March 16th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 250 points lower Wednesday as bank crisis spreads to Europe

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
fell Wednesday as concern over a banking crisis spreading to Europe pressured the broader market.

Dow……31875 -280.8 -0.87%
Nasdaq11434 +5.9 +0.05%
S&P 500.3892 -27.4 -0.70%

FTSE..7344 -292.7 -3.83%
Dax…14735 -497.6 -3.27%
CAC…6886 -255.9 -3.58%

Nikkei…..27229 +7.4 +0.03%
HSI………19540 +291.9 +1.52%
Shanghai.3263 +18.0 +0.55%

IDX…..6628.14 -13.68 -0.21%
LQ45….914.19 -3.19 -0.35%
IDX30…477.18 -0.81 -0.17%

IDXEnergy..2003.90 -13.68 -0.21%
IDX BscMat 1135.89 -11.01 -0.96%
IDX Indstrl…1146.53 -1.36 -0.12%
IDXNONCYC..717.81 -1.72 -0.24%
IDX Hlthcare1525.85 -5.18 -0.34%
IDXCYCLIC…..802.11 -2.85 -0.35%
IDX Techno….5143.43 -47.58 -0.92%
IDX Transp….1734.02 +17.45 +1.02%
IDX Infrast…..806.00 -7.72. -0.95%
IDX Finance.1351.39 -2.12 -0.16%
IDX Banking.1099.05 +0.70 +0.06%
IDX Property….675 +2.20 +0.33%

Indo10Yr.6.8659 -0.0048 -0.07%
ICBI….351.1755 -0.3141 -0.09%
US2Yr3.8916 -0.3546 -8.35%‼️
US5Yr 3.5629 -0.2849 -7.40%‼️
US10Yr3.4620 -0.2230 -6.05%‼️
US30Yr.3.6490-0.1550 -5.06%‼️
VIX…… 26.14 +2.41 +10.16%‼️

USDIndx104.6460 +1.0490 +1.01%
Como Indx.254.03 -7.04 -2.70%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…152.63 -4.09 -2.61%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15381.50 -3.50 -0.02%
Jisdor.15365.00 -15.00 -0.10%

Euro……1.0579 -0.0153 -1.42%

TLKM….26.04 -0.34 -1.29%
(4001)
EIDO……21.60 -0.36 -1.64%
EEM……37.27 -0.65 -1.71%

Oil….68.43 -3.35 -4.67%‼️
Gold1924.90 +16.00 +0.84%
Timah .22950.00 -260 -1.12%
(Closed 03/14)
Nickel..22977.00 -85.50 -0.37%
(Closed 03/15)
Silver…..21.95 +0.14 +0.64%
Copper.388.75 -12.10 -3.02%‼️

Nturl Gas.2.4920 -0.0850 -3.30%‼️

Ammonia 4256.67 -66.66 -1.54%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/14)

Coal price.175.00 -5.00 -2.78%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.180.00 -7.00 -3.74%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.185.00 -7.95 -4.12%‼️
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.190.00 -9.45 -4.74%‼️
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.138.00 -3.00 -2.13%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 131.30 -6.05 -4.40%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 130.20 -5.20 -3.84%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 129.60 -5.30 -3.93%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3965 +31 +0.79%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..626.50 +5.75 +0.93%
SoybeanOil.56.34+0.16 +0.28%
Wheat…..702.75 +6.50 +0.93%

Wood pulp…5610.00 -40 -0.71%
(Closed 03/15)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah lagi, europe drop, asia kebanyakan ijo ikutan US kemarinnya… Masih belum kondusif untuk rally wave 3

Oil Gas Coal merah, gold silver ijo, metal lain merah, masih belum terlalu asik buat ANTM MDKA, tapi kita tungu buy signal aja

IHSG – foreign nya exit lagi, kebanting udah tutup gap kemaren awal market terlihat mau rebound kenceng tapi ga jadi, prepare cash aja pokoke, tunggu momentum rebound, target koreksi udah tercapai, semoga ga lebih jauh lagi

Healthcare sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM CPIN AMFG

March 06th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher Friday, Dow breaks 4-week losing streak as 10-year Treasury yield retreats

Stocks rose Friday as Treasury yields eased from their recent highs and investors weighed the cumulative impact from Fed hikes already implemented and digested this week’s comments from the central bank.

