August 05th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes down 600 points, Nasdaq enters correction after weak jobs report

Stocks fell sharply on Friday as a much weaker-than-anticipated jobs report for July ignited worries that the economy could be falling into a recession.

Dow…….39737 -610.7 -1.51%
Nasdaq16776 -417.98 -2.43%
S&P 500.5347 -100.6 -1.84%

FTSE…..8175 -108.7 -1.31%
Dax……17661 -421.8 -2.33%
CAC……7252 -118.7 -1.61%

Nikkei..35910 -2216.7 -5.81%‼️
HSI…..16946 -359.5 -2.08%
Shanghai.2905 -27.1 -0.92%

IDX….7308.12 -17.86 -0.24%
LQ45…919.37 -6.14 -0.66%
IDX30.461.45 +6.69 +1.47%

IDXEnergy..2479.49 +19.86 +0.81%
IDX BscMat1360.74 -10.48 -0.76%
IDX Indstrl.1036.58 +0.01 +0.00%
IDXNONCYC.701.00 -4.02 -0.57%
IDX Hlthcare1441.80 -6.55 -0.45%
IDXCYCLIC…764.18 +4.37 +0.57%
IDXTechno.3272.03 -12.19 -0.37%
IDX Transp 1377.07 -14.51 -1.04%
IDX Infrast 1557.37 -11.09 -0.71%
IDX Finance1412.80 -4.35 -0.31%
IDX Banking1259.19 -4.13 -0.33%
IDX Property…..652 +3.10 +0.48%

Indo10Yr.6.9083❗️ -0.0092 -0.13%
ICBI…385.6435❗️ +0.1951 +0.05%
US2Yr.3.878👍 -0.282 -6.78%‼️
US5Yr 3.615👍 -0.229 -5.96%‼️
US10Yr3.792👍 -0.178 -4.48%‼️
US30Yr.4.109 -0.171 -3.99%‼️
VIX..23.39‼️ +4.80 +25.82%‼️

USDIndx 103.2080👍 -1.213 -1.16%
Como Indx….270.13 -3.46 -1.26%
BCOMIN…..138.20 -0.90 -0.66%

IndoCDS..77.20 +2.50 +3.35%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/07)

IDR…..16200.00❗️ -37.00 -0.23%
Jisdor.16234.00❗️ -9.00 -0.06%

Euro…1.0789 -0.0037 -0.34%

TLKM…17.55 -0.04 -0.20%*
( 2849)
EIDO….20.30 +0.12 +0.57%
EEM……41.60 -0.61 -1.44%

Oil………..76.79 -3.27 -4.25%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….76.81 -2.71 -3.41%
(Brent)
Gold…..2469.80 -19.40 -0.78%
(Comex)
Gold……2443.24 -4.76 -0.19%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..30188.00 +234.00 +0.98%
(Closed 01/08)
Nickel..16365.50 +130.50 +0.80%
(Closed 01/08)
Silver….28.39 -0.22 -0.77%
Copper.410.30 +3.60 +0.89%

Iron Ore 62% 104.00 +1.17 +1.14%
(02/08)
Nturl Gas 1.978‼️ -0.064 -3.13%
Ammonia China 2346.67 -196.66 -7.73%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/08)

Coal price.144.10 +1.55 +1.09%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.75 +1.95 +1.36%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 146.90 +1.65 +1.14%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.148.40 +1.75 +1.19%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.121.35 +1.40 +1.17%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.20 +1.40 +1.16%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 121.75 +1.30 +1.08%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.10 +1.55 +1.29%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3858 +35 +0.92%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..403.25 +4.75 +1.19%
SoybeanOil 40.81 -0.64 -1.54%
Wheat…..539.00 +7.009 +1.32%

Wood pulp..5150 unch +0%
(Closed 04/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index Regional merah semua pas closing jum’at, IHSG malah paling moderate. US bond yield drop, kalo hanya liat itu bisa ijo IHSG hari ini, tapi lebih besar kemungkinan merahnya sih, beresin wave 2, sama double top kemaren

USD index drop tapi metal2 jg drop kecuali iron ore, oil drop jauh, gas juga, coal yang bertahan ijo sama CPO. Waktunya PTBA AALI LSIP gerak

