April 27th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow, S&P 500 close lower Wednesday as First Republic woes eclipse Big Tech earnings

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
lost more than 200 points as investors’ worries over First Republic overshadowed their excitement around Big Tech earnings.

Dow……33302 -228.96 -0.68%
Nasdaq11854 +55.2 +0.47%
S&P 500.4055 -15.6 -0.38%

FTSE…..7853 -38.5 -0.49%
Dax……15796 -76.4 -0.48%
CAC……7467 -64.95 -0.86%

Nikkei…..28416 -203.6 -0.71%
HSI………19757 +139.4 +0.71%
Shanghai.3264 -0.8 -0.02%

IDX…..6910.15 +88.34 +1.29%
LQ45….963.21 +14.87 +1.57%
IDX30…502.17 +8.08 +1.64%

IDXEnergy…2097.25 +30.69 +1.49%
IDX BscMat 1163.77 +5.61 +0.48%
IDX Indstrl…1227.68 +20.28 +1.68%
IDXNONCYC.715.67 +8.65 +1.22%
IDX Hlthcare1531.12+15.21 +1.00%
IDXCYCLIC…..810.00 +0.69 +0.09%
IDX Techno..4831.13 -9.64 -0.20%
IDX Transp..1777.92 +46.15 +2.66%
IDX Infrast…..818.64 +10.28 +1.27%
IDX Finance.1390.61 +0.81 +0.06%
IDX Banking.1158.39 +6.52. +0.57%
IDX Property…692 +8.00 +1.18%

Indo10Yr.6.7162 -0.0427 -0.63%👍
ICBI….356.6914 +1.1217 +0.32%👍
US2Yr.3.9480 +0.0008 +0.02%
US5Yr 3.4941 +0.0467 +1.35%
US10Yr3.4450+0.0450 +1.32%
US30Yr.3.7050+0.0490 +1.34%
VIX…… 18.84 +0.08 +0.43%

USDIndx101.4670 -0.3960 -0.39%
Como Indx.264.94 -3.84 -1.43%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…152.19 +0.52 +0.35%

IndoCDS..95.070 +0.010 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (25/04)

IDR…..14836.00 -103.00 -0.69%👍
Jisdor.14882.00 +27.00 +0.18%

Euro……1.1040 +0.0062 +0.56%

TLKM..29.16 +0.75 +2.64%
(4340)
EIDO…24.26 +0.54 +2.28%
EEM……38.41 +0.22 +0.58%

Oil……74.31 -2.93 -3.79%‼
Gold.1999.90 -8.00 -0.40%
Timah..25584.00 -1062.00 -3.99%‼
(Closed 25/04)
Nickel..23658.50 +398.00 +1.71%
(Closed 26/04)
Silver……25.18 -0.10 -0.40%
Copper…385.70 -1.65 -0.43%

Nturl Gas.2.311 -0.0075 -3.14%‼

Ammonia 3050.00‼ unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(25/04)

Coal price.190.15 +1.10 +0.58%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.190.00 +3.15 +1.69%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.193.00 +1.25 +0.65%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.196.10 +0.50 +0.26%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price.140.15 +0.15 +0.11%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.134.90 -3.10 -2.25%
(May/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 131.00 -2.75 -2.05%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 129.90 -2.50 -1.88%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)…3571 -67 -1.84%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..601.00 -6.75 -1.11%
SoybeanOil52.50 +0.36 +0.69%
Wheat…..642.00 -11.00 -1.68%

Wood pulp..4110.00‼ -50.00 -1.20%
(Closed 26/04)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah Nasdaq ijo, Europe merah, Asia varied, IHSG sama Hangseng jalan. Hari ini koreksi sehat dulu keliatannya

oil gas merah, coal ijo, metal2 merah semua kecuali nikel, pas buat INCO. CPO masih merah lagi

