Global update:

October 04th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks surge to kick off October and a new quarter as bond yields tumble, Dow closes up 760 points

Stocks rallied Monday to start the new month and quarter, as Treasury yields eased from levels not seen in roughly a decade.

Dow…….29491 +765.4 +2.66%
Nasdaq.10815 +239.8 +2.27%
S&P 500..3678 +92.8 +2.59%

FTSE…….6909 +14.95 +0.22%
Dax……..12209 +95.1 +0.79%
CAC……..5794 +31.8 +0.55%

Nikkei….26216 +278.6 +1.07%
HSI……..17080 -143.3 -0.83%
Shanghai..3024 closed +0%
ST Times..3107 -23.2 -0.74%

IDX…….7009.72 -31.08 -0.44%
LQ45…1006.37 -5.10 -0.50%

IDX Energy…1933.09 +12.79 +0.67%
IDX Bsc Mat.1229.18 -8.79 -0.71%
IDX Industrl..1283.57 +12.85 +1.01%
IDXNONCYC..699.61 +3.15 +0.45%
IDX Hlthcare.1459.23 -38.64 -2.58%
IDXCYCLIC…..848.43 -1.34 -0.16%
IDX Techno..6949.59 -10.25 -0.15%
IDX Transp…1761.72 +2.10 +0.12%
IDX Infrast…….976.83 -4.08 -0.42%
IDX Finance 1475.32 -10.8 -0.73%
٪IDX Banking..1151.50 -7.26 -0.63%
IDX Property….688 +1.60 +0.24%

Indo10Yr….7.4013 -0.0125 -0.17%
ICBI……..333.2363 +0.2645 +0.08%
US10Yr……3.6510 -0.1530 -4.02%
VIX……….30.10 -1.52 -4.81%

USDIndx 111.5430 -0.4640 -0.41%👍
Como Indx..272.82 +4.53 +1.69%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..144.41 +0.97 +0.67%
.
IndoCDS 160.95 +1.42 +0.89%
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/9)

IDR……15302.50 +75.50 +0.50%‼
Jisdor..15293.00 +61.00 +0.40%‼

Euro……..0.9826 +0.0024 +0.24%‼

TLKM……..29.20 +0.35 +1.21%
(4465)
EIDO……..23.56 +0.24 +1.03%
EEM………35.45 +0.57 +1.63%

Oil…………83.32 +3.83 +4.82%‼
Gold ……1707.80 +37.00 +2.21%‼
Timah….20634 – -%
(Closed 30/9)
Nickel…21299.00 -28.00 -0.13%
(Closed 03/10)
Silver…….20.77 +1.73 +9.09%‼
Copper….341.75 +0.50 +0.15%

Nturl Gas…..6.514 -0.312 -4.57%‼

Ammonia..4373.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/9)

Coal price….401.50 -6.20 -1.52%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….412.50 -5.20 -1.24%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….409.50 -3.20 -0.78%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….315.85 +0.35 +0.11%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….313.85 +0.40 +0.13%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….310.85 +0.40 +0.13%
(Des/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3428 +10 +0.29%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………680.75 +3.25 +0.48%
SoybeanOil….63.34 +1.78 +2.89%
Wheat……..912.00 -9.50 -1.03%

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US rebound kenceng, oil gold silver naik tinggi, timah nickel coal minus, copper cpo naik

Kemungkinan opening IHSG ijo dulu, tapi signal masih pada jelek, closing hari kemungkinan hijau dulu, walau wave 2 belum selesai…

IHSG – stoch sw, macd down, MFI down, foreign entry tipis, bandar flat, inside cloud, vol profile ada tebel di 6800 an, gap di 6740, below MA 50, LR PSAR down, masih belum jadwal mantul keliatannya

Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Technology, Healthcare melemah tapi

Global update:

September 21th, 2022

Good morning,

Major averages close about 1% lower as yields rise ahead of Fed rate decision

Stocks tumbled on Tuesday as the sell-off on Wall Street mounted and investors braced for another large rate hike due out Wednesday from the Federal Reserve.

