November 23nd, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 400 points higher as Wall Street bets on easing inflation, smaller rate hikes into year end

Stocks rose Tuesday as Wall Street looked past tightening Covid policies in China to instead focus on a host of strong earnings reports and the potential for smaller future rate hikes during a holiday-shortened trading week.

Dow…….34098 +397.8 +1.18%
Nasdaq.11174 +149.9 +1.36%
S&P 500..4004 +53.6 +1.36%

FTSE…….7453 +75.99 +1.03%
Dax……..14422 +42.4 +0.29%
CAC……..6658 +23.08 +0.35%

Nikkei….28116 +170.96 +0.61%
HSI……..17424 -231.5 -1.31%
Shanghai..3089 +3.9 +0.13%
ST Times..3266 +15.4 +0.47%

IDX…….7030.59 -32.66 -0.46%
LQ45……996.87 -5.53 -0.55%

IDX Energy..2062.22 +31.15 +1.53%
IDX Bsc Mat.1286.02 -1.08 -0.08%
IDX Industrl..1231.35 -0.75 -0.06%
IDXNONCYC..726.80 -3.70 -0.51%
IDX Hlthcare.1474.32 -11.65 -0.78%
IDXCYCLIC…..888.91 -4.34 -0.49%
IDX Techno..6616.44 -139.72 -2.07%
IDX Transp…1792.52 -15.70 -0.87%
IDX Infrast……909.44 -0.06 -0.01%
IDX Finance 1482.94 -11.10 -0.74%
IDX Banking.1187.06 +2.37 +0.20%
IDX Property….693 +1.1 +0.16%

Indo10Yr….7.2912 -0.0174 -0.24%‼️
ICBI……..338.0718 +0.3021 +0.09%‼️
US10Yr..3.7580 -0.0670 -1.85%
VIX……21.29 -1.07 -4.79%‼️

USDIndx..107.1710 -0.7590 -0.70%
Como Indx..279.24 +2.72 +0.98%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……157.15 +3.01 +1.95%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15696.50 -16.00 -0.10%‼️
Jisdor..15716.00 +9.00 +0.06%‼️

Euro……..1.0304 +0.0062 +0.61%

TLKM……..25.49 -0.19 -0.74%
(4006)
EIDO………23.22 +0.27 +1.18%
EEM……….37.64 +0.09 +0.24%

Oil…………80.95 +1.22 +1.53%
Gold ……1753.70 -14.30 -0.81%
Timah…..22664 -1505 -6.64%‼️
(Closed 21/11)
Nickel…26220.00 +1110.00 +4.42%‼️
(Closed 22/11)
Silver………21.07 -0.13 -0.59%
Copper…..357.60 -6.56 -1.80%

Nturl Gas…..6.692 +0.221 +3.30%

Ammonia..4573.33 +110 +2.46%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(21/11)

Coal price….347.15 -3.85 -1.10%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….355.00 +5.65 +1.62%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….340.65 +10.15 +3.07%‼️
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….213.00 -3.20 -1.48%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….237.50 +7.70 +3.35%‼️
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….239.35 +8.30 +3.59%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (1£/11)

CPO(Feb)……4006 +153 +3.97%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….659.25 -4.25 -0.64%
SoybeanOil…71.44 +0.71 +1.00%
Wheat………810.50 -7.75 -0.95%

Wood pulp…6590.00 -20 -0.30%
(Closed 22/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo, europe ijo, asia ijo kecuali IHSG sama Hangseng, ijo deh IHSG hari ini

Oil rebound tipis, metal lanjut turun kecuali nikel yang naik tinggi, gas naik, coal spot turun, cpo naik. Basic Materials versi logam logam-an masih bahaya, kecuali mungkin INCO NIKL untuk hari ini

Chart nya coal masih bagus, semoga cuma minor correction

IHSG – 2 hari NFB, semoga lanjut, keluar dari phase sideways, stoch macd mfi ok, dan masih jadwal wave 3

Financials, Energy, Infrastructure, Property

November 16th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes higher after another lighter-than-expected inflation report, Nasdaq jumps 1.4%

Stocks resumed their inflation-driven rally on Tuesday after another report signaled that price increases could be slowing.

