Posts Tagged ‘Oil’

Daily Analysis 20240905

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

September 05th, 2024

S&P 500 books back-to-back losses as Wall Street grapples with a rocky start to September

The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite fell for a second straight session in a lackluster start to September.

Dow…….40974 +38.04 +0.09%
Nasdaq. .17084 -52.0 -0.30%
S&P 500 5520 -8.9 -0.16%

FTSE…8269 -28.9 -0.35%
Dax……18592 -155.3 -0.83%
CAC……7501 -74.1 -0.98%

Nikkei….37048 -1638.7 -4.44%‼️
HSI……..17458 -194.2 -1.10%
Shanghai.2784 -18.7 -0.67%

IDX….7672.90 +56.38 +0.74%
LQ45…941.69 -0.59 -0.06%
IDX30.477.78 -0.46 -0.10%

IDXEnergy. 2662.58 -5.04 -0.19%
IDX BscMat1332.31 -11.74 -0.87%
IDX Indstrl..1092.38 +6.14 +0.57%
IDXNONCYC.710.22 -1.87 -0.26%
IDX Hlthcare1493.19 +23.62 +1.61%
IDXCYCLIC…902.83 +24.35 +2.76%
IDXTechno 3298.12 +13.04 +0.40%
IDX Transp 1441.40 -14.94 -1.02%
IDX Infrast 1639.95 +18.09 +1.12%
IDX Finance1486.92 +11.01 +0.75%
IDX Banking1316.27 -0.95 -0.07%
IDX Property….722 +7.10 +0.99%

Indo10Yr.6.7160 +0.0230 +0.36%
ICBI….390.7836 -0.1895 -0.05%
US2Yr.3.766 -0.097 -2.51%
US5Yr 3.556 -0.083 -2.28%
US10Yr3.754 -0.080 -2.08%
US30Yr.4.060 -0.063 -1.53%
VIX..21.32‼️ +0.60 +2.90%

USDIndx 101.3580❗️-0.4670 -0.46%
Como Indx….270.26 -2.54 -0.93%
BCOMIN………140.35 -1.24 -0.87%

IndoCDS..68.23 +0.98 +1.46%
(5-yr INOCD5) (30/08)

IDR…….15479.50❗️ -46.50 -0.30%
Jisdor..15490.00❗️ -46.00 -0.30%

Euro…1.1084 +0.0038 +0.34%

TLKM…19.82 +0.17 +0.86%
( 3070)
EIDO…..21.85 +0.26 +1.30%
EEM….42.50 -0.01 -0.02%

Oil……….69.30 -1.09 -1.55%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..72.70 -1.05 -1.42%
(Brent)
Gold…2525.20 +0.30 +0.01%
(Comex)
Gold…2495.36 +2.17 +0.09%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..30499.00 -246.00 -0.80%
(Closed 04/09)
Nickel..16180.00 -311.00 -1.89%
(Closed 04/09)
Silver……28.59 +0.19 +0.67%
Copper.408.50 -0.80 -0.20%

Iron Ore 62% 100.55 +1.85 +1.87%
(30/08)
Nturl Gas 2.146 -0.058 -2.63%
Ammonia China 2623.33 +90.00 +3.55%‼️
(Domestic Price)(04/09)

Coal price.139.50 -2.50 -1.76%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.40 -2.70 -1.90%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.60 -2.05 -1.44%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price..142.00 -2.15 -1.49%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.25 -2.55 -2.18%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price.114.25 -2.55 -2.18%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 114.00 -3.45 -2.94%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.114.85 -3.40 -2.88%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)..3888 -45 -1.14%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………412.75 +3.50 +0.86%
SoybeanOil 40.16 -0.82 -2.00%
Wheat……580.75 +14.00 +2.47%

Wood pulp.4916.00 +8.00 +0.16%
(Closed 03/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Dow Jones ijo, nasdaq merah, europe merah asia merah, IHSG ijo sendiri. Tapi US bond yield merah semua, semoga masih ijo lagi IHSG hari ini, beresin wave 3 ke target fibo ext 1.61

