Global Update:

August 16th, 2022

Good morning,

U.S. equities rose on Monday as the rally on Wall Street continued and traders prepared for a big week for retail earnings.

Dow…….33912 +151.4 +0.45%
Nasdaq.13128 +80.9 +0.62%
S&P 500..4297 +16.99 +0.32%

FTSE…….7509 +8.3 +0.11%
Dax……..13817 +20.8 +0.15%
CAC……..6570 +16.1 +0.25%

Nikkei….28872 +324.8 +1.14%
HSI……..20041 -134.8 -0.67%
Shanghai..3276 -0.8 -0.02%
ST Times..3257 -12.5 -0.38%

IDX…….7093.28 -36.00 -0.50%
LQ45…1005.79 -6.25 -0.62%

IDX Energy…1806.22 -10.65 -0.59%
IDX Bsc Mat.1334.44 -18.65 -1.38%
IDX Industrl..1313.36 +3.03 +0.23%
IDXNONCYC..700.40 -3.10 -0.44%
IDX Hlthcare.1407.71 -6.64 -0.47%
IDXCYCLIC…..892.34 -6.70 -0.74%
IDX Techno..7963.70 -119.84 -1.48%
IDX Transp…2072.23 -20.36 -0.97%
IDX Infrast…..1057.05 +6.33 +0.60%
IDX Finance 1517.17 -9.12 -0.60%
IDX Banking..1150.18 -6.44 -0.56%
IDX Property…..720 +8.60 +1.21%

Indo10Yr….7.1452 +0.0249 +0.35%
ICBI……..336.1905 -0.2740 -0.08%
US10Yr…..2.7910 -0.0580 -2.04%
VIX…………19.95 +0.42 +2.15%

USDIndx 106.5460 +0.9150 0.87%‼️
Como Indx..289.54 -3.94 -1.34%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..157.22 -3.22 -2.01%
.
IndoCDS…99.62 +2.43 +2.50%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14741.50 +73.50 +0.50%
Jisdor..14727 .00 +39.00 +0.27%

Euro………1.0155 -0.0104 -1.01%

TLKM……..30.71 -0.60 -1.92%
(4523)
EIDO………23.93 -0.31 -1.28%
EEM………40.86 -0.19 -0.46%

Oil…………..89.39 -3.70 -4.02%‼️
Gold ……..1795.00 -20.05 -1.13%
Timah. .25177.00 – -%
( Closed 12/8)
Nickel…22039.00 -1054.50 -4.57%‼️
(Closed 12/8)
Silver…….20.36 -0.49 -2.35%
Copper….360.20 -6.65 -1.81%

Nturl Gas…..8.807 +0.0270 +0.31%

Ammonia….3806.67 -unch -0%
China
(Domestic Price)(11/8)

Coal price….407.50 -0.15 -0.04%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….410.50 +7.50 +1.86%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….402.55 +9.30 +2.36%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….353.90 +3.40 +1.03%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….357.75 +16.05 +4.70%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….348.75 +17.05 +5.14%‼️
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)……4153 -267 -6.04%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..628.25 -14.00 -2.18%
SoybeanOil…66.99 -0.98 -1.44%
Wheat………817.75 -4.75 -0.58%

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 15/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US Europe ijo, Asia kecuali nikkei merah…

Oil Nikel CPO drop, metal2 turun semua, gas naik, coal tipis2… Ini beneran bawa wave 2 kayanya, dan coal kembali ikutan jadi ganjel index

Keliatannya outlook nya masih begini sih…

Koreksi wave 2 sampe tutup gap 6740

IHSG – stoch sell, macd mulai reversal, ada beberapa gap di bawah, yang paling deket sama fibo 50-61 yang di 6740. Koreksi lebih dalem lagi dari situ udah keitung ga sehat, bisa crash

Global Update:

August 10th, 2022

Good morning,

Nasdaq falls more than 1% as chip stocks struggle, key inflation report looms

Stocks fell on Tuesday as investors navigated a batch of disappointing company reports ahead of a key inflation reading.

