Daily Analysis 20221107

Daily Analysis 20221107

November 07th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes 400 points higher, but snaps four-week win streak on rising rate fears

Stocks rallied on Friday, but finished the week lower, as investors drew conflicting conclusions about what the latest payroll numbers mean for future Federal Reserve rate hikes

Dow…….32403 +401.97 +1.26%
Nasdaq.10475 +132.3 +1.28%
S&P 500..3771 +50.6 +1.36%

FTSE…….7335 +146.2 +2.03%
Dax……..13460 +329.7 +2.51%
CAC……..6416 +173.2 +2.77%

Nikkei….27200 -463.7 -1.68%
HSI……..16161 +821.7 +5.36%‼️
Shanghai..3071 +72.99 +2.43%
ST Times..3130 +27.6 +0.89%

IDX…….7045.53 +10.95 +0.16%
LQ45…..1005.98 +4.68 +0.47%

IDX Energy..2028.15 -5.98 -0.29%
IDX Bsc Mat.1301.29 +21.25 +1.66%
IDX Industrl..1244.36 -4.03 -0.32%
IDXNONCYC..728.97 +0.82 +0.11%
IDX Hlthcare.1487.04 -3.07 -0.21%
IDXCYCLIC…..881.97 -1.59 -0.18%
IDX Techno..6646.06 -27.05 -0.41%
IDX Transp…1853.71 +21.94 +1.20%
IDX Infrast……921.06 -7.36 -0.79%
IDX Finance 1474.82 -11.31 -0.76%
IDX Banking.1182.68 -5.3 5 -0.45%
IDX Property….690 -2.80 -0.41 %

Indo10Yr….7.5415 +0.0258 +0.34%
ICBI……..332.2555 -0.4389 -0.13%
US10Yr……4.150 +0.0320 +0.78%
VIX……….24.55 -0.75 -2.96%

USDIndx 110.8770 -2.101 -1.86%👍
Como Indx..287.55 +9.23 +3.32%‼️
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……153.40 +8.13 +5.60%‼️
.
IndoCDS..133.81 -10.90 -7.53%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/11)

IDR……15737.50 +42.50 +0.27%‼️
Jisdor..15736.00 +55 +0.35%‼️

Euro……..0.9957 +0.02090 +2.14%

TLKM……..26.83 +0.76 +2.92%
(4222)
EIDO………23.70 +0.55 +2.38%
EEM……….36.20 +1.47 +4.23%‼️

Oil…………92.61 +4.44 +5.04%‼️
Gold ……1676.60 +45.70 +2.80%
Timah…..18872 +1110.00 +6.25%‼️
(Closed 04/11)
Nickel…22782.00 +1010.00 +4.43%‼️
(Closed 04/11)
Silver………20.78 +1.35 +6.97%‼️
Copper….368.75 +25.95 +7.57%‼️

Nturl Gas…..6.459 +0.262 +4.22%‼️

Ammonia..4150.00 +53.33 +1.30%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/11)

Coal price….349.50 -1.50 -0.43%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….349.00 -4.00 -1.13%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….345.75 -4.30 -2.26%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….216.00 -5.00 -2.26%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….216.00 -7.00 -3.14%
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….215.50 -6.55 -2.95%
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..91.80 -2.70 -2.86%
Indonesial Coal Index (04/11)

CPO(Jan)……4365 -29 -0.67%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….681.00 +1.75 +0.26%
SoybeanOil…77.17 +1.88 +2.50%
Wheat………847.75 +7.25 +0.86%

Wood pulp…6710.00 -20 -0.30%
(Closed 06/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US rebound, Europe ijo, asia ijo kecuali nikkei, ayo lanjut rally ISHG… Kita check infobank15 later buat konfirmasi

Semua metal naik tinggi, alias USD nya turun, Oil Gas Naik tinggi, coal masih turun, CPO masih belum firm balik trend jadi bullish. Ini romongan MDKA ANTM INCO TINS harusnya lannjut panen… Saham oil sama gas harusnya naik, tapi sektor energy masih meragukan

IHSG – Stochastic masih down, belum lama sell, MACD masih up, 833 keliatannya mau rev up, MFI masih UP, RSI flat, bandar akum, FF NFS tipis, masih dalam rangka wave 3, LR masih ok, PSAR masih up, DMI down. Masih belum langsung bisa rally kalo secara teknikal, minimal perlu 2-3 bar lagi buat ngebalikin stoch 833 jadi buy

 

Basic Materials, Consumer Cyclicals, Property, Technology, Transportation

Daily Analysis 20221102

Daily Analysis 20221102

November 02nd, 2022 Good morning, Stocks finish lower as Wall Street braces for key Fed decision Stocks dipped on Tuesday as traders assessed better-than-expected economic data and prepared for another…
Daily Analysis 20221101

