December 08th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 notches fifth day of losses as traders consider recession odds, yields fall

The S&P 500 fell for a fifth day as traders weighed the possibility of a recession, and the likelihood of a longer-than-expected hiking cycle from the Federal Reserve.

Dow…….33598 +1.6 +0.00%
Nasdaq.10959 -56.3. -0.51%
S&P 500..3934 -7.3 -0.19%

FTSE…….7489 -32.2 -0.43%
Dax……..14261 -82.0. -0.57%
CAC……..6661 -27.2 -0.41%

Nikkei….27686 -199.5 -0.72%
*HSI……..18815 -626.4 -3.22%*
Shanghai..3200 -12.9 -0.40%
ST Times..3205 -26.9 -0.83%

IDX…….6818.75 -73.82 -1.07%
LQ45……945.58 -16.26 -1.69%

IDX Energy..2186.27 +11.97 +0.55%
IDX BscMat 1234.67 -11.91 -0.96%
IDX Indstrl…1197.49 -1.19. -0.10%
IDXNONCYC..731.71 -3.49 -0.47%
*IDX Hlthcare.1540.24 +41.76 +2.79%*
IDXCYCLIC…..862.56 -3.88 -0.45%
IDX Techno….5333.01 -85.91 -1.99%
IDX Transp…1727.21 -30.32 -1.73%
IDX Infrast……853.35 -9.35 -1.08%
IDX Finance 1441.39 -20.90 -1.43%
*IDX Banking 1164.93 -29.14 -2.44%*
IDX Property….703 -12 -1.68%

Indo10Yr….7.0644 +0.0331 +0.47%
ICBI……..342.6661 -0.4961 -0.14%
*US10Yr..3.4080 -0.1050 -2.99%*
*VIX……22.68 +0.51 +2.30%*

*USDIndx..105.2000 -0.3550 -0.34%*
Como Indx..265.89 -1.56 -0.58%
(Core Commodity CRB)
*BCOMIN…..172.13 +3.67 +2.18%*
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15636.50 +19.00 +0.12%‼️*
*Jisdor..15619.00 +43.00 +0.28%‼️*

*Euro……..1.0509 +0.0043 +0.41%*

TLKM……..23.44 +0.07 +0.30%
*(3661)*
EIDO……….22.67 -0.20 -0.87%
EEM………..38.81 -0.23 -0.59%

*Oil………….72.01 -2.24 -3.02%‼️*
*Gold ……1798.00 +15.60 +0.88%*
*Timah…..24814 +368. +1.81%*
*(Closed 06/12)*
*Nickel…30816.00 +1799.00 +6.20%‼️*
*(Closed 06/12)*
*Silver………22.92 +0.59 +2.63%*
Copper….386.05 +4.25 +1.11%

*Nturl Gas…..5.816 +0.444 +8.27%‼️*

*Ammonia..4890.00 +16.67 +0.34%*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(06/12)

Coal price….405.00 -3.80 -0.93%
(Dec/Newcastle)
*Coal price…..390.40 -11.95 -2.97%*
(Jan/Newcastle)
*Coal price…..381.10 -11.15 -2.84%*
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….263.30 -3.35 -1.26%
(Des/Rotterdam)
Coal price….261.75 -5.25 -1.97%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….262.00 -4.7 -1.76%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

*CPO(Feb)…..3969 -117 -2.86%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….642.25 +5.00 +0.78%
SoybeanOil…60.29 -0.71 -1.16%
*Wheat……..749.50 +20.50 +2.81%*

Wood pulp…6550.00 -10 -0,15%
(Closed 07/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

DJI berhenti minus, semoga IHSG rebound. Kemaren semua minus, Hangseng paling parah

Metal2 naik semua, nikel paling tinggi. Oil lanjut turun, coal turun, gas rebound tinggi, CPO minus lagi. Gantian terus commodity energy, selalu ada yang naik pas ada yang turun

IHSG – Memang terakhir drop gap nya belum firm ketutup. tapi karena langsung mantul diperkirakan udah dianggap done, sekarang jadi harus berpikir untuk amannya start belanja once gap itu ketutup. Kalo dibikin tail panjang kebawah terus closing di atas cakep ini…

Kalo liat stochastic dan MACD nya, dan foreign net sell yang tambah besar tiap hari, sepertinya ga bisa instant ngebalik terus rally window dressing. Minggu depan mungkin baru ngebalik bisa pada akum dan net buy

Masih belum berubah, masih Energy Healthcare Property sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals. Kita perlu sektor Financials jalan kalo mau santa claus rally

