Daily Analysis 20221104

Daily Analysis 20221104

November 04th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower for a fourth day, Nasdaq sheds 1.7% as October jobs report looms

Stocks fell Thursday, declining for a fourth consecutive session. The slide came a day after the Federal Reserve delivered another three-quarter point interest rate hike and signaled that a pivot or rate cut won’t come anytime soon.

Dow…….32001 -146.5 -0.46%
Nasdaq.10343 -181.9 -1.73%
S&P 500..3720 -39.8 -1.06%

FTSE…….7188 +44.49 +0.62%
Dax……..13130 -126.6 -0.95%
CAC……..6243 -33.6 .-0.54%

Nikkei….27663 closed +0%
HSI……..15340 -487.7 -3.08%
Shanghai..2998 -5.6 -0.19%
ST Times..3103 -38.6 -1.23%

IDX…….7034.57 +18.88 +0.27%
LQ45…..1001.30 +2.21 +0.32%

IDX Energy..2034.12 +20.93 +1.04%
IDX Bsc Mat.1280.04 -2.80 -0.22%
IDX Industrl..1248.39 +7.01 +0.56%
IDXNONCYC..728.14 -1.23 -0.17%
IDX Hlthcare.1490.11 -2.48 -0.17%
IDXCYCLIC…..883.57 -1.07 -0.12%
IDX Techno..6673.10 +70.32 +1.06%
IDX Transp…1831.77 +15.87 +0.87%
IDX Infrast……928.42 -3.33 -0.36%
IDX Finance 1486.14 +10.25 +0.69%
IDX Banking.1188.03 +7.95 +0.67%
IDX Property….693 +0.80 +0.12%

Indo10Yr….7.5157 +0.0029 +0.04%
ICBI……..332.6944 -0.1941 -0.06%
US10Yr……4.1240 +0.0650 +1.60%
VIX……….25.30 -0.56 -2.17%👍

USDIndx 112.9740 +0.873 +0.78%‼️
Como Indx..278.32 -2.34 -0.83%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……145.27 -2.69 -1.82%
.
IndoCDS..144.71 +5.18 +3.71%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/11)

IDR……15695.00 +48.50 +0.31%‼️
Jisdor..15681.00 +29 +0.19%‼️

Euro……..0.9748 -0.0076 -0.77%

TLKM……..26.07 -0.47 -1.77%
(4088)
EIDO………23.15 -0.01 -0.04%
EEM……….34.73 +0.20 +0.58%

Oil…………88.17 -1.18 -1.50%
Gold ……1630.90 -7.80 -0.48%
Timah…..18010 +40.00 +0.22%
(Closed 02/11)
Nickel…22782.00 -1228.00 -5.11%‼️
(Closed 03/11)
Silver………19.43 +0.20 +1.04%
Copper….342.70 -1.40 -0.41%

Nturl Gas…..6.197 +0.359 +6.15%‼️

Ammonia..4096.67 -16.66 -0.41%
China
(Domestic Price)(01/11)

Coal price….351.00 -10.00 -2.77%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….353.00 -9.50 -2.62%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….350.05 -9.70 -2.70%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….221.00 -8.50 -3.70%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….223.00 -9.05 -3.90%‼️
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….222.05 -9.05 -3.92%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..94.75 -0.50 -0.52%
Indonesial Coal Index (02/11)

CPO(Jan)……4336 -62 -1.41%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….679.35 -8.25 -1.20%
SoybeanOil…75.29 -0.32 -0.42%
Wheat………840.50 -5.50 -0.65%

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua index regional merah kecuali IHSG sama Inggris… Kalo liat kebiasaannya, suka ikut US dan jum’at, kayanya merah lagi IDX hari ini

OIl Coal merah lagi, gas naik tinggi sendiri, silver timah naik, gold copper turun, nikel turun dalem. CPO juga turun lagi, masih belum ada yang firm ini… PGAS AGII wajib di check chart nya

IHSG – stoch sell, 833 dow, macd masih up, MFI up, masih wave 3 major, minornya lagi wave B keliatannya, LR suggest down, kita tunggu 833 buy, sekarang jangan terlalu agresif dulu

Menurut ini Consumer Cyclicals, Technology, Basic Materials, Transportation, Property

Daily Analysis 20221102

Daily Analysis 20221102

November 02nd, 2022 Good morning, Stocks finish lower as Wall Street braces for key Fed decision Stocks dipped on Tuesday as traders assessed better-than-expected economic data and prepared for another…
Daily Analysis 20221017

Daily Analysis 20221017

Global Update:

October 17th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes 400 points lower to end a wild week of trading

Stocks slumped Friday, capping off a volatile week of trading, a day after posting a historic turnaround rally as investors digested inflation expectations.