USD index down, metal2 mostly up but Tin and Nickel yang tutup dan copper. Oil Gas Down, Coal down, CPO down, Pulp and Paper juga down. Dari sini jadi meragukan mau ngejar target wave 3

IHSG – Technically terlihat berbahaya, stoch down, MACD rev down, MFI down, w% masih uptrend, tapi BD masih accum, FNB masih lanjut, ada kemungkinan testing support 7454 terus lanjut, atau emang wave 3 nya berhenti kemaren sedikit diatas fibo ext 1 aja

Property, Energy, Industrials, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: BMRI GOTO ISAT SIDO AUTO SILO WEGE, big accum ISAT AUTO

MACD Buy Signal: HEAL

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: ACES

Daily Analysis 20240812

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

August 12th, 2024

Dow…….39497 +51.1 +0.13%
Nasdaq. 16745 +85.3 +0.51x%
S&P 500 5344 +24.9 +0.47%

FTSE..8168.10 +23.1 +0.28%
Dax……17722 +42.5 +0.24%
CAC……7270 +22.3 +0.31%

Nikkei..35025 +193.9 +0.56%
HSI……..17090 +198.4 +1.17%
Shanghai.2862 -7.7 -0.27%

IDX….7257.12 +61.88 +0.86%
LQ45…908.13 +9.23 +1.03%
IDX30.455.86 +1.74 +0.38%

IDXEnergy.2425.17 +12.00. +0.50%
IDX BscMat1318.38 +20.96 +1.62%
IDX Indstrl..1025.97 +11.31 +1.11%
IDXNONCYC.702.16 +2.36 +0.34%
IDX Hlthcare1452.22 +6.21 +0.43%
IDXCYCLIC…759.82 +6.04 +0.80%
IDXTechno.3224.77 +18.76 +0.59%
IDX Transp 1357.38. +10.91 +0.81%
IDX Infrast 1546.82 +13.02 +0.85%
IDX Finance1406.97 +6.99 +0.48%
IDX Banking1257.44 +8.18 +0.65%
IDX Property…..661 +5.20 +0.79%

Indo10Yr.6.8349 -0.0186 -0.27%
ICBI…387.2557 +0.3148 +0.08%
US2Yr.4.057 +0.021 +0.52%
US5Yr 3.796 -0.030 -0.78%
US10Yr3.959 -0.030 -0.75%
US30Yr.4.220 -0.056 -1.31%
VIX..20.37 -3.42 -14.38%‼️

USDIndx 103.2150 +0.006 +0.01%
Como Indx….275.97 +1.97 +0.72%
BCOMIN…..138.06 +1.93 +1.42%

IndoCDS..80.17 -0.02 -0.02%
(5-yr INOCD5) (09/08)

IDR…..15924.50 +31.00 +0.19%
Jisdor.15914.00 -38.00 -0.24%

Euro…1.0913 -0.0005 -0.05%

TLKM…17.86 +0.04 +0.20%
( 2836)
EIDO.20.48 -0.02 -0.10%
EEM..42.06 +0.21 +0.50%

Oil………..76.94 +0.90 +1.18%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….79.16 +0.83 +1.06%
(Brent)
Gold…..2468.50 +3.70 +0.15%
(Comex)
Gold……2430.02 +4.07 +0.17%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31304.00 +810.00 +2.66%
(Closed 09/08)
Nickel..16298.00 +97.50 +0.60%
(Closed 09/08)
Silver….27.49 -0.08 -0.29%
Copper.397.85 +0.15 +0.04%

Iron Ore 62% 101.26 +0.51 +0.51%
(09/08)
Nturl Gas 2.161 +0.072 +3.45%
Ammonia China 2463.33 – -%
(Domestic Price)(09/08)

Coal price.146.00 +0.50 +0.34%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.150.50 +1.50 +1.01%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 151.95 +1.75 +1.17%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.153.20 +2.00 +1.32%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.122.10 +0.70 +0.58%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.124.00 +1.10 +0.90%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 124.90 +1.60 +1.30%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.125.75 +1.65 +1.33%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3717 +41 +1.12%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..395.00 -2.00 -0.50%
SoybeanOil 41.12 +0.26 +0.64%
Wheat…..542.50 +5.00 +0.93%

