Daily Analysis 20240815
August 15th, 2024
S&P 500 closes higher for fifth straight day as easing inflation bolsters rate cut hopes
The Dow Jones Industrial Average
ticked up Wednesday after the release of more encouraging U.S. inflation data.
Dow…….40008 +242.8 +0.61%
Nasdaq. .17193 +4.99 +0.03%
S&P 500 5465 +20.8. +0.38%
FTSE..8281.1 +45.8 +0.56%
Dax……17886 +73.6 +0.41%
CAC……7333 +57.5 +0.79%
Nikkei…36442 +209.9 +0.58%
HSI……..17113 -60.7 -0.35%
Shanghai.2851 -17.3 -0.60%
IDX….7436.04 +79.40 +1.08%
LQ45…922.64 +10.13 +1.11%
IDX30.466.87 +4.97 +1.08%
IDXEnergy. 2653.88 +7.59 +0.30%
IDX BscMat1354.74 +16.99 +1.27%
IDX Indstrl..1033.53 +2.09 +0.20%
IDXNONCYC.709.20 +3.46 +0.49%
IDX Hlthcare1458.46 +10.20 +0.70%
IDXCYCLIC…819.26 +27.12 +3.42%
IDXTechno 3341.16 +24.70 +0.74%
IDX Transp 1392.31 +6.80 +0.49%
IDX Infrast 1598.63 +23.76 +1.51%
IDX Finance1435.38 +11.48 +0.81%
IDX Banking1286.56 +11.96 +0.94%
IDX Property…..666 -1.70 -0.25%
Indo10Yr.6.8056 -0.0271 -0.40%
ICBI…388.1434 +0.5913 +0.15%
US2Yr.3.960 +0.024 +0.61%
US5Yr 3.682 +0.005 +0.14%
US10Yr3.845 -0.005 -0.13%
US30Yr.4.129 -0.031 -0.75%
VIX..16.19 -1.93 -10.65%👍
USDIndx 102.5680👍 +0.009 +0.01%
Como Indx….275.48 -0.85 -0.31%
BCOMIN…..138.90 +0.11 +0.08%
IndoCDS..78.68 -1.49 -1.86%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/08)
IDR…..15675.00👍 -157.50 -0.99%
Jisdor.15891.00👍 -194.00 -1.22%
Euro…1.1013‼️ +0.0019 +0.17%
TLKM…18.28 +0.08 +0.44%
( 2905)
EIDO…..21.30 +0.31 +1.48%
EEM……..42.44 -0.22 -0.50%
Oil………..77.33 -1.36 -1.73%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….79.76 -0.93 -1.15%
(Brent)
Gold…..2485.00 -19.20 -0.77%
(Comex)
Gold……2447.87 -17.02 -0.69%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31430.00 +232.00 +0.74%
(Closed 14/08)
Nickel..16235.00 -162.50 -0.99%
(Closed 14/08)
Silver….27.63 -0.40 -1.43%
Copper.406.90 -0.20 -0.05%
Iron Ore 62% 100.44 -0.59 -0.58%
(12/08)
Nturl Gas 2.226 +0.063 +2.91%
Ammonia China 2466.67 +36.67 +1.51%
(Domestic Price)(13/08)
Coal price.145.75 -1.15 -0.78%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.148.40 -1.60 -1.07%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 149.90 -1.15 -0.76%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.151.40 -0.90 -0.59%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.121.65 -0.10 -0.08%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.05 -0.45 -0.37%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 123.65 -0.95 -0.76%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.125.65 +0.10 +0.08%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
CPO(Oct)..3725 +36 +0.98%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……..400.75 +3.50 +0.88%
SoybeanOil 38.88 -0.21 -0.54%
Wheat…..556.25 +4.50 +0.82%
Wood pulp..5060 -20 -0.39%
(Closed 14/08)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US Europe ijo, asia varied, US bond yield pendek up, yang panjang down, IHSG new record high, beware pullback. Banyak yang sell memanfaatkan hype ATH
USD Index up tipis, metal2 kebanyakan merah kecuali Tin, oil down gas up, coal down CPO up. agak ga asik buat INCO ANTM, semoga ga koreksi jauh, giliran AALI LSIP
IHSG – stoch up, MACD buy, FNB, vol transaksi turun, ketemu reg bear div, semoga lanjut sih, tapi beware kaya kejadian januari, all time high terus longsor
Energy
Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO BRPT GOTO PGEO SIDO UNTR BNGA ENRG GJTL MPMX, big accum PGEO SIDO GJTL
MACD Buy Signal banyak banget: AMRT ANTM BBRI BRPT GOTO ISATJSMR MDKA PGAS PTBA SIDO SMGR ABMM BTPS MYOR, big accum BBRI ISAT MDKA PTBA SIDO
Daily Analysis 20240802
August 02nd, 2024
Good morning,
Dow closes nearly 500 points lower Thursday as investors’ recession fears awaken
Stocks sold off Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
tumbling nearly 500 points, as investors’ fears over a recession surfaced.
