February 01st, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes 300 points lower, Nasdaq drops 2% after Fed indicates March rate cut unlikely

Stocks fell on Wednesday after Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell said the central bank likely wouldn’t be ready to cut rates in March.

Dow……38150 -317.01 -0.82%
Nasdaq15164 -345.9 -2.23%
S&P 500.4846 -79.3 -1.61%

FTSE…..7631 -35.7 -0.47%
Dax……16904 -68.6 -0.40%
CAC……7657 -20.7 -0.27%

Nikkei..36286 +19.3 +0.98%
HSI……15485 -218.4 -1.39%
Shanghai.2789 -41.98 -1.48%

IDX…..7207.94 +15.73 +0.22%
LQ45….974.22 +2.52 +0.26%
IDX30…494.71 +0.92 +0.19%

IDXEnergy..2106.35 +8.41 +0.40%
IDX BscMat.1284.06 -0.50 -0.04%
IDX Indstrl…1088.22 +0.41 +0.04%
IDXNONCYC.698.96 +5.21 +0.75%
IDX Hlthcare1316.57 -1.64. -0.12%
IDXCYCLIC…857.34 -1.73 -0.20%
IDX Techno4128.05. +24.13+0.59%
IDX Transp 1587.04 +1.95 +0.12%
IDX Infrast 1523.00 +7.96 +0.53%
IDX Finance.1513.90 +16.67+1.11%
IDX Banking.1326.30 +8.84 +0.67%
IDX Property.. 698 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6420👍 -0.0135 -0.20%
ICBI…376.5979👍 +0.5122 +0.14%
US2Yr.4.209 -0.130 -2.99%👍
US5Yr 3.839 -0.135 -3.40%👍
US10Yr3.911 -0.125 -3.10%👍
US30Yr.4.173-0.078 -1.83%
VIX…14.35 +1.04 +7.81%‼️

USDIndx 103.2740❗️ -0.123 -0.12%
Como Indx.. – – -%
BCOMIN……139.27 -0.75 -0.54%

IndoCDS..76.70 -0.03 -0.04%
(5-yr INOCD5) (30/01)

IDR…..15782.50‼️ +2.50 +0.02%
Jisdor.15803.00 ‼️+7.00 +0.04%

Euro….1.0814 -0.0030 -0.28%

TLKM…25.16 -0.17 -0.67%
(3976)
EIDO……21.86 +0.11 +0.51%
EEM……38.39 -0.21 -0.54%

Oil…….75.85 -1.97 -2.53%
Gold..2067.40 +12.90 +0.63%
Timah..26006.00 -324.00 -1.22%
(Closed 30/01)
Nickel..16513.50 -246.00 -1.49%
(Closed 31/01)
Silver……23.17 -0.11 -0.47%
Copper.390.60 -0.55 -0.14%

Iron Ore 62% 135.61 +0.06 +0.04%
(30/01)
Nturl Gas..2.134 +0.043 +2.06%
Ammonia China.3236.67 -23.33 -0.72%
(Domestic Price)(29/01/02)

Coal price 116.50 -3.05 -2.55%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.118.10 -2.40 -1.99%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 117.70 -2.70 -2.24%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.117.55 -2.25 -1.88%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .99.60 +3.45 +3.59%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..96.90 +3.25 +3.47%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.65 +2.55 +2.80%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..91.70 +0.95 +1.05%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3792 -47 -1.22%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……448.25 +0.50 +0.11%
SoybeanOil 46.02 +0.02 +0.04%
Wheat….595.50 -10.25 -1.69%

Wood pulp..5092.00 +16 +0.32%
(Closed 31/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah dalem, Europe merah, Asa china merah, jepang indo ijo. Bond rates turun jauh, USD index turun, bagus ini buat saham, tapi koq US merah ya

metal2 pada turun kecuali gold, aneh lagi, oil merah, gas ijo, coal newcastle merah, rotterdam ijo, CPO lanjut merah. AALI LSIP keluar dari LQ45 K100, wah rusak ini…

IHSG – lanjut NFB, stoch rev up, macd rev up, MFI sw, w%up,BD sw, ga tahu berapa panjang ini wave B mau jalan, minimum nya udah done sih sama upper shadow candle kemaren

Basic Materials, Healthcare, Infrastructure… Consumer Non-Cyclicals slown down

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBCA BBRI BMRI BRIS GOTO MEDC PGAS AGRO ENRG MNCN MYOR PTPP PWON TKIM. Big acc BBRI BRIS GOTO PGAS

MACD Buy Signal: BBNI ICBP MTEL PGAS, big accum semua

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: ICBP PGAS MIKA

January 31st, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq 100 futures slide, Alphabet shares drop after results

Futures tied to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100
fell Tuesday night after a pair of mega-cap tech companies posted their quarterly results. Wall Street also looked toward the Federal Reserve’s decision on rate policy.

