February 02nd, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 350 points higher, Nasdaq jumps 1% in rebound from Fed Day sell-off

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
rose Thursday, recovering from a brutal sell-off after the Federal Reserve held steady on rates but signaled that a March cut is unlikely

Dow……38520 +369.5 +0.97%
Nasdaq15362 +197.6 +1.30%
S&P 500.4906 +60.5 +1.25%

FTSE…..7622 -8.4 -0.11%
Dax……16859 -44.7 -0.26%
CAC……7589 -68.0 -0.89%

Nikkei..36011 -275.3 -0.76%
HSI……15566 +81.1 +0.52%
Shanghai.2771 -17.8 -0.64%

IDX…..7201.70 -6.24 -0.09%
LQ45….977.27 +3.05 +0.31%
IDX30…495.80 +1.09 +0.22%

IDXEnergy..2084.99 -21.36 -1.01%
IDX BscMat.1280.34 -3.72 -0.29%
IDX Indstrl…1087.06 -1.16 -0.11%
IDXNONCYC.696.28 -2.69 -0.38%
IDX Hlthcare1336.12 +19.55+1.48%
IDXCYCLIC…857.46 +0.12 +0.01%
IDX Techno4108.04. -20.01 -0.48%
IDX Transp 1587.04 +1.95 +0.12%
IDX Infrast 1526.25 -24.79 -1.56%
IDX Finance.1494.17 -19.73 -1.30%
IDX Banking.1324.99 -1.31 -0.10%
IDX Property.. 698 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6205👍 -0.0215 -0.32%
ICBI…377.2193👍 +0.6214 +0.16%
US2Yr.4.205 -0.004 -0.10%
US5Yr 3.813 -0.026 -0.68%
US10Yr3.874 -0.037 -0.95%
US30Yr.4.118-0.055 -1.32%
VIX…13.88 -0.47 -3.28%‼️

USDIndx 103.0700❗️ -0.209 -0.20%
Como Indx..269.71 -2.70 -0.99%
BCOMIN……137.50 -1.76 -1.27%

IndoCDS..74.74 -1.96 -2.56%
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/01)

IDR…..15764.50‼️ -18.00 -0.11%
Jisdor.15775.00 ‼️-28.00 -0.18%

Euro….1.0873 +0.0059 +0.55%

TLKM…25.82 +0.66 +2.62%
(4073)
EIDO……22.03 +0.17 +0.78%
EEM……38.76 +0.37 +0.96%

Oil…….73.82 -2.03 -2.68%
Gold..2071.10 +3.70 +0.18%
Timah..26233.00 +228.00 +0.88%
(Closed 31/01)
Nickel..16242.00 -25.00 -0.15%
(Closed 31/01)
Silver……23.24 +0.07 +0.29%
Copper.385.35 -5.25 -1.34%

Iron Ore 62% 135.13 -0.48 -0.35%
(31/01)
Nturl Gas..2.047 -0.088 -4.12%‼️
Ammonia China.3236.67 – -%
(Domestic Price)(31/01/02)

Coal price 116.00 -0.50 -0.43%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.117.00 -1.10 -0.93%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 115.90 -1.80 -1.53%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.116.55 -1.00 -0.85%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .97.80 -1.80 -1.81%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..94.20 -2.70 -2.78%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.00: -0.65 -0.69%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.50 -1.20 -1.31%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3795 +3 +0.08%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……447.25 -1.00 -0.22%
SoybeanOil 45.60 -0.42 -0.91%
Wheat….602.50 +6.25 +1.05%

Wood pulp..5092.00 +6 +0.12%
(Closed 01/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Nah… US ijo, europe merah, asia varied, bond rates turun semua, USD index turun, harusnya ijo IHSG hari ini…

Metal2 varied, gold tin, silver ijo, nickel copper iron ore merah. Goldprice MACD buy tapi MDKA dibanting, curiga ada bocoran LK masih merah. Oil gas coal merah, CPO ijo tipis, market belum jelas mau kemana, tapi banyak technical buy signal. Boleh belanja asal tertib cutloss

IHSG – technical masih jelek, stoch down macd down MFI w% sw, BD flat, bagusnya FNB terus minggu ini. Idealnya sih dapet flat style ABC correction, jadi ga dibanting sampe dibawah 6900, kita liat aja gimana jalannya market

Tinggal Healthcare sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Basic Materials kebanting MDKA kayanya, tapi semoga BRPT INKP masih tetep manggung sebagai saham2 contrarian sih

Stochastic Buy Signal: SRTG UNTR AUTO BMTR DOID TINS ISSP UNIC KKGI. Big Acc SRTG

MACD Buy Signal: ADRO BRPT GOTO TBIG SGRO

Stochastic Continuation Signal and big acc: SMGR

January 31st, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq 100 futures slide, Alphabet shares drop after results

Futures tied to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100
fell Tuesday night after a pair of mega-cap tech companies posted their quarterly results. Wall Street also looked toward the Federal Reserve’s decision on rate policy.

