Daily Analysis 20251218

Daily Analysis 20251218

CTRA yang jadi highlight... US merah, europe mostly merah, Asia ijo, IDX merah, US treasury bond yield yang 3 tauhn doang yang turun, kemungkinan besar merah lagi IHSG hari ini.…
Daily Analysis 20251205

Daily Analysis 20251205

ERAA AKRA yang menarik. Dow jones merah nasdaq ijo, europe ijo asia mostly ijo, US treasury bond yiel yang turun cuma yang 3 tahun, jadi kayanya merah atau sw dulu…
Daily Analysis 20250728

Daily Analysis 20250728

Good morning,

July 28th, 2025

S&P 500 scores 5th straight record high ahead of Europe-U.S. trade meeting

Wall Street’s so-called fear gauge dropped this week as U.S. stocks continued to set record highs, with investors appearing encouraged in part by the White House’s progress on the global trade front.

Dow…..44902 +208.01+0.47%
Nasdaq 21108 +50.4 +0.24%
S&P 500 6389 +25.3 +0.40%

FTSE…..9120 -18.1 -0.20%
Dax…..24218 -78.4 -0.32%
CAC…..7835 +16.3 +0.21%

Nikkei….41456 -370.1 -0.88%
HSI………25388 -278.8 -1.09%
Shanghai.3594 -12.1 -0.33%

IDX..7543.50 +12.60 +0.17%
LQ45..794.51 -5.29 -0.66%
IDX30.410.76 -3.03 -0.73%

IDXEnergy.2944.21 -9.66 -0.33%
IDX BscMat1606.61 +13.97 +0.88%
IDX Indstr….1004.60 +7.47 +0.75%
IDXNONCYC.691.78 -0.38 -0.05%
IDX Hlthcare1557.71-11.44 -0.73%
IDXCYCLC…707.79 +1.09 +0.15%
IDX Techno.8932.23+20.52 +0.23%
IDX Transp 1516.90 -15.28 -1.00%
IDX Infrast .1891.66 +24.18 +1.29%
IDX Finance.1442.05 +23.48 +1.66%
IDX Banking 1027.84 -17.20 -1.65%
IDX Property..761 +3.50 +0.46%

Indo10Yr.6.5983 +0.0086 +0.13%
ICBI….419.1317 -0.0208 -0.00%
US2Yr.3.917 +0.001 +0.03%
US5Yr 3.952 -0.005 -0.23%
US10Yr4.386 -0.013 -0.30%
US30Yr.4. 929 -0.010 -0.20%
VIX..14.93 -0.46 -2.99%

USDIndx..97.6450❗️+0.268 +0.28%
Como Indx.302.25 -2.12 -0.70%
BCOMIN..157.70 -0.77 -0.48%

IndoCDS 5yr.70.88👍 -0.31 -0.44%
(5-yr INOCD5) (25/07)

IDR…….16320.00❗️+25.00 +0.15%
Jisdor…16325.00❗️+30.00 +0.18%

Euro..1.1742❗️-0.0009 -0.08%

TLKM..17.35 -0.05 -0.29%
( 2832)
EIDO….17.60 -0.21 -1.18%
EEM…49.51 -0.15 -0.30%

Oil…65.16 -0.99 -1.50%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…68.44 -0.74 -1.07%
(Brent)

Gold.3392.50 -33.30 -0.97%
(Comex)
Gold.3337.30 -30.03 -0.89%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..34061.00 -565.00 -1.63%
(Closed 25/07)
Nickel…15186.50 -226.38 -1.47%
(Closed 25/07)
Silver….39.37 +0.03 +0.08%
Copper.578.50 -3.50 -0.60%

Iron Ore 62% 98.58 -0.03 -0.03%
(25/07)

Nturl Gas .3.110 +0.003 +0.10%

Ammonia China.2510.00 +43.33 +1.76%
(Domestic Price 25/07)

Coal price113.75 +0.65 +0.57%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 115.50 +0.75 +0.65%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.117.50 +0.75 +0.64%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..119.20 +0.75 +0.63%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price 103.60 +2.25 +2.22%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.104.35 +2.00 +1.95%
(Sep/Rotterdam)
Coal price.105.15 +1.80 +1.74%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price..106.00 +1.50 +1.44%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct) 4276 -54 -1.26%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..419.00 -1.75 -0.42%
SoybeanOil 55.98 -0.36 -0.64%
Wheat…538.25 -3.25 -0.60%

