Posts Tagged ‘inflation’

Daily Analysis 20250116

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

January 16th, 2024

Dow jumps 700 points, Nasdaq soars 2.5% after cool CPI reading

US stocks ripped higher on Wednesday as high hopes for bank earnings paid off and a crucial consumer inflation update showed key prices increased less than expected in December.

Dow……43221 +703.1 +1.65%
Nasdaq 19511 +466.8 +2.45%
S&P 500 5950 +107.0 +1.83%

FTSE…..8301 +99.6 +1.21%
Dax……20575 +303.4 +1.50%
CAC……7475 +50.9 +0.69%

Nikkei…38445 -29.7 -0.08%
HSI……..19286 +66.3 +0.34%
Shanghai.3227 -13.8 -0.43%

IDX…7079.56 +122.90 +1.77%
LQ45…827.11+25.88 +3.23%‼️
IDX30.425.04 +13.62 +3.31%‼️

IDXEnergy…2807.40 +16.09 +0.58%
IDX BscMat 1237.21 -6.84. -0.55%
IDX Indstrl… ..987.40 -1.79 -0.18%
IDXNONCYC.706.06 +7.15 +1.02%
IDX Hlthcare1417.18 +7.57 +0.54%
IDXCYCLC…817.05 +10.38 +1.29%
IDX Techno.4181.17 +45.56 +1.10%
IDX Transp 1280.02 +9.84 +0.77%
IDX Infrast 1471.64 +14.70 +1.01%
IDX Finance1397.69 +42.24 +3.12%‼️
IDX Banking1139.49+57.00 +5.27%‼️
IDX Property. 747 +2.50 +0.34%

Indo10Yr.7.2617‼️+0.0319 +0.44%
ICBI….390.2582‼️-0.2243 -0.06%
US2Yr.4.268 -0.101 -2.31%
US5Yr 4.451 -0.148 -3.21%‼️
US10Yr4.655 -0.140 -2.91%
US30Yr.4.880 -0.098 -1.97%
VIX..16.12 -2.59 -13.84%‼️

USDIndx 109.0930❗️-0.120 -0.11%
Como Indx..312.17 +4.35 +1.58%
BCOMIN..145.04 +0.94 +0.65%

IndoCDS…81.16 -0.97 -1.16%
(5-yr INOCD5) (14/01)

IDR…….16311.00‼️+46.00 +0.28%
Jisdor.. 16325.00‼️+55.00 +0.34%

Euro…1.0293 -0.0015 -0.15%

TLKM…16.41 +0.02 +0.09%
( 2679)
EIDO….18.50 +0.48 +2.66%
EEM…41.81 +0.52 +1.26%

Oil………80.04 +1.22 +1.55%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………82.43 +2.01 +2.50%
(Brent)
Gold…2717.80 +34.50 +1.29%
(Comex)
Gold…2694.21 +22.04 +0.82%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.29771.00 -95.00 -0.32%
(Closed 14/01)
.Nickel.15825.00 -105.00 -0.66%
(Closed 15/01)
Silver……31.53 +1.18 +3.89%
Copper.438.90 +4.65 +1.07%

Iron Ore 62% 99.99 +1.27 +1.29%
(13/01)
Nturl Gas ..4.135 +0.168 +4.23%‼️
Ammonia China. 2506.67 – -%
(Domestic Price)(15/01)

Coal price.114.45 -0.95 -0.82%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.114.60 -1.70 -1.46%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.117.15 -1.75 -1.47%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 118.85 -1.45 -1.21%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.35 +1.00 +0.95%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 104.25 +0.50 +0.48%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.10 +0.20 +0.19%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.35 +0.05 +0.05%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar) 4362 -81 -1.82%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………478.75 +4.25 +0.90%
SoybeanOil 46.27 +0.05 +0.11%
Wheat……547.00 +0.75 +0.14%

Wood pulp…..6540 +40 +0.61%
(Closed 15/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo tebel, europe varied, Asia ijo tebel, treasury bond yield turun jauh, harusnya lanjut ijo IHSG hari ini, palling dip dikit lah ya ada yang pofit taking

USD index down, metal2 up kecuali tin nickel, oil up gas up coal down, hayo lanjut AKRA MEDC, CPO down, masih belum aja nih

