October 05th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow rallies more than 1,500 points in two days, S&P 500 posts best 2-day gain since 2020

Stocks surged Tuesday as Wall Street built on a sharp rally seen in the previous session and bond yields continued to fall.

Dow…….30316 +825.4 +2.80%
Nasdaq.11176 +360.97 +3.34%
S&P 500..3791 +112.5 +3.06%

FTSE…….7086 +177.7 +2.57%
Dax……..12671 +461.0 +3.78%
CAC……..6040 +245.5 +4.24%

Nikkei….26992 +776.4 +2.96%
HSI……..17080 closed +0%
Shanghai..3024 closed +0%
ST Times..3139 +31.8 +1.02%

IDX…….7072.26 +62.54 +0.89%
LQ45…1014.65 +8.27 +0.82%

IDX Energy…1994.63 +61.54 +3.18%
IDX Bsc Mat.1253.73 +24.55 +2.00%
IDX Industrl..1298.34 +14.77 +1.15%
IDXNONCYC..700.03 +0.41 +0.06%
IDX Hlthcare.1456.78 -2.45 -0.17%
IDXCYCLIC…..850.49 +2.06 +0.17%
IDX Techno..6932.20 -17.38 -0.25%
IDX Transp…1799.98 +38.26 +2.17%
IDX Infrast…….982.22 +5.40 +0.55%
IDX Finance 1487.34 +12.02 +0.81%
IDX Banking.1159.78 +8.28 +0.63%
IDX Property….691 +2.60 +0.55%

Indo10Yr….7.3781 -0.0232 -0.31%
ICBI……..333.8328 +0.5965 +0.18%
US10Yr……3.6170 -0.0340 -0.93%
VIX……….29.07 -1.03 -3.42%

USDIndx 110.1990 -1.3440 -1.20%👍
Como Indx..280.43 +7.61 +2.79%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..149.65 +5.24 +3.63%‼️
.
IndoCDS 142.38 -18.57 -11.54%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/9)

IDR……15247.50 -55.50 -0.36%‼️
Jisdor..15276.00 -17.00 -0.11%‼️

Euro……..0.9984 +0.0158 +1.61%‼️

TLKM……..29.36 +0.16 +0.55%
(4485)
EIDO……..24.05 +0.49 +2.08%
EEM………36.61 +1.16 +3.27%

Oil…………86.52 +3.20 +3.84%‼️
Gold ……1730.40 +22.70 +1.33%‼️
Timah….20059 -575.00 -2.79%
(Closed 03/10)
Nickel…21971.00 +672.00 +3.16%‼️
(Closed 04/10)
Silver…….21.10 +0.33 +1.59%
Copper….349.00 +7.25 +2.12%

Nturl Gas…..6.825 +0.311 +4.74%‼️

Ammonia..4373.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/9)

Coal price….404.00 +2.50 +0.62%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….410.00 -2.50 -0.61%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….408.00 -1.50 -0.37%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….301.00 -14.85 -4.70%‼️
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….299.55 -14.30 -4.56%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….297.95 -12.90 -4.15%‼️
(Des/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3615 +187 +5.46%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………683.00 +2.25 +0.33%
SoybeanOil….66.00 +1.68 +2.65%
Wheat……..903.00 -9.00 -0.99%

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 04/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua index regional naik kemarin, US closing ijo tebel, europe juga, malah perancis index naik sampe diatas 4%

Hampir semua commodity naik kecuali timah, CPO naik tinggi, kita cermati apakah ini awal bangunnya saham CPO yang lama banget bearish

IHSG – stoch buy signal, macd down, histogram mulai ngebalik, MFI sw, 2 hari FNB, bandar flat, testing breakout cloud ichimoku, sedang menunggu konfirmasi apakah wave 2 sudah finished, karena levelnya sudah tercapai tapi masih ada gap belum tertutup di 6740. LR mantul sebelum kena lower channel, DMI mulai contraction. Spec buy dan bottom fishing udah ok dimulai, full muatan jangan dulu

Leading sector Consumer Non-Cyclicals, tapi yang menarik diikuti dan bisa long run keliatannya Energy dan Basic Materials yang baru mulai gerak

Global update:

October 04th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks surge to kick off October and a new quarter as bond yields tumble, Dow closes up 760 points

Stocks rallied Monday to start the new month and quarter, as Treasury yields eased from levels not seen in roughly a decade.

