Global Update:

September 26th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow drops nearly 500 points to close at new low for 2022 on rising recession fears

Stocks tumbled Friday to cap a brutal week for financial markets, as surging interest rates and foreign currency turmoil heightened fears of a global recession.

Dow…….29590 -486.3 -1.62%
Nasdaq.10868 -198.9 -1.80%
S&P 500..3693 -64.8 -1.72%

FTSE…….7019 -140.9 -1.97%
Dax……..12294 -247.4 -1.97%
CAC……..5783 -135.1 -2.28%

Nikkei….27154 closed +0%
HSI……..17933 -214.7 -1.18%
Shanghai..3088 -20.5 -0.66%
ST Times..3227 -35.97 -1.10%

IDX…….7178.58 -40.32 -0.56%
LQ45…1025.63 -7.01 -0.58%

IDX Energy…1991.67 -23.5 -1.41%
IDX Bsc Mat.1301.65 -2.95 -0.23%
IDX Industrl..1355.13 -13.61 -0.99%
IDXNONCYC..708.57 +4.93 +0.70%
IDX Hlthcare.1465.26 -0.53 -0.04%
IDXCYCLIC…..875.32 -2.93 -0.33%
IDX Techno..7385.64 -52.48 -0.71%
IDX Transp…1861.89 +9.35 +0.50%
IDX Infrast…..1017.76 -1.03 -0.10%
IDX Finance 1505.11 -2.42 -0.16%
IDX Banking..1163.56 -7.23 -0.62%
IDX Property….712 -8.00 -1.11%

Indo10Yr….7.3183 +0.0420 +0.57%
ICBI……..334.4139 -0.7996 -0.24%
US10Yr……3.6970 -0.0110 -0.30%‼️
VIX……….29.92 +2.57 +9.40%‼️

USDIndx113.1920+1.8390 +1.65%‼️‼️
Como Indx..268.47 -9.38 -3.38%‼️
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..146.17 -5.58 -3.68%‼️
.
IndoCDS…111.84 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (25/9)

IDR……15037.50 +14.50 +0.10%‼️
Jisdor..15035.00 +2.00 +0.01%‼️

Euro……..0.9687 -0.015 -1.52%‼️

TLKM……..28.71 -0.59 -2.01%
(4316)
EIDO………23.94 -0.40 -1.64%
EEM………35.98 -0.91 -2.47%

Oil…………..78.74 -4.92 -5.88%‼️
Gold ……1655.60 -23.80 -1.41%‼️
Timah. .2p243.00 -1407 -6.50%‼️
( Closed 23/9)
Nickel…23389.50 -989.00 -4.21%‼️
(Closed 23/9)
Silver…….18.91 -0.74 -3.77%‼️
Copper….334.30 -12.20 -3.52%

Nturl Gas…..6.992 -0.212 -2.94%

Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(22/9)

Coal price….435.20 -0.45 -0.10%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….410.20 -10.45 -2.48%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….411.15 -9.80 -2.33%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….327.00 +3.35 +1.04%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….297.00 +7.00 +2.41%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….298.75 +5.75 +1.96%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3733 -93 -2.43%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………676.75 -11.50 -1.67%
SoybeanOil…63.68 -2.78 -4.18%‼️
Wheat………880.50 -30.25 -3.32%‼️

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 25/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua index regional merah closing jum’at, semua komoditi, makin kuat bawa IHSG kebawah

IHSG – semua indicator kompak bilang down, even harga udah close dibawah EMA 20

Healthcare mulai melemah, Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer, Non-Cyclicals. Yang mau nyusul Transportation, Technology, Infrastructure.

Healthcare – seharusnya masih nanjak, retracement pattern ote to fibo 61, MACD up stoch up alligator up supertrend up, kejedot cloud ichimoku semoga besok tembus ke atas. Foreign yang masih entry

MIKA HEAL FNB, MIKA ada Spike 22 sep

MIKA – Stoch sell, MACD sw, MFI flat, bandar and foreign akum lagi, kejedot supertrend masuk lagi ke cloud, supposedly masih wave 3, ada bearish divergence confirmed by 2 red candles dan MA10, kalo ga break high diatas candle divergence nya bisa terus longsor. Closing candle terakhir sih diatas MA10.

