November 18th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500, Nasdaq close lower for a second day as investors weigh outlook for higher interest rates

Stocks fell Thursday and bond yields jumped as Federal Reserve officials signaled their rate-hiking campaign to slow inflation is far from over.

Dow…….33546 -7.5 -0.02%
Nasdaq.11145 -38.7 -0.35%
S&P 500..3947 -12.2 -0.31%

FTSE…….7347 -4.7 -0.06%
Dax……..14266 +32.4 +0.23%
CAC……..6576 -31.1 -0.47%

Nikkei….27931 -97.7 -0.35%
HSI……..18046 -210.8 -1.15%
Shanghai..3115 -4.5 -0.15%
ST Times..3286 +19.9 +0.61%

IDX…….7044.99 +30.60 +0.44%
LQ45….1004.92 +3.96 +0.40%

IDX Energy..1979.96 +9.52 +0.48%
IDX Bsc Mat.1283.33 -8.93 -0.69%
IDX Industrl..1225.32 +5.47 +0.45%
IDXNONCYC..730.36 -5.16 -0.70%
IDX Hlthcare.1480.39 -8.66 -0.58%
IDXCYCLIC…..878.23 +0.37 +0.04%
IDX Techno..6838.92 -48.43 -0.70%
IDX Transp…1820.31 -1.40 -0.08%
IDX Infrast……907.58 +1.91 +0.21%
IDX Finance 1497.37 +15.32 +1.03%
IDX Banking.1191.00 +10.56 +0.89%
IDX Property….691 – -%

Indo10Yr….7.3091 -0.0125 -0.17%
ICBI……..337.6890 -0.0128 -0.00%
US10Yr..3.7750 +0.0830 +2.25%
VIX……23.93 -0.18 -0.75%

USDIndx..106.6850 +0.3720 +0.35%
Como Indx..277.60 -5.18 -1.83%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……157.00 -5.86 -3.60%‼️
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15662.50 +63.00 +0.40%‼️
Jisdor..15687.00 +77.00 +0.49%‼️

Euro……..1.0362 -0.0029 -0.28%

TLKM……..25.65 +0.01 +0.04%
(4024)
EIDO………22.92 +0.16 +0.70%
EEM……….38.25 +0.07 +0.18%

Oil…………81.64 -4.04 -4.71%‼️
Gold ……1763.00 -14.40 -0.81%
Timah…..23635 +249.00 +1.06
(Closed 16/11)
Nickel…25378.00 -1361.00 -5.09%‼️
(Closed 17/11)
Silver………21.16 -0.34 -1.58%
Copper…..369.40 -12.55 -3.29%‼️

Nturl Gas…..6.401 +0.170 +2.73%

Ammonia..4413.33 +66.66 +1.53%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(14/11)

Coal price….334.60 +2.05 +0.62%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….320.00 +3.90 +1.23%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….313.00 +3.85 +1.25%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….202.00 +5.00 +2.54%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….204.00 +6.75 +3.42%‼️
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….205.95 +6.90 +3.47%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (16/11)

CPO(Feb)……3845 -179 -4.44%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….669.00 +1.50 +0.22%
SoybeanOil…70.22 -1.88 -2.61%
Wheat………825.00 -12.25 -1.46%

Wood pulp…6610.00 -20 -0.30%
(Closed 17/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US masih merah tipis tipis, Jerman ijo, singapore ijo, IHSG ijo

oil drop, metal2 drop, timah yang masih ijo, coal naik, mulai rebound kayanya. Kalo begini semoga bener industri petrokimia naik dan coal naik, BRPT dan ADRO termasuk di dalamnya, hehehe

IHSG – masih sideways dulu keliatannya… Tapi lumayan comforting lah, tidak ikut sentimen negatif rudal polandia. MACD dan stochastic mau mantul. Kita check infobank15

Infobank15 – harusnya berita LK BBRI yang mengkilat ikut dorong Infobank15 dan Sektor Financials untuk bangun. Dari chart nya sih masih rather sideways dulu, ga tau apakah nunggu efek kenaikan suku bunga kemaren, tapi yang pasti BD akum terus. Ga lama lagi diangkat harusnya, santa claus rally? Agak kejauhan sih, tapi mungkin aja

Financials, Technology

November 08th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks rise ahead of U.S. midterm elections, Dow closes more than 400 points higher

Stocks rallied Monday as investors looked ahead to a packed week with congressional midterm elections and key inflation data on deck over the next few days, and shrugged off a supply warning from Apple.

