January 17th, 2024

Nasdaq slide leads stocks lower with earnings, Bessent confirmation hearing in focus

US stocks closed lower Thursday, as the major indexes struggled to build on the previous day’s surge amid another round of big bank earnings and a slide in tech stocks. Investors also watched the Capitol Hill confirmation hearing of President-elect Donald Trump’s pick for Treasury Secretary, Scott Bessent.

Dow……43153 -68.4 -0.16%
Nasdaq 19338 -172.95 -0.89%
S&P 500 5937 -12.6 -0.21%

FTSE…..8392 +90.8 +1.09%
Dax……20655 +80.7 +0.39%
CAC……7635 +160.2 +2.14%

Nikkei…38573 +128.02 +0.33%
HSI……..19523 +236.8 +1.23%
Shanghai.3236 +8.9 +0.28%

IDX…7107.52 +27.96 +0.39%
LQ45…827.86 +0.75 +0.09%
IDX30.425.87 +0.83 +0.19%

IDXEnergy…2827.30 +19.90 +0.71%
IDX BscMat 1235.86 -1.35. -0.11%
IDX Indstrl… ..989.19 +0.79 +0.08%
IDXNONCYC.703.65 -2.41 -0.34%
IDX Hlthcare1405.32 -11.86 -0.84%
IDXCYCLC…800.82 -16.23 -1.99%
IDX Techno.4161.57 -19.60 -0.47%
IDX Transp 1281.64 +1.61 +0.13%
IDX Infrast 1477.15 +5.51 +0.37%
IDX Finance1406.68 +8.98 +0.64%
IDX Banking1151.62 +12.13 +1.06%
IDX Property. 774 +7.30 +0.95%

Indo10Yr.7.2274❗️-0.0343 -0.47%
ICBI….391.4769❗️+1.2186 +0.31%
US2Yr.4.234 -0.034 -0.80%
US5Yr 4.396 -0.055 -1.24%
US10Yr4.613 -0.042 -0.90%
US30Yr.4.855 -0.025 -0.51%
VIX..16.60 +0.48 +2.98%

USDIndx 108.9300❗️-0.163 -0.15%
Como Indx..311.35 -0.82 -0.26%
BCOMIN..146.59 +1.55 +1.07%

IndoCDS…79.68 -1.48 -1.82%
(5-yr INOCD5) (15/01)

IDR…….16325.00‼️+55.50 +0.34%
Jisdor.. 16378.00‼️+67.00 +0.41%

Euro…1.0302 +0.0009 +0.09%

TLKM…16.19 -0.21 -1.28%
( 2652)
EIDO….18.35 -0.16 -0.84%
EEM…41.76 -0.04 -0.10%

Oil………78.75 -1.29 -1.61%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………81.33 -1.10 -1.33%
(Brent)
Gold…2750.90‼️ +33.10 +1.22%
(Comex)
Gold…2714.07 +19.86 +0.73%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.29592.00 -179.00 -0.60%
(Closed 16/01)
.Nickel.15965.00 +140.00 +0.88%
(Closed 17/01)
Silver……31.73 +0.20 +0.63%
Copper.441.10 +5.20 +1.18%

Iron Ore 62% 100.20 +0.21 +0.21%
(15/01)
Nturl Gas ..4.281 +0.146 +3.53%‼️
Ammonia China. 2506.67 – -%
(Domestic Price)(16/01)

Coal price.114.70 +0.25 +0.22%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.116.10 +1.50 +1.31%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.118.25 +1.10 +0.94%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 119.90 +1.05 +0.88%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.108.00 +1.65 +1.55%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 106.20 +2.50 +2.40%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 104.75 +1.65 +1.60%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.60 +0.25 +0.24%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr) 4182 -86 -2.01%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………474.50 -4.25 -0.89%
SoybeanOil 45.03 -1.24 -2.68%
Wheat……537.50 -9.50 -1.74%

Wood pulp…..6540 unch +0%
(Closed 16/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah, europe ijo, asia ijo, US treasury bond down, masih bisa ijo IHSG harusnya hari ini, US merah profit taking hari kemarennya koq

