August 15th, 2024

S&P 500 closes higher for fifth straight day as easing inflation bolsters rate cut hopes

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
ticked up Wednesday after the release of more encouraging U.S. inflation data.

Dow…….40008 +242.8 +0.61%
Nasdaq. .17193 +4.99 +0.03%
S&P 500 5465 +20.8. +0.38%

FTSE..8281.1 +45.8 +0.56%
Dax……17886 +73.6 +0.41%
CAC……7333 +57.5 +0.79%

Nikkei…36442 +209.9 +0.58%
HSI……..17113 -60.7 -0.35%
Shanghai.2851 -17.3 -0.60%

IDX….7436.04 +79.40 +1.08%
LQ45…922.64 +10.13 +1.11%
IDX30.466.87 +4.97 +1.08%

IDXEnergy. 2653.88 +7.59 +0.30%
IDX BscMat1354.74 +16.99 +1.27%
IDX Indstrl..1033.53 +2.09 +0.20%
IDXNONCYC.709.20 +3.46 +0.49%
IDX Hlthcare1458.46 +10.20 +0.70%
IDXCYCLIC…819.26 +27.12 +3.42%
IDXTechno 3341.16 +24.70 +0.74%
IDX Transp 1392.31 +6.80 +0.49%
IDX Infrast 1598.63 +23.76 +1.51%
IDX Finance1435.38 +11.48 +0.81%
IDX Banking1286.56 +11.96 +0.94%
IDX Property…..666 -1.70 -0.25%

Indo10Yr.6.8056 -0.0271 -0.40%
ICBI…388.1434 +0.5913 +0.15%
US2Yr.3.960 +0.024 +0.61%
US5Yr 3.682 +0.005 +0.14%
US10Yr3.845 -0.005 -0.13%
US30Yr.4.129 -0.031 -0.75%
VIX..16.19 -1.93 -10.65%👍

USDIndx 102.5680👍 +0.009 +0.01%
Como Indx….275.48 -0.85 -0.31%
BCOMIN…..138.90 +0.11 +0.08%

IndoCDS..78.68 -1.49 -1.86%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/08)

IDR…..15675.00👍 -157.50 -0.99%
Jisdor.15891.00👍 -194.00 -1.22%

Euro…1.1013‼️ +0.0019 +0.17%

TLKM…18.28 +0.08 +0.44%
( 2905)
EIDO…..21.30 +0.31 +1.48%
EEM……..42.44 -0.22 -0.50%

Oil………..77.33 -1.36 -1.73%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….79.76 -0.93 -1.15%
(Brent)
Gold…..2485.00 -19.20 -0.77%
(Comex)
Gold……2447.87 -17.02 -0.69%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31430.00 +232.00 +0.74%
(Closed 14/08)
Nickel..16235.00 -162.50 -0.99%
(Closed 14/08)
Silver….27.63 -0.40 -1.43%
Copper.406.90 -0.20 -0.05%

Iron Ore 62% 100.44 -0.59 -0.58%
(12/08)
Nturl Gas 2.226 +0.063 +2.91%
Ammonia China 2466.67 +36.67 +1.51%
(Domestic Price)(13/08)

Coal price.145.75 -1.15 -0.78%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.148.40 -1.60 -1.07%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 149.90 -1.15 -0.76%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.151.40 -0.90 -0.59%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.121.65 -0.10 -0.08%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.05 -0.45 -0.37%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 123.65 -0.95 -0.76%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.125.65 +0.10 +0.08%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3725 +36 +0.98%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..400.75 +3.50 +0.88%
SoybeanOil 38.88 -0.21 -0.54%
Wheat…..556.25 +4.50 +0.82%

Wood pulp..5060 -20 -0.39%
(Closed 14/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US Europe ijo, asia varied, US bond yield pendek up, yang panjang down, IHSG new record high, beware pullback. Banyak yang sell memanfaatkan hype ATH

USD Index up tipis, metal2 kebanyakan merah kecuali Tin, oil down gas up, coal down CPO up. agak ga asik buat INCO ANTM, semoga ga koreksi jauh, giliran AALI LSIP