IHSG – akhirnya FNB, MFI up, stoch masih down, w% up, BD flat, harusnya lanjut rally lah

Energy, Technology, Basic materials, dan karena suku bunga BI turun ya Bank dan Property

Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM ASII BBCA BBRI BMRI BUKA ESSA INKP SMGR UNTR BSDE JPFA VKTR, big accum ANTM ASII BBRI BUKA ESSA UNTR BSDE JPFA

MACD Buy Signal BBCA BBNI BMRI BRIS EXCL HRUM INDF INKP UNTR BBYB BTPS CTRA EMTK PNLF, big accum BBNI HRUM INDF UNTR BBYB

Supertrend Buy Signal: AKRA

Daily Analysis 20241210

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

December 10th, 2024

S&P 500, Nasdaq pull back from records as Nvidia tumbles

US stocks pulled back on Monday as Nvidia (NVDA) shares slipped amid a Chinese antitrust probe and investors prepared for this week’s consumer inflation report.

Dow……44402 -240.6 -0 54%
Nasdaq. 19737 -123.1 -0.62%
S&P 500 6053 -37.4 -0.61%

FTSE…..8352 +43.5 +0.52%
Dax……20346 -38.7 -0.19%
CAC……7480 +53.3 +0.72%

Nikkei….39160 +69.3 +0.18%
HSI……..20414 +548.2 +2.76%
Shanghai.3403 -1.5 -0.05%

IDX…7437.73 +54.95 +0.74%
LQ45…887.45 +11.61 +1.33%
IDX30.454.63 +7.03 +1.57%

IDXEnergy…2743.48 +56.95 +2.12%
IDX BscMat 1350.08 +0.16 +0.01%
IDX Indstrl..1089.47 +10.51 +0.97%
IDXNONCYC.742.53 +4.33 +0.59%
IDX Hlthcare1460.83 -1.35 -0.09%
IDXCYCLC…843.64 +6.37 +0.76%
IDX Techno..4325.14 +50.44 +1.18%
IDX Transp 1398.13 +18.54 +1.34%
IDX Infrast 1490.56 +8.21 +0.55%
IDX Finance1478.02 +15.20 +1.04%
IDX Banking1238.27 +25.68 +2.12%
IDX Property..797 +6.60 +0.83%

Indo10Yr.7.002‼️ +0.0160 +0.23%
ICBI….392.5831 -0.1990 -0.05%
US2Yr.4.126 +0.033 +0.81%
US5Yr 4.031 +0.041 +1.02%
US10Yr4.200 +0.052 +1.25%
US30Yr.4.383 +0.050 +1.15%
VIX..14.19 +1.42 +11.12%‼️

USDIndx 106.1730❗️ +0.118 +0.11%
Como Indx..289.03 +2.72 +0.95%
BCOMIN..146.48 +0.92.+0.63%

IndoCDS…72.22 -0.00 -0.00%
(5-yr INOCD5) (06/12)

IDR…….15866.50❗️+21.50 +0.14%
Jisdor..15861.00❗️+13.00 +0.08%

Euro…1.0552❗️ -0.0016 -0.15%

TLKM.17.13 -0.10 -0.55%
( 2717)
EIDO…20.68 +0.28 +1.37%
EEM…44.75 +0.90 +2.04%

Oil………68.17 +0.97 +1.44+%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………71.95 +0.23 +0.32%
(Brent)
Gold…2682.30 +22.70 +0.85%
(Comex)
Gold…2659.84 +27.93 +1.06%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.29151.00 14.00 -0.05%
(Closed 06/12)
Nickel.16012.50 -13.50 -0.08%
(Closed 09/12)
Silver…..32.45 +0.86 +2.73%
Copper.425.95 +6.30 +1.50%

Iron Ore 62% 104.11 -2.18 -2.05%
(06/12)
Nturl Gas 3.176 +0.100 +3.25%
Ammonia China 2776.67 -26.66 -0.95%
(Domestic Price)(06/12)

Coal price.133.75 +0.50 +0.38%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price.133.25 +0.85 +0.64%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.134.00 +0.50 +0.37%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price 135.00 +0.40 +0.30%
(Mar/Newcastle)