Dow…….32774 -58.1 -0.18%
Nasdaq.12494 -150.5 -1.19%
S&P 500..4123 -17.5 -0.42%

FTSE…….7488 +5.8 +0.08%
Dax……..13535 -152.7 -1.12%
CAC……..6490 -34.4 -0.53%

Nikkei….27999 -249.3 -0.88%
HSI……..20003 -42.3 -0.21%
Shanghai..3247 +10.50 +0.32%
ST Times..3270 -11.9 -0.36%

IDX…….7102.88 +16.03 +0.23%
LQ45…1009.71 +1.56 +0.16%

IDX Energy…1812.69 +43.65 +2.47%
IDX Bsc Mat.1333.45 +6.55 +0.42%
IDX Industrl..1310.58 -0.43 -0.03%
IDXNONCYC..703.09 -3.76 -0.53%
IDX Hlthcare.1411.05 -12.06 -0.85%
IDXCYCLIC…..901.08 -0.09 -0.01%
IDX Techno..7966.73 +11.57 +0.15%
IDX Transp…2116.60 +16.11 +0.77%
IDX Infrast…..1038.71 +1.17 +0.11%
IDX Finance 1530.40 +5.95 +0.39%
IDX Banking..1163.84 +10.52 +0.91%
IDX Property…..699 +0.90 +0.13%

Indo10Yr….7.2267 -0.0412 -0.57%👍
ICBI……..334.5894 +0.8171 +0.34%👍
US10Yr…..2.7970 +0.0320 +1.16%
VIX…………21.77 +0.48 +2.25%

USDIndx 106.3010 -0.1340 -0.13%
Como Indx..284.54 +2.74 +0.97%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..157.58 +1.53 +0.98%

IndoCDS…112.24 -5.02 -4.28%👍
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14852.50 -23.50 -0.16%
Jisdor..14862 .00 -53.00 -0.36%

Euro………1.0214 +0.0020 +0.20%

TLKM……..31.03 -0.31 -0.99%
(4612)
EIDO………23.80 +0.09 +0.38%
EEM………39.96 -0.15 -0.37%

Oil…………..90.50 -0.09 -0.10%
Gold ……1812.30 +7.30 +0.40%
Timah. .24300.00 -155 -0.63%
( Closed 08/8)
Nickel…21526.50 -115.50 -0.53%
(Closed 09/8)
Silver…….20.67 +0.83 +4.18%
Copper….358.50 +3.30 +0.93%

Nturl Gas…..7.839 +0.183 +2.39%

Ammonia….3806.67 -83.33 -2.14%
China
(Domestic Price)(08/8)

Coal price….384.50 +13.50 +3.64%‼️
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….375.00 +14.50 +4.02%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….328.75 +8.75 +2.73%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….312.65 +16.40 +5.54%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)……4125 +49 +1.20%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………614.00 +6.75 +1.11%
SoybeanOil…64.62 +0.30 +0.47%
Wheat………781.50 +1.75 +0.22%

Wood pulp…6726.00 unch +0%
(Closed 09/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index regional hampir semua merah kecuali Inggris sama China. IHSG juga sempet ijo tebel tapi closing rada tipis. Energy sama banking yang mimpin gerakan

Oil turun dikit, gold silver copper naik – good for MDKA hold, timah nikel turun harusnya ngaruh ke INCO TINS tapi news tesla kayanya tetep bikin gorengan

Gas coal cpo naik, semoga PGAS kebawa naik, coal long bullish sampe januari, tapi kayanya ga mungkin sih 5 bulan rally terus, hehehe

AALI sama LSIP belum ada tanda2 jalan, secara umum consumer belum sih

Dari closing price kemaren ke gap closing selisih 1.01%, angka yang kalo dipaksain dapet dalam sehari, tapi kayanya ga akan kejadian. Tapi kalo bener dipaksain bisa jadi bahaya, bisa rejection candle terus langsung dibanting. Kalo kejadian di pump and dump, bagusnya pasang trailing stop di yang udah profit, atau cutloss di saham yang chart nya jelek

Secara umum indicators masih ngasih isyarat lanjut naik. Semoga kenceng, tapi begitu tutup gap kita pantau ketat

Infrastructure, Tech, Transport, Industrials

Global Update:

August 09th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq slip to start the week as Nvidia warning puts brakes on market rally

Stocks struggled to hold their ground on Monday, following the S&P 500′s third straight weekly gain, as demand concerns for the semiconductor industry weighed on tech names.

