Daily Analysis 20230413

Daily Analysis 20230413

April 13th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks ended Wednesday’s regular trading session on a down note. The S&P 500
closed 0.41% lower, while the Nasdaq Composite
dropped 0.85%. The Dow snapped a four-day winning streak, ending the day down 38.29 points, or 0.11%.

At the first, the major averages were earlier in the session following the release of March’s consumer price index report, which showed headline pressures slowed last month. The CPI advanced 0.1% month over month in March, and 5% from the prior year.

Traders’ sentiment turned in the afternoon after the release of minutes from the March Federal Open Market Committee meeting. In particular, the Fed expects the recent banking crisis to cause a recession later this year.

Dow……33647 -38.3 -0.11%
Nasdaq11929 -102.5 -0.85%
S&P 500.4092 -16.99 -0.41%

FTSE…..7825 +39.1 +0.50%
Dax……15704 +48.4 +0.31%
CAC……7397 +6.7 +0.09%

Nikkei…..28083 +159.3 +0.57%
HSI………20310 -175.4 -0.86%
Shanghai.3327 +13.6 +0.41%

IDX…..6798.96 -12.35 -0.18%
LQ45….943.18 +1.40 +0.15%
IDX30…491.46 +0.62 +0.13%

IDXEnergy…2052.28 -33.74 -1.62%
IDX BscMat 1158.66 -3.28 -0.28%
IDX Indstrl…1204.13 +11.57 +0.97%
IDXNONCYC.712.94 -3.69 -0.51%
IDX Hlthcare1505.43 -8.02 -0.53%
IDXCYCLIC…..810.57 -1.42 -0.18%
IDX Techno..4817.76 -71.02 -1.45%
IDX Transp..1779.01 +6.01 +0.34%
IDX Infrast…..803.45 +0.94 +0.12%
IDX Finance.1391.44 +2.65 +0.19%
IDX Banking.1145.74 +4.32 +0.38%
IDX Property…694 -2.0 -0.28%

Indo10Yr.6.7472+0.0047+0.07%
ICBI….354.8340+0.0088+0.00%
US2Yr.3.9682 -0.0647 -1.60%
US5Yr 3.4659 -0.0690 -1.95%
US10Yr3.4000 -0.0320 -0.93%
US30Yr.3.6350+0.010 +0.28%
VIX…… 19.09 -0.01 -0.05%

USDIndx101.5000 -0.6530 -0.64%👍
Como Indx.275.73 +1.00 +0.37%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…156.52 +1.82 +1.17%

IndoCDS..92.110 +0.4900 +0.53%
(5-yr INOCD5) (11/04)

IDR…..14880.00👍 -5.50 -0.04%
Jisdor.14866.00👍 -22.00 -0.15%

Euro……1.0994 +0.0080 +0.73%

TLKM….28.90 +0.05 +0.17%
(4297)
EIDO……23.90 +0.05 +0.17%
EEM……39.39 -0.28 -0.71%

Oil……83.26 +1.73 +2.12%
Gold.2024.90 +5.70 +0.28%
Timah..24308.00 – -%
(Closed 06/04)
Nickel..23565.00 +491.00 +2.13%
(Closed 11/04)
Silver……25.46 +0.27 +1.08%
Copper…408.10 +6.15 +1.53%

Nturl Gas.2.084 -0.1760 -7.91%‼️

Ammonia 3633.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(10/04)

Coal price.194.60 -0.55 -0.28%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.202.40 -2.60 -1.26%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.205.90 +1.40 +0.68%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.206.05 -2.10 -1.00%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price.133.80 +4.35 +3.36%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.126.95 +0.95 +0.75%
(May/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 125.35 +0.35 +0.28%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 125.75 -0.10 -0.08%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3775 -120 -3.08%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..627.75 +0.00 +0.00%
SoybeanOil54.16 -0.85 -1.55%
Wheat…..679.60 +5.50 +0.82%

Wood pulp..4740.00 -50.00 -1.05%
(Closed 11/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah, europe ijo, asia varied, US dollar index turun, yang consequently means semua commodity yang diikat nilai nya ke dollar cenderung naik. Index mungkin akan sideways tapi saham terkait komoditi harusnya tetep jalan

Oil up, gas drop, coal newcastle down, coal rotterdam jump, cpo drop. Ini sih keliatannya giliran ANTM MDKA INCO TINS untuk jalan lagi

IHSG – stoch masih down, macdp, 833 almostbuy, MFI up, BD flat, FNB,w% flat, retracement pattern keliatan mau bawa naik after mantul di fibo 23, masih optimis double bottom jalan

Kemarin BUMN konstruksi semua digoreng, Infrastructure jadi keliatan jalan, selain JSMR yang sudah run duluan. Industrials ASII kemarin naik tinggi, BMTR semoga nyusul, Financials BBCA BBRI BMRI kemaren jalan,semoga lanjut biar bisa ngangkat index, repot gendong GOTO yang bikin rusak aja

