Daily Analysis 20221004

Daily Analysis 20221004

Global update:

 

October 04th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks surge to kick off October and a new quarter as bond yields tumble, Dow closes up 760 points

Stocks rallied Monday to start the new month and quarter, as Treasury yields eased from levels not seen in roughly a decade.

Dow…….29491 +765.4 +2.66%
Nasdaq.10815 +239.8 +2.27%
S&P 500..3678 +92.8 +2.59%

FTSE…….6909 +14.95 +0.22%
Dax……..12209 +95.1 +0.79%
CAC……..5794 +31.8 +0.55%

Nikkei….26216 +278.6 +1.07%
HSI……..17080 -143.3 -0.83%
Shanghai..3024 closed +0%
ST Times..3107 -23.2 -0.74%

IDX…….7009.72 -31.08 -0.44%
LQ45…1006.37 -5.10 -0.50%

IDX Energy…1933.09 +12.79 +0.67%
IDX Bsc Mat.1229.18 -8.79 -0.71%
IDX Industrl..1283.57 +12.85 +1.01%
IDXNONCYC..699.61 +3.15 +0.45%
IDX Hlthcare.1459.23 -38.64 -2.58%
IDXCYCLIC…..848.43 -1.34 -0.16%
IDX Techno..6949.59 -10.25 -0.15%
IDX Transp…1761.72 +2.10 +0.12%
IDX Infrast…….976.83 -4.08 -0.42%
IDX Finance 1475.32 -10.8 -0.73%
٪IDX Banking..1151.50 -7.26 -0.63%
IDX Property….688 +1.60 +0.24%

Indo10Yr….7.4013 -0.0125 -0.17%
ICBI……..333.2363 +0.2645 +0.08%
US10Yr……3.6510 -0.1530 -4.02%
VIX……….30.10 -1.52 -4.81%

USDIndx 111.5430 -0.4640 -0.41%👍
Como Indx..272.82 +4.53 +1.69%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..144.41 +0.97 +0.67%
.
IndoCDS 160.95 +1.42 +0.89%
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/9)

IDR……15302.50 +75.50 +0.50%‼
Jisdor..15293.00 +61.00 +0.40%‼

Euro……..0.9826 +0.0024 +0.24%‼

TLKM……..29.20 +0.35 +1.21%
(4465)
EIDO……..23.56 +0.24 +1.03%
EEM………35.45 +0.57 +1.63%

Oil…………83.32 +3.83 +4.82%‼
Gold ……1707.80 +37.00 +2.21%‼
Timah….20634 – -%
(Closed 30/9)
Nickel…21299.00 -28.00 -0.13%
(Closed 03/10)
Silver…….20.77 +1.73 +9.09%‼
Copper….341.75 +0.50 +0.15%

Nturl Gas…..6.514 -0.312 -4.57%‼

Ammonia..4373.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/9)

Coal price….401.50 -6.20 -1.52%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….412.50 -5.20 -1.24%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….409.50 -3.20 -0.78%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….315.85 +0.35 +0.11%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….313.85 +0.40 +0.13%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….310.85 +0.40 +0.13%
(Des/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3428 +10 +0.29%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………680.75 +3.25 +0.48%
SoybeanOil….63.34 +1.78 +2.89%
Wheat……..912.00 -9.50 -1.03%

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US rebound kenceng, oil gold silver naik tinggi, timah nickel coal minus, copper cpo naik

Kemungkinan opening IHSG ijo dulu, tapi signal masih pada jelek, closing hari kemungkinan hijau dulu, walau wave 2 belum selesai…

IHSG – stoch sw, macd down, MFI down, foreign entry tipis, bandar flat, inside cloud, vol profile ada tebel di 6800 an, gap di 6740, below MA 50, LR PSAR down, masih belum jadwal mantul keliatannya

Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Technology, Healthcare melemah tapi

Daily Analysis 20220823

Daily Analysis 20220823

Global Update:

Dari Phintraco ga ada update market, kita liat dari investing.com aja ya

US merah dalem, europe juga merah, asia jelas udah duluan merah, IHSG sempet minus 1.5%-an, closing 0.9% merah. Wave 2 it is guys, no need to be affraid, emang market mah begitu

Komoditi naik semua, atau bisa dibilang kebalik sih, ketika semua naik, berarti sebenernya dollarnya yang turun.