MIKA – dari spike nya sih menarik…

MIKA – dari harga dibanding avg bandar juga aman, hold deh…

HEAL – all good, harus break resistance 1545 biar wave 3 nya firm. Yang belum punya bisa BOW yang udah punya hold

SAME – beda sendiri, setelah ada vol breakout malah lanjut dibanting, udah nongol bullish divergence sih, bisa masuk lagi tunggu MACD buy lagi.

Bandarnya lagi becanda ini…

Consumer Cyclicals – Keliatan belum jadi jalan… Stoch sell, macd sell lagi, MFI sw, bandar dan foreign distribusi lagi, padahal nungguin ACES sama ERAA mantul, belum waktunya ternyata…

Consumer Non-Cyclicals – Malah ini yang keliatan mau jalan, MACD buy stoch up, PSAR up, walau ABC correctionnya belum bikin lower low. Bandar akum lagi, foreign ga pernah exit

Banyak FNB dan bandar akum, JPFA PMMP DSNG buy signal

JPFA – Stoch up, macd buy, MFI up, foreign distribusi, bandar sw, inside cloud ga tembus bawah, semoga break up cloud, dikit lagi price tembus EMA 20 dan 50, ada vol breakout tgl 16 sambil tembus resistance minor.

Price aman, bisa BOW, volume udah sepi, enak buat ngangkat harga…

PMMP – technically lumayan ok, vol breakout, gerak setelah ada hidden bullish divergence, stoch up macd buy bandar dan foreign akum, alligator buy, supertrend up… Tapi ini saham relatif baru, listing desember 2020, gagal di IPO nya, hari pertama naik lanjut ARB melulu. Personally skip dulu deh mending JPFA aja

Kalo mungkin dapet BOW dibawah modal GR sih masih ok

DSNG – belum ah, indic nya masih ga kompak

EMA Golden Cross – BRIS ISAT LPPF PMMP

Stoch Buy – BRPT EXCL TBIG TPIA MMLP

MACD Buy – BFIN JPFA DSNG MPMX PMMP

BRIS – Stoch up, MACD up, bandar akum, foreign akum, MFI up, alligator buy, Supertrend buy, ada freq spike 21 sept, retracement pattern harusnya bawa test fibo 23 di 1855, PSAR Up, LR cross up midline, breakout resist minor with volume kemaren, bagus banget sih ini… Harusnya berani BOW, sepertinya market akan koreksi dulu hari ini, cocok buat ambil di bawah, tapi stop loss kalo breakdown 1500

BRIS – BOW di closing candle kamis, 1530, sedikit diatas YP, dibawah harga AK

ISAT – ada gap belum ketutup di atas, stoch hampir buy, macd juga, 833 udah buy, MFI up, bandar akum, foreign masih distribusi, ada freq spike 21 sept sebelum harga mulai naik, triangle breakout belum sampe ke targetnya, PSAR baru rubah jadi buy, LR slope up. Bagus sih ini…

Berani pasang buy, on weakness, dibawah harga KZ, dibawah 7100

LPPF – abis terjun jauh, bandar dan foreign masih distribusi, amannya nunggu bikin higher low dulu yang firm, skip

BRPT – abc correction belum sampe levelnya, udah buy di stoch dan macd, foreign masih buang, bandar akum tipis, curiga masih sideways dulu

EXCL – stoch buy, macd belum, MFI up, bandar dan foreign belum akum, lagi di area fibo 23, kalo ikut retracement pattern standar harusnya mantul. tapi belum semua firm, wns dulu

TBIG – ini infrastructure jalan bareng2 signalnya, jadi mikir mungkin mau jalan, emang di chart cacingnya udah mau bangun sih… Tapi ada candle volbuangan beberapa hari lalu, dan emang ga ada yang nampung, bukan tukeran barang, jadi wns dulu juga ini TBIG

MPMX – dari retracement pattern mungkin koreksi lagi ke fibo 23 atau lanjut ke fibo38, macd buy, stoch up, bandar dan foreign akum, breakout minor resistance with volume, tembus cloud ichimoku ke atas, sektor tapi kaya udahan belum jadi jalan, consumer cyclicals… Seandainya bukna index lagi wave 2, berani buy, sekarang mending play safe, WNS dulu

Global update:

September 22th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes 500 points lower after the Fed delivers another aggressive rate hike

Stocks fell in volatile trading Wednesday after the Federal Reserve raised rates by 75 basis points and forecast more sizable rate hikes ahead in its fight to tame surging inflation.

