January 12th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes little changed Thursday after hotter-than-anticipated inflation report

Stocks ended Thursday near the flat line after a fresh round of inflation data reflected an uptick in consumer prices for December.

,Dow……37711 +15.3 +0.04%
Nasdaq14970 +0.5 +0.00%
S&P 500.4780 -3.2 -0.07%

FTSE…..7577 -75.2 -0.98%
Dax……16547 -142.8 -0.86%
CAC……7388 -38.5 -0.52%

Nikkei..35050 +648.2 +1.77%
HSI…….16302 +204.8 +1.27%
Shanghai.2887+8.95 +0.31%

IDX…..7219.96 -7.33 -0.10%
LQ45….969.94 +0.81 +0.08%
IDX30…499.20 +1.25 +0.25%

IDXEnergy..2160.56 -7.75 -0.36%
IDX BscMat.1240.16 -6.97 -0.56%
IDX Indstrl…1106.62 +0.90 +0.08%
IDXNONCYC.705.40 -5.32 -0.75%
IDX Hlthcare1349.14+2.29 +0.17%
IDXCYCLIC…860.88 +7.42 +0.87%
IDX Techno4343.84 +11.60 +0.27%
IDX Transp 1679.28 +21.31 +1.29%
IDX Infrast 1549.81 -4.51 -0.27%
IDX Finance.1522.49+13.78 +0.91%
IDX Banking.1322.35+8.30 +0.63%
IDX Property.. 717 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6959 -0.0222 -0.33%
ICBI…374.1055 +0.6178 +0.17%
US2Yr.4.249 -0.111 -2.55%
US5Yr 3.881 -0.094 -2.36%
US10Yr3.968 -0.047 -1.17%
US30Yr.4.211-0.037 -0.88%
VIX….12.44 -0.25 -1.97%

USDIndx 102.3120 -0.050 -0.05%
Como Indx..264.10 +1.78 +0.68%
BCOMIN……136.75 +0.07 +0.05%

IndoCDS..77.21 +0.02 +0.03%
(5-yr INOCD5) (10/01)

IDR…..15548.50 -21.00 -0.13%
Jisdor.15558.00 -10.00 -0.06%

Euro….1.0974 +0.0001 +0.01%

TLKM…25.67 unch +0%
(3994)
EIDO….22.38 +0.07 +0.31%
EEM….39.06 +0.16 +0.41%

Oil……..72.02 +0.67 -1.23%
Gold..2019.20 -10.20 -0.50%
Timah..24435.00 +195.00 +0.80%
(Closed 10/01)
Nickel..16452.00 +50 +0.30%
(Closed 11/01)
Silver……22.71 -0.36 -1.56%
Copper.377.65 +2.05 +0.55%

Iron Ore 62% 138.16 -2.36 -1.68%
(10/01)
Nturl Gas..3.030 +0.085 +2.81%
Ammonia China.3400.00‼️ – -%
(Domestic Price)(09/02)

Coal price.130.75 -2.75 -2.06%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 126.25 -5.25 -3.99%‼️
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.125.25 -4.80 -3.69%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 124.70 -3.85 -2.99%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.50 -2.50 -2.29%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 102.30 -3.40 -3.32%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.100.20 -2.70 -2.62%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price…98.05 -2.50 -2.49%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3796 +37 +0.98%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……457.75 -0.38 -0.38%
SoybeanOil 48.72 +0.47 +0.97%
Wheat…603.75 -7.00 -1.15%

Wood pulp..5068.00 unch +0%
(Closed 11/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US tipis tipis, europe merah, asia kemaren ijo tebel, IHSG merah tipis, bisa merah lagi kayanya ini tudei

US bond rates turun, USD index turn, good sih, tapi gold silver juga turun, timah nickel copper iron ore ijo, oil merah, gas ijo, coal merah dalem. Masih belum nih ANTM MDKA, coal coal an hati hati. CPO lanjut, go go AALI LSIP!

