December 01st, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 ends 3-day losing streak. Dow jumps 700 points after Powell signals smaller rate hikes

Stocks saw broad gains Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell confirmed that the central bank will slow the pace of its aggressive rate-hiking campaign that has weighed on markets.

*Dow…….34590 +737.2 +2.18%*
*Nasdaq.11468 +484.2 +4.41%*
*S&P 500..4080 +122.5 +3.09%*

FTSE…….7573 +61.1 +0.81%
Dax……..14397 +41.6 +0.29%
CAC……..6739 +69.6 +1.04%

Nikkei….27969 -58.9 -0.21%
HSI……..18597 +392.6 +2.16%
Shanghai..3151 +1.6 +0.05%
ST Times..3290 +14.1 +0.43%

IDX…….7081.31 +69.24 +0.99%
LQ45….1008.28 +13.06 +1.31%

IDX Energy..2078.75 +6.79 +0.33%
IDX Bsc Mat.1284.28 +3.93 +0.31%
IDX Industrl..1246.26 +7.94 +0.64%
IDXNONCYC..744.99 +6.54 +0.89%
IDX Hlthcare.1537.02 +18.24 +1.20%
IDXCYCLIC…..894.72 +4.05 +0.45%
IDX Techno….5896.76 -108.60 -1.81%
IDX Transp…1775.28 -2.37 -0.13%
IDX Infrast……894.06 -1.51 -0.17%
IDX Finance 1509.34 +26.69 +1.80%,
*IDX Banking 1231.39 +33.53 +2.80%‼️*
IDX Property….718 +2.80 +0.39%

*Indo10Yr….7.1218 -0.0308 -0.43%👍*
*ICBI……..341.9633 +0.8271 +0.24%👍*
*US10Yr..3.7030 -0.0450 -1.22%*
*VIX……20.58 -1.31 -5.98%*

*USDIndx..106.0250 -0.8060 -0.75%*
Como Indx..279.76 +4.24 +1.54%
(Core Commodity CRB)
*BCOMIN……162.30 +4.19 +2.65%*
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15731.50 -11.00 -0.07%‼️*
*Jisdor..15742.00 +5.00 +0.03%‼️*

*Euro……..1.0408 +0.0079 +0.76%👍*

TLKM……..25.48 +0.37 +1.47%
*(4011)*
EIDO………23.77 +0.46 +1.97%
*EEM……….38.52 +1.11 +2.89%*

*Oil………….80.55 +2.35 +3.01%‼️*
Gold ……1759.90 -3.80 -0.22%
Timah…..22788 +434.00 +1.94%
*(Closed 29/11)*
Nickel…26928.50 +59.00 +0.22%
*(Closed 30/11)*
Silver………21.78 +0.35 +1.61%
Copper…..373.80 +9.85 +2.71%

Nturl Gas…..7.274 -0.055 -0.75%

Ammonia..4623.33 +33.33 +0.73%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(29/11)

*Coal price….398.50 +11.10 +2.87%*
(Dec/Newcastle)
*Coal price….389.00 +15.50 +4.15%‼️*
(Jan/Newcastle)
*Coal price….379.50 +14.25 +3.90%‼️*
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price….279.00 +19.00 +7.31%‼️*
(Des/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….283.95 +23.45 +9.00%‼️*
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….282.90 +24.50 +9.48%‼️*
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)……4236 +15 +0.36%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….667.00 -2.50 -0.37%
SoybeanOil…71.88 -1.10 -1.51%
Wheat………795.50 +14.00 +1.79%

Wood pulp…6590.00 unch +0%
(Closed 30/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Ijo semua kecuali IHSG sama Nikkei, US ijo tebel abis pengumuman akan slow down kenaikan suku bunga fed. Bagus buat saham overall

Coal lanjut naik tinggi, metal metal ijo kecuali gold, oil rebond, gas koreksi tipis, CPO ijo tipis, masih bullish baru di coal. Banks keliatan di gas, mau mulai santa claus rally? Probably

IHSG – bener bener dibawa sideways, foreign masih net buy terus, optimis tinggal tunggu breakout

Energy, Healthcare, Property, disusul Industrials sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals dan Consumer Cyclicals, Basic Materials mulai gerak, ini kalo Financials lanjut firm jadi semuanya jalan, index lari lagi.

