Global update:

October 21th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower for second day as Treasury yields continue march to new highs

Stocks fell in choppy trading on Thursday as investors weighed several key earnings reports and

Dow…….30334 -90.2 -0.30%
Nasdaq.10615 -65.7 -0.61%
S&P 500..3666 -29.4 -0.80%

FTSE…….6944 +18.9 +0.27%
Dax……..12767 +26.0 +0.20%
CAC……..6086 +46.2 +0.76%

Nikkei….27007 -250.4 -0.92%
HSI……..16280 -231.1 -1.40%
Shanghai..3036 -9.3 -0.31%
ST Times..3023 -0.1 -0.00%

IDX…….6980.65 +120.24 +1.75%
LQ45…..993.68 +19.61 +2.01%

IDX Energy..2013.86 +55.53 +2.84%
IDX Bsc Mat.1258.58 +17.50 +1.41%
IDX Industrl..1257.29 +6.36 +0.51%
IDXNONCYC..736.76 +18.00 +2.50%
IDX Hlthcare.1469.92 +5.78 +0.39%
IDXCYCLIC…..846.45 +4.19 +0.50%
IDX Techno..6538.56 +40.62 +0.63%
IDX Transp…1766.06 +4.88 +0.28%
IDX Infrast……931.86 +8.88 +0.96%
IDX Finance 1468.12 +16.81 +1.16%
IDX Banking.1158.80 +28.44 +2.52%
IDX Property…….684 +8.00 +1.18%

Indo10Yr….7.4883 +0.0390 +0.52%
ICBI……..331.9379 -0.7154 -0.22%
US10Yr……4.2260 +0.0990 +2.40%‼️
VIX……….29.98 -0.78 -2.54%

USDIndx 112.8500 -0.0430 -0.04%
Como Indx..271.72 +0.37 +0.14%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..145.70 +2.94 +2.06%
.
IndoCDS 160.00 +4.31 +2.77%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/10)

IDR……15571.50 +73.50 +0.47%‼️
Jisdor..15579.00 +110 +0.71%‼️

Euro……..0.9785 -0.0075 -0.76%‼️

TLKM……..27.52 +0.56 +2.08%
(4287
EIDO………23.26 +0.56 +2.47%
EEM………34.74 +0.22 +0.64%

Oil…………85.98 unch +0%
Gold ……1632.50 -1.50 -0.09%
Timah….19338 -112 -0.58%
(Closed 19/10)
Nickel…22195.50 +154.00 +0.70%
(Closed 20/10)
Silver………18.60 +0.19 +1.03%
Copper….339.75 +7.70 +2.32%

Nturl Gas…..5.317 -0.138 -2.53%

Ammonia..4146.67 -33.33 -0.80%
China
(Domestic Price)(19/10)

Coal price….391.95 +0.95 +0.24%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….396.15 +2.90 +0.74%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….398.50 +2.40 +0.61%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….270.00 +2.00 +0.75%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….258.50 +1.35 +0.52%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..257.30 +0.55 +0.55%
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..94.45 unch +0%
Indonesial Coal Index (19/10)

CPO(Jan)……4100 -20 -0.48%

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….684.00 +5.75 +0.85%
SoybeanOil…70.42 -0.22 -0.31%
Wheat………849.25 +8.00 +0.95%

Wood pulp…6846.00 unch +0%
(Closed 20/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing merah, europe masih pada ijo, asia merah kecuali IHSG. Hari ini kayanya mau merah berarti

Oil unchanged, gold timah merah, nikel silver copper ijo. MDKA turun dulu deh, minggu depan kita belanja MDKA. Gas merah coal ijo lagi, masih harus diperhatikan ini jebakan betmen atau bukan, cpo koreksi dikit

IHSG – stoch udah buy, macd dikit lagi, mulai FNB,bandar akum, MFI flat, closing diatas MA10 dibawah MA20, mahzab MA masih nunggu, tapi elliot wave udah firm wave 3 sih, LR mantul, DMI contraction tapi buy signal masih jauh. Masih selective buying saham saham yang firm jalan aja dan ada buy signalnya

Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Basic Materials, Property sama Industrials… Financials belum terlihat, padahal kalo index mau lari financials harus dorong…

Kita check infobank15 dulu

Infobank15 – stoch buy, MACD almost buy, last day FNB, bandar akum, MFI up, inside cloud going up, elliot wave redraw, bikin lower low kemaren, sekarang udah mantul, udah closing diatas MA20 firm wave 3 ini… LR mantul DMI udah buy, lanjut dorong index ke atas…

Global Update:

October 20th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks snap two-day winning streak as 10-year yield hits highest level since 2008

Stocks moved lower on Wednesday as Wall Street struggled to extend its rally amid a sharp rise in Treasury yields.

Dow…….30424 -99.99 -0.33%
Nasdaq.10681 -91.9 -0.85%
S&P 500..3695 -24.8 -0.67%

FTSE…….6925 -11.8 -0.17%
Dax……..12741 -24.2 -0.19%
CAC……..6041 -26.3 -0.43%

Nikkei….27257 +101.2 +0.37%
HSI……..16511 -403.3 -2.38%
Shanghai..3044 -36.6 -1.19%
ST Times..3023 -3.1 -0.10%

IDX…….6860.42 +25.92 +0.38%
LQ45…..974.07 +2.72 +0.28%

IDX Energy…1958.33 -14.53 -0.74%
IDX Bsc Mat.1241.08 +12.44 +1.01%
IDX Industrl..1250.93 +4.10 +0.33%
IDXNONCYC..842.26 +6.32 +0.76%
IDX Hlthcare.1464.14 +8.00 +0.55%
IDXCYCLIC…..842.26 +6.32 +0.76%
IDX Techno..6497.94 +44.34 +0.69%
IDX Transp…1761.18 +8.94 +0.51%
IDX Infrast……922.98 +3.12 +0.34%
IDX Finance 1451.31 +19.96 +1.39%
IDX Banking.1129.36 +15.48 +1.39%
IDX Property…….67/ +4.50 +0.67%

Indo10Yr….7.4493 +0.0097 +0.13%
ICBI……..332.6533 -0.3304 -0.10%
*US10Yr……4.1270 +0.1290 +3.23%‼️*
*VIX……….30.75 +0.26 +0.85%*

*USDIndx 112.8930 +0.8540 +0.76%*
Como Indx..271.35 -0.20 -0.07%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..142.75 -0.49 -0.34%
.
*IndoCDS 155.69 -0.40 -0.26%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(12/10)*

*IDR……15498.50 +34.00 +0.22%‼️*
*Jisdor..15469.00 -11 -0.07%‼️*

*Euro……..0.9860 +0.0136 +1.42%‼️*

TLKM……..26.96 -0.24 -0.88%
*(4170)*
EIDO………22.70 +0.06 +0.26%
EEM………34.52 -0.64 -1.82%

*Oil…………85.98 +3.16 +3.82%‼️*
Gold ……1634.00 -21.80 -1.32%
Timah….19450 -195 -0.99%
*(Closed 18/10)*
Nickel…22041.00 +103.00 +0.47%
*(Closed 19/10)*
Silver………18.41 -0.19 -1.02%
Copper….332.05 -4.15 -1.23%

*Nturl Gas…..5.455 -0.236 -4.15%‼️*

*Ammonia..4180.00 -26.67 -0.63%*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(18/10)

Coal price….391.00 +3.15 +0.81%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….393.25 +6.45 +1.67%
(Nov/Newcastle)
*Coal price….396.10 +9.80 +2.54%*
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….268.00 +1.00 +0.37%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….257.15 +2.15 +0.84%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..256.75 +1.85 +0.73%
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..94.45 unch +0%
Indonesial Coal Index (18/10)

*CPO(Jan)……4120 +115 +2.87%‼️*

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….678.25 -2.75 -0.40%
*SoybeanOil…70.64 +1.90 +2.76%*
Wheat………841.25 -8.25 -0.97%

