Global Update:

August 11th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks soar, S&P 500 hits highest level in three months after key report shows slowdown in inflation

Stocks rose sharply on Wednesday after a key inflation reading showed a better-than-expected slowdown for rising prices.

Dow…….33310 +535.1 +1.63%
Nasdaq.12855 +360.9 +2.89%
S&P 500..4210 +87.8 +2.13%

FTSE…….7507 +18.96 +0.25%
Dax……..13701 +165.96+1.23%
CAC……..6523 +33.4 +0.52%

Nikkei….27819 -180.6 -0.65%
HSI……..19611 -392.6 -1.96%
Shanghai..3230 -17.4 -0.54%
ST Times..3266 +15.4 +0.47%

IDX…….7086.24 -16.64 -0.23%
LQ45…1007.80 -0.91 -0.09%

IDX Energy…1804.40 -8.29 -0.46%
IDX Bsc Mat.1331.39 -2.06 -0.15%
IDX Industrl..1304.12 -6.47 -0.49%
IDXNONCYC..703.96 +0.88 +0.12%
IDX Hlthcare.1410.29 -0.76 -0.05%
IDXCYCLIC…..896.33 -4.75 -0.53%
IDX Techno..8034.75 +68.02 +0.85%
IDX Transp…2092.28 -24.32 -1.15%
IDX Infrast…..1032.41 -6.30 -0.61%
IDX Finance 1528.26 -2.14 -0.14%
IDX Banking..1163.84 +10.52 +0.91%
IDX Property…..696 -3.10 -0.44%

Indo10Yr….7.2089 -0.0166 -0.23%
ICBI……..334.4811 -0.1082 -0.03%
US10Yr…..2.7860 -0.0110 -0.39%
VIX…………19.74 -2.03 -9.32%👍

USDIndx 105.2290 -1.069 -1.01%‼️
Como Indx..289.27 +4.73 +1.66%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..160.47 +2.89 +1.83%

IndoCDS…112.24 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14870.50 +18.00 +0.12%
Jisdor..14875 .00 +13.00 +0.09%

Euro………1.0303 +0.0089 +0.87%

TLKM……..30.65 -0.38 -1.22%
(4559)
EIDO………24.00 +0.20 +0.84%
EEM………40.46 +0.50 +1.25%

Oil…………..91.58 +1.08 +1.19%
Gold ……..1808.30 -4.30 -0.24%
Timah. .24426.00 +126 +0.52%
( Closed 09/8)
Nickel…22436.00 +909.50 +4.23%‼️
(Closed 10/8)
Silver…….20.57 -0.10 -0.48%
Copper….363.70 +5.20 +1.45%

Nturl Gas…..8.221 +0.382 +4.87%‼️

Ammonia….3806.67 -unch -0%
China
(Domestic Price)(09/8)

Coal price….398.65 +14.15 +3.68%‼️
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….401.00 +26.00 +6.93%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….390.00 +25.50 +7.00%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….328.75 +13.25 +4.03%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….342.00 +24.35 +7.79%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….329.00 +25.00 +8.22%‼️
(Okt/Rotterdam)
CPO(Okt)……4106 -19 -0.46%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………618.50 +4.50 +0.73%
SoybeanOil…65.99 +1.37 +2.12%
Wheat………816.25 +17.00 +2.13%

Wood pulp…6726.00 unch +0%
(Closed 10/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Fixed ini sih tutup gap atas, hehehe… US ijo tebel, komoditas pada naik, yang turun cuma gold sama silver

Kalo misalnya dikejar tutup gap hari ini langsung, ada bagusnya SOS, ada kemungkinan jum’at jadi hari profit taking sedunia, hehehe

Sell 1/2 muatan dulu sih prudentnya di saham2 yang sudah naik tinggi. Kalo yang baru mulai jalan kita assess detail dulu

Semua indicator masih firm per sekarang, tapi stochastic sudah sangat overbought dan MACD sudah ada pelandaian curve, histogram mulai turun. Jadi untuk rally lebih jauh kemungkinannya lebih kecil dibanding koreksi dulu setelah tutup gap

Industrial dan energy secara umum sudah melemah, infra property techno yang keliatan mau jalan, basic material mantul lagi setelah melemah. Isi porto dan watchlist yang ada di sektor yang melemah nanti kita bahas, jangan sampai telat exit kalo memang sudah selesai manggung

Global Update:

July 26th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks during Monday’s session traded in a narrow range.
All of the major averages are on track for their best month of the year.