Global update:

October 25th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks notch second day of gains Monday, Dow closes more than 400 points higher

The three major indexes closed higher Monday as traders tried to add to sharp gains seen last week and weighed the latest moves in rates.

Dow…….31499 +417.1 +1.34%
Nasdaq.10953 +92.9 +0.86%
S&P 500..3797 +44.6 +1.19%

FTSE…….7014 +44.3 +0.64%
Dax……..12931 +200.6 +1.58%
CAC……..6131 +95.97 +1.59%

Nikkei….26975 +84.3 +0.31%
*HSI……..15181 -1030.4 -6.36%‼️*
*Shanghai..2978 -61.4 -2.02%*
ST Times..2970 -52.8 -1.75%

IDX…….7053.04 +35.27 +0.50%
LQ45…1006.50 +6.14 +0.61%

IDX Energy..2034.23 +17.21 +0.85%
IDX Bsc Mat.1248.79 +1.43 +0.11%
IDX Industrl..1279.30 +16.15 +1.28%
IDXNONCYC..733.03 +0.47 +0.57%
IDX Hlthcare.1491.24 +14.11 +0.96%
IDXCYCLIC…..858.58 +4.95 +0.58%
IDX Techno..6419.58 -54.42 -0.84%
IDX Transp…1779.26 +1.09 +0.06%
IDX Infrast……937.73 -6.41 -0.68%
IDX Finance 1513.23 +22.68 +1.52%
IDX Banking.1200.38 +22.43 +1.90%
IDX Property…….681 -0.70 -0.10%

Indo10Yr….7.5869 +0.0289 +0.38%
ICBI……..330.5100 -0.1980 -0.06%
*US10Yr……4.2340 +0.0210 +0.50%‼️*
*VIX……….29.85 +0.16 +0.54%*

*USDIndx 111.9960 -0.0160 -0.01%👍*
Como Indx..271.82 -0.54 -0.20%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..145.45 -0.39 -0.26%
.
*IndoCDS 160.86 -4.98 -3.00%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(24/10)*

*IDR……15585.50 -46.00 -0.29%‼️*
*Jisdor..15590.00 -20 -0.13%‼️*

*Euro……..0.9880 +0.0018 +0.18%‼️*

TLKM……..28.25 +0.55 +1.99%
*(4404)*
EIDO………23.70 +0.06 +0.25%
*EEM………33.93 -1.34 -3.80%‼️*

Oil…………84.80 -0.25 -0.29%
Gold ……1655.00 -1.30 -0.08%
Timah….18484 – -%
*(Closed 21/10)*
Nickel…22239.50 +54.50 +0.25%
*(Closed 24/10)*
Silver………19.20 +0.60 +3.23%
Copper….343.20 +3.45 +1.02%

*Nturl Gas…..5.745 +0.273 +4.75%*

*Ammonia..4130.00 – -%*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(20/10)

Coal price….390.00 unch +0%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….383.50 -6.45 -1.65%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….386.05 -3.95 -1.01%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….269.55 -0.45 -0.17%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….246.50 -9.90 -3.86%‼️*
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price…..245.40 -10.15 -3.97%‼️*
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..95.15 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (21/10)

CPO(Jan)……4100 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….681.50 -2.75 -0.40%
SoybeanOil…71.87 +0.37 +0.52%
Wheat………838.75 -12.00 -1.41%

*Wood pulp…6820.00 unch +0%*
(Closed 24/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US europe lanjut ijo, asia varied, HSI yang drop gila gilaan, china dan singapore juga merah, nikkei dan IHSG aman. Semoga hari ini kita ikut US, jangan ikut hangseng

Gold merah tipis, silver ijo, copper ijo, timah unchanged nikel ijo oil merah gas naik rada gede coal spot flat, futur merah. Hati2 yang masih pegang energy, jangan terlalu pede lanjut rally

IHSG – all good, cuma MFI yang flat. Wave 3 biasanya paling panjang, kalo ketemu wave 3 gini ga usah mikirin gorengan, blue chip aja pada lari… Play safe dan jangan telat exit karena fomo naik terus, pasti ketemu koreksi nanti. Kalo mau buy and hold boleh tapi jangan dikit2 diliat, turun dikit galau…

Udah rally 6 days straight, jangan kaget kalo sekali sekali merah, yang penting major tren bullish, tapi tetep keluar masuk sesuai buy signal

Yang kebaca jelas, financials, yang lain agak agak goyang, tapi dari angka sih Basic Materials sama Industrials

Global update:

September 21th, 2022

Good morning,

Major averages close about 1% lower as yields rise ahead of Fed rate decision

Stocks tumbled on Tuesday as the sell-off on Wall Street mounted and investors braced for another large rate hike due out Wednesday from the Federal Reserve.

