March 13th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 300 points lower, posts worst week since June as Silicon Valley Bank collapse sparks selloff

Stocks tumbled Friday as tech-focused lender Silicon Valley Bank shut down following losses in its bond portfolio, prompting the biggest bank failure since the global financial crisis and sending shockwaves through the banking sector.

Dow……31910 -345.2 -1.07%
Nasdaq11139 -199.5 -1.76%
S&P 500.3862 -56.8 -1.45%

FTSE…….7748 -131.6 -1.67%
Dax……..15428 -205.2 -1.31%
CAC……..7221 -95.2 -1.30%

Nikkei…..28144 -479.2 -1.67%
HSI……..19320 -605.8 -3.04%‼️
Shanghai.3230 -46.02 -1.40%

IDX…..6765.30 -34.49 -0.51%
LQ45….937.14 -5.75 -0.61%
IDX30…487.68 -3.61 -0.73%

IDXEnergy…2050.29 -10.55 -0.51%
IDX BscMat 1177.07 -1.75 -0.15%
IDX Indstrl..1170.18 -6.01 -0.51%
IDXNONCYC..727.65 -1.25 -0.17%
IDX Hlthcare1544.07 -3.04 -0.20%
IDXCYCLIC…829.95 -4.46 -0.53%
IDX Techno.5358.07 -72.43 -1.33%
IDX Transp.1814.30 -26.98 -1.47%
IDX Infrast….831.78 -4.62 -0.55%
IDX Finance1393.63 -9.78 -0.70%
IDX Banking1132.84 -9.79 -0.86%
IDX Property….681 -2.50 -0.37%

Indo10Yr.6.9713 -0.0182 -0.26%
ICBI….349.0598 +0.4047 +0.12%
US2Yr4.5925 -0.0045 -0.10%
US5Yr 3.9700.-0.0170 -0.43%
US10Yr3.7040 -0.0090-0.26%
US30Yr.3.7120 -0.012 -0.32%
VIX…… 24.80 +2.19 +9.69%‼️

USDIndx104.5760 -0.6790 -0.65%‼️
Como Indx.264.99 +0.34 +0.13%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…156.28 -1.38 -0.88%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15450.00‼️ +17.50 +0.11%
Jisdor.15468.00‼️ +30.00 +0.19%

Euro……1.0643 +0.00630 +0.60%

TLKM….25.99 +0.32 +1.25%
(4020)
EIDO……22.11 -0.09 -0.41%
EEM……37.84 -0.20 -0.53%

Oil….76.68 +0.96 +1.27%
Gold1867.20‼️ +32.60 +1.88%
Timah .22912.00 – 439 -1.65%
(Closed 03/10)
Nickel..22688.00 -577.0 -2.48%
(Closed 03/10)
Silver…..20.51 +0.34 +1.69%
Copper.400.05 -0.85 -0.21%

Nturl Gas.2.436 -0.0560 -2.25%

Ammonia 4406.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/08)

Coal price.185.24 +5.25 +2.92%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.193.00 +9.00 +4.89%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.197.34 +9.25 +4.92%‼️
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.201.50 +5.00 +2.55%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.135.00 +8.25 +6.51%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 132.00 +8.75 +7.10%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 131.50 +7.75 +6.26%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 131.50 +7.05 +5.66%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4098 -106 -2.52%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..617.25 +5.75 +0.94%
SoybeanOil.56.61 -0.45 -0.79%
Wheat…..679.25 +13.50 +2.03%

Wood pulp…5690.00 unch +0.18%
(Closed 03/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index regional closing merah semua, HangSeng paling dalem drop nya. Masih rada suram, tapi ga lama lagi harusnya, bank sudah mulai gerak

OIl up, gas down, coal jump, gold silver ijo, metal2 lain merah, cpo drop lagi. Siap siap ANTM MDKA

IHSG – stochastic and macd still down, 833 buy, BD flalt, NFB udah 2 hari, MFIup, w% sw, udah koreksi ke sekitar fibo 50-61, udah cukup buat mantul, walau jeleknya triangle breakdown…

Financials udah gerak, Property, Technology. Yang kemaren leading Industrials sama Energy melemah

Stoch Buy Signal: BBTN SCMA TPIA

MACD buy signal: BBRI TPIA

Alligator Buy Signal: MTEL

March 08th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes 570 points lower, turns negative for 2023 as Powell ignites higher rate fears

Stocks sold off sharply Tuesday after comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell suggested that rates may need to go higher for longer, fueling fears of a potentially larger hike at the central bank’s next policy meeting.