Dow……38467 +133.9 +0.35%
Nasdaq15510 -118.2 -0.76%
S&P 500.4925 -2.96 -0.06%

FTSE…..7666 +33.6 +0.44%
Dax……16972 +30.6 +0.18%
CAC……7677 +36.7 +0.48%

Nikkei..36066 +38.9 +0.11%
HSI……15703 -373.8 -2.33%
Shanghai.2831 -52.8 -1.83%

IDX…..7192.22 +35.04 +0.49%
LQ45….971.70 +9.78 +1.02%
IDX30…493.78 +5.93 +1.22%

IDXEnergy..2097.94 -7.30 -0.35%
IDX BscMat.1284.55 -5.74 -0.44%
IDX Indstrl…1087.81 +2.42 +0.22%
IDXNONCYC.693.75 -3.14 -0.45%
IDX Hlthcare1318.21+8.41. +0.64%
IDXCYCLIC…859.07 +7.60 +0.89%
IDX Techno4103.92 +118.31 +2.97%
IDX Transp 1515.04 -7.75 -0.51%
IDX Infrast 1497.23 -13.74 -0.91%
IDX Finance.1510.97 -8.20 -0.54%
IDX Banking.1300.04 +25.68 +2.02%
IDX Property.. 698 -2.30 -0.32%

Indo10Yr.6.6555 – 0.0229 -0.34%
ICBI…376.0857 +0.4541 +0.12%
US2Yr.4.339 +0.017 +0.39%
US5Yr 3.974 -0.012 -0.30%
US10Yr4.036 -0.036 -0.93%
US30Yr.4.251-0.064 -1.48%
VIX…13.31 -0.29 -2.13%

USDIndx 103.3970❗️ -0.212 -0.20%
Como Indx..274.00 +3.12 +1.15%
BCOMIN……140.02 +0.77 +0.55%

IndoCDS..76.73 +0.03 +0.04%
(5-yr INOCD5) (29/01)

IDR…..15780.00‼️ -30.00 -0.19%
Jisdor.15825.00 ‼️ -29.00 -0.18%

Euro….1.0844 +0.0008 +0.07%

TLKM…25.33 -0.22 -0.86%
(4008)
EIDO……21.75 +0.18 +0.83%
EEM……38.60 -0.31 -0.80%

Oil…….77.81 +0.85 +1.10%
Gold..2054.50 +3.30 +0.16%
Timah..26664.00 – -%
(Closed 29/01)
Nickel..16513.50 +54.00 +0.33%
(Closed 30/01)
Silver……23.28 -0.05 -0.21%
Copper.391.15 +2.55 +0.66%

Iron Ore 62% 135.55 unch +0%
(29/01)
Nturl Gas..2.091 +0.032 +1.55%
Ammonia China.3260.00 -83.00 -2.48%
(Domestic Price)(29/01/02)

Coal price 119.55 +3.15 +2.71%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.120.50 +5.00 +4.33%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 120.30 +4.40 +3.80%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.119.80 +3.80 +3.28%‼️
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .96.15 +1.85 +1.96%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.65 +1.90 +2.07%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..91.10 +1.20 +1.33%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.75 +1.30 +1.45%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3842 -107 -2.71%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……447.75 +7.50 +1.70%
SoybeanOil 46.00 +0.45 +0.99%
Wheat…605.50 +12.20 +1.70%

Wood pulp..5076.00 +10 +0.20%
(Closed 30/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

REMINDER REBALANCING

UPDATE (29/01/2024)

EVALUASI INDEKS LQ45, IDX30, IDX80, KOMPAS100, PEFINDO25, INDEKS BUMN20, IDXSMC-LIQ, IDXSMC-COM, IDXHIDIV20, IDXV30, IDXG30, IDXQ30, IDXLQ45LCL

(Periode Efektif 01 Februari 2024 – 31 Juli 2024)