IHSG – stochastic nya seolah olah mau lanjut jalan, tapi MACD nya masih says down, price action juga malah hampir triple top, BD lagi sw, FF mulai net buy tapi curiga rebalancing LQ45 dan Kompas100 yang memicunya. Masih very selective buying

Basic Materials

Stochastic Buy Signal: MTEL PGAS PTBA ADMR BMTR BSDE ENRG ERAA PTPP KBLI SMDR, big accum PGAS PTBA ADMR BSDE

MACD Buy Signal: OTMG SIDO ADMR BSDE NISP TPIA, big accum ITMG ADMR BSDE

July 25th, 2024

Good morning,

Stocks smoked, Nasdaq falls over 3.5% in worst day since 2022 after Tesla, Alphabet trigger Big Tech sell-off

Tesla shares close down 12% after earnings miss for biggest slump since 2020

Tesla
shares plummeted the most since 2020 after the electric vehicle maker reported weaker-than-expected quarterly earnings and another drop in automotive revenue.

The stock closed down 12% on Wednesday at $215.99. It’s now down 13% for the year, while the Nasdaq is up 16% over that stretch.

Dow……39854 -504.2 -1.25%
Nasdaq17342 -654.9 -3.64%‼️
S&P 500.5527 -128.6 -2.31%

FTSE…..8153 -13.7 -0.17%
Dax……18387 -170.2 -0.92%
CAC……7514 -84.9 -1.12%

Nikkei..39155 -439.5 -1.26%
HSI……17311 -158.3 -0.91%
Shanghai.2902 -13.4 -0.46%

IDX….7262.76 -51.10 -0.70%
LQ45..917.17 -6.09 -0.66%
IDX30.460.95 -1.29 -0.28%

IDXEnergy..2452.53 -15.42 -0.62%
IDX BscMat1359.81 -5.40 -0.40%
IDX Indstrl.1029.33 +5.69 +0.56%
IDXNONCYC.707.89 -5.09 -0.71%
IDX Hlthcare1429.22 -5.38 -0.38%
IDXCYCLIC…745.41 +0.24 +0.03%
IDXTechno.3381.22 -57.51 -1.67%
IDX Transp 1387.38 +10.59 +0.77%
IDX Infrast 1607.34 +5.47 +0.34%
IDX Finance1583.38 -23.96 -1.49%
IDX Banking1242.87 -9.55 -0.76%
IDX Property…..644 – -%

Indo10Yr.7.0256 -0.0047 -0.07%
ICBI…382.7787 +0.3092 +0.08%
US2Yr.4.433 -0.063 -1.40%
US5Yr 4.175 +0.009 +0.22%
US10Yr4.282 +0.019 +0.45%
US30Yr.4.542 +0.055 +1.23%
VIX..18.04 +3.32 +22.55%‼️

USDIndx 104.3910 -0.056 -0.05%
Como Indx….279.75 -0.69 -0.25%
BCOMIN…..138.78 -0.89 -0.64%

IndoCDS..73.23 -2.96 -3.88%❗️
(5-yr INOCD5) (23/07)

IDR…..16215.00❗️ +1.50 +0%
Jisdor.16224.00❗️ +20.00 +0%

Euro…1.0838 -0.0012 -0.11%

TLKM…18.98 -0.38 -1.94%
( 3080)
EIDO…..20.02 -0.23 -1.11%
EEM…..42.10 -0.63 -1.46%

Oil………..77.48 +0.06 +0.08%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….81.71 +0.70 +0.86%
(Brent)
Gold…..2443.90 -13.60 -0.55%
(Comex)
Gold……2394.89 -13.70 -0.57%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29790.00 +372.00 +1.26%
(Closed 24/07)
Nickel..16213.00 -61.00 -0.37%
(Closed 24/07)
Silver……29.03 -0.33 -1.12%
Copper.408.75 -6.70 -1.61%

Iron Ore 62% 108.16 -0.29 -0.27%
(22/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.165 -0.040 -1.81%
Ammonia China 2843.33 +10.00 +0.35%
(Domestic Price)(24/07)