IHSG – bisa jadi mau wave B dulu, tapi yang jelas stoch down, mad down, MFI sw, w% downtrend, BD dist, masih FNB sih, lumayan. Kalo diukur pake fibonacci retracement hanya di wave 5 nya dari antara 61-78 mantul ke 38, lanjut wave c dong kalo gitu… Masih bahaya pokonya

Index beresiko tapi cacing RSI pada arahnya bagus, heu… FInancials paling deket 45 derajat, sama technology, tapi saya lebih prefer pegang consumer non-cyclicals, biasanya saham defensif ganjel bursa disitu

Update Global Economic Calendar
3 Jan 2023

GERMANY MARKET :
Unemployment Change (Dec)
Actual : 5K
Forecast : 20K
Previous : 22K

Unemployment Rate (Dec)
Actual : 5.9%
Forecast : 5.9%
Previous : 5.9%

Unemployment Persons (Dec)
Actual : 2.703M
Forecast : –
Previous : 2.702M

U.S MARKET :
MBA Mortgage Applications (Dec/29)
Actual : -10.7%
Forecast : –
Previous : -1.5%

MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Dec/29)
Actual : 6.76%
Forecast : –
Previous : 6.83%

ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec)
Actual : 47.4
Forecast : 47.1
Previous : 46.7

ISM Manufacturing Employment (Dec)
Actual : 48.1
Forecast : 46.1
Previous : 45.8

ISM Manufacturing New Orders (Dec)
Actual : 47.1
Forecast : –
Previous : 48.3

By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research
– Disclaimer On –

US merah dalem, keliatanya karena release berita ISM manufacturing unemployment dan new order turun. europe merah, asia juga, IHSG kemaren memang sudah diduga jadwal turun, sekarang diharap naik tapi kalo global merah semua rada berat. Semoga hanya sideways atau koreksi kecil

US bond rates ga banyak rubah, USD index naik, metal turun semua, oil gas coal naik, CPO masih turun. Kayanya belum jalan ini ANTM INCO TINS MDKA, tapi harusnya major udah uptrend. AALI LSIP juga

IHSG – stoch up flattening OB, MACD up flattening, MFI sw, w% masih uptrend, BD mulai dist, FNS, udah di wave 5, agak mengkhawatirkan…

Cacing RSI malah all good, Consumer Non-Cyclicals sama Consumer Cyclicals yang arahnya paling bagus

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA ARTO GOTO TOWR ADHI HEAL ISAT JSMR PTPP. yang big accum cuma TOWR

MACD Buy Signal: BRIS BBKP BRMS Big accum BRIS BBKP

Stochastic Continuation Signal: INCO big acc MPMX spike

August 16th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow slides more than 300 points, breaking a 3-day win streak, as bank names tumble

Stocks fell Tuesday as concern over the state of the global economy — China in particular — and a decline in U.S. banks combined to pressure Wall Street.

Dow……34946 -361.2 -1.02%
Nasdaq13631 -157.3 -1.14%
S&P 500.4438 -51.9 -1.16%

FTSE…..7390 -117.5 -1.57%
Dax……15767 -136.97 -0.86%
CAC……7268 -81.1 -1.10%

Nikkei…32239 +178.98 +0.56%
HSI…….18581 -192.4 -1.03%
Shanghai.3176 -2.3 -0.07%

IDX…..6915.10 +4.93 +0.07%
LQ45….966.25 -2.41 -0.25%
IDX30…500.92 -1.43 -0.28%

*IDXEnergy…2001.56 +41.76 +2.13%*
IDX BscMat.1135.01 +5.55 +0.49%
IDX Indstrl…1203.00 -3.75 -0.31%
IDXNONCYC.755.51 +0.27 +0.04%
IDX Hlthcare1476.05 -3.73 -0.25%
IDXCYCLIC….922.66 +2.88 +0.31%
IDX Techno.4511.20 +45.58 +1.02%
IDX Transp..1858.13 -0.46 -0.02%
IDX Infrast… .873.32 +13.79 +1.53%
IDX Finance.1423.70 -5.29 -0.37%
IDX Banking.1215.09 -12.90 -1.05%
IDX Property..764 +5.20 +0.69%