Dow…….32827 +423.8 +1.26%
Nasdaq.10565 +89.3 +0.85%
S&P 500..3811 +31.3 +0.83%

FTSE…….7300 -34.9 -0.48%
Dax……..13534 +73.7 +0.55%
CAC……..6417 +0.2 +0.00%

Nikkei….27528 +327.9 +1.21%
HSI……..16596 +434.8 +2.69%
Shanghai..3078 +7.02 +0.23%
ST Times..3133 +2.5 +0.08%

IDX…….7102.40 +56.87 +0.81%
LQ45…..1015.28 +9.30 +0.92%

IDX Energy..2046.79 +18.64 +0.92%
IDX Bsc Mat.1317.39 +16.10 +1.24%
IDX Industrl..1246.05 +1.69 +0.14%
IDXNONCYC..735.25 +6.29 +0.86%
IDX Hlthcare.1489.93 +2.89 +0.19%
IDXCYCLIC…..883.40 +1.42 +0.16%
IDX Techno..6569.08 -76.97 -1.16%
IDX Transp…1867.43 +13.72 +0.74%
IDX Infrast……932.33 +11.27 +1.22%
IDX Finance 1488.31 +13.49 +0.91%
IDX Banking.1195.89 +13.21 +1.12%
IDX Property….690 -2.80 -0.41 %

Indo10Yr….7.5415 +0.0258 +0.34%
ICBI……..332.2555 -0.4389 -0.13%
US10Yr……4.2140 +0.0580 +1.40%
VIX……….24.35 -0.20 -0.81%

USDIndx 110.2170 -0.6600 -0.60%👍
Como Indx..286.92 -0.63 -0.22%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……151.43 -1.97 -1.28%
.
IndoCDS..124.70 -9.11l -6.81%‼👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/11)

IDR……15707.50 -30.00 -0.19%‼
Jisdor..15692.00 -44 -0.28%‼

Euro……..1.0019 +0.00620 +0.62%👍

TLKM……..26.98 +0.15 +0.56%
(4233)
EIDO………23.72 +0.02 +0.08%
EEM……….36.22 +0.02 +0.06%

Oil…………91.79 -0.82 -0.89%
Gold ……1680.50 +3.90 +0.23%
Timah…..18872 – -%
(Closed 04/11)
Nickel…23401.50 +619.50 +2.72%‼
(Closed 07/11)
Silver………20.92 +0.14 +0.65%
Copper….360.35 -8.30 -2.25%

Nturl Gas…..6.699 +0.240 +3.72%‼

Ammonia..4150.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/11)

Coal price….344.90 -4.60 -1.32%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….334.55 -14.45 -4.14%‼
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….331.10 -14.65 -4.24%‼
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….200.90 -15.10 -6.99%‼
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….194.50 -21.50 -9.95%‼
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….195.55 -19.55 -9.07%‼
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..91.80 -2.70 -2.86%
Indonesial Coal Index (04/11)

CPO(Jan)……4440 +75 +1.72%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….675.75 -5.25 -0.77%
SoybeanOil…76.33 -0.84 -1.09%
Wheat………845.75 -2.00 -0.24%

Wood pulp…6710.00 unch +0%
(Closed 07/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Hampir semua ijo kemarin, cuma inggris yang merah.

Gold Silver Nickel lanjut naik, copper turun. Oil coal turun, gas naik, energy masih galaw. CPO naik lagi. Harusnya MDKA ANTM INCO masih lanjut, oil oil beware, coal coal juga

IHSG – surprisingly naik tinggi kemaren, stochastic 1066 nya masih bilang koreksi atau sideways dulu, indicator lain sih ok semua, cuma infobank15 belum ngebalik bullish keliatannya. Kita recheck ya… Ya semoga long bullish, jalan wave 3, santa claus rally sampe tahun baru

Infobank15 – 833 buy, mungkin continuation mulai jalan… yang pasti, emang lagi wave 3, dan mau breakout IHNS, cross up midline LR, semoga lanjut sampe tutup gap. MACD melandai sampe flat, semoga ga jadi ngebalik kebawah. Bandar acc, FF tipis tipis, MFI up, besar kemungkinan udahan ini koreksinya

Basic Materials, Consumer Cyclicals, Transportation, Property, Infrastructure, Technology… Siap rally lagi IHSG kalo gini mah

November 01st, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes lower on Monday, but still posts best month since 1976

Stocks slipped on Monday, but the Dow capped off its best month since 1976 and all the major averages snapped a two-month losing streak.