IHSG – kemaren opening jump, tutup gap, closing lebih tinggi, candle long lower shadow, harusnya lanjut sih. Stoch up, MACDup, MFI flat, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, breakout resistance fibo 38, dikit lagi double bottom nya firm. Semoga lanjut rally nya

Industrials, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak banget, kita liat yang sambil big accum: INCO JPFA APIC SMDR

MACD Buy Signal: CPIN PTBA AVIA LSIP

Alligator Buy Signal: BTPS

Supertrend Buy Signal: INDF ASSA HEAL PTPP SMDR

INCO – stoch buy macd up MFI down w% sw, BD FF acc, udah bikin higher low, posisi di modus volume profile, Elliot wave besarnya masih perkiraan wave 3, walau koreksi jauh tapi ga break bottom wave 2, bisa buy ini

Belum ada spike baru

Harga masih aman

JPFA – Abis drop jauh, sabar tunggu higher low

APIC – wah, saham hajatan, ga berani ah volatile banget gini ngejarnya

Udah tinggal ditunggu guyurannya ini sih

SMDR – stoch buy, macd up, MFI sw, w% uptrend, abis gorengan, koreksi udah sampe fibo 61, ok buat mantul, bikin double bottom, breakout resistance, menarik, kita check spike

Udah ada spike, tapi belum terlalu significant

harga sih aman, tinggal idealnya tunggu spike yang significant kita baru ikut entry

CPIN – sabar tunggu higher low

PTBA – stoch almost buy, macd buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, FF acc BD dist, mencurigakan… itungan proyeksi Elliot wave udah beres wave 5, dan ketemu reg bear div, jangan dulu deh… Buat new entry ga berani

LSIP – masuk saham value investing, stoch buy MACD buy MFI down w% sw, BD FF ngebalik buy, double bottom setelah bikin higher low, ok sih buat BOW setengah candle kemaren, soale pas CPO price juga turun.

Belum ada spike baru

Harga sih aman banget… BOW setengah botol dulu

BTPS – stoch rev down, MACD still up, 833 sell MFI sw w% sw, BD FF dist, udah bikin higher low sih, tapi skip dulu, belum waktunya

INDF – stoch buy macd up,MFI flat, w%uptrend, BD dist, FF acc, baru breakout resistance / neckline CNH, ketemu reg bear RSI, bisa BOW sih ini, stoploss kalo breakdown neckline lagi

Belum ah, ada reg bear ga ada spike bd dist… skip dulu

ASSA – stoch sell macd up 833buy.BD acc FF acc tipis, MFI down, w% uptrend, telat sih entry nya harusnya di MACD kemaren, walau sekarang ikut 833 bisa jadi ok continuation

Belum spike significant lagi

HEAL – stoch overbought, MACD up, MFI up BD FF acc, w% up, deket fibo 38, sabar tunggu bikin higher low di fibo 23

Spike lumayan

 

March 20th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 400 points lower on Friday as First Republic and regional banks resume slide

Stocks fell Friday as investors pulled back from positions in First Republic
and other bank shares amid lingering concerns over the state of the U.S. banking sector.

Dow……31862 -384.6 -1.19%
Nasdaq11631 -86.8 -0.74%
S&P 500.3917 -43.6 -1.10%

FTSE…..7335 -74.6 -1.01%
Dax…..14768 -198.9 -1.33%
CAC……6925 -100.3 -1.43%

Nikkei…..27334 +323.2 +1.20%
HSI………19519 +314.7 +1.64%
Shanghai.3251 +23.7 +0.73%