Coal price.113.75 -0.25 -0.22%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price.110.65 -1.15 -1.07%
(Jan/Rotterda)
Coal Price 111.25 -0.60 -0.54%
(Feb/Rotterdam),
Coal/Price 111.75 -0.35 -0.31%
(Mar/Rotterdam)

CPO(Feb) 5118 -15 -0.29%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………441.25 +1.25 +0.29%
SoybeanOil 42.75 -0.22 -0.15%
Wheat……558.25 +1.00 +0.18%

Wood pulp 4482 – -0%
(Closed 09/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US pullback, wajar wajar aja sih, europe varied, asia masih kenceng kecuali china, US treasury bond yield up, kita rada ngerem dulu sepertinya juga hari ini

USD index up, tapi gold silver copper juga up, tin nickel iron ore down, oil up, semoga lanjut sampe bulan depan uptrend, gas up, coal newcastle up, desember musim dingin di utara biasanya energy pada naik, CPO down, masih belum jalan aja nih

IHSG – stoch macd mfi rsi w% up, BD acc FNB, breakout resistance, firm rally sih, early santa claus rally? Bisa jadi, tapi liat data US kayanya buat hari ini slow down dulu

Masih property

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak banget, BBRI BMRI GOTO ITMG JSMR PTBA GJTL KIJA MPMX NISP VKTR. big accum BMRI GOTO ITMG

MACD Buy Signal: MDKA ERAA GJTL MAHA MNCN NSIP, big accum MDKA ERAA

Daily Analysis 20240902

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis, Web Design

September 02nd, 2024

Stocks close higher Friday, S&P 500 posts fourth straight winning month

Stocks rose on Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
posting a fresh record high as investors ended a volatile month on a high note. Traders also mulled over crucial inflation data watched closely by the Federal Reserve.

Dow…….41563 +228.03 +0.55%
Nasdaq. .17714 +197.2 +1.13%
S&P 500 5648 +56.4 +1.01%

FTSE…8377.0 -3.01 -0.04%
Dax……18907 -5.7 -0.03%
CAC……7631 -10.0 -0.13%

Nikkei….38648 +285.2 +0.74%
HSI……..17789 +202.8 +1.14%
Shanghai.2842 +19.1 +0.68%

IDX….7670.73 +43.13 +0.57%
LQ45…944.48 +2.36 +0.25%
IDX30.478.92 +2.14 +0.45%

IDXEnergy. 2622.89 -14.54 -0.54%
IDX BscMat1357.05 +4.40 +0.33%
IDX Indstrl..1079.47 -4.80 -0.44%
IDXNONCYC.711.39 +0.76 +0.11%
IDX Hlthcare1464.16 +2.51 +0.17%
IDXCYCLIC….914.24 +4.36 +0.48%
IDXTechno 3263.30 +21.44 +0.66%
IDX Transp 1448.28 +13.79 +0.96%
IDX Infrast 1629.18 +19.57 +1.22%
IDX Finance1473.49 -1.79 -0.12%
IDX Banking1322.59 +6.71 +0.99%
IDX Property….721 -2.70 -0.38%

Indo10Yr.6.6834 -0.0165 -0.25%
ICBI….391.1384 -0.0792 -0.02%
US2Yr.3.919 +0.021 +0.54%
US5Yr 3.708 +0.040 +1.09%
US10Yr3.909 +0.041 +1.06%
US30Yr.4.201+0.051 +1.23%
VIX..15.00 -0.65 -4.15%

USDIndx 101.6980❗️ +0.355 +0.35%
Como Indx….277.03 -2.85 -1.02%
BCOMIN………144.59 -0.41 -0.29%

IndoCDS..67.28 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (29/08)

IDR…….15455.00 +31.50 +0.20%
Jisdor..15473.00 +64.00 +0.41%

Euro…1.1048❗️ -0.0032 -0.29%

TLKM…19.60 +0.14 +0.72 %
( 3033)
EIDO…..21.77 -0.08 -0.37%
EEM….43.37 +0.09 +0.21%

Oil………..73.55 -2.34 -3.08%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..76.93 -3.01 -3.77%‼️
(Brent)
Gold…2527.60 -26.30 -1.03%
(Comex)
Gold…2503.39 -16.99 -0.67%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32346.00 +1.00 +0%
(Closed 30/08)
Nickel..16747.50 -274.50 -1.61%
(Closed 30/08)
Silver…29.14 -0.69 -2.31%
Copper.421.15 +0.25 +0.06%

