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Daily Analysis 20230508

By admin May 8, 2023

May 08th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow jumps 500 points to break four-day losing streak as regional banks and Apple shares surge

Stocks popped on Friday as regional bank shares climbed off their lows and market-darling Apple jumped after posting better-than-expected quarterly earnings.

Dow……33674 +546.6 +1.65%
Nasdaq12235 +269.02 +2.25%
S&P 500.4136 +75.03 +1.85%

FTSE…..7778 +75.7 +0.98%
Dax……15961 +226.8 +1.44%
CAC……7333 +92.2 +1.26%

Nikkei…..29158 +34.7 +0.12%
HSI………20049 +100.6 +0.50%
Shanghai.3335 -15.96 -0.48%

IDX…..6788.03 -56.40 -0.82%
LQ45….945.05 -7.23 -0.76%
IDX30…492.37 -3.97 -0.80%

IDXEnergy…1954.36 -56.40 -0.82%
IDX BscMat 1114.85 -24.79 -2.18%
IDX Indstrl…1145.31 -24.79 -2.29%
IDXNONCYC.734.03 -1.64 -0.22%
IDX Hlthcare1485.63 -17.47 -1.16%
IDXCYCLIC….816.42 -0.50 -0.06%
IDX Techno..4874.77 -51.03 -1.04%
IDX Transp..1809.64 +5.44 +0.30%
IDX Infrast…..817.74 -4.33 -0.53%
IDX Finance.1378.19 +3.09 +0.23%
IDX Banking.1150.19 +3.07 +0.27%
IDX Property…703 -0.50 -0.07%

Indo10Yr.6.6543 -0.0048 -0.07%👍
ICBI….358.3823 -0.0739 -0.02%
US2Yr.3.9181 +0.1299 +3.43%‼
US5Yr 3.4104 +0.0852 +2.54%
US10Yr3.4350 +0.0580 +1.72%
US30Yr.3.7500 -0.0200 -0.54%
VIX…… 17.19 -2.90 -14.44%👍

USDIndx101.2140 -0.2110 -0.21%
Como Indx.261.60 +4.80 +1.87%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…153.56 +2.04 +1.35%

IndoCDS.100.49 +1.97 +2.00%‼
(5-yr INOCD5) (05/05)

IDR…..14678.00👍 -7.00 -0.05%
Jisdor.14674.00👍 +42.00 +0.29%

Euro……1.1019 +0.0005 +0.05%

TLKM..28.60 +0.28 +0.99%
(4197)
EIDO….24.29 +0.13 +0.54%
EEM…..39.39 +0.52 +1.34%

Oil……71.34 +2.78 +4.05%‼
Gold.2024.80 -30.90 -1.50%
Timah..25600.00 -1117.00 -4.40%‼
(Closed 04/05)
Nickel..24712.50 +629.50 +2.61%
(Closed 05/05)
Silver……25.93 -0.30 -1.13%
Copper…388.30 +2.00 +0.52%
Iron Ore 62% 103.55 -0.32 -0.31%
(03/05)
Nturl Gas.2.113 +0.0270 +1.29%

Coal price.169.65 -1.00 -0.59%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.168.50 -1.50 -0.88%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.174.60 +1.30 +0.75%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.182.60 +3.80 +2.13%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price.127.15 +1.85 +1.48%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.05 +1.65 +1.37%
(Jun/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 121.20 +2.05 +1.72%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 121.55 +2.55 +2.14%
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)…3597 +167.00 +4.87%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..596.50 +7.50 +1.27%
SoybeanOil54.33 +1.85 +3.53%
Wheat…..660.25 +15.25 +2.36%

Wood pulp..4000.00 unch +0%
(Closed 06/05)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US rebound kenceng closing jum’at, US ijo, asia varied, IDX yang merah dalem, sekarang harusnya nyusul ijo tebel

Suku bunga fed naik lagi, USD index turun, biasanya bagus buat komoditas. Oil rebound kenceng, gas ijo, coal masih merah, CPO ijo tebel… Kita liat chart nya

CPO – Kalo MACD nya cross, kita assess AALI LSIP dkk

Gold Silver Tin Iron Ore merah, Nickel Copper ijo, jelek buat ANTM MDKA, bagus buat INCO. ANTM cut loss di rebound hari ini

IHSG – Stoch sell, MACD sell, BD Acc, FF dist, MFI flat, w% down, retracement pattern harusnya mantul dari fibo 23, ditambah factor US Europe closing ijo, harusnya testing neckline lagi ke atas. Tapi beware, kalo hari ini MACD ga berhasil ngebalik mending cuci gudang dulu…

