November 29th, 2022

Good morning,

The Dow fell sharply Monday, as investor sentiment was hurt by Federal Reserve officials reiterating a stance for rates to remain higher for longer at a time when the impact of civil unrest in China stoked fears about slowing global growth.

Dow…….33850 -497.6 -1.45%
Nasdaq.11050 -176.9 -1.58%
S&P 500..3964 -62.2 -1.54%

FTSE…….7474 -12.7 -0.17%
Dax……..14383 -158.02 -1.09%
CAC……..6665 -47.3 -0.70%

Nikkei….28163 -120.2 -0.43%
HSI……..17298 -275.6 -1.57%
Shanghai..3079 -23.1 -0.75%
ST Times..3240 -4.5 -0.14%

IDX…….7017.36 -35.79 -0.51%
LQ45……996.76 -4.98 -0.50%

IDX Energy..2037.57 -7.74 -0.38%
IDX Bsc Mat.1273.35 -12.28 -0.95%
IDX Industrl..1234.62 +0.14 +0.13%
IDXNONCYC..733.34 +0.12 +0.60%
IDX Hlthcare.1482.32 -3.70 +0.88%
IDXCYCLIC…..890.41 -0.09 -0.01%
IDX Techno.6179.14 -245.76 -3.83%‼️
IDX Transp…1780.24 -18.10 -1.01%
IDX Infrast……895.71 -11.73 -1.29%
IDX Finance 1485.42 -9.33 -0.62%,
IDX Banking 1192.49 -1.73 -0.15%
IDX Property….709 – -%

Indo10Yr….7.1723 -0.0112 -0.16%👍
ICBI……..340.7880 +0.1712 +0.05%👍
US10Yr..3.7030 +0.0120 +0.33%
VIX……22.21 +1.71 +8.34%‼️

USDIndx..106.6570 +0.6980 +0.66%‼️
Como Indx..272.92 -0.33 -0.12%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……155.64 +0.23 +0.15%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15722.00 +49.50 +0.32%‼️
Jisdor..15729.00 +61.00 +0.39%‼️

Euro……..1.0343 -0.0052 -0.50%

TLKM……..25.04 -0.51 -.2.00%
(3938)
EIDO………23.28 +0.15 +0.65%
EEM……….37.60 -0.17 -0.45%

Oil………….77.24 +0.96 +1.26%
Gold ……1753.60 -13.50 -0.76%
Timah…..22231 – -%
(Closed 25/11)
Nickel…25594.00 +115.00 +0.45%
(Closed 28/11)
Silver………21.13 -0.48 -2.24%
Copper…..361.55 -1.50 -0.41%

Nturl Gas…..7.329 +0.527 +7.74%‼️

Ammonia..4590.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(24/11)

Coal price….379.00 +18.20 +5.04%‼️
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….368.50 +14.45 +4.08%‼️
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….361.65 +14.60 +4.21%‼️
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….249.00 +7.55 +3.13%‼️
(Des/Rotterdam)
Coal price….249.90 +9.40 +3.91%‼️
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….248.40 +8.55 +3.56%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)……4134 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….671.25 +0.00 +0.00%
SoybeanOil…73.12 +1.41 +1.97%
Wheat………780.75 -16.25 -2.04%

Wood pulp…6590.00 unch +0%
(Closed 28/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia

Semua merah kemaren, semoga rebound hari ini… Tapi kemungkinan masih lebih besar tetep merah tudei

Komoditi energy mantul, Oil rebound (tapi belum rekomen buy saham2 minyak just yet), Natural Gas loncat lagi, Coal lanjut naik tinggi, saham2 coal yang pasti recommended. CPO masih galau, metal metal juga masih kacaw

IHSG – stoch balik sell, macd juga, masih dalam rangka sideways sih, semoga bukan lanjut ke bawah. Harusnya tetep santa claus rally desember ini… Senin udah FNB lagi, tapi bandar lokal dist, MFI flat, masih wave 3 tapi sidewaysnya rada lama ini… semoga ada sentimen positif terus breakout triangle ke atas. Sementara masih selective buying, terutama di energy, specifically coal stocks…

Financials nya loyo, makanya indexnya juga lemes… Energy Property leading, keliatan gerak juga property sama industrials, consumer non-cyclicals sama healthcare, tapi jangan terlalu aggressive di yang selain 2 leading sectors

November 08th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks rise ahead of U.S. midterm elections, Dow closes more than 400 points higher

Stocks rallied Monday as investors looked ahead to a packed week with congressional midterm elections and key inflation data on deck over the next few days, and shrugged off a supply warning from Apple.

