Global update:

August 15th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes up 400 points, S&P 500 rises for fourth straight week as investors warm to cooler inflation

Stocks rose sharply on Friday, clinching the fourth straight positive week for the S&P 500 as investors celebrated signs that inflation may be peaking.

Dow…….33761 +424.4 +1.27%
Nasdaq.13047 +267.3 +2.09%
S&P 500..4280 +72.9 +1.73%

FTSE…….7501 +34.98 +0.47%
Dax……..13796 +101.3 +0.74%
CAC……..6554 +9.2 +0.14%

Nikkei….28547 +727.7 +2.62%
HSI……..20175 +622.0 +2.21%
Shanghai..3277 +93.2 +0.46%
ST Times..3269 -32.7 -0.99%

IDX…….7129.28 -31.11 -0.43%
LQ45…1012.04 -6.29 -0.62%

IDX Energy…1816.88 -6.47 -0.35%
IDX Bsc Mat.1353.09 -4.36 -0.32%
IDX Industrl..1310.33 +3.07 +0.23%
IDXNONCYC..703.50 -1.36 -0.19%
IDX Hlthcare.1414.35 -0.51 -0.04%
IDXCYCLIC…..899.04 +3.88 +0.43%
IDX Techno..8083.54 -172.87 -2.09%
IDX Transp…2088.31 -20.36 -0.97%
IDX Infrast…..1050.72 +6.68 +0.64%
IDX Finance 1526.29 -11.28 -0.73%
IDX Banking..1156.62 -10.54 -0.50%
IDX Property…..712 +3.0 +0.43%

Indo10Yr….7.1203 -0.0886 -1.23%👍*
ICBI……..336.3364 +0.6001 +0.18%👍
US10Yr…..2.8490 -0.0390 -1.35%
VIX…………19.53 -0.67 -3.32%👍

USDIndx 105.6310 +0.5410 0.51%‼
Como Indx..293.48 -1.58 -0.54%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..160.44 -3.83 -2.33%
.
IndoCDS…97.19 – 5.20 -5.73%👍
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14668.00 -97.50 -0.66%👍
Jisdor..14688 .00 -111.00 -0.75%👍

Euro………1.0259 -0.0068 -0.66%

TLKM……..31.31 +0.37 +1.20%
(4593)
EIDO………24.24 +0.14 +0.58%
EEM………41.05 +0.43 +1.06%

Oil…………..92.09 -2.02 -2.15%
Gold ……..1815.50 +10.80 +0.60%
Timah. .25177.00 -208.00 -0.82%
( Closed 12/8)
Nickel…23093.50 -607.50 -2.56%‼
(Closed 12/8)
Silver…….20.85 +0.61 +3.01%
Copper….366.85 -2.55 -0.69%

Nturl Gas…..8.780 +0.0530 +0.61%

Ammonia….3806.67 -unch -0%
China
(Domestic Price)(11/8)

Coal price….407.65 +6.65 +1.66%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….403.00 +5.70 +1.43%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….392.25 +5.75 +1.48%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….350.50 +6.50 +1.89%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….341.70 +3.45 +1.02%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….331.70 +2.95 +0.90%
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)……4420 +152 +3.56%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………642.25 +14.50 +2.31%
SoybeanOil…67.97 +0.35 +0.52%
Wheat………822.50 -3.75 -0.45%

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 14/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo tebel, Europe Ijo, Asia Varied, Nikkei Ijo tebel.
Gold Silver Coal CPO naik, Nickel Drop, Copper Tin Gas turun. Coal udah diatas 400 USD/MT lagi.

Kalo market normal, harusnya ini bagus buat MDKA ADRO, jelek buat ANTM INCO TINS. Oil sama Gas masih bolak balik aja belum jadi run buat ELSA MEDC PGAS

Worst Case Scenario, walaupun kemunginan besar tidakakan terjadi, tapi melihat gap-gap yang ada, harus siap menghadapi kemungkinan ini

Kalo ikut trend recovery mungkin gini, tutup gap yang bawah nya di skip

IHSG – Secara teknikal kemungkinan besar turun dulu, tutup gap sekalian bikin wave 2 baru lanjut ke atas, tapi US Europe ijo tebel, mungkin juga rada panjangan lagi wave 1 nya ke atas, ga cuma tutup gap aja.

