February 27th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close lower Friday after hot inflation report; major averages log worst week in 2023

U.S. stocks fell sharply Friday, wrapping up their worst week of 2023, after the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge showed a stronger-than-expected increase in prices last month.

Dow…..32817 -337 -1.02%
Nasdaq11395 -195.5 -1.69%
S&P 500.3970 -42.3 -1.05%

FTSE…….7879 -29.1 -0.37%
Dax……..15210 -266 -1.72%
CAC……..7187 -130.2 -1.78%

Nikkei…..27453 +349.2 +1.29%
HSI………20010 -341.3 -1.68%
Shanghai.3267 -20.3 -0.62%

IDX…..6856.58 +17.12 +0.25%
LQ45….946.93 +2.50 +0.27%
IDX30…492.33 +1.59 +0.32%

IDXEnergy…2072.51 +15.05 +0.73%
IDX BscMat 1238.38 -0.64 -0.05%
IDX Indstrl…1155.94 +6.55 +0.57%
IDXNONCYC..752.10 -3.46 -0.46%
IDX Hlthcare1593.69 +11.83+0.75%
IDXCYCLIC…848.83 +2.48 +0.29%
IDX Techno.5449.20 +58.90+1.09%
IDX Transp1909.29 +12.17+0.64%
IDX Infrast….865.08 +2.25 +0.26%
IDX Finance1404.91 -3.87 -0.27%
IDX Banking1134.44 -3.19 -0.28%
IDX Property….688 -3.30 -0.48%

Indo10Yr.6.8382 +0.0085 +0.12%
ICBI..350.0712 +0.02222 +0.01%
US5Yr 4.2216+0.0016 +0.04%
US10Yr3.9470+0.0020 +0.05%
US30Yr.3.9300+0.0080+0.20%
VIX……. 21.67 +0.53 +2.51%

USDIndx105.2140+1.0310 +0.99%‼️
Como Indx.267.15 +0.21 +0.08%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….157.97 -3.95 -2.44%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15227.50 +35.50 +0.23%
Jisdor.15216.00 +29.00 +0.19%

Euro……1.0548 -0.0048 -0.45%

TLKM….26.15 +0.29 +1.12%
(3979)
EIDO……22.88 -0.12 -0.52%
EEM…38.30 -0.88 -2.25%

Oil…….76.32 +0.93 +1.23%
Gold 1817.10 -9.70 -0.53%
Timah 25651 -520.00 -1.99%
(Closed 02/24)
Nickel.24424 -878.00 -3.47%‼️
(Closed 02/24)
Silver…….20.94 -0.50 -2.34%
Copper..395.30 -10.30 -2.54%

Nturl Gas.2.726 +0.265+10.76%‼️

Ammonia 4490.00 +66.67 +1.51%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/23)

Coal price204.50 +2.65 +1.31%
(Mar/Newcastle)

Coal price 156.00 +8.00 +5.41%‼️
(Mar/ Rotterdam)

CPO(May)….4203 -32 -0.76%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..649.25 -10.00 -1.52%
SoybeanOil..61.22 -0.96 -1.54%
.Wheat….721.75 -28.75 -3.83%‼️

Wood pulp…5930.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/23)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe closing merah pas jum’at. Asia masih varied kemaren, beware merah lagi hari ini.

commodity terkait energy naik semua, metal merah semua, cpo turun dikit. Keliatanya mulai swing terakhir energy sebelum winter selesai ini…

IHSG – Stoch still down, MACD down, udah tutup gap, ada gap di bawah, last day NFS, BD flat, MFI sw, koreksi udah cukup kemaren ke fibo 50, harusnya paling tutup gap dulu terus lanjut ke atas

Infrastructure, Consumer Cyclicals, Transportation, disusul Industrials, Energy, Technology

Stoch Buy Signal: ASII MEDC DOID MAPI WIKA LMSH LTLS

MACD Buy Signal: ESSA IGAR

Alligator Signal: MPMX PNLF

February 23th,, 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500 notches fourth day of losses after Fed minutes reaffirm tough stance on inflation

Stocks ended lower on Wednesday as traders parsed through a summary of the Federal Reserve’s most recent meeting, looking for clues on the central bank’s next move against inflation.