*Wood pulp…6846.00 unch +0%*
(Closed 18/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US sama europe kompak koreksi abis naik naik tinggi 2 hari kemaren. Asia kebanyakan merah, yang ijo cuma IHSG sama Nikkei

Oil naik tinggi, metal turun semua kecuali nikel, persis kemaren. Gas lanjut drop, coal rebound tipis, CPO naik lagi tinggi

Apa udah mau mulai naik lagi energy? Harusnya sih belum cukup dalem koreksinya. MDKA minggu depan jadi lah buy nya, abis gold rebound. CPO ini menarik ditungguin rebound nya, AALI LSIP

Sudah bersepakatlah ya kayanya para penggerak pasar, bahwa udah saatnya wave 3. Udah bikin 3 white soldiers

IHSG – firm wave 3 lah ya…

Ini koq IHSG mau run wave 3 financials belum siap jalan RSI nya, heuheu… Basic Materials, Property, Industrials

Global update:

September 19th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower on Friday, extending sell off for worst week since June for S&P 500 and Nasdaq

Stocks fell Friday as Wall Street wrapped up one of its worst weeks in months and traders reacted to an ugly earnings warning from FedEx about the global economy.

Dow…….30822 -139.4 -0.45%
Nasdaq.11448 -103.95 -0.90%
S&P 500..3873 -28.02 -0.72%

FTSE…….7237 -45.4 -0.62%
Dax……..12741 -215.4 -1.66%
CAC……..6077 -80.5 -1.31%

Nikkei….27568 -308.3 -1.11%
HSI……..18762 -168.7 -0.89%
Shanghai..3126 -73.5 -2.30%
ST Times..3268 +0.31 +0.01%

IDX…….7168.87 -136.73 -1.87%
LQ45…1016.01 -25.04 -2.40%

IDX Energy..2034.77 -44.48 -2.14%
IDX Bsc Mat.1304.13 +0.83 +0.06%
IDX Industrl..1363.44 -22.00 -1.59%
IDXNONCYC..702.55 -3.61 -0.51%
IDX Hlthcare.1449.21 -5.57 -0.38%
IDXCYCLIC…..880.03 -2.12 -0.24%
IDX Techno..7483.50 -35.58 -0.47%
IDX Transp…1903.48 -13.70 -0.71%
IDX Infrast…..1027.23 -3.55 -0.34%
IDX Finance 1512.67 -29.05 -1.88%
IDX Banking..1167.49 -33.02 -2.75%bangbang
IDX Property….737 -8.50 -1.14%

Indo10Yr….7.2394 +0.0326 +0.45%
ICBI……..335.6762 -0.6426 -0.19%
US10Yr……3.4480 -0.0110 -0.32%
VIX……….26.30 +0.03 +0.11%

USDIndx 109.7640 +0.0250 +0.02%
Como Indx..278.88 -2.12 -0.75%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.24 +1.24 +0.82%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14954.50 +57.00 +0.38%bangbang
Jisdor..14939.00 +40.00 +0.16%bangbang

Euro……..1.0016 +0.0022 +0.22%

TLKM……..29.20 -0.60 -2.01%
(4362)
EIDO………24.27 -0.48 -1.94%
EEM………37.79 -0.35 -0.92%
Oil…………..85.11 +0.38 +0.45%
Gold ……..1683.50 +11.80 +0.71%
Timah. .21137.00 +327.00 +1.57%
( Closed 16/9)
Nickel…24395.50 +1091.00 +4.68%bangbang
(Closed 16/9)
Silver…….19.38 +0.32 +1.68%
Copper….351.65 +4.96 +1.43%

Nturl Gas…..7.817 -0.475 -5.73%bangbang

Ammonia..4256.67 +66.67 +1.59%bangbang
China
(Domestic Price)(15/9)

Coal price….439.00 -6.50 -1.46%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….428.00 -10.00 -2.28%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….423.50 -11.00 -2.53%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….331.00 -6.20 -1.84%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….304.30 -13.70 -4.30%bangbang
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..305.55 -12.45 -3.92%bangbang
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3801 -116 -2.96%bangbang
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..677.25 -0.25 -0.04%
SoybeanOil…65.96 +1.66 +2.58%
Wheat……..859.75 +14.75 +1.75%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 18/9)

copyrightPhintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing jum’at kompak merah semua, IHSG dalem banget dan ada opening gap down, membuka harapan rebound kecil hari ini… Energy dan Banking yang drop paling besar, udahan dulu emang keliatannya dari sisi sektornya.