Dow……40348 -494.8 -1.21%
Nasdaq17194 -405.3 -2.30%
S&P 500.5447 -75.6 -1.37%
FTSE…..8283 -84.6 -1.01%
Dax……18083 -425.6 -2.30%
CAC……7570 -161.04 -2.14%
Nikkei..38126 -975.9 -2.49%
HSI……..17305 -39.6 -0.34%
Shanghai.2932 -6.4 -0.22%
IDX….7325.98 +70.22 +0.97%
LQ45…925.51 +11.76 +1.29%
IDX30.461.45 +6.69 +1.47%
IDXEnergy..2459.65 +8.23 +0.34%
IDX BscMat1371.22 +7.60 +0.56%
IDX Indstrl.1036.57 -4.17 -0.40%
IDXNONCYC.705.02+0.29 +0.04%
IDX Hlthcare1448.34 -1.06 -0.07%
IDXCYCLIC…759.81 +0.53 +0.07%
IDXTechno.3284.23 -3.28 -0.10%
IDX Transp 1391.58 +10.89 +0.20%
IDX Infrast 1568.46 -6.94 -0.44%
IDX Finance1417.15 +15.2 +1.09%
IDX Banking1263.32 +25.59 +2.07%
IDX Property…..649 +8.20 +1.29%
Indo10Yr.6.9175❗️ -0.0245 -0.35%
ICBI…384.4484❗️ +0.8774 +0.23%
US2Yr.4.156 -0.104 -2.44%👍
US5Yr 3.844👍 -0.073 -1.86%
US10Yr3.970👍 -0.0789 -1.93%
US30Yr.4.280 -0.026 -0.60%
VIX..18.59 +2.23 +13.63%‼️
USDIndx 104.4210 +0.325 +0.31%
Como Indx….273.59 -4.53 -1.63%
BCOMIN…..139.10 -1.33 -0.94%
IndoCDS..75.20 +000 +0.00%
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/07)
IDR…..16237.00❗️ -23.00 -0.14%
Jisdor.16294.00❗️ -51.00 -0.31%
Euro…1.0789 -0.0037 -0.34%
TLKM…17.59 -0.26 -1.46%*
( 2866)
EIDO….20.19 +0.05 +0.27%
EEM……42.20 -0.73 -1.70%
Oil………..76.79 -1.77 -2.25%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….79.52 -1.20 -1.49%
(Brent)
Gold…..2489.20 -3.10 -0.12%
(Comex)
Gold……2448.00 -2.74 -0.11%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29894.00 -162.00 -0.54%
(Closed 01/08)
Nickel..16235.00 -276.00 -0.92%
(Closed 01/08)
Silver….28.61 -0.61 -2.09%
Copper.406.70 -12.65 -3.02%‼️
Iron Ore 62% 105.94 -0.31 -0.29%
(31/07)
Nturl Gas 1.978‼️ -0.064 -3.13%
Ammonia China 2346.67 -196.66 -7.73%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/08)
Coal price.142.55 +2.45 +1.75%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.80 +2.40 +1.70%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 145.25 +3.25 +2.29%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.65 +3.50 +2.44%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.119.95 +3.10 +2.65%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.80 +4.00 +3.42%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 120.45 +3.90 +3.35%‼️
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.55 +4.00 +3.43%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)
CPO(Oct)..3871 -38 -0.97%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……..398.50 -1.25 -0.31%
SoybeanOil 41.45 -0.87 -2.06%
Wheat…..532.00 +4.75 +0.90%
Wood pulp..5150 unch +0%
(Closed 01/08)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US merah dalem, europe juga, asia juga kecuali IHSG, sekarang kemungkinan besar nyusul merah
US Bond yield sebenernya merah, kalo pasar saham US ijo kita hampir pasti ijo juga, tapi ini nggak, US merah, kita masih jadwal wave 2, so kayanya hancur lagi. USD index up, consequently metal2 merah semua, oil gas CPO merah, coal ijo tebel sendiri. PTBA menarik ini
IHSG – kemarin FNB, tapi turnover vol transaksi kecil, ga terlalu valid jadinya. Technically masih jelek, very selective buying, malah amannya diem dulu keep cash
Bubar semua, Basic Materials yang terlihat mau mulai gerak. Healthcare masih bagus arahnya, tapi bukan spesialis contrarian, skip
Stochastic Buy Signal banyak banget, ANTM ICBP INCO KLBF PGEO TOWR UNTR UNVR BRMS CTRA MPMX NISP PWON SMRA TBIG TINS TRON PSSI ISSI, yang accum tapi cuma ANTM INCO PWON SMRA
MACD Buy Signal: ANTM BMRI BRPT TOWR MICE, big accum ANTM BMRI BRPT
Daily Analysis 20240709
July 09th, 2024
Good morning,
S&P 500, Nasdaq close at all-time highs ahead of inflation data and second-quarter earnings reports
The S&P 500
and Nasdaq closed at record highs on Monday as investors await key inflation data to provide further clues about whether this year’s market rally is sustainable. Earnings from some major financial giants and consumer companies are also on the docket.