Wood pulp..5967.67 unch +0%
(Closed 25/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing ijo jum’at, SP500 set new record high lagi, europe asia mostly merah, IHSG ijo walau banyak big caps merah. US treasury bond yield down, semoga senin ini bisa lanjut ijo IHSG, candle nya doji sih, agak mengkhawatirkan

USD index up, metal2 down kecuali silver, Oil down, gas up, coal up, CPO down, ayo rebound ADRO, koreksinya lumayan 3 hari kemaren. AKRA belum jalan lagi nih, sempet long lower shadow kamis, rada menakutkan pas kejadian tapi candle long lower shadow candle bullish sih

IHSG – stoch sell macd up mfi up w% uptrend, BD acc FNS, MACD reg bear div, doji, banyak gap, agak serem sih. Tapi semoga ikut sentimen US mau lanjut ke atas. Play safe, yang udah ijo pasang trailing stop, yang resiko pasang stop loss jangan digantung

Waduh habis, kalo cuma technology jelas ga mungkin nahan index, harus hati hati banget

Stochastic Buy Signal: ARTO BMRI ESSA MAPI SIDO TPIA UNIQ, big accum TPIA

MACD Buy Signal: PWON

Supertrend Buy Signal: SMRA

Daily Analysis 20250625

Daily Analysis 20250625

Good morning,

June 25th 2025

Wall St ends sharply higher, S&P 500 nears record high as Middle East tensions cool

U.S. stocks rallied more than 1% on Tuesday as investors welcomed a fragile truce with Israel and Iran while parsing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony for clues regarding the U.S. central bank’s path forward.

Dow…..43089 +507.2 +1.19%
Nasdaq 19913 +281.6 +1.43%
S&P 500 6092 +67.01 +1.11%

FTSE…..8759 +0.95 +0.01%
Dax…..23641 +372.6 +1.60%
CAC…..7615 +78.4 +1.04%

Nikkei….38791 +436.5 +1.14%
HSI……24177 +487.9 +2.06%
Shanghai.3421 +38.98 +1.15%

IDX..6869.17 +82.03 +1.21%
LQ45..764.41 +10.59 +1.40%
IDX30.395.16 +4.66 +1.19%

IDXEnergy.2729.57 -16.22 -0.59%
IDX BscMat1442.00 +3.98 +0.20%
IDX Indstr…..908.55 +8.89 +0.99%
IDXNONCYC.657.46 +12.28 +1.90%
IDX Hlthcare1461.75+29.04 +2.03%
IDXCYCLC…709.41 +20.80 +3.02%
IDX Techno.6518.52 +35.09 +0.54%
IDX Transp 1437.10 +12.28 +0.86%
IDX Infrast .1379.42 +10.66 +0.78%
IDX Finance.1351.37 +19.67+1.48%
IDX Banking 1031.08 +20.41 +2.02%
IDX Property..727 +22.60 +3.21%‼️

Indo10Yr.6.7903-0.0327 -0.48%
ICBI….412.3536 +0.8614 +0.21%
US2Yr.3.821 -0.042 -1.09%
US5Yr 3.861 -0.049 -1.25%
US10Yr4.296 -0.052 -1.20%
US30Yr.4.835 -0.039 -0.80%
VIX..17.48 -2.35 -11.85%👍

USDIndx..98.8580👍 -0.496 -0.50%
Como Indx.296.97 -8.08 -2.65%‼️
BCOMIN..145.39 +0.30 +0.20%

IndoCDS 5yr.82.09‼️+0.64 +0.78%
(5-yr INOCD5) (24/06)

IDR…….16.353.50❗️-138.50👍 -0.84%
Jisdor…16.370.00❗️-114.00👍 -0.69%

Euro..1.1609❗️ +0.0015 +0.13%

TLKM..16.06 +0.16 +1.01%
( 2629)
EIDO….16.38 +0.49 +2.90%
EEM…47.92 +1.21 +2.59%

Oil…65.10❗️-1.07 -1.61%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…67.14 -4.34 -6.07%‼️
(Brent)

Gold.3335.50‼️ -42.50 -1.26%
(Comex)
Gold.3322.42‼️ -34.63 -1.03%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32319.00 -374.00 -1.14%
(Closed 24/06)
Nickel…14911.13 +113.88 +0.77%
(Closed 24/06)
Silver….36.22 -0.15 -0.41%
Copper.494.75 +0.10 +0.02%