Wood pulp..5100 unch +0%
(Closed 11/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing Jum’at semua ijo kecuali China. US Bond Yield hampir semua turun, keliatannya beneran udah beres wave 2, lanjut wave 3 IHSG

USD index up tpis, metal2 ijo kecuali silver, harusnya INCO ANTM TINS dkk jalan lagi, Oil Gas Coal up, PTBA ITMG ADRO menarik diliat… Oil kita liat dulu.CPO up juga, semoga nganter AALI LSIP rally juga

IHSG – Stoch up, MACD rev up tapi belum sempet nyeberang kebawa histogram, MFI sw, w% up, FNB, walau belum tutup gap tapi deket banget kemaren, bisa jadi sudah dianggap done, dari itungan fibonacci wave 2 udah bisa dianggap done, semoga memang sepakat untuk rally wave 3

Property yang terlihat kenceng, tapi kemaren di check masing2nya BD pada jualan, very careful buat yang mau ngejar issue bunga bank turun

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT INDF AVIA BMTR INDY MAHA MYOR PTPP, big accum AMRT INDF INDY PTPP

MACD Buy Signal: BRIS BUKA UNVR CMRY GJTL KIJA MIKA BRAM, big accum UNVR GJTL

Daily Analysis 20240808

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

August 08th, 2024

Stocks close lower on Wednesday as market’s comeback attempt fizzles out

Stocks closed lower on Wednesday as the market’s attempt to fully recover from Monday’s sell-off failed.

Dow…….38763 -234.2 -0.60%
Nasdaq. 16195 -171.1 -1.05%
S&P 500 5193 -40.5 -0.77%

FTSE..8166.9 +140.2 +1.75%
Dax……17615 +260.8 +1.50%
CAC……7266 +135.97 +1.91%

Nikkei..35090 +414.2 +1.19%
HSI…….16878 +230.5 +1.38%
Shanghai.2870 +2.6 +0.08%

IDX….7212.13 +82.92 +1.16%
LQ45…903.79 +4.61 +0.51%
IDX30.451.88 +4.88 +1.09%

IDXEnergy.2421.41 +31.88 +1.33%
IDX BscMat1322.98 +16.65 +1.27%
IDX Indstrl..1015.19 +18.11 +1.82%
IDXNONCYC.700.65 +6.99 +1.01%
IDX Hlthcare1444.70 +4.97 +0.35%
IDXCYCLIC…758.22 +6.08 +0.81%
IDXTechno.3199.07 +19.42 +0.61%
IDX Transp 1356.76 +21.81 +1.63%
IDX Infrast 1546.26 +13.47 +0.88%
IDX Finance1394.55 +6.81 +0.49%
IDX Banking1239.80 +7.76 +0.63%
IDX Property…..645 +8.60 +1.36%

Indo10Yr.6.8743 -0.0035 -0.05%
ICBI…386.3727 +0.0880 +0.02%
US2Yr.3.983 -0.009 -0.23%
US5Yr 3.776 +0.033 +0.88%
US10Yr3.926 +0.042 +1.08%
US30Yr.4.191 +0.062 +1.48%
VIX..27.85 +0.14 +0.51%

USDIndx 103.1970❗️+0.228 +0.22%
Como Indx….273.70 +3.55 +1.31%
BCOMIN…..135.90 -1.22 -0.89%

IndoCDS..80.12❗️ -2.06 -2.51%
(5-yr INOCD5) (05/08)

IDR…..16035.00❗️ -129.50 -0.80%
Jisdor.16100.00❗️ -83.00 -0.51%

Euro…1.0926 -0.0004 -0.04%

TLKM…17.36 -0.02 -0.12%
( 2795)
EIDO.20.05 +0.18 +0.91%
EEM….40.90 +0.28 +0.69%

Oil………..75.45 +2.58 +3.54%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….78.33 +1.85 +2.42%
(Brent)
Gold…..2422.60 -7.40 -0.31%
(Comex)
Gold……2384.07 -38.53 -1.59%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29991.00 +340.00 +1.15%
(Closed 07/08)
Nickel..16233.00 -182.00 -1.11%
(Closed 07/08)
Silver….26.68 -0.33 -1.22%
Copper.393.25 -6.80 -1.70%

