Daily Analysis 20251112

Daily Analysis 20251112

ERAA yang menarik, bisa BOW Kemaren IHSG aja merah sendirian, US treasury bond yield 2 dan 30 naik, 5 dan 10 turun, US ijo tebel, ijo kalo ya IHSG hari…
Daily Analysis 20251111

Daily Analysis 20251111

Belum ada yang terlalu menarik, malah warning di TLKM UNTR. JSMR rada menarik tapi belum saatnya. US ijo tebel, europe ijo asia ijo, IDX yang merah tipis padahal pas awal…
Daily Analysis 20251107

Daily Analysis 20251107

MNCN layak beli, INTP menarik juga tapi wave 5, prepare exit perkiraan sideways malah pada merah, tapi asia dan IHSG kemaren ijo sih, us treasury bond yield down, sekarang harusnya…
Daily Analysis 20250217

Daily Analysis 20250217

February 17th, 2025

The S&P 500 chugged to a record high last week as new inflation data signaled good news about the Federal Reserve’s rate cut plans.

For the week, the Nasdaq Composite rose more than 2.5%, while the S&P 500 added just under 1.5%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added about 0.5%.

Dow……44546 -165.4 -0.37%
Nasdaq 20027 +81.1 +0.41%
S&P 500 6115 -0.4 -0.01%

FTSE…..8732 -32.3 -0.37%
Dax……22513 -98.6 -0.44%
CAC……8179 +14.4 +0.18%

Nikkei…39149 -312.04 -0.79%
HSI…..22620 +805.96 +3.69%‼️
Shanghai.3347 +14.2 +0.43%

IDX…6638.46 +24.89 +0.38%
LQ45…772.41+2.68 +0.35%
IDX30.400.76 +1.73. +0.43%

IDXEnergy…..2574.90 +21.53 +0.84%
IDX BscMat..1137.73 +12.18 +1.08%
IDX Indstrl… .946.43 +10.79 +1.15%
IDXNONCYC.698.60 +0.75 +0.11%
IDX Hlthcare1372.47 -8.07 -0.58%
IDXCYCLC…806.05 +2.99 +0.37%
IDX Techno.4639.79 +41.52 +0.90%
IDX Transp ..1206.51 +20.26 +1.71%
IDX Infrast 1346.24. +2.94 +0.22%
IDX Finance1356.60 +8.03 +0.60%
IDX Banking1069.9) +4.82 +0.45%
IDX Property. 745 +8.8 +1.19%

Indo10Yr.6.8439❗️-0.0601 -0.87%
ICBI….400.8471👍+1.1492 +0.29%
US2Yr.4.309 +0.048 -1.10%
US5Yr 4.391 -0.078 -1.75%
US10Yr4.526 -0.101 -2.18%
US30Yr.4.741 -0.091 -1.88%
VIX..14.77❗️ -0.33 -2.19%

USDIndx 106.7100❗️-0.335 -0.31%
Como Indx..312.08 -1.11 -0.35%
BCOMIN..148.06 -0.73 -0.49%

IndoCDS…70.75👍-2.49 -3.40%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (14/02)

IDR…….16285.00❗️-110.00 -0.67%
Jisdor..16285.00❗️-80.00 -0.49%

Euro…1.0492 +0.0024 +0.23%

TLKM…15.52 +0.31 +2.01%
( 2527)
EIDO….17.67 +0.07 +0.37%
EEM…..44.07 +0.27 +0.62%

Oil………70.74 -0.55 -0.77%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………74.74 -0.59 -0.78%
(Brent)
Gold…2900.70‼️-45.70 -1.55%
(Comex)
Gold…2882.53‼️ -45.36 -1.55%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.32.66200‼️ +681.00 +2.13%
(Closed 14/02)
.Nickel.15487.63 +100.75 +0.67%
(Closed 14/02)
Silver……32.85 +0.12 +0.36%
Copper..471.30 -6.50 -1.36%

Iron Ore 62% 106.83 – -%
(14/02)
Nturl Gas ..3.725 +0.078 +2.14%
Ammonia China. 2376.67 + -%
(Domestic Price)(14/02)

Coal price.102.75 -1.55 -1.49%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.105.10 -1.20 -1.13%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 108.10 -1.35 -1.23%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 111.00 -2.05 -1.81%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price 101.45 -0.70 -0.69%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price .99.70 -0.65 -0.65%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 99.35 -0.75 -0.75%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price. 99.90 -0.40 -0.40%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(May) 4502 +45 +1.01%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………508.75 +2.75 +0.54%
SoybeanOil 46.52 -0.16 -0.34%
Wheat…..613.50 +21.50 +3.63%

Wood pulp…..6700 unch +0%
(Closed 14/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

SP500 gerak bikin record baru nyusul DJI, DJI nya sendiri merah nasdaq ijo, US treasury bond yield turun, kemungkinan index kita hijau hari ini

USD index down, gold copper down, metal2 lain up, oil down gas up coal down CPO up, beware saham energy masih ditarik2 kebawah

IHSG – masih belum aman, masih NFS, masih jelek indicatornya, stoch rev up, ada gap, dan ada reg bull div. Masih hold cash dulu kecuali yang yakin banget

