September 25th, 2024

S&P 500, Dow hit fresh records, China stocks soar on new stimulus

US stocks rose modestly on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial average notching record closes. Investors digested China’s launch of aggressive stimulus and a notable dip in US consumer sentiment.

Dow…….42208 +83.6 +0.20%
Nasdaq. 18075 +100.3 +0.56%
S&P 500 5733 +14.4 +0.25%

FTSE…8283 +23.1 +0.28%
Dax……18997 +149.8 +0.80%
CAC……7604 +95.9 +1.28%

Nikkei..37941 +216.7 +0.57%
HSI…..19001 +753.5 +4.13%‼️
Shanghai.2863+114.2 +4.15%‼️

IDX….7778.49 +2.76 +0.04%
LQ45…985.41 +0.16 +0.02%
IDX30.504.75 +0.76 +0.15%

IDXEnergy. 2726.29 +11.78 +0.43%
IDX BscMat1338.27 +6.89. +0.52%
IDX Indstrl..1084.77 -1.45 -0.13%
IDXNONCYC.750.63 +7.35 +0.99%
IDX Hlthcare1545.17 -3.63. -0.23%
IDXCYCLIC…896.57 -8.61 -0.95%
IDXTechno 3783.98 -43.64 -1.14%
IDX Transp 1528.75 +6.35 +0.42%
IDX Infrast 1573.30 +8.46 +0.54%
IDX Finance1575.02 +2.38 +0.15%
IDX Banking1410.37 -1.43 -0.24%
IDX Property..785 +0.30 +0.04%

Indo10Yr.6.4992 -0.0062 -0.10%
ICBI….396.0881 +0.1320 +0.03%
US2Yr.3.540 -0.047 -1.31%
US5Yr 3.472 -0.034 -0.96%
US10Yr3.737 -0.012 -0.32%
US30Yr.4.086 -0.010 -0.24%
VIX..15.39 -0.50 -3.15%👍

USDIndx 100.4660❗️-0.385 -0.38%
Como Indx….287.59 +3.46 +1.22%
BCOMIN….150.35 +4.08 +2.79%

IndoCDS..70.28 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (23/09)

IDR…….15187.00 -18.50 -0.12%
Jisdor..15186.00 -5.00 -0.03%

Euro…1.1185❗️ +0.073 +0.65%

TLKM.20.79 -0.09 -0.41%
( 3157)
EIDO…23.57 +0.17 +0.70%
EEM..45.53 +1.52 +3.45%‼️

Oil………..71.56 +0.89 +1.26%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..75.17 +1.27 +1.79%
(Brent)
Gold…2682.30‼️ +29.60 +1.13%
(Comex)
Gold…2659.45‼️ +31.85 +1.21%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32689.00 +394.00 +1.22%
(Closed 24/09)
Nickel..16745.00 +188.00 +1.14%
(Closed 24/09)
Silver… ..32.49 +1.45 +4.67%‼️
Copper.453.05 +18.55 +4.27%‼️

Iron Ore 62% 91.60 -0.33 -0.36%
(23/09)
Nturl Gas 2.816 -0.031 -1.09%
Ammonia China 2816.67 – -%
(Domestic Price)(24/09)

Coal price.139.50 unch +0%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.40 +0.65 +0.47%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.65 +1.05 +0.75%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.85 +1.10 +0.78%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.80 +0.15 +0.13%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..113.35 -0.60 -0.53%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.55 -0.35 -0.31%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.55 -0.45 -0.39%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 3989 +12 +0.30%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………411.75 -1.75 -0.42%
SoybeanOil 43.34 +1.50 +3.59%
Wheat……578.00 -4.50 -0.77%

Wood pulp.4800.00 unch +0%
(Closed 24/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua up, hongkong china up tebel banget, US treasury bond yield down, lanjut kenceng harusnya IHSG hari ini

USD index down, metal2 up kecuali iron ore, oil coal up, gas down, CPO up, harusnya lanjut ANTM MDKA INCO TINS AKRA MEDC AALI LSIP ADRO INDY PTBA