Dow……39345 -31.1 -0.08%
Nasdaq18404 +50.98 +0.28%
S&P 500.5573 +5.7 +0.10%
FTSE…..8193 -10.4 -0.13%
Dax……18472 -3.4 -0.02%
CAC……7627 -48.2 -0.63%
Nikkei..40781 -131.8 -0.32%
HSI…..17524 -275.6 -1.55%
Shanghai.2922 -27.5 -0.93%
IDX….7250.98 -2.39 -0.03%
LQ45..904.33 -2.31 -0.25%
IDX30.452.34 +0.09 +0.02%
IDXEnergy..2440.14 -10.81 -0.44%
IDX BscMat1390.64 -3.10 -0.43%
IDX Indstrl. 997.72 +11.58 +1.17%
IDXNONCYC.708.69 +9.02 +1.29%
IDX Hlthcare1447.18+18.20 +1.27%
IDXCYCLIC…738.37 +0.82 +1.21%
IDXTechno3299.93 +39.60 +1.21%
IDX Transp 1303.39 +2.49 +0.19%
IDX Infrast 1572.48 +23.95 +1.55%
IDX Finance1372.13 -2.71 -0.20%
IDX Banking1205.14 -6.85 -0.57%
IDX Property…..613 +13.50 +2.26%
Indo10Yr.7.0484👍 -0.0174 -0.25%
ICBI…381.3072👍 +0.4719 +0.12%
US2Yr.4.635 +0.029 +0.63%
US5Yr 4.241 +0.014 +0.33%
US10Yr4.275 -0.003 -0.07%
US30Yr.4.463 -0.013 -0.29%
VIX..12.37 -0.11 -0.88%
USDIndx 105.00 +0.125 +0.12%
Como Indx….290.91 -2.52 -0.86%
BCOMIN…… 154.38 -0.81 -0.52%
IndoCDS..74.22👍 -0.49 -0.66%
(5-yr INOCD5) (05/07)
IDR…..16257.00❗️ -20.00 -0.12%
Jisdor.16265.00❗️ -47.00 -0.29%
Euro…1.0825 -0.0015 -0.14%
TLKM…18.69 +0.06 +0.30%
( 3040)
EIDO….19.87 +0.02 +0.10%
EEM…..43.64 +0.01 +0.41%
Oil…….82.22 -0.94 -1.13%
Gold…..2366.60 -31.10 -1.30%
Timah..34218.00 +344.00 +1.02%
(Closed 08/07)
Nickel..17441.00 +58.00 +0.33%
(Closed 08/07)
Silver….31.08 -0.61 -1.92%
Copper.461.60 -3.70 -0.80%
Iron Ore 62% 111.31 -1.75 -1.55%
(05/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.378 +0.048 +2.06%
Ammonia China 2846.67 -16.60 -0.58%
(Domestic Price)(05/07)
Coal price.135.70 -0.70 -0.52%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.00 -1.45 -1.05%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.35 -1.25 -0.90%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 138.10 -0.45 -0.32%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.104.50 -0.50 -0.48%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..106.05 -1.00 -0.93%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.70 -1.10 -1.01%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.75 -0.60 -0.55%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
CPO(Sep)..4040 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…..407.75 -16.25 -3.83%‼️
SoybeanOil 48.26 -0.44 -0.90%
Wheat…570.50 -20.00 -3.39%‼️
Wood pulp..5420 unch +0%
(Closed 08/07)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
DJI merah nasdaq ijo, europe merah, asia merah, US bond yield yang 2 dan 5 tahun naik yang panjang2 turun, masih jadwal koreksi dulu kalo gini
USD index up, metal2 down kecuali tin nickel, oil down gas up coal down, yups, jadwal koreksi dulu
IHSG – ini ada dua gap mengkhawatirkan, hari ini IHSG nya ijo tebel lagi, happy sih, tapi khawatir kapan koreksinya dan model gimana koreksinya bakal kejadian
Basic Materials, Industrials, Technology
Stochastic Buy Signal: BSDE
MACD Buy Signal: ACES ICBP INCO DNSG ERAA MIKA PWON TRON. Big accum ACES MIKA
Stochastic Continuation Signal dan Big Accum Banyak jg, ANTM, BBCA, ESSA, MDKA, MTEL, PGAS, PGEO, BTPS, CTRA, ISAT, SCMA, SMSM. diatas 50% PGAS
Daily Analysis 20240604
June 14th, 2024
Good morning,
S&P 500 posts its fourth straight record close, buoyed by cooler inflation data
The S&P 500
rose on Thursday to post a fourth consecutive record close as traders weighed more data showing inflation pressures may be easing.
