Daily Analysis 20230109

Daily Analysis 20230109

January 09th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks stage first big rally of 2023 as hope grows that inflation will ease, Dow closes up 700 points

U.S. stocks advanced Friday after the December jobs report and an economic activity survey showed signs that inflation may be cooling, signaling that the Federal
Reserve’s interest rate hikes are having their intended effect.

Dow…….33631 +700.5 +2.13%
Nasdaq.10569 +264.1 +2.56%
S&P 500..3895 +86.98 +2.28%

FTSE…….7670 +66.04 +0.87%
Dax……..14610 +173.7 +1.20%
CAC……..6861 +99.5 +1.47%

Nikkei…..25974 +153.1 +0.59%
HSI………20992 -60.5 -0.29%
Shanghai…3158 +2.4 +0.08%
ST Times..3277 -15.9 -0.48%

IDX…..6684.56 +30.72 +0.46%
LQ45….913.02 +3.36 +0.37%

IDX Energy..2119.86 +29.34 +1.40%
IDX BscMat 1222.34 +21.89 +1.82%
IDX Indstrl…1138.16 +7.85 +0.69%
IDXNONCYC..726.04 +6.80 +0.95%
IDX Hlthcare1541.57 +0.81 +0.05%
IDXCYCLIC…822.22. -2.46 -0.30%
IDX Techno.5100.91 +23.02 +0.45%
IDX Transp..1621.01 +14.82 +0.92%
IDX Infrast…..848.42 -7.16 -0.84%
IDX Finance 1373.23 -5.30 -0.38%
IDX Banking 1110.66 -3.73 -0.34%
IDX Property….688 +3.60 +0.52%

Indo10Yr.7.0285 -0.0039 -0.06%
ICBI…345.1791 +0.1847 +0.05%
US10Yr..3.7200 +0.0110 +0.30%
VIX…..21.13 -1.33 -5.92%

USDIndx103.8790 -1.250 -1.19%
Como Indx.264.82 +1.13 +0.43%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..162.89 +2.56 +1.59%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15632.50 +16.00 +0.10%
Jisdor..15635.00 +25.00 +0.16%

Euro……1.0648 +0.0146 +1.39%

TLKM…..24.10 +0.07 +0.29%
(3768)
EIDO…..21.98 +0.38 +1.76%
EEM……40.07 +0.82 +2.09%

Oil…….73.77 +0.10 +0.14%
Gold ..1869.70 +29.10 +1.58%
Timah…25270 +409 +1.65%
(Closed 06/01)
Nickel.28824.50 +915.00 +3.28%‼️
(Closed 06/01)
Silver…….23.98 +0.56 +2.38%
Copper..391.10 +9.00 +2.36%

Nturl Gas..3.761 -0.013 -0.34%

Ammonia..4606.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/01)

Coal price….396.15 -1.35 -0.34%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….368.50 -3.50 -0.94%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….343.80 -3.70 -1.06%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price…172.30 -5.45 -3.06%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price..170.70 -7.20 -4.05%‼️
(Feb/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..170.45 -7.90 -4.42%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)…..4052 -38 -0.93%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……….654.00 +1.25 +0.19%
SoybeanOil..63.17 +0.75 +1.20%
Wheat……..743.50 -3.25 -0.44%

Wood pulp…6410.00. -10 -0.16%
(Closed 05/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at closing ijo semua kecuali hongkong sama singapore, US ijo tebel

Metal2 an naik semua, Oil naik tipis, gas rebound dikit, coal sempet naik lagi ke 400 usd/mt turun lagi ke 396, cpo turun

 

IHSG – minor ABC correction udah bisa dianggap done kali, kalo sampe tembus titik awal elliot wave di 6559 bisa bubar… Kemaren yang jadi urusan masih NFS dan bandar lokal ga nahan, malah ikutan buang, drop jauh deh. Jum’at masih NFS tapi ngurangin, BD akum, walhasil ijo. Semoga senin mulai NFB. Stoch masih down dan MACD sell, belum bisa langsung rally ini kayanya, tapi semoga ga koreksi lebih jauh, cuma konsolidasi sebelum mantul. Jangan aggressive dulu

Basic Materials yang menarik, consumer non-cyclicals ganjel index, property surprisingly terlihat menguat padahal suku bunga bank naik, Technology melesu, Infrastructure juga

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRPT CPIN HMSP PTBA DSNG LINK

MACD Buy Signal: ERAA INCO DSNG MPMX

Daily Analysis 20221209

Daily Analysis 20221209

December 09th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes higher to end longest losing streak since October

Stocks rose Thursday as the S&P 500 broke its longest losing streak since October and Wall Street evaluated the odds of a recession ahead.

