March 09th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow finishes slightly lower as traders consider a faster Fed tightening cycle

The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished slightly lower Wednesday as the market fought to overcome Tuesday’s selloff, spurred by comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell hinting at higher interest rates for longer.

Dow…..32798 -58.1 -0.18%
Nasdaq11576 +45.7 +0.40%
S&P 500.3992 +5.6 +0.14%

FTSE…….7930 +10.4 +0.13%
Dax……..15632+72.3 +0.46%
CAC……..7325 -14.5 -0.20%

Nikkei…..28444 +135.03+0.25%
HSI……. .20051 -483.2 -2.35%
Shanghai.3283 -1.9 -0.06%

IDX…..6776.37 +9.61 +0.14%
LQ45….939.03 +3.30 +0.35%
IDX30…489.26 +2.32 +0.48%

IDXEnergy…2046.37 -6.48 -0.32%
IDX BscMat 1177.60 -15.24 -1.28%
IDX Indstrl..1164.92 -6.39 -0.50%
IDXNONCYC..732.02 +0.79 +0.11%
IDX Hlthcare1529.90 -10.30 -0.67%
IDXCYCLIC…833.29 -8.32 -0.99%
IDX Techno.5423.28 -5.80 -0.11%
IDX Transp.1811.63 +11.54 +0.64%
IDX Infrast….835.37 +2.62 +0.31%
IDX Finance1398.12 +2.22 +0.16%
IDX Banking1133.34 +5.19 +0.46%
IDX Property….685 -0.00 -0.00%

Indo10Yr.6.9766 +0.0249+0.36%‼️
ICBI….348.6693 -0.520 -0.05%‼️
US2Yr5.0701‼️+0.0590 +1.18%
US5Yr 4.3453‼️+0.0300 +0.70%
US10Yr3.9890‼️+0.0140 +0.36%
US30Yr.3.8791‼️+0.0030 +0.08%
VIX……. 19.11 -0.48 -2.45%

USDIndx105.6690+1.3950+1.33%‼️
Como Indx.267.02 -2.56 -0.95%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…158.74 +0.83 +0.53%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15437.50 +70.50 +0.46%‼️
Jisdor.15451.00 +92.00. +0.60%‼️

Euro……1.0548 -0.0001 -0.01%

TLKM….25.70 +0.35 +1.38%
(3971)
EIDO……22.23 +0.12 +0.54%
EEM……38.90 +0.16 +0.41%

Oil….76.66 -0.92 -1.19%
Gold1818.60 -1.40 -0.08%
Timah 25334 – -%
(Closed 03/01)
Nickel..23913.00 -304.00 -1.26%
(Closed 03/08)
Silver…..20.15 -0.05 -0.24%
Copper.402.70 +5.20 +1.31%

Nturl Gas.2.593 -0.0650 -2.45%

Ammonia 4406.67 -16.66 -0.38%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/07)

Coal price.179.50 +0.25 +0.25%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.182.25 -1.00 -0.55%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.186.20 -0.30 -0.16%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.192.80 +0.15 +0.08%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.123.35 -1.15 -0.92%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 117.80 +0.30 +0.26%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 118.50 -1.00 -0.83%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 119.30 -0.70 -0.58%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4181 -25 -0.59%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..625.50 -8.75 -1.38%
SoybeanOil..59.06 +0.42 +0.72%
Wheat…….687.50 -10.50 -1.50%

Wood pulp…5730.00 -30 -0.52%
(Closed 03/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI closing merah tipis, Nasdaq udah rebound. Europe tipis2 kebanyakan ijo, Asia juga tipis2 kecuali Hangseng yang merah dalem. Ada harapan rebound kalo gini

Oil gas lanjut merah, coal ijo, metal2 merah kecuali copper, kita tunggu momentum reboundnya basic materials versi tambang mineral

IHSG – kemaren NFS, semoga lanjut asing masuk terus, udah cukup lah koreksi ke fibo 50. Technically stoch masih down, MACD down, MFI sw, w% downtrend done, ada gap di 6688, mungkin juga dibawa dip tutup gap baru naik lagi sih, tapi berdarah2 banget itu kalo kejadian. Belum saatnya aggressive belanja. Cari contrarian aja

Industrials keseret ASII dan UNTR yang koreksi abis loncat. Energy Property sama Technology yang upcoming

March 08th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes 570 points lower, turns negative for 2023 as Powell ignites higher rate fears

Stocks sold off sharply Tuesday after comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell suggested that rates may need to go higher for longer, fueling fears of a potentially larger hike at the central bank’s next policy meeting.

