August 05th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes down 600 points, Nasdaq enters correction after weak jobs report

Stocks fell sharply on Friday as a much weaker-than-anticipated jobs report for July ignited worries that the economy could be falling into a recession.

Dow…….39737 -610.7 -1.51%
Nasdaq16776 -417.98 -2.43%
S&P 500.5347 -100.6 -1.84%

FTSE…..8175 -108.7 -1.31%
Dax……17661 -421.8 -2.33%
CAC……7252 -118.7 -1.61%

Nikkei..35910 -2216.7 -5.81%‼️
HSI…..16946 -359.5 -2.08%
Shanghai.2905 -27.1 -0.92%

IDX….7308.12 -17.86 -0.24%
LQ45…919.37 -6.14 -0.66%
IDX30.461.45 +6.69 +1.47%

IDXEnergy..2479.49 +19.86 +0.81%
IDX BscMat1360.74 -10.48 -0.76%
IDX Indstrl.1036.58 +0.01 +0.00%
IDXNONCYC.701.00 -4.02 -0.57%
IDX Hlthcare1441.80 -6.55 -0.45%
IDXCYCLIC…764.18 +4.37 +0.57%
IDXTechno.3272.03 -12.19 -0.37%
IDX Transp 1377.07 -14.51 -1.04%
IDX Infrast 1557.37 -11.09 -0.71%
IDX Finance1412.80 -4.35 -0.31%
IDX Banking1259.19 -4.13 -0.33%
IDX Property…..652 +3.10 +0.48%

Indo10Yr.6.9083❗️ -0.0092 -0.13%
ICBI…385.6435❗️ +0.1951 +0.05%
US2Yr.3.878👍 -0.282 -6.78%‼️
US5Yr 3.615👍 -0.229 -5.96%‼️
US10Yr3.792👍 -0.178 -4.48%‼️
US30Yr.4.109 -0.171 -3.99%‼️
VIX..23.39‼️ +4.80 +25.82%‼️

USDIndx 103.2080👍 -1.213 -1.16%
Como Indx….270.13 -3.46 -1.26%
BCOMIN…..138.20 -0.90 -0.66%

IndoCDS..77.20 +2.50 +3.35%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/07)

IDR…..16200.00❗️ -37.00 -0.23%
Jisdor.16234.00❗️ -9.00 -0.06%

Euro…1.0789 -0.0037 -0.34%

TLKM…17.55 -0.04 -0.20%*
( 2849)
EIDO….20.30 +0.12 +0.57%
EEM……41.60 -0.61 -1.44%

Oil………..76.79 -3.27 -4.25%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….76.81 -2.71 -3.41%
(Brent)
Gold…..2469.80 -19.40 -0.78%
(Comex)
Gold……2443.24 -4.76 -0.19%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..30188.00 +234.00 +0.98%
(Closed 01/08)
Nickel..16365.50 +130.50 +0.80%
(Closed 01/08)
Silver….28.39 -0.22 -0.77%
Copper.410.30 +3.60 +0.89%

Iron Ore 62% 104.00 +1.17 +1.14%
(02/08)
Nturl Gas 1.978‼️ -0.064 -3.13%
Ammonia China 2346.67 -196.66 -7.73%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/08)

Coal price.144.10 +1.55 +1.09%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.75 +1.95 +1.36%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 146.90 +1.65 +1.14%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.148.40 +1.75 +1.19%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.121.35 +1.40 +1.17%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.20 +1.40 +1.16%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 121.75 +1.30 +1.08%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.10 +1.55 +1.29%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3858 +35 +0.92%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..403.25 +4.75 +1.19%
SoybeanOil 40.81 -0.64 -1.54%
Wheat…..539.00 +7.009 +1.32%

Wood pulp..5150 unch +0%
(Closed 04/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index Regional merah semua pas closing jum’at, IHSG malah paling moderate. US bond yield drop, kalo hanya liat itu bisa ijo IHSG hari ini, tapi lebih besar kemungkinan merahnya sih, beresin wave 2, sama double top kemaren

USD index drop tapi metal2 jg drop kecuali iron ore, oil drop jauh, gas juga, coal yang bertahan ijo sama CPO. Waktunya PTBA AALI LSIP gerak

IHSG – stochastic nya seolah olah mau lanjut jalan, tapi MACD nya masih says down, price action juga malah hampir triple top, BD lagi sw, FF mulai net buy tapi curiga rebalancing LQ45 dan Kompas100 yang memicunya. Masih very selective buying

Basic Materials

Stochastic Buy Signal: MTEL PGAS PTBA ADMR BMTR BSDE ENRG ERAA PTPP KBLI SMDR, big accum PGAS PTBA ADMR BSDE

