August 16th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow slides more than 300 points, breaking a 3-day win streak, as bank names tumble

Stocks fell Tuesday as concern over the state of the global economy — China in particular — and a decline in U.S. banks combined to pressure Wall Street.

Dow……34946 -361.2 -1.02%
Nasdaq13631 -157.3 -1.14%
S&P 500.4438 -51.9 -1.16%

FTSE…..7390 -117.5 -1.57%
Dax……15767 -136.97 -0.86%
CAC……7268 -81.1 -1.10%

Nikkei…32239 +178.98 +0.56%
HSI…….18581 -192.4 -1.03%
Shanghai.3176 -2.3 -0.07%

IDX…..6915.10 +4.93 +0.07%
LQ45….966.25 -2.41 -0.25%
IDX30…500.92 -1.43 -0.28%

*IDXEnergy…2001.56 +41.76 +2.13%*
IDX BscMat.1135.01 +5.55 +0.49%
IDX Indstrl…1203.00 -3.75 -0.31%
IDXNONCYC.755.51 +0.27 +0.04%
IDX Hlthcare1476.05 -3.73 -0.25%
IDXCYCLIC….922.66 +2.88 +0.31%
IDX Techno.4511.20 +45.58 +1.02%
IDX Transp..1858.13 -0.46 -0.02%
IDX Infrast… .873.32 +13.79 +1.53%
IDX Finance.1423.70 -5.29 -0.37%
IDX Banking.1215.09 -12.90 -1.05%
IDX Property..764 +5.20 +0.69%

*Indo10Yr.6.4343*+0.0194 +0.30%
*ICBI….369.1220* -0.1901 -0.05%
*US2Yr.4.9590* -0.014 -0.28%
*US5Yr 4.3780* +0.006 +0.14%
*US10Yr4.2210* +0.030 +0.72%
*US30Yr.4.3250* +0.041 +0.96%
*VIX…….16.46 +1.64 +11.07%‼️*

*USDIndx 103.2090‼️* +0.019 +0.02%
Como Indx…274.30 -3.79 -1.36%
(Core Commodity CRB)
*BCOMIN….138.10* -1.29 -0.92%

*IndoCDS.83.17 +1.96 +2.41%‼️*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(14/08)*

*IDR…..15341.50‼️+26.50 +0.17%*
*Jisdor.15346.00 ‼️+23.00 +0.15%*

*Euro……1.0903 -0.0005 -0.05%*

TLKM…24.50 -0.16 -0.65%
*(3760)*
EIDO….22.98 -0.04 -0.17%
EEM…..38.92 -0.45 -1.14%

*Oil………81.03* -1.38 -1.67%
*Gold…1932.30* -6.90 -0.36%
*Timah..25325.00 -1132 -4.28%‼️*
*(Closed 14/08)*
*Nickel..19765.50 -562.00 -2.76%‼️*
(Closed 15/08)
Silver…… 22.58 -0.06 -0.27%
Copper.369.50 -3.20 -0.86%

*Iron Ore 62% 104.63 -0.74 -0.70%*
(14/08)
*Nturl Gas.2.6540 -0.1600 -5.69%‼️*
*Ammonia China..3366.67 unch +0%*
(Domestic Price)(14/08)

Coal price..147.15 +0.65 +0.44%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.154.65 +1.15 +0.75%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.157.10 +0.60 +0.38%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.160.40 +0.40 +0.25%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price116.75 +1.15 +0.99%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.10 -0.90 -0.75%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.65 -1.30 -1.07%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.60 +0.65 +0.54%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

*CPO(Oct)..3788 +93 +2.51%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………475.50 -12.25 -2.51%
SoybeanOil 61.88 +0.73 +1.19%
*Wheat….623.75 -17.75 -2.77%*

*Wood pulp..4640.00* unch +0%
(Closed 15/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US merah dalem, eropa juga merah, asiamerah kecuali nikkei sama IHSG, hati hati koreksi…

USD index lanjut naik lagi, metals drop lagi, sekarang tanpa kecuali, oil gas juga merah, coal sama CPO yang ijo. Beware yang udah profit pasang trailing stop, stop loss di semua posisi

IHSG – Stoch buy, macd rev up, MFI sw, w% uptrend, BD acc, FF masih dist, triangel breakout upwards, harusnya lanjut ke atas, tapi US europe merah dalem kayanya pullback dulu

Property, Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Infrastructure. Basic Materials udahan dulu keliatannya. TPIA BRPT yang kemaren kenceng ati2 ya, bisa jadi udahan atau pullback, trailing stop on…

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA AMRT INTP MAPI ASSA BFIN JKON JSMR

MACD Buy Signal: ADRO SRTG TOWR UNVR PNLF RAJA SMRA

Alligator Buy Signal: BBNI JPFA MYOR

Supertrend Buy Signal: BRIS TBIG MYOR

August 11th, 2023

 

Good morning,

 

Dow ends Thursday slightly higher, lifted by weaker-than-expected inflation data, Disney pops nearly 5%

 

The Dow Jones Industrial Average

edged higher Thursday, helped by a post-earnings Disney

rally and a key inflation reading showing slightly less year-over-year inflation growth than expected.

