December 30th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close higher in year-end rally. Nasdaq adds more than 2%

Stocks jumped on Thursday as investors headed into the final trading days of 2022.

Dow…….33221 +345.1 +1.05%
Nasdaq.10478 +264.8 +2.59%
S&P 500..3849 +66.1 +1.75%

FTSE…….7513 +15.5 +0.21%
Dax……..14072 +146.1 +1.05%
CAC……..6573 +62.98 +0.97%

Nikkei…..26094 -246.8 -0.94%
HSI………19741 -157.8 -0.79%
Shanghai…3074 -13.7 -0.44%
ST Times..3249 -17.7 -0.54%

IDX…….6860.08 +9.56 +0.14%
LQ45……939.87 +6.18 +0.66%

IDX Energy..2283.53 -30.53 -1.32%
IDX BscMat 1224.00 -0.80 -0.07%
IDX Indstrl…1175.85 +6.37 +0.54%
IDXNONCYC..722.99 +2.54 +0.35%
IDX Hlthcare.1554.34+19.14 +1.25%
IDXCYCLIC…..847.94 -2.44 -0.29%
IDX Techno..5208.38 +90.86+1.78%
IDX Transp…1659.63 -7.02 -0.42%
IDX Infrast……857.14 -1.98 -0.14%
IDX Finance 1412.47 -6.32 -0.45%
IDX Banking 1146.98 +0.87 +0.08%
IDX Property….708 -1.20 -0.17%

Indo10Yr.7.0018 +0.0013 +0.02%
ICBI….344.7342 +0.0782 +0.02%
US10Yr..3.8350 -0.0520 -1.34%
VIX……21.44 -0.70 -3.16%

USDIndx.103.9790 -0.5570 -0.53%
Como Indx.276.01 -1.34 -0.48%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..166.40 -0.31 -0.18%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15657.50 -61.50 -0.39%
Jisdor..15731.00 +28.00 +0.18%‼️

Euro……1.0664 +0.0065 +0.61%

TLKM…..23.68 +0.26 +1.11%
(3725)
EIDO…….22.42 +0.40 +1.82%
EEM……..38.43 +0.63 +1.67%

Oil………78.40 -0.28 -0.36%
Gold …1826.00 +13.30 +0.73%
Timah….24734 +800.00 +3.34%‼️
(Closed 28/12)
Nickel.30151.00 -151.50 -0.50%
(Closed 29/12)
Silver…….24.25 +0.54 +2.28%
Copper…382.40 -0.65 -0.17%

Nturl Gas..4.724 -0.599 -12.68%‼️

Ammonia..4606.67 +16.67 +0.36%
China
(Domestic Price)(28/12)

Coal price….404.15 +2.05 +0.51%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….380.05 +4.45 +1.18%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….355.10 +0.15 +0.04%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price…227.85 +0.50 +0.22%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price..189.05 +2.70 +1.45%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..187.60 +2.65 +1.43%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Mar)…..4090 unch +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….679.75 -3.00 -0.44%
SoybeanOil…66.26 +1.26 +1.99%
Wheat………774.50 -11.00 -1.40%

Wood pulp…6446.00 unch +0%
(Closed 29/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Hari terakhir untuk window dressing… US ijo eropa ijo, asia kemaren merah sekarang harusnya ijo juga

Metal2 ijo kecuali nikel sama silver, Oil turun dikit, gas drop gede banget, coal naik lagi, CPO flat

IHSG – masih NFS terus, stoch jadi sell, MACD masih up, MFI up –> duit masuk walau foreign exit. Tapi berat rally IHSG kalo foreign keluar, pasti nunggu NFB baru bisa jalan lagi. Jangan terlalu aggressive dulu

Infrastructure, Energy (walau lagi melemah)

Sama technology

Stoch Buy Signal: MDKA TINS GGRM PRDA BMTR

MACD Buy Signal: BSDE PTPP MBSS

December 29th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 350 points lower in broad selloff, Apple tumbles 3%

Stocks fell on Wednesday as traders looked to the end of a losing year and braced themselves for 2023.