Iron Ore 62% .94.75 -0.12 -0.13%
(24/06)

Nturl Gas .3.770 -0.076 -1.98%
Ammonia China.2316.67 +6.67 +0.29%
(Domestic Price 24/06)

Coal price.106.60 -0.65 -0.61%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.109.90 -3.05 -2.70%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price111.60 -2.60 -2.28%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 113.40 -2.60 -2.24%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price 103.50 -0.95 -0.91%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.103.15 -4.80 -4.45%‼️
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.65 -5.00 -4.60%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.104.15 -5.10 -4.67%‼️
(Sep/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep) 3986 -139 -3.37%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..429.00 -4.75 -1.10%
SoybeanOil 52.61 -1.14 -2.12%
Wheat..552.00 -17.50 -3.07%‼️

Wood pulp…6066.67 -16.66 -0.27%
(Closed 24/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe asia ijo semua, menyusul pengumuman cease fire Israel-Iran walau terus dilanggar… US treasury bond yield down, harusnya sih lanjut ijo, tapi mungkin tutup gap dulu. Apakah akan langsung lanjut wave 3, belum bisa ditebak, dari itungan sih mungkin saja, sudah sampe fibo 38, tapi biasanya sih sampe fibo 50

USD index down, metal2 down kecuali nickel copper, oil down gas down coal down, CPO down, tapi ancaman penutupan selat sama iran masih mungkin, walau sebenernya tanpa itu juga major nya keliatan mau ke atas, tapi minornya terlihat jadi dipaksa turun dulu

IHSG – MFI up, 833 buy, yang lain masih jelek, ada 2 gap di bawah, bahwa mungkin wave 2 nya berhenti di fibo 38 mungkin, tapi masih FNS dan BD dist agak berat untuk langsung ngangkat

Consumer Cyclicals, Financials (tapi big banks masih jelek), Healthcare, Industrials, UNTR LK bagus, Infrastructure, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property. Masih belum meyakinkan, yang bahaya Energy sama basic materials melemah

Oil Price Chart – MACD sell signal, kecuali konflik memanas lagi sepertinya akan kebawah dulu, prepare buang dulu saham minyak, pantau ketat

Coal Price Chart – udah supertrend buy, 2 hari koreksi tapi ga terlalu besar, macd jadi terlihat mau rev down, ga terkait langsung sama konflik, harusnya sih tetep jalan

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT BBCA BBTN BRIS GGRM ICBP MAPI SIDO ERAA MNCN MYOR PWON, big accum cuma GGRM sama PWON

MACD Buy Signal WIFI nerusin stoch nya buy duluan kemaren, tapi overpriced jadi kita skip

Daily Analysis 20250624

Daily Analysis 20250624

Good morning,

June 24th 2025

Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq jump, oil slides on Iran’s restrained response to US strikes

US stocks closed near session highs on Monday while oil prices tanked after Iran launched missiles at a US air base in Qatar in what appeared to be a limited retaliation for US strikes against Iranian nuclear sites.

Dow…..42582 +374.96 +0.88%
Nasdaq 19631 +183.6 +0.94%
S&P 500 6025 +57.3 +0.96%

FTSE…..8758 -16.6 -0.19%
Dax…..23269 -81.5 -0.35%
CAC…..7538 -52.1 -0.69%

Nikkei….38354 -49.1 -0.13%
HSI………23689 +158.7 +0.67%
Shanghai.3382 +21.7 +0.65%

IDX..6787.14 -120.00 -1.74%
LQ45..753.83 -11.11 -1.45%
IDX30.390.50 -6.58 -1.66%

IDXEnergy.2745.79 -60.67 -2.16%
IDX BscMat1438.02 -16.81 -1.18%
IDX Indstr…..899.66 -14.60 -1.60%
IDXNONCYC.645.17 -13.94 -2.11%
IDX Hlthcare1432.71-24.22 -1.66%
IDXCYCLC…688.61 -23.96 -3.36%
IDX Techno.6483.43 -169.29 -2.54%
IDX Transp 1424.82 -0.75 -0.05%
IDX Infrast .1368.76 -24.47 -1.76%
IDX Finance.1331.70 -18.89 -1.40%
IDX Banking 1010.67 -13.09 -1.28%
IDX Property..705 -21.60 -2.97%

