Posts Tagged ‘Oil’

Daily Analysis 20240429

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

April 29th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 posts best week since November, Nasdaq surges 2% Friday as Alphabet soars

Stocks jumped Friday, and the S&P 500
and Nasdaq Composite notched their best week since November as Big Tech names rallied on strong earnings and traders pored through fresh U.S. inflation data

Dow……38240 +153.9 +0.40%
Nasdaq15928 +316.1 +2.03%
S&P 500.5100 +51.5 +1.0%

FTSE…..8140 +60.97 +0.75%
Dax……18161 +243.7 +1.36%
CAC……8088 +71.6 +0.89%

Nikkei..37935 +307.3 +0.81%
HSI…..17651 +366.7 +2.12%
Shanghai.3088 +35.7 +1.17%

IDX…..7036.08 -119.22 -1.67%
LQ45..898.78 -24.72 -2.68%
IDX30..455.88 -12.58 -2.69%

IDXEnergy..2137.65 -29.50 -1.36%
IDX BscMat1299.02 -26.63 -2.01%
IDX Indstrl..1043.51 -11.73 -1.11%
IDXNONCYC.684.83 -12.14 -1.74%
$IDX Hlthcare1319.14-30.34 -2.25%*
IDXCYCLIC…756.20 -21.79 -2.80%
IDXTechno3281.74 -40.93 -1.23%
IDX Transp 1312.48 -8.89 -0.67%
IDX Infrast 1596.06 -7.13 -0.44%
IDX Finance.1406.19 -23.45 -1.57%
IDX Banking.1233.19 -41.04 -3.39%‼️
IDX Property.. 615 -.4.10 -0.66%

Indo10Yr.7.0845‼️ +0.0207 +0.29%
ICBI…373.8771‼️ -0.4467 -0.12%
US2Yr.4.993‼️ -0.007 -0.14%
US5Yr 4.687 -0.032 -0.68%
US10Yr4.663 -0.045 -0.96%
US30Yr.4.777 -0.036 -0.75%
VIX…….15.03 -0.34 -2.21%

USDIndx 105.9380❗️+0.361 +0.34%
Como Indx..296.84 -0.82 -0.29%
BCOMIN..157.30 +0.41 +0.26%

IndoCDS..79.19 -0.49 -0.61%
(5-yr INOCD5) (26/04)

IDR…..16210.00‼️+22.50 +0.14%
Jisdor.16208.00‼️+47.00 +0.29%

Euro….1.0693 -0.0036 -0.34%

TLKM…18.85 +0.14 +0.72%
( 3057)
EIDO……20.31 -0.55 -2.64%
EEM……41.17 +0.46 +1.12%

Oil…….83.85 +0.28 +0.34%
Gold..2347.20 +4.70 +0.20%
Timah..32411.00 -462.00 -1.40%
(Closed 26/04)
Nickel..19256.50 +65.00 +0.34%
(Closed 25/04)
Silver…….27.54 -0.10 -0.35%
Copper…457.43 +3.55 +0.78%

Iron Ore 62% 110.16 +0.48 +0.44%
(26/04)
Nturl Gas..2.285 +0.303 +15.29%‼️
Ammonia China.3000.00 +83.33 +2.85%
(Domestic Price)(26/04)

Coal price 135.50 -1.25 -0.92%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.50 -1.50 -1.08%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.65 -2.35 -1.65%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.15 -2.90 -2.00%

Coal price..106.25 -5.60 -5.01%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.107.10 -5.45 -4.84%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.107.55 -5.05 -4.48%‼️
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.80 -4.85 -4.31%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)..3896 +22.00 +0.57%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….450.00 -2.00 -0.44%
SoybeanOil 45.54 +0.11 +0.24%
Wheat…..622.25 +1.75 +0.28%

Wood pulp..5800 +40 +0.69%
(Closed 28/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua ijo kecuali IDX, ga beres ini…

