Global update:

October 25th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks notch second day of gains Monday, Dow closes more than 400 points higher

The three major indexes closed higher Monday as traders tried to add to sharp gains seen last week and weighed the latest moves in rates.

Dow…….31499 +417.1 +1.34%
Nasdaq.10953 +92.9 +0.86%
S&P 500..3797 +44.6 +1.19%

FTSE…….7014 +44.3 +0.64%
Dax……..12931 +200.6 +1.58%
CAC……..6131 +95.97 +1.59%

Nikkei….26975 +84.3 +0.31%
*HSI……..15181 -1030.4 -6.36%‼️*
*Shanghai..2978 -61.4 -2.02%*
ST Times..2970 -52.8 -1.75%

IDX…….7053.04 +35.27 +0.50%
LQ45…1006.50 +6.14 +0.61%

IDX Energy..2034.23 +17.21 +0.85%
IDX Bsc Mat.1248.79 +1.43 +0.11%
IDX Industrl..1279.30 +16.15 +1.28%
IDXNONCYC..733.03 +0.47 +0.57%
IDX Hlthcare.1491.24 +14.11 +0.96%
IDXCYCLIC…..858.58 +4.95 +0.58%
IDX Techno..6419.58 -54.42 -0.84%
IDX Transp…1779.26 +1.09 +0.06%
IDX Infrast……937.73 -6.41 -0.68%
IDX Finance 1513.23 +22.68 +1.52%
IDX Banking.1200.38 +22.43 +1.90%
IDX Property…….681 -0.70 -0.10%

Indo10Yr….7.5869 +0.0289 +0.38%
ICBI……..330.5100 -0.1980 -0.06%
*US10Yr……4.2340 +0.0210 +0.50%‼️*
*VIX……….29.85 +0.16 +0.54%*

*USDIndx 111.9960 -0.0160 -0.01%👍*
Como Indx..271.82 -0.54 -0.20%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..145.45 -0.39 -0.26%
.
*IndoCDS 160.86 -4.98 -3.00%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(24/10)*

*IDR……15585.50 -46.00 -0.29%‼️*
*Jisdor..15590.00 -20 -0.13%‼️*

*Euro……..0.9880 +0.0018 +0.18%‼️*

TLKM……..28.25 +0.55 +1.99%
*(4404)*
EIDO………23.70 +0.06 +0.25%
*EEM………33.93 -1.34 -3.80%‼️*

Oil…………84.80 -0.25 -0.29%
Gold ……1655.00 -1.30 -0.08%
Timah….18484 – -%
*(Closed 21/10)*
Nickel…22239.50 +54.50 +0.25%
*(Closed 24/10)*
Silver………19.20 +0.60 +3.23%
Copper….343.20 +3.45 +1.02%

*Nturl Gas…..5.745 +0.273 +4.75%*

*Ammonia..4130.00 – -%*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(20/10)

Coal price….390.00 unch +0%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….383.50 -6.45 -1.65%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….386.05 -3.95 -1.01%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….269.55 -0.45 -0.17%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….246.50 -9.90 -3.86%‼️*
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price…..245.40 -10.15 -3.97%‼️*
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..95.15 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (21/10)

CPO(Jan)……4100 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….681.50 -2.75 -0.40%
SoybeanOil…71.87 +0.37 +0.52%
Wheat………838.75 -12.00 -1.41%

*Wood pulp…6820.00 unch +0%*
(Closed 24/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US europe lanjut ijo, asia varied, HSI yang drop gila gilaan, china dan singapore juga merah, nikkei dan IHSG aman. Semoga hari ini kita ikut US, jangan ikut hangseng

Gold merah tipis, silver ijo, copper ijo, timah unchanged nikel ijo oil merah gas naik rada gede coal spot flat, futur merah. Hati2 yang masih pegang energy, jangan terlalu pede lanjut rally

IHSG – all good, cuma MFI yang flat. Wave 3 biasanya paling panjang, kalo ketemu wave 3 gini ga usah mikirin gorengan, blue chip aja pada lari… Play safe dan jangan telat exit karena fomo naik terus, pasti ketemu koreksi nanti. Kalo mau buy and hold boleh tapi jangan dikit2 diliat, turun dikit galau…

Udah rally 6 days straight, jangan kaget kalo sekali sekali merah, yang penting major tren bullish, tapi tetep keluar masuk sesuai buy signal

Yang kebaca jelas, financials, yang lain agak agak goyang, tapi dari angka sih Basic Materials sama Industrials

Global Update:

October 20th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks snap two-day winning streak as 10-year yield hits highest level since 2008

Stocks moved lower on Wednesday as Wall Street struggled to extend its rally amid a sharp rise in Treasury yields.