Stochastic Buy Signal: ASII PGAS MTEL MTMH MIKA LMSH WINS

MACD Buy Signal: INTP ADHI MTMH PTPP TKIM ANJT

Daily Analysis 20230412

Daily Analysis 20230412

April 12th, 2023 Good morning, S&P 500 closes little changed Tuesday as traders await March inflation report The S&P 500 ended Tuesday’s session flat as investors prepared for the release…
Daily Analysis 20230410

Daily Analysis 20230410

April 10th, 2023 Good morning, US, Europe, and Asian markets on holiday due to Good Friday Dow......33485 closed +0% Nasdaq12088 closed +0% S&P 500.4105 closed +0% FTSE.....7742 closed +0% Dax......15598…
Daily Analysis 20230405

Daily Analysis 20230405

April 05th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close lower Tuesday, Dow and S&P 500 snap four-day win streaks as economic worries loom

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
fell nearly 200 points on Tuesday as traders assessed a spike in oil prices and what that could mean for the global economy.

Dow……33402 -198.8 -0.59%
Nasdaq12126 -63.1 -0.52%
S&P 500.4101 -23.9 -0.58%

FTSE…..7635 -38.5 -0.50%
Dax…..15604. +22.6 +0.14%
CAC……7345 -1.00 -0.01

Nikkei…..28287 +99.3. +0.35%
HSI………20275 -134.6 -0.66%
Shanghai.3313 +16.2 +0.49%

IDX…..6833.18 +6.08 +0.09%
LQ45….943.14 +0.07 +0.01%
IDX30…491.43 +0.15 +0.03%

IDXEnergy…2146.81 +38.52 +1.83%
IDX BscMat 1172.17 -9.58 -0.81%
IDX Indstrl…1188.35 +6.10 +0.52%
IDXNONCYC.723.38 -1.11 -0.15%
IDX Hlthcare1532.85 -3.22 -0.21%
IDXCYCLIC…..818.58 -6.14 -0.74%
IDX Techno..5077.11 -23.62 -0.46%
IDX Transp..1787.67 +3.14 +0.18%
IDX Infrast…..807.03 -5.55 -0.68%
IDX Finance.1387.12 -5.98 -0.43%
IDX Banking.1140.57 -4.54 -0.40%
IDX Property…686 unch +0%

Indo10Yr.6.7691 -0.0287 -0.42%👍
ICBI…..353.9875 +0.4691 +0.13%👍
US2Yr.3.8211 -0.1485 -3.74%👍
US5Yr 3.3881 -0.1196 -3.42%👍
US10Yr 3.390 -0.0760 -2.22%
US30Yr.3.5950 -0.0380 -1.04%👍
VIX…… 19.00 +0.45 +2.43%

USDIndx101.5860 -0.5800 -0.57%👍
Como Indx.271.15 -0.19 -0.07%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…155.85 -2.44 -1.54%

IndoCDS..93.080 -1.980 -2.08%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/04)

IDR…..14898.50 -72.50 -0.48%👍
Jisdor.14913.00 -77.00 -0.51%👍

Euro……1.0958 +0.0056 +0.51%

TLKM….27.55 +0.05 +0.18%
(4108)
EIDO……23.62 -0.13 -0.55%
EEM……39.54 unch +0%

Oil……80.95 +0.53 +0.66%
Gold.2037.80 +37.40 +1.87%‼️
Timah 26040.00 +205.00 +0.79%
(Closed 04/03)
Nickel..23123.50 +63.00 +0.27%
(Closed 04/04)
Silver…..24.02 -0.13 -0.56%
Copper..404.55 -4.90 -1.20%

Nturl Gas.2.091 -0.026 -1.22%

Ammonia 3866.67 -100.0 -2.52%
China
(Domestic Price)(04/03)

Coal price.192.65 -7.35 -3.68%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.204.65 -7.35 -3.47%‼️
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.223.45 -10.55 -4.50%‼️
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.223.55 -10.70 -4.57%‼️
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price.144.00 -4.95 -3.32%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.142.30 -3.95 -2.70%
(May/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 141.30 -3.45 -2.38%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3969 +84 +2.16%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..653.75 -4.00 -0.61%
SoybeanOil55.74 -0.94 -1.66%
Wheat…..691.50 -2.00 -0.29%

Wood pulp…5010.00 -50 -0.99%
(Closed 04/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah, europe merah tipis, asia kemaren varied, IDX seharian merah closing ijo tipis, hari ini bisa jadi merah tipis atau ijo tipis lagi, belum rally tapi

Oil lanjut ijo, gas merah coal merah dalem, gold loncat, timah nikel naik, silver copper turun, ANTM MDKA lanjut rally ini, CPO ijo tebel