US Bond Yield down, harusnya sih ijo hari ini, apalagi kemaren merah dalem sendirian. USD index up, tapi kebanyakan metal juga up, kecuali Tin dan SIlver. Oil up, gas jump, coal down, CPO up, Coal price udah relatif tinggi walau last day nya down. Bisa berharap mantul ANTM ELSA mungkin AALI LSIP juga

IHSG – harusnya udah beres koreksinya, walau masih mungkin ngejar fibo 61. Tapi dari fibo ext wave B udah done targetnya. Indicators masih jelek, BD FF masih dist, tapi semoga mulai reversal hari ini

Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: KLBF MTEL TPIA CEKA. Big accum MTEL, cocok sama sektor. TPIA buy signal kita tunggu BRPT jalan, entry lagi

MACD Buy Signal: ICBP UNVR SMRA, ICBP big accum

Daily Analysis 20240403

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

April 03rd, 2024

Good morning,

Wall Street is coming off a losing session for the major benchmarks after sticky inflation data from last week, as well as some strong economic data, had investors concerned the Federal Reserve will take longer to cut interest rates. Treasury yields spiked, with the rate on the 10-year note touching its highest level since November. Oil prices also rose to five-month highs

Dow……39170 -396.6 -1.60%
Nasdaq16240 -156.4 -0.95%
S&P 500.5206 -37.96 -0.72%

FTSE…..7935 -17.5 -0.22%
Dax……18283 -209.4 -1.13%
CAC……8130 -75.8 -0.92%

Nikkei..39839 +35.8 +0.09%
HSI……16932 +390.1 +2.36%
Shanghai.3075 -2.4 -0.08%

IDX…..7236.98 +31.92 +0.44%
LQ45….968.37 -0.71 -0.71%
IDX30…491.79 -0.59 -0.12%

IDXEnergy..2137.49 +33.43 +1.59%
IDX BscMat1313.87 +20.74 +1.60%
IDX Indstrl…1093.62 +10.39 +0.96%
IDXNONCYC.722.05 +4.61 +0.64%
IDX Hlthcare1338.51 +16.16 +1.22%
IDXCYCLIC…818.65 +5.88 +0.72%
IDXTechno3561.36 +17.24 +0.49%
IDX Transp 1466.70 +20.93 +1.46%
IDX Infrast 1565.30 -2.65 -0.18%
IDX Finance.1485.34 -2.65 -0.18%
IDX Banking.1335.45 -13.01 -0.96%
IDX Property.. 660 +2.50 +0.39%

Indo10Yr.6.7156 +0.0041 +0.06%
ICBI…379.3888 -0.0289 -0.01%
US2Yr.4.693 -0.019 -0.40%
US5Yr 4.343 +0.016 +0.37%
US10Yr4.357 +0.045 +1.04%
US30Yr.4.497+0.045 +1.01%
VIX………14.61 +0.96 +7.03%‼️

USDIndx 104.8160 -0.203 -0.19%
Como Indx..294.23 +1.90 +0.65%
BCOMIN…..141.77 +1.50 +1.07%

IndoCDS..73.25 unch +0%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/04)

IDR…..15897.00‼️+2.50 +0.02%
Jisdor.15934.00‼️+25.00 +0.16%

Euro….1.0767 +0.0028 +0.26%

TLKM…21.68 -0.21 -0.96%
(3454)
EIDO……22.00 +0.05 +0.23%
EEM……41.28 +0.11 +0.27%

Oil…….85.50 +1.53 +1.82%‼️
Gold..2302.80 +31.80 +1.40%
Timah..27451.00 – -%
(Closed 29/03)
Nickel..17031.50 +349 +2.09%❗️
(Closed 02/04)
Silver….26.30 +1.08 +4.28%
Copper.407.95 +5.45 +1.34%

Iron Ore 62% 102.33 -7.20 -6.57%‼️
(28/03)
Nturl Gas..1.853 +0.013 +0.71%
Ammonia China.3073.33 -250 -7.52%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/04/24)