Coal price.134.75 +0.05 +0.04%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.55 +0.35 +0.25%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.95 +0.55 +0.40%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 139.45 +1.05 +0.76%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.40 +1.15 +1.09%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.45 +2.85 +2.60%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.65 +2.70 +2.46%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.90 +2.55 +2.31%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3926 -27 -0.68%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..417.25 +2.25. +0.54%
SoybeanOil 44.10 -1.03 -2.28%
Wheat…..547.00 +4.25 +0.78%

Wood pulp..5160 -10 -0.19%
(Closed 24/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Nah, US merah dalem, Tesla sama Google drop, Nasdaq drop, DJI keseret juga. Europe merah, asia merah, lanjut merah dalem sepertinya hari ini. Brace yourselves guys

US bond yield kebanyakan naik, USD index turun, metal metal juga turun kecuali timah, ANTM masih kebawah dulu belum bisa re-buy, oil up gas down, coal up, tapi apa kuat ijo saham saham coal ADRO ITMG PTBA INDY kalo index merah dalem? CPO merah lagi, masih belum jalan lagi AALI LSIP

IHSG – sebelum nasdaq kebakaran juga indicator udah bilang mau turun sih, Foreign Net Sell tambah gede, 833 sell, MACD hampir sell, ada gap unclosed, ya kita tunggu beres wave 2 baru belanja lagi

Sekilas Energy sama Healthcare mau jalan

Stochastic Buy Signal: GTRA JSMR PTRO SSIA KBLM MICE, JSMR big accum

MACD Buy Signal: AKRA MIKA BRAM MICE

JSMR – dari minor retracement pattern udah done, tapi kalo dari elliot wave gedenya harusnya belum cukup dalem koreksinya sebelum wave yang major. Dengan US nyungsep dan index juga jadwal koreksi, kayanya bukan akan langsung langsung lanjut JSMR, tapi beresin ABC correction gede nya dulu ke fibo 50 or 61, Forein juga distribusi…

Spike belum done tapi dikit lagi… kalo ada peristiwa gede gini bisa jadi ga sampe

Average udah diatas bandar, bandarnya juga udah berhenti akum, terakhir okya pas bikin higherlow sambil nyender di average nya, skip dulu

PTRO – setelah digoreng jadi 2 kali lipat, udah overvalued, udah ga masuk itungan lagi. Dan technical juga kebanyakan bilang mau turun dulu

AKRA – ini technically menarik banget, stoch up macd buy, MFI w% up slowly, BD FF masih akum tipis tipis, eg bull div abis beres ABC correction, sampe sekarang candle nya belum ketembus, belum cancelled, malah confirmed sama MACD buy signal. Check oil price kalo bagus udah ga harus mikir panjang lagi

Sayangnya oil price nya indikasinya mau turun, sabar dulu, just to be safe

Waks, spike terus drop, tunggu spike baru dulu

Average aman, tapi biggest holders lagi jualan, sabar dulu, begitu ngebalik bisa masuk. Kalo mau bottom fishing sebenernya boleh sih, tapi perpaduan oil price kebawah dan index juga kebawah ga bagus sih

MIKA – sebetulnya kalo dipotong technical pake indicator doang, jadi menarik, tapi liat bandarnya mulai balik dist tipis, belum beres ABC correction, dan yang paling parah PBV nya udah di 7, saya jadi skip

July 12th, 2024

Good morning,

Stocks fall from records as Tesla, Nvidia lead tech sell-off

US stocks rolled over on Thursday as investors rotated out of tech after a key inflation report showed consumer prices unexpectedly fell on a month-over-month basis for the first time since 2020.

Dow……39754 +32.4 +0.08%
Nasdaq18283 -364.04 -1.95%
S&P 500.5585 -49.4 -0.88%

FTSE…..8223 +29.8 +0.36%
Dax……18535 +127.3 +0.69%
CAC……7627 +53.6 +0.71%

Nikkei..42224 +392.03 +0.94%
HSI……17832 +360.7 +2.06%
Shanghai.2970 +31.02 +1.06%

