Global update:

October 12th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes lower, notches 5-day losing streak ahead of key inflation report

U.S. stocks fell Tuesday, reversing gains from earlier in the day as investors looked ahead to key inflation data out later in the week that will give the Federal Reserve updated information on the state of the U.S. economy.

Dow…….29239 +36.3 +0.12%
Nasdaq.10426 -115.9 -1.10%
S&P 500..3589 -23.6 -0.65%

FTSE…….6885 -74.1 -1.06%
Dax……..12220 -52.7 -0.43%
CAC……..5833 -7.4 -0.13%

Nikkei….26401 -714.9 -2.64%
HSI……..16833 -384.3 -2.23%
Shanghai..2980 +5.7 +0.19%
ST Times..310t -2.5 -0.08%

IDX…….6939.15 -55.25 -0.79%
LQ45…..988.42 -8.26 -0.83%

IDX Energy…1982.05 -15.49 -0.78%
IDX Bsc Mat.1239.87 -0.00 -0.02%
IDX Industrl..1265.60 -1.96 -0.15%
IDXNONCYC..697.89 -2.63 -0.38%
IDX Hlthcare.1462.37 -9.83 -0.67%
IDXCYCLIC…..856.62 +1.36 +0.16%
IDX Techno..6874.46 -161.14 -2.15%
IDX Transp…1811.66 -15.52 -0.85%
IDX Infrast…….957.43 -7.91 -0.82%
IDX Finance 1463.38 -8.95 -0.61%
IDX Banking.1131.64 -6.53 -0.57%
IDX Property…….684 -2.50 -0.36%

Indo10Yr….7.3936 +0.0220 +0.30%
ICBI……..333.6432 -0.4329 -0.13%
US10Yr……3.9390 +0.0510 +1.31%
VIX……….33.63 +1.18 +3.64%‼

USDIndx 113.2740 +0.1200 +0.11%‼
Como Indx..281.96 -1.10 -0.39%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..146.16 -0.80 -0.55%
.
IndoCDS 168.05 +5.02 +3.08%‼
(5-yr INOCD5) (10/10)

IDR……15357.00 +39.50 +0.26%‼
Jisdor..15362.00 +63.00 +0.41%‼

Euro……..0.9709 +0.0005 +0.05%‼

TLKM……..27.91 -0.82 -2.85%
(4288)
EIDO………23.01 -0.15 -0.65%
EEM………34..59 -0.56 -1.59%

Oil…………88.50 -2.33 -2.57%
Gold ……1673.20 -1.90 -0.11%
Timah…20085 +660 +3.40%
(Closed 10/10)
Nickel…22048.50 -391 -1.74%
(Closed 11/10)
Silver…….19.15 -0.46 -2.35%
Copper….342.20 -1.35 -0.39%

Nturl Gas…..6.600 +0.073 +1.12%

Ammonia..4256.67 -116.66 -2.67%
China
(Domestic Price)(10/10)

Coal price….391.15 +4.65 +1.20%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….388.50 +8.50 +2.24%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….387.00 +9.35 +2.48%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….265.85 +3.85 +1.45%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….262.35 +13.35 +5.36%‼
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….261.85 +11.90 +4.76%‼
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..94.90 -1.95 -2.01%
Indonesial Coal Index (10/10)

CPO(Des)……3692 -149 -3.88%

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….693.00 -5.25 -0.75%
SoybeanOil….65.47 -0.59 -0.89%
Wheat……..901.00 -37.00 -3.94%‼

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 11/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI Rebound tipis, ya ga mungkin juga losing streak terus terusan, IHSG juga technical rebound dulu lah hari ini kayanya. Europe masih merah, asia mostly merah kemarin. Kita pantau opening hangseng hari ini

Oil, gold, nickel, silver, copper turun. Timah metal yang naik sendiri. Gas nail, coal naik, cpo lanjut turun lagi. Apa mau lanjut lari lagi saham coal? Kepanjangan sih run dari sekarang sampe januari…