Daily Analysis 20221101

November 01st, 2022 Good morning, Dow closes lower on Monday, but still posts best month since 1976 Stocks slipped on Monday, but the Dow capped off its best month since…
Daily Analysis 20221028

Daily Analysis 20221028

Global Update:

October 28th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 200 points higher on better-than-expected GDP report, Nasdaq tumbles

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed higher Thursday after new data showed third-quarter GDP grew faster than expected and hinted at waning inflation, encouraging investors to buy stocks linked to the health of the economy

Dow…….32033 +194.2 +0.61%
Nasdaq.10792 -178.3 -1.63%
S&P 500..3807 -23.3 -0.61%

FTSE…….7074 +17.6 +0.25%
Dax……..13211 +15.4 +0.12%
CAC……..6244 -32.3 -0.51%

Nikkei….27345 -86.6 -0.32%
HSI……..15428 +110.3 +0 .72%
Shanghai..2983 -16.6 -0.55%
ST Times..3015 +6.9 +0.23%

IDX…….7091.76 +42.82 +0.68%
LQ45…1012.7€ +8.59 +0.86%

IDX Energy..2044.25 +7.76 +0.38%
IDX Bsc Mat.1255.45 +12.42 +1.03%
IDX Industrl..1298.42 +10.31 +0.80%
IDXNONCYC..746.55 +6.49 +0.88%
IDX Hlthcare.1511.54 +1.88 +0.12%
IDXCYCLIC…..868.60 +10.76 +1.25%
IDX Techno..6638.608 -41.58 -0.62%
IDX Transp…1792.10 +13.85 +0.78%
IDX Infrast……936.29 -1.01 -0.11%
IDX Finance 1501.18 +11.00 +0.94%
IDX Banking.1190.31 +11.06 -1.52%
IDX Property….691 +3.2 +0.47%

Indo10Yr….7.6076 -0.0162 -0.21%
ICBI……..330.7231 +0.5369 +0.16%
US10Yr……3.9370 -0.0780 -1.94%‼️
VIX……….27.39 +0.11 +0.40%

USDIndx 110.5720 +0.8720 +0.79%
Como Indx..276.81 -0.54 -0.19%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……148.57 -1.64 -1.09%
.
IndoCDS 142.82 -3.44 -2.35%‼️👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (26/10)

IDR……15567.00 +4.00 +0.03%‼️
Jisdor..15573.00 -23 -0.15%‼️

Euro……..0.9968 -0.0113 -1.12%

TLKM……..28.00 -0.07 -0.26%
(4360)
EIDO………23.61 -0.04 -0.17%
EEM……….34.50 -0.27 -0.78%

Oil…………88.08 +0.83 +0.94%
Gold ……1666.70 -2.70 -0.16%
Timah….18682 +205.00 +1.11%
(Closed 26/10)
Nickel…22293.50 -376.00 -1.66%
(Closed 27/10)
Silver………19.57 +0.03 +0.15%
Copper….352.45 -1.50 -0.42%

Nturl Gas…..5.855 -0.318 -5.15%‼️

Ammonia..4113.33 -16.67 +0.40%
China
(Domestic Price)(26/10)

Coal price….385.50 -0.90 -0.23%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….372.35 -2.10 -0.56%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….373.35 +1.00 +0.27%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….239.50 -1.20 -2.00%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….244.40 -4.90 -0.49%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..238.00 -4.50 -1.86%
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..92.75 -0.65 -0.70%
Indonesial Coal Index (26/10)

CPO(Jan)……4151 +44 +1.07%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….682.25 -2.75 -0.40%
SoybeanOil…72.30 -1.12 -1.53%
Wheat………838.50 -2.00 -0.24%

Wood pulp…6810.00 -6 -0.09%
(Closed 27/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas,

DJI ijo, nasdaq masih merah, europe ijo kecuali perancis, asia varied, mulai sideways kayanya… IDX kemaren ijo lagi, semoga lanjut lah hari ini

Gold Copper Nickel merah, Silver Timah ijo. Kurang bagus buat MDKA ini, heu… Oil ijo gas drop dalem, coal merah tipis. masih meragukan ini sektor energy. Udah pengen buy ELSA tapi ragu2…

IHSG – stoch up dan mulai overbought, macdup, mfi up, 833 mulai mau ngajak koreksi, udah mulai harus liat sektor mana yang jalan selain finance, biasanya pas uptrend wave 3, pas sektor financials sideways/turun diganjel sama sektor lain supaya indexnyaga keseret jauh ke bawah.FF akum, BD rada flat, LR belum cross midline semogabukan kejedot, cuma harus testing beberapa bar sebelum breakout. DMI sideways abis buy sell lagi… Kita fokus check sektor

Masih financials, Industrials, nambah property dan technology

Daily Analysis 20221024

Daily Analysis 20221024

October 24th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow climbs more than 700 points on Friday as Wall Street clinches its best week since June

Stocks climbed on Friday as Wall Street closed a volatile week on a high note despite some disappointing earnings reports.

