January 12th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes little changed Thursday after hotter-than-anticipated inflation report

Stocks ended Thursday near the flat line after a fresh round of inflation data reflected an uptick in consumer prices for December.

,Dow……37711 +15.3 +0.04%
Nasdaq14970 +0.5 +0.00%
S&P 500.4780 -3.2 -0.07%

FTSE…..7577 -75.2 -0.98%
Dax……16547 -142.8 -0.86%
CAC……7388 -38.5 -0.52%

Nikkei..35050 +648.2 +1.77%
HSI…….16302 +204.8 +1.27%
Shanghai.2887+8.95 +0.31%

IDX…..7219.96 -7.33 -0.10%
LQ45….969.94 +0.81 +0.08%
IDX30…499.20 +1.25 +0.25%

IDXEnergy..2160.56 -7.75 -0.36%
IDX BscMat.1240.16 -6.97 -0.56%
IDX Indstrl…1106.62 +0.90 +0.08%
IDXNONCYC.705.40 -5.32 -0.75%
IDX Hlthcare1349.14+2.29 +0.17%
IDXCYCLIC…860.88 +7.42 +0.87%
IDX Techno4343.84 +11.60 +0.27%
IDX Transp 1679.28 +21.31 +1.29%
IDX Infrast 1549.81 -4.51 -0.27%
IDX Finance.1522.49+13.78 +0.91%
IDX Banking.1322.35+8.30 +0.63%
IDX Property.. 717 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6959 -0.0222 -0.33%
ICBI…374.1055 +0.6178 +0.17%
US2Yr.4.249 -0.111 -2.55%
US5Yr 3.881 -0.094 -2.36%
US10Yr3.968 -0.047 -1.17%
US30Yr.4.211-0.037 -0.88%
VIX….12.44 -0.25 -1.97%

USDIndx 102.3120 -0.050 -0.05%
Como Indx..264.10 +1.78 +0.68%
BCOMIN……136.75 +0.07 +0.05%

IndoCDS..77.21 +0.02 +0.03%
(5-yr INOCD5) (10/01)

IDR…..15548.50 -21.00 -0.13%
Jisdor.15558.00 -10.00 -0.06%

Euro….1.0974 +0.0001 +0.01%

TLKM…25.67 unch +0%
(3994)
EIDO….22.38 +0.07 +0.31%
EEM….39.06 +0.16 +0.41%

Oil……..72.02 +0.67 -1.23%
Gold..2019.20 -10.20 -0.50%
Timah..24435.00 +195.00 +0.80%
(Closed 10/01)
Nickel..16452.00 +50 +0.30%
(Closed 11/01)
Silver……22.71 -0.36 -1.56%
Copper.377.65 +2.05 +0.55%

Iron Ore 62% 138.16 -2.36 -1.68%
(10/01)
Nturl Gas..3.030 +0.085 +2.81%
Ammonia China.3400.00‼️ – -%
(Domestic Price)(09/02)

Coal price.130.75 -2.75 -2.06%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 126.25 -5.25 -3.99%‼️
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.125.25 -4.80 -3.69%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 124.70 -3.85 -2.99%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.50 -2.50 -2.29%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 102.30 -3.40 -3.32%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.100.20 -2.70 -2.62%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price…98.05 -2.50 -2.49%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3796 +37 +0.98%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……457.75 -0.38 -0.38%
SoybeanOil 48.72 +0.47 +0.97%
Wheat…603.75 -7.00 -1.15%

Wood pulp..5068.00 unch +0%
(Closed 11/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US tipis tipis, europe merah, asia kemaren ijo tebel, IHSG merah tipis, bisa merah lagi kayanya ini tudei

US bond rates turun, USD index turn, good sih, tapi gold silver juga turun, timah nickel copper iron ore ijo, oil merah, gas ijo, coal merah dalem. Masih belum nih ANTM MDKA, coal coal an hati hati. CPO lanjut, go go AALI LSIP!