Dow…….29491 +765.4 +2.66%
Nasdaq.10815 +239.8 +2.27%
S&P 500..3678 +92.8 +2.59%

FTSE…….6909 +14.95 +0.22%
Dax……..12209 +95.1 +0.79%
CAC……..5794 +31.8 +0.55%

Nikkei….26216 +278.6 +1.07%
HSI……..17080 -143.3 -0.83%
Shanghai..3024 closed +0%
ST Times..3107 -23.2 -0.74%

IDX…….7009.72 -31.08 -0.44%
LQ45…1006.37 -5.10 -0.50%

IDX Energy…1933.09 +12.79 +0.67%
IDX Bsc Mat.1229.18 -8.79 -0.71%
IDX Industrl..1283.57 +12.85 +1.01%
IDXNONCYC..699.61 +3.15 +0.45%
IDX Hlthcare.1459.23 -38.64 -2.58%
IDXCYCLIC…..848.43 -1.34 -0.16%
IDX Techno..6949.59 -10.25 -0.15%
IDX Transp…1761.72 +2.10 +0.12%
IDX Infrast…….976.83 -4.08 -0.42%
IDX Finance 1475.32 -10.8 -0.73%
٪IDX Banking..1151.50 -7.26 -0.63%
IDX Property….688 +1.60 +0.24%

Indo10Yr….7.4013 -0.0125 -0.17%
ICBI……..333.2363 +0.2645 +0.08%
US10Yr……3.6510 -0.1530 -4.02%
VIX……….30.10 -1.52 -4.81%

USDIndx 111.5430 -0.4640 -0.41%👍
Como Indx..272.82 +4.53 +1.69%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..144.41 +0.97 +0.67%
.
IndoCDS 160.95 +1.42 +0.89%
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/9)

IDR……15302.50 +75.50 +0.50%‼
Jisdor..15293.00 +61.00 +0.40%‼

Euro……..0.9826 +0.0024 +0.24%‼

TLKM……..29.20 +0.35 +1.21%
(4465)
EIDO……..23.56 +0.24 +1.03%
EEM………35.45 +0.57 +1.63%

Oil…………83.32 +3.83 +4.82%‼
Gold ……1707.80 +37.00 +2.21%‼
Timah….20634 – -%
(Closed 30/9)
Nickel…21299.00 -28.00 -0.13%
(Closed 03/10)
Silver…….20.77 +1.73 +9.09%‼
Copper….341.75 +0.50 +0.15%

Nturl Gas…..6.514 -0.312 -4.57%‼

Ammonia..4373.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/9)

Coal price….401.50 -6.20 -1.52%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….412.50 -5.20 -1.24%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….409.50 -3.20 -0.78%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….315.85 +0.35 +0.11%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….313.85 +0.40 +0.13%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….310.85 +0.40 +0.13%
(Des/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3428 +10 +0.29%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………680.75 +3.25 +0.48%
SoybeanOil….63.34 +1.78 +2.89%
Wheat……..912.00 -9.50 -1.03%

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US rebound kenceng, oil gold silver naik tinggi, timah nickel coal minus, copper cpo naik

Kemungkinan opening IHSG ijo dulu, tapi signal masih pada jelek, closing hari kemungkinan hijau dulu, walau wave 2 belum selesai…

IHSG – stoch sw, macd down, MFI down, foreign entry tipis, bandar flat, inside cloud, vol profile ada tebel di 6800 an, gap di 6740, below MA 50, LR PSAR down, masih belum jadwal mantul keliatannya

Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Technology, Healthcare melemah tapi

Global Update:

September 30th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks crater as Apple leads losses in broad market sell-off

U.S. stocks cascaded Thursday — with Apple leading the way down — as renewed recession jitters permeated Wall Street and wiped gains from a fleeting relief bounce in the previous session.