Dow…..32856 -574.98 -1.72%
Nasdaq11530 -145.4 -1.25%
S&P 500.3986 -62.1 -1.53%

FTSE…….7919 -10.3 -0.13%
Dax……..15560 -94.1 -0.60%
CAC……..7339 -33.9 -0.46%

Nikkei…..28309 +71.4 +0.25%
HSI……. .20534 -68.7 -0.33%
Shanghai.3285 -36.9 -1.11%

IDX…..6766.77 -40.24 -0.59%
LQ45….935.74 -2.98 -0.32%
IDX30…486.93 -1.93 -0.40%

IDXEnergy…2052.85 -36.18 -1.73%
IDX BscMat 1192.84 -14.75 -1.22%
IDX Indstrl..1171.30 -20.22 -1.70%
IDXNONCYC..731.23 -5.62 -0.76%
IDX Hlthcare1540.19 -5.25 -0.34%
IDXCYCLIC…841.61 -3.18 -0.38%
IDX Techno.5429.08 -30.68 -0.71%
IDX Transp.1800.08 -50.78 -2.74%
IDX Infrast….832.76 -10.11 -1.20%
IDX Finance1395.89 -9.83 -0.70%
IDX Banking1128.15 -2.30 -0.20%
IDX Property….685 -1.60 -0.23%

Indo10Yr.6.9517 +0.0191 +0.28%
ICBI….349.1900 -0.1630 -0.05%
US2Yr5.0148‼️+0.1210 +2.47%‼️
US5Yr 4.3150‼️+0.0460 +1.08%
US10Yr3.9700‼️-0.0130 -0.34%
US30Yr.3.8770‼️-0.0350 -0.90%
VIX……. 19.59 +0.98 +5.27%‼️

USDIndx104.2740 -0.2470 -0.24%
Como Indx.269.58 -4.01 -1.47%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…157.91 -3.34 -2.07%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15367.00 +72.00 +0.47%‼️
Jisdor.15301.00 +58.00 +0.38%‼️

Euro……1.0549 -0.0133 -1.24%

TLKM….25.35 -0.33 -1.28%
(3879)
EIDO……22.11 -0.31 -1.38%
EEM……38.74 -0.66 -1.68%

Oil….77.58 -2.88 -3.58%‼️
Gold…1820.00 -34.60 -1.87%‼️
Timah 25334 – -%
(Closed 03/01)
Nickel..24217.00 -295.50 -1.21%
(Closed 03/06)
Silver…..20.20 -0.94 -4.43%‼️
Copper.397.50 -11.35 -2.78%

Nturl Gas.2.658 +0.0530 +2.03%

Ammonia 4422.33 +16.66 +0.38%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/06)

Coal price.179.25 -2.50 -1.38%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.183.25 -5.50 -2.91%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.186.50 -4.35 -2.28%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.192.65 -3.10 -1.58%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.124.50 -1.50 -1.22%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 117.50 -1.50 -1.29%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 119.50 +2.50 +2.14%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 120.00 +3.30 +2.82%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4206 -72 -1.68%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..634.25 -2.75 -0.43%
SoybeanOil..60.45 -0.74 -1.21%
Wheat….698.00 +16.50 +5.08%‼️

Wood pulp…5760.00 -40 -0.69%
(Closed 03/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua merah kecuali nikkei, US drop dalem. Semoga commodity juga kecuali gas. PGAS jalan? Maybe…

IHSG – stoch ngebalik jadi sell lagi, beneran ini berbahaya… Tapi dari fibonacci retracement lagi di fibo 50, semoga mantul. masih NFS terus, dan BD ga jagain, MFI sw, w% downtrend, triangle breakdown, berhenti belanja dulu bagusnya kecuali saham2 yang firm dipake ganjel index

Industrials Energy Property Technology. Tapi bener2 hati2, harga commodity terkait energy pada turun, Property kayanya yang mendingan

Stoch Buy Signal: ANTM BBNI ICBP SIDO

MACD Buy Signal: DSNG MTEL RAJA

February 23th,, 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500 notches fourth day of losses after Fed minutes reaffirm tough stance on inflation

Stocks ended lower on Wednesday as traders parsed through a summary of the Federal Reserve’s most recent meeting, looking for clues on the central bank’s next move against inflation.