*Indo10Yr.6.4343*+0.0194 +0.30%
*ICBI….369.1220* -0.1901 -0.05%
*US2Yr.4.9590* -0.014 -0.28%
*US5Yr 4.3780* +0.006 +0.14%
*US10Yr4.2210* +0.030 +0.72%
*US30Yr.4.3250* +0.041 +0.96%
*VIX…….16.46 +1.64 +11.07%‼️*

*USDIndx 103.2090‼️* +0.019 +0.02%
Como Indx…274.30 -3.79 -1.36%
(Core Commodity CRB)
*BCOMIN….138.10* -1.29 -0.92%

*IndoCDS.83.17 +1.96 +2.41%‼️*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(14/08)*

*IDR…..15341.50‼️+26.50 +0.17%*
*Jisdor.15346.00 ‼️+23.00 +0.15%*

*Euro……1.0903 -0.0005 -0.05%*

TLKM…24.50 -0.16 -0.65%
*(3760)*
EIDO….22.98 -0.04 -0.17%
EEM…..38.92 -0.45 -1.14%

*Oil………81.03* -1.38 -1.67%
*Gold…1932.30* -6.90 -0.36%
*Timah..25325.00 -1132 -4.28%‼️*
*(Closed 14/08)*
*Nickel..19765.50 -562.00 -2.76%‼️*
(Closed 15/08)
Silver…… 22.58 -0.06 -0.27%
Copper.369.50 -3.20 -0.86%

*Iron Ore 62% 104.63 -0.74 -0.70%*
(14/08)
*Nturl Gas.2.6540 -0.1600 -5.69%‼️*
*Ammonia China..3366.67 unch +0%*
(Domestic Price)(14/08)

Coal price..147.15 +0.65 +0.44%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.154.65 +1.15 +0.75%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.157.10 +0.60 +0.38%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.160.40 +0.40 +0.25%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price116.75 +1.15 +0.99%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.10 -0.90 -0.75%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.65 -1.30 -1.07%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.60 +0.65 +0.54%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

*CPO(Oct)..3788 +93 +2.51%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………475.50 -12.25 -2.51%
SoybeanOil 61.88 +0.73 +1.19%
*Wheat….623.75 -17.75 -2.77%*

*Wood pulp..4640.00* unch +0%
(Closed 15/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US merah dalem, eropa juga merah, asiamerah kecuali nikkei sama IHSG, hati hati koreksi…

USD index lanjut naik lagi, metals drop lagi, sekarang tanpa kecuali, oil gas juga merah, coal sama CPO yang ijo. Beware yang udah profit pasang trailing stop, stop loss di semua posisi

IHSG – Stoch buy, macd rev up, MFI sw, w% uptrend, BD acc, FF masih dist, triangel breakout upwards, harusnya lanjut ke atas, tapi US europe merah dalem kayanya pullback dulu

Property, Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Infrastructure. Basic Materials udahan dulu keliatannya. TPIA BRPT yang kemaren kenceng ati2 ya, bisa jadi udahan atau pullback, trailing stop on…

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA AMRT INTP MAPI ASSA BFIN JKON JSMR

MACD Buy Signal: ADRO SRTG TOWR UNVR PNLF RAJA SMRA

Alligator Buy Signal: BBNI JPFA MYOR

Supertrend Buy Signal: BRIS TBIG MYOR

Agt 07th, 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq tumble for four straight days, notch worst weeks since March

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite slumped Friday for a fourth straight session, and notched their worst weeks since March, as traders seemed to book profits following the latest corporate earnings releases and U.S. jobs data.