Komoditas hampir semua naik kecuali natural gas sama coal dan  cpo, metal2 naik bisa berarti basic materials naik. Kita check chart sektornya later ya.

Keliatannya sesuai prediksi, sebelum santa claus rally akan drop dulu, bikin wave 3. Cocok nanti sama jadwal window dressing akhir tahun sekalian wave 3.

IHSG – stoch macd bilang sell, bandar dan foreign buang, MFI SW, ada banyak gap dibawah, LR bisa kemana aja, PSAR sell. Jelek banget ini…

IHSG kena regular bearish divergence MACD line dan MACD histogram, confirmed by MA10. So technically ngeri ini… Dan kemaren hype nya new ATH cuma segitu aja. Prepare buat terjunan wave 2. Kita liat sektor mana yang bakal jadi ganjel index

Bersih bersih dulu, mulai belanja lagi amannya setelah gap 6911 udah ketutup, kalo gap 6740 udah ketutup berani buy sambil merem, hehehe…

FTSE GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX SERIES ASIA PACIFIC EX JAPAN EX CHINA SEPTEMBER 2022 SEMI ANNUAL REVIEW

(The changes will be effective after the close of business on Friday, 16 September 2022 (i.e. on Monday, 19 September 2022)

INDONESIA

• LARGE CAP

Inclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large
-AMRT (Sumber Alfaria Trijaya) – Large Cap Addition

Exclusions :
-BRIS (Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk) – Large to Mid

• MID CAP

Inclusions :
-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid
-BRIS (Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk) – Large to Mid
-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
-MSIN (MNC Studios International) – Mid Cap Addition

Exclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large

• SMALL CAP

Inclusions :
-SIDO (Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul)
-HEAL (Medikaloka Hermina)

Exclusions :
-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid
-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
*
(Listri Samudra | Phintraco Sekuritas (AT), Source : FTSE – Disclaimer On)

Highlight di:

Inclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large
-AMRT (Sumber Alfaria Trijaya) – Large Cap Addition

-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid

-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
-MSIN (MNC Studios International) – Mid Cap Addition

Inclusions :
-SIDO (Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul)
-HEAL (Medikaloka Hermina)

Harusnya efek rebalancing akan bikin naik saham-saham ini karena akan diborong para Manager Investasi.

Cuma Property yang firm, tanda tanda perlawanan ada di basic materials, transportation, sama consumer cyclicals. Infra ada dikit tapi ok lah kita liat detailnya

Global update:

September 16th, 2022

Good morning,

Nasdaq drops more than 1% as market comeback stumbles, Dow closes at lowest level in two months

U.S. stocks dropped in choppy trading on Thursday as investors mulled over several economic reports that showed a muddy picture of the U.S. economy.

Dow…….30962 -173.3 -0.56%
Nasdaq.11552 -167.3 -1.43%
S&P 500..3901 -44.7 -1.13%

FTSE…….7282 +4.8 +0.07%
Dax……..12957 -71.3 -0.55%
CAC……..6158 -64.6 -1.04%

Nikkei….27876 +57.3 +0.21%
HSI……..18930 +83.3 +0.44%
Shanghai..3200 -37.6 -1.16%
ST Times..3268 +9,96 +0.31%