3 day losing streak, technical rebound dulu lah sebelum lanjut ke 6740…

IHSG – chart nya jelek banget, alligator juga udah ikut jadi sell signal… Semoga nanti mantulnya ga pake lama once udah touch level tutup gap

Masih energy, nyusul consumer cyclicals sama basic materials

Energy – kalo liat gerakan saham2 coal kaya yang mau lanjut, tapi overall sektornya makin firm keliatan mau koreksi wave c dulu. MACD udah ngebalik lagi, stochastic udah overbought dan sudah melandai, bd dist walau ff akum, psar masih up, LR cross down midline, DMI malah mau sell signal lagi. Jangan terlalu agresive lah, WNS dulu aja

October 11th, 2022

Good morning,

Nasdaq closes at 2-year low on Monday, hurt by slumping chip stocks

Stocks closed lower on Monday with the Nasdaq Composite index falling to the lowest level in two years as tech shares continue to be the hardest hit in this bear market because of spiking interest rates.

Dow…….29203 -93.9 -0.32%
Nasdaq.10542 -110.3 -1.04%
S&P 500..3612 -27.3 -0.75%

FTSE…….6959 -31.8 -0.45%
Dax……..12273 -0.06 -0.07%
CAC……..5841 -26.4 -0.45%

Nikkei….27116 closed +0%
HSI……..17217 -523.4 -2.95%
Shanghai..2974 -50.2 -1.66%
ST Times..3107 -38.3 -1.22%

IDX…….6994.40 -32.39 -0.46%
LQ45…..996.69 -2.29 -0.27%

IDX Energy…1997.53 -38.94 -1.91%
IDX Bsc Mat.1239.87 -14.79 -1.18%
IDX Industrl..1267.56 -15.75 -1.23%
IDXNONCYC..700.52 +2.50 +0.36%
IDX Hlthcare.1472.20 +15.72 +1.08%
IDXCYCLIC…..855.27 -51.46 -1.17%
IDX Techno..7025.60 -51.07 -0.72%
IDX Transp…1838.12 -21.02 -1.13%
IDX Infrast…….969.31 -12.63 -1.29%
IDX Finance 1472.33 -12.98 -0.87%
IDX Banking.1138.17 -8.51 -0.74%
IDX Property….687 -1.30 -0.19%

Indo10Yr….7.3716 +0.0214 +0.29%
ICBI……..334.0762 -0.2842 -0.08%
US10Yr……3.8880 +0.0050 +0.13%
VIX……….32.45 +1.09 +3.48%‼️

USDIndx 113.1540 +0.3590 +0.32%‼️
Como Indx..283.06 -2.56 -0.90%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..146.96 -0.44 -0.30%
.
IndoCDS 163.03 +5.04 +3.19%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (10/10)

IDR……15318.00 +57.00 +0.44%‼️
Jisdor..15299.00 +53.00 +0.34%‼️

Euro……..0.9704 -0.0040 -0.41%‼️

TLKM……..28.73 +0.44 +1.56%
(4395)
EIDO………23.16 +0.02 +0.09%
EEM………35..15 -0.50 -1.40%

Oil…………90.83 -1.81 -1.95%
Gold ……1675.10 -31.20 -1.82%‼️
Timah….19425 – –
(Closed 07/10)
Nickel…22439.50 +5.50 +0.02%
(Closed 10/10)
Silver…….19.61 -0.56 -2.78%
Copper….343.55 -5.55 -1.64%

Nturl Gas…..6.528 -0.311 -4.55%‼️

Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(07/10)

Coal price….386.50 +0.70 +0.18%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….380.00 -0.15 -0.04%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….377.65 -2.20 -0.58%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….262.00 +0.40 +0.15%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….249.00 -2.95 -1.17%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….249.95 -1.60 -0.64%
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..96.85 +3.00 +3.20%‼️
Indonesial Coal Index (7/10)