IHSG – bisa jadi mau wave B dulu, tapi yang jelas stoch down, mad down, MFI sw, w% downtrend, BD dist, masih FNB sih, lumayan. Kalo diukur pake fibonacci retracement hanya di wave 5 nya dari antara 61-78 mantul ke 38, lanjut wave c dong kalo gitu… Masih bahaya pokonya

Index beresiko tapi cacing RSI pada arahnya bagus, heu… FInancials paling deket 45 derajat, sama technology, tapi saya lebih prefer pegang consumer non-cyclicals, biasanya saham defensif ganjel bursa disitu

January 10th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes slightly lower as stocks’ early 2024 struggles linger

The S&P 500
trimmed an earlier decline Tuesday, boosted by tech shares, but still ended the day with modest losses.

Dow……37525 -157.9 -0.42%
Nasdaq14857 +13.9 +0.09%
S&P 500.4757 -7.05 -0.15%

FTSE…..7684 -10.2 -0.13%
Dax……16688 -28.1 -0.17%
CAC……7427 -22.6 -0.32%

Nikkei..33377 closed +0%
HSI…….16190 -34.4 -0.62%
Shanghai.2893+5.7 +0.20%

IDX…..7200.20 -83.37 -1.14%
LQ45….970.08 -6.36 -0.65%
IDX30…497.85 -0.29 -0.06%

IDXEnergy..2156.90 -13.52 -0.62%
IDX BscMat.1241.32 -55.67 -4.29%‼️
IDX Indstrl…1102.94 +2.18 +0.20%
IDXNONCYC.708.58 -4.91 -0.69%
IDX Hlthcare1326.71 -2.10 -0.16%
IDXCYCLIC…845.35 +10.28 +1.23%
IDX Techno4338.89 -14.42 -0.33%
IDX Transp 1652.31 -27.48 -1.64%
IDX Infrast 1532.96 -23.06 -1.48%
IDX Finance.1502.59+9.75 +0.65%
IDX Banking.1315.00+10.65 +0.82%
IDX Property.. 717 +1.10 +0.15%

Indo10Yr.6.6734 +0.0164 +0.25%
ICBI…373.7378 -0.3219 -0.097%
US2Yr.4.366 -0.009 -0.21%
US5Yr 3.972 -0.014 -0.35%
US10Yr4.015-0.012 -0.30%
US30Yr.4.185+0.001+0.02%
VIX….12.76 -0.32 -2.45%

USDIndx 102.5080 +0.096 +0.09%
Como Indx..264.69 +3.04 +1.16%
BCOMIN……136.48 -0.57 -0.42%

IndoCDS..77.70‼️ +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (08/01)

IDR…..15520.00 -5.50 -0.04%
Jisdor.15518.00 -4.00 -0.03%

Euro….1.0932 -0.0019 -0.17%

TLKM…25.18 -0.01 -0.04%
(3907)
EIDO….22.28 -0.24 -1.07%
EEM….38.99 -0.56 -1.42%

Oil……..72.24 +1.47 +2.08%
Gold..2033.00 -0.50 -0.02%
Timah..24500.00 -122.00 -0.50%
(Closed 08/01)
Nickel..16226.00 -32 -0.20%
(Closed 09/01)
Silver……23.09 -0.22 -0.94%
Copper.375.86 -5.15 -1.35%

Iron Ore 62% 140.87 -0.58 -0.41%
(08/01)
Nturl Gas..2.943 +0.037 +1.27%
Ammonia China.3400.00‼️ -50.00 -1.45%
(Domestic Price)(09/02)

Coal price.135.65 +3.65 +2.77%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 134.20 +4.70 +3.63%‼️
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.132.25 +4.00 +3.12%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 130.25 +3.75 +2.96%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.111.25 -1.50 -1.33%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.15 -1.55 -1.41%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.105.35 -0.75 -0.71%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.30 +0.30 +0.29%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3734 +40 +1.08%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……459.25 +4.25 +0.93%
SoybeanOil 48.45 +0.64 +1.34%
Wheat…610.00 +13.75 +2.31%

Wood pulp..5060.00 +10 +0.20%
(Closed 09/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US market merah, nasdaq masih ijo tipis, europe juga, asia merah kecuali shanghai

US bond rates turun lagi, harusnya bagus ini buat ngangkat saham. IHSG dua hari plunged down hard masa ga ada rebound sih…