 

Dow……35176  +52.8      +0.18%

Nasdaq13738  +15.98    +0.12%

S&P 500.4469  +1.1         +0.03%

 

FTSE…..7619   +31.3       +0.41%

Dax……15997  +143.9     +0.91%

CAC……7434   +111.6     +1.52%

 

Nikkei…32474   +269.3  +0.84%

HSI…….19248   +2.2       +0.01%

Shanghai.3254 +10.1     +0.31%

 

IDX…..6893.23   +18.16    +0.12%

LQ45….966.48   +1.18       +0.12%

IDX30…501.45   +0.28       +0.06%

 

IDXEnergy…1940.94  +28.82 +1.51%

IDX BscMat.1098.97 +0.35   +0.03%

IDX Indstrl…1204.59  -7.90    -0.65%

IDXNONCYC.750.22 +0.17    +0.02%

IDX Hlthcare1490.49+1.59    +0.11%

IDXCYCLIC….913.88  -0.89    -0.10%

IDX Techno.4484.67 +30.83 +0.69%

IDX Transp..1873.52 +15.12 +0.81%

IDX Infrast… .858.21 +3.24   +0.38%

IDX Finance.1428.13 -2.54    -0.18%

IDX Banking.1228.06+1.50   +0.12%

IDX Property..755       -2.00   -2.70%

 

*Indo10Yr.6.3964* -0.0013  -0.02%

*ICBI….369.5720* +0.2564 +0.07%

*US2Yr.4.8500*  -0.040    -0.83%

*US5Yr 4.2340   +0.095   +2.30%*

*US10Yr4.1150  +0.1050 +2.62%*

*US30Yr.4.2680 +0.103   +2.47%*

*VIX…….15.85   -0.11      -0.69%*

 

*USDIndx 102.6230* +0.1330 +0.13%

Como Indx…279.96  -2.08   -0.74%

(Core Commodity CRB)

BCOMIN….142.56    -0.35    -0.24%

 

 

*IndoCDS.80.21  -0.02  -0.02%*

(5-yr INOCD5) *(09/08)*

 

*IDR…..15185.00‼️-4.50    -0.03%*

*Jisdor.15204.00 ‼️-2.00   -0.01%*

 

*Euro……1.0982  +0.0005  +0.05%*

 

TLKM…24.57  -0.01   -0.04%

*(3736)*

EIDO….23.10   +0.03  +0.13%

EEM…..40.15   +0.06  +0.15%

 

*Oil…..82.90‼️  -1.33   -1.58%*

*Gold…1944.90‼️* -4.00  -0.21%

Timah..27259.00  -41.00   -0.15%

*(Closed 09/08)*

Nickel..20430.50  -88.00   -0.43%

(Closed 10/08)

Silver…… 22.76  +0.02   +0.09%

Copper.375.65   -2.95     -0.78%

 

*Iron Ore 62%  104.70 +0.29 +0.28%*

(09/08)

Nturl Gas.2.7850  -0.0070  -0.25%

*Ammonia  China..3366.67 unch  +0%*

(Domestic Price)(10/08)

 

Coal price..143.00 +0.50 +0.35%

(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price.149.00 +0.75  +0.51%

(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price.152.25 +1.35  +0.89%

(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.155.50 +1.25  +0.81%

(Nov/Newcastle)

 

Coal price117.50  +1.65  +1.42%

(Agt/Rotterdam)

Coal price.120.25  -0.35   -0.29%

(Sept/ Rotterdam)

Coal price.120.55  -0.10   -0.08%

(Oct/Rotterdam)

Coal price.122.10  -0.30   -0.25%

(Nov/Rotterdam)

 

CPO(Oct)..3727  -38   -1.00%

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

 

Corn………496.25  +2.00   +0.40%

SoybeanOil 60.48 +0.05   +0.08%

Wheat……663.75  +2.00   +0.40%

 

*Wood pulp..4620.00‼️* +20  +0.43%

(Closed 09/08)

 

©️Phintraco Sekuritas

Broker Code: *_AT_*

_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia

_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US ijo europe ijo, asia ijo, ayo ijo lagi IHSG hari ini…