Dow…….32876  -365.9      -1.10%
Nasdaq.10213  -139.9      -1.35%
S&P 500..3783  -46.03      -1.20%

FTSE…….7497  +24.2      +0.32%
Dax……..13926  -69.5       -0.50%
CAC……..651/    -40.2       -0.61%

Nikkei…..26341   -107.4  -0.41%
HSI………19899   +305.9 +1.56%
Shanghai…3087  -8.2      -0.26%
ST Times..3267  +0.6     +0.02%

IDX…….6850.52  -72.51   -1.05%
LQ45……933.69  -6.69      -0.71%

IDX Energy..2314.05 -48.33 -2.05%
IDX BscMat 1224.80  -9.13    -0.74%
IDX Indstrl…1169.48  -12.86  -1.08%
IDXNONCYC..720.45  -8.60    -1.18%
IDX Hlthcare.1535.20 -13.19 -0.85%
IDXCYCLIC…..850.38 -3.31    -0.39%
IDX Techno..5117.52 -64.46  -1.24%
IDX Transp…1666.65 -8.19    -0.49%
IDX Infrast……856.52 -3.24    -0.38%
IDX Finance 1412.47 -6.32     -0.45%
IDX Banking 1146.11 -4.29    -0.37%
IDX Property….709     +2.10   +0.29%

Indo10Yr.7.0005  +0.0011  +0.02%
ICBI….344.6560  +0.0726  +0.02%
,US10Yr..3.8870   +0.0270  +0.70%
VIX……22.12        +0.47       +2.17%

USDIndx.104.5360 +0.3530 +0.34%
Como Indx.277.35  -1.12       -0.40%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..166.70 +1.55     +0.94%
.
IndoCDS..105.25         –              -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15719.00 +56.50 +0.36%‼️
Jisdor..15703.00 +44.00 +0.28%‼️

Euro……1.0612  -0.0028  +0.27%

TLKM…..23.42   -0.48    -2.01%
(3678)
EIDO…….22.02   -0.52    -2.31%
EEM……….37.80   -0.56     -1.47%

Oil………78.68   -1.15  -1.44%
Gold …1812.70 -9.00  -0.49%
Timah…..23934         –            -%
(Closed 27/12)
Nickel.30302.50 +618.50 +2.08%
(Closed 28/12)
Silver…….23.71   -0.53      -2.19%
Copper…383.05  -1.85      -0.48%

Nturl Gas..4.724  -0.355  -6.99%‼️

Ammonia..4590.00      –           -%
China
(Domestic Price)(26/12)

Coal price….402.50  +2.00   +0.50%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….370.00  -0.50    -0.13%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….354.95 +4.40   +1.26%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price…227.35  +4.00   +1.79%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price..188.00  +5.65   +3.10%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…182.45  +0.60   +0.33%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80         –              -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Mar)…..4090  -14  -0.34%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….683.00 +8.23    +1.22%
SoybeanOil..65.01  -1.38    -2.08%
Wheat………785.50  +11.00. +1.42%

Wood pulp…6446.00  unch  +0%
(Closed 28/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Wah US lanjut merah, kemaren DJI nya masih ijo, cuma NASDAQ yang merah… Eropa juga kebanyakan merah, asia varied, Hangseng naik tinggi IDX drop dalem. Ga asik ini… BYAN ARB salah satu gara2nya index drop

IHSG – harusnya all good,tapi net sell sama us market jadi ganjelan… Masih jadwal lanjut naik harusnya

Energy Infrastructure Sama technology, tapi ga keliatan di cacing RSI yang bot ini sih

Stoch buy signal: BUKA GOTO INTP PWON MBSS

MACD buy signal: INTP MNCN TOWR BMTR

December 28th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes lower, Nasdaq sheds 1% as bond yields pop

The S&P 500 fell Tuesday, at the start of the holiday-shortened week, as bond yields climbed and investors weighed the economic outlook for 2023.