Dow…….30184 -522.5 -1.70%
Nasdaq.11220 -204.9 -1.79%
S&P 500..3790 -66.00 -1.96%

FTSE…….7238 +44.98 +0.63%
Dax……..12767 +96.3 +0.76%
CAC……..6031 +51.9 +0.87%

Nikkei….27313 -375.3 -1.36%
HSI……..18445 -336.8 -1.79%
Shanghai..3118 -5.2 -0.17%
ST Times..3262 -5.2 -0.16%

IDX…….7188.31 -8.64 -0.12%
LQ45…1029.22 +1.01 +0.10%

IDX Energy..1976.56 -10.35 -0.52%
IDX Bsc Mat.1287.81 -3.18 -0.25%
IDX Industrl..1353.52 -3.20 -0.24%
IDXNONCYC..701.14 +1.20 +0.17%
IDX Hlthcare.1472.35 +0.19 +0.01%
IDXCYCLIC…..881.50 -3.03 -0.34%
IDX Techno..7471.71 +55.44 +0.75%
IDX Transp…1842.46 -6.32 -0.34%
IDX Infrast…..1012.22 -11.72 -1.14%
IDX Finance 1507.25 +1.24 +0.08%
IDX Banking..1172.67 +4.14 +0.27%
IDX Property….719 -10.70 -1.47%

Indo10Yr….7.2633 +0.0197 +0.27%
ICBI……..335.6860 -0.2699 -0.08%
US10Yr……3.5100 -0.0610 -1.71%‼
VIX……….27.99 +0.83 +3.06%

USDIndx 110.6420 +0.4270 +0.39%‼
Como Indx..278.23 -1.31 -0.47%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..151.72: -1.54 -1.00%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14997.00 +13.50 +0.09%‼
Jisdor..15011.00 +36.00 +0.24%‼

Euro……..0.9966 -0.0065 -0.65%

TLKM……..29.03 -0.46 -1.56%
(4358)
EIDO………24.22 -0.07 -0.29%
EEM………37.07 -0.63 -1.67%

Oil…………..83.02 -1.43 -1.69%
Gold ……..1679.60 +6.30 +0.38%
Timah. .21181.00 +236 +1.13%
( Closed 20/9)
Nickel…24827.00 -138.50 -0.55%
(Closed 21/9)
Silver…….19.53 +0.28 +1.45%
Copper….343.60 -6.35 -1.81%

Nturl Gas…..7.750 +0.030 +0.39%

Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(20/9)

Coal price….444.50 +3.20 +0.73%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….448.00 +10.00 +2.28%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….448.30 +11.30 +2.59%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….324.05 +0.40 +0.12%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….292.00 -0.60 -0.21%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….294.55 -0.60 -0.20%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3891 +152 +4.07%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………685.50 -6.50 -0.94%
SoybeanOil…65.00 -0.91 -1.38%
Wheat………903.75 +10.00 +1.12%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 21/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US drop lagi abis pengumuman kenaikan suku bunga fed, europe ijo, asia merah, most likely lanjut merah hari ini…

Oil kemaren sore naik, closing market us turun lagi, metal2 varied, gold timah silver naik, nikel copper turun, belum langsung ngefek ke basic materials

Gas Coal naik, CPO naik tinggi. kita liat apakah akan jadi start reboundnya saham2 cpo

IHSG – harga sudah dibawah MA 20, buat pemakai ilmu MA untuk trend, sudah mau ngebalik trend nya ini

IHSG – sudah hampir semua indicator bilang mau lanjut turun, tinggal supertrend sama ichimoku yang belum firm

Healthcare, Consumer Cyclicals. Next: Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Technology, Transportation

Global Update:

August 04th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks rally to reverse two-day slide, surging on rosy earnings results and economic data

U.S. stocks rallied Wednesday, clawing back losses from earlier in the week, as traders cheered better-than-expected economic data that helped allay recession fears.