USD index naik, kebanyakan commodities turun kecuali silver, iron ore sama coal. Bagus buat PTBA dkk, tapi tambang mineral mineral logam jadi kurang OK

IHSG – stoch rev up almost buy, MACD down rev, BD flat, FNB 5 days straight, triangle keliatan mau breakout ke atas, semoga lanjut

Basic Materials dan Industrials rada slow down, Infrastructure Property Financials sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals jalan

Stochastic Buy Signal: INDY ITMG SRTG TOWR UNTR ABMM HMSP SMAR. Big accum: INDY ITMG SRTG TOWR. Kayanya emang coal mau hajatan ini…

MACD Buy Signal: SIDO ADMR JPFA CEKA

Alligator Buy Signal: BUKA

Supertrend Buy Signal: BBNI

August 10th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow sheds nearly 200 points, Nasdaq drops 1% as August slide resumes ahead of inflation report

Stocks fell Wednesday as Wall Street awaited fresh inflation data coming later in the week.

Dow……35123 -191.1 -0.54%
Nasdaq13722 -162.3 -1.17%
S&P 500.4468 -31.7 -0.70%

FTSE…..7587 +59.9 +0.80%
Dax……15853 +77.7 +0.49%
CAC……7322 +52.6 +0.72%

Nikkei…32204 -172.96 -0.53%
HSI…….19246 +61.9 +0.32%
Shanghai.3245 -16.1 -0.49%

IDX…..6875.11 +6.30 +0.09%
LQ45….965.30 +3.44 +0.36%
IDX30…501.17 +1.48 +0.30%

IDXEnergy…1912.13 -10.42 -0.54%
IDX BscMat.1098.62 -3.62 -0.33%
IDX Indstrl…1212.50 -0.29 -0.02%
IDXNONCYC.750.05 +4.32 +0.58%
IDX Hlthcare1488.99 -0.99 -0.07%
IDXCYCLIC….914.77 +2.86 +0.31%
IDX Techno.4453.84 -99.49 -2.18%
IDX Transp..1858.40 -28.97 -1.53%
IDX Infrast… .853.97 +3.61 +0.42%
IDX Finance.1430.66 -0.56 -0.04%
IDX Banking.1226.56+8.11 +0.67%
IDX Property..757 -8.90 -1.16%

Indo10Yr.6.3977+0.0035 +0.05%
ICBI….369.3157 +0.1254 +0.03%
US2Yr.4.8100 +0.050 +1.05%
US5Yr 4.1390 +0.025 +0.61%
US10Yr4.0100 -0.011 -0.27%
US30Yr.4.1650-0.027 -0.64%
VIX…….15.96 -0.03 -0.19%

USDIndx 102.4900 -0.0380 -0.04%
Como Indx…282.04 +2.82 +1.01%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….142.90 +0.05 +0.03%

IndoCDS.80.23 +2.03 +2.60%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/08)

IDR…..15189.50‼️-28.00 -0.18%
Jisdor.15206.00 ‼️-23.00 -0.15%

Euro……1.0977 +0.0022 +0.20%

TLKM…24.58 +0.35 +1.44%
(3738)
EIDO….23.07 +0.08 +0.35%
EEM…..40.09 +0.10 +0.25%

Oil…..84.23‼️ +1.53 +1.85%
Gold…1948.90‼️ -10.50 -0.54%
Timah..27300.00 -456.00 -1.64%
(Closed 08/08)
Nickel..20518.50 -358.50 -1.72%
(Closed 09/08)
Silver…… 22.74 -0.09 -0.39%
Copper.378.60 +1.10 +0.29%

Iron Ore 62% 104.41 -0.32 -0.31%
(08/08)
Nturl Gas.2.7920 +0.1700 +6.09%‼️
Ammonia China..3366.67 -16.6 -0.49%
(Domestic Price)(08/08)

Coal price..142.50 unch +0%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.148.25 +3.00 +2.07%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.150.90 +2.65 +1.79%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.154.25 +2.35 +1.55%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price115.85 +1.10 +0.96%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.60 +2.60 +2.20%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.65 +1.65 +1.39%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.40 +1.60 +1.32%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3765 +73 +1.97%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………494.25 -4.50 -0.90%
SoybeanOil 60.43 +0.58 +0.97%
Wheat…..661.75 -4.50 -2.90%

Wood pulp..4600.00‼️ +40 +0.88%
(Closed 09/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing merah, Europe ijo, Asia Varied, ID Sing Korea Hongkong ijo, Jepang China merah

USD index turun tipis, ga terlalu ngaruh, Gold Silver iron ore merah, copper ijo tipis, timah nikel lanjut merah, Oil Gas lanjut ijo, Coal ijo, CPO lijo. Masih sideways buat ANTM MDKA, hati2 TINS INCO NCKL