Dow…….30424 -99.99 -0.33%
Nasdaq.10681 -91.9 -0.85%
S&P 500..3695 -24.8 -0.67%

FTSE…….6925 -11.8 -0.17%
Dax……..12741 -24.2 -0.19%
CAC……..6041 -26.3 -0.43%

Nikkei….27257 +101.2 +0.37%
HSI……..16511 -403.3 -2.38%
Shanghai..3044 -36.6 -1.19%
ST Times..3023 -3.1 -0.10%

IDX…….6860.42 +25.92 +0.38%
LQ45…..974.07 +2.72 +0.28%

IDX Energy…1958.33 -14.53 -0.74%
IDX Bsc Mat.1241.08 +12.44 +1.01%
IDX Industrl..1250.93 +4.10 +0.33%
IDXNONCYC..842.26 +6.32 +0.76%
IDX Hlthcare.1464.14 +8.00 +0.55%
IDXCYCLIC…..842.26 +6.32 +0.76%
IDX Techno..6497.94 +44.34 +0.69%
IDX Transp…1761.18 +8.94 +0.51%
IDX Infrast……922.98 +3.12 +0.34%
IDX Finance 1451.31 +19.96 +1.39%
IDX Banking.1129.36 +15.48 +1.39%
IDX Property…….67/ +4.50 +0.67%

Indo10Yr….7.4493 +0.0097 +0.13%
ICBI……..332.6533 -0.3304 -0.10%
*US10Yr……4.1270 +0.1290 +3.23%‼️*
*VIX……….30.75 +0.26 +0.85%*

*USDIndx 112.8930 +0.8540 +0.76%*
Como Indx..271.35 -0.20 -0.07%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..142.75 -0.49 -0.34%
.
*IndoCDS 155.69 -0.40 -0.26%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(12/10)*

*IDR……15498.50 +34.00 +0.22%‼️*
*Jisdor..15469.00 -11 -0.07%‼️*

*Euro……..0.9860 +0.0136 +1.42%‼️*

TLKM……..26.96 -0.24 -0.88%
*(4170)*
EIDO………22.70 +0.06 +0.26%
EEM………34.52 -0.64 -1.82%

*Oil…………85.98 +3.16 +3.82%‼️*
Gold ……1634.00 -21.80 -1.32%
Timah….19450 -195 -0.99%
*(Closed 18/10)*
Nickel…22041.00 +103.00 +0.47%
*(Closed 19/10)*
Silver………18.41 -0.19 -1.02%
Copper….332.05 -4.15 -1.23%

*Nturl Gas…..5.455 -0.236 -4.15%‼️*

*Ammonia..4180.00 -26.67 -0.63%*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(18/10)

Coal price….391.00 +3.15 +0.81%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….393.25 +6.45 +1.67%
(Nov/Newcastle)
*Coal price….396.10 +9.80 +2.54%*
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….268.00 +1.00 +0.37%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….257.15 +2.15 +0.84%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..256.75 +1.85 +0.73%
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..94.45 unch +0%
Indonesial Coal Index (18/10)

*CPO(Jan)……4120 +115 +2.87%‼️*

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….678.25 -2.75 -0.40%
*SoybeanOil…70.64 +1.90 +2.76%*
Wheat………841.25 -8.25 -0.97%

*Wood pulp…6846.00 unch +0%*
(Closed 18/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US sama europe kompak koreksi abis naik naik tinggi 2 hari kemaren. Asia kebanyakan merah, yang ijo cuma IHSG sama Nikkei

Oil naik tinggi, metal turun semua kecuali nikel, persis kemaren. Gas lanjut drop, coal rebound tipis, CPO naik lagi tinggi

Apa udah mau mulai naik lagi energy? Harusnya sih belum cukup dalem koreksinya. MDKA minggu depan jadi lah buy nya, abis gold rebound. CPO ini menarik ditungguin rebound nya, AALI LSIP

Sudah bersepakatlah ya kayanya para penggerak pasar, bahwa udah saatnya wave 3. Udah bikin 3 white soldiers

IHSG – firm wave 3 lah ya…

Ini koq IHSG mau run wave 3 financials belum siap jalan RSI nya, heuheu… Basic Materials, Property, Industrials

Global update:

September 16th, 2022

Good morning,

Nasdaq drops more than 1% as market comeback stumbles, Dow closes at lowest level in two months

U.S. stocks dropped in choppy trading on Thursday as investors mulled over several economic reports that showed a muddy picture of the U.S. economy.