INDEKS LQ45
Baru : MBMA, MTEL, PGEO, PTMP
Keluar : INDY, SCMA, TBIG, TPIA

INDEKS IDX30
Baru : ACES, ICBP, INKP, PGEO
Keluar : EMTK, ESSA, HRUM, TOWR

INDEKS IDX80
Baru : AUTO, GJTL, MAPA, MBMA, PGEO, PTMP, SMIL, TRON, WIFI
Keluar : AVIA, DOID, HMSP, JKON, OMED, PNBN, RMKE, SMDR, WIKA

INDEKS KOMPAS100
Baru : AUTO, CFIN, DRMA, GTRA, HRTA, IMAS, MAPA, MARK, MBMA, NISP, PGEO, PTMP, PTRO, SILO, SMIL, SMSM, SSIA, TRON, WIIM
Keluar : AALI, AGII, AVIA, BBKP, BDMN, BELI, BSSR, HMSP, JKON, LSIP, MMIX, MSIN, OMED, PNBN, PNIN, RMKE, SMDR, TAPG, WIKA

INDEKS PEFINDO25
Baru : ADMR, AUTO, DILD, ESSA, GJTL, LPPF, LSIP, MAPA, MIDI, TAPG
Keluar : AKRA, BSSR, DSNG, HEXA, HRTA, MIKA, POWR, SIDO, SMSM, SSIA

(Periode Efektif 05 Februari 2024 – 02 Agustus 2024)

INDEKS BUMN20
Baru : BJTM, PGEO,
Keluar : JKON, WIKA

INDEKS IDXSMC-LIQ
Baru : AUTO, CMRY, GGRM, HEAL. INCO, MAPA, MIDI, TOWR
Keluar : ADMR, ARTO, BDMN, BEST, BJBR, LSIP, SSIA, TAPG, WIKA

INDEKS IDXSMC-COM
Baru : ARTA, AXIO, BEEF, GGRM, HOKI, INCO, JAWA, PDPP, TOWR
*zKeluar :*z ADMR, ARTO, BOLA, CUAN, DEFI, DSSA, FILM, GLVA, GSMF, HOMI, JIHD, MDLN, MREI, NIKL, PANI, PEGE, PGEO, PPRE, RONY, SMIL, SONA, TEBE, TFAS, TOPS, WEGE, WTON

INDEKS IDXHIDIV20
Baru : BRPT, ICBP, INKP, KLBF, SMGR, TPIA, UNVR
Keluar : BJBR, BJTM, BNGA, BSSR, HEXA, HMSP, MPMX

INDEKS IDXV30
Baru : AUTO, GJTL, JSMR, SMRA, WIFI
Keluar : DOID, JKON, PNBN, SMDR, TINS

INDEKS IDXG30
Baru : AUTO, BBTN, GJTL, MAPA
Keluar : ASSA, PNBN, SMDR, TINS

INDEKS IDXQ30
Baru : AKRA, AMRT, GGRM, MYOR, SMIL, TRON
Keluar : AVIA, EMTK, HMSP, RMKE, SRTG, TINS

INDEKS IDXLQ45LCL
Baru : MAPI, MBMA, MTEL, PGEO
Keluar : ASII, SCMA, TBIG, TPIA

(Listri. Source : IDX)

SP500 abis cetak new record koreksi dulu, DJI nya ijo, europe ijo, asia kebanyakan merah, IHSG sempet merah dulu tapi closing ijo, firm mau wave B

US bond rate pendek naik, panjang turun, semoga ga banyak pengaruh ke stock market, USD index merah, metal2 lanjut naik kecuali silver, oil gas coal ijo, coal ijonya tebel, CPO merah dalem, MDKA harusnya jalan, ELSA AKRA MEDC lanjut, coal apakah udah mau rebound? AALI LSIP agak kawatir ini

IHSG – dari ilmu elliot wave, wave B nya ga panjang ini keliatanya, daripada aggressive sekarang mending tunggu wave C beres… Udah 2 hari FNB, BD acc, big bank di push naik, GOTO di push naik, tapi in total saham yang turun lebih banyak dari saham yang naik. Masih keep cash

Terlihat Healthcare ngebalik nyusul basic materials, consumer non-cyclicals dan infrastructure… Padahal kemaren KLBF dibanting sampe cutloss

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO ASII BBNI ITMG PTBA SIDO ASSA BRMS CTRA HMSP LPPF MTEL SMRA. Big Acc ASII BBNI PTBA

MACD Buy Signal: JSMR PTPP BRAM

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big acc: BRIS

January 26th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes higher for a sixth day, powered by strong GDP data

The S&P 500
rose for a sixth straight day, overcoming a slump in Tesla
as data indicated continued economic growth.