Dow…..32856 -574.98 -1.72%
Nasdaq11530 -145.4 -1.25%
S&P 500.3986 -62.1 -1.53%

FTSE…….7919 -10.3 -0.13%
Dax……..15560 -94.1 -0.60%
CAC……..7339 -33.9 -0.46%

Nikkei…..28309 +71.4 +0.25%
HSI……. .20534 -68.7 -0.33%
Shanghai.3285 -36.9 -1.11%

IDX…..6766.77 -40.24 -0.59%
LQ45….935.74 -2.98 -0.32%
IDX30…486.93 -1.93 -0.40%

IDXEnergy…2052.85 -36.18 -1.73%
IDX BscMat 1192.84 -14.75 -1.22%
IDX Indstrl..1171.30 -20.22 -1.70%
IDXNONCYC..731.23 -5.62 -0.76%
IDX Hlthcare1540.19 -5.25 -0.34%
IDXCYCLIC…841.61 -3.18 -0.38%
IDX Techno.5429.08 -30.68 -0.71%
IDX Transp.1800.08 -50.78 -2.74%
IDX Infrast….832.76 -10.11 -1.20%
IDX Finance1395.89 -9.83 -0.70%
IDX Banking1128.15 -2.30 -0.20%
IDX Property….685 -1.60 -0.23%

Indo10Yr.6.9517 +0.0191 +0.28%
ICBI….349.1900 -0.1630 -0.05%
US2Yr5.0148‼️+0.1210 +2.47%‼️
US5Yr 4.3150‼️+0.0460 +1.08%
US10Yr3.9700‼️-0.0130 -0.34%
US30Yr.3.8770‼️-0.0350 -0.90%
VIX……. 19.59 +0.98 +5.27%‼️

USDIndx104.2740 -0.2470 -0.24%
Como Indx.269.58 -4.01 -1.47%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…157.91 -3.34 -2.07%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15367.00 +72.00 +0.47%‼️
Jisdor.15301.00 +58.00 +0.38%‼️

Euro……1.0549 -0.0133 -1.24%

TLKM….25.35 -0.33 -1.28%
(3879)
EIDO……22.11 -0.31 -1.38%
EEM……38.74 -0.66 -1.68%

Oil….77.58 -2.88 -3.58%‼️
Gold…1820.00 -34.60 -1.87%‼️
Timah 25334 – -%
(Closed 03/01)
Nickel..24217.00 -295.50 -1.21%
(Closed 03/06)
Silver…..20.20 -0.94 -4.43%‼️
Copper.397.50 -11.35 -2.78%

Nturl Gas.2.658 +0.0530 +2.03%

Ammonia 4422.33 +16.66 +0.38%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/06)

Coal price.179.25 -2.50 -1.38%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.183.25 -5.50 -2.91%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.186.50 -4.35 -2.28%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.192.65 -3.10 -1.58%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.124.50 -1.50 -1.22%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 117.50 -1.50 -1.29%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 119.50 +2.50 +2.14%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 120.00 +3.30 +2.82%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4206 -72 -1.68%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..634.25 -2.75 -0.43%
SoybeanOil..60.45 -0.74 -1.21%
Wheat….698.00 +16.50 +5.08%‼️

Wood pulp…5760.00 -40 -0.69%
(Closed 03/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua merah kecuali nikkei, US drop dalem. Semoga commodity juga kecuali gas. PGAS jalan? Maybe…

IHSG – stoch ngebalik jadi sell lagi, beneran ini berbahaya… Tapi dari fibonacci retracement lagi di fibo 50, semoga mantul. masih NFS terus, dan BD ga jagain, MFI sw, w% downtrend, triangle breakdown, berhenti belanja dulu bagusnya kecuali saham2 yang firm dipake ganjel index

Industrials Energy Property Technology. Tapi bener2 hati2, harga commodity terkait energy pada turun, Property kayanya yang mendingan

Stoch Buy Signal: ANTM BBNI ICBP SIDO

MACD Buy Signal: DSNG MTEL RAJA

March 07th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes higher Monday to notch four-day win streak

The Dow rose slightly Monday, as Wall Street fought to hold onto last week’s gains and investors braced for a busy week of economic news.

