Daily Analysis 20240112

Daily Analysis 20240112

January 12th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes little changed Thursday after hotter-than-anticipated inflation report

Stocks ended Thursday near the flat line after a fresh round of inflation data reflected an uptick in consumer prices for December.

,Dow……37711 +15.3 +0.04%
Nasdaq14970 +0.5 +0.00%
S&P 500.4780 -3.2 -0.07%

FTSE…..7577 -75.2 -0.98%
Dax……16547 -142.8 -0.86%
CAC……7388 -38.5 -0.52%

Nikkei..35050 +648.2 +1.77%
HSI…….16302 +204.8 +1.27%
Shanghai.2887+8.95 +0.31%

IDX…..7219.96 -7.33 -0.10%
LQ45….969.94 +0.81 +0.08%
IDX30…499.20 +1.25 +0.25%

IDXEnergy..2160.56 -7.75 -0.36%
IDX BscMat.1240.16 -6.97 -0.56%
IDX Indstrl…1106.62 +0.90 +0.08%
IDXNONCYC.705.40 -5.32 -0.75%
IDX Hlthcare1349.14+2.29 +0.17%
IDXCYCLIC…860.88 +7.42 +0.87%
IDX Techno4343.84 +11.60 +0.27%
IDX Transp 1679.28 +21.31 +1.29%
IDX Infrast 1549.81 -4.51 -0.27%
IDX Finance.1522.49+13.78 +0.91%
IDX Banking.1322.35+8.30 +0.63%
IDX Property.. 717 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6959 -0.0222 -0.33%
ICBI…374.1055 +0.6178 +0.17%
US2Yr.4.249 -0.111 -2.55%
US5Yr 3.881 -0.094 -2.36%
US10Yr3.968 -0.047 -1.17%
US30Yr.4.211-0.037 -0.88%
VIX….12.44 -0.25 -1.97%

USDIndx 102.3120 -0.050 -0.05%
Como Indx..264.10 +1.78 +0.68%
BCOMIN……136.75 +0.07 +0.05%

IndoCDS..77.21 +0.02 +0.03%
(5-yr INOCD5) (10/01)

IDR…..15548.50 -21.00 -0.13%
Jisdor.15558.00 -10.00 -0.06%

Euro….1.0974 +0.0001 +0.01%

TLKM…25.67 unch +0%
(3994)
EIDO….22.38 +0.07 +0.31%
EEM….39.06 +0.16 +0.41%

Oil……..72.02 +0.67 -1.23%
Gold..2019.20 -10.20 -0.50%
Timah..24435.00 +195.00 +0.80%
(Closed 10/01)
Nickel..16452.00 +50 +0.30%
(Closed 11/01)
Silver……22.71 -0.36 -1.56%
Copper.377.65 +2.05 +0.55%

Iron Ore 62% 138.16 -2.36 -1.68%
(10/01)
Nturl Gas..3.030 +0.085 +2.81%
Ammonia China.3400.00‼️ – -%
(Domestic Price)(09/02)

Coal price.130.75 -2.75 -2.06%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 126.25 -5.25 -3.99%‼️
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.125.25 -4.80 -3.69%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 124.70 -3.85 -2.99%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.50 -2.50 -2.29%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 102.30 -3.40 -3.32%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.100.20 -2.70 -2.62%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price…98.05 -2.50 -2.49%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3796 +37 +0.98%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……457.75 -0.38 -0.38%
SoybeanOil 48.72 +0.47 +0.97%
Wheat…603.75 -7.00 -1.15%

Wood pulp..5068.00 unch +0%
(Closed 11/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US tipis tipis, europe merah, asia kemaren ijo tebel, IHSG merah tipis, bisa merah lagi kayanya ini tudei

US bond rates turun, USD index turn, good sih, tapi gold silver juga turun, timah nickel copper iron ore ijo, oil merah, gas ijo, coal merah dalem. Masih belum nih ANTM MDKA, coal coal an hati hati. CPO lanjut, go go AALI LSIP!