IHSG – stoch down macd down MFI sw, w% sw, bd acc FNB tapi turun, hati hati banget, technical udah bilang sell, kemungkinan besar ya mau wave 4

Technology, Transportation, Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, tapi semuanya udah jalan duluan dan rawan koreksi, yang menarik diliat Basic Materials dan Energy

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT ESSA ITMG UNVR CTRA JPFA PWON SSMS SIMP, big accum AMRT ITMG CTRA

MACD Buy Signal: GGRM INKP MDKA CTRA PNLF SIMP, big accum CTRA

ITMG – bareng sama coal coal lain loncat, stopch buy macd almost buy, loncat kemaren juga cuma 2.7%, ga tinggi2 amat, masih layak dikejar kalo emang confirm jalan panjang, MFI bottoming, w% up, BD FF rev big acc, unclosed gap, menarik sih

spike target done, hmmm

XL pas kemaren loncat malah jualan, mencurigakan sih… Tapi bisa ini spec buy, idealnya BOW di average BK 26270

CTRA – udah run panjang, memang sih stimulus nya bunga bank turun, tapi technicalnya udah mau udahan harusnya, stoch macd buy, MFI up w% uptrend, BD FF big acc, tapi ini udah ujung wave 5, saya sih minggir dulu ya…

Udah diatas average bandar, ga rekomen deh

INKP – macd rev buy, stoch masih down, MFI up, w% sw, BD masih dist, FF rev acc, ada freq spike, harga belum gerak, menarik dicermati

spike ok

Biggest holder accum, 2’nd nya malah dist, 3’rd nya diem, hmmm… Tapi average aman

Harga Pulp and Paper naik, MACD nya buy, bisa spec buy INKP

August 08th, 2024

Stocks close lower on Wednesday as market’s comeback attempt fizzles out

Stocks closed lower on Wednesday as the market’s attempt to fully recover from Monday’s sell-off failed.

Dow…….38763 -234.2 -0.60%
Nasdaq. 16195 -171.1 -1.05%
S&P 500 5193 -40.5 -0.77%

FTSE..8166.9 +140.2 +1.75%
Dax……17615 +260.8 +1.50%
CAC……7266 +135.97 +1.91%

Nikkei..35090 +414.2 +1.19%
HSI…….16878 +230.5 +1.38%
Shanghai.2870 +2.6 +0.08%

IDX….7212.13 +82.92 +1.16%
LQ45…903.79 +4.61 +0.51%
IDX30.451.88 +4.88 +1.09%

IDXEnergy.2421.41 +31.88 +1.33%
IDX BscMat1322.98 +16.65 +1.27%
IDX Indstrl..1015.19 +18.11 +1.82%
IDXNONCYC.700.65 +6.99 +1.01%
IDX Hlthcare1444.70 +4.97 +0.35%
IDXCYCLIC…758.22 +6.08 +0.81%
IDXTechno.3199.07 +19.42 +0.61%
IDX Transp 1356.76 +21.81 +1.63%
IDX Infrast 1546.26 +13.47 +0.88%
IDX Finance1394.55 +6.81 +0.49%
IDX Banking1239.80 +7.76 +0.63%
IDX Property…..645 +8.60 +1.36%

Indo10Yr.6.8743 -0.0035 -0.05%
ICBI…386.3727 +0.0880 +0.02%
US2Yr.3.983 -0.009 -0.23%
US5Yr 3.776 +0.033 +0.88%
US10Yr3.926 +0.042 +1.08%
US30Yr.4.191 +0.062 +1.48%
VIX..27.85 +0.14 +0.51%

USDIndx 103.1970❗️+0.228 +0.22%
Como Indx….273.70 +3.55 +1.31%
BCOMIN…..135.90 -1.22 -0.89%

IndoCDS..80.12❗️ -2.06 -2.51%
(5-yr INOCD5) (05/08)