Dow……38467 +133.9 +0.35%
Nasdaq15510 -118.2 -0.76%
S&P 500.4925 -2.96 -0.06%

FTSE…..7666 +33.6 +0.44%
Dax……16972 +30.6 +0.18%
CAC……7677 +36.7 +0.48%

Nikkei..36066 +38.9 +0.11%
HSI……15703 -373.8 -2.33%
Shanghai.2831 -52.8 -1.83%

IDX…..7192.22 +35.04 +0.49%
LQ45….971.70 +9.78 +1.02%
IDX30…493.78 +5.93 +1.22%

IDXEnergy..2097.94 -7.30 -0.35%
IDX BscMat.1284.55 -5.74 -0.44%
IDX Indstrl…1087.81 +2.42 +0.22%
IDXNONCYC.693.75 -3.14 -0.45%
IDX Hlthcare1318.21+8.41. +0.64%
IDXCYCLIC…859.07 +7.60 +0.89%
IDX Techno4103.92 +118.31 +2.97%
IDX Transp 1515.04 -7.75 -0.51%
IDX Infrast 1497.23 -13.74 -0.91%
IDX Finance.1510.97 -8.20 -0.54%
IDX Banking.1300.04 +25.68 +2.02%
IDX Property.. 698 -2.30 -0.32%

Indo10Yr.6.6555 – 0.0229 -0.34%
ICBI…376.0857 +0.4541 +0.12%
US2Yr.4.339 +0.017 +0.39%
US5Yr 3.974 -0.012 -0.30%
US10Yr4.036 -0.036 -0.93%
US30Yr.4.251-0.064 -1.48%
VIX…13.31 -0.29 -2.13%

USDIndx 103.3970❗️ -0.212 -0.20%
Como Indx..274.00 +3.12 +1.15%
BCOMIN……140.02 +0.77 +0.55%

IndoCDS..76.73 +0.03 +0.04%
(5-yr INOCD5) (29/01)

IDR…..15780.00‼️ -30.00 -0.19%
Jisdor.15825.00 ‼️ -29.00 -0.18%

Euro….1.0844 +0.0008 +0.07%

TLKM…25.33 -0.22 -0.86%
(4008)
EIDO……21.75 +0.18 +0.83%
EEM……38.60 -0.31 -0.80%

Oil…….77.81 +0.85 +1.10%
Gold..2054.50 +3.30 +0.16%
Timah..26664.00 – -%
(Closed 29/01)
Nickel..16513.50 +54.00 +0.33%
(Closed 30/01)
Silver……23.28 -0.05 -0.21%
Copper.391.15 +2.55 +0.66%

Iron Ore 62% 135.55 unch +0%
(29/01)
Nturl Gas..2.091 +0.032 +1.55%
Ammonia China.3260.00 -83.00 -2.48%
(Domestic Price)(29/01/02)

Coal price 119.55 +3.15 +2.71%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.120.50 +5.00 +4.33%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 120.30 +4.40 +3.80%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.119.80 +3.80 +3.28%‼️
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .96.15 +1.85 +1.96%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.65 +1.90 +2.07%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..91.10 +1.20 +1.33%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.75 +1.30 +1.45%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3842 -107 -2.71%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……447.75 +7.50 +1.70%
SoybeanOil 46.00 +0.45 +0.99%
Wheat…605.50 +12.20 +1.70%

Wood pulp..5076.00 +10 +0.20%
(Closed 30/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

REMINDER REBALANCING

UPDATE (29/01/2024)

EVALUASI INDEKS LQ45, IDX30, IDX80, KOMPAS100, PEFINDO25, INDEKS BUMN20, IDXSMC-LIQ, IDXSMC-COM, IDXHIDIV20, IDXV30, IDXG30, IDXQ30, IDXLQ45LCL

(Periode Efektif 01 Februari 2024 – 31 Juli 2024)