MACD Buy Signal: OTMG SIDO ADMR BSDE NISP TPIA, big accum ITMG ADMR BSDE

July 18th, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq posts worst day since 2022, Dow gains 200 points as investors rotate out of tech

The S&P 500
and Nasdaq Composite
retreated on Wednesday as the rotation out of high-flying technology shares and into more rate-sensitive names continued

Dow……41198 +243.6 +0.59%
Nasdaq17997 -512.4 -2.77%‼️
S&P 500.5588 -78.93 -1.39%

FTSE…..8188 +22.6 +0.28%
Dax……18437 -80.7 -0.44%
CAC……7571 -9.2 -0.12%

Nikkei..41098 -177.4 -0.43%
HSI……17739 +11.4 +0.06%
Shanghai.2963 -13.5 -0.45%

IDX….7224.22 -0.07 -0.00%
LQ45..910.07 +5.52 +0.61%
IDX30.454.82 +3.96 +0.88%

IDXEnergy..2416.50 -1.14 -0.05%
IDX BscMat1383.43 -4.42 -0.32%
IDX Indstrl.1018.09 +1.74 +0.17%
IDXNONCYC.714.86 +5.40 +0.76%
IDX Hlthcare1420.53 -5.96 -0.42%
IDXCYCLIC…752.71 -0.30 -0.04%
IDXTechno3322.92 -8.25 -1.15%
IDX Transp 1363.57 +7.70. +0.57%
IDX Infrast 1583.19 -0.59 -0.04%
IDX Finance1392.53 +5.34 +0.38%
IDX Banking1231.03 +7.67 +0.63%
IDX Property…..642 +1.40 +0.22%

Indo10Yr.7.0030 -0.0224 -0.32%
ICBI…382.8207 +0.6016 +0.16%
US2Yr.4.438 +0.017 +0.38%
US5Yr 4.081 +0.005 +0.12%
US10Yr4.160 +0.003 +0.07%
US30Yr.4.376 +0.004 +0.09%
VIX..14.48 +1.29 +9.78%‼️

USDIndx 103.7480👍 -0.522 -0.50%
Como Indx….286.06 +0.27 +0.09%
BCOMIN…… 147.03 -1.04 -0.70%

IndoCDS..72.75 +1.02 +1.42%
(5-yr INOCD5) (16/07)

IDR…..16100.00 -79.50👍 -0.49%
Jisdor.16129.00 -74.00👍 -0.46%

Euro…1.0940 +0.0040 +0.37%

TLKM…20.30 +0.98 +5.08%‼️
( 3274)
EIDO….20.13 +0.06 +0.30%
EEM…..43.57 -0.72 -1.63%

Oil…….83.19 +2.39 +2.96%❗️
Gold…..2462.10 -11.50 -0.46%
Timah..32950.00 -221.00 -0.67%
(Closed 17/07)
Nickel..16519.00 -214.50 -1.28%
(Closed 17/07)
Silver….30.60 -1.03 -3.26%‼️
Copper.441.55 -9.45 -2.10%

Iron Ore 62% 109.39 -0.28 -0.26%
(16/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.050 -0.133 -6.09%
Ammonia China 2783.33. unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(17/07)

Coal price.134.75 +0.35 +0.26%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.90 -0.35 -0.25%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.50 -0.10 -0.72%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 138.85 -1.85 -1.31%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.104.60 -1.90 -1.78%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..107.20 -3.75 -3.38%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.108.40 -2.60 -2.34%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.85 -3.05 -2.75%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3921 -5 -0.13%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..411.75 +3.00 +0.73%
SoybeanOil 43.99 -0.96 -2.11%
Wheat…..539.25 +8.50 +1.60%

Wood pulp..5200 -20 -0.38%
(Closed 17/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Nasdaq terjun bebas, DJI ijo lemparan dari nasdaq, europe mostly down, asia juga, US bond yield up, IHSG lanjut down lah hari ini

USD index down tapi metal2 juga down, Oil up gas drop coal down CPO down, koreksi semua dong kalo kaya gini

IHSG – all says down, Foreign Net Sell juga, masih koreksi dulu

Koq RSI nya belum ngikut turun sih ya, misleading jadinya

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA GOTO INCO MAPI MAPI MTEL PGAS DSNG RALS, big accum AKRA INCO MTEL PGAS

MACD Buy Signal: ARTO MAPI

Stochastic Continuation Signal & Big Accum: TINS

July 11th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes above 5,600 for the first time, lifted by gains in Big Tech

The S&P 500
climbed Wednesday to a fresh record, breaking above 5,600 for the first time, as a sharp rise in semiconductor stocks led the market higher.