IDR…..16035.00❗️ -129.50 -0.80%
Jisdor.16100.00❗️ -83.00 -0.51%

Euro…1.0926 -0.0004 -0.04%

TLKM…17.36 -0.02 -0.12%
( 2795)
EIDO.20.05 +0.18 +0.91%
EEM….40.90 +0.28 +0.69%

Oil………..75.45 +2.58 +3.54%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….78.33 +1.85 +2.42%
(Brent)
Gold…..2422.60 -7.40 -0.31%
(Comex)
Gold……2384.07 -38.53 -1.59%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29991.00 +340.00 +1.15%
(Closed 07/08)
Nickel..16233.00 -182.00 -1.11%
(Closed 07/08)
Silver….26.68 -0.33 -1.22%
Copper.393.25 -6.80 -1.70%

Iron Ore 62% 102.86 -1.32 -1.27%
(06/08)
Nturl Gas 2.089 +0.073 +3.62%
Ammonia China 2480.00 – -%
(Domestic Price)(06/08)

Coal price.145.00 -0.50 -0.34%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.147.90 +0.40 +0.27%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 148.95 -0.05 -0.03%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.149.95 -0.05 -0.03%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.121.10 +0.30 +0.25%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.00 +0.30 +0.25%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 122.60 +0.40 +0.33%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.123.25 +0.20 +0.16%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3696 -11 -0.30%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..400.75 -4.50 -1.11%
SoybeanOil 40.98 +0.92 +2.30%
Wheat…..538.25 -5.00 -0.92%

Wood pulp..5110 -20 -0.39%
(Closed 07/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah lagi, kemaren asia europe ijo tebel, US bond yield up, most likely IDX dan pasar asia merah lagi hari ini. Per sekarang Nikkei udah minus 1.8%. So IHSG kemungkinan besar juga sama merah

USD index up lagi, metal2 down kecuali tin, Oil up, gas up, coal tipis2, CPO merah tipis, masih belum ada yang terlalu menarik, nanti yang oil kita liat trend nya

Oil Price – mulai terlihat bottoming sih, tapi belum firm

IHSG – bagusnya FNB, tapi technical masih jelek. Mungkin aja udahan tapi belum firm tegambar di chart kecuali dari level fibonacci target ABC correction. Dengan US market merah dan Nikkei udah terlihat merah duluan, ya masih sesuai technical mau kebawah lagi dulu

Masih belum, financials melemah lagi, sisa healthcare tapi ga berani lah

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBRI CPIN TLKM ABMM ADMR EMTK JPFA SMDR, big accum: CPIN JPFA SMDR

MACD Buy Signal: PTMP TPIA, TPIA big accum

CPIN – BD FF accum, stoch buy, macd bottoming, posisi di modus vol profile, retracement pattern pas banget ini abis koreksi wave B ke fibo 23, harusnya emang naik lagi ke fibo 61.

Spike tinggi tapi terus drop, jadi ga bisa dibilang valid spike beli

Wah biggest holder nya buang… Nanti dulu deh, sekalian tunggu harga dibawah average bandar

JPFA- ini malah lebih ga berani, abis wave 5 belum abc correction… Walau BD FF lagi terlihat akum

SMDR – ini menarik, abis drop jauh mantul hampir sampe fibo 61 drop lagi ke fibo 23, mungkin akan lanjut beresin retracement pattern nya. soch bolak balik, MACD bottoming, MFI juga, w% sw, PBV PER nya ok, kita tunggu MACD buy signal

PTMP – buat perusahaan relatif baru IPO, PER nya 23 ga berani masuk lah…

TPIA – PBV 20 PER minus karena LK rugi, skip lah

TLKM – BD FF acc tipis, menari udah drop terus mantul, ini bikin higher low, stoch almost buy, macd still down, index mau merah dulu, sabar tunggu firm mantul

BBRI – BD FF dist, toch buy, macd still down, MFI w%down, IHNS in he making, abis drop ketemu regbull div mantul, retracement pattern jalan, harusnya tinggal nunggu wave C, tapi keliatannya belum saatnya

