January 17th, 2024
Good morning,
Dow closes more than 200 points lower Tuesday after 10-year Treasury yield tops 4%
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell Tuesday as bond yields ticked higher and Wall Street pored through the latest batch of fourth-quarter earnings.
Dow……37361 -231.9 -0.62%
Nasdaq14944 -28.4 -0.19%
S&P 500.4766 -17.9 -0.37%
FTSE…..7558 -36.6 -0.48%
Dax……16572 -50.5 -0.30%
CAC……7398 -13.7 -0.18%
Nikkei..35619 -15.42 -0.78%
HSI…….15866 -350.4 -2.16%
Shanghai.2894 +7.7 +0.27%
IDX…..7242.79 +18.70 +0.26%
LQ45….975.39 +1.34 +0.14%
IDX30…502.80 -0.35 -0.07%
IDXEnergy..2194.91 .91 +1.06%
IDX BscMat.1249.83 +0.41 +0.03%
IDX Indstrl…1127.74 +11.77+1.06%
IDXNONCYC.707.91 +1.34 +0.19%
IDX Hlthcare1310.72 -25.74 -1.93%
IDXCYCLIC…864.61 +8.98 +1.05%
IDX Techno4310.93 -26.38 -0.61%
IDX Transp 1710.92 -0.81 -0.05%
IDX Infrast 1534.48 +2.42 +0.16%
IDX Finance.1512.23 -4.22 -0.28%
IDX Banking.1331.17 -1.46 -0.11%
IDX Property.. 714 +1.40 +0.19%
Indo10Yr.6.6805 +0.0229 +0.34%
ICBI…375.0189 +0.0247 -0.01%
US2Yr.4.222 +0.076 +1.83%
US5Yr 3.934 +0.102 +2.66%
US10Yr4.064 +0.078 +1.96%
US30Yr.4.297 +0.122 +2.92%
VIX….13.84 +0.59 +4.45%‼️
USDIndx 103.3570❗️ +0.953 +0.93%
Como Indx..264.30 -0.08 -0.03%
BCOMIN……136.24 +0.24 +1.29%
IndoCDS..74.21 -0.02 -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/01)
IDR…..15592.50 +37.50 +0.24%
Jisdor.15592.00 +37.00 +0.24%
Euro….1.0877 -0.0072 -0.66%
TLKM…25.80 -0.12 -0.43%
(4033)
EIDO……22.44 -0.21 -0.93%
EEM……38.25 -0.95 -2.42%
Oil……..72.40 -0.10 -0.14%
Gold..2030.20 -28.80 -1.40%
Timah..24781.00 +150.00 +0.61%
(Closed 15/01)
Nickel..16227.00 +59.5 +0.37%
(Closed 16/01)
Silver……23.09 -0.24 -1.01%
Copper.376.65 -1.75 -0.46%
Iron Ore 62% 137.22 – -%
(12/01)
Nturl Gas..2.829 -0.277 -8.92%‼️
Ammonia China.3183.33‼️ -66.67 -2.05%
(Domestic Price)(15/02)
Coal price.129.50 -0.35 -0.39%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 127.40 +1.15 +0.91%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.127.25: +1.00 +0.80%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 125.85 +0.85 +0.68%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.107.75 +0.25 +0.23%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.75 +2.25 +2.22%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price..100.85 +1.80 +1.82%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price…99.30 +1.80 +1.85%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
CPO(Apr)..3881 +61 +1.61%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……443.50 -3.50 -0.78%
SoybeanOil 48.25 -1.00 -2.07%
Wheat…582.00 -14.00 -2.35%
Wood pulp..5054.00+4.00 +0.10%
(Closed 16/01)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
Weh, US lanjut merah, europe juga, asia cenderung merah, yang ijo tipis. IHSG kemaren ijo, jadi kemungkinan merah lagi hari ini.
