalo hanya liat itu bisa ijo IHSG hari ini, tapi lebih besar kemungkinan merahnya sih, beresin wave 2, sama double top kemaren

USD index drop tapi metal2 jg drop kecuali iron ore, oil drop jauh, gas juga, coal yang bertahan ijo sama CPO. Waktunya PTBA AALI LSIP gerak

IHSG – stochastic nya seolah olah mau lanjut jalan, tapi MACD nya masih says down, price action juga malah hampir triple top, BD lagi sw, FF mulai net buy tapi curiga rebalancing LQ45 dan Kompas100 yang memicunya. Masih very selective buying

Basic Materials

Stochastic Buy Signal: MTEL PGAS PTBA ADMR BMTR BSDE ENRG ERAA PTPP KBLI SMDR, big accum PGAS PTBA ADMR BSDE

MACD Buy Signal: OTMG SIDO ADMR BSDE NISP TPIA, big accum ITMG ADMR BSDE

July 18th, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq posts worst day since 2022, Dow gains 200 points as investors rotate out of tech

The S&P 500
and Nasdaq Composite
retreated on Wednesday as the rotation out of high-flying technology shares and into more rate-sensitive names continued

Dow……41198 +243.6 +0.59%
Nasdaq17997 -512.4 -2.77%‼️
S&P 500.5588 -78.93 -1.39%

FTSE…..8188 +22.6 +0.28%
Dax……18437 -80.7 -0.44%
CAC……7571 -9.2 -0.12%

Nikkei..41098 -177.4 -0.43%
HSI……17739 +11.4 +0.06%
Shanghai.2963 -13.5 -0.45%

IDX….7224.22 -0.07 -0.00%
LQ45..910.07 +5.52 +0.61%
IDX30.454.82 +3.96 +0.88%

IDXEnergy..2416.50 -1.14 -0.05%
IDX BscMat1383.43 -4.42 -0.32%
IDX Indstrl.1018.09 +1.74 +0.17%
IDXNONCYC.714.86 +5.40 +0.76%
IDX Hlthcare1420.53 -5.96 -0.42%
IDXCYCLIC…752.71 -0.30 -0.04%
IDXTechno3322.92 -8.25 -1.15%
IDX Transp 1363.57 +7.70. +0.57%
IDX Infrast 1583.19 -0.59 -0.04%
IDX Finance1392.53 +5.34 +0.38%
IDX Banking1231.03 +7.67 +0.63%
IDX Property…..642 +1.40 +0.22%

Indo10Yr.7.0030 -0.0224 -0.32%
ICBI…382.8207 +0.6016 +0.16%
US2Yr.4.438 +0.017 +0.38%
US5Yr 4.081 +0.005 +0.12%
US10Yr4.160 +0.003 +0.07%
US30Yr.4.376 +0.004 +0.09%
VIX..14.48 +1.29 +9.78%‼️

USDIndx 103.7480👍 -0.522 -0.50%
Como Indx….286.06 +0.27 +0.09%
BCOMIN…… 147.03 -1.04 -0.70%

IndoCDS..72.75 +1.02 +1.42%
(5-yr INOCD5) (16/07)

IDR…..16100.00 -79.50👍 -0.49%
Jisdor.16129.00 -74.00👍 -0.46%

Euro…1.0940 +0.0040 +0.37%

TLKM…20.30 +0.98 +5.08%‼️
( 3274)
EIDO….20.13 +0.06 +0.30%
EEM…..43.57 -0.72 -1.63%

Oil…….83.19 +2.39 +2.96%❗️
Gold…..2462.10 -11.50 -0.46%
Timah..32950.00 -221.00 -0.67%
(Closed 17/07)
Nickel..16519.00 -214.50 -1.28%
(Closed 17/07)
Silver….30.60 -1.03 -3.26%‼️
Copper.441.55 -9.45 -2.10%

Iron Ore 62% 109.39 -0.28 -0.26%
(16/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.050 -0.133 -6.09%
Ammonia China 2783.33. unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(17/07)

Coal price.134.75 +0.35 +0.26%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.90 -0.35 -0.25%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.50 -0.10 -0.72%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 138.85 -1.85 -1.31%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.104.60 -1.90 -1.78%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..107.20 -3.75 -3.38%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.108.40 -2.60 -2.34%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.85 -3.05 -2.75%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3921 -5 -0.13%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..411.75 +3.00 +0.73%
SoybeanOil 43.99 -0.96 -2.11%
Wheat…..539.25 +8.50 +1.60%

Wood pulp..5200 -20 -0.38%
(Closed 17/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Nasdaq terjun bebas, DJI ijo lemparan dari nasdaq, europe mostly down, asia juga, US bond yield up, IHSG lanjut down lah hari ini

USD index down tapi metal2 juga down, Oil up gas drop coal down CPO down, koreksi semua dong kalo kaya gini

IHSG – all says down, Foreign Net Sell juga, masih koreksi dulu

Koq RSI nya belum ngikut turun sih ya, misleading jadinya

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA GOTO INCO MAPI MAPI MTEL PGAS DSNG RALS, big accum AKRA INCO MTEL PGAS

MACD Buy Signal: ARTO MAPI

Stochastic Continuation Signal & Big Accum: TINS