Dow……35065 -150.3 -0.43%
Nasdaq13909 -50.5 -0.36%
S&P 500.4478 -23.9 -0.83%

FTSE…..7564 +35.2 +0.47%
Dax……15952 +58.5 +0.37%
CAC……7315 +54.6 +0.75%

Nikkei…32193 +33.5 +0.10%
HSI…….19539 +118.6 +0.61%
Shanghai.3288 +7.6 +0.23%

IDX…..6852.84 -45.24 -0.66%
LQ45….958.97 -8.06 -0.83%
IDX30…498.29 -4.43 -0.88%

IDXEnergy…1921.42 +8.72 +0.46%
IDX BscMat.1100.89 -4.36 -0.39%
IDX Indstrl…1208.13 +4.82 +0.40%
IDXNONCYC.747.34 -0.93 -0.12%
IDX Hlthcare1502.23 -15.19 -1.00%
IDXCYCLIC….914.34 +2.73 +0.30%
IDX Techno.4567.96 -88.77 -1.91%
IDX Transp..1880.11 +9.06 +0.48%
IDX Infrast… .846.81 -0.33 -0.04%
IDX Finance.1420.8 -9.13 -0.64%
IDX Banking.1208.36 -10.11 -0.83%
IDX Property..763 +7.40 +0.98%

Indo10Yr.6.3830+0.0146 +0.24%
ICBI….368.8396 -0.2931 -0.08%
US2Yr.4.7680 -0.023 -0.47%
US5Yr 4.1390 -0.026 -0.63%
US10Yr4.0420 -0.020 -0.50%
US30Yr.4.2030 -0.012 -0.29%
VIX…….17.10 +1.18 +7.41%‼️

USDIndx 102.0170 -0.53 -0.51%
Como Indx…279.46 +0.98 +0.35%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….145.85 -0.61 -0.41%

IndoCDS.78.72 -1.96 -2.43%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (25/07)

IDR…..15170.50‼️ -16.00 -0.11%
Jisdor.15198.00 ‼️-30.00 -0.20%

Euro……1.1006 +0.0100 +0.52%

TLKM…24.06 -0.15 -0.62%
(3657)
EIDO….23.07 -0.14 -0.60%
EEM…..40.54 -0.05 -0.12%

Oil…..82.82 +1.27 +1.56%
Gold…1976.10 +7.30 +0.37%
Timah..27700.00 -323.00 -1.15%
(Closed 04/08)
Nickel..21328.50 -278.50 -1.29%
(Closed 26/07)
Silver…. 23.72 +0.02 +0.08%
Copper.386.75 -3.20 -0.82%

Iron Ore 62% 105.18 +0.92 +0.88%
(04/08)
Nturl Gas.2.5790 +0.0140 +0.55%
Ammonia China..3483.33 -50.00 -1.42%
(Domestic Price)(26/07)

Coal price..137.00 +0.15 +0.11%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.50 -1.00 -0.71%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.00 unch +0%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.150.00 -0.55 -0.37%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price108.25 -0.25 +0.23%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.109.50 -1.45 -1.31%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.111.70 -1.20 -1.06%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.60 -1.20 -1.05%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3865 +41 +1.07%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………497.25 +3.75 +0.76%
SoybeanOil 61.52 +1.48 +2.46%
Wheat……633.00 +6.00 .+0.96%

Wood pulp..4520.00 unch +0%
(Closed 25/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing jum’at merah, europe ijo, asia ijo kecuali IDX yang sebelumnya ijo sendirian. lumayan dalem, bisa diharapkan rebound tipis tudei

USD index merah, gold silver langsung ijo, iron ore juga ijo, timah nikel copper tapi merah. oil gas coal ijo CPO ijo. menarik ini buat saham2 basic materials dan energy

IHSG – technical indicators masih jelek, masih FNS juga, tapi dari itungan fibonacci udah cukup koreksinya, dan biasanya kalo run pendek koreksinya ga ABC correction. Bisa diharapkan sideways dulu tapi ga lanjut ke bawah, semoga malah pelan2 langsung naik. Tapi tetep, namanya technical masih jelek, hati2 pegang saham, yang ragu2 jual dulu, pegang cash, tunggu momentum lagi

Basic Materials, Industrials, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBNI BBTN BUKA EMTK SMGR TBIG AVIA BELI BSDE ELSA JSMR LPPF MIKA MMIX MTMH

Yang big accum BBNI BSDE ELSA

MACD Buy Signal: BBNI AVIA RDTX

Alligator buy signal: ASII PTRO