Dow…….30706 -313.5 -1.01%
Nasdaq.11425 -109.97 -0.95%
S&P 500..3855 -43.96 -1.13%

FTSE…….7193 -44.02 -0.61%
Dax……..12671 -132.4 -1.03%
CAC……..5979 -82.1 -1.35%

Nikkei….27688 +120.8 +0.44%
HSI……..18781 +215.5 +1.16%
Shanghai..3122 +6.8 +0.22%
ST Times..3267 +10.63 +0.33%

IDX…….7196.95 +1.46 +0.02%
LQ45…1028.21 +3.48 +0.34%

IDX Energy..1982.92 -10.58 -0.53%
IDX Bsc Mat.1290.99 -4.74 -0.37%
IDX Industrl..1356.73 -6.58 -0.48%
IDXNONCYC..699.95 -0.36 -0.05%
IDX Hlthcare.1472.15 +5.26 +0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…..884.53 -0.49 -0.06%
IDX Techno..7416.27 +68.72 +0.94%
IDX Transp…1848.78 -19.38 -1.046%
IDX Infrast…..1023.94 -6.48 -0.63%
IDX Finance 1506.01 -10.91 -0.72%
IDX Banking..1169.53 -11.14 -0.94%
IDX Property….730 -7.30 -0.99%

Indo10Yr….7.2436 -0.0020 -0.03%
ICBI……..335.9559 +0.1485 +0.04%
US10Yr……3.5710 +0.0810 +2.32%‼️
VIX……….27.16 +1.40 +5.43%

USDIndx 110.2150 +0.4780 +0.44%‼️
Como Indx..279.54 -0.24 -0.09%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.26 +0.17 +0.11%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14983.50 +6.00 +0.04%‼️
Jisdor..14975.00 -5.00 -0.03%‼️

Euro……..0.9966 -0.0065 -0.65%

TLKM……..29.49 -0.30 -1.01%
(4463)
EIDO………24.29 -0.32 -1.30%
EEM………37.70 -0.21 -0.55%

Oil…………..84.45 -1.28 -1.49%
Gold ……..1673.30 -11.60 -0.69%
Timah. .20945.00 -192 -0.91%
( Closed 19/9)
Nickel…24965.50 +343.50 +0.99%
(Closed 20/9)
Silver…….19.25 -0.33 -1.68%
Copper….349.95 -2.90 -0.82%

Nturl Gas…..7.720 -0.158 -2.01%

Ammonia..4373.33 +116.66 +2.74%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(19/9)

Coal price….441.30 +2.25 +0.51%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….438.00 +9.95 +2.32%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….437.00 +11.95 +2.81%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….323.65 -10.60 -3.17%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….292.60 -14.95 -4.86%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….295.15 -13.65 -4.42%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3739 +38 +1.03%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..692.00 +13.75 +2.03%
SoybeanOil…65.91 +0.75 +1.15%
Wheat……..893.75 +63.25 +7.62%‼️

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 20/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah lagi, europe merah juga, asia kebanyakan ijo ikut US kemarennya. IHSG ijo tipis banget. Prepare lanjut merah today

Oil Gas turun, Coal naik, energi belum kompak lagi. Metal2 turun kecuali nikel, kurang asik buat basic materials, CPO merah, belum terlihat hilal kenaikan buat LSIP sama AALI

IHSG – masih jadwal wave 2, keep cash… Kecuali yang yakin banget dan sektornya masih jalan

Property, Healthcare, Consumer Cyclicals. Yang keliatan mau nyusul technology, transportation, sama consumer non-cyclicals

Global Update:

September 09th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes almost 200 points higher as investors weigh future interest rate hikes

Stocks rose Thursday after moving between gains and losses as Wall Street weighed Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comments on the central bank continuing to fight inflation.