Banyak yang siap dukung index jalan, Financials, Property, Healthcare, Industrials Basic Materials

Stochastic Buy Signal: ARTO BMRI ICBP INKP ITNP PTBA SMGR TLKM ADMR BSDE MNCN MPMX PTRO PWON, big accum PTBA SMGR TLKM BSDE

MACD buy signal: GGRM PGAS PTBA SMGR UNTR ABMM HMSP SRTG TINS VKTR, big accum GGRM PGAS PTBA SMGR UNTR SRTG TINS VKTR

Daily Analysis 20240104

Daily Analysis 20240104

January 04th, 2024
Good morning,
Dow tumbles nearly 300 points Wednesday, Nasdaq closes lower for a 2nd straight day in 2024
The Nasdaq Composite
 fell for a second session Wednesday to start the year, building on its worst daily performance in nearly three months.
Dow……37430   -284.9   -0.76%
Nasdaq14592   -173.7   -1.18%
S&P 500.4705   -38.02   -0.80%
FTSE…..7682  -39.2     -0.51%
Dax……16538 -230.97 -1.38%
CAC……7412  -119.0    -1.58%
Nikkei..33464    closed   +0%
HSI…….16646   -142.1    -0.85%
Shanghai.2967 +4.97     +0.17%
IDX…..7379.09 -44.50    -0.61%
LQ45….973.38 -6.05       -0.38%
IDX30…494.25 -4.17       -0.84%
IDXEnergy..2134.80   -8.16     -0.38%
IDX BscMat.1326.31 -5.83     -0.44%
IDX Indstrl…1103.81 -1.70     -0.15%
IDXNONCYC.718.44 -5.97     -0.82%
IDX Hlthcare1341.16 -12.40  -0.92%
IDXCYCLIC…825.24  +3.63    +0.44%
IDX Techno4418.00  +0.19    +0.02%
IDX Transp 1656.97 +2.01     +0.12%
IDX Infrast  1577.29. +0.98   +0.06%
IDX Finance.1448.02 -4.07.   -0.28%
IDX Banking.1267.99 -1.01    -0.08%
IDX Property.. 709      -0.90    -0.12%
Indo10Yr.6.6494+0.0333 +0.50%
ICBI…374.1959  -0.4937  -0.13%
US2Yr.4.333  +0.009   +0.21%
US5Yr 3.905  -0.017    -0.43%
US10Yr3.920 -0.021    -0.53%
US30Yr.4.070-0.013    -0.32%
VIX….14.04  +0.84  +6.36%‼️
USDIndx 102.4570 +0.221 +0.22%
Como Indx..265.25  +2.62    +1.00%
BCOMIN……139.93   -1.24     -0.88%
 IndoCDS..69.23    -0.06    -0.09%
  (5-yr INOCD5) (02/01)
IDR…..15481.00 +11.00 +0.07%
Jisdor.15495.00 +22.00 +0.14%
Euro….1.0920  -0.0022  -0.20%
TLKM…25.62  -0.28   -1.08%
(3970)
EIDO….22.05   -0.16   -0.72%
EEM….39.52   -0.22    -0.55%
Oil……..72.70  +2.32  +3.30%‼️
Gold..2042.80 -30.60 -1.48%
Timah..25184.00 -231   -0.91%
(Closed 02/01)
Nickel..16425.00 -140   -0.85%
(Closed 03/01)
Silver……23.16   -0.80     -3.32%
Copper.386.15   -1.90     -0.49%
Iron Ore 62% 136.37   –        -%
 (02/01)
Nturl Gas..2.687  +0.113  +4.39%‼️
Ammonia China.3656.67 +33.34 +0.92%
(Domestic Price)(02/02)
Coal price.128.50  +0.75  +0.59%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 127.09  +0.15  +0.67%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.125.75  +0.90  +0.72%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 124.40  +0.50  +0.40%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.108.95 +2.80   +2.64%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.75 +2.20  +2.17%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price. 99.25  +2.15  +2.21%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price .97.20  +2.00  +2.10%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
CPO(Mar)..3624   -36        -0.98%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……465.25     +1.50    +0.32%
SoybeanOil 48.60 +0.31    +0.64%
Wheat….600.25    -6.50      -1.07%
Wood pulp..5050.00 +10  +0.20%
(Closed 02/01)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia

Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Update Global Economic Calendar
3 Jan 2023

GERMANY MARKET :
Unemployment Change (Dec)
Actual : 5K
Forecast : 20K
Previous : 22K

Unemployment Rate (Dec)
Actual : 5.9%
Forecast : 5.9%
Previous : 5.9%

Unemployment Persons (Dec)
Actual : 2.703M
Forecast : –
Previous : 2.702M

U.S MARKET :
MBA Mortgage Applications (Dec/29)
Actual : -10.7%
Forecast : –
Previous : -1.5%

MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Dec/29)
Actual : 6.76%
Forecast : –
Previous : 6.83%

ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec)
Actual : 47.4
Forecast : 47.1
Previous : 46.7