Infrastructure, Transportation, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals, Technology

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBRI BRIS PNLF RMKE

MACD Buy Signal: ENRG MYOR

Alligator Buy Signal: UNVR ADHI ISAT SMRA TKIM

Daily Analysis 20230504

By admin May 4, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 250 points lower Wednesday after Fed hikes rates for a 10th time

Stocks fell Wednesday after the Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points, as was widely expected

Dow……33414 -270.3 -0.80%
Nasdaq12025 -55.2 -0.46%
S&P 500.4091 -28.8 -0.70%

FTSE…..7788 +15.3 +0.20%
Dax……15815 +88.1 +0.56%
CAC……7404 +20.6 +0.28%

Nikkei…..29158 closed +0%
HSI………19699 -234.7 -1.18%
Shanghai.3323 closed +0%

IDX…..6812.72 -50.58 -0.74%
LQ45….947.65 -7.96 -0.83%
IDX30…493.92 -4.20 -0.84%

IDXEnergy…2002.37 -29.43 -1.45%
IDX BscMat 1138.16 -12.55 -1.09%
IDX Indstrl…1168.57 -15.75 -1.33%
IDXNONCYC.731.08 +8.43 +1.17%
IDX Hlthcare1499.47 -9.84 -0.65%
IDXCYCLIC….815.60 +2.22 +0.27%
IDX Techno..4857.67 -25.66 -0.53%
IDX Transp..1791.91 -21.10 -1.16%
IDX Infrast…..811.63 -1.63 -0.20%
IDX Finance.1377.01 -7.15 -0.52%
IDX Banking.1148.93 -8.50 -0.73%
IDX Property…700 +3.20 +0.46%

Indo10Yr.6.6924 -0.0366 -0.54%👍
ICBI….357.9499 +0.8065 +0.23%👍
US2Yr.3.8645 -0.1278 -3.20%‼
US5Yr 3.3457 -0.1233 -3.55%‼
US10Yr3.3540-0.0690 -2.01%
US30Yr.3.6930 -0.0210 -0.66%
VIX…… 18.34 +0.56 +3.15%

USDIndx101.3430 -0.6150 -0.60%
Como Indx.256.56 -4.07 -1.56%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…152.86 -1.31 -0.85%

IndoCDS..94.58 -1.46 -1.52%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/05)

IDR…..14692.00 -21.50 -0.15%
Jisdor.14706.00 +3 +0.02%

Euro……1.1068 +0.0062 +0.56%

TLKM..28.22 -0.32 -1.12%
(4150)
EIDO….24.14 -0.11 -0.45%
EEM….38.56 -0.06 -0.16%

Oil……66.54 -5.05 -7.05%‼
Gold.2068.00‼ +43.10 +2.13%
Timah..26491.00 +403.00 +1.54%
(Closed 02/05)
Nickel..24646.00 -309.50 -1.24%
(Closed 03/05)
Silver……26.06 +0.44 +1.72%
Copper…383.50 -3.10 -0.80%
Iron Ore 62% +2.40. +2.32%
(02/05)
Nturl Gas.2.217 -0.0700 -3.15%

Coal price.180.60 -6.95 -3.70%‼
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.182.30 -7.70 -4.05%‼
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.186.80 -7.20 -3.71%‼
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.191.20 -7.05 -3.56%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price.131.50 -4.60 -3.38%‼
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.128.00 -4.50 -3.40%‼
(Jun/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 126.50 -5.00 -3.80%‼
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 126.75 -5.10 -3.87%‼
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)…3430 +18 +0.53%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..588.60 +8.50 +1.47%
SoybeanOil52.64 +0.85 +1.64%
Wheat…639.75 +30.50 +5.01%‼

Wood pulp..4000.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/05)

Source : Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia

US merah lagi, Europe ijo, asia banyak tutup, his idx merah dalem. Masih belum kondusif buat belanja belanja agresif

Oil Gas Coal drop, energy bye bye dulu ini, Metal2 varied, Gold Silver Tin Iron Ore Ijo, Nickel Copper merah, CPO ijo. ANTM bisa diperhatikan, MDKA belum masuk di technical

IHSG – stoch rev down, macd rev down, 833 sell, MFI down, w% down, BD flat, FNS 2 hari, prepare belanja pas udah sampe fibo 23 atau udah mantul lagi keatas fibo 38. Rejection resistance di neckline pattern emang suka kejam

Lho, infrastructure koq jalan terus cacingnya, padahal telco sama tower pada drop? Infrastructure, Transportation, Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare, Technology

Checking manual, infra versi BUMN konstruksi sesuai dugaan koreksi dulu, kalo udah bikin higher low kita baru berani buy, tower2 drop, TLKM drop, ISAT EXCL yang soaring, later check apa layak riding