CPO(Des)……3841 closed +0%

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………698.25 +15.00 +2.20%
SoybeanOil….66.06 -0.54 -0.81%
Wheat……..938.00 +57.75 +6.56%‼️

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 10/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US masih merah, walau ga sedalem kemaren. Europemerah tipis, asia merah semua, semoga ga terlalu lama dan berhenti koreksi di area yang diperkirakan, jadi kita bisa belanja dengan tepat jadwalnya

Oil sama Gas yang kemaren naik tebel merah juga tadi malem, practically semua komoditi merah, kecuali coal yang rebound tipis. Masih suram… Grafik IDX energy emang harusnya koreksi wave C sih. Walau signal Stochastic MACD dll nya bagus

ICI emang naik, tapi da selama ini yang jadi acuan selalu Newcastle price… Padahal perusahaan sini kalo export acuannya ICI

IHSG – abis stoch buy signal terus malah melorot, jebakan teknikal lagi deh… MACD masih down, MFI SW, bd flat, NFS, firm lanjut wave 2, DMI juga says so… Siap2 belanja pas udah deket level gap closing 6740

Cek infobank, 4 bank penggerak bursa…

Infobank – Sama, Stoch ngebalik hampir sell, 833 udha sell, macd down, MFI flat, BD FF dist, masih wave 3 tapi belum breakout lagi, cross down midlineLR, DMI turun lagi, belum ada tanda2 mau dukung index naik. Firm wave 2 IHSG lanjut

RSI quadrant nya, Energy masih keliatan ok, tapi chart detailnya agak mencurigakan

Energy – Setelah wave 5 belum ada ABC correction, padahal stoch macd mfi nya ok, DMI nya yang ga ok. WNS deh, jangan terlalu aggressive. Kalo berhasil breakout bikin higher high baru BOB

Global Update:

October 07th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower as investors await September jobs report, Dow drops nearly 350 points

U.S. stocks fell Thursday, as traders weighed sharp swings in stocks and rates to start the month.

Dow…….29927 -346.9 -1.15%
Nasdaq.11073 -75.3 -0.68%
S&P 500..3745 -38.8 -1.02%

FTSE…….6997 -55.4 -0.78%
Dax……..12471 -46.4 -0.82%
CAC……..5936 -49.04 -0.82%

Nikkei….27311 +190.8 +0.70%
HSI……..18012 -75.8 -0.42%
Shanghai..3024 closed +0%
ST Times..3151 -1.7 -0.05%

IDX…….7076.62 +1.24 +0.02%
LQ45…1010.68 -0.95 -0.09%

IDX Energy…2006.87 -2.59 -0.13%
IDX Bsc Mat.1253.96 -5.19 -0.41%
IDX Industrl..1289.50 -6.57 -0.51%
IDXNONCYC..701.32 +1.72 +0.25%
IDX Hlthcare.1462.84 -3.97 -0.27%
IDXCYCLIC…..867.43 +4.44 +0.51%
IDX Techno..7128.14 +68.89 +0.98%
IDX Transp…1859.14 +8.86 +0.48%
IDX Infrast…….981.94 +1.59 +0.16%
IDX Finance 1496.24 +7.87 +0.53%
IDX Banking.1158.94 +2.87 +0.25%
IDX Property….693 +0.20 +0.03%

Indo10Yr….7.3351 +0.001 +0.01%
ICBI……..334.5917 -0.1611 -0.05%
US10Yr……3.8260 +0.0670 +1.78%
VIX……….30.52 +1.97 +6.90%‼️

USDIndx 112.2580 +1.0500 +0.94%‼️
Como Indx..282.26 +0.37 +0.13%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..150.79 +0.09 +0.06%
.
IndoCDS 150.64 +1.33 +0.89%
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/9)