Dow…….30962 -173.3 -0.56%
Nasdaq.11552 -167.3 -1.43%
S&P 500..3901 -44.7 -1.13%

FTSE…….7282 +4.8 +0.07%
Dax……..12957 -71.3 -0.55%
CAC……..6158 -64.6 -1.04%

Nikkei….27876 +57.3 +0.21%
HSI……..18930 +83.3 +0.44%
Shanghai..3200 -37.6 -1.16%
ST Times..3268 +9,96 +0.31%

IDX…….7305.60 +39.94 +0.38%
LQ45…1041.04 +6.52 +0.53%

IDX Energy..2079.26 -1.67 -0.08%
IDX Bsc Mat.1303.30 -14.90 -1.13%
IDX Industrl..1385.43 +9.87 +0.72%
IDXNONCYC..706.15 +0.92 +0.13%
IDX Hlthcare.1454.78 +2.44 +0.17%
IDXCYCLIC…..882.15 +3.01 +0.34%
IDX Techno..7519.08 -87.50 -1.15%
IDX Transp…1917.18 -10.38 -0.54%
IDX Infrast…..1030.79 -1.41 -0.14%
IDX Finance 1541.72 +14.89 +0.98%
IDX Banking..1200.51 +17.04 +1.44%
IDX Property…745 +15.60 +2.14%‼️

Indo10Yr….7.2068 +0.0176 +0.24%
ICBI……..336.3188 -0.1789 -0.05%
US10Yr……3.4590 +0.0470 +1.38%
VIX……….26.27 +0.11 +0.42%

USDIndx 109.7390 +0.0810 +0.07%
Como Indx..281.00 -5.33 -1.86%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..152.00 -1.84 -1.19%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14897.50 -10.00 -0.07%
Jisdor..14899.00 -24.00 -0.16%

Euro……..0.9994 +0.0011 +0.11%

TLKM……..29.80 -0.09 -0.30%
(4440)
EIDO………24.75 +0.08 +0.32%
EEM………38.14 -0.41 -1.06%

Oil…………..84.73 -4.15 -4.67%‼️
Gold ……..1671.70 -35.10 -2.06%‼️
Timah. .21177.00 -203.00 -0.95%
( Closed 14/9)
Nickel…23304.00 -1029.00 -4.86%‼️
(Closed 15/9)
Silver…….19.06 -0.54 -2.76%‼️
Copper….346.70 -5.00 -1.42%

Nturl Gas…..8.292 -0.789 -8.69%‼️

Ammonia..4190.00 +33.33 +0.80%
China
(Domestic Price)(13/9)

Coal price….445.50 +1.30 +0.29%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….438.00 -1.20 -0.27%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….434.50 +0.35 +0.08%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….337.20 +1.20 +0.36%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….318.00 -1.50 -0.47%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…318.00 -3.00 -0.93%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3744 -114 -2.95%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..677.50 -4.75 -0.70%
SoybeanOil…64.30 -0.57 -0.88%
Wheat……..845.00 -27.25 -3.12%‼️

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 15/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US lanjut merah, europe mostly merah, asia ijo kecuali shanghai, masih ngikutin sisa ijonya US di hari sebelumnya. IHSG kebawa sentimen big banks laporan keuangannya bagus berhasil bikin new record high, walaupun sebetulnya belum ada pemulihan ekonomi yang signifikan. Semoga bukan hanya euforia sesaat terus dibanting dalem tutup gap

Oil dan natural gas drop lagi, metals turun semua, coal naik cpo turun – not a good sign… Kemarin nikel emas timah ada kenaikan dan sector rotation nya pas ke basic materials, diharapkan ANTM INCO TINS MDKA naik lagi, sekarang turun semoga koreksinya tidak terlalu dalam

Kemaren IHSG tembus level previous all time high di 7355, high kemaren di 7371. Opening gap up, jadi memang rawan koreksi hari ini, walau harapan euforia nya semoga nahan untuk tidak langsung koreksi wave 2. Tapi, secara teknikal begitu bikin new record high IHSG juga langsung ada bearish divergence di MACD line dan MACD histogram. Kalau hari ini closing merah, besok closing merah lagi, besar kemungkinan akan drop jauh, firm bearish divergence nya. Per sekarang MACD signal sell nongol, ini yang kemaren saya takutkan,jebakan teknikal, banyak orang yang nunggu untuk re-entry di MACD buy signal, kemaren buy signal sekarang ngebalik, kalo ga ada perubahan bakal banyak nyangkuters yang kena jebakan teknikal ini, persis tahun kemarin

19 Maret 2021 kejadiannya

IHSG – Foreign masih entry, bandar lokal distribusi, stoch sama MACD ngebalik sell lagi, MFI masih up. Kurang kuat euforia break ATH nya nih, WNS tunggu besok harga kemana

Yang firm tinggal property, yang lain melemah cacing RSI nya

Rotationnya seringnya begitu sih, abis bank terus property…

Global Update:

September 15th, 2022

Good morning,

U.S. stocks finished higher on Wednesday after an indecisive trading session that saw the major averages spend time on both sides of the flatline throughout the day.