Global Update:

August 12th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes flat, Nasdaq dips as market comeback rally takes a breather

Stocks struggled for direction on Thursday as investors mulled another better-than-expected inflation report.

Dow…….33337 +27.2 +0.08%
Nasdaq.12780 -74.9 -0.58%
S&P 500..4207 -2.97 -0.07%

FTSE…….7466 -41.2 -0.55%
Dax……..13695 -6.4 -0.05%
CAC……..6555 +21.2 +0.33%

Nikkei….27819 closed +0%
HSI……..20082 +471.6 +2.40%
Shanghai..3282 +51.7 +1.60%
ST Times..3302 +15.6 +0.48%

IDX…….7160.38 +74.15 +1.05%
LQ45…1018.33 +10.53 +1.04%

IDX Energy…1823.35 +18.95 +1.05%
IDX Bsc Mat.1357.45 +26.07 +1.96%
IDX Industrl..1307.26 +3.14 +0.24%
IDXNONCYC..704.86 +0.90 +0.13%
IDX Hlthcare.1414.86 +4.57 +0.32%
IDXCYCLIC…..895.15 -1.17 -0.13%
IDX Techno..8256.40 +221.65 +2.76%
IDX Transp…2108.67 +16.39 +0.78%
IDX Infrast…..1044.04 +11.63 +1.13%
IDX Finance 1537.57 +9.31 +0.61%
IDX Banking..1167.16 +3.58 +0.31%
IDX Property…..709 +13 +1.86%

Indo10Yr….7.2089 -0.0166 -0.23%
ICBI……..335.7363 +1.2252 +0.38%
US10Yr…..2.8880 +0.1020 +3.66%
VIX…………20.20 +0.46 +2.33%

USDIndx 105.0900 -0.1390 -0.13%‼️
Como Indx..295.06 +5.79 +2.00%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..164.27 +3.80 +2.37%
.
IndoCDS…102.39 – 9.85 -8.73%👍
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14765.50 -105.00 -0.71%👍
Jisdor..14799 .00 -76.00 -0.51%👍

Euro………1.0327 +0.0024 +0.23%

TLKM……..30.94 +0.29 +0.95%
(4579)
EIDO………24.10 +0.10 +0.42%
EEM………40.62 +0.16 +0.40%

Oil…………..94.11 +2.53 +2.76%
Gold ……..1804.70 -3.60 -0.20%
Timah. .25541.00 +115.00 +0.47%
( Closed 10/8)
Nickel…23701.00 +1265.00 +5.64%‼️
(Closed 11/8)
Silver…….20.24 -0.33 -1.60%
Copper….369.40 +5.70 +1.57%

Nturl Gas…..8.727 +0.506 +6.15%‼️

Ammonia….3806.67 -unch -0%
China
(Domestic Price)(10/8)

Coal price….401.00 +2.35 +0.59%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….397.00 -3.70 -0.92%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….387.50 -2.50 -0.64%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….344.00 +2.00 +0.58%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….338.25 -0.25 -0.07%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….328.75 -0.25 -0.08%
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)……4268 +162 +3.94%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………627.75 +9.25 +1.50%
SoybeanOil…67.62 +1.63 +2.47%
Wheat………826.25 +10.00 +1.23%

Wood pulp…6720.00 -6 -0.09%
(Closed 11/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing tipis2, Asia ijo masih ikut sentimen kemarennya, europe varied. VIX (volatility index) diatas 20, rada kurang baik buat saham

Lagi, semua komoditas ijo kecuali gold dan silver. Coal kembali diatas 400 USD/MT, Nikel Gas CPO naik tinggi

Ada kemungkinan saham coal dilanjut naik, dan trio ANTM INCO TINS juga. Semoga PGAS yang jalan, udah sempet ada volume breakout tapi masih loyo

IHSG ada 3 gap dibawah… 6911 6740 sama 6162

Keliatannya tapi koreksi wave 2 ini nutup sampe gap yang 6740. Kalau sampe 6162 break pattern, bahaya bener

IHSG – stoch sell, MACD melandai, gap sudah ketutup, LR belum mentok, PSAR tanda2 mau reversal, lagging line di ichimoku, supertrend dan alligator still UP, majornya sih jelas sudah uptrend, tapi wave 2 is eminent sepertinya

Global Update:

August 11th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks soar, S&P 500 hits highest level in three months after key report shows slowdown in inflation

Stocks rose sharply on Wednesday after a key inflation reading showed a better-than-expected slowdown for rising prices.