Semoga ini berarti energy akan lanjut dan basic material ga terlalu dalem dibanting

Asumsi forecast gerakan nya gini ya berdasarkan elliot wave theory, jadi sampe september nanti wajarnya downtrend dulu, jangan pegang barang panjang2 kalo lagi downtrend

Kemaren merah dalem tapi FNB gede, dapet harga obral pemain asing. Ada opening gap, dan merahnya dalem, jadi most like technically hari ini ada rebound dulu. Jangan buat buy, dipake buat sell barang2 yang sektornya bukan Healthcare Energy dan Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Healthcare Energy Consumer Non-Cyclicals, kalo dari cacing RSI ini sama Property dan Consumer Cyclicals juga, tapi chart lain nya ga setuju dengan itu

Daily Analysis 20220812

Daily Analysis 20220812

Global Update:

August 12th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes flat, Nasdaq dips as market comeback rally takes a breather

Stocks struggled for direction on Thursday as investors mulled another better-than-expected inflation report.

Dow…….33337 +27.2 +0.08%
Nasdaq.12780 -74.9 -0.58%
S&P 500..4207 -2.97 -0.07%

FTSE…….7466 -41.2 -0.55%
Dax……..13695 -6.4 -0.05%
CAC……..6555 +21.2 +0.33%

Nikkei….27819 closed +0%
HSI……..20082 +471.6 +2.40%
Shanghai..3282 +51.7 +1.60%
ST Times..3302 +15.6 +0.48%

IDX…….7160.38 +74.15 +1.05%
LQ45…1018.33 +10.53 +1.04%

IDX Energy…1823.35 +18.95 +1.05%
IDX Bsc Mat.1357.45 +26.07 +1.96%
IDX Industrl..1307.26 +3.14 +0.24%
IDXNONCYC..704.86 +0.90 +0.13%
IDX Hlthcare.1414.86 +4.57 +0.32%
IDXCYCLIC…..895.15 -1.17 -0.13%
IDX Techno..8256.40 +221.65 +2.76%
IDX Transp…2108.67 +16.39 +0.78%
IDX Infrast…..1044.04 +11.63 +1.13%
IDX Finance 1537.57 +9.31 +0.61%
IDX Banking..1167.16 +3.58 +0.31%
IDX Property…..709 +13 +1.86%

Indo10Yr….7.2089 -0.0166 -0.23%
ICBI……..335.7363 +1.2252 +0.38%
US10Yr…..2.8880 +0.1020 +3.66%
VIX…………20.20 +0.46 +2.33%

USDIndx 105.0900 -0.1390 -0.13%‼️
Como Indx..295.06 +5.79 +2.00%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..164.27 +3.80 +2.37%
.
IndoCDS…102.39 – 9.85 -8.73%👍
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14765.50 -105.00 -0.71%👍
Jisdor..14799 .00 -76.00 -0.51%👍

Euro………1.0327 +0.0024 +0.23%

TLKM……..30.94 +0.29 +0.95%
(4579)
EIDO………24.10 +0.10 +0.42%
EEM………40.62 +0.16 +0.40%

Oil…………..94.11 +2.53 +2.76%
Gold ……..1804.70 -3.60 -0.20%
Timah. .25541.00 +115.00 +0.47%
( Closed 10/8)
Nickel…23701.00 +1265.00 +5.64%‼️
(Closed 11/8)
Silver…….20.24 -0.33 -1.60%
Copper….369.40 +5.70 +1.57%

Nturl Gas…..8.727 +0.506 +6.15%‼️

Ammonia….3806.67 -unch -0%
China
(Domestic Price)(10/8)

Coal price….401.00 +2.35 +0.59%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….397.00 -3.70 -0.92%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….387.50 -2.50 -0.64%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….344.00 +2.00 +0.58%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….338.25 -0.25 -0.07%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….328.75 -0.25 -0.08%
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)……4268 +162 +3.94%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………627.75 +9.25 +1.50%
SoybeanOil…67.62 +1.63 +2.47%
Wheat………826.25 +10.00 +1.23%

Wood pulp…6720.00 -6 -0.09%
(Closed 11/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing tipis2, Asia ijo masih ikut sentimen kemarennya, europe varied. VIX (volatility index) diatas 20, rada kurang baik buat saham

Lagi, semua komoditas ijo kecuali gold dan silver. Coal kembali diatas 400 USD/MT, Nikel Gas CPO naik tinggi

Ada kemungkinan saham coal dilanjut naik, dan trio ANTM INCO TINS juga. Semoga PGAS yang jalan, udah sempet ada volume breakout tapi masih loyo

IHSG ada 3 gap dibawah… 6911 6740 sama 6162

Keliatannya tapi koreksi wave 2 ini nutup sampe gap yang 6740. Kalau sampe 6162 break pattern, bahaya bener

IHSG – stoch sell, MACD melandai, gap sudah ketutup, LR belum mentok, PSAR tanda2 mau reversal, lagging line di ichimoku, supertrend dan alligator still UP, majornya sih jelas sudah uptrend, tapi wave 2 is eminent sepertinya