Dow…….31135 +30.1 +0.10%
Nasdaq.11720 +86.1 +0.74%
S&P 500..3946 +13.3 +0.34%

FTSE…….7277 -108.6 -1.47%
Dax……..13028 -160.95 -1.22%
CAC……..6222 -23.3 -0.37%

Nikkei….27819 -796.01 -2.78%
HSI……..18847 -479.8 -2.48%
Shanghai..3238 -26.3 -0.80%
ST Times..3258 -32.1 -0.97%

IDX…….7278.08 -39.94 -0.55%
LQ45…1035.52 -7.12 -0.68%

IDX Energy..2080.93 +17.15 +0.83%
IDX Bsc Mat.1318.20 -16.22 -1.22%
IDX Industrl..1375.56 -14.34 -1.07%
IDXNONCYC..705.24 +1.44 +0.21%
IDX Hlthcare.1452.34 -11.92 -0.81%
IDXCYCLIC…..879.15 -1.64 -0.19%
IDX Techno..7606.59 -41.40 -0.54%
IDX Transp…1927.56 +0.55 +0.03%
IDX Infrast…..1032.19 -2.43 -0.23%
IDX Finance 1526.83 -9.79 -0.64%
IDX Banking..1183.47 -9.60 -0.80%
IDX Property…729 -4.60 -0.63%

Indo10Yr….7.1892 +0.0147 +0.20%
ICBI……..336.4977 -0.2895 -0.09%
US10Yr……3.4120 -0.0100 -0.29%
VIX……….26.16 -1.11 -4.07%

USDIndx 109.6580 -0.1570 -0.14%
Como Indx..286.33 +0.56 +0.20%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.84 -1.28 -0.83%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14907.50 +56.00 +0.38%‼
Jisdor..14923.00 +62.00 +0.42%‼

Euro……..0.9983 +0.0013 +0.13%

TLKM……..29.89 +0.31 +1.05%
(4460)
EIDO………24.67 +0.34 +1.40%
EEM………38.55 +0.19 +0.50%

Oil…………..8.88 +1.17 +1.33%
Gold ……..1706.80 -5.90 -0.34%
Timah. .21380.00 -81.00 -0.38%
( Closed 13/9)
Nickel…24333.00 +190.50 +0.79%
(Closed 14/9)
Silver…….19.60 +0.31 +1.61%
Copper….351.70 -1.40 -0.40%

Nturl Gas…..9.081 +0.683 +8.13%‼

Ammonia..4156.67 +23.34 +0.56%
China
(Domestic Price)(13/9)

Coal price….444.20 +4.85 +1.10%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….439.20 +10.55 +2.46%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….434.15 +12.15 +2.88%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….336.00 unch +0%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….319.50 +5.00 +1.59%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…321.60 +6.85 +2.17%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3858 -42 -1.07%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..682.25 -10.50 -1.52%
SoybeanOil…64.87 -1.86 -2.79%
Wheat……..872.25 +11.75 +1.37%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 14/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US abis drop gede rebound sedikit… Europe merah, asia merah

Commodity terkait energy naik semua, oil natural gas coal, mungkinkah mau extend wave 5 sektor energi? Ya mungkin aja sih…

Gold Timah Copper turun, nickel silver naik

Masih bertahan diatas EMA 20, kita wait and see, bikin new record high atau tidak IHSG, kondisi ekonomi sih belum mendukung

IHSG – stoch sell, macd buy, foreign masih entry, bandar masih akum, MFI slow tapi masih naik, masih dibawah resistance kuat – level harga All Time High, masih galau ini, tapi masih terlalu dini untuk window dressing, jadi kayanya wave 2 dulu tetep

Property yang firm, energy kemaren jalan tapi dari sector rotation kemungkinan bukan gilirannya lagi untuk jalan. Basic Materials dan Financials sedikit melemah, prediction saya Basic Materials yang lanjut, financials udahan dulu. Next nya transport