Dow…….33310 +535.1 +1.63%
Nasdaq.12855 +360.9 +2.89%
S&P 500..4210 +87.8 +2.13%

FTSE…….7507 +18.96 +0.25%
Dax……..13701 +165.96+1.23%
CAC……..6523 +33.4 +0.52%

Nikkei….27819 -180.6 -0.65%
HSI……..19611 -392.6 -1.96%
Shanghai..3230 -17.4 -0.54%
ST Times..3266 +15.4 +0.47%

IDX…….7086.24 -16.64 -0.23%
LQ45…1007.80 -0.91 -0.09%

IDX Energy…1804.40 -8.29 -0.46%
IDX Bsc Mat.1331.39 -2.06 -0.15%
IDX Industrl..1304.12 -6.47 -0.49%
IDXNONCYC..703.96 +0.88 +0.12%
IDX Hlthcare.1410.29 -0.76 -0.05%
IDXCYCLIC…..896.33 -4.75 -0.53%
IDX Techno..8034.75 +68.02 +0.85%
IDX Transp…2092.28 -24.32 -1.15%
IDX Infrast…..1032.41 -6.30 -0.61%
IDX Finance 1528.26 -2.14 -0.14%
IDX Banking..1163.84 +10.52 +0.91%
IDX Property…..696 -3.10 -0.44%

Indo10Yr….7.2089 -0.0166 -0.23%
ICBI……..334.4811 -0.1082 -0.03%
US10Yr…..2.7860 -0.0110 -0.39%
VIX…………19.74 -2.03 -9.32%👍

USDIndx 105.2290 -1.069 -1.01%‼️
Como Indx..289.27 +4.73 +1.66%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..160.47 +2.89 +1.83%

IndoCDS…112.24 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14870.50 +18.00 +0.12%
Jisdor..14875 .00 +13.00 +0.09%

Euro………1.0303 +0.0089 +0.87%

TLKM……..30.65 -0.38 -1.22%
(4559)
EIDO………24.00 +0.20 +0.84%
EEM………40.46 +0.50 +1.25%

Oil…………..91.58 +1.08 +1.19%
Gold ……..1808.30 -4.30 -0.24%
Timah. .24426.00 +126 +0.52%
( Closed 09/8)
Nickel…22436.00 +909.50 +4.23%‼️
(Closed 10/8)
Silver…….20.57 -0.10 -0.48%
Copper….363.70 +5.20 +1.45%

Nturl Gas…..8.221 +0.382 +4.87%‼️

Ammonia….3806.67 -unch -0%
China
(Domestic Price)(09/8)

Coal price….398.65 +14.15 +3.68%‼️
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….401.00 +26.00 +6.93%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….390.00 +25.50 +7.00%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….328.75 +13.25 +4.03%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….342.00 +24.35 +7.79%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….329.00 +25.00 +8.22%‼️
(Okt/Rotterdam)
CPO(Okt)……4106 -19 -0.46%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………618.50 +4.50 +0.73%
SoybeanOil…65.99 +1.37 +2.12%
Wheat………816.25 +17.00 +2.13%

Wood pulp…6726.00 unch +0%
(Closed 10/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Fixed ini sih tutup gap atas, hehehe… US ijo tebel, komoditas pada naik, yang turun cuma gold sama silver

Kalo misalnya dikejar tutup gap hari ini langsung, ada bagusnya SOS, ada kemungkinan jum’at jadi hari profit taking sedunia, hehehe

Sell 1/2 muatan dulu sih prudentnya di saham2 yang sudah naik tinggi. Kalo yang baru mulai jalan kita assess detail dulu

Semua indicator masih firm per sekarang, tapi stochastic sudah sangat overbought dan MACD sudah ada pelandaian curve, histogram mulai turun. Jadi untuk rally lebih jauh kemungkinannya lebih kecil dibanding koreksi dulu setelah tutup gap

Industrial dan energy secara umum sudah melemah, infra property techno yang keliatan mau jalan, basic material mantul lagi setelah melemah. Isi porto dan watchlist yang ada di sektor yang melemah nanti kita bahas, jangan sampai telat exit kalo memang sudah selesai manggung

Global Update:

August 10th, 2022

Good morning,

Nasdaq falls more than 1% as chip stocks struggle, key inflation report looms

Stocks fell on Tuesday as investors navigated a batch of disappointing company reports ahead of a key inflation reading.