IHSG – stoch up, MACD buy, FNB, vol transaksi turun, ketemu reg bear div, semoga lanjut sih, tapi beware kaya kejadian januari, all time high terus longsor

Energy

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO BRPT GOTO PGEO SIDO UNTR BNGA ENRG GJTL MPMX, big accum PGEO SIDO GJTL

MACD Buy Signal banyak banget: AMRT ANTM BBRI BRPT GOTO ISATJSMR MDKA PGAS PTBA SIDO SMGR ABMM BTPS MYOR, big accum BBRI ISAT MDKA PTBA SIDO

August 12th, 2024

Dow…….39497 +51.1 +0.13%
Nasdaq. 16745 +85.3 +0.51x%
S&P 500 5344 +24.9 +0.47%

FTSE..8168.10 +23.1 +0.28%
Dax……17722 +42.5 +0.24%
CAC……7270 +22.3 +0.31%

Nikkei..35025 +193.9 +0.56%
HSI……..17090 +198.4 +1.17%
Shanghai.2862 -7.7 -0.27%

IDX….7257.12 +61.88 +0.86%
LQ45…908.13 +9.23 +1.03%
IDX30.455.86 +1.74 +0.38%

IDXEnergy.2425.17 +12.00. +0.50%
IDX BscMat1318.38 +20.96 +1.62%
IDX Indstrl..1025.97 +11.31 +1.11%
IDXNONCYC.702.16 +2.36 +0.34%
IDX Hlthcare1452.22 +6.21 +0.43%
IDXCYCLIC…759.82 +6.04 +0.80%
IDXTechno.3224.77 +18.76 +0.59%
IDX Transp 1357.38. +10.91 +0.81%
IDX Infrast 1546.82 +13.02 +0.85%
IDX Finance1406.97 +6.99 +0.48%
IDX Banking1257.44 +8.18 +0.65%
IDX Property…..661 +5.20 +0.79%

Indo10Yr.6.8349 -0.0186 -0.27%
ICBI…387.2557 +0.3148 +0.08%
US2Yr.4.057 +0.021 +0.52%
US5Yr 3.796 -0.030 -0.78%
US10Yr3.959 -0.030 -0.75%
US30Yr.4.220 -0.056 -1.31%
VIX..20.37 -3.42 -14.38%‼️

USDIndx 103.2150 +0.006 +0.01%
Como Indx….275.97 +1.97 +0.72%
BCOMIN…..138.06 +1.93 +1.42%

IndoCDS..80.17 -0.02 -0.02%
(5-yr INOCD5) (09/08)

IDR…..15924.50 +31.00 +0.19%
Jisdor.15914.00 -38.00 -0.24%

Euro…1.0913 -0.0005 -0.05%

TLKM…17.86 +0.04 +0.20%
( 2836)
EIDO.20.48 -0.02 -0.10%
EEM..42.06 +0.21 +0.50%

Oil………..76.94 +0.90 +1.18%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….79.16 +0.83 +1.06%
(Brent)
Gold…..2468.50 +3.70 +0.15%
(Comex)
Gold……2430.02 +4.07 +0.17%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31304.00 +810.00 +2.66%
(Closed 09/08)
Nickel..16298.00 +97.50 +0.60%
(Closed 09/08)
Silver….27.49 -0.08 -0.29%
Copper.397.85 +0.15 +0.04%

Iron Ore 62% 101.26 +0.51 +0.51%
(09/08)
Nturl Gas 2.161 +0.072 +3.45%
Ammonia China 2463.33 – -%
(Domestic Price)(09/08)

Coal price.146.00 +0.50 +0.34%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.150.50 +1.50 +1.01%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 151.95 +1.75 +1.17%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.153.20 +2.00 +1.32%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.122.10 +0.70 +0.58%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.124.00 +1.10 +0.90%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 124.90 +1.60 +1.30%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.125.75 +1.65 +1.33%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3717 +41 +1.12%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..395.00 -2.00 -0.50%
SoybeanOil 41.12 +0.26 +0.64%
Wheat…..542.50 +5.00 +0.93%