Dow……38049 +242.7 +0.64%
Nasdaq15511 +28.6 +0.18%
S&P 500.4894 +25.6 +0.53%
:
FTSE…..7530 +2.06 +0.03%
Dax……16907 +17.0 +0.10%
CAC……7464 +8.6 +0.11%

Nikkei..36237 +9.99 +0.03%
HSI…..16212 +312.2 +1.96%
Shanghai.2906 +85.3 +3.03%

IDX…..7178.04 -49.78 -0.69%
LQ45….959.80 -6.45 -0.67%
IDX30…468.70 -3.42 -0.70%

IDXEnergy..2136.79 +21.91 +1.04%
IDX BscMat.1289.01 +4.12 +0.32%
IDX Indstrl…1088.36 +6.79 +0.63%
IDXNONCYC.701.06 +0.29 +0.04%
IDX Hlthcare1316.67 -8.36. -0.63%
IDXCYCLIC…854.95 -5.95 -0.69%
IDX Techno4128.12 -16.95 -0.41%
IDX Transp 1620.81 -15.05 -0.92%
IDX Infrast 1531.26 -7.48 -0.49%
IDX Finance.1516.15 -27.53 -1.78%
IDX Banking.1286.62 -14.58 -1.12%
IDX Property.. 700 +3.00 +0.43%

Indo10Yr.6.6818 +0.0165 +0.25%
ICBI…375.4147 -0.1794 -0.05%
US2Yr.4.299 -0.085 -1.94%
US5Yr 4.002 -0.090 -2.20%
US10Yr4.121 -0.058 -1.39%
US30Yr.4.370 -0.041-0.93%
VIX….13.45 +0.31 +2.36%❗️

USDIndx 103.5740 +0.338 +0.33%‼️
Como Indx..272.40 +1.42 +0.52%
BCOMIN……139.32 -0.11 -0.08%

IndoCDS..73.75 -0.47 -0.63%
(5-yr INOCD5) (24/01)

IDR…..15826.00 +113.00 +0.72%‼️
Jisdor.15767.00 +48.00 +0.31%‼️

Euro….1.0845 -0.0041 -0.38%

TLKM…25.11 -0.19 -0.75%
(3959)
EIDO……21.57 -0.27 -1.24%
EEM……38.86 +0.05 +0.13’%

Oil…….77.05 +1.63 +2.16%
Gold..2039.10 +4.10 +0.20%
Timah..26509.00 +270.00 +1.03%
(Closed 24/01)
Nickel..16769.50 +477.00 +2.93%‼️
(Closed 25/01)
Silver……23.02 +0.23 +1.01%
Copper.386.80 -0.50 -0.13%

Iron Ore 62% 135.49 +0.01 +0.01%
(24/01)
Nturl Gas..2.188 -0.100 -4.37%‼️
Ammonia China.3343.33. – -%
(Domestic Price)(24/02)

Coal price.126.80 -0.40 -0.31%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 118.10 -3.55 -2.92%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.115.40 -3.20 -2.70%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 115.50 -2.65 -2.24%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.105.60 -0.20 -0.19%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price .92.25 -2.55 -2.69%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price..89.55 -2.45 -2.66%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price…88.20 -1.80 -2.00%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3945 -47 -1.18%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……451.75 -0.50 -0.11%
SoybeanOil 46.53 -0.79 -1.67%
Wheat…612.35 +1.50 +0.25%

Wood pulp..5070.00 unch +0%
(Closed 24/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US Europe ijo, asia kebanyakan ijo, IHSG aja merah sendiri, hari ini harusnya nyusul ijo. US Bond rates turun semua, bagus buat saham, USD index naik tapi semua metal closing ijo, oil ijo gas coal merah, CPO juga merah. Wah, jadi ini basic materials jalan…

IHSG – agak mencurigakan, yang lain ijo ini dibanting sendiri, kaya yang pengen cepet2 beres ABC correction, stoch up jadi rada goyang, MACD down833 sell lagi, MFI down, w% sw, masih FNS tapi mengecil, BD dist

Masih beresiko, masih keep cash

Masih Basic Materials, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: ISAT, Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: MDKA

January 25th, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq, S&P 500 close higher for fifth straight day as Netflix shares surge

The S&P 500
rose Wednesday as Netflix
led a broader rally among technology names, pushing the broader market to new heights.

