Posts Tagged ‘January’

Best Technical Indicators for Rookie Traders

Written by admin. Posted in Technical Analysis

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Starting out in the trading game? Looking for the best technical indicators to follow the action is important. It affects how you’ll interpret trends—both on positions and in the broad averages—as well as the type of opportunities that pop up in your nightly research. Choose wisely and you’ve built a solid foundation for success in speculation. Choose poorly and predators will be lining up, ready to pick your pocket at every turn.

Key Takeaways

  • In general, technical indicators fit into five categories: trend, mean reversion, relative strength, volume, and momentum.
  • Leading indicators attempt to predict where the price is headed while lagging indicators offer a historical report of background conditions that resulted in the current price being where it is.
  • Popular technical indicators include simple moving averages (SMAs), exponential moving averages (EMAs), bollinger bands, stochastics, and on-balance volume (OBV).

Novice Trading Strategies

Most novices follow the herd when building their first trading screens, grabbing a stack of canned indicators and stuffing as many as possible under the price bars of their favorite securities. This “more is better” approach short circuits signal production because it looks at the market from too many angles at once. It’s ironic because indicators work best when they simplify the analysis—cutting through the noise and providing usable output on-trend, momentum, and timing.

Instead, take a different approach by breaking down the types of information you want to follow during the market day, week, or month. In truth, nearly all technical indicators fit into five categories of research. Each category can be further subdivided into leading or lagging. Leading indicators attempt to predict where the price is headed while lagging indicators offer a historical report of background conditions that resulted in the current price being where it is.

  • Trend indicators (lagging) analyze whether a market is moving up, down, or sideways over time.
  • Mean reversion indicators (lagging) measure how far a price swing will stretch before a counter impulse triggers a retracement.
  • Relative strength indicators (leading) measure oscillations in buying and selling pressure.
  • Momentum indicators (leading) evaluate the speed of price change over time.
  • Volume indicators (leading or lagging) tally up trades and quantify whether bulls or bear are in control.

So, how can a beginner choose the right setting at the start and avoid months of ineffective signal production? The best approach in most cases is to begin with the most popular numbers—while adjusting one indicator at a time—and seeing if the output helps or hurts your performance. Using this method, you’ll quickly grasp the specific needs of your level.

Now that you understand the five ways that indicators dissect market action, let’s identify the best ones in each category for novice traders.

Trend Indicators

50-Day EMA and 200-Day EMA

Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2020

We’ll start with two indicators that are embedded within the same panel as the daily, weekly, or intraday price bars. Moving averages look back at price action over specific time periods, subdividing the total to create a running average that’s updated with each new bar. The 50- and 200-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) are more responsive versions of their better-known cousins, simple moving averages (SMAs). In a nutshell, the 50-day EMA is used to measure the average intermediate price of a security, while the 200-day EMA measures the average long term price.

U.S. Oil Fund (USO)’s 50- and 200-day EMAs rose steadily into the summer of 2014, while the instrument pushed up to a 9-month high. The 50-day EMA turned lower in August, with the 200-day EMA following suit one month later. The shorter-term average then crossed over the longer-term average (indicated by the red circle), signifying a bearish change in trend that preceded a historic breakdown.

Mean Reversion Indicators

Bollinger Bands

USO buying and selling impulses stretch into seemingly hidden levels that force counter waves or retracements to set into motion. Bollinger bands (20, 2) try to identify these turning points by measuring how far price can travel from a central tendency pivot—the 20-day SMA in this case—before triggering a reversionary impulse move back to the mean.

The bands also contract and expand in reaction to volatility fluctuations, showing observant traders when this hidden force is no longer an obstacle to rapid price movement.

Relative Strength Indicators

Stochastics

Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2020

Market movement evolves through buy-and-sell cycles that can be identified through stochastics (14,7,3) and other relative strength indicators. These cycles often reach a peak at overbought or oversold levels and then shift in the opposite direction, with the two indicator lines crossing over. Cycle alternations don’t automatically translate into higher or lower security prices as you might expect. Rather, bullish or bearish turns signify periods in which buyers or sellers are in control of the ticker tape. It still takes volume, momentum, and other market forces to generate price change.

SPDR S&P Trust (SPY) oscillates through a series of buy-and-sell cycles over a 5-month period. Look for signals where:

  1. A crossover has occurred at or near an overbought or oversold level
  2. Indicator lines then thrust toward the center of the panel.

This two-tiered confirmation is necessary because stochastics can oscillate near extreme levels for long periods in strongly trending markets. And, while 14,7,3 is a perfect setting for novice traders, consider experimenting to find the setting that best fits the instrument you are analyzing. For example, experienced traders switch to faster 5,3,3 inputs.

Momentum Indicators

MACD

Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2020

Moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator, set at 12, 26, 9, gives novice traders a powerful tool to examine rapid price change. This classic momentum tool measures how fast a particular market is moving while it attempts to pinpoint natural turning points. Buy or sell signals go off when the histogram reaches a peak and reverses course to pierce through the zero line. The height or depth of the histogram, as well as the speed of change, all interact to generate a variety of useful market data.