Dow……38647 -65.2 -0.17%
Nasdaq17667 +59.1 +0.34%
S&P 500.5434 +12.7 +0.23%
FTSE…..8164 -51.8 -0.63%
Dax……18266 -365.2 -1.96%
CAC……7708 -156.7 -1.99%
Nikkei..3872 -156.2 -0.40%
HSI…..18113 +174.8 +0.97%
Shanghai.3029 -8.6 -0.28%
IDX….6831.56 -18.53 -0.27%
LQ45..858.63 -4.24 -0.49%
IDX30.425.22 -1.86 -0.43%
IDXEnergy..2250.73 +26.32 +1.18%
IDX BscMat1323.15 -9.76 -0.73%
IDX Indstrl. 907.48 +1.02 +0.11%
IDXNONCYC.692.01 -0.23 -0.03%
IDX Hlthcare1425.59 +3.05 +0.21%
IDXCYCLIC…713.64 +2.09 +0.29%
IDXTechno3173.24 +44.58 +1.42%
IDX Transp 1233.75 -3.21 -0.26%
IDX Infrast 1467.32 +0.50 +0.03%
IDX Finance1324.30 +3.36 +0.25%
IDX Banking1121.88 -1.04 -0.09%
IDX Property…..605 -1.40 -0.23%
Indo10Yr.6.9952❗️ -0.0017 -0.02%
ICBI…380.2151 +0.2049 +0.05%
US2Yr.4.703 -0.053 -1.11%
US5Yr 4.246 -0.171 -3.87%
US10Yr4.240 -0.074 -1.72%
US30Yr.4.401 -0.078 -1.74%
VIX..11.94 -0.10 -0.83%
USDIndx 105.1960 ❗️+0.551 +0.53%
Como Indx….295.63 +0.49 +0.17%
BCOMIN….152.70 -2.19 -1.41%
IndoCDS..73.22 +0.48 +0.66%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/06)
IDR…16270.00 -24.50 -0.15%
Jisdor.16286.00 -11.00 -0.07%
Euro….1.0740 -0.0073 -0.68%
TLKM…17.61 -0.54 -2.95%
( 2868)
EIDO….18.71 -0.22 -1.16%
EEM…..42.18 -0.09 -0.21%
Oil…….77.74 -0.57 -0.73%
Gold..2318.80 -20.00 -0.86%
Timah..32794.00 -571.00 -1.71%
(Closed 13/06)
Nickel..17766.00 -265.00 -1.47%
(Closed 13/06)
Silver….29.02 -0.73 -2.45%
Copper.447.60 -4.20 -0.93%
Iron Ore 62% 106.42 +0.15 +0.14%
(12/06)
Nturl Gas..2.923 -0.11 -3.63%
Ammonia China.3066.67 +10.00 +0.33%
(Domestic Price)(12/06)
Coal price.134.70 +1.75 +1.32%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.40 +0.95 +0.70%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.20 +1.20 +0.87%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 140.85 +1.85 +1.33%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.110.70 +1.20 +1.10%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.60 +1.45 +1.29%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 117.25 +1.90 +1.65%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 118.95 +1.15 +0.98%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
CPO(Agt)..3941 -20.00 -0.50%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…..458.50 +4.25 +0.94%
SoybeanOil 43.86 +0.07 +0.16%
Wheat….620.00 +3.00 +0.49%
Wood pulp..5780 -20 -0.34%
(Closed 13/06)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
DJI merah, Nasdaq sama SP500 lanjut ijo, Europe merah, asia merah, IHSG sempet ijo pagi closing merah juga. US bond yield turun gede lagi, masa ga ijo sih IHSG hari ini…
USD index up, metal2 down, oil gas down, coal up, CPO down lagi. Masih belum bisa ada sentimen bagus buat lari
IHSG – Masih jelek semua, MFI naik dikit karena vol transaksi naik sedikit jg, masih belum bisa belanja belanja sembarangan, yang udah jalan juga pada ngebalik kaya ANTM SMGR TLKM ASII
Arahnya melemah semua, yang masih leading healthcare walau arahnya kurang ok, bareng financials dan consumer non-cyclicals
Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA EMTK PGEO MTMH, big accum EMTK
MACD Buy Signal: BRIS,big accum juga





















