Daily Analysis 20240103

Daily Analysis 20240103

January 03rd, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes lower to begin 2024, Nasdaq notches worst day since October

The S&P 500
fell Tuesday, the first trading day of the year, as bond yields inched higher and investors took some money off the table following a surprisingly strong 2023.

Dow……37715 +25.5 +0.07%
Nasdaq14766 -245.4 -1.63%
S&P 500.4743 -27.00 -0.57%

FTSE…..7722 -11.7 -0.16%
Dax……16769 +17.7 +0.11%
CAC……7531 -12.3 -0.16%

Nikkei..33464 closed +0%
HSI…….16789 -258.8 -1.52%
Shanghai.2962 -12.66 -0.43%

IDX…..7323.59 +50.79 +0.70%
LQ45….979.43 +8.86 +0.91%
IDX30…498.42 +3.21 +0.65%

IDXEnergy..2142.96 +42.+2.00%
IDX BscMat.1332.14 +26.67 +1.89%}
IDX Indstrl…1105.51 +11.74 +1.07%
IDXNONCYC.724.41 +2.01 +0.28%
IDX Hlthcare1353.56 -22.40 -1.64%
IDXCYCLIC…825.05. +3.63 +0.44%
IDX Techno4418.00 -17.60 -0.40%
IDX Transp 1654.96 +53.45 +3.34%‼️
IDX Infrast 1576.31. +6.28 +0.40%
IDX Finance.1452.08 -6.24. -0.43%
IDX Banking.1269.00 -0.55 -0.04%
IDX Property.. 710 -3.60 -0.50%

Indo10Yr.6.6161+0.017 +0.26%
ICBI…374.6896 -0.1294 -0.03&%
US2Yr.4.324 +0.074 +1.74%
US5Yr 3.922 +0.082 +2.14%
US10Yr3.941 +0.075 +1.94%
US30Yr.4.083+0.064 +1.59%
VIX….13.20 +0.75 +6.02%‼️

USDIndx 102.2360 +0.903 +0.89%
Como Indx..262.63 -1.19 -0.45%
BCOMIN……141.17 -1.48 -1.04%

IndoCDS..69.29 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/01)

IDR…..15470.00 +71.00 +0.46%
Jisdor.15473.00 +34.00 +0.22%

Euro….1.0942 – -%

TLKM…25.90 +0.14 +0.54%
(4008)
EIDO….22.21 -0.11 -0.49%
EEM….39.74 -0.47 -1.17%

Oil……..70.38 -1.27 -1.77%
Gold..2073.40 +1.60 +0.08%
Timah..25415.00 – -%
(Closed 29/12)
Nickel..16565.00 -106 -0.64%
(Closed 02/01)
Silver……23.95 -0.13 -0.55%
Copper.388.05 -1.00 -0.26%

Iron Ore 62% 136.37 – -%
(29/12)
Nturl Gas..2.574 +0.077 +3.08%
Ammonia China.3623.33-183.34 -3.81%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/02)

Coal price.127.75 -9.2 -6.72%‼️
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 126.15 -7.65 -5.72%‼️
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.124.85 -7.10 -5.38%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 123.90 -6.55 -5.02%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.15 -2.15 -1.99%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 101.55 -2.30 -2.21%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price. 97.10 -2.75 -2.75%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price .95.20 -3.35 -3.40%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3660 -60 -1.61%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……463.75 -7.50 -1.59%
SoybeanOil 48.29 +0.11 +0.23%
Wheat….606.75 -21.25 -3.38%

Wood pulp..5040.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren IHSG ijo, asia merah europe merah US merah, so hari ini kemungkinan merah… Kalo mau belanja sore lebih ok kayanya

Update Global Economic Calendar
2 Jan 2023

INDONESIA MARKET :
Inflation Rate YoY (Dec)
Actual : 2.61%
Forecast : 2.85%
Previous : 2.86%

Core Inflation Rate YoY (Dec)
Actual : 1.8%
Forecast : 1.85%
Previous : 1.87%

Inflation Rate MoM (Dec)
Actual : 0.41%
Forecast : –
Previous : 0.38%

Tourist Arrivals YoY (Nov)
Actual : 30.17%
Forecast : –
Previous : 33.27%

GERMANY MARKET :
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 43.3
Forecast : 43.1
Previous : 42.6