Dow…….33782 +183.6 +0.55%
Nasdaq.11082 +123.5 +1.13%
S&P 500..3964 +29.6 +0.75%

FTSE…….7472 -17.02 -0.23%
Dax……..14265 +3.4 +0.02%
CAC……..6647 -13.3 -0.20%

Nikkei….27574 -111.97 -0.40%
HSI……..19450 +635.4 +3.38%
Shanghai..3197 -2.3. -0.07%
ST Times..3236 +10.6 +0.33%

IDX…….6804.23 -14.52 -0.21%
LQ45……944.22 -1.36. -0.14%

IDX Energy..2170.29 -15.98 -0.73%
IDX BscMat 1253.44 +18.77 +1.52%

IDX Indstrl…1184.83 -12.66 -1.06%
IDXNONCYC..727.19 -4.52 -0.62%
IDX Hlthcare.1548.40 +8.16 +0.53%
IDXCYCLIC…..862.65 +0.09 +0.01%
IDX Techno….5286.67 -46.34 -0.87%
IDX Transp…1700.03 -27.18 -1.57%
IDX Infrast……862.56 +9.01 +1.06%
IDX Finance 1438.72 -2.67 -0.19%
IDX Banking 1160.27 -4.66. -0.40%
IDX Property….712 +7.10 +1.01%

Indo10Yr….7.0644 -0.0066 -0.09%
ICBI……..342.7032 +0.0371 +0.01%
US10Yr..3.4910 +0.0830 +2.44%
VIX……22.29 -0.39 -1.72%

USDIndx..104.8130 -0.3870 -0.37%‼️
Como Indx..266.40 +0.51 +0.19%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..170.69 -1.44 -0.84%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15620.50 -16.00 -0.10%‼️
Jisdor..15624.00 +5.00 +0.03%‼️

Euro……..1.0557 +0.0048 +0.46%👍

TLKM……..23.65 +0.21 +0.90%
(3695)
EIDO……….22.85 +0.18 +0.79%
EEM………..39.28 +0.47 +1.21%

Oil………….71.46 -0.55 -0.76%
Gold ……1801.50 +3.50 +0.19%
Timah…..24306 -508 -2.05%
(Closed 07/12)
Nickel…29481.50 -1334.50 -4.33%‼️
(Closed 08/12)
Silver………23.25. +0.32 +1.41%
Copper….388.35 +2.30 +0.60%

Nturl Gas…..5.935 +0.119 +2.05%

Ammonia..4890.00 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(07/12)

Coal price….395.50 -10.15 -2.50%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price…..378.85 -11.55 -2.96%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price…..370.00 -11.10 -2.91%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….256.50 -6.80 -2.58%
(Des/Rotterdam)
Coal price….250.75 -11.00 -4.20%‼️
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….252.00 -10.00 -3.82%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)…..3951 -18 -0.45%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….642.50 +1.25 +0.19%
SoybeanOil…60.48 +0.32 +0.53%
Wheat………746.25 -3.25 -0.43%

Wood pulp…6550.00 unch +0%
(Closed 07/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US rebound, Europe tipis tipis, asia kemaren Hangseng naik tinggi singapore naik dikit, semoga udah rock bottom ini pas tutup gap kemaren

Gold Silver Copper naik, Timah Nikel turun dalem, Oil turun Gas naik, Coal turun rada banyak, balik kebawah 400, CPO lanjut kebawah. Mungkin masih mau dip lebih jauh ini coal tudei

Misalnya dianggap kemarin sudah bottom wave 2, proyeksi elliot wave nya jadi gini…

IHSG – technically masih jelek bener, amannya sih ya tunggu confirmed mantul secara teknikal, ada buy signal, bandar dan foreign akum

Cacing RSI belum banyak rubah, property yang keliatan cape, financials masih belum, energy, healthcare, consumer non-cyclicals masih leading

Stoch Buy Signal: BRPT LINK PTPP WSKT. Sektor infrastructure gerak bareng2 kemaren, apa iya mau lanjut windress sampe tutup tahun?

