July 22nd, 2024

Good morning,

Dow tumbles more than 370 points, S&P 500 posts worst week since April as investors dump big tech

Stocks retreated Friday, as Wall Street wrapped up the week defined by a rotation out of this year’s megacap winners in favor of smaller names.

Dow……40288 -377.5 -0.93%
Nasdaq17727 -144.3 -0.81%
S&P 500.5505 -39.6 -0.71%

FTSE…..8156 -49.2 -0.60%
Dax……18172 -182.8 -1.00%
CAC……7535 -52.03 -0.69%

Nikkei..40064 -62.6 -0.25%
HSI……17418 -360.7 -2.03%
Shanghai.2982 +5.2 +0.17%

IDX….7294.50 -26.57 -0.36%
LQ45..919.53 -3.25 -0.35%
IDX30.459.72 -1.72 -0.37%

IDXEnergy..2455.72 -1.99 -0.08%
IDX BscMat1364.42 -18.94 -1.37%
IDX Indstrl.1018.75 -4.12 -0.40%
IDXNONCYC.717.07 -1.74 -0.24%
IDX Hlthcare1429.56 +10.22 +0.72%
IDXCYCLIC…748.73 -1.20 -0.16%
IDXTechno3265.59 -30.53 -0.93%
IDX Transp 1356.94 -8.15 -0.60%
IDX Infrast 1593.69 -7.74 -0.48%
IDX Finance1400.34 -4.51 -0.32%
IDX Banking1250.41 -2.24 -0.18%
IDX Property…..639 -0.10 -0.60%

Indo10Yr.6.9880👍 -0.0014 -0.02%
ICBI…382.8649 +0.1226 +0.03%
US2Yr.4.517 +0.046 +1.02%
US5Yr 4.170 +0.053 +1.29%
US10Yr4.243 +0.046 +1.10%
US30Yr.4.451 +0.030 +0.68%
VIX..16.52 +0.59 +3.70%‼️

USDIndx 104.3960 +0.223 +0.21%
Como Indx….280.36 -5.23 -1.83%
BCOMIN…… 142.98 -1.68 -1.16%

IndoCDS..74.19 -0.00 -0.00%
(5-yr INOCD5) (19/07)

IDR…..16191.00 +36.00 +0.22%
Jisdor.16199.00 +39.00 +0.24%

Euro…1.0882 -0.0016 -0.15%

TLKM…19.83 +0.03 +2.46%
( 3212)
EIDO…..20.20 -0.07 -0.35%
EEM…..42.74 -0.39 -0.89%

Oil…….80.13 -2.23 -2.71%
Gold…..2446.60 +0.20 +0.01%
Timah..31050.00 -554.00 -1.75%
(Closed 19/07)
Nickel..16274.00 -195.00 -1.18%
(Closed 19/07)
Silver….29.30 -0.67 -2.24%
Copper.423.65 -2.35. -0.55%

Iron Ore 62% 108.45 -0.28 -0.26%
(19/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.124 +0.023 +1.09%
Ammonia China 2800.00 +16.67 +0.60%
(Domestic Price)(19/07)

Coal price.135.10 +0.10 +0.07%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.00 -0.10 -0.07%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.50 -0.10 -0.07%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 139.60 -0.10 -0.07%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.105.20 +0.55 +0.53%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..108.65 +0.75 +0.70%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.109.90 +1.10 +1.01%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 109.85 +1.10 +1.01%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3960 +22 +0.56%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..404.75 -0.25 -0.06%
SoybeanOil 43.97 -0.36 -0.81%
Wheat…..542.75 +7.50 +1.40%

Wood pulp..5196 unch +0%
(Closed 21/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at merah semua, US bond yield juga naik, ini lanjut merah lagi keliatannya hari ini, biar beres dulu koreksi wave 2 lah, biar enak re-entry nya nanti dibawah

USD index up, metal2 kebanyakan down kecuali gold, semoga ANTM masih kebawa sentimen emas, tapi kalopun harus turun dulu ya gpp kita pasang trailing stop. oil down gas up coal down, kemaren2 ADRO dkk udah naik tinggi padahal coal price nya biasa biasa aja, biar ikut koreksi dulu lah sama index, kita masuk lagi pas firm beres bikin higher low

IHSG – MACD almost sell, stoch udah sell duluan, terakhir memang FNB tipis tapi vol transaksi juga turun, sabar tunggu beres koreksi

Walau banyak yang terlihat jalan tapi jangan terjebak pas index turun, yang menarik dicermati Healtcare yang baru mulai nongol dan consumer yang arahnya bagus dan memang sering jadi ganjel pas index merah

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak: ACES ADRO ARTO INDF INKP SIDO UNTR BFIN ENRG INDY LPPF MAPA MPMX SMSM. Big accum ADRO UNTR LPPF SMSM

MACD Buy Signal: INCO

May 22nd, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500, Nasdaq rise on Tuesday to close at fresh records

Stocks ticked higher Tuesday, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite closing at new records, as investors looked toward artificial intelligence favorite Nvidia
’s earnings report Wednesday.