Dow…….29635 -403.9 -1.34%
Nasdaq.10321 -327.8 -3.08%
S&P 500..3584 -86.8 -2.37%

FTSE…….6859 +8.5 +0.12%
Dax……..12437 +82.2 +0.67%
CAC……..5931 +52.7 +0.90%

Nikkei….27091 +853.3 +3.25%
HSI……..16588 +198.6 +1.21%
Shanghai..3072 +55.5 +1.84%
ST Times..3040 -0.8 -0.03%

IDX…….6814.53 -66.10 -0.96%
LQ45…..966.74 -11.74 -1.20%

IDX Energy…1984.65 -21.76 -1.08%
IDX Bsc Mat.1217.26 -6.93 -0.57%
IDX Industrl..1263.08 +11.19 +0.89%
IDXNONCYC..698.26 -2.28 -0.33%
IDX Hlthcare.1438.41 -14.48 -1.00%
IDXCYCLIC…..841.47 -3.26 -0.39%
IDX Techno..6476.44 -136.10 -2.06%
IDX Transp…1787.38 -4.44 -0.25%
IDX Infrast……927.67 -11.32 -1.21%
IDX Finance 1430.92 -13.80 -0.96%
IDX Banking.1101.76 -20.76 -1.85%
IDX Property…….680 +0.4 +0.05%

Indo10Yr….7.3876 -0.0062 -0.08%
ICBI……..333.5271 -0.1858 -0.06%
US10Yr……4.0100 +0.0580 +1.47%‼
VIX……….32.02 +0.08 +0.25%

USDIndx 113.3110 +0.9480 +0.84%‼
Como Indx..276.69 -5.80 -5.80%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..146.53 -1.69 -1.14%
.
IndoCDS 166.64 -2.13 +1.26%‼
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/10)

IDR……15427.50 +65.50 +0.43%‼
Jisdor..15390.00 +33.00 +0.21%‼

Euro……..0.9722 -0.005 -0.51%‼

TLKM……..27.43 -0.33 -1.19%
(4221)
EIDO………22.56 -0.52 -2.25%
EEM………34.21 -0.52 -1.50%

Oil…………85.61 -3.50 -3.93%
Gold ……1648.90 -23.00 -1.38%
Timah…19930 -170 -0.85%
(Closed 14/10)
Nickel…21835.00 -523.00 -2.34%
(Closed 14/10)
Silver…….18.07 -0.77 -4.09%
Copper….342.36 -3.79 +1.09%

Nturl Gas…..6.476 -0.215 -3.21%

Ammonia..4206.67 -50 -1.17%
China
(Domestic Price)(12/10)

Coal price….392.50 -1.00 -0.25%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….397.50 +2.50 +0.63%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….397.00 +3.00 +0.76%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….272.50 +1.50 +0.55%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….264.00 +7.00 +2.72%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….263.50 +6.50 +2.53%
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..95.70 +1.70 +1.81%
Indonesial Coal Index (14/10)

CPO(Des)……3834 +171 +4.67%‼

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….689.75 -8.00 -1.15%
SoybeanOil….65.30 -1.13 -1.70%
Wheat……..859.75 -32.50 -3.64%‼

Wood pulp…6846.00 unch +0%
(Closed 16/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at US drop dalem lagi, europe closing masih pada ijo, asia ijo kecuali IHSG sama Singapore. Commodity hampis semua merah kecuali copper, dan CPO yang naik tinggi

Masih diperkirakan lanjut koreksi sampe tutup gap 6740. CPO naik tinggi semoga mulai gerakin AALI sama LSIP yang udah terjun terus

IHSG – hampir semua indicator bilang turun, cuma LR yang bilang udah di area siap buy. Ke level tutup gap tinggal 1,15% lagi, kekejar hari ini, kita siap2 belanja begitu sudah firm ketutup, tapi tentunya mastiin dulu bahwa saham yang dibeli memang udah firm mantul

Ini harga pada turun tapi chart RSI quadrant nya bilang banyak sektor siap jalan… Energy, Consumer Cyclicals, Basic Materials, Industrials, Property

Daily Analysis 20221012

Daily Analysis 20221012

Global update:

October 12th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes lower, notches 5-day losing streak ahead of key inflation report

U.S. stocks fell Tuesday, reversing gains from earlier in the day as investors looked ahead to key inflation data out later in the week that will give the Federal Reserve updated information on the state of the U.S. economy.