Traders are bracing for an onslaught of mega-cap tech earnings and economic data this week, as well as the outcome of the Federal Reserve meeting, that will help Wall Street direct its expectations for the rest of the year.

But, U.S. stock futures fell on Monday night after Walmart cut its profit forecast, sending retail stocks tumbling after hours.

Dow…….31990 +90.8 +0.28%
Nasdaq.11783 -51.5 -0.43%
S&P 500..3967 +5.2 +0.13%

FTSE…….7306 +29.9 +0.41%
Dax……..13210 -43.4 -0.33%
CAC……..6238 +20.7 +0.33%

Nikkei….27699 -215.4 -0.77%
HSI……..20563 -46.2 -0.22%
Shanghai..3250 -19.6 -0.60%
ST Times..3184 +2.2 +0.07%

IDX…….6858.41 -28.56 -0.41%
LQ45…..967.13 -6.91 -0.71%

IDX Energy…1741.10 +16.38 +0.95%
IDX Bsc Mat.1275.25 -5.53 -0.43%
IDX Industrl..1219.82 +5.60 +0.46%
IDXNONCYC..724.61 +1.05 +0.15%
IDX Hlthcare.1514.97 -6.81 -0.45%
IDXCYCLIC…..887.23 -0.18 -0.02%
IDX Techno..7817.61 -262.43 -3.25%
IDX Transp…1955.61 -38.10 -1.91%
IDX Infrast……982.15 +6.51 +0.67%
IDX Finance 1464.19 -8.89 -0.60%
IDX Banking..1090.07 -7.07 -0.64%
IDX Property…….678 +1.30 +0.19%

Indo10Yr….7.4917 -0.0106 -0.14%
ICBI……….328.0307 +0.0642 +0.02%
US10Yr…..2.8200 +0.0370 +1.33%
VIX…………23.26 +0.33 +1.43%

USDIndx 106.4830 -0.2470 -0.23%
Como Indx..284.76 +3.60 +1.28%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..148.20 -0.95 -0.64%

IndoCDS…132.27 -4.97 -3.62%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14993.00 -20.50 -0.14%
Jisdor..14992.00 -32.00 -0.21%

Euro………1.0220 +0.0007 +0.07%

TLKM……..27.95 +0.01 +0.04%
(4190)
EIDO………22.60 +0.10 +0.44%
EEM………39.56 +0.14 +0.36%

Oil…………96.31 +1.61 +1.70%
Gold ……1734.80 -10.35 -0.60%
Timah. .24947.00 – -%
( Closed 22/7)
Nickel..22102.50 -271.50 -1.21%
(Closed 25/7)
Silver…….18.30 -0.32 -1.72%
Copper….335.40 -0.55 -0.16%

Nturl Gas…..8.618 +0.313 +3.77%

Ammonia….369033 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(21/7)

Coal price….410.25 +1.05 +0.26%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…411.05 +12.00 +3.00%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…387.35 +11.05 +2.94%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…364.00 +27.20 +8.08%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3646 -161 -1.57%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………583.75 +19.50 +3.46%
SoybeanOil…57.55 -0.32 -0.55%
Wheat………770.00 +11.00 +1.45%

Wood pulp…6640.00 +10 +0.15%
(Closed 25/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

US tipis tipis, nasdaq karena forecast pendapatan tech giants turun jadi minus duluan. Asia merah kecuali singapore, eropa cuma jerman yang merah, yang lain ikut US sesi satu jadi ijo

Metal turun semua, oil gas coal naik, cpo turun. Kita masih bisa expect saham coal terus naik walau index mungkin merah lagi. Keliatannya bagusan tutup gap dulu sih, biar ga ada “hutang”, hehehe…

