Daily Analysis 20220825

Daily Analysis 20220825

Global update:

August 25th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks end Wednesday higher, Dow and S&P 500 snap three-day slide

Stocks rose Wednesday, snapping a three-day decline in the Dow and the S&P 500, as investors awaited more clarity on the Federal Reserve’s fight against inflation.

Dow…….32969 +59.6 +0.18%
Nasdaq.12432 +50.2 +0.41%
S&P 500..4141 +12 +0.29%

FTSE…….7471 -16.6 -0.22%
Dax……..13220 +25.8 +0.39%
CAC……..6387 +24.7 +0.39%

Nikkei….28313 -139.3 -0.49%
HSI……..19269 -234.5 -1.20%
Shanghai..3215 -61.02 -1.86%
ST Times..3233 -12.7 -0.39%

IDX…….7194.71 +31.44 +0.44%
LQ45…1026.61 +3.61 +0.35%

IDX Energy…1859.83 +15.55 +0.84%
IDX Bsc Mat.1296.57 -4.59 -0.35%
IDX Industrl..1315.97 +10.02 +0.77%
IDXNONCYC..711.52 -2.66 -0.37%
IDX Hlthcare.1413.83 -0.05 -0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…..898.20 +0.81 +0.09%
IDX Techno..8058.64 +183.16 +2.33%
IDX Transp…2002.03 -8.51 -0.42%
IDX Infrast…..1038.90 +0.78 +0.07%
IDX Finance 1503.76 +2.60 +0.17%
IDX Banking..1138.23 -0.07 -0.01%
IDX Property…709 +2.04 +0.34%

Indo10Yr….7.1587 -0.0283 -0.39%
ICBI……..336.3387 +0.6148 +0.18%
US10Yr…..3.1060 +0.0520 +1.70%
VIX……….22.82 -1.29 -5.35%

USDIndx 108.6770 +0.0530 +0.05%
Como Indx..298.86 +2.55 +0.86%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..156.83 -0.80 -0.51%
.
IndoCDS…110.95 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14848.00 +10.50 +0.07%
Jisdor..14851 .00 -42.00 -0.28%

Euro………0.9969 -0.0001 -0.01%‼️

TLKM……..31.63 +0.55 +1.77%
(4697)
EIDO………23.92 +0.16 +0.67%
EEM………39.75 -0.01 -0.03%

Oil…………..95.25 +1.50 +1.60%
Gold ……..1764.40 +3.50 +0.20%
Timah. .24505.00 +40.00 +0.16%
( Closed 23/8)
Nickel….21407.50 -443.50 -2.03%‼️
(Closed 24/8)
Silver…….19.08 -0.02 -0.10%
Copper….364.50 -3.40 -0.92%

Nturl Gas…..9.236 -0.006 -0.06%

Ammonia….3733.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(23/8)

Coal price….412.60 -5.00 -1.20%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….420.00 -5.00 -1.18%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….411.25 -8.75 -2.08%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….371.25 +1.25 +0.34%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….376.90 -2.05 -0.54%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….368.40 -2.60 -0.70%
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……4304 +67 +1.58%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..657.25 +2.00 +0.31%
SoybeanOil…65.98 -0.94 -1.40%
Wheat………813.25 +12.75 +1.59%

Wood pulp…6704.00 +4 +0.06%
(Closed 24/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Nah, US ijo, IDX mau ikut ijo atau merah ya? Karena udah run 2 hari, kayanya opening ijo dulu terus closing merah. Yang pegang sektor non Energy Healthcare dan Consumer Non-cyclicals mending TP TP in dulu, minimal setengahnya

Europe mayoritas ijo, Asia mayoritas merah…

Oil Gold TImah CPO naik, Nikel Silver copper gas coal turun

Kesempatan ini buat BOW coal. CPO naik tapi ga terlalu significant kita coba liat efeknya ke AALI dan LSIP dari signal hari ini

IHSG – berhasil ijo lagi kemaren, disaat index regional lain pada merah. Di diskusi group2 wa dan telegram mulai keluar optimistic forecast: Mau bikin new All Time High… Bukannya ga ngarep itu kejadian, tapi index bikin new ATH itu harusnya gambaran dari keadaan ekonomi Indonesia, dan terpengaruh juga sama kondisi global. Kondisi ancaman perang dunia ke-4 dan krisis energi gini sepertinya sih bukan sentimen positif untuk sekarang2 bisa bikin new record high. Indicator2 technical nya juga kurang mendukung ke arah situ

Energy, Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cycicals, Technology

Energy – Still all good…

Kalopun turun keseret index aja keliatannya

Daily Analysis 20220726

Daily Analysis 20220726

Global Update:

July 26th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks during Monday’s session traded in a narrow range.
All of the major averages are on track for their best month of the year.