Coal price.132.25 +0.25 +0.19%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 134.00 +1.00 +0.75%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.05 +1.05 +0.78%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.45 +1.40 +1.03%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price..122.15 +2.60 +2.17%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.25 +2.50 +2.12%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.70 +2.05 +1.74%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 119.60 +2.95 +2.53%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)..4308 +42.00 +0.98%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……426.50 -9.00 -2.07%
SoybeanOil 48.60 +0.36 +0.75%
Wheat…545.25 -11.75 -2.11%

Wood pulp..5700 +10. +0.18 %
(Closed 02/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah, europe merah, asia kebanyakan ijo, sepertinya hari ini akan merah liat US bond yield rata2 naik semua dan US market nya merah

USD index down, jelas lanjut gold dan precious metals kecuali iron ore, oil up, gas up, coal up, CPO up, harusnya sih, akan ada yang dikorbanin doang kaya TLKM kemaren, tapi saham saham terkait komoditas yang naik tetep jalan, ANTM ADRO AALI LSIP

IHSG – technically masih jelek, stoch macd MFI down, w% sw, BD accum FF exit. Harusnya sekarang bikin wave B dulu, baru wave C flat berhenti di low kemaren. Semoga cuma segitu aja koreksinya, kalo ga bisa berdarah darah market

Consumer Non Cyclicals, Energy. Yang terlihat mau jalan lagi Basic Materials,Property, Financials

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO AKRA BRIS ESSA GOTO DSNG TBIG WIFI AALI. Big accum AKRA BRIS ESSA GOTO WIFI AALI

MACD buy signal: INDF SMAR, INDF big accum

Daily Analysis 20240401

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

April 01st, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes at a fresh record, posts strongest first-quarter performance since 2019

The S&P 500
rose Thursday, registering its best first-quarter performance in five years.

Dow……39807 +47.3 +0.12%
Nasdaq16379 -20.2 -0.12%
S&P 500.5254 +5.9 +0.11%

FTSE…..7953 +20.64 +0.26%
Dax……18493 +15.4 +0.15%
CAC……8205 +1.0 +0.01%

Nikkei..40370 +201.4 +0.50%
HSI……16541 closed +0%
Shanghai.3041+30.5 +1.01%

IDX…..7262.54 closed +0%
LQ45….985.97 closed +0%
IDX30…501.16 closed +0%

IDXEnergy..2122.53 closed +0%
IDX BscMat1288.43 closed +0%
IDX Indstrl…1088.02 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.724.74 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1343.34closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…820.13 closed +0%
IDXTechno3580.27 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1468.77 closed. +0%
IDX Infrast 1559.62 closed +0%
IDX Finance.1529.62closed +0%
IDX Banking.1397.26closed +0%
IDX Property.. 670 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.7239❗️closed +0%
ICBI…378.8753 ❗️closed +0%
US2Yr.4.628 +0.060 +1.31%
US5Yr 4.220 +0.037 +0.88%
US10Yr4.210 +0.022 +0.53%
US30Yr.4.349 unch +0%
VIX………13.01 +0.23 +1.80%

USDIndx 104.4870 ❗️ -0.060 -0.06%
Como Indx..290.29 +3.53 +1.23%
BCOMIN…..139.75 +1.19 +0.86%

IndoCDS..73.25 +0.04 +0.05%
(5-yr INOCD5) (29/03)

IDR…..15856.50‼️closed +0%
Jisdor.15873.00‼️closed +0%

Euro….1.0790 +0.00 +0.01%

TLKM…22.26 -0.01 -0.04%
(3530)
EIDO……22.53 -0.12 -0.53%
EEM……41.08 +0.16 +0.39%

Oil…….83.17 +1.82 +2.24%
Gold..2238.40‼️ +25.70 +1.16%
Timah..27451.00 -73.00 -0.27%
(Closed 28/03)
Nickel..16682.50 +39.50 +0.24%
(Closed 29/03)
Silver…..24.92 +0.16 +0.66%
Copper.400.70 +0.70 +0.17%