Dow…….33593 +56.2 +0.17%
Nasdaq.1158 +162.2 +1.45%
S&P 500..3992 +34.9 +0.88%

FTSE…….7369 -15.7 -0.21%
Dax……..14379 +65.2 +0.46%
CAC……..6642 +32.5 +0.49%

Nikkei….27990 +26.7 +0.10%
*HSI……..18343 +723.4 +4.11%*
Shanghai..3134 +50.7 +1.64%
ST Times..3275 +14.5 +0.44%

IDX…….7035.50 +16.11 +0.23%
LQ45….1004.36 +3.34 +0.33%

IDX Energy..1972.19 +10.65 +0.54%
IDX Bsc Mat.1316.58 +1.64 +0.12%
IDX Industrl..1221.66 +3.81 +0.31%
IDXNONCYC..734.66 +5.05 +0.69%
IDX Hlthcare.1489.57 -1.29 -0.09%
IDXCYCLIC…..882.2 -2.39 -0.27%
IDX Techno..6800.09 +19.47 +0.29%
IDX Transp…1823.85 +18.73 +1.04%
IDX Infrast……917.42 -0.94 -0.10%
IDX Finance 1489.52 +2.32 +0.16%
IDX Banking.1192.27 +3.65 +0.31%
IDX Property….698 – -%

*Indo10Yr….7.3494 -0.0449 -0.61%‼️*
*ICBI……..337.2594 +0.9444 +0.28%👍*
*US10Yr..3.7990 -0.0660 -1.71%*
*VIX……24.30 +0.57 +2.40%‼️*

*USDIndx..106.5630 -0.3680 -0.34%*
Como Indx..284.36 +2.20 +0.78%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……168.52 +1.49 +0.89%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15537.50 +18.00 +0.12%‼️*
*Jisdor..15564.00 +65.00 +0.42%‼️*

*Euro……..1.0346 +0.0018 +0.17%*

TLKM……..25.83 -0.01 -0.04%
*(4020)*
EIDO………23.36 -0.01 -0.04%
*EEM……….38.80 +0.87 +2.29%*

*Oil…………86.92 +1.05 +1.22%*
Gold ……1776.80 -0.10 -0.01%
*Timah…..22029 +714.00 +3.35*
*(Closed 14/11)*
*Nickel…29753.50 +687.00 +2.36%*
*(Closed 15/11)*
*Silver………21.52 -0.55 -2.67%*
Copper…..381.95 -0.80 -0.21%

Nturl Gas…..6.161 +0.092 +1.52%

Ammonia..4346.67 – 16.66 -0.38%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(14/11)

*Coal price….341.00 +10.65 +3.22%‼️*
(Nov/Newcastle)
*Coal price….330.00 +21.00 +6.80%‼️*
(Des/Newcastle)
*Coal price….323.25 +18.60 +6.11%‼️*
(Jan/Newcastle)
*Coal price….203.50 +9.50 +4.90%*
(Nov/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….204.75 +13.10 +6.84%‼️*
(Des/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….206.80 +14.80 +7.70%‼️*
(Jan/Rotterdam)

*Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%*
Indonesial Coal Index (14/11)

*CPO(Jan)……4030 -78 -1.89%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….669.25 +10.00 +1.52%
SoybeanOil…74.67 +0.79 +1.07%
Wheat………848.00 +9.75 +1.16%

Wood pulp…6630.00 -40 -0.60%
(Closed 14/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Kemaren ijo semua kecuali inggris, hangseng naik tinggi banget…

Gold Silver Copper turun, timah nikel naik, komoditi energy naik semua, kayanya udah waktunya entry menjelang winter di bumi utara

IHSG – Sesuai perkiraan, abis tutup gap ijo dulu, walau tipis, yang bikin kaget karena sempet dibawa turun jauh dulu sebelum closing diatas

IHSG – yang bikin berat itu masih NFS terus. Keliatannya masih sideways dulu sambil nunggu financials bangun. Berita tentang profit BRI udah nongol, tanda2 mau mulai gerak lagi.

Financials, Technology, Basic Materials tapi udah mulai melemah

Global Update:

September 26th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow drops nearly 500 points to close at new low for 2022 on rising recession fears

Stocks tumbled Friday to cap a brutal week for financial markets, as surging interest rates and foreign currency turmoil heightened fears of a global recession.