IDX…..6678.24 +112.51 +1.71%
LQ45….924.25 +16.75 +1.85%
IDX30…482.45 +8.52 +1.80%

IDXEnergy.2013.92 +67.06 +3.44%‼️
IDX BscMat 1125.89 +19.00 +1.72%
IDX Indstrl…1151.76 +20.90 +1.85%
IDXNONCYC..717.84 +6.88 +0.97%
IDX Hlthcare1562.97 +23.38 +1.85%
IDXCYCLIC…..795.52 +5.53 +0.70%
IDX Techno..5023.90 -4.60 -0.09%
IDX Transp..1744.59 +48.82 +2.88%
IDX Infrast…..808.28 +12.33 +1.55%
IDX Finance.1364.90 +25.22 +1.88%
IDX Banking.1118.15 +21.26 +1.94%
IDX Property….664 +0.30 +0.05%

Indo10Yr.6.9001 +0.0209 +0.30%
ICBI…..350.7112 -0.2133 -0.06%
US2Yr3.8458 -0.3282 -7.86%‼️
US5Yr 3.5070 -0.2261 -6.06%‼️
US10Yr3.4380 -0.1410 -3.94%‼️
US30Yr.3.6270-0.0850 -2.29%
VIX…… 25.51 +2.52 +10.96%‼️

USDIndx103.7080 -0.7100 -0.68%
Como Indx.254.66 -1.99 -0.78%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…154.02 +1.13 +0.74%

IndoCDS..106.930 +7.886 +7.96%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/15)

IDR…..15345.00 -44.00 -0.29%
Jisdor.15364.00 -54.00 -0.35%

Euro……1.0613 +0.0034 +0.32%

TLKM….26.40 -0.41 -1.53%
(4056)
EIDO……22.00 +0.24 +1.10%
EEM……37.61 -0.23 -0.61%

Oil….66.74 -1.69 -2.47%
Gold.1990.20 +66.50+3.46%‼️
Timah .22464.00 – -%
(Closed 03/15)
Nickel..23545.00 +47.50 +0.20%
(Closed 03/17)
Silver…..22.46 +0.63 +2.88%
Copper..389.25 +1.70 +0.44%

Nturl Gas.2.350 -0.1820 -7.19%‼️

Ammonia 4173.33 -66.67 -1.57%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/16)

Coal price.173.00 -1.00 -0.57%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.175.05 -4.60 -2.56%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.179.10 -5.15 -2.80%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.184.10 -4.00 -2.13%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.134.50 -3.50 -2.54%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 127.00 -5.00 -3.79%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 125.25 -5.15 -3.95%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 123.90 -5.75 -4.44%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3921 -14 -0.36%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..632.75 +6.25 +1.00%
SoybeanOil.57.73+1.39 +2.47%
Wheat…..699.00 -3.75 -0.53%

Wood pulp…5530.00 -40 -0.72%
(Closed 03/18)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at US dan Europe closing merah, Asia ijo tebel ikut US hari sebelumnya. Semoga hari ini udah calmed down jadi kalo koreksi juga ga dalem

Energy related commodity drop semua, precious metals naik, Gold Silver naik tinggi, siap siap ANTM MDKA

IHSG – mantul di support kuat, indicator masih belum terlalu ok, tapi w% udah ga downtrend, NFB, BD akum, elliot wave failed, bakal harus reset cycle nya. Semoga terus netbuy dan sentiment positif

Seperti kebiasaan menjelang puasa dan lebaran, consumer non-cyclicals jalan. Healthcare, Property ada gerakan

Abis drop dalem terus kemaren naik tinggi banyak banget stoch buy signal keluar…

Stoch Buy Signal: CPIN EXCL INCO JPFA SMGR SRTG UNTR ASSA BRMS DOID JSMR LSIP MLPL MTEL

MACD Buy Signal: KLBF TPIA

Kita assess yang stoch buy signal dan big accum bandar…

January 30th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher Friday, Nasdaq posts fourth week of gains

Stocks rose Friday and capped off a winning week fueled by better-than-expected economic growth and a pop in Tesla shares.