US Bond rate up rada tingi, bad for stocks, USD index juga naik, bad for commodities in general. Kebanyakan metal down kecuali Tin and Nickel, Oil down, Gas Drop, tapi Coal and CPO up. Good for ADRO PTBA ITMG INDY AALI LSIP
IHSG – stoch down macd down MFI sw, w% sw, BD sw, FNB, hidden bullish divergence, 833 buy, semoga rada ada dorongannya minimal ga dibanting, sideways correction aja
Still financials, energy, yang ketangkep kemaren beli KLBF ini mulai keliatan healthcare mau bangun. Property yang kayanya udahan
January 15th, 2024
Good morning,
Dow closes more than 100 points lower Friday, ekes out a weekly gain
The Dow Jones industrial Average
slipped Friday as traders parsed through the first batch of fourth-quarter earnings and digested the second in a pair of closely watched inflation reports this week.
Dow……37593 -118.04 -0.31%
Nasdaq14973 +2.6 +0.02%
S&P 500.4784 +3.6 +0.08%
FTSE…..7625 +48.3 +0.64%
Dax……16705 +157.5 +0.95%
CAC……7465 +77.5 +1.05%
Nikkei..35577 +527.3 +1.50%
HSI…….16245 -57.5 -0.35%
Shanghai.2882 -4.7 -0.16%
IDX…..7241.14 +21.17 +0.29%
LQ45….977.82 +7.88 +0.81%
IDX30…504.26 +5.06 +1.01%
IDXEnergy..2177.36 +16.81 +0.78%
IDX BscMat.1249.16 +9.25 +0.75%
IDX Indstrl…1115.97 +9.35 +0.84%
IDXNONCYC.704.84 -0.56 -0.08%
IDX Hlthcare1346.70 -2.44 -0.18%
IDXCYCLIC…858.20 -2.68 -0.31%
IDX Techno4336.56 -7.28 -0.17%
IDX Transp 1661.66 -17.61 -1.05%
IDX Infrast 1535.15 -14.66 -0.95%
IDX Finance.1524.48+1.99 +0.13%
IDX Banking.1334.79+12.45 +0.94%
IDX Property.. 717 – -%
Indo10Yr.6.6708 -0.0251 -0.37%
ICBI…374.6673 +0.5618 +0.15%
US2Yr.4.149 -0.103 -2.42%
US5Yr 3.832 -0.049 -1.26%
US10Yr3.939 -0.029 -0.73%
US30Yr.4.175-0.038 -0.85%
VIX….12.70 +0.26 +2.09%
USDIndx 102.4040 +0.092 +0.09%
Como Indx..264.38 +0.28 +0.11%
BCOMIN……136.00 -0.75 -0.55%
IndoCDS..74.23‼️ -0.03 -0.04%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/01)
IDR…..15550.00 +1.50 +0.01%
Jisdor.15559.00 +1.00 +0.01%
Euro….1.0951 -0.0023 -0.21%
TLKM…25.93 +0.26 +1.01%
(4034)
EIDO….22.64 +0.25 +1.12%
EEM….39.20 +0.14 +0.36%
Oil……..72.68 +0.67 +0.92%
Gold..2051.60 +32.40 +1.60%
Timah..24631.00 +77.00 +0.31%
(Closed 12/01)
Nickel..16310.00 -142 -0.86%
(Closed 12/01)
Silver……23.33 +0.62 +2.75%
Copper.374.05 -3.60 -0.95%
Iron Ore 62% 137.22 -1.63 -1.17%
(12/01)
Nturl Gas..3.331 +0.301 +9.93%‼️
Ammonia China.3250.00‼️ -56.67 -1.71%
(Domestic Price)(12/02)
Coal price.130.85 +0.10 +0.08%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 127.25 +1.00 +0.79%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.125.75 +0.50 +0.40%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 125.20 +0.50 +0.40%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.108.80 +2.30 +2.16%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 105.25 +2.95 +2.88%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.102.95 +2.75 +2.74%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price.101.00 +2.95 +3.01%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)
CPO(Mar)..3854 +58 +1.53%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……447.00 -10.75 -2.35%
SoybeanOil 48.25 -0.47 -0.96%
Wheat…596.00 -7.75 -1.28%
Wood pulp..5050.00 unch +0%
(Closed 14/01)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US DJI merah nasdaq S&P500 ijo tipis, europe ijo, asia varied. US bond rates turun, USD index naik dikit, masih bisa kemana mana hari ini, kalo ikut closing US merah, tapi bond turun biasanya saham naik
Gold akhirnya ijo rada tebel, tin silver ijo, nickel copper iron ore merah, oil up gas jump, coal naik dikit, CPO lanjut ijo lagi. Kayanya udah harusnya AALI LSIP lari ini. ANTM MDKA chartnya masih belum ok, semoga mulai turnaround dengan harga emas yang naik
IHSG – Stoch down macd down,833 buy, MFI sw,w% sw, bd dist, FNB, minor sih up kayanya, tapi belum beres ABC correction, mungkin sekarang di wave B, belum firm… Keliatannya akan test support 7046, area belanja pas mantul dari situ
Arahnya menarik Financials, Consumer Cyclicals, Energy, Technology.