Dow…….30706 -313.5 -1.01%
Nasdaq.11425 -109.97 -0.95%
S&P 500..3855 -43.96 -1.13%

FTSE…….7193 -44.02 -0.61%
Dax……..12671 -132.4 -1.03%
CAC……..5979 -82.1 -1.35%

Nikkei….27688 +120.8 +0.44%
HSI……..18781 +215.5 +1.16%
Shanghai..3122 +6.8 +0.22%
ST Times..3267 +10.63 +0.33%

IDX…….7196.95 +1.46 +0.02%
LQ45…1028.21 +3.48 +0.34%

IDX Energy..1982.92 -10.58 -0.53%
IDX Bsc Mat.1290.99 -4.74 -0.37%
IDX Industrl..1356.73 -6.58 -0.48%
IDXNONCYC..699.95 -0.36 -0.05%
IDX Hlthcare.1472.15 +5.26 +0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…..884.53 -0.49 -0.06%
IDX Techno..7416.27 +68.72 +0.94%
IDX Transp…1848.78 -19.38 -1.046%
IDX Infrast…..1023.94 -6.48 -0.63%
IDX Finance 1506.01 -10.91 -0.72%
IDX Banking..1169.53 -11.14 -0.94%
IDX Property….730 -7.30 -0.99%

Indo10Yr….7.2436 -0.0020 -0.03%
ICBI……..335.9559 +0.1485 +0.04%
US10Yr……3.5710 +0.0810 +2.32%‼️
VIX……….27.16 +1.40 +5.43%

USDIndx 110.2150 +0.4780 +0.44%‼️
Como Indx..279.54 -0.24 -0.09%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.26 +0.17 +0.11%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14983.50 +6.00 +0.04%‼️
Jisdor..14975.00 -5.00 -0.03%‼️

Euro……..0.9966 -0.0065 -0.65%

TLKM……..29.49 -0.30 -1.01%
(4463)
EIDO………24.29 -0.32 -1.30%
EEM………37.70 -0.21 -0.55%

Oil…………..84.45 -1.28 -1.49%
Gold ……..1673.30 -11.60 -0.69%
Timah. .20945.00 -192 -0.91%
( Closed 19/9)
Nickel…24965.50 +343.50 +0.99%
(Closed 20/9)
Silver…….19.25 -0.33 -1.68%
Copper….349.95 -2.90 -0.82%

Nturl Gas…..7.720 -0.158 -2.01%

Ammonia..4373.33 +116.66 +2.74%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(19/9)

Coal price….441.30 +2.25 +0.51%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….438.00 +9.95 +2.32%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….437.00 +11.95 +2.81%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….323.65 -10.60 -3.17%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….292.60 -14.95 -4.86%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….295.15 -13.65 -4.42%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3739 +38 +1.03%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..692.00 +13.75 +2.03%
SoybeanOil…65.91 +0.75 +1.15%
Wheat……..893.75 +63.25 +7.62%‼️

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 20/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah lagi, europe merah juga, asia kebanyakan ijo ikut US kemarennya. IHSG ijo tipis banget. Prepare lanjut merah today

Oil Gas turun, Coal naik, energi belum kompak lagi. Metal2 turun kecuali nikel, kurang asik buat basic materials, CPO merah, belum terlihat hilal kenaikan buat LSIP sama AALI

IHSG – masih jadwal wave 2, keep cash… Kecuali yang yakin banget dan sektornya masih jalan

Property, Healthcare, Consumer Cyclicals. Yang keliatan mau nyusul technology, transportation, sama consumer non-cyclicals

Global update:

September 12th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 300 points higher, stocks snap 3-week Fed-induced slide

U.S. stocks rallied Friday as Wall Street caps off a strong weekly performance, recovering from a Federal Reserve-induced slump.