Indo10Yr.6.8230+0.0329 +0.48%
ICBI….411.4922 -0.6063 -0.15%
US2Yr.3.863 -0.041 -1.05%
US5Yr 3.910 -0.049 -1.24%
US10Yr4.348 -0.028 -0.64%
US30Yr.4.874 -0.015 -0.31%
VIX..19.83 -0.79 -3.83%

USDIndx..98.3540❗️ -0.708 -0.71%
Como Indx.305.05 -7.48 -2.39%
BCOMIN..145.09 +0.96 +0.67%

IndoCDS 5yr.82.09‼️ unch +0%
(5-yr INOCD5) (23/06)

IDR…….16.492.00‼️+95.50 +0.58%
Jisdor…16.484.00❗️+85.00 +0.52%

Euro..1.1594 +0.0108 +0.94%

TLKM..15.90 -0.14 -0.87%
( 2621)
EIDO….16.89 -0.29 -1.69%
EEM..46.71 +0.38 +0.82%

Oil…66.17‼️-9.06 -12.04%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil…71.48‼️ -8.00 -10.07%‼️
(Brent)

Gold.3378.00 -16.50 -0.49%
(Comex)
Gold.3357.05 -18.76 -0.56%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32693.00 +10.00 +0.03%
(Closed 23/06)
Nickel…14797.25 -168.38 -1.13%
(Closed 23/06)
Silver….36.37 +0.09 +0.25%
Copper.494.65 +9.50 +5.13%

Iron Ore 62% .94.75 -0.02 -0.02%
(23/06)

Nturl Gas .3.770 -0.076 -1.98%
Ammonia China.2310.00 -43.33 -1.84%
(Domestic Price 23/06)

Coal price.107.25 +0.45 +0.61%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.112.95 +0.70 +0.62%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price114.20 +0.72 +0.62%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 116.00 +0.90 +0.70%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price 104.45 +0.70 +0.67%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.107.95 +0.90 +0.84%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.65 +0.85 +0.79%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.109.25 +0.80 +0.74%
(Sep/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep) 4125 +10 +0.24%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..433.75 -7.50 -1.70%
SoybeanOil 53.75 -1.35 -2.45%
Wheat..569.50 -14.00 -2.40%

Wood pulp…6083.33 unch +0%
(Closed 23/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo europe merah asia varied, selain IHSG yang merah dalem cuma nikkei yang merah tipis. Padahal iran nyerang US base di qatar, tapi US market pede karena di intercept 6 6 nya mungkin. US treasury bond yield turun, harusnya sih IHSG rada mantul dulu hari ini, gap down kemaren, mungkin akan tutup gap dulu hari ini

USD index down, metal2 down kecuali tin copper, oil drop gas drop coal up cpo up, agak aneh ini oil drop padahal konflik belum selesai, dan energy price chart nya emang terlihat giliran jalan

Oil Price Chart – dibanting kemaren, lanjut running market hari ini masih merah jadi signal mau ngebalik, beware permainan global untuk make harga minyak buat jadi alat tekan geopolitik

Coal Price Chart – supertrend buy macd up, malah kemaren dibanting harga saham coal ikut index, PTBA malah 13% karena deviden nya 13%, rusak banget sih market maker indonesia ini

IHSG – masih all bad kecuali gap down kemaren yang mungkin ditutup dulu sebelum lanjut koreksi, atau bisa jadi akan berhenti di fibo 38. Kita tunggu saja

Masih kebaca arahnya bagus Financials, Industrials, Infrastructure, Property, Technology, Transportation, tapi kemaren bantingan abis abisan ikut index semua, kita pantau ketat

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES BBRI MTEL UNVR MAPA WIFI, wifi big accum

MACD ga ada buy signal, malah sell signal ITMG UNTR SCMA, UNTR udah pasang stoploss, kalo kena kita tunggu next buy signal

Daily Analysis 20250213

Daily Analysis 20250213

February 13th, 2025

Dow leads stocks lower as hot inflation data pushes back rate cut hopes

US stocks were largely lower on Wednesday as investors digested a hotter-than-expected January inflation reading and investors pared back bets on Federal Reserve interest rate cuts in 2025.