Dow…….31082 +748.97 +2.47%
Nasdaq.10860 +244.9 +2.31%
S&P 500..3753 +86.97 +2.37%
FTSE…….6970 +25.8 +0.37%
Dax……..12731 -36.5 -0.29%
CAC……..6036 -51.5 -0.85%

Nikkei….26891 -116.4 -0.43%
HSI……..16211 -69.1 -0.42%
Shanghai..3039 +3.9 +0.13%
ST Times..2970 -52.8 -1.75%

IDX…….7017.77 +37.12 +0.53%
LQ45…1000.36 +6.68 +0.67%

IDX Energy..2017.02 +3.16 +0.16%
IDX Bsc Mat.1247.35 -11.23 -0.89%
IDX Industrl..1263.15 +5.85 +0.47%
IDXNONCYC..732.55 -4.20 -0.57%
IDX Hlthcare.1477.13 +7.21 +0.49%
IDXCYCLIC…..853.63 +7.18 +0.85%
IDX Techno..6474.00 -65.56 -0.99%
IDX Transp…1778.18 +12.11 +0.69%
IDX Infrast……944.15 +12.28 +1.32%
IDX Finance 1490.55 +22.43 +1.53%
IDX Banking.1177.85 +20.15 +1.74%
IDX Property…….681 -3.50 -0.51%

Indo10Yr….7.5580 +0.0697 +0.93%
ICBI……..330.5773 -1.3607 -0.41%
*US10Yr……4.2260 +0.0990 +2.40%‼️*
*VIX……….29.69 -0.29 -0.97%*

*USDIndx 112.0120 -0.8380 -0.74%👍*
Como Indx..272.36 +0.64 +0.24%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..145.84 +0.14 +0.10%
.
*IndoCDS 165.84 +5.84 +3.65%‼️*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(12/10)*

*IDR……15631.50 +60.00 +0.39%‼️*
*Jisdor..15610.00 +31 +0.20%‼️*

*Euro……..0.9862 +0.0077 +0.79%‼️*

TLKM……..27.70 +0.18 +0.65%
*(4338)*
EIDO………23.64 +0.38 +1.63%
EEM………35.27 +0.53 +1.53%

Oil…………85.05 -0.93 -1.08%
*Gold ……1656.30 +23.80 +1.46%*
*Timah….18484 -864 -4.47%‼️*
*(Closed 21/10)*
Nickel…22185.00 -10.50 -0.05%(
*(Closed 21/10)*
Silver………18.60 +0.19 +1.03%
Copper….339.75 +7.70 +2.32%

*Nturl Gas…..5.472 +0.155 +2.92%*

*Ammonia..4130.00 -16.67 -0.40%*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(20/10)

Coal price….390.00 -1.95 -0.50%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….389.95 -6.20 -1.57%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….390.00 -7.05 -0.61%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….270.00 unch +0%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….256.40 -2.10 -0.81%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..255.55 -1.75 -0.68%
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..95.15 +1.15 +1.22%
Indonesial Coal Index (21/10)

CPO(Jan)……4100 unch +0%

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….684.25 +0.25 +0.04%
SoybeanOil…71.50 +1.08 +1.53%
Wheat………850.75 +1.50 +0.18%

*Wood pulp…6820.00 unch +0%*
(Closed 20/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US ijo tebel, bagus buat rally wave 3 IHSG. eropa dan asia closing jum’at kebanyakan merah

Gold SIlver Copper naik –> kalo logam2 mulia-an naik semua berarti sebenernya dollar yang turun… timah nikel turun, padahal ANTM INCO udah buy signal, bisa ganggu ini… Oil turun, Gas rebound abis turun gede, coal turun. Masih meragukan run sektor energy ini…

IHSG – tadinya diharapkan cukup bikin 3 white soldiers untuk konfirmasi reversal, malah rally 5 hari ijo berturut2… Suka iseng ini nanti bandar, kalo long run kepanjangan, pas orang entry dia turunin dulu, hihihi… Udah firm nongol MACD buy signal

IHSG – stoch buy,macd buy, MFI up, lastday FNB, Bandar akum, close diatas SMA 20, LR up, DMI dikit lagi buy, firm wave 3

Infobank – Nyaris persis IHSG, bedanya, firm breakout neckline IHNS sebelumnya. Big caps banyak bank, kalo Infobank15 rally, ihsg juga rally. Firm wave 3

Koq membingungkan, IHSG naik tapi sektor yang kemaren pada naik sekarang cacing RSI nya melemah…