Stoch Buy Signal: ARTO EMTK JSMR

ARTO – stoch buy, MACD masih down, MFI down, FF dist, BD dist, masih belum mantul sih… Elliot wave reverse nya seems done, memang masih mungkin berhentinya di 2000-an, tapi ga lah, harga udah mulai konsolidasi di level ini, harusnya tinggal nunggu mantul. Tapi bagusnya stay away dari saham model gini, walau LQ45 tapi gorengan banget

EMTK – mirip ARTO, stoch buy macd masih down, BD FF dist walau sempet akum sehari 2 hari lalu, itungan ABC correction udah cukup, LR di lower channel. Tapi belum saatnya entry

JSMR – belum sih, stoch nya karena mentok bawah aja makanya bolak balik signalnya, memang ga efektif lagi once mentok. MACD masih down, bd ff masih massive dist, stay away

MACD ga ada buy signal

December 07th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes lower for a fourth straight day as recession worries jolt markets

Stocks tumbled Tuesday, building on the previous session’s losses, as fears of a recession gripped Wall Street.

Dow…….33596 -350.8 -1.03%
Nasdaq.11015 -225.1 -2.00%
S&P 500..3941 -57.6 -1.44%

FTSE…….7521 -46.2 -0.61%
Dax……..14343 -104.4 -0.72%
CAC……..6688 -9.2 -0.14%

Nikkei….27886 +65.5 +0.24%
HSI……..19441 -77.1 -0.40%
Shanghai..3212 +0.7 +0.02%
ST Times..3252 -15.2 -0.46%

IDX…….6892.57 -94.76 -1.36%
LQ45……961.84 -17.31 -1.77%

IDX Energy..2174.30 +11.58 +0.54%
*IDX BscMat 1246.59 -33.37 -2.61%*
IDX Indstrl…1198.68 -17.10 -1.41%
IDXNONCYC..735.20 -4.32 -0.58%
IDX Hlthcare.1498.48 -22.16 -1.46%
IDXCYCLIC…..866.45 -13.53 -1.54%
IDX Techno….5418.91 -84.73 -1.54%
IDX Transp…1757.54 -15.36 -0.87%
*IDX Infrast……862.90 -25.16 -2.83%*
IDX Finance 1462.29 -11.18 -0.76%,
IDX Banking 1194.07 -9.09 -0.76%
IDX Property….715 – -%

Indo10Yr….7.0313 +0.0340 +0.05%
ICBI……..343.1622 -0.4317 -0.13%
*US10Yr..3.5130 -0.0860 -2.39%*
*VIX……22.17 +1.42 +6.84%‼️*

*USDIndx..105.5550 +0.2820 +0.27%*
Como Indx..267.45 -2.90 -1.07%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..168.46 +1.29 +0.77%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15617.50 +155.00 +1.00%‼️*
*Jisdor..15576.00 +167.00 +1.08%‼️*

*Euro……..1.0466 -0.0026 -0.25%*

*TLKM……..23.37 -1.30 -5.27%‼️*
*(3640)*
*EIDO………22.87 -0.58 -2.47%*
EEM……….39.04 -0.05 -0.13%

*Oil………….74.25 -5.73 -7.16%‼️*
*Gold ……1782.40 -27.20 -1.50%*
*Timah…..24446 +1191 +5.12%‼️*
*(Closed 05/12)*
*Nickel…29017.00 +555.50 +2.23%‼️*
*(Closed 06/12)*
*Silver………22.34 -0.91 -3.41%*
Copper….381.80 -3.20 -0.83%

*Nturl Gas…..5.372 -0.248 -4.41%‼️*

*Ammonia..4873.33 +133.33 +2.81%‼️*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(05/12)

*Coal price….408.30 +8.30 +2.07%*
(Dec/Newcastle)
*Coal price….401.95 +9.70 +2.47%*
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….384.75 +7.50 +1.95%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….266.65 +4.40 +1.68%
(Des/Rotterdam)
Coal price….267.00 +4.30 +1.64%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….266.70 +3.8 +1.45%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

*CPO(Feb)…..4086 +128 +3.23%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….637.25 -3.25 -0.51%
*SoybeanOil…61.00 -1.27 -2.04%*
Wheat……….729.00 -10.00 -1.35%

Wood pulp…6560.00 -10 -0,15%
(Closed 06/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Merah lagi semua, kecuali jepang sama china. IHSG drop dalem banget, semoga rebound hari ini, kalo tambah kebawah dan rubah trend repot juga

Oil Gas lanjut turun, Coal lanjut naik, udah steady diatas 400 USD/MT. Semoga hari ini dip dulu sebelum rally lagi, hehehe… Timah sama Nikel naik tinggi, Gold silver copper turun. CPO naik