Dow…….32774 -58.1 -0.18%
Nasdaq.12494 -150.5 -1.19%
S&P 500..4123 -17.5 -0.42%

FTSE…….7488 +5.8 +0.08%
Dax……..13535 -152.7 -1.12%
CAC……..6490 -34.4 -0.53%

Nikkei….27999 -249.3 -0.88%
HSI……..20003 -42.3 -0.21%
Shanghai..3247 +10.50 +0.32%
ST Times..3270 -11.9 -0.36%

IDX…….7102.88 +16.03 +0.23%
LQ45…1009.71 +1.56 +0.16%

IDX Energy…1812.69 +43.65 +2.47%
IDX Bsc Mat.1333.45 +6.55 +0.42%
IDX Industrl..1310.58 -0.43 -0.03%
IDXNONCYC..703.09 -3.76 -0.53%
IDX Hlthcare.1411.05 -12.06 -0.85%
IDXCYCLIC…..901.08 -0.09 -0.01%
IDX Techno..7966.73 +11.57 +0.15%
IDX Transp…2116.60 +16.11 +0.77%
IDX Infrast…..1038.71 +1.17 +0.11%
IDX Finance 1530.40 +5.95 +0.39%
IDX Banking..1163.84 +10.52 +0.91%
IDX Property…..699 +0.90 +0.13%

Indo10Yr….7.2267 -0.0412 -0.57%👍
ICBI……..334.5894 +0.8171 +0.34%👍
US10Yr…..2.7970 +0.0320 +1.16%
VIX…………21.77 +0.48 +2.25%

USDIndx 106.3010 -0.1340 -0.13%
Como Indx..284.54 +2.74 +0.97%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..157.58 +1.53 +0.98%

IndoCDS…112.24 -5.02 -4.28%👍
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14852.50 -23.50 -0.16%
Jisdor..14862 .00 -53.00 -0.36%

Euro………1.0214 +0.0020 +0.20%

TLKM……..31.03 -0.31 -0.99%
(4612)
EIDO………23.80 +0.09 +0.38%
EEM………39.96 -0.15 -0.37%

Oil…………..90.50 -0.09 -0.10%
Gold ……1812.30 +7.30 +0.40%
Timah. .24300.00 -155 -0.63%
( Closed 08/8)
Nickel…21526.50 -115.50 -0.53%
(Closed 09/8)
Silver…….20.67 +0.83 +4.18%
Copper….358.50 +3.30 +0.93%

Nturl Gas…..7.839 +0.183 +2.39%

Ammonia….3806.67 -83.33 -2.14%
China
(Domestic Price)(08/8)

Coal price….384.50 +13.50 +3.64%‼️
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….375.00 +14.50 +4.02%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….328.75 +8.75 +2.73%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….312.65 +16.40 +5.54%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)……4125 +49 +1.20%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………614.00 +6.75 +1.11%
SoybeanOil…64.62 +0.30 +0.47%
Wheat………781.50 +1.75 +0.22%

Wood pulp…6726.00 unch +0%
(Closed 09/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index regional hampir semua merah kecuali Inggris sama China. IHSG juga sempet ijo tebel tapi closing rada tipis. Energy sama banking yang mimpin gerakan

Oil turun dikit, gold silver copper naik – good for MDKA hold, timah nikel turun harusnya ngaruh ke INCO TINS tapi news tesla kayanya tetep bikin gorengan

Gas coal cpo naik, semoga PGAS kebawa naik, coal long bullish sampe januari, tapi kayanya ga mungkin sih 5 bulan rally terus, hehehe

AALI sama LSIP belum ada tanda2 jalan, secara umum consumer belum sih

Dari closing price kemaren ke gap closing selisih 1.01%, angka yang kalo dipaksain dapet dalam sehari, tapi kayanya ga akan kejadian. Tapi kalo bener dipaksain bisa jadi bahaya, bisa rejection candle terus langsung dibanting. Kalo kejadian di pump and dump, bagusnya pasang trailing stop di yang udah profit, atau cutloss di saham yang chart nya jelek

Secara umum indicators masih ngasih isyarat lanjut naik. Semoga kenceng, tapi begitu tutup gap kita pantau ketat

Infrastructure, Tech, Transport, Industrials