Dow……39873 +66.2 +0.17%
Nasdaq16833 +37.8 +0.22%
S&P 500.5321 +13.3 +0.25%

FTSE…..8416 -7.8 -0.09%
Dax……18727 -42.2 -0.22%
CAC……8141 -54.5 -0.67%

Nikkei..38946 -122.8 -0.31%
HSI…..19220 -415.6 -2.12%
Shanghai.3158 -13.2 -0.42%

IDX….7186.04 -80.65 -1.11%
LQ45..891.58 -16.96 -1.87%
IDX30..457.74 -7.02 -1.51%

IDXEnergy..2240.99 -10.57 -0.47%
IDX BscMat1438.10 -1.34 -0.09%
IDX Indstrl..1023.14 -9.33 -0.90%
IDXNONCYC.701.53 -0.28 -0.04%
IDX Hlthcare1416.69 -18.75 -1.31%
IDXCYCLIC…738.50 -12.15 -1.62%
IDXTechno3402.30 -31.92 -0.93%
IDX Transp 1369.20 -21.38 -1.54%
IDX Infrast 1618.96 -10.37 -0.64%
IDX Finance1369.20 -21.38 -1.54%
IDX Banking1174.72 -36.02 -2.98%
IDX Property…..638 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.8937 -0.0016 -0.02%
ICBI…379.8806 -0.1636 -0.04%
US2Yr.4.831 -0.021 -0.43%
US5Yr 4.432 -0.038 -0.85%
US10Yr4.415 -0.029 -0.65%
US30Yr.4.549-0.034 -0.74%
VIX..11.86 -0.29 -2.39👍

USDIndx 104.6610❗️ +0.10 +0.09%
Como Indx..295.96 +0.35 +0.12%
BCOMIN….172.06 +1.64 0.96%

IndoCDS..70.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (17/05)

IDR…..15998.50 +20.50 +0.13%
Jisdor.16024.00‼️ +44 +0.28%

Euro….1.0858 -0.001 -0.01%

TLKM…18.39 -0.26 -1.39%
( 2947)
EIDO….20.57 -0.33 -1.58%
EEM…..43.36 -0.30 -0.69%

Oil…….79.26 -0.54 -0.68%
Gold..2448.50‼️ +10.00 -0.41%
Timah..34324.00 -144.00 -0.42%
(Closed 21/05)
Nickel..21274.00 -135.00 -0.63%
(Closed 21/05)
Silver…..32.29 +0.21 +0.66%
Copper.510.40 -0.20 -0.20%

Iron Ore 62% 117.24 +0.22 +0.19%
(20/05)
Nturl Gas..2.667 -0.091 -3.30%
Ammonia China.3320.00 unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(20/05)

Coal price 142.05 +1.05 +0.74%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.25 +0.25 +0.18%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.50 +0.30 +0.21%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.80 +0.95 +0.67%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price..106.80 +1.00 +0.95%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.10 +0.10 +0.09%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.116.50 +0.85 +0.73%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 117.10 +0.85 +0.73%
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3863 -55 -1.40%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….458.00 -2.50 -0.54%
SoybeanOil 45.81 -0.51 -1.10%
Wheat…..697.50 +8.75 +1.27%

Wood pulp..5872 unch +0%
(Closed 2/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyr«ight: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo europe merah, asia rontok semua… US bond yield merah, harusnya recover IHSG hari ini, minimal sideways lah, ga merah dalem lagi

USD index up, meral2 turun semua kecual silver, oil down, gas down, coal up, CPO down, kita check detail coal dan oil chart dulu

Chart oil ok sih, harusnya masih jadwal uptrend

Chart coal masih belum terlihat mau uptrend

IHSG – stoch up, macd up, MFI sw, w% sw, BD acc, FNS, tutup gap dulu lah ya, baru jalan lagi…

Basic Materials, Property, Transportation, Consumer Cyclicals. Financials mulai jalan, kita tunggu BTPS

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRIS INDF ADMR HRTA LPPF TRON WIIM. LPPF big accum

MACD buy signal: INTP ADHI ADMR BRMS CFIN TRON SMDR SMAR ISSP AMFG, Big Accum INTP

Nasdaq keseret NVIDIA, DJI nya ijo… Europe closing jum’at kebanyakan merah, asia merah dalem, tapi di US market US bind yield merah jadi harapannya IHSG hari ini ijo

USD index up, tapi metal2 juga up malah rada tinggi, oil gas coal juga up, rada anomali ini. CPO aja yang down, sudah pasti balik arah makanya udah cutloss AALI. Semoga ini ANTM ADRO dkk lanjut jalan

IHSG – technically masih waktunya turun, beresin ABC correction. Pas ribut ributan israel iran dll. masih hold cash kecuali selective buying di energy sama basic materials yang firm gerak

Masih energy dan basic materials, infrastructure kalo yang telco malah lagi drop banget, JSMR kali ya yang panen karena lebaran

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBNI GGRM NISP PTPP LTLS, big accum BBNI GGRM

MACD Buy Signal: LTLS

Stochastic Continuation signal and big accum: SIDO

INCO menarik, vol breakout lagi, udah full load juga sih, masih hold, semoga lanjut kenceng

Alligator Buy Signal: LPPF MTMH

April 16th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq close 1% lower as yields jump, traders await Israel response to Iran

Stocks retreated on Monday as rising yields and worries over the conflict in the Middle East overshadowed strong Goldman Sachs
earnings and hot retail sales data.