Issue IKN digoreng buat naikin saham BUMN karya, tapi kalo cuma itu doang ga bisa panjang gerakannya keliatannya… Yang jelas sebelum firm sektornya jalan hati2 buy BUMN karya. Cucu nya aja malah suspended, WSBP, jadi korban dikasih proyek terus sama waskita tapi dibayarnya kapan kapan…

Index ketemu hidden bearish divergence, biasanya ya 3 hari mah koreksi. Tapi yang bikin khawatir bukan itu… Ada gap di bawah, dan ada satu lagi, di chart trading view ga ada tapi

Kalo di chart mansek ada opening gap pas index naik 2%, most likely ini mah ditutup dulu dalam waktu dekat

GLobal Update:

July 25th, 2022

Good morning,

The S&P 500 fell nearly 1% on Friday, but finished the week higher, as investors digested disappointing results from Snap that sent social media shares reeling.

Dow…….31899 -137.6 -0.43%
Nasdaq.11834 -225.5 -1.87%
S&P 500..3962 -37.3 -0.93%

FTSE…….7276 +5.9 +0.08%
Dax……..13254 +7.04 +0.05%
CAC……..6217 +15.7 +0.25%

Nikkei….27915 +111.7 +0.40%
HSI……..20609 +34.5 +0.17%
Shanghai..3270 -2.03 -0.06.%
ST Times..3181 +29.04 +0.92%

IDX…….6887.13 +22.83 +0.33%
LQ45…..974.04 +2.49 +0.26%

IDX Energy…1724.72 +30.26 +1.79%
IDX Bsc Mat.1280.78 +27.71 +2.21%
IDX Industrl..1214.33 +1.69 +0.14%
IDXNONCYC..723.55 -0.81 -0.11%
IDX Hlthcare.1521.78 -6.29 -0.41%
IDXCYCLIC…..887.42 +2.49 +0.28%
IDX Techno….8080.04 +225.02+2.86%
IDX Transp…1993.71 -6.42 -0.32%
IDX Infrast……974.04 +2.49 +0.26%
IDX Finance 1473.08 -1.40 -0.10%
IDX Banking..1097.14 -5.51 -0.50%
IDX Property…….676 +0.20 +0.02%

Indo10Yr….7.5023 -0.0014 -0.02%
ICBI……….327.9024 -0.2157 -0.07%
US10Yr…..2.7830 -0.1270 -4.36%‼
VIX…………23.03 -0.08 -0.35%

USDIndx 106.7300 -0.1800 -0.17%‼
Como Indx..281.16 -0.68 -0.24%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..149.14 +3.19 +2.19%

IndoCDS…137.24 -3.61 -2.56%👍
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……15013.50 -23.00 -0.15%‼
Jisdor..15024.00 +7.00 +0.05%‼

Euro………1.0213 -0.0011 -0.11%

TLKM……..27.94 +0.13 +0.47%
(4198)
EIDO………22.50 +0.02 +0.09%
EEM………39.42 -0.40 -1.00%

Oil…………94.70 -1.83 -1.89%‼
Gold ……1745.30 +11.00 +0.63%
Timah. .24o47.00 +106.00 +0.43%
( Closed 21/7)
Nickel..22373.50 +760.50 +3.52%
(Closed 23/7)
Silver…….18.62 -0.12 -0.64%
Copper….334.95 +3.65 +1.10%

Nturl Gas…..8.305 +0.415 +5.26%‼

Ammonia….369033 -133.33 -3.49‼%
China
(Domestic Price)(21/7)

Coal price….409.20 +5.80 +1.44%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…399.05 +23.65 +6.30%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…376.30 +0.25 +0.06%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…336.80 +4.10 +1.23%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3883 +161 +4.33%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….564.25 -9.25 -1.61%
SoybeanOil…57.87 +1.81 +3.23%‼
Wheat………759.00 -47.25 -5.86%‼

Wood pulp…6630.00 unch +0%
(Closed 23/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Ujung jum’at US merah, sampai closing europe padahal masih pada ijo, kecuali shanghai yang closing merah di waktu market asia

Oil silver turun, gold lead nickel copper gas coal cpo naik

Harusnya ANTM INCO TINS dan saham coal MDKA PGAS AALI LSIP lanjut jalan

Reminder:

Ini mungkin terjadi, ABC correction yang “flat style”