USD index up, metal2 down, ga jadi jalan ini basic materials versi mineral mineral, consider exit ANTM INCO MDKA TINS dll di DCB hari ini

Oil rebound, gas up, coal newcastle up lumayan tinggi, CPO lanjut ijo, harusnya AALI LSIP jadi lanjut jalan ini walau market merah

IHSG – firm collapse after wave 5, stoch sell macd sell, mfi sw, w% down, BD dist masih FNB, ayo cuci gudang yang ga yakin contrarian ganjel bursa…

Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals, Industrials, Property

Update Global Economic Calendar
3 Jan 2023

GERMANY MARKET :
Unemployment Change (Dec)
Actual : 5K
Forecast : 20K
Previous : 22K

Unemployment Rate (Dec)
Actual : 5.9%
Forecast : 5.9%
Previous : 5.9%

Unemployment Persons (Dec)
Actual : 2.703M
Forecast : –
Previous : 2.702M

U.S MARKET :
MBA Mortgage Applications (Dec/29)
Actual : -10.7%
Forecast : –
Previous : -1.5%

MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Dec/29)
Actual : 6.76%
Forecast : –
Previous : 6.83%

ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec)
Actual : 47.4
Forecast : 47.1
Previous : 46.7

ISM Manufacturing Employment (Dec)
Actual : 48.1
Forecast : 46.1
Previous : 45.8

ISM Manufacturing New Orders (Dec)
Actual : 47.1
Forecast : –
Previous : 48.3

By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research
– Disclaimer On –

US merah dalem, keliatanya karena release berita ISM manufacturing unemployment dan new order turun. europe merah, asia juga, IHSG kemaren memang sudah diduga jadwal turun, sekarang diharap naik tapi kalo global merah semua rada berat. Semoga hanya sideways atau koreksi kecil

US bond rates ga banyak rubah, USD index naik, metal turun semua, oil gas coal naik, CPO masih turun. Kayanya belum jalan ini ANTM INCO TINS MDKA, tapi harusnya major udah uptrend. AALI LSIP juga

IHSG – stoch up flattening OB, MACD up flattening, MFI sw, w% masih uptrend, BD mulai dist, FNS, udah di wave 5, agak mengkhawatirkan…

Cacing RSI malah all good, Consumer Non-Cyclicals sama Consumer Cyclicals yang arahnya paling bagus

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA ARTO GOTO TOWR ADHI HEAL ISAT JSMR PTPP. yang big accum cuma TOWR

MACD Buy Signal: BRIS BBKP BRMS Big accum BRIS BBKP

Stochastic Continuation Signal: INCO big acc MPMX spike

January 03rd, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes lower to begin 2024, Nasdaq notches worst day since October

The S&P 500
fell Tuesday, the first trading day of the year, as bond yields inched higher and investors took some money off the table following a surprisingly strong 2023.

Dow……37715 +25.5 +0.07%
Nasdaq14766 -245.4 -1.63%
S&P 500.4743 -27.00 -0.57%

FTSE…..7722 -11.7 -0.16%
Dax……16769 +17.7 +0.11%
CAC……7531 -12.3 -0.16%

Nikkei..33464 closed +0%
HSI…….16789 -258.8 -1.52%
Shanghai.2962 -12.66 -0.43%

IDX…..7323.59 +50.79 +0.70%
LQ45….979.43 +8.86 +0.91%
IDX30…498.42 +3.21 +0.65%

IDXEnergy..2142.96 +42.+2.00%
IDX BscMat.1332.14 +26.67 +1.89%}
IDX Indstrl…1105.51 +11.74 +1.07%
IDXNONCYC.724.41 +2.01 +0.28%
IDX Hlthcare1353.56 -22.40 -1.64%
IDXCYCLIC…825.05. +3.63 +0.44%
IDX Techno4418.00 -17.60 -0.40%
IDX Transp 1654.96 +53.45 +3.34%‼️
IDX Infrast 1576.31. +6.28 +0.40%
IDX Finance.1452.08 -6.24. -0.43%
IDX Banking.1269.00 -0.55 -0.04%
IDX Property.. 710 -3.60 -0.50%