Dow……39721  +429.4  +1.09%
Nasdaq18648  +218.2   +1.18%
S&P 500.5634  +56.9     +1.02%

FTSE…..8193   +53.7     +0.66%
Dax……18407  +171.03 +0.94%
CAC……7574   +64.9      +0.86%

Nikkei..41832   +251.8    +0.61%
HSI…..17472     -51.6       -0.29%
Shanghai.2939 -20.01     -0.68%

IDX….7287.04 +17.24  +0.24%
LQ45..912.33   +2.91    +0.32%
IDX30.455.38   +0.62    +0.14%

IDXEnergy..2419.65  -1.96     -0.08%
IDX BscMat1385.96 +0.07    +0.00%
IDX Indstrl.1013.99  +5.25     +0.52%
IDXNONCYC.710.22 +3.20    +0.45%
IDX Hlthcare1434.08+5.45    +0.38%
IDXCYCLIC…737.03  -2.10      -0.28%
IDXTechno3271.96   -23.48   -0.14%
IDX Transp 1300.73  -3.87      -0.30%
IDX Infrast  1581.77  +4.45     +0.28%
IDX Finance1387.54 -4.33       -0.43%
IDX Banking1225.88 -5.30       -0.43%
IDX Property…..616   +1.60     +0.27%

Indo10Yr.7.0591 +0.0009  +0.01%
ICBI…381.2281  +0.1093  +0.03%
US2Yr.4.624   -0.002  -0.04%
US5Yr 4.237   -0.008  -0.19%
US10Yr4.280 -0.018  -0.42%
US30Yr.4.470 -0.019 -0.42%
VIX..12.82      +0.34    +2.72%

USDIndx 105.0480  -0.081  -0.08%
Como Indx….289.71   -0.27     -0.09%
BCOMIN……   152.50  +0.02    +0.01%

IndoCDS..72.72👍  -0.98   -1.33%
(5-yr INOCD5) (09/07)

IDR…..16240.00❗️  -10.50  -0.06%
Jisdor.16256.00❗️  -25.00  -0.15%

Euro…1.0833  +0.0018   +0.17%

TLKM…19.34 +0.34   +1.55%
( 3144)
EIDO….20.17  +0.16   +0.80%
EEM…..44.07     +0.23     +0.52%

Oil…….82.39   +0.71  +0.87%
Gold…..2378.30 +8.10  +0.34%
Timah..35007.00‼️ +657.00 +1.91%
(Closed 10/07)
Nickel..16849.00  -300.00  -1.75%
(Closed 10/07)
Silver….31.10     +0.03   +0.10%
Copper.459.10   +1.20   +0.26%

Iron Ore 62% 110.51  +0.49  +0.45%
(09/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.325  -0.026  -1.11%
Ammonia China 2850.00  unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(09/07)

Coal price.133.75  -1.50   -1.11%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.00   unch   +0%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.05   +0.45   +0.33%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 137.10   -0.05    -0.04%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.101.85    -1.15   -1.12%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..102.65   -1.35   -1.30%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 104.00   -1.50   -1.42%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 104.55   -1.45   -1.37%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..3918  -40   -1.01%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..407.25       -1.25    -0.31%
SoybeanOil 45.58  -0.73    -1.58%
Wheat…561.50      -10.50  -1.84%

Wood pulp..5260  -60   -1.13%
(Closed 10/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo tebel, europe ijo, asia varied, US bond yield turun, harusnya ijo lagi sih ini

USD index down, metal2 up kecuali nickel, oil up gas down coal mostly down, cpo down, masih go buat ANTM TINS, AALI masih koreksi dulu lagi, kita tunggu 833 baru masuk nambah muatan

IHSG – kemaren FNS, indicator beberapa bilang udah jenuh, perlu koreksi, tapi US market mendukung ijo, yang jelas bukan saat yang baik buat aggressive belanja dulu, mungkin ngintip2 momen profit taking sebagian lebih cocok, sambil ngosongin sebagian muatan untuk belanja lagi kalo pas koreksi

Industrials, Transportation, Technology, nambah Property yang terlihat gerak, memang banyak buy signal dan udah gerak, tapi kemaren belum firm aman buat masuk, kita assess pas ada yang buy signal lagi

Stochastic Buy Signal: HEAL NISP TPIA BRAM, TPIA big accum

Stochastic continuation Signal and Big accum: CPIN MTEL WIIM

July 09th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500, Nasdaq close at all-time highs ahead of inflation data and second-quarter earnings reports

The S&P 500
and Nasdaq closed at record highs on Monday as investors await key inflation data to provide further clues about whether this year’s market rally is sustainable. Earnings from some major financial giants and consumer companies are also on the docket.