Dow……44369 -224.97 -0.50%
Nasdaq 19650 +6.1 +0.03%
S&P 500 6052 -16.5 -0.27%

FTSE…..8807 +30.1 +0.34%
Dax……22148 +110.2 +0.50%
CAC……8042 +13.3 +0.17%

Nikkei…38964 +162.5 +0.42%
HSI……21858 +563.1 +2.64%
Shanghai.3343 +28.4 +0.85%

IDX…6645.78❗️+113.79 +1.74%
LQ45…776.31❗️+14.22 +1.87%
IDX30.401.30❗️ +6.72 +1.70%

IDXEnergy…..2553.73 +31.30 +1.24%
IDX BscMat..1116.57 +10.90 +0.99%
IDX Indstrl… .931.11 +7.67 +0.83%
IDXNONCYC.698.51 +3.59 +0.52%
IDX Hlthcare1366.81 +29.84 +2.23%
IDXCYCLC…796.36 +9.90 +1.26%
IDX Techno.4607.30 +77.50 +1.71%
IDX Transp ..1193.90 +4.17 +0.35%
IDX Infrast 1335.76 +37.63 +2.90%‼️
IDX Finance1350.95 +17.45 +1.31%
IDX Banking1071.30 +19.07 +1.81%
IDX Property. 725 +9.10 +1.28%

Indo10Yr.6.8981❗️+0.0057 +0.08%
ICBI….399.7757❗️+0.0807 +0.02%
US2Yr.4.357 +0.067 +1.56%
US5Yr 4.469 +0.097 +2.22%
US10Yr4.627 +0.091 +2.01%
US30Yr.4.832 +0.081 +1.70%
VIX..15.89 -0.13 -0.81%❗️

USDIndx 107.9780❗️+0.060 +0.06%
Como Indx..313.43 +1.42 +0.46%
BCOMIN..148.32 +1.01 +0.68%

IndoCDS…76.19❗️-0.01 -0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (11/02)

IDR…….16376.00❗️-7.50 -0.05%
Jisdor..16364.00❗️-16.00 -0.10%

Euro…1.0387 +0.0023 +0.22%

TLKM…15.21 +0.68 +4.64%‼️
( 2489)
EIDO….17.46 +0.17 +0.95%
EEM…..43.55 -0.18 -0.41%

Oil………71.22 -2.10 -2.86%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………75.01 -1.76 -2.29%
(Brent)
Gold…2932.60❗️ -6.30 -0.21%
(Comex)
Gold…2903.74❗️ +5.87 +0.20%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.31164.00 +19.00 +0.06%
(Closed 12/02)
.Nickel.15427.38 -32.50 -0.21%
(Closed 12/02)
Silver……32.70 +0.37 +1.15%
Copper.469.55 +9.45 +2.05%

Iron Ore 62% 106.32 -0.65 -0.61%
(10/02)
Nturl Gas ..3.441 +0.070 +2.03%
Ammonia China. 2370.00 – -%
(Domestic Price)(12/02)

Coal price.104.50 -0.25 -0.24%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.107.40 +0.70 +0.66%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 110.75 +0.65 +0.59%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 114.35 +0.60 +0.53%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price 103.10 +0.20 +0.19%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 102.25 +0.35 +0.34%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 101.80 +0.35 +0.34%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price 102.15 +0.20 +0.20%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr) 4624 +29 +0.63%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………504.00 +6.00 +1.20%
SoybeanOil 46.13 -0.48 -1.03%
Wheat….574.25 -2.75 -0.48%

Wood pulp…..6700 unch +0%
(Closed 12/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah nasdaq ijo tipis europe asia ijo, US treasury bond yield jump, ga bagus ini, padahal maunya tutup gap nih IHSG

USD index naik dikit, metal2 naik kecuali iron ore, oil drop, gas up, coal up, CPO up, semoga rebound lanjut ADRO

IHSG – stoch macd mfi down, 833 buy, w% downtrend, masih NFS, BD rev acc, di support kuat 6500, ada gap di atas, reg bull div, semoga hari ini walaupun koreksi tapi terkendali terus lanjut mantul

Dari RSI masih technology dipimpin BUKA lanjut leading, terlihat bagus juga Consumer non-cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals, Financials, Industrials, Healthcare, kaya udah siap2 buat IHSG mantul

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES ASII ESSA HRUM MDKA BBYB PNLF SRTG, big accum ASII BBYB

MACD Buy Signal: MAPI MDKA AUTO BTPS, big accum BTPS