IHSG – Technically jelek banget, break support darvas box, stoch sell, macd sell, BD dist, FF net sell terus, harapan tinggal mantul di major trend support line. Stop belanja dulu kecuali di saham2 yang bener2 ganjel index, tinggal coal kayanya ini…

Masih Energy Healthcare Property Consumer Non-Cyclicals, tapi index lagi dibanting, keseret semua

Stoch Buy Signal: TBIG

MACD sell semua

TBIG – menarik di 30 Nov ada vol spike, tapi ikut dihajar market ga lanjut ke atas, foreign udah 3 minggu distribusi, belum saatnya buy, tunggu dulu aja

December 06th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow sheds nearly 500 points, stocks finish lower on worries of further Fed rate hikes

Stocks fell Monday on fears that the Federal Reserve may continue tightening until it tips the economy into a recession.

Dow…….33947 -482.8 -1.40%
Nasdaq.11240 -221.6 -1.93%
S&P 500..3999 -72.9 -1.79%

FTSE…….7568 +11.3 +0.15%
Dax……..14448 -81.8 -0.56%
CAC……..6697 -45.3 -0.67%

Nikkei….27820 +42.5 +0.15%
*HSI……..19518 +842.9 +4.51%‼️*
Shanghai..3212 +55.7 +1.76%
ST Times..3268 +8.4 +0.26%

IDX…….6987.33 -32.31 -0.46%
LQ45……979.15 -10.44 -1.05%

IDX Energy..2162.72 +27.81 +1.30%
IDX BscMat 1279.95 -9.62 -0.75%
IDX Indstrl…1215.78 -22.45 -1.81%
IDXNONCYC..739.53 -2.14 -0.29%
IDX Hlthcare.1520.65 -10.16 -0.66%
IDXCYCLIC…..879.97 -13.51 -1.51%
*IDX Techno….5503.65 -233.44 -4.07%*
IDX Transp…1772.89 -20.73 -1.16%
IDX Infrast……888.06 -6.64 -0.74%
IDX Finance 1473.47 -6.91 -0.47%,
IDX Banking 1203.16 -0.85 -0.07%
IDX Property….715 -4.60 -0.65%

*Indo10Yr….7.0279 +0.0219 +0.31%*
*ICBI……..343.1925 -0.5985 -0.17%*
*US10Yr..3.5990 +0.0930 +2.65%*
*VIX……20.75 +1.69 +8.87%‼️*

*USDIndx..105.2730 +0.7280 +0.70%*
*Como Indx..270.35 -6.34 -2.29%‼️*
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..167.17 -1.00 -0.59%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15462.50 +37.00 +0.24%*
*Jisdor..15409.00 -20.00 -0.13%👍*

*Euro……..1.0492 -0.0046 -0.44%*

*TLKM……..24.67 -0.95 -3.71%‼️*
*(3801)*
*EIDO………23.45 -0.53 -2.21%*
EEM……….39.09 -0.45 -1.14%

Oil………….79.98 -1.24 -1.53%
Gold ……1809.60 -5.60 -0.31%
Timah…..22921 – -%
*(Closed 02/12)*
Nickel…28461.50 -400.50 -1.39%
*(Closed 05/12)*
Silver………23.25 +0.41 +1.79%
Copper….385.05 +3.30 +0.86%

*Nturl Gas…..5.620 -0.602 -9.68%‼️*

*Ammonia..4740.00 +1.07%‼️*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(01/12)

*Coal price….400.00 +9.00 +2.30%*
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….388.00 +3.00 +0.78%
(Jan/Newcastle)
*Coal price….384.75 +8.9.0 +2.37%*
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….262.25 -4.75 -1.78%
(Des/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….262.00 -9.30 -3.43%*
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….262.90 -5.8 -2.16%*
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)……3958 +8 +0.15%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….640.50 -5.75 -0.89%
*SoybeanOil…62.46 -1.98 -3.07%‼️*
*Wheat………740.00 -21.00 -2.76%*

Wood pulp…6570.00 -10 -0,15%
(Closed 05/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US drop, europe merah,asia kemaren ijo kecuali IDX, Hangseng gede banget naiknya, keliatannya mau merah dulu asia hari ini, kita mungkin kalopun ijo ya tipis

Oil Gas continue to drop, Coal naik lagi sudah sampe 400 USD /MT lagi, sepertinya bisa BOW lagi di coal kalo hari ini ada dip. Kalo langsung naik tunggu next buy signal. Gold Nikel turun Silver Copper naik, semoga ikin MDKA dibawa turun tutup gap, kita buy disana

IHSG – stoch down, MACD sideways-down, FNS udah 3 hari, bandar lokal diem, MFI naik, masih sideways di darvas box sekitar fibo 38-61, kirain mau ascending triangle, semoga ga lama breakout ke atas

Kalo dari sini energy property healthcare sama consumer non-cyclicals masih ok

Stoch Buy Signal: BFIN WIIM, skip… riba dan rokok

MACD ga ada yang buy signal. kita wait and see aja, bagian dari trading adalah stay away dari market kalo ga ada yang layak dibeli

December 05th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq end Friday lower after November jobs report; indexes notch weekly gains

Stocks cut much of their earlier losses Friday as investors looked past hotter-than-expected labor data to the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting.