USD index down, metal2 lanjut up kecuali tin, oil down, gas up coal up, ANTM keren ini keliatannya, AKRA MEDC slow dulu, ADRO kayanya ok dikit lagi

IHSG – madc rev buy, stoch masih down, mfi up, w% up, reg bull div confirmed, BD flat, FNB udah 2 hari, jalan ah rally nyusul ATH kaya DJI

Energy technology slow down, property masih, transportation financials masih

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMMN BBNI BRIS ICBP INTP ITMG PGEO UNVR BTPS MPMX NCKL PTPP PTRO PWON SMSM, big accum BBNI ITMG UNVR, PWON vol breakout

MACD Buy Signal: BBRI UNVR MPMX NISP SMRA SRTG TKIM, big accum BBRI UNVR SRTG, SMRA vol breakout

Alligator Buy Signal: ENRG SMIL

Supertrend Buy Signal: BBRI

 

BBNI – stoch buy, macd rev buy, MFI up w% up, BD FF acc, kemaren bikin gap kaya BBRI, ada unclosed gap diatas buat jadi target, reg bull div confirmed

Spike kecil

Average aman, bigget holder accum, BOW BBNI di gap closing 4430

ITMG – stoch buy macd almost buy, MFI up w% up BD FF acc, mantul dari support, coal biasanya naik di winter, ok sih

Abis spike jual udah ada spike lagi tapi kecil

Average aman, SQ biggest holder accum, AK udah beres buangnya, udah accum lagi, bisa BOW ITMG di bawah body candle kemaren @25875

PWON – stoch buy macd up, MFI sw, w% sw, BD acc, FNS, tapi memang kalo diliat Foreign di PWON telat, yang bareng geraknya sama harga ya BD lokal

Belum ada spike

average aman, CC biggest holder dan accum NI PD juga accum, aman sih buat spec buy, last close price juga ok, BI cut rate harusnya sih ga cuma sekejap efeknya

BBRI – macd buy, stoch bolak balik, tapi buy yang sekarang denga diiringi BD FF accum, MFI up, w% uptrend, bi cut rate, banyak gap di atas, supertrend buy, reg bull div confirmed, BOW BBRI

no spike

average aman, wlau kebanyakan pada diem atau dist tipis, secara total tapi accum, bisa BOW BBRI di closing gap 4090

SRTG – stoch up macd buy MFI up mantul di area fibo 23, w% sw, BD FF accum, kalo ditarik fibonacci retracement ABC correction kemaren, sekarang lagi fibo 61, cocok lah buat reversal, reg bull div confirmed, harusnya ok buat buy

Terakhir tinggi spike jual, udah ada baru tapi kecil

 

Average aman, BB udah beres buang, YU accum, GR buang dikit, masih ok harusnya, idealnya dapet di fibo 61, 1875

SMRA – belum habis downtrend nya, FNB tapi BD masih dist, harus nunggu higher low baru confirm reversal

 

CGS International Sekuritas Indonesia:
Kamis, 2 Januari 2025

Dow… 42,544.22 -29.51 -0.07%
S&P 500… 5,881.63 -25.31 -0.43%
FTSE 100… 8,173.02 +52.01 +0.64%
Nikkei… 39,894.54 -386.62 -0.96%

Indo 10 Yr… 7.00 -0.05 -0.31%
VIX… 17.35 -0.05 -0.29%
Indo CDS 5Y… 78.89 +0.75 +0.96%

TLKM (US)… 16.45 +0.02 +0.12%
EIDO… 18.48 -0.05 -0.27%

Oil… 71.72 +0.73 +1.03%
Gold… 2,624.50 +18.00 +0.69%
Timah… 28,846.00 -237.01 -0.81%
Nikel… 15,110.95 -78.88 -0.52%
Silver… 28.90 -0.05 -0.17%
Copper… 8,652.67 -142.18 -1.62%
Natural Gas… 3.63 -0.30 -7.70%
CPO… 4,861.00 -64.00 -1.30%
Coal*… 125.25 +0.70 +0.56%
Softwood Kraft Pulp 5,864.00 -14.00 -0.24%
*(Newcastle/Desember)
**majority closed per 31 Dec-24