EURO AREA MARKET :
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 44.4
Forecast : 44.2
Previous : 44.2

UNITED KINGDOM MARKET :
S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 46.2
Forecast : 46.4
Previous : 47.2

U.S MARKET :
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 47.9
Forecast : 48.2
Previous : 49.4

By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research
– Disclaimer On –

Visit our website :
www.phintracosekuritas.com
www.profits.co.id
www.taspro.co.id

Angka Inflasi indonesia lebih baik dari forecast, makanya ijo sendiri kemaren, nah, Europe dan US index manufacture nya dibawah forecast, wajarnya merah, dan hari ini masih pengaruh…

Berita jelek selalu disusul sama naiknya suku bunga, USD index juga naik jadi lengkap untuk bikin merah saham. metal2 merah semua kecuali emas yang ijo tipisoil merah gas ijo, coal DROP, CPO merah, wah masih berantakan ini, semoga ANTM MDKA keganjel harga emas yang lagi tinggi

IHSG – stoch OB, MACD up, MFI sw, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, wave 5, hati hati koreksi, curigany mah akan kejedot level all time high baru merosot ABC correction

Index jalan hampir semua sektor jalan,yang arahnya paling deket 45 Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBKP TAPG

 

MACD Buy Signal banyak banget, yang big acc cuma ASSA, yang ada Spike EMTK, layak dipantau ICBP TBIG AALI

Stochastic Continuation Signal banyak, tapi ga ada yang big accum, malah INKP big dist. Paling SMDR yang ada spike

Daily Analysis 20230918

Daily Analysis 20230918

Sept 18th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow sheds nearly 300 points Friday, S&P 500 and Nasdaq suffer second straight week of losses

Stocks fell Friday as investors wrapped up a volatile week ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting.

Dow……34618 -288.9 -0.83%
Nasdaq13708 -217.7 -1.56%
S&P 500.4450 -54.8 -1.22%

FTSE…..7711 +38.3 +0.50%
Dax……15894 +88.2 +0.56%
CAC……7379 +70.2 +0.96%

Nikkei…33533 +364.99 +1.10%
HSI…….18183 +134.97 +0.75%
Shanghai.3118 -8.8 -0.28%

IDX…..6982.79 +23.46 +0.34%
LQ45….961.20 +5.59 +0.59%
IDX30…497.95 +2.54 +0.51%

IDXEnergy…2153.14 +5.09 +0.24%
*IDX BscMat.1332.21. +26.87 +2.06%*
IDX Indstrl…1183.94 +2.55 +0.22%
IDXNONCYC.743.59 +1.20 +0.16%
IDX Hlthcare1460.65 -29.20. -1.96%
IDXCYCLIC…884.56 -7.90 -0.88%
IDX Techno.4406.44 -3.66 -0.08%
IDX Transp..1837.08 +2.96 +0.16%
IDX Infrast….917.42 +0.17 +0.02%
IDX Finance.1388.61 -1.42 -0.10%
IDX Banking.1202.52 +0.73 +0.06%
IDX Property..722 -7.90 -1.08%

*Indo10Yr.6.6890‼️ +0.0371 +0.56%*
*ICBI..366.9027‼️-0.5138 -0.14%*
*US2Yr.5.037‼️* +0.023 +0.46%
*US5Yr 4.465* +0.046 +1.04%
*US10Yr4.336* +0.052 +1.21%
*US30Yr.4.421*+0.041 +0.94%
*VIX……13.79‼️ +0.97 +7.57%*

*USDIndx 105.3220‼️ -0.0830 -0.08%*
Como Indx…289.61 -0.68 -0.23%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..142.57 -1.74 -1.21%

*IndoCDS.77.71👍* -0.50 -0.64%
(5-yr INOCD5) *(15/09)*

*IDR…..15355.50‼️+0.50 +0.00%*
*Jisdor.15367.00‼️+10.00 +0.07%*

*Euro……1.0657 +0.0013 +0.12%*

TLKM…24.08 +0.08 +0.33%
*(3700)*
EIDO….22.77 +0.03 +0.13%
EEM….39.13 -0.15 -0.38%

*Oil………90.77* +0.17 +0.19%
*Gold…1946.20* +15.3 +0.79%
*Timah..25703.00* -192.00 -0.74%
*(Closed 15/09)*
*Nickel..19922.50‼️ -337.50 -1.66%*
(Closed 15/09)
*Silver…23.39 +0.46 +2.01%*
Copper.380.10 -1.75 -0.46%