July 05th, 2024

Good morning,

US markets on holiday due to Independence Day

Dow……39308 closed +0%
Nasdaq18188 closed +0%
S&P 500.5537 closed +0%

FTSE…..8241 +70.1 +0.85%
Dax……18450 +75.95 +0.41%
CAC……7696 +63.7 +0.83%

Nikkei..40914 +332.9 +0.82%
HSI…..18028 +49.7 +0.28%
Shanghai.2958 -24.8 -0.83%

IDX….7220.89 +24.14 +0.34%
LQ45..899.85 +2.25 +0.25%
IDX30.448.31 +1.18 +0.66%

IDXEnergy..2448.53 +8.99 +0.37%
IDX BscMat1399.81 +0.33 +0.02%
IDX Indstrl. 972.80 +9.84 +1.02%
IDXNONCYC.696.97 +4.10 +0.69%
IDX Hlthcare1408.49 -5.70 -0.40%
IDXCYCLIC…729.83 +9.43 +1.31%
IDXTechno3243.42 +59.99 +1.88%
IDX Transp 1299.30 +7.69 +0.60%
IDX Infrast 1551.96 +2.01 +0.13%
IDX Finance1372.00 +6.92 +0.51%
IDX Banking1203.05 +10.19 +0.85%
IDX Property…..595 +1.50 +0.2%

Indo10Yr.7.0783 -0.0037 -0.05%
ICBI…380.3796 +0.2389 +0.06%
US2Yr.4.708 closed +0%
US5Yr 4.322 closed +0%
US10Yr4.371 -0.004 -0.09%
US30Yr.4.523 closed +0%
VIX..12.26 +0.17 +1.41%

USDIndx 105.4030❗️-0.73 -0.26%
Como Indx….294.02 closed +0%
BCOMIN…… 153.80 closed +0%

IndoCDS..75.69❗️ -1.51 -1.96%
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/07)

IDR…..16330.00‼️-41.00 -0.25%
Jisdor.16341.00‼️-46.00 -0.28%

Euro….1.0812 +0.0023 +0.21%

TLKM…18.39 closed +0%
( 3005)
EIDO….19.64 closed +0%
EEM…..43.45 closed +0%

Oil…….83.68 +0.64 +0.77%
Gold…..2365.30 -0.10 -0.04%
Timah..33158.00 -205.00 -0.61%
(Closed 03/07)
Nickel..17281.00 -135.5 -0.77%
(Closed 03/07)
Silver…30.69 -0.10 -0.32%
Copper.456.55 -3.65 -0.81%

Iron Ore 62% 113.06 +2.74 +2.48%
(03/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.382 -0.043 -1.77%
Ammonia China 2863.33 -20.00 -0.68%
(Domestic Price)(04/07)

Coal price.136.50 +1.50 +1.11%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.90 +1.50 +1.10%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.10 +1.70 +1.24%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 139.65 +2.10 +1.53%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.55 +2.80 +2.70%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..109.45 +3.85 +3.65%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 111.90 +4.05 +3.76%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.45 +3.55 +3.26%‼️
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..4067 -15 -0.37%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..419.50 closed +0%
SoybeanOil 47.91closed +0%
Wheat…574.00 closed +0%

Wood pulp..5480 -40 -0.72%
(Closed 04/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ID4 tutup, Europe ijo, Asia ijo, beware tapi ini jum’at profit taking karena udah rally belum koreksi cukup

USD index merah, tapi metal2 juga merah kecuali iron ore, Oil ijo, gas merah,coal ijo tebel, CPO turun dikit. ANTM AALI slow dulu kayanya

IHSG – Foreign masih inflow, masih jalan terus, beware belum ada koreksi dan di bawah ada gap… Yang udah pada profit pasang trailing stop, nanti belanja lagi pas koreksi wave 2 beres

Masih Industrials, Basic Materials, Transportation, Technology mulai nongol semoga tanda tanda GOTO bangun dari gocap