Phintraco ga release data seperti biasa, kita cari dari beberapa sumber

US closing 30 des merah, europe ijo, asia merah, US treasury bond yield merah, masih belum menentu mau kemana, tapi kalo technical sih bilang mantul, cocok sama arah US treasury bond

USD index up, gold up metal2 lain down, oil up, gas down, coal up, coal sama oil ini menarik

IHSG – stoch buy, macd rev up, MFI down, w% flat, elliot wave reverse done, lagi bikin higher low, reg bull div MACD RSI, confirmed by 2 bull candle, belum cancelled, sempet NFB tapi last day net sell lagi. Tanda2nya udah mau mantul sih

Terlihat mulai meriah, Infrastructure leading sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals, yang paling penting financials terlihat gerak

Stochastic Buy Signal Banyak, yang big accum AMMN, BUKA, GOTO, PTBA, AUTO, menarik dicermati BBCA BBNI

MACD Buy Signal: JSMR PTBA UNVR CMRY CTRA GJTL MPMX MYOR ULTJ, big accum PTBA UNVR SILO, GJTL kita liat juga

PTBA – abis reg bull div lanjut jalan, loncat kemaren 5% jadi stoch and macd buy, MFI up, w% up, BD FF rev acc, yang kosong portonya kayanya bisa bow di tengah candle kemaren

Coal price macd buy signal, menarik ini ADRO INDY ITMG PTBA

Abis spike jual ada spike kecil

AUTO – valuation ok, stoch buy macd almost buy, MFI still down, w%up, bd acc, FF masih dist, ada spike, kita check dulu

Harusnya sih target 2600 an ya, apalagi kalo liat retracement pattern harusnya bawa ke fibo 61 di 2900 an. Januari group astra suka jalan, kita liat AUTO gimana januari

Kurang ok ternyata… Nanti dulu deh

BBCA – stoch buy macd rev up MFI masih down, w%sw, BD FF udah sempet acc,last day rev dist lagi,reg bull div belum cancelled, confirmed by 2 bull candle

no spike… tapi Index sama BBCA seringnya searah, so 2 2 nya udah keliatan mau mantul, bisa spec buy

SILO – overpriced, skip

GJTL – stoch buy, macd buy, mfi sw, w% up, BD dist tipis, FF rev acc, abc correction seems down, valuation ok, harusnya bisa spec buy

Hajatan ini mah, saham LKH dan ada spike begini, dan bagusnya lagi ini valuation masih rendah ga kaya PTRO yang udah dihajatin sampe 4x lipat. BOW GJTL, idealnya dapet di fibo 23 di 1115

 

December 10th, 2024

S&P 500, Nasdaq pull back from records as Nvidia tumbles

US stocks pulled back on Monday as Nvidia (NVDA) shares slipped amid a Chinese antitrust probe and investors prepared for this week’s consumer inflation report.

Dow……44402 -240.6 -0 54%
Nasdaq. 19737 -123.1 -0.62%
S&P 500 6053 -37.4 -0.61%

FTSE…..8352 +43.5 +0.52%
Dax……20346 -38.7 -0.19%
CAC……7480 +53.3 +0.72%

Nikkei….39160 +69.3 +0.18%
HSI……..20414 +548.2 +2.76%
Shanghai.3403 -1.5 -0.05%

IDX…7437.73 +54.95 +0.74%
LQ45…887.45 +11.61 +1.33%
IDX30.454.63 +7.03 +1.57%

IDXEnergy…2743.48 +56.95 +2.12%
IDX BscMat 1350.08 +0.16 +0.01%
IDX Indstrl..1089.47 +10.51 +0.97%
IDXNONCYC.742.53 +4.33 +0.59%
IDX Hlthcare1460.83 -1.35 -0.09%
IDXCYCLC…843.64 +6.37 +0.76%
IDX Techno..4325.14 +50.44 +1.18%
IDX Transp 1398.13 +18.54 +1.34%
IDX Infrast 1490.56 +8.21 +0.55%
IDX Finance1478.02 +15.20 +1.04%
IDX Banking1238.27 +25.68 +2.12%
IDX Property..797 +6.60 +0.83%