IHSG – bisa jadi mau wave B dulu, tapi yang jelas stoch down, mad down, MFI sw, w% downtrend, BD dist, masih FNB sih, lumayan. Kalo diukur pake fibonacci retracement hanya di wave 5 nya dari antara 61-78 mantul ke 38, lanjut wave c dong kalo gitu… Masih bahaya pokonya

Index beresiko tapi cacing RSI pada arahnya bagus, heu… FInancials paling deket 45 derajat, sama technology, tapi saya lebih prefer pegang consumer non-cyclicals, biasanya saham defensif ganjel bursa disitu

Daily Analysis 20240111

Daily Analysis 20240111

January 11th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 150 points higher Wednesday ahead of key inflation readings

Stocks closed higher Wednesday, with investors awaiting the release of fresh U.S. inflation data and earnings.

Dow……37696 +170.5 +0.45%
Nasdaq14970 +111.9 +0.75%
S&P 500.4783 +26.95 +0.57%

FTSE…..7652 -32.2 -0.42%
Dax……16690 +1.6 +0.01%
CAC……7427 -0.5 -0.01%

Nikkei..34442 +678.5 +2.01%
HSI…….16097 -92.7 -0.57%
Shanghai.2878-15.6 -0.54%

IDX…..7227.30 +27.09 +0.38%
LQ45….969.14 -0.94 -0.10%
IDX30…497.95 +0.10 +0.02%

IDXEnergy..2168.31 +11.41 +0.53%
IDX BscMat.1247.13+5.81 +0.47%
IDX Indstrl…1105.72 +2.79 +0.25%
IDXNONCYC.710.72 +2.14 +0.30%
IDX Hlthcare1346.85+20.14 +1.52%
IDXCYCLIC…853.46 +8.11. +0.96%
IDX Techno4332.24 -6.66 -0.15%
IDX Transp 1657.97 +5.66 +0.34%
IDX Infrast 1533.96 +21.00 +1.37%
IDX Finance.1508.71+6.12 +0.41%
IDX Banking.1314.05 -0.95 -0.07%
IDX Property.. 717 -0.40 -0.05%

Indo10Yr.6.7181 +0.0125 +0.19%
ICBI…373.4877 +0.0457 +0.01%
US2Yr.4.360 -0.006 -0.14%
US5Yr 3.975 -0.003 -0.08%
US10Yr4.015 -0.008 -0.20%
US30Yr.4.211+0.026+0.62%
VIX….12.69 -0.10 -0.78%

USDIndx 102.3620 -0.146 -0.14%
Como Indx..262.31 -2.37 -0.90%
BCOMIN……136.68 +0.20 +0.15%

IndoCDS..77.19 -0.51 -0.66%
(5-yr INOCD5) (09/01)

IDR…..15569.50 +49.50 +0.32%
Jisdor.15568.00 +50.00 +0.32%

Euro….1.0973 +0.0041 +0.38%

TLKM…25.67 +0.49 +1.95%
(3996)
EIDO….22.32 +0.04 +0.18%
EEM….38.90 -0.09 -0.23%

Oil……..71.35 -0.89 -1.23%
Gold..2029.40 -3.60 -0.18%
Timah..24240.00 -260.00 -1.06%
(Closed 09/01)
Nickel..16402.00 +176 +1.08%
(Closed 10/01)
Silver……23.07 -0.03 -0.11%
Copper.375.60 +2.75 +0.73%

Iron Ore 62% 140.52 -0.35 -0.25%
(09/01)
Nturl Gas..3.030❗️ -0.160 -5.02%
Ammonia China.3400.00‼️ – -%
(Domestic Price)(09/02)

Coal price.133.50 -2.15 -1.58%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 131.50 -2.70 -2.01%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.132.25 -2.20 -1.66%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 128.55 -1.70 -1.31%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.109.00 -2.25 -2.02%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 105.70 -2.45 -2.27%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.102.90 -2.45 -2.33%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 100.55 -2.75 -2.66%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3759 +25 +0.67%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……459.50 +0.25 +0.05%
SoybeanOil 48.25 -0.20 -0.41%
Wheat…610.75 +0.75 +0.12%

Wood pulp..5068.00 +8 +0.16%
(Closed 10/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo, europe cenderung perah tipis, asia varied, US bond rate merah tipis, USD index merah, harusnya bagus ya buat saham

Metal2 masih banyakan merah, kecuali nickel sama copper, oil gas coal merah, CPO lanjut ijo. beware coal coal an bisa jadi udahan. AALI LSIP harusnya jalan