IDR……15187.50 -5.50 -0.03%
Jisdor..15197.00 +1.00 +0.01%

Euro……..0.9797 -0.0087 -0.88%‼️

TLKM……..28.75 -0.32 -1.10%
(4369
EIDO………23.57 -0.10 -0.42%
EEM………36.41 -0.22 -0.60%

Oil…………89.03 +1.27 +1.45%
Gold ……1719.90 -0.90 -0.05%
Timah….20290 +83.00 +0.41%
(Closed 05/10)
Nickel…22675.50 +45.00 +0.20%
(Closed 06/10)
Silver…….20.65 +0.11 +0.54%
Copper….343.65 -6.40 -1.88%

Nturl Gas…..6.838 -0.087 -1.26%

Ammonia..4373.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/9)

Coal price….400.00 +3.75 +0.95%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….405.95 +0.20 +0.05%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….404.95 +0.45 +0.11%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….267.85 -26.50 -9.00%‼️
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….262.05 -28.70 -9.87%‼️
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….261.00 -27.25 -9.45%‼️
(Des/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3701 +61 +1.68%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………675.50 -8.50 -1.24%
SoybeanOil….66.02 +0.48 +0.73%
Wheat……..879.00 -23.00 -2.55%

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 06/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren semua lanjut merah kecuali IHSG sama Nikkei. Masih jadwal wave 2 ini sepertinya, big banks masih belum diangkat juga.

Oil lanjut naik, gold tilver timah nikel naik, copper gas turun, coal naik dikit pas ke 400 usd/mt, CPO juga lanjut ijo, menarik dicermati AALI LSIP ANTM INCO TINS

Yang garis kuning Infobank15, hampir setiap kali sejalan sama index…

IHGS – stoch buy, macd belum, MFI up, bandar flat, last day FNS, PSAR masih down, LR bisa kemana aja, 2 kali candle inverted hammer, candle reversal, IMHO ini masih belum firm mau jalan wave 3. Kita compare sama Infobank15

Infobank – stoch buy, macd down, mfi down, FNS, bandar flat, masih false breakout wave 3 dan IHNS, masih di area neckline, DMI ga jadi buy,masih belum firm jalan, selama bigbanks masih sideways, index juga sideways, WNS

Belum ada yang firm, masih bolak balik antara energy, consumer non-cyclicals, consumer cyclicals, WNS kecuali yang emang buy signal emitennya kita cermati dan kalopun bagus jangan masuk full dulu

Banyak buy signal, kita fokus yang di oversold area, ANTM WSKT

ANTM – Stoch buy, macd rev up, MFI down, bandar flat FNS 2 hari, retracement pattern sesuai, dari 38 koreksi ke 23, siap2 mantul, DMI belum buy signal, ada gap di bawah di 1800 an, ada gap 2 di atas di 2030 dan 2740. Spec buy half

WSKT – stoch buy, macd rev up, mfi down, bandar masih dist, FF dist tipis, sudah bikin higher low walau deket banget sama lowest nya setelah terjun, LR bilang up, DMI mulai contraction, mendekati akhir tahun biasanya window dressing, tapi kita tunggu firm index wave 3 deh, soalnya BUMN karya fundamentally belum recover

Yang deket2 consumer dan energy… INDF, SCMA… KBLI masuk kriteria saham invest coba kita liat juga

INDF – menarik banget, memang stoch dan macd nya bolak balik terus jadi balum bisa dianggap valid kecuali ada vol breakout yang signifikan, tapi udah ada reg bull div yang cocok banget sama closing gap retracement pattern nya. Tapi belum sekarang entry nya kecuali mau bottom fishing. WNS tunggu breakout

SCMA – stoch buy macd buy, breakout resistance with volume, 3 white soldiers, reg bull div MACD histogram, DMI buy, cross up midline LR, perfect sih, bahwa pull back biasa… Semoga lanjut kenceng test fibo 23. Yang punya Hold, yang belum punya bisa BOW

KBLI – banyak indic bilang bagus, tapi memang signal bolakbalik terus karena sideways, FF cuek bandar cuek, belum lah, tunggu ada breakout aja. WNS

Global update:

October 06th, 2022

Good morning,

U.S. stocks fell on Wednesday as Wall Street failed to hold on to the sharp gains from the last two sessions.