Indo10Yr.7.002‼️ +0.0160 +0.23%
ICBI….392.5831 -0.1990 -0.05%
US2Yr.4.126 +0.033 +0.81%
US5Yr 4.031 +0.041 +1.02%
US10Yr4.200 +0.052 +1.25%
US30Yr.4.383 +0.050 +1.15%
VIX..14.19 +1.42 +11.12%‼️

USDIndx 106.1730❗️ +0.118 +0.11%
Como Indx..289.03 +2.72 +0.95%
BCOMIN..146.48 +0.92.+0.63%

IndoCDS…72.22 -0.00 -0.00%
(5-yr INOCD5) (06/12)

IDR…….15866.50❗️+21.50 +0.14%
Jisdor..15861.00❗️+13.00 +0.08%

Euro…1.0552❗️ -0.0016 -0.15%

TLKM.17.13 -0.10 -0.55%
( 2717)
EIDO…20.68 +0.28 +1.37%
EEM…44.75 +0.90 +2.04%

Oil………68.17 +0.97 +1.44+%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………71.95 +0.23 +0.32%
(Brent)
Gold…2682.30 +22.70 +0.85%
(Comex)
Gold…2659.84 +27.93 +1.06%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.29151.00 14.00 -0.05%
(Closed 06/12)
Nickel.16012.50 -13.50 -0.08%
(Closed 09/12)
Silver…..32.45 +0.86 +2.73%
Copper.425.95 +6.30 +1.50%

Iron Ore 62% 104.11 -2.18 -2.05%
(06/12)
Nturl Gas 3.176 +0.100 +3.25%
Ammonia China 2776.67 -26.66 -0.95%
(Domestic Price)(06/12)

Coal price.133.75 +0.50 +0.38%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price.133.25 +0.85 +0.64%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.134.00 +0.50 +0.37%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price 135.00 +0.40 +0.30%
(Mar/Newcastle)

Coal price.113.75 -0.25 -0.22%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price.110.65 -1.15 -1.07%
(Jan/Rotterda)
Coal Price 111.25 -0.60 -0.54%
(Feb/Rotterdam),
Coal/Price 111.75 -0.35 -0.31%
(Mar/Rotterdam)

CPO(Feb) 5118 -15 -0.29%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………441.25 +1.25 +0.29%
SoybeanOil 42.75 -0.22 -0.15%
Wheat……558.25 +1.00 +0.18%

Wood pulp 4482 – -0%
(Closed 09/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US pullback, wajar wajar aja sih, europe varied, asia masih kenceng kecuali china, US treasury bond yield up, kita rada ngerem dulu sepertinya juga hari ini

USD index up, tapi gold silver copper juga up, tin nickel iron ore down, oil up, semoga lanjut sampe bulan depan uptrend, gas up, coal newcastle up, desember musim dingin di utara biasanya energy pada naik, CPO down, masih belum jalan aja nih

IHSG – stoch macd mfi rsi w% up, BD acc FNB, breakout resistance, firm rally sih, early santa claus rally? Bisa jadi, tapi liat data US kayanya buat hari ini slow down dulu

Masih property

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak banget, BBRI BMRI GOTO ITMG JSMR PTBA GJTL KIJA MPMX NISP VKTR. big accum BMRI GOTO ITMG

MACD Buy Signal: MDKA ERAA GJTL MAHA MNCN NSIP, big accum MDKA ERAA

September 19th, 2024

Dow closes lower, giving up 375-point pop after big Fed rate cut

Stocks closed lower Wednesday in a volatile session as the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates in a half-percentage-point move. The outsized rate cut was cheered initially by traders, though it did raise concerns the Fed was trying to get ahead of potential economic weakness.