Dow…….32833 +29.1 +0.09%
Nasdaq.12645 -13.1 -0.10%
S&P 500..4140 -5.1 -0.12%

FTSE…….7482 +42.6 +0.57%
Dax……..13688 +113.8 +0.84%
CAC……..6524 +52.1 +0.80%

Nikkei….28249 +73.4 +0.26%
HSI……..20046 -156.2 -0.77%
Shanghai..3237 +9.91 +0.31%
ST Times..3270 -11.9 -0.36%

IDX…….7086.85 +2.19 +0.03%
LQ45…1007.14 -0.66 -0.07%

IDX Energy…1769.03 +1.13 +0.06%
IDX Bsc Mat.1327.89 +12.85 +0.98%
IDX Industrl..1311.02 +5.69 +0.44%
IDXNONCYC..706.85 +3.04 +0.43%
IDX Hlthcare.1423.11 +0.28 +0.02%
IDXCYCLIC…..901.17 +2.62 +0.29%
IDX Techno..7955.16 -119.49 -1.48%
IDX Transp…2100.49 +36.44 +1.77%
IDX Infrast…..1037.54 -0.66 -0.06%
IDX Finance 1524.45 +0.21 +0.01%
IDX Banking..1153.32 +0.39 +0.03%
IDX Property…..698 +2.30 +0.33%

Indo10Yr….7.2679 +0.0084 +0.12%
ICBI……..333.7723 +0.1448 +0.14%👍
US10Yr…..2.7650 -0.0750 -2.64%
VIX…………21.29 +0.14 +0.66%

USDIndx 106.4350 -0.1860 -0.17%
Como Indx..281.80 +0.76 +0.27%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..156.05 -0.26 -0.16%

IndoCDS…117.26 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14876.00 -18.00 -0.12%
Jisdor..14915 .00 +11.00 +0.07%

Euro………1.0194 +0.0011 +0.11%

TLKM……..31.34 +0.14 +0.45%
(4674)
EIDO………23.71 +0.25 +1.07%
EEM………40.11 +0.05 +0.12%

Oil…………90.59 +1.58 +1.78%
Gold ……1805.00 +13.80 +0.77%
Timah. .24455.00 – -%
( Closed 05/8)
Nickel…21642.00 -828.00 -3.68%‼
(Closed 08/8)
Silver…….20.67 +0.83 +4.18%
Copper….358.50 +3.30 +0.93%

Nturl Gas…..7.656 -0.345l -4.36%

Ammonia….3890.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(04/8)

Coal price….371.00 +10.00 +2.77%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….360.50 +13.75 +3.96%‼
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….320.00 +6.35 +2.02%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price…296.25 +8.40 +2.92%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..4076 +188 +4.82%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………607.25 -2.75 -0.45%
SoybeanOil…64.32 +0.35 +0.55%
Wheat………779.75 +4.00 +0.52%

Wood pulp…6726.00 unch +0%
(Closed 08/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US tipis tipis, europe masih lanjut ijo, asia varied, hongkong sama singapore merah, IDX juga merah tapi tipis, kita liat hari ini apakah mau lanjut ke atas tutup gap atau udahan

Oil rebound tapi masih stay dibawah 100 USD/barrel, Coal juga, naik tapi masih dibawah 400 USD /MT. Keliatannya masih lanjut koreksi dulu. Gas malah lanjut merah, jadi mengkhawatirkan buat PGAS

Gold silver copper naik, good for MDKA, nikel drop, kayanya akan nyeret ANTM TINS INCO kebawah dulu, yang kemaren2 keliatan masih menolak turun

CPO akhirnya ada kenaikan tinggi, LSIP menarik buat re-entry kayanya

Masih Industrials Infrastructure, Transportation nyusul, property keliatannya next. Tapi, walau finance melemah BBCA diangkat terus lho, semoga lanjut sampai index tutup gap

IHSG – masih fine di semua indic, semoga hajatan tutup gap tercapai dulu sebelum wave 2, jadi trading plan nya bisa dieksekusi dengan baik

Global Update:

August 04th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks rally to reverse two-day slide, surging on rosy earnings results and economic data

U.S. stocks rallied Wednesday, clawing back losses from earlier in the week, as traders cheered better-than-expected economic data that helped allay recession fears.