Ini juga mungkin, ABC correction standar

Kita mesti siap menghadapi dua duanya…

Udah ok buat buy beberapa saham dari teknikal dan fundamental si saham itu sendiri, tapi ada resiko keseret kondisi global/regional

Ini yang tahun kemaren, ABC Flat Style Correction, kejadian di bulan Mei, so, sekarang bulan juli dan biasanya akhir tahun selalu ada santa claus rally, bisa jadi sekarang sudah lewat bottom-nya

Global Update:

July 11th, 2022

Good morning,

Nasdaq rises for fifth-straight day after strong jobs report as Wall Street notches winning week

The Nasdaq Composite rose in choppy trading on Friday as investors reacted to a stronger-than-expected jobs report that will likely keep the Federal Reserve on track for its aggressive rate hikes.

Dow…….31338 -46.4 -0.15%
Nasdaq.11635 +13.96 +0.12%
S&P 500..3899 -3.2 -0.08%

FTSE…….7196 +7.2 +0.10%
Dax……..13015 +172.01 +1.34%
CAC……..6033 +26.4 +0.44%

Nikkei….26517 +26.7 +0.10%
HSI……..21726 +82.2 +0.38%
Shanghai..3356 -8.3 -0.25%
ST Times..3131 +1.9 +0.06%

IDX…….6740.22 +87.63 +1.32%
LQ45…..959.68 +13.10 +1.38%

IDX Energy…1648.73 +17.12 +1.05%
IDX Bsc Mat.1201.90 +31.48 +2.69%
IDX Industrl..1167.29 +11.86 +1.03%
IDXNONCYC..709.97 +2.84 +0.40%
IDX Hlthcare.1510.00 -1.14 -0.08%
IDXCYCLIC…..869.47 +0.39 +0.04%
IDX Techno….7783.19 +226.28 +2.99%
IDX Transp…1893.90 +30.51 +1.64%
IDX Infrast……960.07 +0.72 +0.07%
IDX Finance 1413.10 +23.03 +1.66%
IDX Property…….668 -1.10 -0.16%

Indo10Yr….7.3829 +0.0109 +0.15%
ICBI……….330.9639 -0.1308 -0.04%
US10Yr…..3.1010 +0.0930 +3.09%
VIX…………24.64 -1.44 -5.52%

USDIndx 107.0070 -0.1230 -0.11%‼
Como Indx..287.75 +2.67 +0.94%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..150.77 -0.82 -0.54%

IndoCDS…144.98 -5.32 -3.54%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)  .

IDR……14979.00 -22.50 -0.15%‼
Jisdor..14981.00 -5.00 -0.03%‼

Euro………1.0185 +0.0023 +0.23%

TLKM……..26.51 -0.37 -1.38%
(3971)
EIDO………21.82 +0.12 +0.55%
EEM……….40.09 unch +0%

Oil…………104.79 +2.24 +2.18%
Gold …….1742.30 +3.00 +0.17%
Timah. .25364.00 -620 -2.39%‼
( Closed 08/7)
Nickel…21499.00 +248.50 +1.16%
(Closed 09/7)
Silver…….19.24 +0.09 +0.47%
Copper….352.20 -2.05 -0.58%

Nturl Gas…..6.067 +0.5260 +9.49%‼

Ammonia ..4473.33 -67.33 -1.51%‼
China
(Domestic Price)(07/7)

Coal price…413.75 +3.75 +0.91%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…415.50 +3.50 +0.85%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…388.90 +3.90 +1.01%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…381.+10 +6.10 +1.63%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..4288 +153 +3.79%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………623.50 +27.25 +4.57%‼
SoybeanOil…60.49 +0.90 +1.51%
Wheat………891.50 +55.00 +6.57%‼

Wood pulp…6600.00 unch +0.%
(Closed 10/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Hampir semua index ijo di jum’at, US DJI sama Shanghai merah tipis. Commodity naik semua kecuali timah dan tembaga. Oil stay diatas 100usd/ barrel, coal sampe 413 USD/MT, energy soaring lagi harusnya.

Kita assess kemungkinan pola flat style correction yang kejadian… Akan confirm bila MACD nya lanjut golden cross