Dow…..33045 -84.5 -0.26%
Nasdaq11507 +14.8 +0.13%
S&P 500..3991 -6.3 -0.16%

FTSE…….7931 -47.1 -0.59%
Dax……..15400 +2.3 +0.01%
CAC……..7299 -9.4 -0.13%

Nikkei…..27104 -368.8 -1.34%
HSI………20424 -105.7 -0.51%
Shanghai.3291 -15.4 -0.47%

IDX…..6809.97 -63.44 -0.92%
LQ45….939.99 -10.51 -1.11%
IDX30…488.37 -5.52 -1.12%

IDXEnergy…2047.85 -4.56. -0.22%
IDX BscMat 1242.66 -13.95 -1.11%
IDX Indstrl…1141.44 +1.19 +0.10%
IDXNONCYC..758.23 -5.89 -0.77%
IDX Hlthcare1577.95 -30.61 -1.90%
IDXCYCLIC…844.19 -4.16 -0.49%
*IDX Techno.5382.56 -129.25 -2.35%*
IDX Transp1873.92 -4.99 -0.27%
IDX Infrast….860.15 -13.20 -1.51%
IDX Finance1405.28 -16.88 -1.19%
IDX Banking1132.43 -16.04 -1.40%
IDX Property….687 -3.20 -0.46%

*Indo10Yr.6.8119 +0.0196+0.29%*
*ICBI..350.3620-0.2267 -0.06%*
*US5Yr 4.1640* -0.0090 -0.22%
*US10Yr3.9270* -0.0260 -0.65%
*US30Yr.3.9230 -0.0530 -1.33%*
*VIX…..22.29 -0.58 -2.54%*

*USDIndx104.1830+0.3150 +0.30%‼️*
Como Indx.266.10 -2.38 -0.89%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….165.56 -2.86 -1.70%

*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR…..15200.00 +10.00 +0.07%*
*Jisdor.15218.00 +39.00 +0.26%*

Euro……1.0606 -0.0038 -0.36%

TLKM….25.54 +0.45 +1.79%
*(3886)*
EIDO……22.09 -0.17 -0.74%
EEM……38.99 -0.19 -0.48%

*Oil…….73.95 -2.21 -3.16%‼️*
Gold 1841.50 -2.20 -0.12%
*Timah 26700 +826.00 +3.09%‼️*
*(Closed 02/21)*
Nickel.26576.50 -123.50.00 -0.46%
(Closed 02/22)
Silver…….21.82 -0.18 -0.82%
Copper..418.50 -1.50 -0.36%

*Nturl Gas.2.290 +0.106+4.85%‼️*

Ammonia 4306.67 +16.67 +0.39%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(02/21)

Coal price.209.65 +0.65 +0.31%
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price199.65 +12.65 +6.76%‼️*
(Mar/Newcastle)
*Coal price197.00 +9.00 +4.79%‼️*
(Apr/Newcastle)
*Coal price200.35 +4.35 +2.22%*
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.137.15 +0.15 +0.11%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
*Coal price 139.30 +3.35 +2.46%*
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price138.30 +3.80 +2.83%*
(Apr/Rotterdam)
*Coal price138.20 +5.20 +3.91%*
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)….4148 +9 +0.22%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..674.25 -6.25 -0.92%
SoybeanOil..63.05 +0.10 +0.16%
Wheat…….750.00 -12.75 -1.67%

*Wood pulp…5950.00 -40 -0.67%*
(Closed 02/21)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

DJI masih merah tapi ga segila kemaren yang drop 2%, Nasdaw malah ijo tipis, europe majority merah, asia merah semua, dicermati yang kemaren nongol sell signal gara2 drop, yang perlu cutloss ya cutloss dulu, gampang beli lagi belakangan pas bullish

Oil, Gas rebound, coal lanjut naik, CPO ngebalik ijo, metal2 rata2 merah kecuali timah yang naik tinggi. Dari sisi ini sih market masih ok harusnya. Index walau ada kemungkinan tetep merah tapi keliatannya saham2 energy akan melawan gravitasi

IHSG – stoch down, MACD down, MFI down, w% downtrend, FF dist tipis, BD flat ga jagain harga, dari fibonacci last low pas di 38, ini deket 50, udah cukup lah ya, semoga langsung tutup gap hari ini, atau sideways dulu ga drop lagi

Healthcare, Infrastructure, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Transportation, disusul Basic Materials sama Industrials

Stochastic Buy Signal: TOBA ANJT WINS SGRO EKAD

MACD Buy Signal: TLKM

Alligator Buy Signal: TBIG MTEL TAPG

February 22nd, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 700 points lower in broad selloff, as all indexes cap their worst day of 2023

U.S. stocks dropped Tuesday as higher rates continue to pressure market sentiment, and the latest batch of retail earnings raised concern about the state of the consumer.