ADRO terlihat mau nyusul,kita check later, coal yang lain terlihat jenuh
Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO KLBF MEDC AVIA BTPS HEAL JPFA PNLF, yang big accum ADRO AVIA BTPS, spike AVIA
MACD Buy Signal: ASII BBRI GOTO DSNG OMED UNIC, ASII spike, BBRI big accum
Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: BBCA BMRI INCO MEDC UNTR AVIA ELSA, spike INCO
Supertrend Buy Signal: ESSA BTPS
January 11th, 2024
Good morning,
Dow closes more than 150 points higher Wednesday ahead of key inflation readings
Stocks closed higher Wednesday, with investors awaiting the release of fresh U.S. inflation data and earnings.
Dow……37696 +170.5 +0.45%
Nasdaq14970 +111.9 +0.75%
S&P 500.4783 +26.95 +0.57%
FTSE…..7652 -32.2 -0.42%
Dax……16690 +1.6 +0.01%
CAC……7427 -0.5 -0.01%
Nikkei..34442 +678.5 +2.01%
HSI…….16097 -92.7 -0.57%
Shanghai.2878-15.6 -0.54%
IDX…..7227.30 +27.09 +0.38%
LQ45….969.14 -0.94 -0.10%
IDX30…497.95 +0.10 +0.02%
IDXEnergy..2168.31 +11.41 +0.53%
IDX BscMat.1247.13+5.81 +0.47%
IDX Indstrl…1105.72 +2.79 +0.25%
IDXNONCYC.710.72 +2.14 +0.30%
IDX Hlthcare1346.85+20.14 +1.52%
IDXCYCLIC…853.46 +8.11. +0.96%
IDX Techno4332.24 -6.66 -0.15%
IDX Transp 1657.97 +5.66 +0.34%
IDX Infrast 1533.96 +21.00 +1.37%
IDX Finance.1508.71+6.12 +0.41%
IDX Banking.1314.05 -0.95 -0.07%
IDX Property.. 717 -0.40 -0.05%
Indo10Yr.6.7181 +0.0125 +0.19%
ICBI…373.4877 +0.0457 +0.01%
US2Yr.4.360 -0.006 -0.14%
US5Yr 3.975 -0.003 -0.08%
US10Yr4.015 -0.008 -0.20%
US30Yr.4.211+0.026+0.62%
VIX….12.69 -0.10 -0.78%
USDIndx 102.3620 -0.146 -0.14%
Como Indx..262.31 -2.37 -0.90%
BCOMIN……136.68 +0.20 +0.15%
IndoCDS..77.19 -0.51 -0.66%
(5-yr INOCD5) (09/01)
IDR…..15569.50 +49.50 +0.32%
Jisdor.15568.00 +50.00 +0.32%
Euro….1.0973 +0.0041 +0.38%
TLKM…25.67 +0.49 +1.95%
(3996)
EIDO….22.32 +0.04 +0.18%
EEM….38.90 -0.09 -0.23%
Oil……..71.35 -0.89 -1.23%
Gold..2029.40 -3.60 -0.18%
Timah..24240.00 -260.00 -1.06%
(Closed 09/01)
Nickel..16402.00 +176 +1.08%
(Closed 10/01)
Silver……23.07 -0.03 -0.11%
Copper.375.60 +2.75 +0.73%
Iron Ore 62% 140.52 -0.35 -0.25%
(09/01)
Nturl Gas..3.030❗️ -0.160 -5.02%
Ammonia China.3400.00‼️ – -%
(Domestic Price)(09/02)
Coal price.133.50 -2.15 -1.58%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 131.50 -2.70 -2.01%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.132.25 -2.20 -1.66%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 128.55 -1.70 -1.31%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.109.00 -2.25 -2.02%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 105.70 -2.45 -2.27%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.102.90 -2.45 -2.33%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 100.55 -2.75 -2.66%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
CPO(Mar)..3759 +25 +0.67%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……459.50 +0.25 +0.05%