Iron Ore 62% 109.53 -0.31 -0.28%
(28/03)
Nturl Gas..1.752 +0.034 +1.98%
Ammonia China.3373.33 -60 -1.75%
(Domestic Price)(28/03/24)

Coal price.132.00 +0.90 +0.69%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 133.00 +0.90 +0.68%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.134.00 +0.65 +0.49%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.05 +0.70 +0.52%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price..119.55 -0.90 -0.75%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.117.75 -1.20 -1.01%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.117.65 -0.65 -0.55%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 116.65 -0.70 -0.60%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)..4197 +62.00 +1.50%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn….442.00 +15.25 +3.57% ‼️
SoybeanOil 47.95 +0.28 +0.59%
Wheat…560.25 +12.75 +2.33%

Wood pulp..5690.00 unch +0%
(Closed 31/03)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Terakhir market open kamis, sebeum good friday, dan US mostly ijo walau ga tebel, nasdaq merah tipis, europe ijo, asia ijo, IHSG ngotot beresin ABC correction, yang belum kejadian aja, ini US udah naik naik terus IHSG jadi ga sejalan. US bond yield naik semua jadi umumnya ga bagus buat saham

USD index turun, gold dan precious metals pada naik kecuali timah dan iron ore, semoga ANTM mantul, ga ada apa apa dibanting simply karena big cap aja kayanya, ASII juga gitu. Oil up, gas up, coal up, CPO up, semoga saham terkait komoditi nya jalan lagi

IHSG – mungkin ga akan dibawa terjun sampe level situ, kayanya akan flat style ABC nya, kecuali US tau2 crash. stoch down macd down MFI sw, w% down, BD flat FNS terus, still downtrend minornya, semoga ga asal ngorbanin big caps lagi kaya kemaren

Masih banyak yang terlihat jalan, yang leading dan belum banyak gerak masih Consumer Non-Cyclicals, lanjut Helathcare dan Energy, Basic materials terlihat melemah tapi BRPT nya menarik banget. Technology Property Consumer Cyclicals terlihat bagus tapi kemaren keseret semua sama index

StochasticBuy SIgnal: ADRO BMRI BRPT MAPI MBMA INDY TRON CINT. Big accum MBMA INDY

MACD Buy Signal: BFIN SGRO… Skip. UNTR Sell signal, waduh mesti di check ini, siapa tau perlu cutloss

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: ESSA ICBP TINS

Daily Analysis 20240307

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

March 07th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500, Nasdaq close higher Wednesday, regaining some ground from recent sell-off

Stocks rose Wednesday, with the market turning a corner following back-to-back losing sessions on Wall Street.

Dow……38661 +75.9 +0.20%
Nasdaq16032 +91.95 +0.58%
S&P 500.5105 +26.1 +0.51%

FTSE…..7679 +33.2 +0.43%
Dax……17717 +18.3 +0.10%
CAC……7955 +21.9 +0.28%

Nikkei..40091 -6.9 -0.02%
HSI…….16438 +275.5 +1.70%
Shanghai.3039 -7.9 -0.26%

IDX…..7301.72 +54.26 +0.33%
LQ45….994.06 +14.17 +1.46%
IDX30…505.18 +7.79 +1.57%

IDXEnergy..2127.77 -2.44 -0.11%
IDX BscMat.1251.71 +9.64 +0.78%
IDX Indstrl…1107.46 +6.44 +0.58%
IDXNONCYC.704.68 +4.18 +0.60%
IDX Hlthcare1314.87 +2.44 +0.19%
IDXCYCLIC…835.93 -4.85 -0.58%
IDX Techno3739.27 +188.67 +5.31%‼️
IDX Transp 1570.82 +18.29 +1.18%’
IDX Infrast 1573.88 -14.56 -0.92%
IDX Finance.1521.57 +17.61 +1.17%
IDX Banking.1386.29 +19.37 +1.42%
IDX Property.. 678 +1.3 +0.19%