Traders are bracing for an onslaught of mega-cap tech earnings and economic data this week, as well as the outcome of the Federal Reserve meeting, that will help Wall Street direct its expectations for the rest of the year.

But, U.S. stock futures fell on Monday night after Walmart cut its profit forecast, sending retail stocks tumbling after hours.

Dow…….31990 +90.8 +0.28%
Nasdaq.11783 -51.5 -0.43%
S&P 500..3967 +5.2 +0.13%

FTSE…….7306 +29.9 +0.41%
Dax……..13210 -43.4 -0.33%
CAC……..6238 +20.7 +0.33%

Nikkei….27699 -215.4 -0.77%
HSI……..20563 -46.2 -0.22%
Shanghai..3250 -19.6 -0.60%
ST Times..3184 +2.2 +0.07%

IDX…….6858.41 -28.56 -0.41%
LQ45…..967.13 -6.91 -0.71%

IDX Energy…1741.10 +16.38 +0.95%
IDX Bsc Mat.1275.25 -5.53 -0.43%
IDX Industrl..1219.82 +5.60 +0.46%
IDXNONCYC..724.61 +1.05 +0.15%
IDX Hlthcare.1514.97 -6.81 -0.45%
IDXCYCLIC…..887.23 -0.18 -0.02%
IDX Techno..7817.61 -262.43 -3.25%
IDX Transp…1955.61 -38.10 -1.91%
IDX Infrast……982.15 +6.51 +0.67%
IDX Finance 1464.19 -8.89 -0.60%
IDX Banking..1090.07 -7.07 -0.64%
IDX Property…….678 +1.30 +0.19%

Indo10Yr….7.4917 -0.0106 -0.14%
ICBI……….328.0307 +0.0642 +0.02%
US10Yr…..2.8200 +0.0370 +1.33%
VIX…………23.26 +0.33 +1.43%

USDIndx 106.4830 -0.2470 -0.23%
Como Indx..284.76 +3.60 +1.28%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..148.20 -0.95 -0.64%

IndoCDS…132.27 -4.97 -3.62%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14993.00 -20.50 -0.14%
Jisdor..14992.00 -32.00 -0.21%

Euro………1.0220 +0.0007 +0.07%

TLKM……..27.95 +0.01 +0.04%
(4190)
EIDO………22.60 +0.10 +0.44%
EEM………39.56 +0.14 +0.36%

Oil…………96.31 +1.61 +1.70%
Gold ……1734.80 -10.35 -0.60%
Timah. .24947.00 – -%
( Closed 22/7)
Nickel..22102.50 -271.50 -1.21%
(Closed 25/7)
Silver…….18.30 -0.32 -1.72%
Copper….335.40 -0.55 -0.16%

Nturl Gas…..8.618 +0.313 +3.77%

Ammonia….369033 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(21/7)

Coal price….410.25 +1.05 +0.26%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…411.05 +12.00 +3.00%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…387.35 +11.05 +2.94%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…364.00 +27.20 +8.08%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3646 -161 -1.57%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………583.75 +19.50 +3.46%
SoybeanOil…57.55 -0.32 -0.55%
Wheat………770.00 +11.00 +1.45%

Wood pulp…6640.00 +10 +0.15%
(Closed 25/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

US tipis tipis, nasdaq karena forecast pendapatan tech giants turun jadi minus duluan. Asia merah kecuali singapore, eropa cuma jerman yang merah, yang lain ikut US sesi satu jadi ijo

Metal turun semua, oil gas coal naik, cpo turun. Kita masih bisa expect saham coal terus naik walau index mungkin merah lagi. Keliatannya bagusan tutup gap dulu sih, biar ga ada “hutang”, hehehe…

Issue IKN digoreng buat naikin saham BUMN karya, tapi kalo cuma itu doang ga bisa panjang gerakannya keliatannya… Yang jelas sebelum firm sektornya jalan hati2 buy BUMN karya. Cucu nya aja malah suspended, WSBP, jadi korban dikasih proyek terus sama waskita tapi dibayarnya kapan kapan…

Index ketemu hidden bearish divergence, biasanya ya 3 hari mah koreksi. Tapi yang bikin khawatir bukan itu… Ada gap di bawah, dan ada satu lagi, di chart trading view ga ada tapi

Kalo di chart mansek ada opening gap pas index naik 2%, most likely ini mah ditutup dulu dalam waktu dekat