Dow…….32827 +423.8 +1.26%
Nasdaq.10565 +89.3 +0.85%
S&P 500..3811 +31.3 +0.83%

FTSE…….7300 -34.9 -0.48%
Dax……..13534 +73.7 +0.55%
CAC……..6417 +0.2 +0.00%

Nikkei….27528 +327.9 +1.21%
HSI……..16596 +434.8 +2.69%
Shanghai..3078 +7.02 +0.23%
ST Times..3133 +2.5 +0.08%

IDX…….7102.40 +56.87 +0.81%
LQ45…..1015.28 +9.30 +0.92%

IDX Energy..2046.79 +18.64 +0.92%
IDX Bsc Mat.1317.39 +16.10 +1.24%
IDX Industrl..1246.05 +1.69 +0.14%
IDXNONCYC..735.25 +6.29 +0.86%
IDX Hlthcare.1489.93 +2.89 +0.19%
IDXCYCLIC…..883.40 +1.42 +0.16%
IDX Techno..6569.08 -76.97 -1.16%
IDX Transp…1867.43 +13.72 +0.74%
IDX Infrast……932.33 +11.27 +1.22%
IDX Finance 1488.31 +13.49 +0.91%
IDX Banking.1195.89 +13.21 +1.12%
IDX Property….690 -2.80 -0.41 %

Indo10Yr….7.5415 +0.0258 +0.34%
ICBI……..332.2555 -0.4389 -0.13%
US10Yr……4.2140 +0.0580 +1.40%
VIX……….24.35 -0.20 -0.81%

USDIndx 110.2170 -0.6600 -0.60%👍
Como Indx..286.92 -0.63 -0.22%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……151.43 -1.97 -1.28%
.
IndoCDS..124.70 -9.11l -6.81%‼👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/11)

IDR……15707.50 -30.00 -0.19%‼
Jisdor..15692.00 -44 -0.28%‼

Euro……..1.0019 +0.00620 +0.62%👍

TLKM……..26.98 +0.15 +0.56%
(4233)
EIDO………23.72 +0.02 +0.08%
EEM……….36.22 +0.02 +0.06%

Oil…………91.79 -0.82 -0.89%
Gold ……1680.50 +3.90 +0.23%
Timah…..18872 – -%
(Closed 04/11)
Nickel…23401.50 +619.50 +2.72%‼
(Closed 07/11)
Silver………20.92 +0.14 +0.65%
Copper….360.35 -8.30 -2.25%

Nturl Gas…..6.699 +0.240 +3.72%‼

Ammonia..4150.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/11)

Coal price….344.90 -4.60 -1.32%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….334.55 -14.45 -4.14%‼
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….331.10 -14.65 -4.24%‼
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….200.90 -15.10 -6.99%‼
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….194.50 -21.50 -9.95%‼
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….195.55 -19.55 -9.07%‼
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..91.80 -2.70 -2.86%
Indonesial Coal Index (04/11)

CPO(Jan)……4440 +75 +1.72%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….675.75 -5.25 -0.77%
SoybeanOil…76.33 -0.84 -1.09%
Wheat………845.75 -2.00 -0.24%

Wood pulp…6710.00 unch +0%
(Closed 07/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Hampir semua ijo kemarin, cuma inggris yang merah.

Gold Silver Nickel lanjut naik, copper turun. Oil coal turun, gas naik, energy masih galaw. CPO naik lagi. Harusnya MDKA ANTM INCO masih lanjut, oil oil beware, coal coal juga

IHSG – surprisingly naik tinggi kemaren, stochastic 1066 nya masih bilang koreksi atau sideways dulu, indicator lain sih ok semua, cuma infobank15 belum ngebalik bullish keliatannya. Kita recheck ya… Ya semoga long bullish, jalan wave 3, santa claus rally sampe tahun baru

Infobank15 – 833 buy, mungkin continuation mulai jalan… yang pasti, emang lagi wave 3, dan mau breakout IHNS, cross up midline LR, semoga lanjut sampe tutup gap. MACD melandai sampe flat, semoga ga jadi ngebalik kebawah. Bandar acc, FF tipis tipis, MFI up, besar kemungkinan udahan ini koreksinya

Basic Materials, Consumer Cyclicals, Transportation, Property, Infrastructure, Technology… Siap rally lagi IHSG kalo gini mah

November 03rd, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes 500 points lower, Nasdaq sheds 3% as Fed Chair Powell signals intent to continue hiking rates

Stocks tumbled Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said inflation was still too high and indicated that the central bank has more rate hiking ahead.