Dow…….29590 -486.3 -1.62%
Nasdaq.10868 -198.9 -1.80%
S&P 500..3693 -64.8 -1.72%

FTSE…….7019 -140.9 -1.97%
Dax……..12294 -247.4 -1.97%
CAC……..5783 -135.1 -2.28%

Nikkei….27154 closed +0%
HSI……..17933 -214.7 -1.18%
Shanghai..3088 -20.5 -0.66%
ST Times..3227 -35.97 -1.10%

IDX…….7178.58 -40.32 -0.56%
LQ45…1025.63 -7.01 -0.58%

IDX Energy…1991.67 -23.5 -1.41%
IDX Bsc Mat.1301.65 -2.95 -0.23%
IDX Industrl..1355.13 -13.61 -0.99%
IDXNONCYC..708.57 +4.93 +0.70%
IDX Hlthcare.1465.26 -0.53 -0.04%
IDXCYCLIC…..875.32 -2.93 -0.33%
IDX Techno..7385.64 -52.48 -0.71%
IDX Transp…1861.89 +9.35 +0.50%
IDX Infrast…..1017.76 -1.03 -0.10%
IDX Finance 1505.11 -2.42 -0.16%
IDX Banking..1163.56 -7.23 -0.62%
IDX Property….712 -8.00 -1.11%

Indo10Yr….7.3183 +0.0420 +0.57%
ICBI……..334.4139 -0.7996 -0.24%
US10Yr……3.6970 -0.0110 -0.30%‼️
VIX……….29.92 +2.57 +9.40%‼️

USDIndx113.1920+1.8390 +1.65%‼️‼️
Como Indx..268.47 -9.38 -3.38%‼️
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..146.17 -5.58 -3.68%‼️
.
IndoCDS…111.84 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (25/9)

IDR……15037.50 +14.50 +0.10%‼️
Jisdor..15035.00 +2.00 +0.01%‼️

Euro……..0.9687 -0.015 -1.52%‼️

TLKM……..28.71 -0.59 -2.01%
(4316)
EIDO………23.94 -0.40 -1.64%
EEM………35.98 -0.91 -2.47%

Oil…………..78.74 -4.92 -5.88%‼️
Gold ……1655.60 -23.80 -1.41%‼️
Timah. .2p243.00 -1407 -6.50%‼️
( Closed 23/9)
Nickel…23389.50 -989.00 -4.21%‼️
(Closed 23/9)
Silver…….18.91 -0.74 -3.77%‼️
Copper….334.30 -12.20 -3.52%

Nturl Gas…..6.992 -0.212 -2.94%

Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(22/9)

Coal price….435.20 -0.45 -0.10%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….410.20 -10.45 -2.48%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….411.15 -9.80 -2.33%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….327.00 +3.35 +1.04%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….297.00 +7.00 +2.41%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….298.75 +5.75 +1.96%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3733 -93 -2.43%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………676.75 -11.50 -1.67%
SoybeanOil…63.68 -2.78 -4.18%‼️
Wheat………880.50 -30.25 -3.32%‼️

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 25/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua index regional merah closing jum’at, semua komoditi, makin kuat bawa IHSG kebawah

IHSG – semua indicator kompak bilang down, even harga udah close dibawah EMA 20

Healthcare mulai melemah, Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer, Non-Cyclicals. Yang mau nyusul Transportation, Technology, Infrastructure.

Healthcare – seharusnya masih nanjak, retracement pattern ote to fibo 61, MACD up stoch up alligator up supertrend up, kejedot cloud ichimoku semoga besok tembus ke atas. Foreign yang masih entry

MIKA HEAL FNB, MIKA ada Spike 22 sep

MIKA – Stoch sell, MACD sw, MFI flat, bandar and foreign akum lagi, kejedot supertrend masuk lagi ke cloud, supposedly masih wave 3, ada bearish divergence confirmed by 2 red candles dan MA10, kalo ga break high diatas candle divergence nya bisa terus longsor. Closing candle terakhir sih diatas MA10.