Daily Analysis 20221109

Daily Analysis 20221109

November 09th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks rally for a third day ahead of midterm election results, Dow closes 300 points higher

Stocks rose Tuesday as investors awaited the results of the U.S. midterm elections, which could affect future levels of government spending and regulation.

Dow…….33161 +333.8 +1.02%
Nasdaq.10616 +51.7 +0.49%
S&P 500..3828 +21.3 +0.56%

FTSE…….7306 +6.2 +0.08%
Dax……..13689 +155.2 +1.15%
CAC……..6442 +24.9 +0.39%

Nikkei….27872 +344.5 +1.25%
HSI……..16567 -38.6 -0.23%
Shanghai..3065 -13.3 -0.43%
ST Times..3145 +4.5 +0.14%

IDX…….7050.13 -52.27 -0.74%
LQ45…..1005.74 -9.54 -0.94%

IDX Energy..2038.79 -8.00 -0.39%
IDX Bsc Mat.1296.09 -21.30 -1.62%
IDX Industrl..1256.46 +10.41 +0.84%
IDXNONCYC..735.27 +0.02 +0.19%
IDX Hlthcare.1497.97 +8.05 +0.54%
IDXCYCLIC…..886.24 +2.84 +0.32%
IDX Techno..6653.88 +84.80 +1.29%
IDX Transp…1869.09 +1.66 +0.09%
IDX Infrast……922.36 -9.97 -1.07%
IDX Finance 1476.00 -12.31 -0.83%
IDX Banking.1183.44 -12.45 -1.04%
IDX Property….691 -0.00 -0.00%

Indo10Yr….7.5396 -0.0001 -0.001%
ICBI……..332.7094 +0.1542 +0.05%
US10Yr……4.1260 -0.0880 -2.09%
VIX……….25.55 +1.19 +4.89%‼️

USDIndx 109.6070 -0.6100 -0.55%👍
Como Indx..284.05 -2.87 -1.00%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……154.46 +3.03 +2.00%
.
IndoCDS..124.70👍 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15697.50 -10.00 -0.06%‼️
Jisdor..15684.00 -8 -0.05%‼️

Euro……..1.0074 +0.0055 +0.55%👍

TLKM……..26.84 -0.14 -0.52%
(4210)
EIDO………23.56 -0.16 -0.67%
EEM……….36.48 +0.26 +0.72%

Oil…………88.91 -2.88 -3.14%‼️
Gold ……1716.00 +35.50 +2.11%‼️
Timah…..18872 +67 +0.35%
(Closed 07/11)
Nickel…23878.00 +477.00 +2.03%‼️
(Closed 08/11)
Silver………21.50 +0.58 +2.55%
Copper…..368.25 +7.90 +2.19%

Nturl Gas…..6.199 -0.50 -7.47%‼️

Ammonia..4150.00 +180 +4.33%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(07/11)

Coal price….339.00 -5.90 -1.79%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….323.50 -11.05 -3.30%‼️
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….320.15 -10.95 -3.31%‼️
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….191.50 -9.40 -4.68%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….185.00 -9.50 -4.88%‼️
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….185.70 -9.85 -5.04%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..91.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (07/11)

CPO(Jan)……4368 -72 -1.62%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….667.50 -8.25 -1.22%
SoybeanOil…75.03 -1.30 -1.70%
Wheat………827.75 -18.00 -2.13%

Wood pulp…6700.00 -10 -0.15%
(Closed 08/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo, europe ijo, asia pada merah kecuali singapore ijo tipis, nikkei ijo rada tebel. Rebound ah tudei IHSG

Komoditas energy turun semua, metal naik semua, cpo turun lagi. ANTM INCO MDKA cerah ceria ini… Coal harus hati hati banget. CPO sahamnya menarik banget once CPO udah uptrend harganya, udah mulai naik tapi idealnya tunggu higher low terbentuk

Basic Materials, Consumer Cyclicals, Property, Infrastructure, Technology… Gantian, nanti pas Financials lanjut baru index lanjut

IHSG – masih keliatan mau koreksi minor atau jalan sideways… Kalo mau buy hanya di sektor yang leading aja ya, index turun suka keseret semua

Daily Analysis 20220922

Daily Analysis 20220922

Global update:

September 22th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes 500 points lower after the Fed delivers another aggressive rate hike

Stocks fell in volatile trading Wednesday after the Federal Reserve raised rates by 75 basis points and forecast more sizable rate hikes ahead in its fight to tame surging inflation.