Dow…….32813 +416.3 +1.29%
Nasdaq.12668 +319.4 +2.59%
S&P 500..4155 +63.98 +1.56%

FTSE…….7446 +36.6 +0.49%
Dax……..13588 +138.4 +1.03%
CAC……..6472 +62.3 +0.97%

Nikkei….27742 +147.2 +0.53%
HSI……..19767 +77.9 +0.40%
Shanghai..3164 -22.6 -0.71%
ST Times..3252 +12.9 +0.40%

IDX…….7046.64 +58.48 +0.84%
LQ45…..999.95 +11.34 +1.15%

IDX Energy…1812.83 -2.89 -0.16%
IDX Bsc Mat.1294.97 +7.38 +0.57%
IDX Industrl..1327.61 -1.01 -0.08%
IDXNONCYC..702.14 -3.05 -0.43%
IDX Hlthcare.1431.37 -3.15 -0.22%
IDXCYCLIC…..886.80 -9.53 -1.06%
IDX Techno..7883.27 +246.11 +3.22%
IDX Transp…1988.43 -5.04 -0.25%
IDX Infrast…..1021.65 +22.64+2.27%
IDX Finance 1518.99 +14.22 +0.94%
IDX Banking..1142.53 +10.67 +0.94%
IDX Property…….69r +o.94 -0.26%

Indo10Yr….7.3249 +0.0394 +0.54%
ICBI……..332.3687 -0.5567 -0.17%
US10Yr…..2.74i0 +0.0070 +0.26%
VIX…………21.95 -1.87 -8.27%‼️

USDIndx 106.5060 +0.2650 +0.25%‼️
Como Indx..281.72 -1.98 -0.70%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..152.47 -1.83 -1.19%

*IndoCDS…127.15 – – *
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14911.50 +22.50 +0.15%‼️
Jisdor..14917.00 +29.00 +0.19%‼️

Euro………1.0164 -0.0006 -0.06%

TLKM……..29.88 +1.28 +4.48%‼️
(4457)
EIDO………23.38 +0.24 +1.04%
EEM………39.74 +0.31 +0.79%

Oil…………91.02 -2.68 -2.86%
Gold ……1780.60 +7.00 +0.39%
Timah. .24249.00 -651.00 -2.61%
( Closed 02/8)
Nickel…22552.00 +210.00 +0.94%
(Closed 03/8)
Silver…….20.00 +0.08 +0.40%
Copper….347.25 -0.15 -0.04%

Nturl Gas…..8.288 +0.612 +7.97%‼️

Ammonia….3856.67 +83.34 +2.21%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/8)

Coal price….393.50 -10.00 -2.48%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….378.55 -17.20 -4.35%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….355.00 -11.05 -3.01%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price…336.45 -14.55 -4.15%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3860 +19 +0.49%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………596.25 +2.00 +0.34%
SoybeanOil…61.00 -0.39 -0.64%
Wheat………763.75 -11.00 -1.42%

Wood pulp…6722.00 +6 +0.09%
(Closed 03/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren IHSG ijo tebel, closing market rata2 ijo semua, kecuali shanghai yang minus. US kenceng banget, semoga jadi pendorong index kita ijo tebel lagi hari ini, biar cepet tutup gap diatas dulu

Oil turun lagi, terus stay dibawah 100 usd per barrel, coal dibawah 400 usd per MT, rada cocok buat bawa energy koreksi wave c. Metal tipis tipis kecuali timah yang agak jauh turunnya. ANTM TINS INCO sideways dulu kayanya. Gas naik tinggi, semoga PGAS lanjut jalan. CPO naik dikit, belum jadi bawa AALI sama LSIP ke atas

Terlalu optimis dengan outlook IHSG dengan elliot wave nya? Mungkin, tapi gpp lah, namanya juga forecast optimistic…

Stochastic signal buy lagi, MACD masih Up, supertrend masih up, alligator up, bagu breakout cloud ichimoku, parabolic sar masih UP, LR channel target cocok sama gap closing. Semoga bener sampe minimal gap closing sebelum wave 2