Iron Ore 62% 102.86 -1.32 -1.27%
(06/08)
Nturl Gas 2.089 +0.073 +3.62%
Ammonia China 2480.00 – -%
(Domestic Price)(06/08)

Coal price.145.00 -0.50 -0.34%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.147.90 +0.40 +0.27%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 148.95 -0.05 -0.03%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.149.95 -0.05 -0.03%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.121.10 +0.30 +0.25%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.00 +0.30 +0.25%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 122.60 +0.40 +0.33%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.123.25 +0.20 +0.16%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3696 -11 -0.30%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..400.75 -4.50 -1.11%
SoybeanOil 40.98 +0.92 +2.30%
Wheat…..538.25 -5.00 -0.92%

Wood pulp..5110 -20 -0.39%
(Closed 07/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah lagi, kemaren asia europe ijo tebel, US bond yield up, most likely IDX dan pasar asia merah lagi hari ini. Per sekarang Nikkei udah minus 1.8%. So IHSG kemungkinan besar juga sama merah

USD index up lagi, metal2 down kecuali tin, Oil up, gas up, coal tipis2, CPO merah tipis, masih belum ada yang terlalu menarik, nanti yang oil kita liat trend nya

Oil Price – mulai terlihat bottoming sih, tapi belum firm

IHSG – bagusnya FNB, tapi technical masih jelek. Mungkin aja udahan tapi belum firm tegambar di chart kecuali dari level fibonacci target ABC correction. Dengan US market merah dan Nikkei udah terlihat merah duluan, ya masih sesuai technical mau kebawah lagi dulu

Masih belum, financials melemah lagi, sisa healthcare tapi ga berani lah

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBRI CPIN TLKM ABMM ADMR EMTK JPFA SMDR, big accum: CPIN JPFA SMDR

MACD Buy Signal: PTMP TPIA, TPIA big accum

CPIN – BD FF accum, stoch buy, macd bottoming, posisi di modus vol profile, retracement pattern pas banget ini abis koreksi wave B ke fibo 23, harusnya emang naik lagi ke fibo 61.

Spike tinggi tapi terus drop, jadi ga bisa dibilang valid spike beli

Wah biggest holder nya buang… Nanti dulu deh, sekalian tunggu harga dibawah average bandar

JPFA- ini malah lebih ga berani, abis wave 5 belum abc correction… Walau BD FF lagi terlihat akum

SMDR – ini menarik, abis drop jauh mantul hampir sampe fibo 61 drop lagi ke fibo 23, mungkin akan lanjut beresin retracement pattern nya. soch bolak balik, MACD bottoming, MFI juga, w% sw, PBV PER nya ok, kita tunggu MACD buy signal

PTMP – buat perusahaan relatif baru IPO, PER nya 23 ga berani masuk lah…

TPIA – PBV 20 PER minus karena LK rugi, skip lah

TLKM – BD FF acc tipis, menari udah drop terus mantul, ini bikin higher low, stoch almost buy, macd still down, index mau merah dulu, sabar tunggu firm mantul

BBRI – BD FF dist, toch buy, macd still down, MFI w%down, IHNS in he making, abis drop ketemu regbull div mantul, retracement pattern jalan, harusnya tinggal nunggu wave C, tapi keliatannya belum saatnya

 

 

Daily Analysis 20240724

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

July 24th, 2024

Good morning,

Stocks close slightly lower as Wall Street gears up for major tech earnings

The S&P 500
hovered near the flatline Tuesday as traders readied for earnings reports from major technology behemoths.