IHSG – stoch down, macd sell, MFI down, BD sw, FF masih net buy kecil, abis wave 5 harusnya bikin ABC correction dulu, sabar, pegang cash,nanti belanja lagi pas udah mau run lagi

Dari cacing RSI masih banyak yang terlihat bagus, yang paling deket 45 Financials, Technology, Energy, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclical. Yang sering dipake ganjel bursa Consumer Non-Cyclicals sih, kayanya paling safe disitu

Stochastic Buy Signal: OMED

MACD Buy Signal: EMTK ISAT, big accum

Stochastic Continuation Signal and big acc: ICBP ISAT

Supertrend Buy Signal: DOID

Alligator Buy Signal cuma 1 yang accum, DOID, ASSA FNB gede

Daily Analysis 20240110

Daily Analysis 20240110

January 10th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes slightly lower as stocks’ early 2024 struggles linger

The S&P 500
trimmed an earlier decline Tuesday, boosted by tech shares, but still ended the day with modest losses.

Dow……37525 -157.9 -0.42%
Nasdaq14857 +13.9 +0.09%
S&P 500.4757 -7.05 -0.15%

FTSE…..7684 -10.2 -0.13%
Dax……16688 -28.1 -0.17%
CAC……7427 -22.6 -0.32%

Nikkei..33377 closed +0%
HSI…….16190 -34.4 -0.62%
Shanghai.2893+5.7 +0.20%

IDX…..7200.20 -83.37 -1.14%
LQ45….970.08 -6.36 -0.65%
IDX30…497.85 -0.29 -0.06%

IDXEnergy..2156.90 -13.52 -0.62%
IDX BscMat.1241.32 -55.67 -4.29%‼️
IDX Indstrl…1102.94 +2.18 +0.20%
IDXNONCYC.708.58 -4.91 -0.69%
IDX Hlthcare1326.71 -2.10 -0.16%
IDXCYCLIC…845.35 +10.28 +1.23%
IDX Techno4338.89 -14.42 -0.33%
IDX Transp 1652.31 -27.48 -1.64%
IDX Infrast 1532.96 -23.06 -1.48%
IDX Finance.1502.59+9.75 +0.65%
IDX Banking.1315.00+10.65 +0.82%
IDX Property.. 717 +1.10 +0.15%

Indo10Yr.6.6734 +0.0164 +0.25%
ICBI…373.7378 -0.3219 -0.097%
US2Yr.4.366 -0.009 -0.21%
US5Yr 3.972 -0.014 -0.35%
US10Yr4.015-0.012 -0.30%
US30Yr.4.185+0.001+0.02%
VIX….12.76 -0.32 -2.45%

USDIndx 102.5080 +0.096 +0.09%
Como Indx..264.69 +3.04 +1.16%
BCOMIN……136.48 -0.57 -0.42%

IndoCDS..77.70‼️ +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (08/01)

IDR…..15520.00 -5.50 -0.04%
Jisdor.15518.00 -4.00 -0.03%

Euro….1.0932 -0.0019 -0.17%

TLKM…25.18 -0.01 -0.04%
(3907)
EIDO….22.28 -0.24 -1.07%
EEM….38.99 -0.56 -1.42%

Oil……..72.24 +1.47 +2.08%
Gold..2033.00 -0.50 -0.02%
Timah..24500.00 -122.00 -0.50%
(Closed 08/01)
Nickel..16226.00 -32 -0.20%
(Closed 09/01)
Silver……23.09 -0.22 -0.94%
Copper.375.86 -5.15 -1.35%

Iron Ore 62% 140.87 -0.58 -0.41%
(08/01)
Nturl Gas..2.943 +0.037 +1.27%
Ammonia China.3400.00‼️ -50.00 -1.45%
(Domestic Price)(09/02)

Coal price.135.65 +3.65 +2.77%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 134.20 +4.70 +3.63%‼️
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.132.25 +4.00 +3.12%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 130.25 +3.75 +2.96%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.111.25 -1.50 -1.33%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.15 -1.55 -1.41%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.105.35 -0.75 -0.71%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.30 +0.30 +0.29%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3734 +40 +1.08%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……459.25 +4.25 +0.93%
SoybeanOil 48.45 +0.64 +1.34%
Wheat…610.00 +13.75 +2.31%

Wood pulp..5060.00 +10 +0.20%
(Closed 09/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US market merah, nasdaq masih ijo tipis, europe juga, asia merah kecuali shanghai