Iron Ore 62% 98.70 +0.07 +0.07%
(28/08)
Nturl Gas 2.146 +0.003 +0.14%
Ammonia China 2583.33 -60.00 -2.27%
(Domestic Price)(29/08)

Coal price.143.75 +0.50 +0.35%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.25 +0.70 +0.48%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.80 unch +0%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price..148.35 -0.75 -0.50%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.120.50 +1.20 +1.01%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.65 +1.25 +1.04%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 122.85 +0.75 +0.61%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.124.10 +1.10 +0.89%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)..3978 +36 +0.91%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………401.00 +5.00 +1.26%
SoybeanOil 42.01 -0.12 -0.28%
Wheat……551.50 +2.75 +0.50%

Wood pulp.4900.00 unch +0%
(Closed 01/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing ijo jum’at, europe merah, asia ijo, tapi US bond yield merah, ada kemungkinan hari ini merah juga IHSG, tapi semoga ikut DJI yang cetakk new record high.

USD index up, metal2 kebanyakan down, oil down gas up coal up, CPO up, masih berharap AALI LSIP SIMP lanjut jalan

IHSG – stoch sw, macd up, MFI w% sw, BD acc FNB dan membesar, reg bear belum confirmed semoga cancelled, keliatan dijagain dari volume yang rata dan bandar accum. Sepertinya ngejar target technical wave 3 di 1.618 fibo extension

Industrials, Property

 

 

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBTN MBMA TLKM BRMS CTRA DSNG MYOR PANI SSIA TPIA, big accum BBTN TPIA

MACD Buy Signal: MAPA MIKA SMSM ULTJ, semua big accum dan ada spike di Agustus

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: INCO MIKA PANI SILO

TLKM – supertrend buy signal, Stoch buy, MACD up, MFI up, w% uptrend, BD acc, FNS tipis, ada gap di atas, diluar kekhawatiran index mau start wave 4, harusnya firm jalan ini TLKM

Jum’at ada freq spike, kalo bener ini TLKM jalan index beresin wave 3 ke atas 8000

Average aman, 3 biggest holder accum malu malu, saya masih hold, yang belum punya bisa entry juga, tapi begitu signal ngebalik langsung buang, karena ada resiko IHSG wave 4

BBTN – stoch rev buy, MACD still up, MFI down, w% masih uptrend, BD FF acc, ada freq spike jg, kalo liat retracement pattern harusnya jalan ke fibo 61, CNH juga harusnya nganter ke 1650

Spike target done

Average Bandar udah dibawah running price, jadi agak khawatir belanja. Emang ga akan beli juga sih, tapi technically ok, cuma harus pantau ketat kalo ngebalik

MAPA PBV 4, MIKA PBV 7, skip…

ULTJ – stoch up, macd buy, BD FF acc, ada freq spike, MFI up w% uptrend, reg bull div confirmed, harusnya jalan ya

Spike beberapa kali, terakhir terlihat spike jual, ada lagi baru ga terlalu tinggi tapi firm sih

average nya dibawah running price, technical sih ok, kalo mau entry mending BOW di averagenya AK, kalo daper BOW 1800

INCO – stocj rev up, MACD up, 833 buy, big acc BD and FF, ada spike juga, reg bull div confirmed, udah bikin higher low, harusnya jalan ini

Wah, average aman, tapi belum keliatan accum lagi disini, beda sama data stockbit

Wah, tadinya mau jual buat kenakalan, ga jadi ini mah, HOLD INCO, mau hajatan iniiiiiii

Yang jelas secara technical ok, BUY INCO mumpung merah

 

 

Daily Analysis 20240815

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

August 15th, 2024

S&P 500 closes higher for fifth straight day as easing inflation bolsters rate cut hopes

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
ticked up Wednesday after the release of more encouraging U.S. inflation data.