INDEKS LQ45
Baru : MBMA, MTEL, PGEO, PTMP
Keluar : INDY, SCMA, TBIG, TPIA

INDEKS IDX30
Baru : ACES, ICBP, INKP, PGEO
Keluar : EMTK, ESSA, HRUM, TOWR

INDEKS IDX80
Baru : AUTO, GJTL, MAPA, MBMA, PGEO, PTMP, SMIL, TRON, WIFI
Keluar : AVIA, DOID, HMSP, JKON, OMED, PNBN, RMKE, SMDR, WIKA

INDEKS KOMPAS100
Baru : AUTO, CFIN, DRMA, GTRA, HRTA, IMAS, MAPA, MARK, MBMA, NISP, PGEO, PTMP, PTRO, SILO, SMIL, SMSM, SSIA, TRON, WIIM
Keluar : AALI, AGII, AVIA, BBKP, BDMN, BELI, BSSR, HMSP, JKON, LSIP, MMIX, MSIN, OMED, PNBN, PNIN, RMKE, SMDR, TAPG, WIKA

INDEKS PEFINDO25
Baru : ADMR, AUTO, DILD, ESSA, GJTL, LPPF, LSIP, MAPA, MIDI, TAPG
Keluar : AKRA, BSSR, DSNG, HEXA, HRTA, MIKA, POWR, SIDO, SMSM, SSIA

(Periode Efektif 05 Februari 2024 – 02 Agustus 2024)

INDEKS BUMN20
Baru : BJTM, PGEO,
Keluar : JKON, WIKA

INDEKS IDXSMC-LIQ
Baru : AUTO, CMRY, GGRM, HEAL. INCO, MAPA, MIDI, TOWR
Keluar : ADMR, ARTO, BDMN, BEST, BJBR, LSIP, SSIA, TAPG, WIKA

INDEKS IDXSMC-COM
Baru : ARTA, AXIO, BEEF, GGRM, HOKI, INCO, JAWA, PDPP, TOWR
*zKeluar :*z ADMR, ARTO, BOLA, CUAN, DEFI, DSSA, FILM, GLVA, GSMF, HOMI, JIHD, MDLN, MREI, NIKL, PANI, PEGE, PGEO, PPRE, RONY, SMIL, SONA, TEBE, TFAS, TOPS, WEGE, WTON

INDEKS IDXHIDIV20
Baru : BRPT, ICBP, INKP, KLBF, SMGR, TPIA, UNVR
Keluar : BJBR, BJTM, BNGA, BSSR, HEXA, HMSP, MPMX

INDEKS IDXV30
Baru : AUTO, GJTL, JSMR, SMRA, WIFI
Keluar : DOID, JKON, PNBN, SMDR, TINS

INDEKS IDXG30
Baru : AUTO, BBTN, GJTL, MAPA
Keluar : ASSA, PNBN, SMDR, TINS

INDEKS IDXQ30
Baru : AKRA, AMRT, GGRM, MYOR, SMIL, TRON
Keluar : AVIA, EMTK, HMSP, RMKE, SRTG, TINS

INDEKS IDXLQ45LCL
Baru : MAPI, MBMA, MTEL, PGEO
Keluar : ASII, SCMA, TBIG, TPIA

(Listri. Source : IDX)

SP500 abis cetak new record koreksi dulu, DJI nya ijo, europe ijo, asia kebanyakan merah, IHSG sempet merah dulu tapi closing ijo, firm mau wave B

US bond rate pendek naik, panjang turun, semoga ga banyak pengaruh ke stock market, USD index merah, metal2 lanjut naik kecuali silver, oil gas coal ijo, coal ijonya tebel, CPO merah dalem, MDKA harusnya jalan, ELSA AKRA MEDC lanjut, coal apakah udah mau rebound? AALI LSIP agak kawatir ini

IHSG – dari ilmu elliot wave, wave B nya ga panjang ini keliatanya, daripada aggressive sekarang mending tunggu wave C beres… Udah 2 hari FNB, BD acc, big bank di push naik, GOTO di push naik, tapi in total saham yang turun lebih banyak dari saham yang naik. Masih keep cash

Terlihat Healthcare ngebalik nyusul basic materials, consumer non-cyclicals dan infrastructure… Padahal kemaren KLBF dibanting sampe cutloss

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO ASII BBNI ITMG PTBA SIDO ASSA BRMS CTRA HMSP LPPF MTEL SMRA. Big Acc ASII BBNI PTBA

MACD Buy Signal: JSMR PTPP BRAM

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big acc: BRIS

August 16th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow slides more than 300 points, breaking a 3-day win streak, as bank names tumble

Stocks fell Tuesday as concern over the state of the global economy — China in particular — and a decline in U.S. banks combined to pressure Wall Street.