SPY shows four notable MACD signals over a 5-month period. The first signal flags waning momentum, while the second captures a directional thrust that unfolds right after the signal goes off. The third signal looks like a false reading but accurately predicts the end of the February–March buying impulse. The fourth triggers a whipsaw that’s evident when the histogram fails to penetrate the zero line. 

Volume Indicators

On-Balance-Volume (OBV)

Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2020

Keep volume histograms under your price bars to examine current levels of interest in a particular security or market. The slope of participation over time reveals new trends—often before price patterns complete breakouts or breakdowns. You can also place a 50-day average of volume across the indicator to see how the current session compares with historic activity.

Now add on-balance volume (OBV), an accumulation-distribution indicator, to complete your snapshot of transaction flow. The indicator adds up buying and selling activity, establishing whether bulls or bears are winning the battle for higher or lower prices. You can draw trendlines on OBV, as well as track the sequence of highs and lows. It works extremely well as a convergence-divergence tool. For example, between January and April, Bank of America (BAC) proved this when prices hit a higher high while OBV hit a lower high, signaling a bearish divergence preceding a steep decline.

The Bottom Line

Choosing the right technical indicators is daunting but can be managed if novice traders focus the effects into five categories of market research: trend, mean reversion, relative strength, momentum, and volume. Once they’ve added effective indicators for each category, they can begin the long but satisfying process of tweaking inputs to match their trading styles and risk tolerance.

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GRIZZLIES at WARRIORS | FULL GAME HIGHLIGHTS | January 25, 2023

Written by admin. Posted in Blog



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Jordan Poole knocked down the driving layup with 1.0 second remaining in regulation to lift the Golden State Warriors over the Memphis Grizzlies, 122-120. Stephen Curry led all scorers with 34 points for the Warriors, while Klay Thompson (24 points, 5 3pt FGM) and Jordan Poole (21 points, 5 rebounds, 7 assists) added a combined 45 points in the victory. Ja Morant tallied 29 points, 4 rebounds, and 12 assists for the Grizzlies. The Warriors improve to 24-24 on the season, while the Grizzlies fall to 31-17.

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LAKERS at NETS | FULL GAME HIGHLIGHTS | January 30, 2023

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The Brooklyn Nets defeated the Los Angeles Lakers, 121-104. Kyrie Irving recorded a game-high 26 points, along with 7 rebounds and 6 assists for the Nets, while Cam Thomas (21 points, 4 rebounds) and Patty Mills (21 points, 3 assists) added a combined 42 points in the victory. Russell Westbrook tallied 17 points, 8 rebounds and 10 assists for the Lakers. The Nets improve to 31-19, while the Lakers fall to 23-28.

Russell Westbrook passed Gary Payton (8,966) for 10th on the All-Time assists list

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Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB)

Written by admin. Posted in A, Financial Terms Dictionary

Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB)

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What Is the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB)?

The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) is a new international development bank that provides financing for infrastructure projects in Asia. It began operations in January 2016.

How the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) Works

The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) is a multilateral development bank headquartered in Beijing. Like other development banks, its mission is to improve social and economic outcomes in its region, Asia, and beyond. The bank opened in January 2016 and now has 105 approved members worldwide, as of Jul. 30, 2022.

The History of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank

China’s leader Xi Jinping first proposed an Asian infrastructure bank at an APEC summit in Bali in 2013. Many observers have interpreted the bank as a challenge to international lending bodies, which some consider too reflective of American foreign policy interests such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank.

In this bank’s case, China controls half of the bank’s voting shares, which gives the perception that the AIIB will function in the interests of the Chinese government. The U.S. has questioned the bank’s governing standards and its social and environmental safeguards, perhaps pressuring allies not to apply for membership. However, despite American objections, approximately half of NATO has signed on, as has nearly every large Asian country, with the exception of Japan. The result is widely considered in an indicator of China’s growing international influence at the expense of the United States.

The Structure of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank

The bank is headed by a Board of Governors composed of one Governor and one Alternate Governor appointed by each of the 86 member countries. A non-resident Board of Directors is responsible for the direction and management of the Bank such as the Bank’s strategy, annual plan and budget and establishing policies and oversight procedures.

The bank staff is headed by a President who is elected by AIIB shareholders for a five-year term and is eligible for re-election once. The President is supported by Senior Management including five Vice Presidents for policy and strategy, investment operations, finance, administration, and the corporate secretariat and the General Counsel and Chief Risk Officer. Mr. Jin Liqun is the current President.

Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank Priorities

The bank’s priorities are projects that promote sustainable Infrastructure and to support countries that are striving to meet environmental and development goals. The bank funds projects linking countries in the region and cross-border infrastructure projects for roads, rail, ports, energy pipelines and telecoms across Central Asia and maritime routes in South East and South Asia and the Middle East. The bank’s priorities also include private capital mobilization and encouraging partnerships that stimulate private capital investment such as those with other multilateral development banks, governments, and private financiers.

An example of an AIIB project is a rural road connectivity initiative that will benefit approximately 1.5 million rural residents in Madhya Pradesh, India. In April 2018, the AIIB announced the project, which is also expected to improve the livelihoods, education, and mobility of the residents of 5,640 villages. The project is a U.S. $140-million jointly financed by the AIIB and the World Bank.

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