Stochastic Buy Signal: JPFA WIFI, JPFA big accum, vol breakout

MACD Buy Signal: MARK PNLF TPIA KBLI. Big accum PNLF

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: ABMM BRMS JPFA

June 20th, 2024

Good morning,

US markets on holiday due to Juneteenth

Dow……38835 closed +0%
Nasdaq17862 closed +0%
S&P 500.5487 closed +0%

FTSE…..8205 +13.8 +0.25%
Dax……18068 -64.4 -0.36%
CAC……7570 -58.6 -0.77%

Nikkei..38571 +88.7 +0.23%
HSI…..18430 +514.8 +2.87%
Shanghai.3018 -12.2 -0.40%

IDX….6726.92 -7.91 -0.12%
LQ45..839.62 -5.89 -0.70%
IDX30.414.50 -2.54 -0.63%

IDXEnergy..2225.10 +17.74 +0.80%
IDX BscMat1298.14 -2.02 -0.16%
IDX Indstrl. 898.31 +0.59 +0.07%
IDXNONCYC.680.39 -6.83 -0.99%
IDX Hlthcare1402.58-19.25 -1.35%
IDXCYCLIC…691.34 -13.68 -1.94%
IDXTechno3060.95 -41.45 -1.34%
IDX Transp 1198.13 -19.48. -1.60%
IDX Infrast 1449.64 +12.08 +0.84%
IDX Finance1296.15 -6.50 -0.50%
IDX Banking1089.28 -9.64 -0.88%
IDX Property…..593 -9.1 -1.52%

Indo10Yr.7.0818‼️+0.0411 +0.58%
ICBI…378.8874‼️ -0.5886 -0.16%
US2Yr.4.718 closed +0%
US5Yr 4.243 closed +0%
US10Yr4.232 closed +0%
US30Yr.4.352 closed +0%
VIX..12.48 +0.18 +1.46%

USDIndx 105.2540 ❗️-0.002 -0.001%
Como Indx….295.68 closed +0%
BCOMIN….150.57 closed +0%

IndoCDS..76.69 +4.54 +6.29%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (17/06)

IDR…16365.00‼️ -47.00 -0.29%
Jisdor.16368.00‼️-6.00. -0.04%

Euro….1.0745 +0.0005 +0.05%

TLKM…16.84 closed +0%*
( -)
EIDO….18.38 closed +0%
EEM…..42.89 closed +0%

Oil…….81.47 -0.02 -0.02%
Gold..2342.70 -1.00 -0.04%
Timah..32384.00 +240.00 +0.75%
(Closed 19/06)
Nickel..17346.00 +8.00 +0.05%
(Closed 19/06)
Silver….30.14 +0.55 +1.86%
Copper.447.60 +1.45 +0.33%

Iron Ore 62% 107.11 +0.06 +0.06%
(18/06)
Nturl Gas..2.915 +0.012 +0.41%
Ammonia China.2966.67 unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(19/06)

Coal price.134.10 +0.20 +1.50%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.00 +1.10 +0.82%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.00 +2.10 +1.52%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 142.75 +3.10 +2.22%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price.110.75 +1.50 +1.37%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.40 +3.15 +2.86%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 116.90 +2.60 +2.27%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 120.55 +2.70 +2.29%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..3920 +37.00 +0.95%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..467.75 closed +0%
SoybeanOil 44.44 closed +0%
Wheat….599.00 closed +0%

Wood pulp..5720 -20 -0.35%
(Closed 19/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US Closed, Europer kebanyakan ijo, asia hangseng ijo tebel, yang lain tipis tipis. USD index turun tipis, metal2 ijo tipis kecuali gold, oil merah tipis, gas ijo coal ijo, CPO ijo, bisa kita liat lagi PTBA hari ini. Semoga AALI juga

IHSG – harusnya sih udah done turunnya, index lain pada ok koq, nasdaq malah record high, mungkin nunggu pelantikan presiden biar seolah olah presiden baru bikin ekonomi menggeliat. Tapi technically belum saatnya aggressive belanja

Healthcare, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES EXCL INCO UNVR ADMR BFIN BRMS ELSA HRTA JPFA. Big accum ACES ADMR BFIN BRMS ELSA JPFA

MACD Buy Signal: DRMA SSMS BRAM