Wood pulp..5100 unch +0%
(Closed 11/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing Jum’at semua ijo kecuali China. US Bond Yield hampir semua turun, keliatannya beneran udah beres wave 2, lanjut wave 3 IHSG

USD index up tpis, metal2 ijo kecuali silver, harusnya INCO ANTM TINS dkk jalan lagi, Oil Gas Coal up, PTBA ITMG ADRO menarik diliat… Oil kita liat dulu.CPO up juga, semoga nganter AALI LSIP rally juga

IHSG – Stoch up, MACD rev up tapi belum sempet nyeberang kebawa histogram, MFI sw, w% up, FNB, walau belum tutup gap tapi deket banget kemaren, bisa jadi sudah dianggap done, dari itungan fibonacci wave 2 udah bisa dianggap done, semoga memang sepakat untuk rally wave 3

Property yang terlihat kenceng, tapi kemaren di check masing2nya BD pada jualan, very careful buat yang mau ngejar issue bunga bank turun

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT INDF AVIA BMTR INDY MAHA MYOR PTPP, big accum AMRT INDF INDY PTPP

MACD Buy Signal: BRIS BUKA UNVR CMRY GJTL KIJA MIKA BRAM, big accum UNVR GJTL

August 08th, 2024

Stocks close lower on Wednesday as market’s comeback attempt fizzles out

Stocks closed lower on Wednesday as the market’s attempt to fully recover from Monday’s sell-off failed.

Dow…….38763 -234.2 -0.60%
Nasdaq. 16195 -171.1 -1.05%
S&P 500 5193 -40.5 -0.77%

FTSE..8166.9 +140.2 +1.75%
Dax……17615 +260.8 +1.50%
CAC……7266 +135.97 +1.91%

Nikkei..35090 +414.2 +1.19%
HSI…….16878 +230.5 +1.38%
Shanghai.2870 +2.6 +0.08%

IDX….7212.13 +82.92 +1.16%
LQ45…903.79 +4.61 +0.51%
IDX30.451.88 +4.88 +1.09%

IDXEnergy.2421.41 +31.88 +1.33%
IDX BscMat1322.98 +16.65 +1.27%
IDX Indstrl..1015.19 +18.11 +1.82%
IDXNONCYC.700.65 +6.99 +1.01%
IDX Hlthcare1444.70 +4.97 +0.35%
IDXCYCLIC…758.22 +6.08 +0.81%
IDXTechno.3199.07 +19.42 +0.61%
IDX Transp 1356.76 +21.81 +1.63%
IDX Infrast 1546.26 +13.47 +0.88%
IDX Finance1394.55 +6.81 +0.49%
IDX Banking1239.80 +7.76 +0.63%
IDX Property…..645 +8.60 +1.36%

Indo10Yr.6.8743 -0.0035 -0.05%
ICBI…386.3727 +0.0880 +0.02%
US2Yr.3.983 -0.009 -0.23%
US5Yr 3.776 +0.033 +0.88%
US10Yr3.926 +0.042 +1.08%
US30Yr.4.191 +0.062 +1.48%
VIX..27.85 +0.14 +0.51%

USDIndx 103.1970❗️+0.228 +0.22%
Como Indx….273.70 +3.55 +1.31%
BCOMIN…..135.90 -1.22 -0.89%

IndoCDS..80.12❗️ -2.06 -2.51%
(5-yr INOCD5) (05/08)

IDR…..16035.00❗️ -129.50 -0.80%
Jisdor.16100.00❗️ -83.00 -0.51%

Euro…1.0926 -0.0004 -0.04%

TLKM…17.36 -0.02 -0.12%
( 2795)
EIDO.20.05 +0.18 +0.91%
EEM….40.90 +0.28 +0.69%

Oil………..75.45 +2.58 +3.54%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….78.33 +1.85 +2.42%
(Brent)
Gold…..2422.60 -7.40 -0.31%
(Comex)
Gold……2384.07 -38.53 -1.59%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29991.00 +340.00 +1.15%
(Closed 07/08)
Nickel..16233.00 -182.00 -1.11%
(Closed 07/08)
Silver….26.68 -0.33 -1.22%
Copper.393.25 -6.80 -1.70%