Dow…….32733 -128.9 -0.39%
Nasdaq.10988 -114.3 -1.03%
S&P 500..3872 -29.1 -0.75%

FTSE…….7095 +46.9 +0.66%
Dax……..13254 +10.4 +0.08%
CAC……..6267 -6.3 -0.10%

Nikkei….27588 +482.3 +1.78%
HSI……..14687 -176.04 -1.18%
Shanghai..2894 -22.4 -0.77%
ST Times..3093 +33.92 +1.11%

IDX…….7098.89 +42.85 +0.61%
LQ45…1014.12 +4.42 +0.44%

IDX Energy..2069.50 +43.91 +2.17%
IDX Bsc Mat.1268.23 +20.70 +1.66%
IDX Industrl..1273.96 -11.61 -0.90%
IDXNONCYC..735.32 -1.64 -0.22%
IDX Hlthcare.1504.12 -9.31 -0.61%
IDXCYCLIC…..868.54 +4.17 +0.48%
IDX Techno..6451.37 -44.25 -0.68%
IDX Transp…1845.74 +35.09 +1.94%
IDX Infrast……940.06 +6.66 +0.71%
IDX Finance 1501.36 +12.71 +0.85%
IDX Banking.1203.76 +16.44 +1.38%
IDX Property….693 +2.60 +0.38%

Indo10Yr….7.5862 -0.0037 -0.05%
ICBI……..331.2277 -0.0311 -0.01%
US10Yr……4.0770 +0.0670 +1.67%‼️
VIX……….25.88 +0.13 +0.50%

USDIndx 115.5800 +0.8280 +0.75%
Como Indx..274.13 +1.51 +0.55%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……142.20 -2.28 -1.58%
.
IndoCDS..139.53 +5.94 +4.45%
(5-yr INOCD5) (26/10)

IDR……15597.50 +43.50 +0.28%‼️
Jisdor..15596.00 +54 +0.35%‼️

Euro……..0.9882 -0.0083 -0.83%

TLKM……..27.82 -0.31 -1.10%
(4339)
EIDO………23.75 +0.01 +0.04%
EEM……….34.19 -0.10 -0.29%

Oil…………86.53 -1.37 -1.56%
Gold ……1640.70 -4.10 -0.25%
Timah…..18101 – -%
(Closed 28/10)
Nickel…21946.50 -137.50 -0.62%
(Closed 31/10)
Silver………19.12 -0.03 -0.16%
Copper….337.50 -14.95 -4.24%‼️

Nturl Gas…..6.294 +0.494 +0.94%‼️

Ammonia..4113.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(27/10)

Coal price….356.30 -17.70 -4.73%‼️
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….356.05 -19.00 -5.07%‼️
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….352.50 -20.44 -5.47%‼️
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….219.25 -20.70 -8.63%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….217.25 -20.50 -8.62%‼️
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..225.25 -11.50 -4.85%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..91.65 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (28/10)

CPO(Jan)……4047 +60 +1.50%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….691.75 +10.75 +1.58%
SoybeanOil…73.21 +1.42 +1.98%
Wheat………882.25 +53.00 +6.39%‼️

Wood pulp…6802.00 unch +0%
(Closed 31/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas,

US merah jum’at, europe masih mayoritas ijo, IDX ijo, asia varied sih… Ada kemungkinan kita merah lagi hari ini…fase sideways dulu bolak balik kayanya

Oil Coal turun, gas naik, energy lagi mau dibikin galau nih, metalturun semua, wah, MDKA nasibnya ga asik ini kalo Gold sama Copper turun, liat MACD kalo ngebalik out dulu deh. CPO naik dikit, belum cukup kayanya buat balikin downtrend AALI LSIP

Masih wave 3, masih long bullish, cuma sideways dulu aja…

IHSG – Stochasticnya udah overbought, bisa bikin koreksi dulu, bisa juga sideways correction. Yang jelas belum rally dulu lagi sampe beres. Kita liat INFOBANK15 buat konfirmasi lanjutan gerakan index. MACD masih firm, DMI sideways, BD sama FF masih accum, mungkin malah baru dinaikin lagi setelah pada akum banyak dulu

MFI masih up, duit gede masih masuk, volume transaksi standar2 aja, ga ada freq spike, gaada yang istimewa lah, konsolidasi aja

INFOBANK15 – ini malah udah keliatan mau lanjut, koreksinya udah keliatan mau beres… kecuali stochastic yang oversold, udah hampir ok semua, tinggal breakout resistance terus tutup gap

Selain finance nongol property, yang senin pada naik, infrastructure, consumer cyclicals, sama transportation

Financials – kompak sama infobank15, cuma lebih telat, tapi sama keliatan mau lanjut.