Indo10Yr.6.6845-0.0141 -0.21%
ICBI…378.1590 +0.2627 +0.07%
US2Yr.4.562 unch +0%
US5Yr 4.120 -0.028 -0.68%
US10Yr4.108 -0.046 -1.11%
US30Yr.4.241-0.049 -1.14%
VIX………14.50 +0.04 +0.28%

USDIndx 103.3600 -0.418 -0.40%
Como Indx..278.12 +2.30 +0.83%
BCOMIN…..138.64 +0.80 +0.58%

IndoCDS..70.25 +0.03 +0.04%
(5-yr INOCD5) (06/03)

IDR…..15705.00 -66.00 -0.42%
Jisdor.15723.00 -33.00 -0.21%

Euro….1.0899 +0.0042 +0.39%

TLKM…24.73 +0.27 +1.10%
(3888)
EIDO……22.53 +0.38 +1.72%
EEM……40.61 +0.57 +1.41%

Oil…….79.13 +0.98 +1.25%
Gold..2158.20‼️ +16.30 +0.76%
Timah..26824.00 -9.00 -0.03%
(Closed 05/03)
Nickel..17604.50 -325.00 -1.81%
(Closed 06/03)
Silver….24.49 +0.51 +2.12%
Copper.387.50 +2.80 +0.73%

Iron Ore 62% 116.94 +3.05 +2.68%
(04/03)
Nturl Gas..1.927 -0.021 -1.08%
Ammonia China.3110.0‼️ +16.67 +0.54%
(Domestic Price)(05/03/24)

Coal price.136.75 -0.70 -0.51%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 139.25 -2.10 -1.49%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.40 -2.30 -1.63%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.75 -3.05 -2.17%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price..112.60 -0.15 -0.13%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..111.65 -1.00 -0.89%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..110.20 -0.15 -0.14%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price..109.95 +1.00 +0.92%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)..4081 +92.00 +2.30%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……428.75 +2.50 +0.59%
SoybeanOil 45.32 +0.28 +0.62%
Wheat…531.00 -20.00 -3.63%

Wood pulp..5340.00 +30 +0.56%
(Closed 06/03)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe ijo lagi, US bond rate turun lagi, USD index turun, ini harusnya bagus buat IHSG hari ini. Tpi beware kemaren ijonya tebel banget, bisa jadi pada profit taking hari ini

Gold Silver Copper Iron Ore up, kemaren ANTM PSAB pada naik, MDKA bengong, mungkin karena LK nya masih minus. Tin Nickel down, beware INCO kalo reverse down. Oil up gas down coal down, mungkin koreksi sehat dulu buat saham2 coal yang kemaren kenceng banget, tapi turunnya ga banyak sih, tapi kalo dibanting yang exit dulu aja, nanti rebuy di buy signal berikutnya. CPO up lumayan tinggi, semoga LSIP lanjut kenceng

IHSG – kemaren ditarik tinggi jadi macd dan stoch nya terlihat mau rev up, tapi kebaca di MFI tetep down, vol transaksi tidak terlalu significant perubahannya, BD acc, FNB lagi, semoga sih tidak kembali FNS hari ini, kalo ga bisa dibanting dalem lagi. Major masih harus koreksi wave C, hati hati belanjanya, saatnya take profit dulu malah bagusnya sih. Trailing stop lah

GOTO digoreng, langsung ngangkat IHSG tinggi, rapuh ini, financials ga gerak, infrastructure udahan, yang firm cuma energy yang coal sama basic materials, industrials aman paling di ASII UNTR yang laba naik, harus sangat selektif, belum saatnya pesta belanja

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT BUKA GOTO PGAS BMTR MTMH TRON. rada resiko semua kecuali BMTR, kita check apakah tahun ini gorengannya agak cepet di awal tahun dan bukan di tengah taun…

MACD Buy Signal: ARTO BUKA MAPI HRTA SMAR. ga ada yang menarik