Dow…….29239 +36.3 +0.12%
Nasdaq.10426 -115.9 -1.10%
S&P 500..3589 -23.6 -0.65%

FTSE…….6885 -74.1 -1.06%
Dax……..12220 -52.7 -0.43%
CAC……..5833 -7.4 -0.13%

Nikkei….26401 -714.9 -2.64%
HSI……..16833 -384.3 -2.23%
Shanghai..2980 +5.7 +0.19%
ST Times..310t -2.5 -0.08%

IDX…….6939.15 -55.25 -0.79%
LQ45…..988.42 -8.26 -0.83%

IDX Energy…1982.05 -15.49 -0.78%
IDX Bsc Mat.1239.87 -0.00 -0.02%
IDX Industrl..1265.60 -1.96 -0.15%
IDXNONCYC..697.89 -2.63 -0.38%
IDX Hlthcare.1462.37 -9.83 -0.67%
IDXCYCLIC…..856.62 +1.36 +0.16%
IDX Techno..6874.46 -161.14 -2.15%
IDX Transp…1811.66 -15.52 -0.85%
IDX Infrast…….957.43 -7.91 -0.82%
IDX Finance 1463.38 -8.95 -0.61%
IDX Banking.1131.64 -6.53 -0.57%
IDX Property…….684 -2.50 -0.36%

Indo10Yr….7.3936 +0.0220 +0.30%
ICBI……..333.6432 -0.4329 -0.13%
US10Yr……3.9390 +0.0510 +1.31%
VIX……….33.63 +1.18 +3.64%‼

USDIndx 113.2740 +0.1200 +0.11%‼
Como Indx..281.96 -1.10 -0.39%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..146.16 -0.80 -0.55%
.
IndoCDS 168.05 +5.02 +3.08%‼
(5-yr INOCD5) (10/10)

IDR……15357.00 +39.50 +0.26%‼
Jisdor..15362.00 +63.00 +0.41%‼

Euro……..0.9709 +0.0005 +0.05%‼

TLKM……..27.91 -0.82 -2.85%
(4288)
EIDO………23.01 -0.15 -0.65%
EEM………34..59 -0.56 -1.59%

Oil…………88.50 -2.33 -2.57%
Gold ……1673.20 -1.90 -0.11%
Timah…20085 +660 +3.40%
(Closed 10/10)
Nickel…22048.50 -391 -1.74%
(Closed 11/10)
Silver…….19.15 -0.46 -2.35%
Copper….342.20 -1.35 -0.39%

Nturl Gas…..6.600 +0.073 +1.12%

Ammonia..4256.67 -116.66 -2.67%
China
(Domestic Price)(10/10)

Coal price….391.15 +4.65 +1.20%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….388.50 +8.50 +2.24%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….387.00 +9.35 +2.48%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….265.85 +3.85 +1.45%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….262.35 +13.35 +5.36%‼
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….261.85 +11.90 +4.76%‼
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..94.90 -1.95 -2.01%
Indonesial Coal Index (10/10)

CPO(Des)……3692 -149 -3.88%

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….693.00 -5.25 -0.75%
SoybeanOil….65.47 -0.59 -0.89%
Wheat……..901.00 -37.00 -3.94%‼

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 11/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI Rebound tipis, ya ga mungkin juga losing streak terus terusan, IHSG juga technical rebound dulu lah hari ini kayanya. Europe masih merah, asia mostly merah kemarin. Kita pantau opening hangseng hari ini

Oil, gold, nickel, silver, copper turun. Timah metal yang naik sendiri. Gas nail, coal naik, cpo lanjut turun lagi. Apa mau lanjut lari lagi saham coal? Kepanjangan sih run dari sekarang sampe januari…

3 day losing streak, technical rebound dulu lah sebelum lanjut ke 6740…

IHSG – chart nya jelek banget, alligator juga udah ikut jadi sell signal… Semoga nanti mantulnya ga pake lama once udah touch level tutup gap

Masih energy, nyusul consumer cyclicals sama basic materials

Energy – kalo liat gerakan saham2 coal kaya yang mau lanjut, tapi overall sektornya makin firm keliatan mau koreksi wave c dulu. MACD udah ngebalik lagi, stochastic udah overbought dan sudah melandai, bd dist walau ff akum, psar masih up, LR cross down midline, DMI malah mau sell signal lagi. Jangan terlalu agresive lah, WNS dulu aja

Daily Analysis 20221010

Daily Analysis 20221010

Global update: October 10th, 2022 Good morning, Stock futures are lower Sunday night as the markets come out of a tumultuous week that started with a relief rally but saw…
Daily Analysis 20220905

Daily Analysis 20220905

Global Update:

September 05th, 2022

Good morning,

Major stock averages slide for third week, Nasdaq posts six-day losing streak

U.S. equities fell on Friday to cap their third straight weekly decline, after a solid August jobs report failed to ease fears that the Federal Reserve would keep aggressively hiking interest rates to fight inflation.