*Iron Ore 62%121.29‼️ +0.73 +0.61%*
(15/09)
*Nturl Gas…2.643 -0.061 -2.26%*
*Ammonia China..3816.67* unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(15/09)

Coal price.160.50 +0.35 +0.22%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.166.15 +1.20 +0.73%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.169.10 +1.05 +0.62%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.172.60 +0.50 +0.29%
(Des/Newcastle)

Coal price.122.25 +0.90 +0.74%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.125.15 +1.15 +0.93%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.124.70 +0.60 +0.48%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.126.15 +0.60 +0.48%
(Des/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)..3785 +26 +0.69%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………476.25 -4.25 -0.88%
SoybeanOil 62.06 +0.34 +0.55%
Wheat……604.25 +10.50 +1.77%

*Wood pulp..4820.00‼️unch +0%*
(Closed 17/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

 

Jum’at US closing merah, Europe masih pada ijo kaya asia juga. Prepare hari ini merah ya

VIX jump, saham jadi volatile hati hati… USD index merah, gold silver iron ore ijo, copper timah nickel merah. oil coal ijo gas merah, CPO ijo. Bagus ini buat ANTM MDKA ADRO PTBA ITMG INDY

IHSG – stoch down rev, macd down rev,MFI sw, w%up, mulai FNB, BD acc, 833 udah buy, sign mau lanjut sih, tapi belum firm. Masih ada kemungkinan mau ABC correction. Kita tunggu financials jalan

Basic Materials, Energy, Industrials, Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRPT EXCL AVIA BBKP BELI HSMP MMIX TAPG CEKA IPOL

MACD Buy Signal: TLKM ECII

Stochastic Continuation Signal: INKP TLKM HMSP TKIM

Supertrend Buy Signal: UNTR

Daily Analysis 20230801

Daily Analysis 20230801

1 Agustus 2023

DJIA           35559 +100. +0.28%
S&P 500    4588 +6.73 +0.15%
Nasdaq    14346 +29.3 +0.21%
FTSE         7699 +5.14 +0.07%
DAX         16446  -22.9  -0.14%
CAC         7497 +21.3 +0.29%
HSI          20067 +143. +0.72%
Nikkei      33205 +438. +1.34%
JCI           6931 +31.1 +0.45%

EIDO        23.46 +0.09 +0.39%

Crudeoil      81.80 +1.22 +1.51%
CPO Aug    3792  -82.0  -2.12%
PulpPaper   498 +7.62 +1.55%
Gold          1965 +5.60 +0.28%
Nickel      22366 +40.0 +0.18%
Tin           28740  -270.  -0.93%
Coal        137.30  -2.20  -1.58%
Coal Sep 23         140.90

RK/ CGS-CIMB Sekuritas Bandung

Ga sempet screenshot Investing.com di akhir market US, jadi data kurang lengkap

US ijo, europe jerman merah tipis, asia ijo, masih ok harusnya buat IHSG hari ini

Gold Nickel ijo Tin merah, Oil ijo Coal merah, CPO merah lagi. ANTM MDKA INCO harusnya lanjut, ADRO INDY PTBA slow dulu, MEDC ELSA harusnya lanjut, re-entry MEDC? Kita liat dulu, jangan FOMO

IHSG – stoch sell, MACD up rev, MFI down, w% down, BD masih acc, FF belum balik acc abis FNS 2 hari, secara umum masih ok, dari retracement pattern juga, udah koreksi ke fibo 38, saatnya lanjut ke 61

Siap siap Transportation, Infrastructure, masih leading energy tapi melemah, basic materials mulai jalan lagi

Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM CPIN MAPI TOWR AGII JPFA JSMR. JSMR Big acc

MACD Buy Signal: ELSA big acc, FNB

Alligator Buy Signal: ASSA

Daily Analysis 20230626

Daily Analysis 20230626

June 26th, 2023

 

Good morning,

 

Stocks tumble on Friday, Nasdaq snaps eight-week winning streak

 

Stocks slid Friday, with Wall Street posting a losing week as a rally that carried the broader market in recent months appeared to run out of steam

 

Dow……33727  -219.3    -0.65%

Nasdaq13493  -138.1    -1.01%

S&P 500.4348  -33.6      -0.77%

 