BBCA BMRI 833 nya buy signal, kita liat apa bener continuation

BBCA – bener kliatannya mau continue naik, candle terakhir gap up baru dibawa closing dibawah. Yang ma entry buy di gap closing aja. MACD masih firm, 833 buy, 1066 rev down, MFI up, BD FF acc, dikit lagi breakout leel top nya wave 1, firm wave 3 kalo break. DMI up, LR up

BMRI – memang diantara big banks paling duluan gerak, udah keliatan kaya mau udahan wave 3 nya, udah ada bearish divergence. VOlume transaksibandar dan foreign juga turun banget, dibiarin aja ini kayanya ga dimainin dulu, MFI flat, macd masih up, stoch 833 buy, 1066 nya overbought. Spec buy masih ok, tapi stoploss ketat

Property – macd up stoch up overbought, 833 sell, mfi up, last 2 days FNS and bandar flat, koq mark-up distribusi sih, kaya yang mau dibanting… masih belum berhasil break fibo 23 memang masih belum firm reversal sih. kita pantau terus tapi

CTRA buy signal MACD, BSDE sama SMRA big accumulation

CTRA – secara umum technical ok, stoch sw,macd buy, mfi sw, abis run terakhir sudah koreksi sampe fibo 61, LR siap mantul PSAR masih up, tapi… volume transaksi sepi, last 2 days FNS, bandar akum tipis tipis. Berani spec buy sih sebagian dulu, tapi stoploss ketat di last low 905

BSDE – all good yang ini, semoga jalan jauh… Dan bukan kena mark-up distribusi kaya sektornya. Kalo ikut retracement pattern standard, next stop: 1005

SMRA – FNS 2 hari, bandar akum tapi, MFI masih up macd up, DMI sw, LR ok, tunggu 833 buy deh

Infrastructure – 833 nya bilang koreksi/sideways dulu, macd masih ok, stoch up, mfi up, dmi sw, psar up lr up. sudah ok sih buat kemungkinan sektor nya diangkat

EXCL ISAT

EXCL – masih sideways, bolak balik terus, harus tunggu breakout aja deh, bd akum FF masih net buy tapi tambah kecil. Baru tembus fibo 23 tenggelem dulu, bisa spec buy di area fibo 23 sebagian aja

ISAT – udah stoch buy, disusul MACD, bareng sama stoch 833 re-buy, harusnya bisa buy ini, continuation. Bandarnya sama FF lagi diem abis kemaren distribusi pas bawa harga koreksi,tapi MFI masih naik, meaning harga naiknya volume nya isi, ga kosong. Berani spec buy di tengah candel kemaren hari ini, target tutup gap

Consumer Cyclicals – rally lho ini, tapi di relative RSI chart ga nongol terus… Stoch up overbought, macdup, mfi up, ff flat bd akum tipis. Retracement pattern jalan, LR jalan

MPMX

MPMX – harusnya buy dari tanggal 24 okt. Idealnya sih ada momentum pullback lagi baru entry di 833 buy, tapi belum tentu dapet, bisa jadi dia langsung lanjut.TUnggu breakout aja deh

Transportation – bagus semua kecuali FNS seminggu terakhir

ASSA FNB big accum

ESSA – belum sih, candle vol buangan

October 24th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow climbs more than 700 points on Friday as Wall Street clinches its best week since June

Stocks climbed on Friday as Wall Street closed a volatile week on a high note despite some disappointing earnings reports.