IDX…….7305.60 +39.94 +0.38%
LQ45…1041.04 +6.52 +0.53%

IDX Energy..2079.26 -1.67 -0.08%
IDX Bsc Mat.1303.30 -14.90 -1.13%
IDX Industrl..1385.43 +9.87 +0.72%
IDXNONCYC..706.15 +0.92 +0.13%
IDX Hlthcare.1454.78 +2.44 +0.17%
IDXCYCLIC…..882.15 +3.01 +0.34%
IDX Techno..7519.08 -87.50 -1.15%
IDX Transp…1917.18 -10.38 -0.54%
IDX Infrast…..1030.79 -1.41 -0.14%
IDX Finance 1541.72 +14.89 +0.98%
IDX Banking..1200.51 +17.04 +1.44%
IDX Property…745 +15.60 +2.14%‼️

Indo10Yr….7.2068 +0.0176 +0.24%
ICBI……..336.3188 -0.1789 -0.05%
US10Yr……3.4590 +0.0470 +1.38%
VIX……….26.27 +0.11 +0.42%

USDIndx 109.7390 +0.0810 +0.07%
Como Indx..281.00 -5.33 -1.86%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..152.00 -1.84 -1.19%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14897.50 -10.00 -0.07%
Jisdor..14899.00 -24.00 -0.16%

Euro……..0.9994 +0.0011 +0.11%

TLKM……..29.80 -0.09 -0.30%
(4440)
EIDO………24.75 +0.08 +0.32%
EEM………38.14 -0.41 -1.06%

Oil…………..84.73 -4.15 -4.67%‼️
Gold ……..1671.70 -35.10 -2.06%‼️
Timah. .21177.00 -203.00 -0.95%
( Closed 14/9)
Nickel…23304.00 -1029.00 -4.86%‼️
(Closed 15/9)
Silver…….19.06 -0.54 -2.76%‼️
Copper….346.70 -5.00 -1.42%

Nturl Gas…..8.292 -0.789 -8.69%‼️

Ammonia..4190.00 +33.33 +0.80%
China
(Domestic Price)(13/9)

Coal price….445.50 +1.30 +0.29%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….438.00 -1.20 -0.27%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….434.50 +0.35 +0.08%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….337.20 +1.20 +0.36%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….318.00 -1.50 -0.47%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…318.00 -3.00 -0.93%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3744 -114 -2.95%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..677.50 -4.75 -0.70%
SoybeanOil…64.30 -0.57 -0.88%
Wheat……..845.00 -27.25 -3.12%‼️

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 15/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US lanjut merah, europe mostly merah, asia ijo kecuali shanghai, masih ngikutin sisa ijonya US di hari sebelumnya. IHSG kebawa sentimen big banks laporan keuangannya bagus berhasil bikin new record high, walaupun sebetulnya belum ada pemulihan ekonomi yang signifikan. Semoga bukan hanya euforia sesaat terus dibanting dalem tutup gap

Oil dan natural gas drop lagi, metals turun semua, coal naik cpo turun – not a good sign… Kemarin nikel emas timah ada kenaikan dan sector rotation nya pas ke basic materials, diharapkan ANTM INCO TINS MDKA naik lagi, sekarang turun semoga koreksinya tidak terlalu dalam

Kemaren IHSG tembus level previous all time high di 7355, high kemaren di 7371. Opening gap up, jadi memang rawan koreksi hari ini, walau harapan euforia nya semoga nahan untuk tidak langsung koreksi wave 2. Tapi, secara teknikal begitu bikin new record high IHSG juga langsung ada bearish divergence di MACD line dan MACD histogram. Kalau hari ini closing merah, besok closing merah lagi, besar kemungkinan akan drop jauh, firm bearish divergence nya. Per sekarang MACD signal sell nongol, ini yang kemaren saya takutkan,jebakan teknikal, banyak orang yang nunggu untuk re-entry di MACD buy signal, kemaren buy signal sekarang ngebalik, kalo ga ada perubahan bakal banyak nyangkuters yang kena jebakan teknikal ini, persis tahun kemarin

19 Maret 2021 kejadiannya

IHSG – Foreign masih entry, bandar lokal distribusi, stoch sama MACD ngebalik sell lagi, MFI masih up. Kurang kuat euforia break ATH nya nih, WNS tunggu besok harga kemana

Yang firm tinggal property, yang lain melemah cacing RSI nya

Rotationnya seringnya begitu sih, abis bank terus property…