Indo10Yr.6.6161+0.017 +0.26%
ICBI…374.6896 -0.1294 -0.03&%
US2Yr.4.324 +0.074 +1.74%
US5Yr 3.922 +0.082 +2.14%
US10Yr3.941 +0.075 +1.94%
US30Yr.4.083+0.064 +1.59%
VIX….13.20 +0.75 +6.02%‼️

USDIndx 102.2360 +0.903 +0.89%
Como Indx..262.63 -1.19 -0.45%
BCOMIN……141.17 -1.48 -1.04%

IndoCDS..69.29 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/01)

IDR…..15470.00 +71.00 +0.46%
Jisdor.15473.00 +34.00 +0.22%

Euro….1.0942 – -%

TLKM…25.90 +0.14 +0.54%
(4008)
EIDO….22.21 -0.11 -0.49%
EEM….39.74 -0.47 -1.17%

Oil……..70.38 -1.27 -1.77%
Gold..2073.40 +1.60 +0.08%
Timah..25415.00 – -%
(Closed 29/12)
Nickel..16565.00 -106 -0.64%
(Closed 02/01)
Silver……23.95 -0.13 -0.55%
Copper.388.05 -1.00 -0.26%

Iron Ore 62% 136.37 – -%
(29/12)
Nturl Gas..2.574 +0.077 +3.08%
Ammonia China.3623.33-183.34 -3.81%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/02)

Coal price.127.75 -9.2 -6.72%‼️
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 126.15 -7.65 -5.72%‼️
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.124.85 -7.10 -5.38%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 123.90 -6.55 -5.02%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.15 -2.15 -1.99%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 101.55 -2.30 -2.21%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price. 97.10 -2.75 -2.75%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price .95.20 -3.35 -3.40%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3660 -60 -1.61%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……463.75 -7.50 -1.59%
SoybeanOil 48.29 +0.11 +0.23%
Wheat….606.75 -21.25 -3.38%

Wood pulp..5040.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren IHSG ijo, asia merah europe merah US merah, so hari ini kemungkinan merah… Kalo mau belanja sore lebih ok kayanya

Update Global Economic Calendar
2 Jan 2023

INDONESIA MARKET :
Inflation Rate YoY (Dec)
Actual : 2.61%
Forecast : 2.85%
Previous : 2.86%

Core Inflation Rate YoY (Dec)
Actual : 1.8%
Forecast : 1.85%
Previous : 1.87%

Inflation Rate MoM (Dec)
Actual : 0.41%
Forecast : –
Previous : 0.38%

Tourist Arrivals YoY (Nov)
Actual : 30.17%
Forecast : –
Previous : 33.27%

GERMANY MARKET :
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 43.3
Forecast : 43.1
Previous : 42.6

EURO AREA MARKET :
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 44.4
Forecast : 44.2
Previous : 44.2

UNITED KINGDOM MARKET :
S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 46.2
Forecast : 46.4
Previous : 47.2

U.S MARKET :
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 47.9
Forecast : 48.2
Previous : 49.4

By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research
– Disclaimer On –

Visit our website :
www.phintracosekuritas.com
www.profits.co.id
www.taspro.co.id

Angka Inflasi indonesia lebih baik dari forecast, makanya ijo sendiri kemaren, nah, Europe dan US index manufacture nya dibawah forecast, wajarnya merah, dan hari ini masih pengaruh…

Berita jelek selalu disusul sama naiknya suku bunga, USD index juga naik jadi lengkap untuk bikin merah saham. metal2 merah semua kecuali emas yang ijo tipisoil merah gas ijo, coal DROP, CPO merah, wah masih berantakan ini, semoga ANTM MDKA keganjel harga emas yang lagi tinggi

IHSG – stoch OB, MACD up, MFI sw, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, wave 5, hati hati koreksi, curigany mah akan kejedot level all time high baru merosot ABC correction

Index jalan hampir semua sektor jalan,yang arahnya paling deket 45 Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBKP TAPG

 

MACD Buy Signal banyak banget, yang big acc cuma ASSA, yang ada Spike EMTK, layak dipantau ICBP TBIG AALI

Stochastic Continuation Signal banyak, tapi ga ada yang big accum, malah INKP big dist. Paling SMDR yang ada spike