Dow…….29226 -458.1 -1.54%
Nasdaq.10738 -314.1 -2.84%
S&P 500..3641 -78.8 -2.11%

FTSE…….6882 -123.8 -1.77%
Dax……..11976 -207.7 -1.71%
CAC……..5677 -88.1 -1.53%

Nikkei….26422 +248.1 +0.95%
HSI……..17166 -85.01 -0.49%
Shanghai..3045 -48.8 -1.58%
ST Times..3115 -1.2 -0.04%

IDX…….7036.20 -40.83 -0.58%
LQ45…1009.03 -4.47 -0.44%

IDX Energy…1907.88 +2.74 +0.14%
IDX Bsc Mat.1240.34 -7.59 -0.61%
IDX Industrl..1280.10 -18.02 -1.39%
IDXNONCYC..698.39 -3.62 -0.52%
IDX Hlthcare.1477.36 +13.51 +0.92%
IDXCYCLIC…..858.13 -3.93 -0.46%
IDX Techno..7046.09 -139.79 -1.95%
IDX Transp…1783.60 -29.09 -1.60%
IDX Infrast…….991.58 -8.00 -0.80%
IDX Finance 1481.03 -15.07 -1.01%
IDX Banking..1151.55 -9.60 -0.83%
IDX Property….696 -6.90 -0.98%

Indo10Yr….7.4039 -0.0064 -0.09%
ICBI……..332.0542 +0.2797 -0.08%
US10Yr……3.7470 +0.0420 +1.13%
VIX……….31.84 +1.66 +5.50%‼️

USDIndx 112.2540 -0.3500 -0.31%‼️
Como Indx..271.16 -0.66 -0.24%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..145.43 +3.67 +2.59%
.
IndoCDS 167.34 +1.89 +1.14%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/9)

IDR……15262.50 -4.00 -0.03%‼️
Jisdor..15247.00 +4.00 +0.03%‼️

Euro……..0.9831 +0.0107 +1.10%‼️

TLKM……..28.85 -0.70 -2.37%
(4400)
EIDO……..23.45 -0.42 -1.76%
EEM……….35.01 -0.80 -2.23%

Oil…………..81.66 -0.15 -0.18%
Gold ……1670.80 +3.50 +0.21%
Timah. .20728.00 +48 +0.23%
( Closed 28/9)
Nickel…22468.50 +405.50 +1.84%
(Closed 28/9)
Silver…….18.82 -0.36 -1.91%
Copper….343.45 +5.40 +1.60%

Nturl Gas…..6.881 -0.136 -1.94%

Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(27/9)

Coal price….435.75 -0.25 -0.06%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….409.25 -10.50 -2.50%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….417.15 -6.85 -1.62%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….328.15 unch +0%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….314.90 +9.65 +3.16%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….311.90 +9.90 +3.28%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3343 +118 +3.66%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………669.50 -1.00 -0.15%
SoybeanOil…63.86 +1.71 +2.75%
Wheat………896.25 -7.00 -0.77%

Wood pulp…6720.00 -10.00 -0.14%
(Closed 29/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US lanjut merahnya dalem. Europe juga, asia juga merah kecuali jepang. Sabar, masih jadwal koreksi wave 2,keep cash aja

Metal2 naik kecuali silver, oil gas coal turun, CPO naik

IHSG – target wave 2 fibo 50 di 6968, tapi ada gap di 6740, jadi sangat mungkin index tutup gap dulu baru rebound

Healthcare gerak lagi, Consumer Non-Cyclicals lanjut, Infrastructure, Basic Materials ada pergerakan

Global update:

September 29th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks rebound from 2022 low, Dow closes up more than 500 points and snaps six-day losing streak

The Dow Jones Industrial Average mounted a big comeback from its 2022 low as the Bank of England said it would buy bonds to stabilize its financial markets, a stunning reversal in the monetary tightening policies implemented this year by most central banks to stifle inflation.