Dow…..33045 -84.5 -0.26%
Nasdaq11507 +14.8 +0.13%
S&P 500..3991 -6.3 -0.16%

FTSE…….7931 -47.1 -0.59%
Dax……..15400 +2.3 +0.01%
CAC……..7299 -9.4 -0.13%

Nikkei…..27104 -368.8 -1.34%
HSI………20424 -105.7 -0.51%
Shanghai.3291 -15.4 -0.47%

IDX…..6809.97 -63.44 -0.92%
LQ45….939.99 -10.51 -1.11%
IDX30…488.37 -5.52 -1.12%

IDXEnergy…2047.85 -4.56. -0.22%
IDX BscMat 1242.66 -13.95 -1.11%
IDX Indstrl…1141.44 +1.19 +0.10%
IDXNONCYC..758.23 -5.89 -0.77%
IDX Hlthcare1577.95 -30.61 -1.90%
IDXCYCLIC…844.19 -4.16 -0.49%
*IDX Techno.5382.56 -129.25 -2.35%*
IDX Transp1873.92 -4.99 -0.27%
IDX Infrast….860.15 -13.20 -1.51%
IDX Finance1405.28 -16.88 -1.19%
IDX Banking1132.43 -16.04 -1.40%
IDX Property….687 -3.20 -0.46%

*Indo10Yr.6.8119 +0.0196+0.29%*
*ICBI..350.3620-0.2267 -0.06%*
*US5Yr 4.1640* -0.0090 -0.22%
*US10Yr3.9270* -0.0260 -0.65%
*US30Yr.3.9230 -0.0530 -1.33%*
*VIX…..22.29 -0.58 -2.54%*

*USDIndx104.1830+0.3150 +0.30%‼️*
Como Indx.266.10 -2.38 -0.89%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….165.56 -2.86 -1.70%

*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR…..15200.00 +10.00 +0.07%*
*Jisdor.15218.00 +39.00 +0.26%*

Euro……1.0606 -0.0038 -0.36%

TLKM….25.54 +0.45 +1.79%
*(3886)*
EIDO……22.09 -0.17 -0.74%
EEM……38.99 -0.19 -0.48%

*Oil…….73.95 -2.21 -3.16%‼️*
Gold 1841.50 -2.20 -0.12%
*Timah 26700 +826.00 +3.09%‼️*
*(Closed 02/21)*
Nickel.26576.50 -123.50.00 -0.46%
(Closed 02/22)
Silver…….21.82 -0.18 -0.82%
Copper..418.50 -1.50 -0.36%

*Nturl Gas.2.290 +0.106+4.85%‼️*

Ammonia 4306.67 +16.67 +0.39%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(02/21)

Coal price.209.65 +0.65 +0.31%
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price199.65 +12.65 +6.76%‼️*
(Mar/Newcastle)
*Coal price197.00 +9.00 +4.79%‼️*
(Apr/Newcastle)
*Coal price200.35 +4.35 +2.22%*
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.137.15 +0.15 +0.11%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
*Coal price 139.30 +3.35 +2.46%*
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price138.30 +3.80 +2.83%*
(Apr/Rotterdam)
*Coal price138.20 +5.20 +3.91%*
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)….4148 +9 +0.22%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..674.25 -6.25 -0.92%
SoybeanOil..63.05 +0.10 +0.16%
Wheat…….750.00 -12.75 -1.67%

*Wood pulp…5950.00 -40 -0.67%*
(Closed 02/21)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

DJI masih merah tapi ga segila kemaren yang drop 2%, Nasdaw malah ijo tipis, europe majority merah, asia merah semua, dicermati yang kemaren nongol sell signal gara2 drop, yang perlu cutloss ya cutloss dulu, gampang beli lagi belakangan pas bullish

Oil, Gas rebound, coal lanjut naik, CPO ngebalik ijo, metal2 rata2 merah kecuali timah yang naik tinggi. Dari sisi ini sih market masih ok harusnya. Index walau ada kemungkinan tetep merah tapi keliatannya saham2 energy akan melawan gravitasi

IHSG – stoch down, MACD down, MFI down, w% downtrend, FF dist tipis, BD flat ga jagain harga, dari fibonacci last low pas di 38, ini deket 50, udah cukup lah ya, semoga langsung tutup gap hari ini, atau sideways dulu ga drop lagi

Healthcare, Infrastructure, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Transportation, disusul Basic Materials sama Industrials

Stochastic Buy Signal: TOBA ANJT WINS SGRO EKAD

MACD Buy Signal: TLKM

Alligator Buy Signal: TBIG MTEL TAPG

February 20th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 100 points higher on Friday, but notches third straight week of losses on rate fears: Live updates

U.S. stocks were mixed on Friday as stubbornly high inflation and a rebound in rates continued to weigh on investor sentiment.