Dow…….31775   +193.2    +0.61%
Nasdaq.11862   +70.2      +0.50%
S&P 500..4006   +26.3      +0.66%

FTSE…….7262   +24.2     +0.33%
Dax……..12904   -11.7      -0.09%
CAC……..6126   +19.98   +0.33%

Nikkei….28065    +634.98 +2.31%
HSI……..18855     -189.7    -1.00%
Shanghai..3236    -10.7      -0.33%
ST Times..3234   +22.8     +0.71%

IDX…….7232.02  +45.26  +0.63%
LQ45…1028.06   +8.39    +0.82%

IDX Energy..2016.74    -26.96   -1.32%
IDX Bsc Mat.1337.13  +26.04   +1.99%
IDX Industrl..1365.83   -5.99     -0.44%
IDXNONCYC..696.86    -5.91     -0.84%
IDX Hlthcare.1425.27  +6.12     +0.43%
IDXCYCLIC…..885.93   +6.35     +0.72%
IDX Techno..7656.76   +130.25 +1.73%
IDX Transp…1913.00   -10.01    -0.52%
IDX Infrast…..1037.66  +10.85  +1.06%
IDX Finance 1516.28    +10.63  +0.71%
IDX Banking..1170.13  +15.22  +1.32%
IDX Property…713        +5.20     +0.74%

Indo10Yr….7.2063   -0.0044   -0.06%
ICBI……..335.7261   +0.4283  +0.13%
US10Yr……3.2920   +0.0270  +0.83%
VIX…………23.61      -1.03       -4.18%

USDIndx 109.6570  +0.095  +0.09%
Como Indx..278.31  +1.79   +0.65%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..149.21  +2.16    +1.47%
.
IndoCDS…122.88     –                -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14905.50  -17.00   -0.11%
Jisdor..14905.00  -22.00   -0.15%

Euro……..0.9999  -0.0091  -0.90%

TLKM……..30.31  +0.21      +0.70%
(4518)
EIDO………24.22   +0.17      +0.71%
EEM………38.43    -0.21        -0.54%

Oil…………..83.54   +1.60      +1.95%
Gold ……..1720.20   -7.60    -0.44%
Timah. .20851.00   -355.00   -1.67%
( Closed 07/9)
Nickel…21871.00   +256.50  +1.19%
(Closed 08/9)
Silver…….18.44      +0.18     +0.99%
Copper….352.70    +9.65     +2.81%

Nturl Gas…..7.966  +0.11    +1.40%

Ammonia..4133.33  +33.33  +0.81%
China
(Domestic Price)(07/9)

Coal price….440.35   +1.35   +0.30%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….434.10   -0.60    -0.14%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….423.25   -0.45    -0.11%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….341.00  -34.00   -9.07%‼
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….331.50  -26.50   -7.40%‼
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….334.50  -14.80   -4.24%‼
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3542  -162     -4.37%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..668.50   -2.50     -0.37%
SoybeanOil…63.23  +1.13   +1.82%
Wheat……..829.00   -15.25   -1.81%

Wood pulp…6750.00  +10   +0.15%
(Closed 08/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Us lanjut ijo lagi, Europe mayoritas ijo, asia varied, tapi mostly ijo atau merah tipis kecuali hangseng

Oil gas coal mantul abis kemaren merah, gold tin merah, nickel silver copper ijo,lebih nungguin nickel sih, rombongan issue batere lebih terpengaruh nickel. CPO drop lagi, waks tambah lama lagi rencana mau beli LSIP ini mah

Belum mau dibawa turun wave 2, masih nahan terus, plus US kemaren ijo jadi stimulus. MACD belum cross up dan belum break high juga , masih lebih besar kemungkinan turun dulu wave 2

IHSG – stoch rev down, 833 sell, macd down, bandar distribusi (ini bahaya ini, harga diangkat bandar exit, profit taking berarti), foreign masih masuk terus, LR channel lagi melebar, karena price stay disitu terus, deviasi dari mean jadi ikut melebar. Koq kayanya hari ini malah start turunnya… WNS lah, kalo bikin ATH ya ikut belanja lagi

Energy melemah, Financials, Basic Materials, Industrials sama Property kalo liat buy signal kemaren