Dow…..33130 -697.1 -2.06%
Nasdaq11492 -294.97-2.50%
S&P 500..3997 -81.8 -2.00%

FTSE…….7978 -36.6 -0.46%
Dax……..15398 -79.9 -0.52%
CAC……..7309 -26.96 -0.37%

Nikkei…..27473 -58.8 -0.21%
HSI………20529 -357.5 -1.71%
Shanghai.3307 +16.2 +0.49%

IDX…..6873.40 -21.31 -0.31%
LQ45….950.51 -4.35 -0.46%
IDX30…493.89 -2.66 -0.54%

IDXEnergy…2052.01 -18.00 -0.87%
IDX BscMat 1256.60 +8.62 +0.69%
IDX Indstrl…1140.26 -5.50 -0.48%
IDXNONCYC..764.13 -0.43 -0.06%
IDX Hlthcare1608.56 -2.78 -0.17%
IDXCYCLIC…848.36 +2.71 +0.32%
IDX Techno.5511.82 -17.86 -0.32%
IDX Transp1878.91 +42.4 +2.31%
IDX Infrast….873.35 -1.82 -0.21%
IDX Finance1422.16 -9.97 -0.70%
IDX Banking1148.46 -13.39 -1.15%
IDX Property….687 -3.20 -0.46%

Indo10Yr.6.7923 +0.0186 +0.27%
ICBI..350.5887 -0.2732 -0.08%
US10Yr3.9550 +0.1270 +3.32%‼️
VIX…..22.82 +1.59 +7.49%‼️

USDIndx104.1830+0.3150 +0.30%‼️
Como Indx.268.48 +0.91 +0.34%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….168.42 +5.29 +3.24%‼️

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15190.00 +31.00 +0.20%
Jisdor.15179.00 +11.00 +0.07%

Euro……1.0644 -0.0042 -0.39%

TLKM….25.09 +0.23 +0.93%
(3808)
EIDO……23.07 -0.11 -0.47%
EEM……39.18 -0.50 -1.26%

Oil…….76.16 -0.97 -1.26%
Gold 1843.70 -6.60 -0.36%
Timah 26700 +844.00 +3.26%‼️
(Closed 02/20)
Nickel.26889.50 -196.50.00 -0.73%
(Closed 02/21)
Silver…….22.00 +0.03 +0.14%
Copper..420.00 +4.14 +1.00%

Nturl Gas.2.184 -0.126 -5.45%‼️

Ammonia 4290.00 -33.30 -0.77%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/20)

Coal price.209.00 +3.35 +1.63%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price187.00 +7.50 +4.18%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price188.00 +12.00 +6.82%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price196.00 +16.50 +9.19%‼️
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.137.00 +0.50 +0.37%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 136.00 +3.00 +2.26%
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price134.50 -1.50 -1.10%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price133.00 +1.70 +1.29%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)….4139 -15 -0.36%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..680.25 +2.75 +0.41%
SoybeanOil..62.80 +1.06. +1.70%
Wheat…….762.75 -13.50 -1.74%

Wood pulp…5990.00 -40 -0.66%
(Closed 02/20)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Wah, US drop, europe merah juga, asia kecuali shanghai merah juga

Oil Gas Drop, coal ijo, gantian terus ini… Bagus deh buat saham2 coal. Metal2 kebanyakan naik, gold merah tipis, nikel merah, CPO merah lagi tapi semoga AALI LSIP tetep jalan

Coal NCF akhirnya MACD buy signal, semoga rebound nya cukup tinggi, sampe tutup gap aja deh cukup buang ngangkat saham coal 20-25% an harusnya

IHSG – rada2 tweezer bottom, semoga mantul, tapi candle terakhir yang close nya dibawah bikin khawatir juga. Yang jelas hati2 belanja sebelum MACD dan stoch nya ngebalik lagi ke atas, stoch sw macd down, mfi down, BD ga jagain hari terakhir, FNS tipis udah 3-4 hari, masih uptrend majornya, wave 3, semoga ga lama lagi mulai rally, perlu didorong sama big banks sih