Dow…….33978 +28.7 +0.08%
Nasdaq.11622 +109.3 +0.95%
S&P 500..4071 +10.1 +0.25%

FTSE…….7765 +4.04 +0.05%
Dax……..15150 +17.2 +0.11%
CAC……..7097 +1.2 +0.02%

Nikkei…..27383 +19.8 +0.07%
HSI……..22689 +122.1 +0.54%
Shanghai..3265 closed +0%

IDX…..6899.82 +34.16 +0.50%
LQ45….949.73 +8.09 +0.86%

IDX Energy..2172.08 +7.89 +0.36%
IDX BscMat 1262.61 -7.85 -0.62%
IDX Indstrl…1178.79 +3.68 +0.31%
IDXNONCYC..735.53 -3.98 -0.54%
IDX Hlthcare1529.28 -1.30 -0.09%
IDXCYCLIC…827.58 +2.45 +0.30%
IDX Techno5538.43 -3.89 -0.07%
IDX Transp1787.48 +6.86 +0.39%
IDX Infrast…..857.03 +6.28 +0.74%
IDX Finance 1428.33 +6.13 +0.43%
IDX Banking1152.14 +11.65 +1.02%
IDX Property….710 +8.10 +1.16%

Indo10Yr.6.8066 +0.0061+0.09%
ICBI..349.2981 -0.0406 -0.01%
US10Yr..3.5180 +0.0250 +0.72%
VIX……18.51 -0.22 -1.17%

USDIndx101.9270 +0.124 +0.12%
Como Indx.277.66 -1.89 -0.68%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..176.61 -2.20 -1.23%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……14985.00 +38.00 +0.25%
Jisdor..14978.00 +14.00 +0.09%

Euro……1.0874 -0.0016 -0.16%

TLKM….26.39 -0.05 -0.19%
(3953)
EIDO……23.55 +0.21 +0.90%
EEM……42.30 -0.20 -0.47%

Oil……..79.68 -1.33 -1.64%
Gold ..1945.60 -1.10 -0.06%
Timah.30838 -1424.00 -4.41%
(Closed 27/01)
Nickel.28985 -470.00 -1.60%
(Closed 27/01)
Silver…….23.62 -0.40 -1.66%
Copper..422.25 -4.50 -1.05%

Nturl Gas.2.856 +0.018 +0.63%

Ammonia.4223.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(27/01)

Coal price..266.25 +7.00 +2.70%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.257.50 +6.15 +2.45%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.253.45 +7.25 +2.94%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.248.95 +7.25 +2.49%
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.141.00 +3.70 +2.69%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price.140.55 +3.80 +2.78%
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.141.20 +3.70 +2.69%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price142.00 +4.75 +3.46%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)…..3910 +139 +3.69%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..683.00 +0.50 +0.07%
SoybeanOil..60.62 -0.17 -0.28%
Wheat…….750.00. -2.50 -0.33%

Wood pulp…6280.00 unch +0%
(Closed 29/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua index regional closing ijo pas jum’at. Metal2 semua merah, cocok dorong ANTM dan MDKA kebawah buat rencana re-entry, Oil turun Gas naik Coal naik, Bisa jadi ELSA harus exit dulu ini, semoga saham coal rebound lagi. CPO ijo, LSIP AALI udah mulai jalan, semoga lanjut

IHSG – opening gap up, jadi ada pe er ini, apalagi memang stochastic nya udah overbought. Tapi FF sudah firm entry lagi di idx, so idealnya dikasih tail aja dulu tutup gap terus lanjut rally. Stoch masih up, MACD up, MFI up, Supertrend up alligator buy, wave 3, bisa mulai lebih berani belanja

Financials, Transportation. Energy mau reborn, semoga… Tapi tetep kayanya ga akan long run lagi energy, sampe beres winter aja

 

Stochastic Signal, yang ada cuma sell. Coal beware

MACD Buy Signal: AMRT JPFA MBSS

January 26th, 2023

Good morning,

Nasdaq closes slightly lower for a second day as earnings season rolls on

The Nasdaq closed lower Wednesday for a second day as investors studied the latest batch of corporate earnings, and assessed how the largest companies are faring amid rising rates and mounting recession fears.