Dow……34946 -361.2 -1.02%
Nasdaq13631 -157.3 -1.14%
S&P 500.4438 -51.9 -1.16%

FTSE…..7390 -117.5 -1.57%
Dax……15767 -136.97 -0.86%
CAC……7268 -81.1 -1.10%

Nikkei…32239 +178.98 +0.56%
HSI…….18581 -192.4 -1.03%
Shanghai.3176 -2.3 -0.07%

IDX…..6915.10 +4.93 +0.07%
LQ45….966.25 -2.41 -0.25%
IDX30…500.92 -1.43 -0.28%

*IDXEnergy…2001.56 +41.76 +2.13%*
IDX BscMat.1135.01 +5.55 +0.49%
IDX Indstrl…1203.00 -3.75 -0.31%
IDXNONCYC.755.51 +0.27 +0.04%
IDX Hlthcare1476.05 -3.73 -0.25%
IDXCYCLIC….922.66 +2.88 +0.31%
IDX Techno.4511.20 +45.58 +1.02%
IDX Transp..1858.13 -0.46 -0.02%
IDX Infrast… .873.32 +13.79 +1.53%
IDX Finance.1423.70 -5.29 -0.37%
IDX Banking.1215.09 -12.90 -1.05%
IDX Property..764 +5.20 +0.69%

*Indo10Yr.6.4343*+0.0194 +0.30%
*ICBI….369.1220* -0.1901 -0.05%
*US2Yr.4.9590* -0.014 -0.28%
*US5Yr 4.3780* +0.006 +0.14%
*US10Yr4.2210* +0.030 +0.72%
*US30Yr.4.3250* +0.041 +0.96%
*VIX…….16.46 +1.64 +11.07%‼️*

*USDIndx 103.2090‼️* +0.019 +0.02%
Como Indx…274.30 -3.79 -1.36%
(Core Commodity CRB)
*BCOMIN….138.10* -1.29 -0.92%

*IndoCDS.83.17 +1.96 +2.41%‼️*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(14/08)*

*IDR…..15341.50‼️+26.50 +0.17%*
*Jisdor.15346.00 ‼️+23.00 +0.15%*

*Euro……1.0903 -0.0005 -0.05%*

TLKM…24.50 -0.16 -0.65%
*(3760)*
EIDO….22.98 -0.04 -0.17%
EEM…..38.92 -0.45 -1.14%

*Oil………81.03* -1.38 -1.67%
*Gold…1932.30* -6.90 -0.36%
*Timah..25325.00 -1132 -4.28%‼️*
*(Closed 14/08)*
*Nickel..19765.50 -562.00 -2.76%‼️*
(Closed 15/08)
Silver…… 22.58 -0.06 -0.27%
Copper.369.50 -3.20 -0.86%

*Iron Ore 62% 104.63 -0.74 -0.70%*
(14/08)
*Nturl Gas.2.6540 -0.1600 -5.69%‼️*
*Ammonia China..3366.67 unch +0%*
(Domestic Price)(14/08)

Coal price..147.15 +0.65 +0.44%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.154.65 +1.15 +0.75%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.157.10 +0.60 +0.38%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.160.40 +0.40 +0.25%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price116.75 +1.15 +0.99%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.10 -0.90 -0.75%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.65 -1.30 -1.07%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.60 +0.65 +0.54%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

*CPO(Oct)..3788 +93 +2.51%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………475.50 -12.25 -2.51%
SoybeanOil 61.88 +0.73 +1.19%
*Wheat….623.75 -17.75 -2.77%*

*Wood pulp..4640.00* unch +0%
(Closed 15/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US merah dalem, eropa juga merah, asiamerah kecuali nikkei sama IHSG, hati hati koreksi…

USD index lanjut naik lagi, metals drop lagi, sekarang tanpa kecuali, oil gas juga merah, coal sama CPO yang ijo. Beware yang udah profit pasang trailing stop, stop loss di semua posisi

IHSG – Stoch buy, macd rev up, MFI sw, w% uptrend, BD acc, FF masih dist, triangel breakout upwards, harusnya lanjut ke atas, tapi US europe merah dalem kayanya pullback dulu