IHSG – indicator type oscillators masih bilang belum ok, tapi rada pede karena FNB. Diharapkan galama konsolidasi terus breakout ke atas, Big Banks udah mulai jalan, kemaren keganjel GOTO yang dibanting juga tetep berhasil closing ijo, semoga lanjut, walau sepertinya masih sideways dulu

Basic Materials, Industrials, Property, Financials, Infrastructure, Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: BMRI PTBA TLKM AALI BDMN BSSR JPFA TINS RDTX INDS

MACD Buy Signal: AMRT BRIS CPIN TLKM BELI CTRA ISAT

Alligator Buy Signal: ADMR MTEL

Supertrend Buy Signal: JPFA

Selamat pagi 🌻,
4 Agustus 23

Dow.. 35.215.89 -66.63 -0.19%
Nasdaq.. 13.959.72 -13.73 -0.10%
S&P 500.. 4.501,89 -11.5 -0.25%

Brent Oil.. 85.25 +2.05 +2.46%
Crude Oil WTI.. 81.77 +0.21 +0.26%
Gold.. 1970.30 +1.50 +0.08%
Nickel.. 21.737.00 +177.00 +0.82%
Silver.. 23.715 +0.018 +0.08%
Copper.. 3.9017 +0.0052 +0.13%
Nturl Gas.. 2.562 +0.008 +0.31%

Coal price..145.00 +1.58%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..141.5 +3.35
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.. 136.85 +3.35
(Aug/Newcastle)

Corn.. 494.75 -5.25% -1.05%
SoybeanOil.. 1.325.25 +4.25 +0.32%
Wheat.. 6.28,25 -10.75 -1.68%

RK/ CGS-CIMB Bdg
Tiktok: rienan777

Source: Investing, Barchart.

US merah, tapi semua commodity naik, bagus buat basic materials sama energy

IHSG – Udah 2 hari US merah tapi IHSG jalan, padahal MACD sell, tapi memang dari fibonacci retracement udah kena level koreksi wajar. Ga bisa cuma pake satu ilmu aja pendekatannya sih… BD acc, FNB, semoga lanjut

Masih Basic Materials, Industrials, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT ESSA ICBP KLBF SIDO ADMR BBKP JPFA RAJA SMRA. Big Accum KLBF ADMR JPFA

MACD Buy Signal: BBCA SMGR MYOR

Alligator Buy Signal: ERAA

AMRT Skip

ESSA – stoch buy, macd down, MFI sw, w% sw, CNH failed, BD dah mulai akum, FF masih galaw. Belum ok kayanya

ICBP – stoch buy macd downrev, MFI down, w% up, BD FF acc, belum ada spike baru, spike lama target done, udah run wave 3 panjang, belum masih 1.618 tapi khawatir mau wave 4. WNS dulu deh

 

KLBF – stoch buy, macd down, MFI down, w% sw, BD acc FF dist, but inside, itungan ABC correction level done, mungkin aja udah bisa dianggap beres dan mau rebound, tapi amannya tunggu MACD sambil pantau FF

Spike terakhir spike jual, belum ada lagi. WNS, tunggu MACD

SIDO – masih belum beres turunnya, emang sih stoch buy dan BD FF rev acc, tapi masih terakhir spike jual. Abis drop jauh sabar tunggu firm reversal, tunggu bikin higher low

ADMR – stoch buy, macd rev up almost buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, BD FF rev acc, udah bikin higher low, kayanya ada freq spike juga, kita check dulu

Pas di bawah 3 kali spike terus jalan, spike jual kecil, lanjut spike beli walau ga terlalu besar. OK sih ini, bisa spec buy, full load tunggu MACD

JPFA – stoch buy, macd down, MFI down, w% downtrend, BD FF acc, agak mencurigakan sih, akum terus walau turun, tapi apakah udah selesai dibawa turunnya. Technically belum.

Belum dulu sih, terakhir spike jual, lagipula udah pegang CPIN, skip dulu

SMGR – rsi reg bear div, memang sih stoch buy, BD FF rev acc, w% uptrend, kemaren candle ijo vol gede, tapi udah run lumayan panjang dan udah deket sama fibo 23, resiko kejedot terus dibanting

Ada spike tinggi 2 hari lalu sebelum diangkat 5.8%. Ga berani ah, curiga itu spike balikin barang

MYOR – stoch up, macd buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, tapi BD FF dist terus belum beres, hari ini kalo closing di atas breakout resistance, akhir dari wave 4? Munking aja sih, WNS dulu tunggu rev acc

ERAA – sejak breakout technical masih ok, tapi baru kena trailing stop, minggir dulu..