Dow…….33242  +37.6      +0.31%
Nasdaq.10353  -144.6      -1.38%
S&P 500..3829  -15.6        -0.40%

FTSE…….7473  closed    +0%
Dax……..13995 +54.2      +0.39%
CAC……..6551  +45.8      +0.70%

Nikkei…..26448  +42.0   +0.16%
HSI………19593   closed +0%
Shanghai…3096 +30.01 +0.98%
ST Times..3267  +9.02.  +0.28%

IDX…….6923.03 +87.22  +1.28%
LQ45……940.38 +5.24     +0.56%

IDX Energy..2362.38   +62.82+2.73%
IDX BscMat 1233.92  +4.66   +0.38%
IDX Indstrl…1182.33   -0.08    -0.01%
IDXNONCYC..729.05  +5.59   +0.77%
IDX Hlthcare.1548.38 +2.02   +0.13%
IDXCYCLIC…..853.69  +5.97   +0.70%
IDX Techno..5181.97  +109.73+2.16%
IDX Transp…1674.84  +4.73   +0.28%
IDX Infrast……859.76  +3.26   +0.38%
IDX Finance 1418.79   +1.27   +0.09%
IDX Banking 1150.40   -5.16    -0.45%
IDX Property….707.     +10.80 +1.55%

Indo10Yr.6.9994  -0.0071  -0.10%
ICBI….344.5835  +0.2052  +0.06%
US10Yr..3.8600   +0.1090  +2.91%
VIX……21.65        +0.78       +3.74%

USDIndx.104.1830 -0.1310  -0.13%
Como Indx.278.47 +0.36     +0.13%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..165.15 +0.44   +0.27%
.
IndoCDS..105.25         –              -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15662.50 +30.00 +0.19%
Jisdor..15659.00 +23.00 +0.15%

Euro……1.0639  +0.0022  +0.21%

TLKM…….23.90    -0.13      -0.54%
(3742)
EIDO………22.54   +0.12      +0.54%
EEM……….38.36   +0.56      +1.48%

Oil………..79.83   +0.27     +0.34%
Gold …1821.70 +17.50  +0.97%
Timah…..23934  closed   +0%
(Closed 27/12)
Nickel.29684.00 closed   +0%
(Closed 27/12)
Silver…….24.24  +0.32     +1.32%
Copper…384.90 +4.00     +1.05%

Nturl Gas..5.079  +0.054  +1.07%

Ammonia..4590.00  +16.67 +0.36%
China
(Domestic Price)(26/12)

Coal price….400.50  -0.60    -0.15%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….370.50  -0.60    -0.16%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….350.55 +3.50   +1.01%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price…223.35  -5.35 -2.34%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price…182.35  -6.35 -3.37%‼️
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…181.85  -6.40 -3.40%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80         –              -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Mar)…..4104 +273  +7.13‼️%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….674.00 +7.75    +1.16%
SoybeanOil..66.24   +1.59    +2.46%
Wheat………777.00  +1.00.   +0.13%

Wood pulp…6446.00  unch  +0%
(Closed 27/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo, Nasdaq merah, Europe ijo, Asia ijo, Komoditas ijo semua kecuali coal, CPO jump, semoga jadi santa claus rally yang tertunda…

IHSG – kecuali FNS, all good… breakout ascending triangle, MACD buy, stoch up, BD acc, lanjut lah long rally wave 3

Technology, Infrastructure, Energy, tapi sepertinya versi minyak dulu sekarang, coal slowing down, banyak sell signal bermunculan kemaren

Stoch Buy Signal: BFIN TPIA UNVR AKRA ASSA DOID LPPF SIDO PTRO

MACD buy signal: AMRT BBTN BUKA BTPS DOID LPKR

December 27th, 2022

Good morning,

US, UK, and European markets on holiday due to Chritsmas Day

Dow…….33204 closed +0%
Nasdaq.10498 closed +0%
S&P 500..3845 closed +0%

FTSE…….7473 closed +0%
Dax……..13941 closed +0%
CAC……..6505 closed +0%

Nikkei…..26406 +170.6 +0.65%
HSI………19593 closed +0%
Shanghai…3066 +19.7 +0.65%
ST Times..3257 closed +0%