SoybeanOil 48.25 -0.20 -0.41%
Wheat…610.75 +0.75 +0.12%
Wood pulp..5068.00 +8 +0.16%
(Closed 10/01)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US ijo, europe cenderung perah tipis, asia varied, US bond rate merah tipis, USD index merah, harusnya bagus ya buat saham
Metal2 masih banyakan merah, kecuali nickel sama copper, oil gas coal merah, CPO lanjut ijo. beware coal coal an bisa jadi udahan. AALI LSIP harusnya jalan
IHSG – stoch down, macd sell, MFI down, BD sw, FF masih net buy kecil, abis wave 5 harusnya bikin ABC correction dulu, sabar, pegang cash,nanti belanja lagi pas udah mau run lagi
Dari cacing RSI masih banyak yang terlihat bagus, yang paling deket 45 Financials, Technology, Energy, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclical. Yang sering dipake ganjel bursa Consumer Non-Cyclicals sih, kayanya paling safe disitu
Stochastic Buy Signal: OMED
MACD Buy Signal: EMTK ISAT, big accum
Stochastic Continuation Signal and big acc: ICBP ISAT
Supertrend Buy Signal: DOID
Alligator Buy Signal cuma 1 yang accum, DOID, ASSA FNB gede
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
Update Global Economic Calendar
3 Jan 2023
GERMANY MARKET :
Unemployment Change (Dec)
Actual : 5K
Forecast : 20K
Previous : 22K
Unemployment Rate (Dec)
Actual : 5.9%
Forecast : 5.9%
Previous : 5.9%
Unemployment Persons (Dec)
Actual : 2.703M
Forecast : –
Previous : 2.702M
U.S MARKET :
MBA Mortgage Applications (Dec/29)
Actual : -10.7%
Forecast : –
Previous : -1.5%
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Dec/29)
Actual : 6.76%
Forecast : –
Previous : 6.83%
ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec)
Actual : 47.4
Forecast : 47.1
Previous : 46.7
ISM Manufacturing Employment (Dec)
Actual : 48.1
Forecast : 46.1
Previous : 45.8
ISM Manufacturing New Orders (Dec)
Actual : 47.1
Forecast : –
Previous : 48.3
By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research
– Disclaimer On –
US merah dalem, keliatanya karena release berita ISM manufacturing unemployment dan new order turun. europe merah, asia juga, IHSG kemaren memang sudah diduga jadwal turun, sekarang diharap naik tapi kalo global merah semua rada berat. Semoga hanya sideways atau koreksi kecil
US bond rates ga banyak rubah, USD index naik, metal turun semua, oil gas coal naik, CPO masih turun. Kayanya belum jalan ini ANTM INCO TINS MDKA, tapi harusnya major udah uptrend. AALI LSIP juga
IHSG – stoch up flattening OB, MACD up flattening, MFI sw, w% masih uptrend, BD mulai dist, FNS, udah di wave 5, agak mengkhawatirkan…
Cacing RSI malah all good, Consumer Non-Cyclicals sama Consumer Cyclicals yang arahnya paling bagus
Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA ARTO GOTO TOWR ADHI HEAL ISAT JSMR PTPP. yang big accum cuma TOWR
MACD Buy Signal: BRIS BBKP BRMS Big accum BRIS BBKP
Stochastic Continuation Signal: INCO big acc MPMX spike