Dow…..33391 +387.4 +1.17%
Nasdaq11689 +226.02+1.97%
S&P 500.4046 +64.3 +1.61%

FTSE…….7947 +3.1 +0.04%
Dax……..15578 +250.8 +1.64%
CAC……..7348 +63.9 +0.88%

Nikkei…..27927 +428.6 +1.56%
HSI……. .20568 +138.1 +0.68%
Shanghai.3328 +17.7 +0.54%

IDX…..6813.64 -43.78 -0.64%
LQ45….938.96 -6.81 -0.32 %
IDX30…488.79 -4.47 -0.91%

IDXEnergy…2107.96 -6.81 -0.32%
IDX BscMat 1218.98 -2.68. -0.22%
IDX Indstrl..1197.20 -9.57 -0.79%
IDXNONCYC..731.63 -8.37 -1.13%
IDX Hlthcare1555.33 -5.62 -0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…845.42 -1.61 -0.19%
IDX Techno.5455.78 +43.53 + 0.80%
IDX Transp..1844.09 -25.53 -1.37%
IDX Infrast….848.99 +4.13 +0.49%
IDX Finance1404.95 -10.17 -0.72%
IDX Banking1127.75 -12.61 -1.11%
IDX Property….694 -4.80 -0.69%

Indo10Yr.6.9361 +0.0256 +0.37%‼️
ICBI….349.0803 -0.0894 -0.03%‼️
US2Yr 4.8606‼️-0.0004 -0.01%
US5Yr 4.2492‼️ -0.0038 -0.09%
US10Yr3.9580‼️ -0.0050 -0.14%
US30Yr.3.8780‼️-0.0090 -0.24%
VIX……. 18.49 -1.10 -5.62%

USDIndx104.5210 -0.4630 -0.44%‼️
Como Indx.275.05 +3.75 +1.38%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….162.00 +0.42 +0.26%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15311.00 +30.50 +0.20%‼️
Jisdor.15306.00 +33.00 +0.22%‼️

Euro……1.0635 +0.0036 +0.34%

TLKM….26.02 +0.31 +1.21%
(39283)
EIDO……22.61 -0.21 -0.92%
EEM……39.54 +0.35 +0.89%

Oil……79.68 +1.52 +1.94%
Gold.1854.60 +14.10+0.77%
Timah 25334 – -%
(Closed 03/01)
Nickel…24675 +443.00 +1.83%
(Closed 03/03)
Silver…….21.24 +0.34 +1.61%
Copper..406.70 -0.90 -0.22%

Nturl Gas.2.790 -0.021 -0.75%

Ammonia 4406.67 -16.67 -0.38%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/02)

Coal price.188.90 -4.10 -2.12%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.195.40 -2.60 -1.31%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.199.30 -2.35 -1.17%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.201.00 -4.35 -2.12%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.131.75 -11.50 -8.03%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 126.25 -13.75 -9.82%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 126.80 -14.20-10.07%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 127.35 -14.35 -10.13%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4357 +64 +1.49%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..639.75 +6.00 +0.95%
SoybeanOil..61.19 -0.71 -1.15%
Wheat……708.75 -4.00 -0.56%

Wood pulp…5800.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing jum’at ijo tebel, in fact malah IHSG doang yang closing merah, semua asia eropa ijo… 😅

Oil Ijo Gas Coal merah, metal2 ijo semua, kecuali copper, CPO ijo, TINS udah buy signal, mungkin MDKA hari ini kalo closing ijo

IHSG – retest fibo 38, dan pas mantul disitu seperti sebelumnya. Stoch buy, macd down, BD FF dist, MFI W% down, masih optimis false break jadi mantul

Industrials, Property, Energy

Stoch Buy Signal: INTP MDKA TBIG DSNG MNCN

MACD Buy Signal: GOTO TBIG TINS

Alligator Buy Signal: ASII ITMG UNTR APIC CTRA

Supertrend Buy Signal: BSSR

March 03rd 2023

Good morning,

Dow…..33034 +341.7 +1.05%
Nasdaq11463 +84.5 +0.73%
S&P 500.3981 +29.96 +0.76%

FTSE…….7944 +29.1 +0.37%
Dax……..15328 +22.6 +0.15%
CAC……..7284 +49.97 +0.69%

Nikkei…..27499 -17.7 -0.06%
HSI……..20429 -190.3 -0.92%
Shanghai.3311 -1.7 -0.05%

IDX…..6857.42 +12.48 +0.18%
LQ45….947.15 +1.33 +0.14 %
IDX30…493.17 +0.87 +0.18%

IDXEnergy…2114.76 +21.21 +1.01%
IDX BscMat 1221.67 -17.63 -1.42%
IDX Indstrl..1206.77 +12.35 +1.03%
IDXNONCYC..740.00 +3.00 +0.41%
IDX Hlthcare1560.95 +4.43 +0.28%
IDXCYCLIC…847.79 +3.03 +0.36%
IDX Techno.5412.25 -4.87 – 0.09%
IDX Transp..1869.62 -33.57 -1.76%
IDX Infrast….844.79 +3.03 +0.36%
IDX Finance1415.12 +5.57 +0.39%
IDX Banking1140.36 +6.21 +0.55%
IDX Property….694 -4.80 -0.69%