Dow……39345 -31.1 -0.08%
Nasdaq18404 +50.98 +0.28%
S&P 500.5573 +5.7 +0.10%

FTSE…..8193 -10.4 -0.13%
Dax……18472 -3.4 -0.02%
CAC……7627 -48.2 -0.63%

Nikkei..40781 -131.8 -0.32%
HSI…..17524 -275.6 -1.55%
Shanghai.2922 -27.5 -0.93%

IDX….7250.98 -2.39 -0.03%
LQ45..904.33 -2.31 -0.25%
IDX30.452.34 +0.09 +0.02%

IDXEnergy..2440.14 -10.81 -0.44%
IDX BscMat1390.64 -3.10 -0.43%
IDX Indstrl. 997.72 +11.58 +1.17%
IDXNONCYC.708.69 +9.02 +1.29%
IDX Hlthcare1447.18+18.20 +1.27%
IDXCYCLIC…738.37 +0.82 +1.21%
IDXTechno3299.93 +39.60 +1.21%
IDX Transp 1303.39 +2.49 +0.19%
IDX Infrast 1572.48 +23.95 +1.55%
IDX Finance1372.13 -2.71 -0.20%
IDX Banking1205.14 -6.85 -0.57%
IDX Property…..613 +13.50 +2.26%

Indo10Yr.7.0484👍 -0.0174 -0.25%
ICBI…381.3072👍 +0.4719 +0.12%
US2Yr.4.635 +0.029 +0.63%
US5Yr 4.241 +0.014 +0.33%
US10Yr4.275 -0.003 -0.07%
US30Yr.4.463 -0.013 -0.29%
VIX..12.37 -0.11 -0.88%

USDIndx 105.00 +0.125 +0.12%
Como Indx….290.91 -2.52 -0.86%
BCOMIN…… 154.38 -0.81 -0.52%

IndoCDS..74.22👍 -0.49 -0.66%
(5-yr INOCD5) (05/07)

IDR…..16257.00❗️ -20.00 -0.12%
Jisdor.16265.00❗️ -47.00 -0.29%

Euro…1.0825 -0.0015 -0.14%

TLKM…18.69 +0.06 +0.30%
( 3040)
EIDO….19.87 +0.02 +0.10%
EEM…..43.64 +0.01 +0.41%

Oil…….82.22 -0.94 -1.13%
Gold…..2366.60 -31.10 -1.30%
Timah..34218.00 +344.00 +1.02%
(Closed 08/07)
Nickel..17441.00 +58.00 +0.33%
(Closed 08/07)
Silver….31.08 -0.61 -1.92%
Copper.461.60 -3.70 -0.80%

Iron Ore 62% 111.31 -1.75 -1.55%
(05/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.378 +0.048 +2.06%
Ammonia China 2846.67 -16.60 -0.58%
(Domestic Price)(05/07)

Coal price.135.70 -0.70 -0.52%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.00 -1.45 -1.05%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.35 -1.25 -0.90%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 138.10 -0.45 -0.32%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.104.50 -0.50 -0.48%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..106.05 -1.00 -0.93%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.70 -1.10 -1.01%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.75 -0.60 -0.55%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..4040 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..407.75 -16.25 -3.83%‼️
SoybeanOil 48.26 -0.44 -0.90%
Wheat…570.50 -20.00 -3.39%‼️

Wood pulp..5420 unch +0%
(Closed 08/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah nasdaq ijo, europe merah, asia merah, US bond yield yang 2 dan 5 tahun naik yang panjang2 turun, masih jadwal koreksi dulu kalo gini

USD index up, metal2 down kecuali tin nickel, oil down gas up coal down, yups, jadwal koreksi dulu

IHSG – ini ada dua gap mengkhawatirkan, hari ini IHSG nya ijo tebel lagi, happy sih, tapi khawatir kapan koreksinya dan model gimana koreksinya bakal kejadian

Basic Materials, Industrials, Technology

Stochastic Buy Signal: BSDE

MACD Buy Signal: ACES ICBP INCO DNSG ERAA MIKA PWON TRON. Big accum ACES MIKA

Stochastic Continuation Signal dan Big Accum Banyak jg, ANTM, BBCA, ESSA, MDKA, MTEL, PGAS, PGEO, BTPS, CTRA, ISAT, SCMA, SMSM. diatas 50% PGAS