Dow…….41503 -103.08 -0.25%
Nasdaq. 17573 -54.8 -0.31%
S&P 500 5618 -16.3 -0.29%

FTSE…8254 -56.2 -0.68%
Dax……18712 -14.59 -0.08%
CAC……7445 -42.5 -0.57%

Nikkei….36380 +176.95 +0.49%
HSI……..17660 closed +0%
Shanghai.2717 +13.2 +0.49%

IDX….7829.14 -2.64 -0.03%
LQ45…970.25 +3.33 +0.34%
IDX30.495.10 +1.66 +0.34%

IDXEnergy. 2661.86 -5.08 -0.19%
IDX BscMat1321.61 -7.26 -0.55%
IDX Indstrl..1091.40 +9.31 +0.86%
IDXNONCYC.733.61 +0.73 +0.10%
IDX Hlthcare1543.11 +27.84+1.84%
IDXCYCLIC…904.06 -14.29 -1.66%
IDXTechno 3829.37 -101.65 -2.59%
IDX Transp 1501.09 +2.70 +0.18%
IDX Infrast 1624.68 -21.95 -1.33%
IDX Finance1557.49 +9.72 +1.63%
IDX Banking1385.86 +11.67 +0.85%
IDX Property….758 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6155👍-0.0014 -0.02%
ICBI….393.4510👍+0.1994 +0.05%
US2Yr.3.628 +0.021 +0.58%
US5Yr 3.493 +0.050 +1.45%
US10Yr3.715 +0.068 +1.86%
US30Yr.4.031 +0.071 +1.79%
VIX..18.23 +0.62 +3.52%‼️

USDIndx 100.9500❗️ +0.056 +0.06%
Como Indx….279.82 +1.16 +0.42%
BCOMIN….145.99 +0.30 +0.21%

IndoCDS..70.27 -0.94 -1.32%
(5-yr INOCD5) (13/09)

IDR…….15335.00 unch +0%
Jisdor..15350.00 +12.00 +0.08%

Euro…1.1118❗️ -0.0001 -0.01%

TLKM.20.50 +0.33 +1.61%
( 3144)
EIDO…22.76 +0.12 +0.51%
EEM….42.87 -0.17 -0.38%

Oil………..70.91 -0.24 -0.34%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..72.88 -0.82 -1.11%
(Brent)
Gold…2598.60 +2.00 +0.08%
(Comex)
Gold…2558.54 -12.93 -0.48%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31594.00 -261.00 -0.82%
(Closed 18/09)
Nickel..16228.00 +92.00 +0.57%
(Closed 18/09)
Silver… ..30.69 -0.35 -1.13%
Copper.429.90 +2.05 +0.48%

Iron Ore 62% 91.94 -0.32 -0.35%
(16/09)
Nturl Gas 2.295 -0.021 -0.91%
Ammonia China 2710.00 +33.33 +1.25%
(Domestic Price)(18/09)

Coal price.139.00 -0.65 -0.47%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.25 -1.10 -0.81%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.30 -0.30 -0.22%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.85 -0.35 -0.25%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.25 -0.40 -0.35%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..112.60 -1.65 -1.44%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.45 -1.30 -1.14%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.45 -1.55 -1.36%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 3848 +113 +3.03%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………412.75 +0.25 +0.06%
SoybeanOil 40.31 +0.43 +1.08%
Wheat……575.75 unch +0%

Wood pulp.4850.00 -4.00 -0.08%
(Closed 18/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah europe merah, asia kebanyakan ijo, IHSG merah tipis, US T bond yield naik lagi, ini bau baunya merah lagi ISHG hari ini, padahal harusnya efek fed dan BI cut rate bagus

USD index up, metal2 kebanyakan down kecuali nickel copper, oil down gas down coal down, CPO jump. Giliran AALI lanjut lari lagi nih. Yang lain keliatannya akan koreksi tipis2 dulu

IHSG – 833 sell, macd mulai rev down, hati hati yang big caps bisa mulai rontok

Property bangun dengan issue BI cut rate, Financials, Technology, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES ASII TLKM AVIA BBYB BRMS BTPS ULTJ, big accum ACES ASII BBYB

MACD Buy Signal: ARTO BBRI BMRI INCO BBYB MARK MPMX TINS AMFG, big accum ARTO BBYB