Cuma Customer Non-Cyclicals yang arahnya bagus, padahal udah diujung, biasanya mau melemah

Financials mulai bangun, sudah seharusnya kalo index mau lari

Daily Analysis 20221021

Daily Analysis 20221021

Global update:

October 21th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower for second day as Treasury yields continue march to new highs

Stocks fell in choppy trading on Thursday as investors weighed several key earnings reports and

Dow…….30334 -90.2 -0.30%
Nasdaq.10615 -65.7 -0.61%
S&P 500..3666 -29.4 -0.80%

FTSE…….6944 +18.9 +0.27%
Dax……..12767 +26.0 +0.20%
CAC……..6086 +46.2 +0.76%

Nikkei….27007 -250.4 -0.92%
HSI……..16280 -231.1 -1.40%
Shanghai..3036 -9.3 -0.31%
ST Times..3023 -0.1 -0.00%

IDX…….6980.65 +120.24 +1.75%
LQ45…..993.68 +19.61 +2.01%

IDX Energy..2013.86 +55.53 +2.84%
IDX Bsc Mat.1258.58 +17.50 +1.41%
IDX Industrl..1257.29 +6.36 +0.51%
IDXNONCYC..736.76 +18.00 +2.50%
IDX Hlthcare.1469.92 +5.78 +0.39%
IDXCYCLIC…..846.45 +4.19 +0.50%
IDX Techno..6538.56 +40.62 +0.63%
IDX Transp…1766.06 +4.88 +0.28%
IDX Infrast……931.86 +8.88 +0.96%
IDX Finance 1468.12 +16.81 +1.16%
IDX Banking.1158.80 +28.44 +2.52%
IDX Property…….684 +8.00 +1.18%

Indo10Yr….7.4883 +0.0390 +0.52%
ICBI……..331.9379 -0.7154 -0.22%
US10Yr……4.2260 +0.0990 +2.40%‼️
VIX……….29.98 -0.78 -2.54%

USDIndx 112.8500 -0.0430 -0.04%
Como Indx..271.72 +0.37 +0.14%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..145.70 +2.94 +2.06%
.
IndoCDS 160.00 +4.31 +2.77%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/10)

IDR……15571.50 +73.50 +0.47%‼️
Jisdor..15579.00 +110 +0.71%‼️

Euro……..0.9785 -0.0075 -0.76%‼️

TLKM……..27.52 +0.56 +2.08%
(4287
EIDO………23.26 +0.56 +2.47%
EEM………34.74 +0.22 +0.64%

Oil…………85.98 unch +0%
Gold ……1632.50 -1.50 -0.09%
Timah….19338 -112 -0.58%
(Closed 19/10)
Nickel…22195.50 +154.00 +0.70%
(Closed 20/10)
Silver………18.60 +0.19 +1.03%
Copper….339.75 +7.70 +2.32%

Nturl Gas…..5.317 -0.138 -2.53%

Ammonia..4146.67 -33.33 -0.80%
China
(Domestic Price)(19/10)

Coal price….391.95 +0.95 +0.24%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….396.15 +2.90 +0.74%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….398.50 +2.40 +0.61%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….270.00 +2.00 +0.75%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….258.50 +1.35 +0.52%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..257.30 +0.55 +0.55%
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..94.45 unch +0%
Indonesial Coal Index (19/10)

CPO(Jan)……4100 -20 -0.48%

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….684.00 +5.75 +0.85%
SoybeanOil…70.42 -0.22 -0.31%
Wheat………849.25 +8.00 +0.95%

Wood pulp…6846.00 unch +0%
(Closed 20/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing merah, europe masih pada ijo, asia merah kecuali IHSG. Hari ini kayanya mau merah berarti

Oil unchanged, gold timah merah, nikel silver copper ijo. MDKA turun dulu deh, minggu depan kita belanja MDKA. Gas merah coal ijo lagi, masih harus diperhatikan ini jebakan betmen atau bukan, cpo koreksi dikit

IHSG – stoch udah buy, macd dikit lagi, mulai FNB,bandar akum, MFI flat, closing diatas MA10 dibawah MA20, mahzab MA masih nunggu, tapi elliot wave udah firm wave 3 sih, LR mantul, DMI contraction tapi buy signal masih jauh. Masih selective buying saham saham yang firm jalan aja dan ada buy signalnya

Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Basic Materials, Property sama Industrials… Financials belum terlihat, padahal kalo index mau lari financials harus dorong…

Kita check infobank15 dulu

Infobank15 – stoch buy, MACD almost buy, last day FNB, bandar akum, MFI up, inside cloud going up, elliot wave redraw, bikin lower low kemaren, sekarang udah mantul, udah closing diatas MA20 firm wave 3 ini… LR mantul DMI udah buy, lanjut dorong index ke atas…