Dow…….34430   +34.9      +0.10%
Nasdaq.11462   -20.95     -0.18%
S&P 500..4072   -4.9         -0.12%

FTSE…….7556   -2.3         -0.03%
Dax……..14529  +39.1      +0.27%
CAC……..6742   -11.7        -0.17%

Nikkei….27778    -448.2     -1.59%
HSI……..18675    -61.1        -0.33%
Shanghai..3156  -9.3          -0.29%
ST Times..3259  -33.6       -1.02%

IDX…….7019.64   -1.16.    -0.02%
LQ45……989.59   -6.37     -0.64%

IDX Energy..2134.91   +31.84 +1.54%
IDX BscMat 1289.58   -2.01    -0.16%
IDX Indstrl…1238.23   -22.24  -1.76%
IDXNONCYC..741.67  +0.63   +0.09%
IDX Hlthcare.1530.80 +0.48   +0.03%
IDXCYCLIC…..893.48  +1.01   +0.11%
IDX Techno….5737.08 -72.30  -1.24%
IDX Transp…1793.62   -3.23    -0.18%
IDX Infrast……894.70  +1.45   +0.16%
IDX Finance 1480.37   -6.78    -0.46%,
IDX Banking 1204.01   -6.04    -0.50%
IDX Property….719       -0.30    -0.04%

Indo10Yr….7.0064  -0.0329  -0.47%👍
ICBI……..344.0600 +0.6140 +0.18%👍
US10Yr..3.5060   -0.0230   -0.65%👍
VIX……19.06       -0.78        -3.93%👍

USDIndx..104.5450  -0.1710  -0.16%👍
Como Indx..276.69  -2.77      -0.99%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..168.17  +3.30     +2.00%
.
IndoCDS..105.25         –              -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15425.50  -137.00   -0.88%👍
Jisdor..15429.00  -188.00   -1.20%👍

Euro……..1.0538  +0.0013  +0.12%

TLKM……..25.62  +0.24     +0.95%👍
(3953)
EIDO………23.98   unch      +0%
EEM……….39.54  +0.15     +0.38%

Oil………….79.98    -1.24      -1.53%
Gold ……1809.60  -5.60      -0.31%
Timah…..22921    -76.00    -0.33%
(Closed 02/12)
Nickel…27454.00 +624.50   +2.27%
(Closed 02/12)
Silver………23.25    +0.41      +1.79%
Copper….385.05    +3.30      +0.86%

Nturl Gas…..6.222   -0.612     -8.96%‼

Ammonia..4740.00  +50.00  +1.07%‼
China
(Domestic Price)(30/11)

Coal price….391.00   +6.00   +1.56%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….385.00  +9.00   +2.39%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….375.85  +9.10   +2.48%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….267.00   +1.00    +0.38%
(Des/Rotterdam)
Coal price….271.30   +2.30    +0.86%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….268.70   +2.00    +0.75%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80         –              -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)……3958   -123    -3.01%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….646.25  -14.25   -2.16%
SoybeanOil…64.44    -1.34      -2.04%
Wheat………761.00   -22.00    -2.81%

Wood pulp…6580.00  unch   +0%
(Closed 04/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index regional jum’at closing tipis2 di US dan Europe, asia minus… masih sideways

Oil Gas turun lagi, Coal lanjut naik, metal2 ga kompak, gold lead turun, nickel silver copper naik. Primadonanya saham saham batubara, ANTM sama INCO kalo gini

CPO drop lagi, masih suram ini…

IHSG – masih sideways aja, tapi lagi net sell foreign nya, hati hati… Kita pantau lagi infobank15

Infobank15 – bearish divergence confirmed by 2 bear candle, hadeuh… LR masih ok,, stoch sell, macd rev down, MFI masih UP, urusannya sama FNS ini makanya ga jalan, sabar sabar, window dressing is coming… Jangan aggressive dulu

Banyak yang cacing RSI nya leading, tapi financials belum… Energy Property Healthcare Consumer Non-Cyclicals