Gold – Stoch buy MACD up, ketemu reg bear, hari ini cancelled, semoga masih panjang

IHSG – stoch up macd up, 833 buy lagi, BD FF acc, MFIup, w% uptrend, testing fibo38 lagi, harusnya ngejar bikin double bottom pattern, test ke 6953 an

Energy, Basic Materials, Transportation, Consumer Cyclical, Technology. Mulai gerak lagi Property sama Infrastructure. Financials slown down lagi

Ga ada stochastic buy signal baru

MACD Buy Signal: PGAS TAPG EKAD

Alligator Buy Signal: ANTM ICBP TPIA BSSR LPPF RAJA INCI

Supertrend Buy Signal: ADRO ICBP

Daily Analysis 20230227

Daily Analysis 20230227

February 27th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close lower Friday after hot inflation report; major averages log worst week in 2023

U.S. stocks fell sharply Friday, wrapping up their worst week of 2023, after the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge showed a stronger-than-expected increase in prices last month.

Dow…..32817 -337 -1.02%
Nasdaq11395 -195.5 -1.69%
S&P 500.3970 -42.3 -1.05%

FTSE…….7879 -29.1 -0.37%
Dax……..15210 -266 -1.72%
CAC……..7187 -130.2 -1.78%

Nikkei…..27453 +349.2 +1.29%
HSI………20010 -341.3 -1.68%
Shanghai.3267 -20.3 -0.62%

IDX…..6856.58 +17.12 +0.25%
LQ45….946.93 +2.50 +0.27%
IDX30…492.33 +1.59 +0.32%

IDXEnergy…2072.51 +15.05 +0.73%
IDX BscMat 1238.38 -0.64 -0.05%
IDX Indstrl…1155.94 +6.55 +0.57%
IDXNONCYC..752.10 -3.46 -0.46%
IDX Hlthcare1593.69 +11.83+0.75%
IDXCYCLIC…848.83 +2.48 +0.29%
IDX Techno.5449.20 +58.90+1.09%
IDX Transp1909.29 +12.17+0.64%
IDX Infrast….865.08 +2.25 +0.26%
IDX Finance1404.91 -3.87 -0.27%
IDX Banking1134.44 -3.19 -0.28%
IDX Property….688 -3.30 -0.48%

Indo10Yr.6.8382 +0.0085 +0.12%
ICBI..350.0712 +0.02222 +0.01%
US5Yr 4.2216+0.0016 +0.04%
US10Yr3.9470+0.0020 +0.05%
US30Yr.3.9300+0.0080+0.20%
VIX……. 21.67 +0.53 +2.51%

USDIndx105.2140+1.0310 +0.99%‼️
Como Indx.267.15 +0.21 +0.08%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….157.97 -3.95 -2.44%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15227.50 +35.50 +0.23%
Jisdor.15216.00 +29.00 +0.19%

Euro……1.0548 -0.0048 -0.45%

TLKM….26.15 +0.29 +1.12%
(3979)
EIDO……22.88 -0.12 -0.52%
EEM…38.30 -0.88 -2.25%

Oil…….76.32 +0.93 +1.23%
Gold 1817.10 -9.70 -0.53%
Timah 25651 -520.00 -1.99%
(Closed 02/24)
Nickel.24424 -878.00 -3.47%‼️
(Closed 02/24)
Silver…….20.94 -0.50 -2.34%
Copper..395.30 -10.30 -2.54%

Nturl Gas.2.726 +0.265+10.76%‼️

Ammonia 4490.00 +66.67 +1.51%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/23)

Coal price204.50 +2.65 +1.31%
(Mar/Newcastle)

Coal price 156.00 +8.00 +5.41%‼️
(Mar/ Rotterdam)

CPO(May)….4203 -32 -0.76%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..649.25 -10.00 -1.52%
SoybeanOil..61.22 -0.96 -1.54%
.Wheat….721.75 -28.75 -3.83%‼️

Wood pulp…5930.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/23)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe closing merah pas jum’at. Asia masih varied kemaren, beware merah lagi hari ini.

commodity terkait energy naik semua, metal merah semua, cpo turun dikit. Keliatanya mulai swing terakhir energy sebelum winter selesai ini…

IHSG – Stoch still down, MACD down, udah tutup gap, ada gap di bawah, last day NFS, BD flat, MFI sw, koreksi udah cukup kemaren ke fibo 50, harusnya paling tutup gap dulu terus lanjut ke atas

Infrastructure, Consumer Cyclicals, Transportation, disusul Industrials, Energy, Technology

Stoch Buy Signal: ASII MEDC DOID MAPI WIKA LMSH LTLS

MACD Buy Signal: ESSA IGAR

Alligator Signal: MPMX PNLF

Daily Analysis 20230223

Daily Analysis 20230223

February 23th,, 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500 notches fourth day of losses after Fed minutes reaffirm tough stance on inflation

Stocks ended lower on Wednesday as traders parsed through a summary of the Federal Reserve’s most recent meeting, looking for clues on the central bank’s next move against inflation.