Dow…….40008 +242.8 +0.61%
Nasdaq. .17193 +4.99 +0.03%
S&P 500 5465 +20.8. +0.38%

FTSE..8281.1 +45.8 +0.56%
Dax……17886 +73.6 +0.41%
CAC……7333 +57.5 +0.79%

Nikkei…36442 +209.9 +0.58%
HSI……..17113 -60.7 -0.35%
Shanghai.2851 -17.3 -0.60%

IDX….7436.04 +79.40 +1.08%
LQ45…922.64 +10.13 +1.11%
IDX30.466.87 +4.97 +1.08%

IDXEnergy. 2653.88 +7.59 +0.30%
IDX BscMat1354.74 +16.99 +1.27%
IDX Indstrl..1033.53 +2.09 +0.20%
IDXNONCYC.709.20 +3.46 +0.49%
IDX Hlthcare1458.46 +10.20 +0.70%
IDXCYCLIC…819.26 +27.12 +3.42%
IDXTechno 3341.16 +24.70 +0.74%
IDX Transp 1392.31 +6.80 +0.49%
IDX Infrast 1598.63 +23.76 +1.51%
IDX Finance1435.38 +11.48 +0.81%
IDX Banking1286.56 +11.96 +0.94%
IDX Property…..666 -1.70 -0.25%

Indo10Yr.6.8056 -0.0271 -0.40%
ICBI…388.1434 +0.5913 +0.15%
US2Yr.3.960 +0.024 +0.61%
US5Yr 3.682 +0.005 +0.14%
US10Yr3.845 -0.005 -0.13%
US30Yr.4.129 -0.031 -0.75%
VIX..16.19 -1.93 -10.65%👍

USDIndx 102.5680👍 +0.009 +0.01%
Como Indx….275.48 -0.85 -0.31%
BCOMIN…..138.90 +0.11 +0.08%

IndoCDS..78.68 -1.49 -1.86%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/08)

IDR…..15675.00👍 -157.50 -0.99%
Jisdor.15891.00👍 -194.00 -1.22%

Euro…1.1013‼️ +0.0019 +0.17%

TLKM…18.28 +0.08 +0.44%
( 2905)
EIDO…..21.30 +0.31 +1.48%
EEM……..42.44 -0.22 -0.50%

Oil………..77.33 -1.36 -1.73%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….79.76 -0.93 -1.15%
(Brent)
Gold…..2485.00 -19.20 -0.77%
(Comex)
Gold……2447.87 -17.02 -0.69%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31430.00 +232.00 +0.74%
(Closed 14/08)
Nickel..16235.00 -162.50 -0.99%
(Closed 14/08)
Silver….27.63 -0.40 -1.43%
Copper.406.90 -0.20 -0.05%

Iron Ore 62% 100.44 -0.59 -0.58%
(12/08)
Nturl Gas 2.226 +0.063 +2.91%
Ammonia China 2466.67 +36.67 +1.51%
(Domestic Price)(13/08)

Coal price.145.75 -1.15 -0.78%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.148.40 -1.60 -1.07%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 149.90 -1.15 -0.76%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.151.40 -0.90 -0.59%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.121.65 -0.10 -0.08%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.05 -0.45 -0.37%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 123.65 -0.95 -0.76%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.125.65 +0.10 +0.08%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3725 +36 +0.98%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..400.75 +3.50 +0.88%
SoybeanOil 38.88 -0.21 -0.54%
Wheat…..556.25 +4.50 +0.82%

Wood pulp..5060 -20 -0.39%
(Closed 14/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US Europe ijo, asia varied, US bond yield pendek up, yang panjang down, IHSG new record high, beware pullback. Banyak yang sell memanfaatkan hype ATH

USD Index up tipis, metal2 kebanyakan merah kecuali Tin, oil down gas up, coal down CPO up. agak ga asik buat INCO ANTM, semoga ga koreksi jauh, giliran AALI LSIP

IHSG – stoch up, MACD buy, FNB, vol transaksi turun, ketemu reg bear div, semoga lanjut sih, tapi beware kaya kejadian januari, all time high terus longsor

Energy

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO BRPT GOTO PGEO SIDO UNTR BNGA ENRG GJTL MPMX, big accum PGEO SIDO GJTL

MACD Buy Signal banyak banget: AMRT ANTM BBRI BRPT GOTO ISATJSMR MDKA PGAS PTBA SIDO SMGR ABMM BTPS MYOR, big accum BBRI ISAT MDKA PTBA SIDO