Indo10Yr.6.9105 +0.0364 +0.53%‼️
ICBI….349.1696 -0.7977 -0.23%‼️
US5Yr 4.3143‼️ +0.0490 +1.16%
US10Yr4.0620‼️ +0.0660 +1.64%
US30Yr.4.0010‼️+0.0480 +1.21%
VIX……. 19.59 -0.99 -4.81%

USDIndx104.9840 +0.6210 +0.60%‼️
Como Indx.271.30 -1.51 -0.55%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….161.59 -2.95 -1.79%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15280.00 +45.50 +0.17%‼️
Jisdor.15273.00 +23.00 +0.15%‼️

Euro……1.0599 -0.0069 -0.64%

TLKM….25.71 -0.17 -0.66%
(3927)
EIDO……22.82 +0.02 +0.09%
EEM…….39.19 +0.14 +0.36%

Oil…….78.16 +0.47 +0.61%
Gold.. 1840.50 -4.90 -0.27%
Timah 25334 +371 +1.49%
(Closed 03/01)
Nickel…24232 -899.00 -3.58%‼️
(Closed 03/02)
Silver…….20.90 -0.19 -0.92%
Copper..407.60 -8.40 -2.02%

Nturl Gas.2.790 -0.021 -0.75%

Ammonia 4390.00 -16.66 -0.38%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/01)

Coal price.193.00 -0.50 -0.26%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.198.00 +1.25 +0.64%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.201.65 +1.40 +0.70%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.205.35 +1.20 +0.59%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.143.25 -0.60 -0.42%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 140.00 -3.55 -2.47%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 141.00 -4.40 -3.03%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 141.70 -4.90 -3.34%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4293 +105 +2.51%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..633.75 -2.00 -0.31%
SoybeanOil..61.90 +1.07 +1.76%
Wheat……712.75 +2.75 +0.39%

Wood pulp…5840.00 -10 -0.17%
(Closed 03/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo lumayan tebel, europe ijo, asia kebanyakan merah, IHSG ijo kemaren tapi ada 26 saham ARB, rada anomali

Oil ijo gas coal merah, metal2 merah kecuali timah, nikel malah drop. Belum saatnya belanja saham tambang mineral logam, dikit lagi…

CPO naik tinggi, mungkin ini saatnya mulai rally. Kita check detail di emitennya nanti

IHSG – kemaren sudah FNB, stoch buy, macd masih down but flattening, MFI sw, W% sw, masih jadwal wave 3, keliatan bentuk triangle pattern, semoga breakout ke atas

Industrials Energy Property. Bank2 sudah mulai buy signal tapi sektor Financials nya belum firm

Stoch Buy Signal: ARTO BBCA BBNI BUKA TINS AALI BRMS

MACD Buy Signal: INCO PGAS MAPI

Alligator Buy Signal: DOID IGAR

Supertrend Buy Signal: ITMG IGAR

ARTO skip

BBCA – buat indikasi aja, bukan mau dibeli, hehehe… stoch buy, macd still down, BD FF net sell, MFI down, w% downtrend, masih jadwal wave 3 tapi lagi jatahnya sideways dulu, belum…

BUKA – stoch buy, macd rev up, MFI down, W% downtrend, BD dist, FF acc tipis, dari IPO drop, belum retrace, pelan2 bottom nya tambah tinggi, sektor bukan leading, belum sih

TINS – stoch buy macdbuy, MFI up, W% uptrend, BD acc, masih NFS tipis, ew reverse done, ketemu regbull div terus mantul, kejedot fibo 23, udah bikin higher low, bisa spec buy harusnya

Ternyata spike nya ok, spike tinggi pas harga sideways

Harga aman. Ada gap juga di atas, bisa spec buy half, half lagi tunggu firm acc BD dan FF

AALI – stoch buy bolak balik, macd up MFI sw, w% sw, BD FF acc tipis, abis drop mulai gerak naikpelan2 belum ada gerakan signifikan yang diikuti higher low, WNS deh

BRMS – Technical ok, tapi saham bakrie nggak deh

INCO – stoch up macd buy, 833 sell, MFI up, BD FF acc, w% sw, masih konsol di sekitar fibo 61 terjunan abc correction, belum lanjut wave 3. Kalo mau entry tunggu 833 buy lagi while MACD masih firm. Nikel drop jadi agak khawatir dulu

PGAS – stoch up macd buy, MFI sw, BD FF acc, w%up, belum breakout resistance, hold, kalo breakout neckline nambah

MAPI – saham hajatan, baru kemaren sell signal MACD sekarang ngebalik lagi, masalahnya udah naik tinggi, udah wave 5 dan udah ketemu bearish divergence, ga ok buat new entry, kalo yang udah pegang berani hold sambil pasang trailing stop

DOID – coal emang pada gerak, stoch up, macd up, alligator buy, MFI sw, W% uptrend, mau breakout patternd double bottom, yang belum punya coal boleh beli ini… Saya pegang HRUM

ITMG – kalo masuk sekarang nanggung, belum pasti breakout resistance, kalo entry dari kemaren pas buy signal MACD ok hold, entry baru mending nunggu konfirmasi breakout resistance 38.675

IGAR skip

March 02nd 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq close lower to begin March as the 10-year Treasury yield touches 4%

The S&P 500
fell Wednesday, the first day of March, as traders struggled to recover their footing following a losing month and bond yields continued their climb.