Basic Materials mulai bangun, yang leading masih healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: ARTO INCO INCI

MACD Buy Signal: TOWR ABMM SGRO

Alligator Buy Signal: AGRO WIFI

February 21st, 2023

Good morning,

U.S markets on holiday due to President Day

Dow…….33827 closed +0%
Nasdaq.11787 closed +0%
S&P 500..4079 closed +0%

FTSE…….8014 +9.96 +0.12%
Dax……..15478 -4.5 -0.03%
CAC……..7336 -12.1 -0.16%

Nikkei…..27532 +18.8 +0.07%
HSI………20887 +167.2 +0.81%
Shanghai.3290 +66.3 +2.06%

IDX…..6894.72 -1.00 -0.01%
LQ45….954.85 +0.47 +0.05%
IDX30…496.56 +0.25 +0.05%

IDXEnergy…2070.01 -12.24 -0.59%
IDX BscMat 1247.98 -2.70 -0.22%
IDX Indstrl…1145.75 -9.43 -0.82%
IDXNONCYC..764.55 +5.28 +0.70%
IDX Hlthcare1611.34 -4.39 -0.27%
IDXCYCLIC…845.64 +1.24 +0.15%
IDX Techno.5529.68 -83.77 -1.49%
IDX Transp1836.55 -5.13 -0.28%
IDX Infrast….875.17 +9.96 +1.15 %
IDX Finance1432.13 +4.49 +0.31%
IDX Banking1161.85 -0.33 -0.03%
IDX Property….690 +0.20 +.0.03%

Indo10Yr.6.7641 +0.0096 +0.14%
ICBI..350.8619 -0.0291 -0.01%
US10Yr.3.8280 closed +0%
VIX……….21.23 +1.23 +6.04%‼️

USDIndx103.8680 -0.1820 -0.17%
Como Indx.267.57closed +0%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….163.14 closed +0%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15159.00 -51.00 -0.34%
Jisdor.15168.00 -22.00 -0.14%

Euro……1.0686 unch +0%

TLKM….24.86 closed +0%
(3778)
EIDO……23.18 closed +0%
EEM……39.68 closed +0%

Oil…….77.13 +0.79 +1.03%
Gold 1850.30 +0.10 +0.01%
Timah 25856 closed +0%
(Closed 02/17)
Nickel.27086.00 +439.00 +1.65%
(Closed 02/20)
Silver…….21.97 +0.11 +0.50%
Copper..415.86 +5.35 +1.30%

Nturl Gas.2.311 +0.0011 +0.48%

Ammonia 4323.33 – -0%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/16)

Coal price.205.65 -3.70 -1.77%_
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price179.50 -3.50 -1.91%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price176.00 -4.65 -2.57%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price179.50 -2.90 -1.59%
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.136.50 unch +0%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 133.00-3.20 -2.35%
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price136.00 +1.05 +0.78%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price131.30 -3.10 -2.23%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)….4124 +27 +0.65%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..677.50 closed +0%
SoybeanOil..61.75 closed +0%
Wheat…….776.25 closed +0%

Wood pulp…6030.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/20)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Era9wati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US tutup, asia rata2 ijo, europe tipis2, IDX hampir doji, bisa dianggap doji lah, semoga pertanda reversal

oil gas ijo, coal merah, metal2 ijo, CPO lanjut ijo. Bagus buat tambang2 mineral yang kemaren pada dibanting harganya, pas juga kemaren index doji, buat rebound hari ini.

NCF – masih turun, tapi kalo dari MACD keliatannya sebentar lagi udahan downtrend nya, semoga pas dan bawa saham2 coal ke atas

IHSG – stoch down, macd down, MFI down,w% flat, BD acc, FF masih NFS tapi tipis, dari candle keliatan udah ga mau dibawa turun, closing selalu balik ke level 6895-an. Kayanya tinggal nunggu release resmi LK big banks terus rally breakout resistance

Healthcare, Infrastructure, Energy. Consumer Non-Cyclicals bangun lagi

Stoch Buy Signal: ITMG SCMA BMTR LTLS

MACD Buy Signal: CPIN EXCL PNLF SMDR

Alligator Buy Signal: ENRG ISAT MIKA

Supertrend Buy Signal: PTBA