Property, Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Infrastructure. Basic Materials udahan dulu keliatannya. TPIA BRPT yang kemaren kenceng ati2 ya, bisa jadi udahan atau pullback, trailing stop on…

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA AMRT INTP MAPI ASSA BFIN JKON JSMR

MACD Buy Signal: ADRO SRTG TOWR UNVR PNLF RAJA SMRA

Alligator Buy Signal: BBNI JPFA MYOR

Supertrend Buy Signal: BRIS TBIG MYOR

Selamat pagi 🌻,
4 Agustus 23

Dow.. 35.215.89 -66.63 -0.19%
Nasdaq.. 13.959.72 -13.73 -0.10%
S&P 500.. 4.501,89 -11.5 -0.25%

Brent Oil.. 85.25 +2.05 +2.46%
Crude Oil WTI.. 81.77 +0.21 +0.26%
Gold.. 1970.30 +1.50 +0.08%
Nickel.. 21.737.00 +177.00 +0.82%
Silver.. 23.715 +0.018 +0.08%
Copper.. 3.9017 +0.0052 +0.13%
Nturl Gas.. 2.562 +0.008 +0.31%

Coal price..145.00 +1.58%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..141.5 +3.35
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.. 136.85 +3.35
(Aug/Newcastle)

Corn.. 494.75 -5.25% -1.05%
SoybeanOil.. 1.325.25 +4.25 +0.32%
Wheat.. 6.28,25 -10.75 -1.68%

RK/ CGS-CIMB Bdg
Tiktok: rienan777

Source: Investing, Barchart.

US merah, tapi semua commodity naik, bagus buat basic materials sama energy

IHSG – Udah 2 hari US merah tapi IHSG jalan, padahal MACD sell, tapi memang dari fibonacci retracement udah kena level koreksi wajar. Ga bisa cuma pake satu ilmu aja pendekatannya sih… BD acc, FNB, semoga lanjut

Masih Basic Materials, Industrials, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT ESSA ICBP KLBF SIDO ADMR BBKP JPFA RAJA SMRA. Big Accum KLBF ADMR JPFA

MACD Buy Signal: BBCA SMGR MYOR

Alligator Buy Signal: ERAA

AMRT Skip

ESSA – stoch buy, macd down, MFI sw, w% sw, CNH failed, BD dah mulai akum, FF masih galaw. Belum ok kayanya

ICBP – stoch buy macd downrev, MFI down, w% up, BD FF acc, belum ada spike baru, spike lama target done, udah run wave 3 panjang, belum masih 1.618 tapi khawatir mau wave 4. WNS dulu deh

KLBF – stoch buy, macd down, MFI down, w% sw, BD acc FF dist, but inside, itungan ABC correction level done, mungkin aja udah bisa dianggap beres dan mau rebound, tapi amannya tunggu MACD sambil pantau FF

Spike terakhir spike jual, belum ada lagi. WNS, tunggu MACD

SIDO – masih belum beres turunnya, emang sih stoch buy dan BD FF rev acc, tapi masih terakhir spike jual. Abis drop jauh sabar tunggu firm reversal, tunggu bikin higher low

ADMR – stoch buy, macd rev up almost buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, BD FF rev acc, udah bikin higher low, kayanya ada freq spike juga, kita check dulu

Pas di bawah 3 kali spike terus jalan, spike jual kecil, lanjut spike beli walau ga terlalu besar. OK sih ini, bisa spec buy, full load tunggu MACD

JPFA – stoch buy, macd down, MFI down, w% downtrend, BD FF acc, agak mencurigakan sih, akum terus walau turun, tapi apakah udah selesai dibawa turunnya. Technically belum.

Belum dulu sih, terakhir spike jual, lagipula udah pegang CPIN, skip dulu

SMGR – rsi reg bear div, memang sih stoch buy, BD FF rev acc, w% uptrend, kemaren candle ijo vol gede, tapi udah run lumayan panjang dan udah deket sama fibo 23, resiko kejedot terus dibanting

Ada spike tinggi 2 hari lalu sebelum diangkat 5.8%. Ga berani ah, curiga itu spike balikin barang

MYOR – stoch up, macd buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, tapi BD FF dist terus belum beres, hari ini kalo closing di atas breakout resistance, akhir dari wave 4? Munking aja sih, WNS dulu tunggu rev acc

ERAA – sejak breakout technical masih ok, tapi baru kena trailing stop, minggir dulu..