Dow…..32662 +5.1 +0.02%
Nasdaq11379 -76.1 -0.66%
S&P 500.3951 -18.8 -0.47%

FTSE…….7915 +38.7 +0.49%
Dax……..15365 -60.1 -0.39%
CAC……..7234 -33.7 -0.46%

Nikkei…..27517 +70.8. +0.26%
HSI…….20620 +833 .8 +4.21%‼️
Shanghai.3312 +32.7 +1.00%

IDX…..6844.94 +1.70 +0.02%
LQ45….945.82 +2.85 +0.30 %
IDX30…492.30 +1.80 +0.37%

IDXEnergy…2093.55 -7.66 -0.36%
IDX BscMat 1239.30 -3.91 -0.31%
IDX Indstrl..1194.42 -4.39 -0.37%
IDXNONCYC..737.00 -5.12 -0.69%
IDX Hlthcare1556.52 -8.56 -0.55%
IDXCYCLIC…845.58 +0.29 +0.03%
IDX Techno.5417.12 +31.26 +0.58%
IDX Transp..1903.18 -32.84 -1.70%
IDX Infrast….841.76 -2.76 -0.33%
IDX Finance1409.55 +8.30 +0.59%
IDX Banking1134.15 +8.27 +0.73%
IDX Property….694 -4.80 -0.69%

Indo10Yr.6.8724 +0.0017 +0.02%
ICBI….349.9674 +0.1506 +0.04%
US5Yr 4.2576 +0.0900 +2.15%
US10Yr3.9940 +0.0800 +2.05%
US30Yr.3.9550+0.0250 +0.64%
VIX……. 20.58 -0.12 -0.58%

USDIndx104.3630 -0.5810 -0.55%‼️
Como Indx.272.81 +2.97 +1.10%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….164.54 +3.37 +2.09%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15235.00 -25.50 -0.17%
Jisdor.15250.00 +10.00 +0.07%

Euro……1.0668 +0.0089 +0.84%

TLKM….25.88 +0.12 +0.47%
(3947)
EIDO……22.80 -0.11 -0.48%
EEM….39.05 +0.82 +2.14%

Oil…….77.69 +0.90 +1.17%
Gold 1845.40 +8.60 +0.47%
Timah 24963 +515 +2.02%
(Closed 02/28)
Nickel…25131 +208.50 +0.84%
(Closed 03/01)
Silver…….21.10 +0.03 +0.14%
Copper..416.00 +8.65 +2.12%

Nturl Gas.2.811 +0.035 +1.26%

Ammonia 4406.66 -33.00 -0.74%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/28)

Coal price.193.50 +0.65 +0.34%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.196.75 +2.65 +1.37%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.200.25 +2.50 +1.26%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.204.15 +3.65 +1.82%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.143.85 -2.05 -1.41%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 143.55 -2.05 -1.41%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 145.40 -1.40 -0.95%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 146.60 -0.60 -0.41%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)….4188 +52 +1.26%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..635.75 +5.50 +0.87%
SoybeanOil..60.83 +0.73 +1.32%
Wheat……710.00 +4.50 +0.64%

Wood pulp…5850.00 -80 -135%
(Closed 03/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo tipis, nasdaq merah, europe varied, asia ijo, Hangseng ijo tebel

Kemaren IHSG ijo tipis, keliatannya market akan mulai naik hari ini, di beberapa bank sudah keliatan buy signal technical. Oil gas naik, coal NCF naik, Rotterdam turun, metal2 naik semua, CPO naik lagi, seems ok semua sih. Kayanya finally MDKA akan nongol buy signal today. ANTM INCO dkk juga layak diliat. AALI LSIP kita tunggu lagi keluar buy signalnya, kemaren baru sell, signal ngebalik

IHSG – stoch down rev, macd still down, 833 sw, mfi w% sw, bd flat, masih FNS, masih sideways keliatannya, tapi major masih wave 3, tinggal tunggu waktu aja

Ga ada yang leading, yang mau start jalan yang menarik, Industrials, Basic Materials, Energy, Property

Stoch Buy Signal: PGAS MLPL IGAR

MACD Buy Signal: HRUM PNLF WINS

Alligtor Buy Signal: AKRA ESSA BSDE SMDR