Dow…….30274 -42.4 -0.14%
Nasdaq.11149 -27.8 -0.25%
S&P 500..3783 -7.7 -0.20%

FTSE…….7053 -33.8 -0.48%
Dax……..12517 -153.3 -1.21%
CAC……..5985 -54.2 -0.90%

Nikkei….27121 +128.3 +0.48%
HSI……..18088 +1008.5 +5.90%
Shanghai..3024 closed +0%
ST Times..3153 +14.3 +0.46%

IDX…….7075.38 +3.13 +0.04%
LQ45…1011.63 -3.01 -0.30%

IDX Energy…2009.46 +14.83 +0.74%
IDX Bsc Mat.1259.15 +5.42 +0.43%
IDX Industrl..1296.07 -2.27 -0.15%
IDXNONCYC..700.03 +0.41 +0.06%
IDX Hlthcare.1466.81 +10.03 +0.69%
IDXCYCLIC…..862.99 +12.51 +1.47%
IDX Techno..7059.25 +127.05 +1.83%
IDX Transp…1850.28 +50.29 +2.79%
IDX Infrast…….980.34 -1.88 -0.19%
IDX Finance 1488.36 +1.02 +0.07%
IDX Banking.1156.08 -3.70 -0.32%
IDX Property….692 +1.70 +0.24%

Indo10Yr….7.3341 -0.0440 -0.60%
ICBI……..334.7527 +0.9199 +0.28%
US10Yr……3.7590 +0.1420 +3.93%
VIX……….28.55 -0.52 -1.79%

USDIndx 111.2080 +1.0090 +0.92%
Como Indx..281.89 +1.46 +0.52%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..150.69 +1.04 +0.70%
.
IndoCDS 149.31 +6.93 +4.87%
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/9)

IDR……15192.50 -55.50 -0.36%‼
Jisdor..15196.00 -80.00 -0.52%‼

Euro……..0.9884 -0.0100 -1.00%‼

TLKM……..29.07 -0.29 -0.99%
(4417)
EIDO………23.67 -0.38 -1.58%
EEM………36.63 +0.02 +0.05%

Oil…………87.76 +1.24 +1.43%
Gold ……1720.80 -9.60 -0.55%
Timah….20207 +148.00 +0.74%
(Closed 04/10)
Nickel…22630.00 +659.00 +2.99%
(Closed 05/10)
Silver…….20.54 -0.56 -2.63%
Copper….350.05 +1.05 +0.30%

Nturl Gas…..6.925 +0.100 +1.47%

Ammonia..4373.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/9)

Coal price….396.25 -7.75 -1.92%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….405.75 -4.25 -1.04%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….404.50 -3.50 -0.86%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….294.35 -6.65 -2.21%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….290.75 -8.80 -2.94%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….288.25 -9.70 -3.25%
(Des/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3640 +25 +0.69%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………684.00 +1.00 +0.15%
SoybeanOil….65.54 +0.52″ +0.80%
Wheat……..902.00 -1.00 -0.11%

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 05/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe merah… Asia masih kebawa US ijo tebel kemaren

Oil Nickel CPO lanjut naik, gold coal silver turun. Waspada koreksi coal… price newcastle dibawah 400

Masih predict market turun dulu tutup gap, karena sektor masih pada lesu, banking juga belum firm jalan

Yang bagus cuma energy, transportation jarang big caps, rada resiko…

Infobank15 – Stoch udah buy, MACD masih down, volume kecil banget, tanda2 pada wait and see, bandar flat setelah exit, foreign inside tapi lagi diem juga, MFI SW, memang masih jadwal wave 3 tapi false break di IHNS pattern, DMI belum jadi buy signal, masih belum firm mau nganter index ke atas. So, masih jangan aggressive belanja dulu