Dow…….32813 +416.3 +1.29%
Nasdaq.12668 +319.4 +2.59%
S&P 500..4155 +63.98 +1.56%

FTSE…….7446 +36.6 +0.49%
Dax……..13588 +138.4 +1.03%
CAC……..6472 +62.3 +0.97%

Nikkei….27742 +147.2 +0.53%
HSI……..19767 +77.9 +0.40%
Shanghai..3164 -22.6 -0.71%
ST Times..3252 +12.9 +0.40%

IDX…….7046.64 +58.48 +0.84%
LQ45…..999.95 +11.34 +1.15%

IDX Energy…1812.83 -2.89 -0.16%
IDX Bsc Mat.1294.97 +7.38 +0.57%
IDX Industrl..1327.61 -1.01 -0.08%
IDXNONCYC..702.14 -3.05 -0.43%
IDX Hlthcare.1431.37 -3.15 -0.22%
IDXCYCLIC…..886.80 -9.53 -1.06%
IDX Techno..7883.27 +246.11 +3.22%
IDX Transp…1988.43 -5.04 -0.25%
IDX Infrast…..1021.65 +22.64+2.27%
IDX Finance 1518.99 +14.22 +0.94%
IDX Banking..1142.53 +10.67 +0.94%
IDX Property…….69r +o.94 -0.26%

Indo10Yr….7.3249 +0.0394 +0.54%
ICBI……..332.3687 -0.5567 -0.17%
US10Yr…..2.74i0 +0.0070 +0.26%
VIX…………21.95 -1.87 -8.27%‼️

USDIndx 106.5060 +0.2650 +0.25%‼️
Como Indx..281.72 -1.98 -0.70%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..152.47 -1.83 -1.19%

*IndoCDS…127.15 – – *
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14911.50 +22.50 +0.15%‼️
Jisdor..14917.00 +29.00 +0.19%‼️

Euro………1.0164 -0.0006 -0.06%

TLKM……..29.88 +1.28 +4.48%‼️
(4457)
EIDO………23.38 +0.24 +1.04%
EEM………39.74 +0.31 +0.79%

Oil…………91.02 -2.68 -2.86%
Gold ……1780.60 +7.00 +0.39%
Timah. .24249.00 -651.00 -2.61%
( Closed 02/8)
Nickel…22552.00 +210.00 +0.94%
(Closed 03/8)
Silver…….20.00 +0.08 +0.40%
Copper….347.25 -0.15 -0.04%

Nturl Gas…..8.288 +0.612 +7.97%‼️

Ammonia….3856.67 +83.34 +2.21%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/8)

Coal price….393.50 -10.00 -2.48%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….378.55 -17.20 -4.35%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….355.00 -11.05 -3.01%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price…336.45 -14.55 -4.15%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3860 +19 +0.49%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………596.25 +2.00 +0.34%
SoybeanOil…61.00 -0.39 -0.64%
Wheat………763.75 -11.00 -1.42%

Wood pulp…6722.00 +6 +0.09%
(Closed 03/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren IHSG ijo tebel, closing market rata2 ijo semua, kecuali shanghai yang minus. US kenceng banget, semoga jadi pendorong index kita ijo tebel lagi hari ini, biar cepet tutup gap diatas dulu

Oil turun lagi, terus stay dibawah 100 usd per barrel, coal dibawah 400 usd per MT, rada cocok buat bawa energy koreksi wave c. Metal tipis tipis kecuali timah yang agak jauh turunnya. ANTM TINS INCO sideways dulu kayanya. Gas naik tinggi, semoga PGAS lanjut jalan. CPO naik dikit, belum jadi bawa AALI sama LSIP ke atas

Terlalu optimis dengan outlook IHSG dengan elliot wave nya? Mungkin, tapi gpp lah, namanya juga forecast optimistic…

Stochastic signal buy lagi, MACD masih Up, supertrend masih up, alligator up, bagu breakout cloud ichimoku, parabolic sar masih UP, LR channel target cocok sama gap closing. Semoga bener sampe minimal gap closing sebelum wave 2