FTSE…..7462    -40.2      -0.54%

Dax……15830   -158.2    -0.99%

CAC……7163    -39.9       -0.55%

 

Nikkei…..32782  -483.3   -1.45%

HSI………18890  -328.4   -1.71%

Shanghai.3198  closed   +0%

 

IDX…..6639.73  -12.53  -0.19%

LQ45….942.72  -1.64     -0.17%

IDX30…489.85  -1.01     -0.21%

 

IDXEnergy…1791.65  -13.00  -0.72%

IDX BscMat..997.46  +7.14   +0.72%

IDX Indstrl…1166.00  -7.18    -0.61%

IDXNONCYC.740.84  +2.41  +0.33%

IDX Hlthcare1482.21 -0.46    -0.03%

IDXCYCLIC….875.46  -4.31    -0.49%

IDX Techno.4818.59  -54.81  -1.12%

IDX Transp..1914.42  -12.11  -0.63%

IDX Infrast… .847.88  -1.93    -0.23%

IDX Finance.1393.19 -11.25  -0.80%

IDX Banking.1166.96  -7.42   -0.42%

IDX Property..727        -3.10   -0.42%

 

Indo10Yr.6.3651 -0.0055 -0.09%

ICBI..366.4363    -0.0444 -0.01%

US2Yr.4.7500 +0.0209+0.44%

US5Yr 3.9940  -0.0500 -1.05%

US10Yr3.7370 -0.060   -1.58%

US30Yr.3.8140-0.0560 -1.45%

VIX…….13.44   +0.53   +4.11%

 

USDIndx102.9030 +0.5170 +0.50%

Como Indx…263.00  -2.72      -1.03%

(Core Commodity CRB)

BCOMIN……143.27   -2.55      -1.75%

 

IndoCDS.87.65  +1.49  +1.73%

(5-yr INOCD5) (23/06)

 

IDR…..14998.50  +58.00 +0.39%‼️

Jisdor.14998.00  +80.00 +0.54%‼️

 

Euro……1.0901 -0.0053  -0.48%

 

TLKM…26.31   -0.12     -0.45%

(3946)

EIDO….22.92    -0.17    -0.74%

EEM…..39.17   -0.58    -1.46%

 

Oil…….69.16     -0.32   -0.46%

Gold…1929.60 +6.30 +0.33%

Timah..26476.00 -603.00 -2.23%

(Closed 23/06)

Nickel..21400.50 -224.00 -1.06%

(Closed 23/06)

Silver….. 22.55   +0.08    +0.36%

Copper..381.55  -8.35   -2.14%

 

Iron Ore 62%  112.65  -0.20  -0.18%

(24/06)

Nturl Gas.2.843  +0.228  +8.72%‼️

 

Coal price.125.50  -0.25   -0.20%

(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.139.15  -1.85   -1.31%

(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price.140.85  -0.65   -0.46%

(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price.143.00  -0.75   -0.52%

(Sept/Newcastle)

 

Coal price114.60   -0.55   -0.48%

(Jun/Rotterdam)

Coal price.115.00  -1.50   -1.29%

(Jul/ Rotterdam)

Coal price.112.35  -1.50   -1.32%

(Agt/Rotterdam)

Coal price.111.55  -1.60   -1.41%

(Sept/Rotterdam)

 

CPO(Sept)..3624   +55  +1.54%

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

 

Corn…..588.75     -32.75 -5.28%‼️

SoybeanOil 54.96+1.20   +2.23%

Wheat…746.50     -6.25   -0.83%

 

Wood pulp..4280.00 unch  +0%

(Closed 25/06)

 

©️Phintraco Sekuritas

Broker Code: AT

Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia

Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua Index Regional closing merah hari jum’at, masih belum mulai masuk lagi foreign, masih berat ini IHSG

USD index naik lagi, kebanyakan commodity merah, yang ijo cuma Gold, Silver, CPO dan Natural Gas yang loncat 8%

IHSG – stoch down, MACD almost sell, MFI down, w% down BD ga kuat acc terus, masih FNS, beneran mending pegang cash dulu

Basic Materials lanjut, Energy rada lemes, yang lain belum pada ok

Stochastic Buy Signal: INKP ADMR

MACD Buy Signal: AGII GGRM

Alligator Buy Signal: SRTG AALI PNLF