Dow……37806 -99.1 -0.26%
Nasdaq15482 +55.98 +0.36%
S&P 500.4869 +3.95 +0.08%
:
FTSE…..7528 +41.94 +0.56%
Dax……16890 +262.8 +1.58%
CAC……7456 +67.6 +0.91%

Nikkei..36227 -291.1 -0.80%
HSI…..15900 +545.9 +3.56%‼️
Shanghai.2821 +49.8 +1.80%

IDX…..7227.82 -28.41 -0.39%
LQ45….966.25 -5.52 -0.57%
IDX30…490.21 -2.85 -0.58%

IDXEnergy..2114.88 -13.00 -0.61%
IDX BscMat.1284.89 -14.85 -1.14%
IDX Indstrl…1081.56 -5.73 -0.53%
IDXNONCYC.700.77 +1.12 +0.16%*
IDX Hlthcare1325.02 +27.72+2.14%
IDXCYCLIC…860.90 -2.45 -0.28%
IDX Techno4145.07 -31.35 -0.75%
IDX Transp 1635.86 +13.91 +0.86%
IDX Infrast 1538.75 -8.56 -0.55%
IDX Finance.1543.67 +12.22+0.80%
IDX Banking.1301.20 -13.32 -1.01%
IDX Property.. 697 +1.20 +0.17%

Indo10Yr.6.6653 -0.0219 -0.33%
ICBI…375.5941 -0.3896 -0.10%
US2Yr.4.384 +0.012 +0.27%
US5Yr 4.092 +0.005 +1.24%
US10Yr4.179 +0.047 +1.14%
US30Yr.4.411 +0.044+1.01%
VIX….13.14 +0.59 +4.70%‼️

USDIndx 103.2360 -0.382 -0.37%
Como Indx..270.99 +2.78 +1.04%
BCOMIN……139.43 +2.25 +1.64%

IndoCDS..74.22 -0.50 -0.67%
(5-yr INOCD5) (23/01)

IDR…..15713.00 +76.00 +0.49%
Jisdor.15719.00 +63.00 +0.40%

Euro….1.0886 +0.0027 +0.25%

TLKM…25.55 +0.02 +0.08%
(4016)
EIDO……21.84 -0.03 -0.14%
EEM……38.81 +0.43 +1.12’%

Oil……..75.42 +1.05 +1.41%
Gold..2035.00 -10.20 -0.50%
Timah..26239.00 +622.00 +2.43%
(Closed 23/01)
Nickel..16292.50 +269.00 +1.68%
(Closed 24/01)
Silver……22.79 +0.33 +1.47%
Copper.387.30 +7.95 +2.09%

Iron Ore 62% 135.48 +0.06 +0.04%
(23/01)
Nturl Gas..2.288 +0.097 +4.43%‼️
Ammonia China.3343.33. – -%
(Domestic Price)(24/02)

Coal price.127.20 -0.10 -0.08%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 121.65 -1.60 -1.30%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.118.60 -1.40 -1.17%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 118.15 -2.10 -1.75%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.105.80 +0.30 +0.28%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price .94.80 +2.30 +2.49%
..(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price..92.00 +2.20 +2.45%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price…90.00 +1.90 +2.16%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3992 +95 +2.44%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……452.25 +5.75 +1.29%
SoybeanOil 47.32 -0.89 -1.85%
Wheat…610.75 +14.25 +2.39%

Wood pulp..5070.00 unch +0%
(Closed 24/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI masih merah, nsadaq SP500 ijo, europe ijo, asia varied, tapi hangseng closing ijo tebel, kemaren IHSG merah harusnya bisa ijo lah hari ini. US bond rates naik semua, VIX naik, wah ga bagus… USD index turun, bagus buat commodities

Metal naik semua kecuali gold, Oil Gas up, coal newcastle down rotterdam up, CPO lanjut ijo tebel. Kita tunggu geraknya ANTM INCO TINS MDKA AALI LSIP

IHSG – masih FNS, stoch up, macd down, MFI down, w% sw, BD flat, itungan mau wave C, target either fibo 61 @6931, atau support 7046, atau gap dibawah 6900. Either way, masih beresiko, bagus banyak pegang cash

Still, Basic Materials, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: ICBP INCO INTP KLBF SMGR TOWR UNVR ADMR HEAL MIKA MSIN. Big accum ICBP INCO INTP TOWR ADMR

MACD Buy Signal: KLBF, ada freq spike juga