Dow…..33431 +40.5 +0.12%
Nasdaq11676 -13.3 -0.11%
S&P 500.4048 +2.8 +0.07%

FTSE…….7930 -17.3 -0.22%
Dax……..15654 +75.2 +0.48%
CAC……..7373 +25.1 +0.34%

Nikkei…..28238 +310.3 +1.11%
HSI……. .20603 +35.7 +0.17%
Shanghai.3322 -6.4 -0.19%

IDX…..6807.00 -6.64 -0.10%
LQ45….938.72 -0.25 -0.03%
IDX30…488.87 +0.16 +0.03%

IDXEnergy…2089.03 -18.92 -0.90%
IDX BscMat 1207.59 -11.39 -0.93%
IDX Indstrl..1191.53 -5.68 -0.47%
IDXNONCYC..736.85 +5.22 +0.71%
IDX Hlthcare1545.44 -9.89 -0.64%
IDXCYCLIC…845.79 -0.63 -0.08%
IDX Techno.5467.75 +11.97 +0.22%
IDX Transp..1850.86 +6.77 +0.37%
IDX Infrast….842.86 -6.06 -0.71%
IDX Finance1405.72 +0.77 +0.06%
IDX Banking1127.75 -12.61 -1.11%
IDX Property….685 -1.60 -0.23%

Indo10Yr.6.9326 -0.0035 -0.05%
ICBI….349.3529 +0.1378 +0.04%
US2Yr 4.8861‼️+0.0250 +0.52%
US5Yr 4.2546‼️+0.0020 +0.04%
US10Yr3.9640‼️+0.0010 +0.02%
US30Yr.3.8990‼️+0.0120 +0.30%
VIX……. 18.61 +0.12 +0.65%

USDIndx104.2740 -0.2470 -0.24%
Como Indx.273.59 -1.47 -0.53%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….161.24 -0.76 -0.47%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15295.00 -16.00 -0.10%‼️
Jisdor.15301.00 -5.00 -0.03%‼️

Euro……1.0682 +0.0044 +0.44%

TLKM….25.68 -0.34 -1.31%
(3929)
EIDO……22.42 -0.19 -0.84%
EEM……39.40 -0.14 -0.35%

Oil……80.46 +0.76 +0.98%
Gold…1854.60 unch +0%
Timah 25334 – -%
(Closed 03/01)
Nickel..24512.50 -162.50 -0.66%
(Closed 03/06)
Silver…….21.14 -0.10 -0.49%
Copper..408.85 +2.15 +0.53%

Nturl Gas.2.605 -0.404 -13.43%‼️

Ammonia 4406.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/02)

Coal price.181.75 -7.15 -3.79%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.188.75 -6.65 -3.40%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.190.85 -8.45 -4.24%‼️
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.195.75 -5.25 -2.61%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.123.00 -8.75 -6.64%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 116.00 -10.25 -8.12%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 117.00 -9.80 -7.73%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 116.70 -10.65 -8.36%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4278 -79 -1.81%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..637.00 -2.75 -0.43%
SoybeanOil..60.45 -0.74 -1.21%
Wheat……695.25 -13.50 -1.90%

Wood pulp…5800.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo tipis, Nasdaq merah tiips, europe varied, asia kemaren kebanyakan tipis2 kecuali nikkei yang ijo tebel. Masih sideways dulu keliatannya

Oil ijo tipis, gas drop, coal lanjut merah, kita check NCF chart later… Metal2 tipis tipis semua, belum kemana mana

Dari hitungan elliot wave lanjut ABC correction, level harga coal sekarang sudah memenuhi level beres retracement, bisa diharapkan mantul, MACD masih up tapi stochastic ngebalik lagi, masih di area oversold sih, Masih berharap ada satu swing lagi ke atas di maret

IHSG – masih NFS, BD lokal ga jagain juga jadi ngebalik lagi deh stochastic nya,MACD down MFI sw W% sw, lagi di fibo 50 dari kenaikan terakhir, udah terbentuk reg bull div di CCI,semoga false break triangle, terus jadi keatas. Tapi short term masih down or sw dulu

Industrials, Energy, Property. Tapi kemaren Energy nya drop semua malah, heuheu

Stoch Buy Signal: BBRI GOTO UNVR ADHI ADMR GGRM ISAT MTMH PNLF INCI LMSH

Index abis drop banyak saham jadi oversold, mantul dikit jadi buy signal, kalo udah banyak buy signal gini mending pilih hanya LQ45

MACD Buy Signal: MTMH SMDR INCI LMSH LTLS

Alligator Buy Signal: BABP BSSR

March 06th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher Friday, Dow breaks 4-week losing streak as 10-year Treasury yield retreats

Stocks rose Friday as Treasury yields eased from their recent highs and investors weighed the cumulative impact from Fed hikes already implemented and digested this week’s comments from the central bank.