Dow…….32148 -505.4 -1.55%
*Nasdaq.10525 -366.1 -3.36%*
*S&P 500..3760 -96.4 -2.50%*

FTSE…….7144 -42.02 -0.58%
Dax……..13257 -82.0 -0.61%
CAC……..6277 -51.4 .-0.81%

Nikkei….27663 -15.5 -0.06%
*HSI……..15827 +371.9 +2.41%*
Shanghai..3003 +34.2 +1.15%
ST Times..3141 +10.6 +0.34%

IDX…….7015.69 -36.61 -0.52%
LQ45……999.10 -8.27 -0.82%

IDX Energy..2013.19 +5.08 +0.25%
IDX Bsc Mat.1282.84 +10.97 +0.86%
IDX Industrl..1241.37 -17.44 -1.39%
IDXNONCYC..729.37 -2.75 -0.38%
IDX Hlthcare.1492.59 -4.47 -0.30%
IDXCYCLIC…..884.64 +8.39 +0.96%
IDX Techno..6602.79 +119.63 +1.85%
IDX Transp…1815.90 -21.89 -1.19%
IDX Infrast……931.74 -3.90 -0.42%
IDX Finance 1475.89 -8.35 -0.56%
IDX Banking.1180.08 -14.48 -1.21%
IDX Property….692 -0.80 -0.12%

Indo10Yr….7.5546 -0.0316 -0.42%
ICBI……..331.8430 +0.6152 +0.19%
*US10Yr……4.0590 +0.0070 +0.17%*
*VIX……….25.86 +0.05 +0.19%👍*

*USDIndx 112.1010 +0.571 +0.51%*
Como Indx..280.66 +4.32 +1.56%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……147.96 +0.92 +0.63%
.
*IndoCDS..139.53 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(31/10)*

*IDR……15646.50 +19.00 +0.12%‼️*
*Jisdor..15652.00 +5 +0.03%‼️*

*Euro……..0.9824 -0.0052 -0.53%*

*TLKM……..26.54 -1.33 -4.77%‼️*
*(4154)*
EIDO………23.61 -0.45 -1.91%
EEM……….34.53 -0.29 -0.83%

*Oil…………89.35 +2.82 +3.26%‼️*
Gold ……1638.70 -10.00 -0.61%
*Timah…..17970 +339.00 +1.92%*
*(Closed 01/1+)*
*Nickel…24010.00 +566.00 +2.41%‼️*
*(Closed 02/11)*
Silver………19.23 -0.44 -2.24%
Copper….344.10 -3.15 -0.91%

*Nturl Gas…..6.197 +0.359 +6.15%‼️*

Ammonia..4113.33 unch +0%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(31/10)

Coal price….361.00 +2.00 +0.56%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….362.50 +1.50 +0.42%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….359.75 +1.70 +0.47%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….229.50 +4.40 +1.95%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….232.50 +5.10 +2.25%*
(Des/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….231.10 +4.95 +2.19%*
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..95.25 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (01/11)

*CPO(Jan)……4241 +194 +4.79%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….687.50 -10.25 -1.47%
*SoybeanOil…75.61 +2.24 +3.05%‼️*
*Wheat………846.00 -56.50 -6.26%‼️*

Wood pulp…6730.00 -20 -0.30%
(Closed 02/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US lanjut koreksi, europe ngikut, Hangseng masih rebound kenceng, asia yang merah cuma IHSG sama nikkei yang turun tipis

Timah Nikel naik tinggi, gold silver copper masih lanjut turun, Oil Gas rebound tinggi, Coal naik dikit. ANTM INCO TINS ELSA AKRA MEDC PGAS wajib dicermati

CPO naik tinggi lagi, AALI LSIP juga harus diliat

IHSG – kalau ditarik fibonacci retracement dari high 2 hari lalu, ret 38 nya sudah, ret 50 nya mungkin yang dikejar hari ini kalo masih merah ikut market US.