Dow…….33744 +9.9. +0.03%
Nasdaq.11313 -20.9 -0.18%
S&P 500..4016 -0.7 -0.02%

FTSE…….7745 -12.5 -0.16%
Dax……..15082 -11.5 -0.08%
CAC……..7044 -6.6 -0.09%

Nikkei…..27395 +95.8 +0.35%
HSI………22045 closed +0%
Shanghai..3265 closed +0%

IDX…..6829.93 -30.92 -0.45%
LQ45….932.34 -7.01 -0.75%

IDX Energy..2205.98 -19.45 -0.87%
IDX BscMat 1264.66 -7.43 -0.58%
IDX Indstrl…1182.63 -2.46 -0.21%
IDXNONCYC..733.12 +1.36 +0.19%
IDX Hlthcare1542.75 -6.10 -0.39%
IDXCYCLIC…816.97 -3.45 -0.42%
IDX Techno5530.06 -9.86 -0.18%
IDX Transp1716.69 +52.29 +3.14%
IDX Infrast…..845.28 -2.86 -0.34%
IDX Finance 1400.12 +7.87 +0.57%
IDX Banking1115.08 -2.08 -0.19%
IDX Property….702 -0.40 -0.06%

Indo10Yr.6.7962 +0.0230+0.34%
ICBI..349.4896 -0.3244 -0.09%
US10Yr..3.4620 -0.0070 -0.20%
VIX……19.08 -0.12 -0.63%

USDIndx101.6250 -0.300 -0.29%👍
Como Indx.277.48 -0.49 -0.18%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..178.09 +0.81 +0.46%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……14965.00 +77.50 +0.52%
Jisdor..14958.00 +28.00 +0.19%

Euro……1.0916 +0.0033 +0.30%

TLKM…25.73 -0.18 -0.69%
(3849)
EIDO……23.05 -0.05 -0.22%
EEM……42.10 +0.04 +0.10%

Oil……..80.44 +80.31 +0.39%
Gold ..1964.00 +11.80 +0.60%
Timah.29503 +457.00 +1.55%
(Closed 24/01)
Nickel.29206 +358.00 +1.24%
(Closed 25/01)
Silver…….24.04 +0.29 +1.23%
Copper..426.00 +1.15 +0.27%

Nturl Gas.2.862 -0.196 -6.40%‼️

Ammonia.4223.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(18/01)

Coal price..354.00 -5.60 -1.56%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.284.75-29.75-10.45%‼️
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.243.00-33.40 -12.08%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.237.95-32.20 -11.92%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.166.25 -3.75 -2.21%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price142.00 -22.10 -13.47%‼️
(Feb/ Rotterdam)
Coal price138.10 -25.05.-15.35%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price145.00 -18.75 -11.45%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)…..3753 -151 -3.87%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..677.00 +10.75 +1.61%
SoybeanOil..60.98 -1.06 -1.71%
Wheat…….734.50 +14.50 +2.01%

Wood pulp…6280.00 unch +0%
(Closed 25/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo tipis Nasdaq merah, europe merah, asia masih pada tutup nikkei ijo, IDX hari kedua koreksi, masih jadwal koreksi lagi kayanya hari ini, apalagi coal turun agak dalem dan posisi nunggu pengumuman GDP US

Oil Ijo gas coal drop, metal2 mantul ijo semua, CPO lanjut turun, masih koreksi or sideways dulu ini

IHSG – stoch up oversold, MACD up, 833 sell, MFI sw,NFS lagi, BD dist, dari posisi chart ini sih masih jadwal minor correction, semoga ga terlalu dalam. Ada gap di 6688, sangat mungkin koreksinya sampe kesitu

Financials, Energy, Industrials

Stochastic Buy Signal: JPFA TBIG DSNG

MACD Buy Signal: MNCN WIKA SIDO PTRO