Iron Ore 62% 102.86 -1.32 -1.27%
(06/08)
Nturl Gas 2.089 +0.073 +3.62%
Ammonia China 2480.00 – -%
(Domestic Price)(06/08)

Coal price.145.00 -0.50 -0.34%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.147.90 +0.40 +0.27%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 148.95 -0.05 -0.03%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.149.95 -0.05 -0.03%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.121.10 +0.30 +0.25%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.00 +0.30 +0.25%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 122.60 +0.40 +0.33%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.123.25 +0.20 +0.16%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3696 -11 -0.30%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..400.75 -4.50 -1.11%
SoybeanOil 40.98 +0.92 +2.30%
Wheat…..538.25 -5.00 -0.92%

Wood pulp..5110 -20 -0.39%
(Closed 07/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah lagi, kemaren asia europe ijo tebel, US bond yield up, most likely IDX dan pasar asia merah lagi hari ini. Per sekarang Nikkei udah minus 1.8%. So IHSG kemungkinan besar juga sama merah

USD index up lagi, metal2 down kecuali tin, Oil up, gas up, coal tipis2, CPO merah tipis, masih belum ada yang terlalu menarik, nanti yang oil kita liat trend nya

Oil Price – mulai terlihat bottoming sih, tapi belum firm

IHSG – bagusnya FNB, tapi technical masih jelek. Mungkin aja udahan tapi belum firm tegambar di chart kecuali dari level fibonacci target ABC correction. Dengan US market merah dan Nikkei udah terlihat merah duluan, ya masih sesuai technical mau kebawah lagi dulu

Masih belum, financials melemah lagi, sisa healthcare tapi ga berani lah

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBRI CPIN TLKM ABMM ADMR EMTK JPFA SMDR, big accum: CPIN JPFA SMDR

MACD Buy Signal: PTMP TPIA, TPIA big accum

CPIN – BD FF accum, stoch buy, macd bottoming, posisi di modus vol profile, retracement pattern pas banget ini abis koreksi wave B ke fibo 23, harusnya emang naik lagi ke fibo 61.

Spike tinggi tapi terus drop, jadi ga bisa dibilang valid spike beli

Wah biggest holder nya buang… Nanti dulu deh, sekalian tunggu harga dibawah average bandar

JPFA- ini malah lebih ga berani, abis wave 5 belum abc correction… Walau BD FF lagi terlihat akum

SMDR – ini menarik, abis drop jauh mantul hampir sampe fibo 61 drop lagi ke fibo 23, mungkin akan lanjut beresin retracement pattern nya. soch bolak balik, MACD bottoming, MFI juga, w% sw, PBV PER nya ok, kita tunggu MACD buy signal

PTMP – buat perusahaan relatif baru IPO, PER nya 23 ga berani masuk lah…

TPIA – PBV 20 PER minus karena LK rugi, skip lah

TLKM – BD FF acc tipis, menari udah drop terus mantul, ini bikin higher low, stoch almost buy, macd still down, index mau merah dulu, sabar tunggu firm mantul

BBRI – BD FF dist, toch buy, macd still down, MFI w%down, IHNS in he making, abis drop ketemu regbull div mantul, retracement pattern jalan, harusnya tinggal nunggu wave C, tapi keliatannya belum saatnya

August 07th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 300 points higher to snap three-day losing run in broad relief rally

Stocks jumped Tuesday, recovering some losses from the previous three trading days as investors took a pause from recession fears and Japanese equities rallied.