Dow…….32152 +377.2 +1.19%
Nasdaq.12112 +250.2 +2.11%
S&P 500..4067 +61.2 +1.53%

FTSE…….7351 +89.0 +1.23%
Dax……..13088 +183.9 +1.43%
CAC……..6212 +86.4 +1.41%

Nikkei….28215 +149.5 +0.53%
HSI……..19362 +507.6 +2.69%
Shanghai..3262 +26.5 +0.82%
ST Times..3263 +29.3 +0.91%

IDX…….7242.66 +10.64 +0.15%
LQ45…1032.00 +3.94 +0.38%

IDX Energy..2010.73 -6.01 -0.30%
IDX Bsc Mat.1336.80 -0.33 -0.02%
IDX Industrl..1365.38 -0.45 -0.03%
IDXNONCYC..696.95 +0.09 +0.01%
IDX Hlthcare.1437.62 +12.35 +0.87%
IDXCYCLIC…..882.15 -3.78 -0.43%
IDX Techno..7637.19 -19.58 -0.26%
IDX Transp…1903.27 -9.73 -0.51%
IDX Infrast…..1034.61 -3.05 -0.29%
IDX Finance 1513.59 -2.68 -0.18%
IDX Banking..1172.54 +2.41 +0.21%
IDX Property…713 +5.20 +0.74%

Indo10Yr….7.1959 -0.0104 -0.15%
ICBI……..335.9986 +0.2725 +0.08%
US10Yr……3.3210 +0.0290 +0.88%
VIX…………22.79 -0.82 -3.47%

USDIndx 109.0030 -0.6540 -0.60%
Como Indx..284.12 +5.81 +2.09%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..152.36 +3.14 +2.11%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14830.00 -70.50 -0.47%
Jisdor..14846.00 -59.00 -0.40%

Euro……..1.0042 +0.0043 +0.43%

TLKM……..30.44 +0.13 +0.43%
(4519)
EIDO………24.37 +0.15 +0.62%
EEM………39.00 +0.57 +1.48%

Oil…………..86.79 +3.25 +3.89%‼
Gold ……..1728.60 +8.40 +0.49%
Timah. .20851.00 -355.00 -1.67%
( Closed 07/9)
Nickel…23032.00 +1161.00 +5.31%‼
(Closed 09/9)
Silver…….18.77 +0.33 +1.76%
Copper….356.80 +4.10 +1.16%

Nturl Gas…..8.038 +0.072 +0.90%

Ammonia..4133.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(08/9)

Coal price….435.25 -5.10 -1.16%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….430.60 -3.50 -0.81%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….421.25 -2.00 -0.47%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….337.00 -4.00 -1.17%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….320.00 -11.50 -3.47%‼
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….334.50 -17.35 -4.24%‼
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3595 +53 +1.50%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..685.00 +16.50 +2.47%
SoybeanOil…64.82 +1.59 +2.51%
Wheat……..869.50 +40.50 +4.89%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 11/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at closing semua regional index ijo… Tapi global crisis belum beres

Kita liat chart nya DJI deh

DJI – stoch buy, macd almost buy, alligator sw, supertrend down, 3 white soldiers, ga up jum’at, bullish divergence dan hidden bullish divergence confirmed by MA10, EMA 9-21 baru death cross, price masih dibawah EMA 50. Mungkin hanya technical rebound, karena issue nya belum bener2 solved

Kalo liat ini sih getting ready untuk wave 3…

Sepertinya akan koreksi dulu tutup gap, konsolidasi, baru setelah MA nya firm mulai jalan wave 3

Harga komoditas terkait energy drop, oil sama coal, udah pas lah bawa energy ABC correction dulu. Natural Gas ijo tapi ga terlalu tebel

Gold silver copper naik, pas buat MDKA, nikel naik tinggi, cocok buat ANTM INCO, tin turun tapi. CPO naik, semoga panjang biar AALI LSIP bisa rebound

IHSG – MADC nya masih sideways, belum berhasil cross, selama masih belum bikin new record high masih lebih besar kemungkinan turun bikin wave 2 dulu

IHSG – foreign masih masuk terus, diluar itu sih keliatan mentok mau ke atas…

Basic Materials, Industrials, yang lain belum

Property udah mulai gerak tapi di RSI quadrant belum keliatan

Global Update:

September 09th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes almost 200 points higher as investors weigh future interest rate hikes

Stocks rose Thursday after moving between gains and losses as Wall Street weighed Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comments on the central bank continuing to fight inflation.