Dow…….31082 +748.97 +2.47%
Nasdaq.10860 +244.9 +2.31%
S&P 500..3753 +86.97 +2.37%
FTSE…….6970 +25.8 +0.37%
Dax……..12731 -36.5 -0.29%
CAC……..6036 -51.5 -0.85%

Nikkei….26891 -116.4 -0.43%
HSI……..16211 -69.1 -0.42%
Shanghai..3039 +3.9 +0.13%
ST Times..2970 -52.8 -1.75%

IDX…….7017.77 +37.12 +0.53%
LQ45…1000.36 +6.68 +0.67%

IDX Energy..2017.02 +3.16 +0.16%
IDX Bsc Mat.1247.35 -11.23 -0.89%
IDX Industrl..1263.15 +5.85 +0.47%
IDXNONCYC..732.55 -4.20 -0.57%
IDX Hlthcare.1477.13 +7.21 +0.49%
IDXCYCLIC…..853.63 +7.18 +0.85%
IDX Techno..6474.00 -65.56 -0.99%
IDX Transp…1778.18 +12.11 +0.69%
IDX Infrast……944.15 +12.28 +1.32%
IDX Finance 1490.55 +22.43 +1.53%
IDX Banking.1177.85 +20.15 +1.74%
IDX Property…….681 -3.50 -0.51%

Indo10Yr….7.5580 +0.0697 +0.93%
ICBI……..330.5773 -1.3607 -0.41%
*US10Yr……4.2260 +0.0990 +2.40%‼️*
*VIX……….29.69 -0.29 -0.97%*

*USDIndx 112.0120 -0.8380 -0.74%👍*
Como Indx..272.36 +0.64 +0.24%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..145.84 +0.14 +0.10%
.
*IndoCDS 165.84 +5.84 +3.65%‼️*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(12/10)*

*IDR……15631.50 +60.00 +0.39%‼️*
*Jisdor..15610.00 +31 +0.20%‼️*

*Euro……..0.9862 +0.0077 +0.79%‼️*

TLKM……..27.70 +0.18 +0.65%
*(4338)*
EIDO………23.64 +0.38 +1.63%
EEM………35.27 +0.53 +1.53%

Oil…………85.05 -0.93 -1.08%
*Gold ……1656.30 +23.80 +1.46%*
*Timah….18484 -864 -4.47%‼️*
*(Closed 21/10)*
Nickel…22185.00 -10.50 -0.05%(
*(Closed 21/10)*
Silver………18.60 +0.19 +1.03%
Copper….339.75 +7.70 +2.32%

*Nturl Gas…..5.472 +0.155 +2.92%*

*Ammonia..4130.00 -16.67 -0.40%*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(20/10)

Coal price….390.00 -1.95 -0.50%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….389.95 -6.20 -1.57%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….390.00 -7.05 -0.61%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….270.00 unch +0%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….256.40 -2.10 -0.81%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..255.55 -1.75 -0.68%
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..95.15 +1.15 +1.22%
Indonesial Coal Index (21/10)

CPO(Jan)……4100 unch +0%

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….684.25 +0.25 +0.04%
SoybeanOil…71.50 +1.08 +1.53%
Wheat………850.75 +1.50 +0.18%

*Wood pulp…6820.00 unch +0%*
(Closed 20/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US ijo tebel, bagus buat rally wave 3 IHSG. eropa dan asia closing jum’at kebanyakan merah

Gold SIlver Copper naik –> kalo logam2 mulia-an naik semua berarti sebenernya dollar yang turun… timah nikel turun, padahal ANTM INCO udah buy signal, bisa ganggu ini… Oil turun, Gas rebound abis turun gede, coal turun. Masih meragukan run sektor energy ini…

IHSG – tadinya diharapkan cukup bikin 3 white soldiers untuk konfirmasi reversal, malah rally 5 hari ijo berturut2… Suka iseng ini nanti bandar, kalo long run kepanjangan, pas orang entry dia turunin dulu, hihihi… Udah firm nongol MACD buy signal

IHSG – stoch buy,macd buy, MFI up, lastday FNB, Bandar akum, close diatas SMA 20, LR up, DMI dikit lagi buy, firm wave 3

Infobank – Nyaris persis IHSG, bedanya, firm breakout neckline IHNS sebelumnya. Big caps banyak bank, kalo Infobank15 rally, ihsg juga rally. Firm wave 3

Koq membingungkan, IHSG naik tapi sektor yang kemaren pada naik sekarang cacing RSI nya melemah…

Cuma Customer Non-Cyclicals yang arahnya bagus, padahal udah diujung, biasanya mau melemah

Financials mulai bangun, sudah seharusnya kalo index mau lari