Dow…….38998 +294.4 +0.76%
Nasdaq. 16367 +166.8 +1.03%
S&P 500 52540 +53.7 +1.04%

FTSE..8027.2 +18.5 +0.23%
Dax……17354 +15.3 +0.09%
CAC……7130 -18.95 -0.27%

Nikkei..34675 +3217 +10.23%‼️
HSI…….16647 -51.02 -0.31%
Shanghai.2867 +6.6 +0.23%

IDX….7129.22 +69.56 +0.99%
LQ45…899.18 +8.47 +0.95%
IDX30.443.34 -15.20 -3.32%

IDXEnergy.2390.51 +32.58 +1.36%
IDX BscMat1306.33 +9.39 +0.72%
IDX Indstrl….997.09 -0.80 -0.08%
IDXNONCYC.693.65 +5.09 +0.74%
IDX Hlthcare1439.73+8.36 +0.58%
IDXCYCLIC…752.14 +6.85 +0.92%
IDXTechno.3179.65 +3.18 +0.18%
IDX Transp 1334.95 +16.13 +1.22%
IDX Infrast 1532.78 +24.46 +1.62%
IDX Finance1387.73 +12.90 +0.94%
IDX Banking1232.04 +14.44 +1.19%
IDX Property…..637 +4.90 +0.78%

Indo10Yr.6.8778 +0.0082 +0.11%
ICBI…386.2847 -0.2947 -0.08%
US2Yr.3.992 +0.090 +2.31%
US5Yr 3.743 +0.118 +3.26%‼️
US10Yr3.886 +0.094 +2.48%
US30Yr.4.191 +0.125 +3.07% ‼️
VIX..27.71 -10.86 -28.16%‼️

USDIndx 102.9690❗️+0.28 +0.27%
Como Indx….270.15 +1.36 +0.51%
BCOMIN…..137.12 +1.00 +0.74%

IndoCDS..82.18 +4.98 +6.45%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (05/08)

IDR…..16164.00❗️ -24.50 -0.15%
Jisdor.16183.00❗️ +29.00 +0.18%

Euro…1.0930 -0.0025 -0.23%

TLKM…17.38 +0.35 +2.06%
( 2813)
EIDO….19.87 +0.33 +1.66%
EEM….40.65 +0.18 +0.43%

Oil………..72.87❗️ -1.16 -1.57%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….76.48 +0.18 +0.24%
(Brent)
Gold…..2430.00 -21.60 -0.88%
(Comex)
Gold……2389.02 -19.41 -0.81%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29651.00 +167.00 +0.57%
(Closed 06/08)
Nickel..16415.00 +211.50 +1.31%
(Closed 06/08)
Silver….27.01 -0.35 -1.28%
Copper.400.05 -1.35 -0.34%

Iron Ore 62% 104.18 +0.18 +0.17%
(05/08)
Nturl Gas 2.016 +0.039 +1.97%
Ammonia China 2480.00 +133.33 +5.68%‼️
(Domestic Price)(05/08)

Coal price.145.50 +1.80 +1.25%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.147.50 +1.75 +1.20%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 149.00 +2.25 +1.53%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.150.00 +2.25 +1.52%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.120.80 +1.50 +1.26%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.70 +2.15 +1.80%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 122.20 +2.40 +2.00%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.123.05 +3.20 +2.67%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3707 -33 -0.88%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..405.25 -1.75 -0.43%
SoybeanOil 39.97 -0.27 -0.67%
Wheat…..543.25 +3.75 +0.70%

Wood pulp..5130 -20 -0.39%
(Closed 06/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Rebound semua setelah hari sebelumnya terjun bebas… Tapi US bond yield naik, kemaren IHSG udah rebound, kayanya merah lagi hari ini. Bagusnya sih dip sebentar tutup gap baru lanjut wave 3

USD index up, Gold silver copper down, Tin Nickel Iron ore up, oil down, gas up coal up, CPO down, masih resiko, tapi kayanya coal yang rebound duluan. Pulp and Paper Price sempet drop udah 2 hari up, semoga INKP rebound juga

IHSG – soch sell macd still down, MFI sw, w% sw, BD sw, FNB tipis kemaren, double top target done, itungan fibonacci abc done, mungkin udahan, mungkin tutp gap dulu, tapi kalo liat indicators, tutup gap dulu sih

Nah, Financials arahnya membaik, tanda2 index mau rebound…

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBNI BBTN BMRI EXCL HRUM DSNG PTRO, big accum BBNI BBTN HRUM

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: AMMN KLBF