Dow…..33391 +387.4 +1.17%
Nasdaq11689 +226.02+1.97%
S&P 500.4046 +64.3 +1.61%

FTSE…….7947 +3.1 +0.04%
Dax……..15578 +250.8 +1.64%
CAC……..7348 +63.9 +0.88%

Nikkei…..27927 +428.6 +1.56%
HSI……. .20568 +138.1 +0.68%
Shanghai.3328 +17.7 +0.54%

IDX…..6813.64 -43.78 -0.64%
LQ45….938.96 -6.81 -0.32 %
IDX30…488.79 -4.47 -0.91%

IDXEnergy…2107.96 -6.81 -0.32%
IDX BscMat 1218.98 -2.68. -0.22%
IDX Indstrl..1197.20 -9.57 -0.79%
IDXNONCYC..731.63 -8.37 -1.13%
IDX Hlthcare1555.33 -5.62 -0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…845.42 -1.61 -0.19%
IDX Techno.5455.78 +43.53 + 0.80%
IDX Transp..1844.09 -25.53 -1.37%
IDX Infrast….848.99 +4.13 +0.49%
IDX Finance1404.95 -10.17 -0.72%
IDX Banking1127.75 -12.61 -1.11%
IDX Property….694 -4.80 -0.69%

Indo10Yr.6.9361 +0.0256 +0.37%‼️
ICBI….349.0803 -0.0894 -0.03%‼️
US2Yr 4.8606‼️-0.0004 -0.01%
US5Yr 4.2492‼️ -0.0038 -0.09%
US10Yr3.9580‼️ -0.0050 -0.14%
US30Yr.3.8780‼️-0.0090 -0.24%
VIX……. 18.49 -1.10 -5.62%

USDIndx104.5210 -0.4630 -0.44%‼️
Como Indx.275.05 +3.75 +1.38%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….162.00 +0.42 +0.26%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15311.00 +30.50 +0.20%‼️
Jisdor.15306.00 +33.00 +0.22%‼️

Euro……1.0635 +0.0036 +0.34%

TLKM….26.02 +0.31 +1.21%
(39283)
EIDO……22.61 -0.21 -0.92%
EEM……39.54 +0.35 +0.89%

Oil……79.68 +1.52 +1.94%
Gold.1854.60 +14.10+0.77%
Timah 25334 – -%
(Closed 03/01)
Nickel…24675 +443.00 +1.83%
(Closed 03/03)
Silver…….21.24 +0.34 +1.61%
Copper..406.70 -0.90 -0.22%

Nturl Gas.2.790 -0.021 -0.75%

Ammonia 4406.67 -16.67 -0.38%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/02)

Coal price.188.90 -4.10 -2.12%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.195.40 -2.60 -1.31%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.199.30 -2.35 -1.17%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.201.00 -4.35 -2.12%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.131.75 -11.50 -8.03%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 126.25 -13.75 -9.82%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 126.80 -14.20-10.07%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 127.35 -14.35 -10.13%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4357 +64 +1.49%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..639.75 +6.00 +0.95%
SoybeanOil..61.19 -0.71 -1.15%
Wheat……708.75 -4.00 -0.56%

Wood pulp…5800.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing jum’at ijo tebel, in fact malah IHSG doang yang closing merah, semua asia eropa ijo… 😅

Oil Ijo Gas Coal merah, metal2 ijo semua, kecuali copper, CPO ijo, TINS udah buy signal, mungkin MDKA hari ini kalo closing ijo

IHSG – retest fibo 38, dan pas mantul disitu seperti sebelumnya. Stoch buy, macd down, BD FF dist, MFI W% down, masih optimis false break jadi mantul

Industrials, Property, Energy

Stoch Buy Signal: INTP MDKA TBIG DSNG MNCN

MACD Buy Signal: GOTO TBIG TINS

Alligator Buy Signal: ASII ITMG UNTR APIC CTRA

Supertrend Buy Signal: BSSR