MIKA – dari spike nya sih menarik…

MIKA – dari harga dibanding avg bandar juga aman, hold deh…

HEAL – all good, harus break resistance 1545 biar wave 3 nya firm. Yang belum punya bisa BOW yang udah punya hold

SAME – beda sendiri, setelah ada vol breakout malah lanjut dibanting, udah nongol bullish divergence sih, bisa masuk lagi tunggu MACD buy lagi.

Bandarnya lagi becanda ini…

Consumer Cyclicals – Keliatan belum jadi jalan… Stoch sell, macd sell lagi, MFI sw, bandar dan foreign distribusi lagi, padahal nungguin ACES sama ERAA mantul, belum waktunya ternyata…

Consumer Non-Cyclicals – Malah ini yang keliatan mau jalan, MACD buy stoch up, PSAR up, walau ABC correctionnya belum bikin lower low. Bandar akum lagi, foreign ga pernah exit

Banyak FNB dan bandar akum, JPFA PMMP DSNG buy signal

JPFA – Stoch up, macd buy, MFI up, foreign distribusi, bandar sw, inside cloud ga tembus bawah, semoga break up cloud, dikit lagi price tembus EMA 20 dan 50, ada vol breakout tgl 16 sambil tembus resistance minor.

Price aman, bisa BOW, volume udah sepi, enak buat ngangkat harga…

PMMP – technically lumayan ok, vol breakout, gerak setelah ada hidden bullish divergence, stoch up macd buy bandar dan foreign akum, alligator buy, supertrend up… Tapi ini saham relatif baru, listing desember 2020, gagal di IPO nya, hari pertama naik lanjut ARB melulu. Personally skip dulu deh mending JPFA aja

Kalo mungkin dapet BOW dibawah modal GR sih masih ok

DSNG – belum ah, indic nya masih ga kompak

EMA Golden Cross – BRIS ISAT LPPF PMMP

Stoch Buy – BRPT EXCL TBIG TPIA MMLP

MACD Buy – BFIN JPFA DSNG MPMX PMMP

BRIS – Stoch up, MACD up, bandar akum, foreign akum, MFI up, alligator buy, Supertrend buy, ada freq spike 21 sept, retracement pattern harusnya bawa test fibo 23 di 1855, PSAR Up, LR cross up midline, breakout resist minor with volume kemaren, bagus banget sih ini… Harusnya berani BOW, sepertinya market akan koreksi dulu hari ini, cocok buat ambil di bawah, tapi stop loss kalo breakdown 1500

BRIS – BOW di closing candle kamis, 1530, sedikit diatas YP, dibawah harga AK

ISAT – ada gap belum ketutup di atas, stoch hampir buy, macd juga, 833 udah buy, MFI up, bandar akum, foreign masih distribusi, ada freq spike 21 sept sebelum harga mulai naik, triangle breakout belum sampe ke targetnya, PSAR baru rubah jadi buy, LR slope up. Bagus sih ini…

Berani pasang buy, on weakness, dibawah harga KZ, dibawah 7100

LPPF – abis terjun jauh, bandar dan foreign masih distribusi, amannya nunggu bikin higher low dulu yang firm, skip

BRPT – abc correction belum sampe levelnya, udah buy di stoch dan macd, foreign masih buang, bandar akum tipis, curiga masih sideways dulu

EXCL – stoch buy, macd belum, MFI up, bandar dan foreign belum akum, lagi di area fibo 23, kalo ikut retracement pattern standar harusnya mantul. tapi belum semua firm, wns dulu

TBIG – ini infrastructure jalan bareng2 signalnya, jadi mikir mungkin mau jalan, emang di chart cacingnya udah mau bangun sih… Tapi ada candle volbuangan beberapa hari lalu, dan emang ga ada yang nampung, bukan tukeran barang, jadi wns dulu juga ini TBIG

MPMX – dari retracement pattern mungkin koreksi lagi ke fibo 23 atau lanjut ke fibo38, macd buy, stoch up, bandar dan foreign akum, breakout minor resistance with volume, tembus cloud ichimoku ke atas, sektor tapi kaya udahan belum jadi jalan, consumer cyclicals… Seandainya bukna index lagi wave 2, berani buy, sekarang mending play safe, WNS dulu