Dow…….30184 -522.5 -1.70%
Nasdaq.11220 -204.9 -1.79%
S&P 500..3790 -66.00 -1.96%

FTSE…….7238 +44.98 +0.63%
Dax……..12767 +96.3 +0.76%
CAC……..6031 +51.9 +0.87%

Nikkei….27313 -375.3 -1.36%
HSI……..18445 -336.8 -1.79%
Shanghai..3118 -5.2 -0.17%
ST Times..3262 -5.2 -0.16%

IDX…….7188.31 -8.64 -0.12%
LQ45…1029.22 +1.01 +0.10%

IDX Energy..1976.56 -10.35 -0.52%
IDX Bsc Mat.1287.81 -3.18 -0.25%
IDX Industrl..1353.52 -3.20 -0.24%
IDXNONCYC..701.14 +1.20 +0.17%
IDX Hlthcare.1472.35 +0.19 +0.01%
IDXCYCLIC…..881.50 -3.03 -0.34%
IDX Techno..7471.71 +55.44 +0.75%
IDX Transp…1842.46 -6.32 -0.34%
IDX Infrast…..1012.22 -11.72 -1.14%
IDX Finance 1507.25 +1.24 +0.08%
IDX Banking..1172.67 +4.14 +0.27%
IDX Property….719 -10.70 -1.47%

Indo10Yr….7.2633 +0.0197 +0.27%
ICBI……..335.6860 -0.2699 -0.08%
US10Yr……3.5100 -0.0610 -1.71%‼
VIX……….27.99 +0.83 +3.06%

USDIndx 110.6420 +0.4270 +0.39%‼
Como Indx..278.23 -1.31 -0.47%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..151.72: -1.54 -1.00%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14997.00 +13.50 +0.09%‼
Jisdor..15011.00 +36.00 +0.24%‼

Euro……..0.9966 -0.0065 -0.65%

TLKM……..29.03 -0.46 -1.56%
(4358)
EIDO………24.22 -0.07 -0.29%
EEM………37.07 -0.63 -1.67%

Oil…………..83.02 -1.43 -1.69%
Gold ……..1679.60 +6.30 +0.38%
Timah. .21181.00 +236 +1.13%
( Closed 20/9)
Nickel…24827.00 -138.50 -0.55%
(Closed 21/9)
Silver…….19.53 +0.28 +1.45%
Copper….343.60 -6.35 -1.81%

Nturl Gas…..7.750 +0.030 +0.39%

Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(20/9)

Coal price….444.50 +3.20 +0.73%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….448.00 +10.00 +2.28%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….448.30 +11.30 +2.59%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….324.05 +0.40 +0.12%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….292.00 -0.60 -0.21%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….294.55 -0.60 -0.20%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3891 +152 +4.07%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………685.50 -6.50 -0.94%
SoybeanOil…65.00 -0.91 -1.38%
Wheat………903.75 +10.00 +1.12%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 21/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US drop lagi abis pengumuman kenaikan suku bunga fed, europe ijo, asia merah, most likely lanjut merah hari ini…

Oil kemaren sore naik, closing market us turun lagi, metal2 varied, gold timah silver naik, nikel copper turun, belum langsung ngefek ke basic materials

Gas Coal naik, CPO naik tinggi. kita liat apakah akan jadi start reboundnya saham2 cpo

IHSG – harga sudah dibawah MA 20, buat pemakai ilmu MA untuk trend, sudah mau ngebalik trend nya ini

IHSG – sudah hampir semua indicator bilang mau lanjut turun, tinggal supertrend sama ichimoku yang belum firm

Healthcare, Consumer Cyclicals. Next: Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Technology, Transportation