IDX….7300.41 +13.37 +0.18%
LQ45..915.36 +3.03 +0.33%
IDX30.455.86 +0.48 +0.11%

IDXEnergy..2427.34 +7.70 +0.32%
IDX BscMat1388.84 +2.87 +0.21%
IDX Indstrl.1011.60 -2.39 -0.24%
IDXNONCYC.712.45 +2.24 +0.32%
IDX Hlthcare1428.92 -5.17 -0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…741.43 +4.40 +0.60%
IDXTechno3293.55 +21.59 +0.66%
IDX Transp 1327.02 +26.29 +2.02%
IDX Infrast 1595.06 +13.29 +0.84%
IDX Finance1387.39 -0.16 -0.01%
IDX Banking1228.89 +3.01 +0.25%
IDX Property…..616 – -%

Indo10Yr.7.0513 -0.0078 -0.11%
ICBI…381.5177 +0.2896 +0.08%
US2Yr.4.515 -0.109 -2.36%👍
US5Yr 4.144 -0.093 -2.19%👍
US10Yr4.209 -0.071 -1.66%
US30Yr.4.423 -0.074 -1.05%
VIX..12.92 +0.07 +0.54%

USDIndx 104.4400👍 -0.608 -0.58%
Como Indx….290.41 +0.70 +0.24%
BCOMIN…… 151.00 -1.50 -0.98%

IndoCDS..72.73 -0.98 -1.33%
(5-yr INOCD5) (10/07)

IDR…..16194.50❗️ -46.00 -0.28%
Jisdor.16200.00❗️ -56.00 -0.34%

Euro…1.0868 +0.0035 +0.32%

TLKM…19.58 +0.25 +1.29%
( 3172)
EIDO….20.29 +0.12 +0.57%
EEM…..44.33 +0.27 +0.60%

Oil…….82.95 +0.56 +0.68%
Gold…..2418.20 +39.90 +1.68%
Timah..34666.00 -341.00 -0.97%
(Closed 11/07)
Nickel..16867.50 +18.50 +0.11%
(Closed 11/07)
Silver….31.63 +0.53 +1.70%
Copper.452.15 -6.95 -1.51%

Iron Ore 62% 108.74 -1.77 -1.60%
(10/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.374 -0.051 -2.32%
Ammonia China 2783.33 -66.67 -2.34%
(Domestic Price)(10/07)

Coal price.133.75 unch +0%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.134.50 -1.50 -1.10%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.60 -1.45 -1.06%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 136.30 -0.80 -0.58%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.102.30 +0.45 +0.44%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..102.85 +0.20 +0.19%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.75 -0.25 -0.24%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 104.55 unch +0%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..3935 +17 +0.43%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..410.75 +3.50 +0.86%
SoybeanOil 46.15 +0.57 +1.25%
Wheat…571.25 +9.75 +1.74%

Wood pulp..5220 -40 -0.76%
(Closed 11/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo tipis, nasdaq drop gara2 tesla dan nvidia, europe ijo, asia ijo, IHSG closing ijo tipis, US bond yield merah dalem, finally koreksi hari ini? harusnya sih nggak ya, kalo liat bond yield, tapi udah rally panjang, bound to pull back anytime soon

USD index merah, metal2 naik kecuali tin copper sama iron ore, oil ijo, gas drop, coal merah, CPO ijo, masih run nya ANTM ini… AALI LSIP semoga lanjut

IHSG – berhasil stay FNB, indicator pada bilang harus koreksi sehat, tinggal tunggu waktu aja. Biasanya gantian nanti yang jalan saham yang kemaren belum, yang udah pada naik giliran istirahat dulu

Industrials, Technology, Basic Materials, Property, Transportation bangun lagi

Stochastic Buy SIgnal: GGRM CFIN ELSA SCMA, Freq Spike ELSA SCMA, GGRM reg bull

MACD Buy Signal: KLBF, freq spike juga

Stochastic Continuation Signal and big accum: BBNI BMRI MBMA. BBNI freq spike, MBMA vol breakout

July 10th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500, Nasdaq build on record highs as Powell testimony keeps rate cut hopes alive