IHSG – stoch masih bilang koreksi, kita tungu 833 nya buy lagi… MACD masih up, MFI juga masih up, semoga hari ini atau besok mulai mantul

Terakhir2 RSI relative strength ga bisa dipake sorting awal, kita langsung ke technical indicators sorting aja, baru dikonfirmasi apakah sektornya juga lagi jalan untuk menentukan full lot apa nggak masuknya

Kalo ada buy signal dan cacing RSI nya sejalan baru full lot

Stoch Buy Signal: AKRA LPPF

MACD buy signal: GOTO HEAL

Oversold Stoch 1066: ADHI

AKRA – stoch 1066 buy lagi, MACD signal buy kemarinnya, 2 hari BD FF acc, tapi MFI turun, RSI nya flat. Bearish divergence belum confirmed, bisa cancelled kalo price naik lagi, LR bisa keatas bisa ke bawah

Bukan momentum buy sih AKRA udah agak telat

LPPF – yang ini nggak ok, koreksi ke fibo 23 dulu kayanya

HEAL – kemaren breakout neckline CNH sebelumnya, MACD buy, alligator buy, BD FF acc, berani spec buy, tapi sektornya ga ok jadi setengah aja ya

Global update:

October 10th, 2022

Good morning,

Stock futures are lower Sunday night as the markets come out of a tumultuous week that started with a relief rally but saw losses in the latter half.

Dow…….29297 -630.2 -2.11%
Nasdaq.10652 -420.9 -3.80%
S&P 500..3640 -104.9 -2.75%

FTSE…….6991 -6.2 -0.09%
Dax……..12273 -197.8 -1.59%
CAC……..5866 -69.5 -1.17%

Nikkei….27116 -195.2 -0.71%
HSI……..17740 -272.1 -1.51%
Shanghai..3146 closed +0%
ST Times..3151 -5.8 -0.18%

IDX…….7026.78 -49.84 -0.70%
LQ45…..999.39 -11.29 -1.12%

IDX Energy…2036.48 +29.61 +1.48%
IDX Bsc Mat.1254.66 +0.70 +0.06%
IDX Industrl..1283.30 -6.19 -0.48%
IDXNONCYC..698.03 -3.30 -0.47%
IDX Hlthcare.1456.48 -6.37 -0.44%
IDXCYCLIC…..865.38 -2.06 -0.24%
IDX Techno..7077.07 -51.07 -0.72%
IDX Transp…1838.12 -21.02 -1.13%
IDX Infrast…….969.31 -12.63 -1.29%
IDX Finance 1485.31 -10.93 -0.73%
IDX Banking.1146.68 -12.27 -1.06%
IDX Property….688 -4.70 -0.68%

Indo10Yr….7.3502 +0.0151 +0.21%
ICBI……..334.2306 -0.3611 -0.11%
US10Yr……3.8830 +0.0570 +1.49%
VIX……….31.36 +0.94 +2.75%‼️

USDIndx 112.7950 +0.5370 +0.48%‼️
Como Indx..285.62 +3.36 +1.19%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..147.40 -3.38 -2.24%
.
IndoCDS 157.99 +7.35 +4.88%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/10)

IDR……15251.00 +63.50 +0.42%‼️
Jisdor..15246.00 +49.00 +0.32%‼️

Euro……..0.9744 -0.0053 -0.54%‼️

TLKM……..28.29 -0.46 -1.60%
(4313)
EIDO………23.14 -0.43 -1.82%
EEM………35..65 -0.76 -2.09%

Oil…………92.64 +3.61 +4.05%
Gold ……1706.30 -13.60 -0.79%
Timah….19425 -736.00 -3.65%‼️
(Closed 07/10)
Nickel…22434.00 -241.50 -1.07%
(Closed 07/10)
Silver…….20.17 -0.48 -2.32%
Copper….338.00 -5.65 -1.64%

Nturl Gas…..6.838 -0.23 -3.36%

Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(07/10)

Coal price….385.80 -14.20 -3.55%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….380.15 -25.80 -6.36%‼️
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….379.85 -25.10 -6.20%‼️
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….261.60 -6.25 -2.33%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….251.95 -10.10 -3.85%‼️
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….251.55 -9.45 -3.62%‼️
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..96.85 +3.00 +3.20%‼️
Indonesial Coal Index (7/10)

CPO(Des)……3841 +140 +3.78%‼️

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………683.25 +7.75 +1.15%
SoybeanOil….66.60 +0.58 +0.88%
Wheat……..880.25 +1.25 +0.14%

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 09/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at closing merah semua, US merah dalem. Komoditas juga merah semua kecuali oil yang naik lumayan tinggi, dan coal yang naik tipis. IHSG lanjut wave 2 nya ini… Contrarian nya mungkin energy, tapi belum firm, later kita check chart nya IDX Energy