ISM Manufacturing Employment (Dec)
Actual : 48.1
Forecast : 46.1
Previous : 45.8

ISM Manufacturing New Orders (Dec)
Actual : 47.1
Forecast : –
Previous : 48.3

By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research
– Disclaimer On –

US merah dalem, keliatanya karena release berita ISM manufacturing unemployment dan new order turun. europe merah, asia juga, IHSG kemaren memang sudah diduga jadwal turun, sekarang diharap naik tapi kalo global merah semua rada berat. Semoga hanya sideways atau koreksi kecil

US bond rates ga banyak rubah, USD index naik, metal turun semua, oil gas coal naik, CPO masih turun. Kayanya belum jalan ini ANTM INCO TINS MDKA, tapi harusnya major udah uptrend. AALI LSIP juga

IHSG – stoch up flattening OB, MACD up flattening, MFI sw, w% masih uptrend, BD mulai dist, FNS, udah di wave 5, agak mengkhawatirkan…

Cacing RSI malah all good, Consumer Non-Cyclicals sama Consumer Cyclicals yang arahnya paling bagus

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA ARTO GOTO TOWR ADHI HEAL ISAT JSMR PTPP. yang big accum cuma TOWR

MACD Buy Signal: BRIS BBKP BRMS Big accum BRIS BBKP

Stochastic Continuation Signal: INCO big acc MPMX spike

Daily Analysis 20240102

Daily Analysis 20240102

January 02nd, 2024

Good morning,

The market in US & almost the entire global market is currently on holiday due to the New Year

Dow……37690 closed +0%
Nasdaq15011 closed +0%
S&P 500.4770 closed +0%

FTSE…..7733 +10.5 +0.14%
Dax……16752 +50.1 +0.30%
CAC……7543 +8.02 +0.11%

Nikkei..33464 closed +0%
HSI…….17047 closed +0%
Shanghai.2975 closed +0%

IDX…..7272.80 closed +0%
LQ45….970.57 closed +0%
IDX30…495.21 closed +0%

IDXEnergy..2100.86 closed +0%
IDX BscMat.1307.47 closed +0%
IDX Indstrl…1093.76 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.722.40 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1376.16 closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…821.42. closed +0%
IDX Techno4435.61 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1601.51. closed. +0%
IDX Infrast 1570.03. closed +0%
IDX Finance.1458.32 closed. +0%
IDX Banking.1269.55 closed +0%
IDX Property.. 714 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.5991 closed +0%
ICBI…374.6140 closed +0%
US2Yr.4.250 closed +0%
US5Yr 3.840 closed +0%
US10Yr3.866 closed +0%
US30Yr.4.019 closed +0%
VIX….12.45 closed +0%

USDIndx 101.3330 closed +0%
Como Indx..263.83 closed +0%
BCOMIN……142.65 closed +0%

IndoCDS..69.28 +0.02 +0.03%
(5-yr INOCD5) (29/12)

IDR…..15399.00 closed +0%
Jisdor.15439.00 closed +0%

Euro….1.1063 -0.0043 -0.39%

TLKM…25.76 closed +0%
(3978)
EIDO….22.31 closed +0%
EEM….40.21 closed +0%

Oil……..71.65 closed +0%
Gold..2071.80 closed +0%
Timah..25415.00 – -%
(Closed 29/12)
Nickel..16671.00 – -%
(Closed 30/12)
Silver……24.09 closed +0%
Copper.389.05 closed +0%

Iron Ore 62% 136.37 +0.21 +0.15%
(29/12)
Nturl Gas…2.497 closed +0%
Ammonia China.3806.67 closed +0%
(Domestic Price)(28/12)

Coal price.136.95 closed +0%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 133.80 closed +0%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.131.95 closed +0%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 130.45 closed +0%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.108.30 closed +0%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.85 closed +0%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price. 99.85 closed +0%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price .98.55 closed +0%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3740 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……471.25 closed +0%
SoybeanOil 48.18 closed +0%
Wheat……628.00 closed +0%

Wood pulp..5040.00 unch +0%
(Closed 01/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua tutup tahun baruan, eropa terakhir masih buka closing ijo. New year di januari kebanyakan turun sih, kecuali ada beberapa saham yang sering jalan di januari

Kita fokus baca technical analysis nya dulu hari ini

IHSG – stoch overbought, macd up, MFI sw, w%uptrend, BD FF acc, masih berharap lanjut tapi ini jelas rawan koreksi, udah sampe target minimal wave 5 soalnya, dan santa claus rally udah selesai

Property, Industrials, Consumer Cyclicals, Healthcare, Transportation, malah financials kaya belum jadi jalan, hati hati

Stoch Buy Signal: BBNI GGRM TBIG HEAL OMED PNLF WIFI. Yang big accum cuma BBNI, ADRO sell dan big dist, perlu dicermati coal yang lain, bisa jadi batal jalan dan harus exit

MACD Buy Signal: BBTN SCMA TOWR HEAL HMSP MMIX TAPG WIKA. WIKA kan suspended, koq buy signal…

Stochastic Continuation Signal and big accum: AKRA BUKA CPIN TOWR BMTR HEAL MMIX TKIM. BMTR waive dulu, tar tengah taun kita ikut gorengannya