Dow…….29684 +548.8 +1.88%
Nasdaq.11052 +222.1 +2.05%
S&P 500..3719 +71.8 +1.97%

FTSE…….7005 +20.8 +0.30%
Dax……..12183 +43.6 +0.36%
CAC……..5765 +11.2 +0.19%

Nikkei….26174 -397.9 -1.50%
HSI……..17251 -609.4 -3.41%
Shanghai..3045 -48.8 -1.58%
ST Times..3116 -49.2 -1.55%

IDX…….7007.03 -35.42 -0.50%
LQ45…1013.51 -2.48 -0.24%

IDX Energy…1905.14 -33.53 -1.73%
IDX Bsc Mat.1247.94 -23.93 -1.88%
IDX Industrl..1298.12 -23.93 -1.88%
IDXNONCYC..702.01 -0.22 -0.03%
IDX Hlthcare.1463.85 -1.79 -0.12%
IDXCYCLIC…..862.06 -7.96 -0.92%
IDX Techno..7185.88 -64.96 -0.89%
IDX Transp…1812.69 -32.73 -1.77%
IDX Infrast…….999.58 -9.89 -0.98%
IDX Finance 1496.09 -7.18 -0.48%
IDX Banking..1161.15 -1.49 -0.13%
IDX Property….703 -7.10 -1.00%

Indo10Yr….7.4103 +0.0239 +0.32%
ICBI……..332.7745 -0.5936 -0.18%
US10Yr……3.7050 -0.2590 -6.53%‼️
VIX……….30.18 -2.42 -7.42%‼️

USDIndx112.6040 -1.4990 -1.31%‼️
Como Indx..271.82 +5.85 +2.20%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..141.77 +1.05 +0.75%
.
IndoCDS 165.45 +53.61 +47.93%‼️‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/9)

IDR……15266.50 +142.50 +0.94%‼️
Jisdor..15243.00 +86.00 +0.58%‼️

Euro……..0.9724 +0.0135 +1.41%‼️

TLKM……..29.55 +0.71 +2.46%
(4504)
EIDO……….23.87 +0.28 +1.19%
EEM……….35.81 +0.31 +0.87%

Oil…………..81.81 +3.59 +4.59%‼️
Gold ……1667.30 +30.70 +1.88%‼️
Timah. .20680.00 +40 +0.19%
( Closed 27/9)
Nickel…22063.00 +380.00 +1.75%
(Closed 28/9)
Silver…….18.88 +0.54 +2.94%
Copper….338.05 +8.60 +2.61%

Nturl Gas…..7.019 +0.207 +3.04%

Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(27/9)

Coal price….436.00 -1.65 -0.38%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….419.75 -3.25 -0.77%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….424.00 -1.25 -0.29%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….328.15 +2.55 +0.78%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….305.25 +7.70 +2.59%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….302.00 +7.00 +2.37%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3225 -305 -8.84%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………670.50 +3.00 +0.45%
SoybeanOil…62.15 -0.24 -0.38%
Wheat………903.25 +31.75 +3.64%‼️

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 28/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US dan europe rebound, asia closing masih merah, kayanya hari ini ijo IHSG…

Oil rebound, semua metal ijo, gas naik, coal turn, cpo drop jauh

IHSG – masih jadwal koreksi wave 2, mungkin technical rebound hari ini ikut US dan europe

Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Infrastructure

Consumer Non-Cyclicals – masih sideways, foreign masih inside, kita tunggu breakout triangle ke atas…

HMSP sama GGRM vol breakout

HMSP – naik tembus resistance minor with volume, stoch dan MACD jadi buy signal, MFIup, Bandar ngebalik jadi akum, foreign lanjut akum, bullish divergence confirmed by MACD buy signal, 2 bull candle and close above MA 10. Yang masih ok beli saham rokok, bisa pasang BOW di tengah candle kearen, di 905. saya pribadi skip…

GGRM – mirip HSMP, stoch buy macd buy MFI up, bandar dan foreign akum, supertrend buy, breakout minor resistance with volume, bullish divergence confirmed by MACD buy signal, 2 bull candle and close above MA 10, BOW tengah candle kemaren 23600 plus 1 tick

Infrastuctures – oscillators masih jelek, tapi dari elliot wave sekarang itungan fibonaccinya udah sampe level biasa mantul, lanjut wave 3

Belum ada buy signal baru…

TLKM big akum, FNB

TLKM – stoch buy macd belum, MFI flat, bandar dan foreign akum, elliot wave keliatannya lagi wave 3, bisa spec buy setengah, BOW. Firm macd dan vol breakut tambah setengah lagi