Dow……37735 -248.1 -0.65%
Nasdaq15885 -290.1 -1.79%
S&P 500.5062 -61.6 -1.20%

FTSE…..7966 -30.1 -0.38%
Dax……18027 +96.3 +0.54%
CAC……8045 +34.3 +0.43%

Nikkei..39233 -290.8 -0.74%
HSI……16601 -121.2 -0.72%
Shanghai.3057+37.9 +1.26%

IDX…..7286.88 closed +0%
LQ45….963.73 closed +0%
IDX30…488.17 closed +0%

IDXEnergy..2155.81 closed +0%
IDX BscMat1359.61 closed. +0%
IDX Indstrl…1096.75 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.715.36 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1371.58 closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…815.23 closed +0%
IDXTechno3513.14 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1444.51 closed +0%
IDX Infrast 1600.91 closed +0%
IDX Finance.1475.65 closed +0%
IDX Banking.1317.47 closed +0%
IDX Property.. 652 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.7048 closed +0%
ICBI…379.8860 closed +0%
US2Yr.4.925‼️ +0.013 +0.27%
US5Yr 4.627‼️ +0.016 +0.39%
US10Yr4.601‼️ -0.028 -0.61%
US30Yr.4.724‼️+0.016 +0.34%
VIX………19.23 +1.92 +11.09%‼️

USDIndx 106.2080‼️+0.17 +0.16%
Como Indx..298.18 +0.31 +0.10%
BCOMIN..152.51‼️ +1.97 +1.31%

IndoCDS..75.23 +1.01 +1.36%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/04)

IDR…..15848.00‼️closed +0%
Jisdor.15873.00‼️closed +0%

Euro….1.0627‼️ +0.00 +0.03%

TLKM…20.85 +0.10 +0.48%
( 3309)
EIDO……21.48 +0.02 +0.09%
EEM……40.27 -0.27 -0.65%

Oil…….85.90 +0.49 +0.57%
Gold..2401.20 +94.30 +4.08%‼️
(04/04-15/04)
Timah..28935.00 +3418.00 +11.81%‼️
(03/04 ’til 12/04)
Nickel..17991.50 +194.5 +1.09%❗️
(Closed 04/04)
Silver….28.97 +2.03 +7.53%‼️
(04/04 – 15/04)
Copper.437.50 +16.10 +3.77%
(04/04 – 15/04)
Iron Ore 62% 106.05 +5.64 +5.61%‼️
(03/04-12/04)
Nturl Gas..1.686‼️ -0.002 -0.12%
Ammonia China.3216.67 +183.34 +6.04%‼️
(Domestic Price)(04/04 – 12/04)

Coal price.129.75 +0.50 +0.39%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 136.50 +2.75 +2.06%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.20 +3.20 +2.35%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.75 +2.50 +1.80%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price..120.70 -0.60 -0.49%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.00 -1.25 -1.05%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.50 -0.90 -0.75%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 118.55 -1.45 -1.21%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)..4202 -205.00 -4.88%‼️
(04/04 – 15/04)
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….444.25 -3.00 -0.67%
SoybeanOil 46.01 -0.44 -0.95%
Wheat…567.50 -3.00 -0.67%

Wood pulp..5700 unch +0%
(Closed 15/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Lama libur, ketemu serangan Iran ke Israel… DJI sudah beberapa hari trun terus, europe varied, asia kebanyakan merah kemaren, IHSG hari ini kayanya akan rada goncang…

Suasana perang, selalu USD naik, commodity terkait energy naik, Bond Yield dan interest rate biasanya naik biar orang keep dana di system. Belum pasti gimana dampak ke BEI, kemungkinan besar akan goyang dulu, baru nanti setelah shock nya lewat yang hubungan sama energy yang jalan

Semua precious metals naik, oil naik, gas turun, coal naik, CPO drop. Normally saya akan hold ANTM erat erat, dan ELSA, dan ADRO, tapi entahlah dengan kondisi sekarang

IHSG – kalo dari elliot wavenya sih, emang jadwal nerusin ABC correction… walau terakhir market closing stoch buy, macd revup, FF rev net buy, tapi kondisi global memanas di saat kita libur bisa jadi efeknya meledak di opening day hari ini

dari sini sih masih jadwalnya basic materials, dan kalo liat metal2 naik ya cocok, tapi masih unpredictable karena suasana global

Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM BBCA INCO TLKM ELSA IMAS LPPF MIKA SGRO. Big accum ANTM INCO MIKA

MACD buy Signal: PGEO SIDO ADMR BSDE DOID JPFA. Big accum SIDO DOID