Dow…….33827 +129.8 +0.39%
Nasdaq.11787 -68.6 -0.58%
S&P 500..4079 -11.3 -0.28%

FTSE…….8004 -8.1 -0.10%
Dax……..15482 -51.6 -0.33%
CAC……..7348 -18.4 -0.25%

Nikkei…..27513 -183.3 -0.66%
HSI………20720 -267.9 -1.28%
Shanghai..3224 -25.01 -0.77%

IDX…..6895.71 +0.05 +0.05%
LQ45….954.38 +0.89 +0.09%
IDX30…496.30 +0.62 +0.12%

IDXEnergy…2082.24 -15.90 -0.76%
IDX BscMat 1250.68 -9.82 -0.78%
IDX Indstrl…1155.18 -2.51 -0.22%
IDXNONCYC..759.27 +3.86 +0.51%
IDX Hlthcare1615.73 +10.34+0.64%
IDXCYCLIC…844.41 -5.31 -0.63%
IDX Techno5613.44 +27.60 +0.49%
IDX Transp1841.68 -5.26 -0.28%
IDX Infrast….865.21 -1.82 -0.21 %
IDX Finance1427.65 +4.48 +0.32%
IDX Banking1162.24 +5.43 +0.47%
IDX Property….697 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.7641 -0.0056 -0.08%
ICBI..350.7567 +0.1073 +0.03%
US10Yr.3.8280 -0.0150 -0.39%
VIX……20.02 -0.15 -0.74%

USDIndx104.0500+0.2289+0.21%‼️
Como Indx.267.57 -2.68 -0.99%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..163.14 -0.34 -0.21%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15210.00 +51.00 +0.34%‼️
Jisdor.15199.00 +23.00 +0.15%‼️

Euro……1.0686 -0.0004 -0.04%

TLKM….24.86 -0.01 -0.04%
(3778)
EIDO……23.18 -0.11 -0.47%
EEM……39.68 -0.44 -1.10%

Oil…….76.34 -2.15 -2.74%
Gold 1850.20 -1.60 -0.09%
Timah 25856 -1148.00 -4.25%‼️
(Closed 02/17)
Nickel.26647.00 -967.50 -3.63%‼️
(Closed 02/17)
Silver…….21.86 -0.01 -0.06%
Copper..410.50 -1.65 -0.40%

Nturl Gas.2.300 -0.093 -3.88%‼️

Ammonia 4323.33 -83.34 -1.89%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/16)

Coal price.209.35 -4.65 -2.17%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price183.00 -3.30 -1.77%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price180.65 -3.30 -1.79%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price182.40 -3.05 -1.64%
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.136.50 -0.50 -0.36%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 136.20-2.80 -2.01%
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price134.95 -2.05 -1.50%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price134.30 -3.10 -2.26%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)….4136 +66 +1.62%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..677.50 +2.50 +0.37%
SoybeanOil..61.75 -0.40 -0.64%
Wheat…….776.25 unch +0%

Wood pulp…6030.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/19)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Era9wati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua merah kecuali Dollar Index dan DJI, Kospi dan IDX ijo tipis, almost doji. Not good, tapi asal major uptrend malah jadi waktunya belanja

Semua commodity juga merah kecuali CPO, pas buat AALI sama LSIP untuk finally jalan

IHSG – belum berhasil breakout resistance, masih NFS, BD flat, MACD sell, Stoch sw, MFI down, ST up alligator up, w% sw, masih sideways dulu kayanya, dengan big banks LK bagus optimis major tetep uptrend, tapi hati2 sell-off pemain teknikal bisa banting karena pada exit liat MACD sell

Healthcare, Infrastructure (versi telco and tower provider, bukan BUMN karya), Energy (versi coal)

Stochastic Buy Signal: GOTO INDY TOWR AALI AGRO ASSA DSNG JSMR PNLF AFMG

JSMR very big accumulation

MACD Buy Signal: AFMG

Alligator Buy Signal: BRIS

Supertrend Buy Signal: GOTO