IHSG – stoch up, MACD down, bandar dist, FF dist, MFI sw, abis masuk cloud test break ke atas gagal, keliatannya akan test break bawah cloud, price below MA 10 20 50 -> masih down trend, LR belum sampe mentok lower channel, DMI masih belum ok. Masih forecasted untuk koreksi wave 2, mungkin sampe ke gap closing 6740

Energy, Property keliatan menggeliat, Consumer Cyclicals, Finance juga ada gerakan

Energy – stoch up,MACD buy, MFI up, bandar akum, FF akum, LR cross up midline, DMI belum lama buy signal, lagi contraction. Hampir semua ok, yang negative bahwa abis wave 5 harusnya ABC correction dulu. OK buat entry tapi hati2 reversal… Yang jelas index masih mau wave 2, jadi jangan full muatan dulu kalo buy

PTBA macd buy signal, FNB, bandar akum, ada spike tgl 6

PTBA – Stoch Up, MACD buy, BD acc, FF acc, MFI up, testing breakout cloud, flat abc correction done, harusnya sekarang lagi wave 3, ada gap belum ketutup di atas, di 4540, ada gap dibawah deket di 4170, idealnya buy disitu, tapi belum tentu juga kejemput sih. Liat US closing merah dalem tapi bisa jadi senin semua ditarik kebawah dulu. BOW di 4180 bagus

Yes, amannya buy di 4180

Consumer Cyclicals – stoch buy, macd almost buy, bd flat, ff flat, MFI down, reg bull div confirmed by MA10 and 2 bull candle, 3 white soldiers, DMI contraction toward buy, LR mantul lower channel, ok tapi jalannya pasti nunggu bd sama ff entry

 

LPPF MAPI. LPPF EMA GC, stoch buy, FNB Bandar acc, volbreakout, ada spike

LPPF – Stoch buy, MACD Buy, MFI up, bd acc, ff acc, break resistance, vol breakout, 3 white soldiers, DMI buy, LR kayanya mau rubah slope, double bottom terus mantul, close above fibo 23, BOW fibo 23

MAPI – stoch buy, macd rev up, MFI flat, BD acc, FF flat last day dist, 3 white soldiers, wave 3, DMI buy, cross LR midline, BOW mid last candle plus 1 tick

Relatively telat, tapi ya gpp sih, asal tetep stick sama trading plan, kalo ngebalik buang dulu

Financials – Stoch up, MACD down, MFI flat, BD dist, FF DIst, wave 3 tapi masih sideways, abis gagal breakout IHNS malah bikin lower low, DMI masih jelek, masih belum…

BBTN BFIN BMRI

BBTN – stoch buy, macd rev up, MFI buy, BD dist, FF last day acc, alligator down, retracement pattern failed, udah tutup gap siap mulai naik, DMI start contraction, belum ok, WNS

BFIN – abis rally tinggi tahun kemaren, awal tahun ini dibanting, udah retrace ke fibo 61 terus longsor lagi, harusnya kalo sekarang mantul jalan wave 3. Stoch buy, macd down, mfi down, bd dist tipis, ff acc tipis, alligator down, LR down DMI down, WNS

BMRI – stoch buy tapi bolak balik, MACD revup, BD tipis, FF tipis, MFI SW, masih wave 3, LR mungkin lanjut, PSAR up, DMI up, kalo mau new entry tunggu tembus resistance and vol breakout deh

ICBP DSNG ENRG LPPF

ICBP – stoch buy, macd buy, bd acc, ff dist, mfi down, suppoedly masih wave 3, LR bisa kemana aja, DMI buy, ok buat spec buy sih

Tapi lebih bijak kalopun buy sebagian, sebagian lagi tunggu vol breakout

DSNG – padahal stoch buy macd buy, tapi bd flat ff flat, DMI tadinya buy ngebalik lagi jadi sell, memang kalo IHSG nya turun jadi sering signalnya bolak balik, tetep bisa dipake tapi tunggu ada vol breakout. Sementara belum WNS dulu

Banyak banget buy signal, tapi bukan di sektor yang firm leading… Market lagi bearish emang membingungkan, kalo belanja cuma bisa di sektor yang jadi ganjel index, dan itu pun gerakannya ga bisa panjang, kecuali yang ada hajatan khusus

BSDE SMRA kemaren buy signal stoch, tapi lanjut turun, keseret index, LPPF yang ada vol breakout masih lanjut. Pentingnya konfirmasi dari volume transaksi