IDX…….6835.81 +35.13 +0.52%
LQ45……935.15 +0.88 +0.09%

IDX Energy..2299.56 +42.83+1.90%
IDX BscMat 1229.27 -1.77 -0.14%
IDX Indstrl…1182.42 +3.63 +0.31%
IDXNONCYC..723.46 +1.31 +0.81%
IDX Hlthcare.1546.36 -6.30 -0.41%
IDXCYCLIC…..847.72 +0.99 +0.12%
IDX Techno..5072.24 -65.14 -1.27%
IDX Transp…1670.11 -7.07 -0.42%
IDX Infrast……856.50 +1.71 +0.20%
IDX Finance 1417.52 -3.27 -0.23%
IDX Banking 1155.56 +6.68 +0.58%
IDX Property….696 +4.20 +0.61%

Indo10Yr.7.0065 -0.0024 -0.03%
ICBI….344.3783 -0.0405 -0.01%
US10Yr..3.7510 closed. +0%
VIX……20.87 closed +0%

USDIndx.104.3140 closed +0%
Como Indx.278.11 closed +0%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..164.71 closed +0%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15632.50 +40.00 +0.26%
Jisdor..15636.00 +31.00 +0.20%

Euro……1.0617 +0.0014 +0.13%

TLKM…….24.03 closed +0%
(3750)
EIDO………22.42 closed +0%
EEM……….37.80 closed +0%

Oil………..79.56 closed +0%
Gold …..1804.20 closed +0%
Timah…..23934 closed +0%
(Closed 26/12)
Nickel.29684.00 closed +0%
(Closed 26/12)
Silver…….23.92 closed +0%
Copper…380.90 closed +0%

Nturl Gas..5.025 -0.11 -2.15%

Ammonia..4573.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(22/12)

Coal price….401.10 closed +0%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….371.10 closed +0%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….347.05 closed +0%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price…288.70 closed +0%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price….188.70 closed +0%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….188.25 closed +0%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Mar)…..3831 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….666.25 closed +0%
SoybeanOil..64.65 closed +0%
Wheat………776.00 closed +0%

Wood pulp…6446.00 unch +0%
(Closed 26/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Market US dan europe tutup libur natal kemaren… Asia yang buka pada ijo. Semoga periode antara natal dan tahun baru ini karena biasanya relatif sepi jadi gampang buat pemain besar yang perlu window dressing buat ngangkat harga

IHSG – stoch up MACD buy, FF masih dist kecil, BD acc, MFI up, udah stay diatas MA10, ascending triangle tinggal tunggu breakout, semoga windress lari ke atas

Technology, Infrastructure, Energy

Stochastic Buy Signal: TOWR, lengkap sama FNB dan BD acc

MACD Buy Signal: LSIP

Ini CPO start gerak, kemaren AALI DSNG, sekarang LSIP

Note untuk coal, banyak sell signal, jaga2 pake trailing stop atau stoploss yang baru re-entry. Harusnya sih masih ok sampe january akhir atau february.

TOWR – stoch buy, MACD rev up, MFI sw, BD FF udah akum 3 hari, masih tipis tapi… ada freq spike tapi spike jual, bandar lepas barang dan harga turun. Retracement pattern pas abis dari 50 ke 23, harusnya mantul otw to 61. LR slope nya masih down, posisi siap mantul. Ini posisi udah bikin higher low, tunggu MACD dan sekalian konfirmasi akumulasi FF dan BD berlanjut

LSIP – Stoch Buy MACD Buy, ada freq spike kemaren, MFI up, BFD start akum tipis, FF masih Dist, dari EW reverse udah kena level target, udah ada reg bull div, udah confirmed by 2 bull candle, MA 10 and MACD buy signal. Berani spec buy

Spike kenceng…

Average bandar jauh diatas, big 3 akum terus