US bond rates turun lagi, harusnya bagus ini buat ngangkat saham. IHSG dua hari plunged down hard masa ga ada rebound sih…

USD index up, metal2 down, ga jadi jalan ini basic materials versi mineral mineral, consider exit ANTM INCO MDKA TINS dll di DCB hari ini

Oil rebound, gas up, coal newcastle up lumayan tinggi, CPO lanjut ijo, harusnya AALI LSIP jadi lanjut jalan ini walau market merah

IHSG – firm collapse after wave 5, stoch sell macd sell, mfi sw, w% down, BD dist masih FNB, ayo cuci gudang yang ga yakin contrarian ganjel bursa…

Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals, Industrials, Property

Daily Analysis 20240109

Daily Analysis 20240109

January 9th, 2024 Good morning, Nasdaq Composite closes 2% higher Monday as tech stocks’ revival lifts major averages The major averages rose Monday, boosted by tech shares, as Wall Street…
Daily Analysis 20240104

Daily Analysis 20240104

January 04th, 2024
Good morning,
Dow tumbles nearly 300 points Wednesday, Nasdaq closes lower for a 2nd straight day in 2024
The Nasdaq Composite
 fell for a second session Wednesday to start the year, building on its worst daily performance in nearly three months.
Dow……37430   -284.9   -0.76%
Nasdaq14592   -173.7   -1.18%
S&P 500.4705   -38.02   -0.80%
FTSE…..7682  -39.2     -0.51%
Dax……16538 -230.97 -1.38%
CAC……7412  -119.0    -1.58%
Nikkei..33464    closed   +0%
HSI…….16646   -142.1    -0.85%
Shanghai.2967 +4.97     +0.17%
IDX…..7379.09 -44.50    -0.61%
LQ45….973.38 -6.05       -0.38%
IDX30…494.25 -4.17       -0.84%
IDXEnergy..2134.80   -8.16     -0.38%
IDX BscMat.1326.31 -5.83     -0.44%
IDX Indstrl…1103.81 -1.70     -0.15%
IDXNONCYC.718.44 -5.97     -0.82%
IDX Hlthcare1341.16 -12.40  -0.92%
IDXCYCLIC…825.24  +3.63    +0.44%
IDX Techno4418.00  +0.19    +0.02%
IDX Transp 1656.97 +2.01     +0.12%
IDX Infrast  1577.29. +0.98   +0.06%
IDX Finance.1448.02 -4.07.   -0.28%
IDX Banking.1267.99 -1.01    -0.08%
IDX Property.. 709      -0.90    -0.12%
Indo10Yr.6.6494+0.0333 +0.50%
ICBI…374.1959  -0.4937  -0.13%
US2Yr.4.333  +0.009   +0.21%
US5Yr 3.905  -0.017    -0.43%
US10Yr3.920 -0.021    -0.53%
US30Yr.4.070-0.013    -0.32%
VIX….14.04  +0.84  +6.36%‼️
USDIndx 102.4570 +0.221 +0.22%
Como Indx..265.25  +2.62    +1.00%
BCOMIN……139.93   -1.24     -0.88%
 IndoCDS..69.23    -0.06    -0.09%
  (5-yr INOCD5) (02/01)
IDR…..15481.00 +11.00 +0.07%
Jisdor.15495.00 +22.00 +0.14%
Euro….1.0920  -0.0022  -0.20%
TLKM…25.62  -0.28   -1.08%
(3970)
EIDO….22.05   -0.16   -0.72%
EEM….39.52   -0.22    -0.55%
Oil……..72.70  +2.32  +3.30%‼️
Gold..2042.80 -30.60 -1.48%
Timah..25184.00 -231   -0.91%
(Closed 02/01)
Nickel..16425.00 -140   -0.85%
(Closed 03/01)
Silver……23.16   -0.80     -3.32%
Copper.386.15   -1.90     -0.49%
Iron Ore 62% 136.37   –        -%
 (02/01)
Nturl Gas..2.687  +0.113  +4.39%‼️
Ammonia China.3656.67 +33.34 +0.92%
(Domestic Price)(02/02)
Coal price.128.50  +0.75  +0.59%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 127.09  +0.15  +0.67%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.125.75  +0.90  +0.72%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 124.40  +0.50  +0.40%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.108.95 +2.80   +2.64%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.75 +2.20  +2.17%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price. 99.25  +2.15  +2.21%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price .97.20  +2.00  +2.10%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
CPO(Mar)..3624   -36        -0.98%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……465.25     +1.50    +0.32%
SoybeanOil 48.60 +0.31    +0.64%
Wheat….600.25    -6.50      -1.07%
Wood pulp..5050.00 +10  +0.20%
(Closed 02/01)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia

Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Update Global Economic Calendar
3 Jan 2023

GERMANY MARKET :
Unemployment Change (Dec)
Actual : 5K
Forecast : 20K
Previous : 22K

Unemployment Rate (Dec)
Actual : 5.9%
Forecast : 5.9%
Previous : 5.9%

Unemployment Persons (Dec)
Actual : 2.703M
Forecast : –
Previous : 2.702M

U.S MARKET :
MBA Mortgage Applications (Dec/29)
Actual : -10.7%
Forecast : –
Previous : -1.5%

MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Dec/29)
Actual : 6.76%
Forecast : –
Previous : 6.83%

ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec)
Actual : 47.4
Forecast : 47.1
Previous : 46.7

ISM Manufacturing Employment (Dec)
Actual : 48.1
Forecast : 46.1
Previous : 45.8

ISM Manufacturing New Orders (Dec)
Actual : 47.1
Forecast : –
Previous : 48.3

By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research
– Disclaimer On –

US merah dalem, keliatanya karena release berita ISM manufacturing unemployment dan new order turun. europe merah, asia juga, IHSG kemaren memang sudah diduga jadwal turun, sekarang diharap naik tapi kalo global merah semua rada berat. Semoga hanya sideways atau koreksi kecil

US bond rates ga banyak rubah, USD index naik, metal turun semua, oil gas coal naik, CPO masih turun. Kayanya belum jalan ini ANTM INCO TINS MDKA, tapi harusnya major udah uptrend. AALI LSIP juga

IHSG – stoch up flattening OB, MACD up flattening, MFI sw, w% masih uptrend, BD mulai dist, FNS, udah di wave 5, agak mengkhawatirkan…

Cacing RSI malah all good, Consumer Non-Cyclicals sama Consumer Cyclicals yang arahnya paling bagus

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA ARTO GOTO TOWR ADHI HEAL ISAT JSMR PTPP. yang big accum cuma TOWR

MACD Buy Signal: BRIS BBKP BRMS Big accum BRIS BBKP

Stochastic Continuation Signal: INCO big acc MPMX spike

Daily Analysis 20230731

Daily Analysis 20230731

Selamat pagi🌻,

DJIA……….35459 +176. +0.50%
S&P 500……4582 +44.8 +0.99%
Nasdaq…..14316 +266. +1.90%
FTSE…………7694 +1.51 +0.02%
DAX………..16469 +63.7 +0.39%
CAC………….7476 +11.2 +0.15%
HSI…………19923 +257. +1.31%
Nikkei……..32766 -153. -0.47%
JCI……………6900 +3.57 +0.05%

Euro……….1.1016 +0.00 +0.39%
CNY………..7.1489 -0.02 -0.35%
IDR………….15105 +105. +0.70%
DXY………..101.62 -0.15 -0.15%
EIDO…………23.37 +0.04 +0.17%

Crudeoil…..80.58 +0.49 +0.61%
CPO Aug…..3874 -48.0 -1.22%
PulpPaper…..490 -4.09 -0.83%
Gold…………1959 +13.5 +0.69%
Nickel…….22326 +587. +2.70%
Tin…………29010 n.a.
Coal………139.50 +5.50 +4.10%
Coal Sep 23……………..142.25

RK/ CGS-CIMB Sekuritas Bandung

Jum’at closing ijo semua kecuali Nikkei, USD index turun, Gold Nickel up, OIl Up, Coal up, bagus buat saham terkait komoditi harusnya. CPO down, biar koreksinya puas dulu baru kita ambil AALI LSIP

IHSG – stoch buy, macd up rev, MFI down, w% down, BD flat, FNS, masih belum tembus resistance triple bottom, semoga minggu ini

Energy, Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal: AGRO BBHI ISAT PNLF RMKE SGER

MACD Buy Signal: ASSA WIFI WINS

Alligator Buy Signal: AGRO SGRO IGAR