Dow……40358 -57.4 -0.14%
Nasdaq17997 -10.2 -0.06%
S&P 500.5556 -8.7 -0.16%

FTSE…..8167 -31.4 -0.38%
Dax……18558 +150.6 +0.82%
CAC……7589 -23.4 -0.31%

Nikkei..39594 -4.6 -0.01%
HSI……17469 -166.5 -0.94%
Shanghai.2915 -48.9 -1.65%

IDX….7313.86 -8.11 -0.11%
LQ45..923.26 +0.02 +0.00%
IDX30.460.95 -1.29 -0.28%

IDXEnergy..2467.96 -24.87 -1.00%
IDX BscMat1365.21 +5.83 +0.43%
IDX Indstrl.1023.64 -8.34 -0.81%
IDXNONCYC.712.97 -4.10 -0.57%
IDX Hlthcare1434.60+9.42 +0.66%
IDXCYCLIC…745.17 -3.06 -0.41%
IDXTechno3438.72 +149.72 +4.55%‼️
IDX Transp 1376.79 +5.67 +0.41%
IDX Infrast 1607.34 +5.47 +0.34%
IDX Finance1405.23 -2.37 -0.17%
IDX Banking1252.42 -8.09 -0.64%
IDX Property…..644 -0.10 -0.01%

Indo10Yr.7.0303 +0.0219 +0.31%
ICBI…382.4694 -0.1720 -0.04%
US2Yr.4.496 -0.025 -0.55%
US5Yr 4.166 -0.009 -0.22%
US10Yr4.261 +0.006 +0.14%
US30Yr.4.487 +0.014 +0.31%
VIX..14.72 -0.19 -1.27%

USDIndx 104.4470 +0.133 +0.13%
Como Indx….280.44 -2.65 -0.94%
BCOMIN…..139.67 -1.20 -0.85%

IndoCDS..76.19 -2.00 +2.70%
(5-yr INOCD5) (22/07)

IDR…..16213.50❗️ -6.50 -0.04%
Jisdor.16204.00❗️ -24.00 -0.15%

Euro…1.0850 -0.0041 -0.38%

TLKM…19.38 +0.01 +0.03%
( 3140)
EIDO…..20.24 -0.10 -0.47,%
EEM…..42.72 -0.38 -0.88%

Oil………..77.42‼️ -2.36 -2.96%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….81.01 -1.39 -1.69%
(Brent)
Gold…..2457.50 +12.60 +0.52%
(Comex)
Gold……2408.59 -1.05. -0.04%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29418.00 -470.00‼️ -1.57%
(Closed 23/07)
Nickel..16213.00 -61.00 -0.37%
(Closed 23/07)
Silver……29.36 +0.08 +0.27%
Copper.415.45 -3.75. -0.89%

Iron Ore 62% 108.16 -0.29 -0.27%
(22/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.205 -0.074 -3.25%
Ammonia China 2833.33 +33.33 +1.19%
(Domestic Price)(23/07)

Coal price.134.70 -0.30 -0.22%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.20 -1.20 -0.86%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.40 -1.25 -0.90%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 138.40 -1.45 -1.04%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.105.25 +0.25 +0.24%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..109.60 +1.65 +1.53%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.109.95 +1.55 +1.43%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 110.35 +1.75 +1.61%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3953 -21 -0.53%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..417.25 +2.25. +0.54%
SoybeanOil 45.13 +0.28 +0.62%
Wheat…..542.75 -5.25 -0.96%

Wood pulp..5170 -26 -0.50%
(Closed 24/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

 

Semua index regional merah, USD bond yield pendeh down panjang up, mendingan sih buat saham, tapi memang masih cocoksama jadwal koreksi IHSG, masih kemungkinan besar merah

USD index up, Metal2 down kecuali gold silver, oil gas coal CPO down, asli ini sih lanjut merahnya, ga ada ganjel

IHSG – indicator masih bilang down, FNS juga, masih bagusan pegang cash, yang di saham hanya yang contrarian dan sektor consumer

melandai semua kecuali energy sama healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBCA MDKA SIDO MIKA SILO, big accum BBCA MIKA

MACD Buy Signal: ACES BBCA, big accum juga

Stochastic Continuation Signal and big accum: ERAA