Dow……39292 -52.8 -0.13%
Nasdaq18430 +25.6 +0.14%
S&P 500.5577 +4.1 +0.07%

FTSE…..8139 -53.8 -0.66%
Dax……18236 -235.9 -1.28%
CAC……7509 -118.8 -1.56%

Nikkei..41580 +799.5 +1.96%
HSI…..17523 -0.8 -0.00%
Shanghai.2959 +36.9 +1.26%

IDX….7269.80 +18.82 +0.26%
LQ45..909.42 +5.09 +0.56%
IDX30.454.76 +2.42 +0.53%

IDXEnergy..2421.61 -18.53 -0.76%
IDX BscMat1385.90 -4.75 -0.34%
IDX Indstrl.1008.75 +11.02 +1.10%
IDXNONCYC.707.02 -1.68 -0.24%
IDX Hlthcare1428.64 -18.54 -1.28%
IDXCYCLIC…739.12 +0.75 +0.10%
IDXTechno3295.35 -4.58 -0.14%
IDX Transp 1304.60 +1.21 +0.09%
IDX Infrast 1577.32 +4.85 +0.31%
IDX Finance1391.87 +19.74 +1.44%
IDX Banking1231.18 +26.04 +2.16%
IDX Property…..614 +1.00 +0.17%?

Indo10Yr.7.0582 +0.0098 +0.14%
ICBI…381.1188 -0.1884 -0.05%
US2Yr.4.626 -0.009 -0.19%
US5Yr 4.245 +0.004 +0.09%
US10Yr4.298 +0.023 +0.54%
US30Yr.4.489 +0.026 +0.58%
VIX..12.51 +0.14 +1.13%

USDIndx 105.1290 +0.129 +0.12%
Como Indx….289.98 -0.93 -0.32%
BCOMIN…… 152.48 -1.90 -1.23%

IndoCDS..73.70👍 -0.52 -0.70%
(5-yr INOCD5) (08/07)

IDR…..16251.00 -6.50 -0.04%
Jisdor.16281.00 +16.00 +0.10%

Euro…1.0815 -0.0010 -0.09%

TLKM…18.99 +0.29 +1.55%
( 3092)
EIDO….20.01 +0.16 +0.18%
EEM…..43.82 +0.18 +0.41%

Oil…….81.68 -0.54 -0.66%
Gold…..2370.20 +3.60 +0.15%
Timah..34350.00 +132.00 +0.39%
(Closed 09/07)
Nickel..17149.00 -292.00 -1.67%
(Closed 09/07)
Silver….31.07 -0.01 -0.03%
Copper.457.90 -3.70 -0.80%

Iron Ore 62% 110.02 -1.29 -1.16%
(05/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.351 -0.027 -1.14%
Ammonia China 2850.00 +3.30 +0.12%
(Domestic Price)(08/07)

Coal price.135.25 +0.25 +0.15%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.00 unch +0%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.60 -0.75 -0.55%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 137.15 -0.95 -0.69%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.103.00 -1.50 -1.44%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..104.00 -2.05 -1.93%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 105.50 -2.20 -2.04%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 106.00 -2.75 -2.53%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..3958 -82 -2.03%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..408.50 +0.75 +0.18%
SoybeanOil 46.31 -1.95 -4.04%‼️
Wheat…572.00 +1.50 +0.26%

Wood pulp..5320 -100 -1.85%
(Closed 09/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Lagi lagi, DJI merah nasdaw ijo, europe merah, asia ijo, US bond yield 2 tahun turun tipis, yang lebih panjang naik, IHSG kemaren supposedly closing merah tapi berhasil ijo, hari ini kayanya merah deh

USD index up, tapi gold tin up, metal lain down, oil gas down coal tipis tipis, cpo down lagi, hadeuh ini nahan laju AALI deh, kemaren udah sempet naik kenceng padahal. Bagus buat entry sih

CPO Price – lagi koreksi memang, tapi mid term trend nya up sih, dan dibandingkan dengan pergerakan harga saham AALI LSIP SIMP, sahamnya turun relatif lebih besar daripada harga CPO nya. Harapannya sih rebound ya

IHSG – indicator mulai menunjukkan signal koreksi, stoch overbought dan sell signal, hidden bearish divergence, ada gap, RSI belum overbought, MACD masih up sih, tapi hati hati pokoknya, jangan FOMO ngejar yang udah rally duluan

masih Industrials, Basic Materials, Technology

Stochastic Buy Signal ACES BUKA UNVR ERAA MARK, ga ada yang big accum

Stochastic Continuation Signal and big accum: BBNI HRUM TLKM SSMS, TLKM BBNI freq spike