Dow…..33045 -84.5 -0.26%
Nasdaq11507 +14.8 +0.13%
S&P 500..3991 -6.3 -0.16%

FTSE…….7931 -47.1 -0.59%
Dax……..15400 +2.3 +0.01%
CAC……..7299 -9.4 -0.13%

Nikkei…..27104 -368.8 -1.34%
HSI………20424 -105.7 -0.51%
Shanghai.3291 -15.4 -0.47%

IDX…..6809.97 -63.44 -0.92%
LQ45….939.99 -10.51 -1.11%
IDX30…488.37 -5.52 -1.12%

IDXEnergy…2047.85 -4.56. -0.22%
IDX BscMat 1242.66 -13.95 -1.11%
IDX Indstrl…1141.44 +1.19 +0.10%
IDXNONCYC..758.23 -5.89 -0.77%
IDX Hlthcare1577.95 -30.61 -1.90%
IDXCYCLIC…844.19 -4.16 -0.49%
*IDX Techno.5382.56 -129.25 -2.35%*
IDX Transp1873.92 -4.99 -0.27%
IDX Infrast….860.15 -13.20 -1.51%
IDX Finance1405.28 -16.88 -1.19%
IDX Banking1132.43 -16.04 -1.40%
IDX Property….687 -3.20 -0.46%

*Indo10Yr.6.8119 +0.0196+0.29%*
*ICBI..350.3620-0.2267 -0.06%*
*US5Yr 4.1640* -0.0090 -0.22%
*US10Yr3.9270* -0.0260 -0.65%
*US30Yr.3.9230 -0.0530 -1.33%*
*VIX…..22.29 -0.58 -2.54%*

*USDIndx104.1830+0.3150 +0.30%‼️*
Como Indx.266.10 -2.38 -0.89%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….165.56 -2.86 -1.70%

*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR…..15200.00 +10.00 +0.07%*
*Jisdor.15218.00 +39.00 +0.26%*

Euro……1.0606 -0.0038 -0.36%

TLKM….25.54 +0.45 +1.79%
*(3886)*
EIDO……22.09 -0.17 -0.74%
EEM……38.99 -0.19 -0.48%

*Oil…….73.95 -2.21 -3.16%‼️*
Gold 1841.50 -2.20 -0.12%
*Timah 26700 +826.00 +3.09%‼️*
*(Closed 02/21)*
Nickel.26576.50 -123.50.00 -0.46%
(Closed 02/22)
Silver…….21.82 -0.18 -0.82%
Copper..418.50 -1.50 -0.36%

*Nturl Gas.2.290 +0.106+4.85%‼️*

Ammonia 4306.67 +16.67 +0.39%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(02/21)

Coal price.209.65 +0.65 +0.31%
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price199.65 +12.65 +6.76%‼️*
(Mar/Newcastle)
*Coal price197.00 +9.00 +4.79%‼️*
(Apr/Newcastle)
*Coal price200.35 +4.35 +2.22%*
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.137.15 +0.15 +0.11%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
*Coal price 139.30 +3.35 +2.46%*
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price138.30 +3.80 +2.83%*
(Apr/Rotterdam)
*Coal price138.20 +5.20 +3.91%*
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)….4148 +9 +0.22%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..674.25 -6.25 -0.92%
SoybeanOil..63.05 +0.10 +0.16%
Wheat…….750.00 -12.75 -1.67%

*Wood pulp…5950.00 -40 -0.67%*
(Closed 02/21)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

DJI masih merah tapi ga segila kemaren yang drop 2%, Nasdaw malah ijo tipis, europe majority merah, asia merah semua, dicermati yang kemaren nongol sell signal gara2 drop, yang perlu cutloss ya cutloss dulu, gampang beli lagi belakangan pas bullish

Oil, Gas rebound, coal lanjut naik, CPO ngebalik ijo, metal2 rata2 merah kecuali timah yang naik tinggi. Dari sisi ini sih market masih ok harusnya. Index walau ada kemungkinan tetep merah tapi keliatannya saham2 energy akan melawan gravitasi

IHSG – stoch down, MACD down, MFI down, w% downtrend, FF dist tipis, BD flat ga jagain harga, dari fibonacci last low pas di 38, ini deket 50, udah cukup lah ya, semoga langsung tutup gap hari ini, atau sideways dulu ga drop lagi

Healthcare, Infrastructure, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Transportation, disusul Basic Materials sama Industrials

Stochastic Buy Signal: TOBA ANJT WINS SGRO EKAD

MACD Buy Signal: TLKM

Alligator Buy Signal: TBIG MTEL TAPG