Dow…….31775   +193.2    +0.61%
Nasdaq.11862   +70.2      +0.50%
S&P 500..4006   +26.3      +0.66%

FTSE…….7262   +24.2     +0.33%
Dax……..12904   -11.7      -0.09%
CAC……..6126   +19.98   +0.33%

Nikkei….28065    +634.98 +2.31%
HSI……..18855     -189.7    -1.00%
Shanghai..3236    -10.7      -0.33%
ST Times..3234   +22.8     +0.71%

IDX…….7232.02  +45.26  +0.63%
LQ45…1028.06   +8.39    +0.82%

IDX Energy..2016.74    -26.96   -1.32%
IDX Bsc Mat.1337.13  +26.04   +1.99%
IDX Industrl..1365.83   -5.99     -0.44%
IDXNONCYC..696.86    -5.91     -0.84%
IDX Hlthcare.1425.27  +6.12     +0.43%
IDXCYCLIC…..885.93   +6.35     +0.72%
IDX Techno..7656.76   +130.25 +1.73%
IDX Transp…1913.00   -10.01    -0.52%
IDX Infrast…..1037.66  +10.85  +1.06%
IDX Finance 1516.28    +10.63  +0.71%
IDX Banking..1170.13  +15.22  +1.32%
IDX Property…713        +5.20     +0.74%

Indo10Yr….7.2063   -0.0044   -0.06%
ICBI……..335.7261   +0.4283  +0.13%
US10Yr……3.2920   +0.0270  +0.83%
VIX…………23.61      -1.03       -4.18%

USDIndx 109.6570  +0.095  +0.09%
Como Indx..278.31  +1.79   +0.65%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..149.21  +2.16    +1.47%
.
IndoCDS…122.88     –                -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14905.50  -17.00   -0.11%
Jisdor..14905.00  -22.00   -0.15%

Euro……..0.9999  -0.0091  -0.90%

TLKM……..30.31  +0.21      +0.70%
(4518)
EIDO………24.22   +0.17      +0.71%
EEM………38.43    -0.21        -0.54%

Oil…………..83.54   +1.60      +1.95%
Gold ……..1720.20   -7.60    -0.44%
Timah. .20851.00   -355.00   -1.67%
( Closed 07/9)
Nickel…21871.00   +256.50  +1.19%
(Closed 08/9)
Silver…….18.44      +0.18     +0.99%
Copper….352.70    +9.65     +2.81%

Nturl Gas…..7.966  +0.11    +1.40%

Ammonia..4133.33  +33.33  +0.81%
China
(Domestic Price)(07/9)

Coal price….440.35   +1.35   +0.30%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….434.10   -0.60    -0.14%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….423.25   -0.45    -0.11%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….341.00  -34.00   -9.07%‼
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….331.50  -26.50   -7.40%‼
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….334.50  -14.80   -4.24%‼
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3542  -162     -4.37%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..668.50   -2.50     -0.37%
SoybeanOil…63.23  +1.13   +1.82%
Wheat……..829.00   -15.25   -1.81%

Wood pulp…6750.00  +10   +0.15%
(Closed 08/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Us lanjut ijo lagi, Europe mayoritas ijo, asia varied, tapi mostly ijo atau merah tipis kecuali hangseng

Oil gas coal mantul abis kemaren merah, gold tin merah, nickel silver copper ijo,lebih nungguin nickel sih, rombongan issue batere lebih terpengaruh nickel. CPO drop lagi, waks tambah lama lagi rencana mau beli LSIP ini mah

Belum mau dibawa turun wave 2, masih nahan terus, plus US kemaren ijo jadi stimulus. MACD belum cross up dan belum break high juga , masih lebih besar kemungkinan turun dulu wave 2

IHSG – stoch rev down, 833 sell, macd down, bandar distribusi (ini bahaya ini, harga diangkat bandar exit, profit taking berarti), foreign masih masuk terus, LR channel lagi melebar, karena price stay disitu terus, deviasi dari mean jadi ikut melebar. Koq kayanya hari ini malah start turunnya… WNS lah, kalo bikin ATH ya ikut belanja lagi

Energy melemah, Financials, Basic Materials, Industrials sama Property kalo liat buy signal kemaren