Dow…….31318 -337.98 -1.07%
Nasdaq.11631 -154.3 -1.31%
S&P 500..3924 -42.6 -1.07%

FTSE…….7281 +132.7 +1.86%
Dax……..13050 +420.04 +3.33%
CAC……..6168 +133.2 +2.21%

Nikkei….27651 -10.6 -0.04%
HSI……..19452 -145.2 -0.74%
Shanghai..3187 +1.5 +0.05%
ST Times..3206 -18.4 -0.57%

IDX…….7177.18 +24.08 +0.34%
LQ45…1019.79 +2.86 +0.28%

IDX Energy…1939.02 +23.15 +1.21%
IDX Bsc Mat.1290.86 +11.47 +0.90%
IDX Industrl..1335.91 +10.83 +0.82%
IDXNONCYC..709.76 -1.41 -0.20%
IDX Hlthcare.1432.45 +9.90 +0.70%
IDXCYCLIC…..882.66 +0.87 +0.10%
IDX Techno..7585.34 -102.53 -1.33%
IDX Transp…1962.78 +2.34 +0.12%
IDX Infrast…..1044.42 -0.16 -0.02%
IDX Finance 1519.59 +7.26 +0.48%
IDX Banking..1159.98 +7.03 +0.61%
IDX Property…704 +4.00 +0.56%

Indo10Yr….7.1647 +0.0107 +0.15%
ICBI……..336.1665 -0.1329 -0.04%
US10Yr……3.1930 -0.0720 -2.21%
VIX……….25.47 -0.09 -0.35%

USDIndx 109.5340 -0.1570 -0.14%‼
Como Indx..284.62 -5.79 -1.99%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..146.38 -0.82 -0.56%
.
IndoCDS…120.57 +4.15 +3.56%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14895.00 +13.00 +0.09%
Jisdor..14900.00 +16.00 +0.11%

Euro………0.9954 +0.0006 +0.08%

TLKM……..30.30 +0.18 +0.60%
(4515)
EIDO………24.04 +0.07 +0.29%
EEM………39.12 -0.31 -0.79%

Oil…………..86.87 +0.30 +0.35%
Gold ……..1722.60 +16.10 +0.94%
Timah. .21060.00 +95.00 +0.45%
( Closed 02/9)
Nickel….20474.00 +185.50 +0.91%
(Closed 02/9)
Silver…….17.88 +0.24 +1.36%
Copper….341.35 -0.10 -0.03%

Nturl Gas…..8.902 -0.265 -2.89%

Ammonia….3866.67 +66.67 +1.75%
China
(Domestic Price)(01/9)

Coal price….435.00 +7.65 +1.79%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….440.90 +7.20 +1.66%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….430.55 +7.85 +1.86%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….376.00 +5.75 +1.55%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….368.35 +5.35 +1.47%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….361.60 +5.85 +1.64%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3901 -89 -2.23%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..665.75 +7.75 +1.18%
SoybeanOil…66.25 +2.66 +4.18%‼
Wheat……..811.00 +16.75 +2.11%

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 04/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing jum’at merah, europe ijo, asia merah kecuali shanghai dan Indonesia

Ini, plus issue kenaikan BBM, makin menguatkan itungan technical untuk turun wave 2

Oil dan metal2 mostly naik, gas cpo turun, coal lanjut naik. Mendekati winter dan ada crisis energy dunia, bisa jadi long run ini coal. Technically harusnya ada koreksi dulu sebelum nanti hike lagi di winter sih, tapi kita pantau aja perkembangannya

Masih skenario ini yang paling make sense… tutup gap 6740 dulu

IHSG – Walau stoch jadi buy, MFI naik, bandar akum, foreign entry terus, candle diatas EMA 20 dan 50, tapi kata elliot wave theory harusnya turun wave 2, kenaikan BBM bisa jadi issue yang nganter kesana. Market discounts everything

Financials, Energy, Healthcare, Consumer Cyclicals… Industrials sama Infrastructure mungkin next, after the storm