Stochastic Buy Signal: EXCL, SIDO, AALI, ABMM, BSDE, MNCN

MACD Buy Signal: ARTO JPFA ABMM JSMR MAPI

Alligator Buy Signal: BRPT INKP TPIA BMTR HEAL PTPP

Supertrend Buy Signal: AMRT

Daily Analysis 20230503

By admin May 3, 2023

May 03rd, 2023

Good morning,

Dow tumbles more than 300 points as banking sector worries reignite before Fed rate decision

Stocks tumbled on Tuesday as traders’ fears around contagion in the regional banking sector returned ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate decision.

Dow……36885 -367.2 -1.08%
Nasdaq12081 -132.1 -1.08%
S&P 500.4120 -48.3 -1.16%

FTSE…..7773 -97.5 -1.24%
Dax……15727 -195.4 -1.23%
CAC……7838 -108.3 -1.45%

Nikkei…..29158 +34.8 +0.12%
HSI………19934 +39.2 +0.20%
Shanghai.3323 closed +0%

IDX…..6863.30 -52.41 -0.76%
LQ45….955.61 -6.14 -0.64%
IDX30…498.12 -2.88 -0.58%

IDXEnergy…2031.80 -63.06 -3.01%‼
IDX BscMat 1150.71 -20.46 -1.75%
IDX Indstrl…1184.32 -22.91 -1.90%
IDXNONCYC.722.64 -4.03 -0.55%
IDX Hlthcare1509.31-32.36 -2.10%
IDXCYCLIC….813.38 +2.56 +0.32%
IDX Techno..4983.33 -53.74 -1.09%
IDX Transp..1813.01 +3.13 +0.17%
IDX Infrast…..813.26 -8.79 -1.07%
IDX Finance.1384.16 -1.38 -0.10%
IDX Banking.1157.43 +6.39 +0.56%
IDX Property…697 -2.60 -0.37%

Indo10Yr.6.7290 +0.0139 +0.21%
ICBI….357.1434 +0.1426 +0.04%
US2Yr.3.9923 -0.1484 -3.58%‼
US5Yr 3.4690 -0.1638 -4.51%‼
US10Yr3.4330-0.1370 -3.84%‼
US30Yr.3.7140-0.0950-2.49%
VIX…… 17.78 +1.70 +10.57%‼

USDIndx101.9580 -0.1930 -0.19%
Como Indx.260.64 -5.68 -2.13%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…154.16 -0.33 -0.21%

IndoCDS..96.04 +5.93 +6.57%‼
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/05)

IDR…..14713.50 +39.50 +0.27%
Jisdor.14703.00 +42 +0.29%

Euro……1.1006 +0.0031 +0.28%

TLKM..28.54 +0.03 +0.11%
(4196)
EIDO….24.25 -0.43 -1.74%
EEM….38.62 -0.38 -0.97%

Oil……71.59 -4.04 -5.40%
Gold.2024.90 +33.70+1.69%
Timah..26088.00 closed +0%
(Closed 28/04)
Nickel..24955.50 +696.50+2.87%
(Closed 02/05)
Silver……25.62 +0.37 +1.47%
Copper…386.60 -6.80 -1.73%

Nturl Gas.2.217 -0.0960 -4.15%

Coal price.187.55 +2.40 +1.30%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.190.00 +2.40 +1.28%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.194.00 +2.40 +1.25%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.198.25 +2.40 +1.23%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price.136.10 -0.30 -0.22%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.132.50 -0.30 -0.23%
(Jun/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 131.50 -0.30 -0.23%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 131.85 -0.20 -0.15%
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)…3412 +59 +1.76%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..580.00 -4.50 -0.77%
SoybeanOil51.79 -0.02 -0.04%
Wheat….609.25 -9.90 -1.46%

Wood pulp..4000.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/05)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US Europe merah, asia kecuali IDX ijo

Oil Gas drop lagi, Coal ijo. Metal ijo semua kecuali copper. CPO ijo

IHSG – kejedot neckline double bottom, financials belum jalan, masih koreksi or sideways dulu kayanya. Stoch up rev MACD still up, 833 sell,MFI sw, w% sw, FNS, BD flat. DI fibo 38, harusnya sih rebound dari titik ini

Property di quadrant leading, melemah tapi kemaren bertahan ga merah. Infrastructure Transportation, Basic Materials, Healthcare, Technology improving

Stochastic Buy Signal: ARTO BFIN SMRA

MACD Buy Signal: BMRI BFIN SGER

Alligator Buy Signal: INDF